TechPrecision Corp (TPCS) 2019 Q3 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the TechPrecision Third Quarter 2019 Earnings Call. (Operator Instructions).

  • At this time, it is my pleasure to turn the floor over to your host, Brett Maas, of Hayden Investment Relations. Sir, the floor is yours.

  • Brett Maas - Managing Principal

  • Thank you. On the call today is Alex Shen, Chief Executive Officer; and Tom Sammons, Chief Financial Officer. The call is also being simulcast on the company's website, www.techprecision.com.

  • Before we begin, I'd like to remind our listeners that management's remarks may contain forward-looking statements, which are subject to risks and uncertainties and management may make additional forward-looking statements in response to your questions. Therefore, the company claims the protection of the safe harbor for forward-looking statements as contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.

  • Actual results may differ from those discussed today, and therefore, we refer to a more detailed discussion of risks and uncertainties in the company's filings with the SEC. In addition, projections as to the company's future performance represents management's estimates as of today, February 13, 2019. TechPrecision assumes no obligation to revise or update these forward-looking statements.

  • With that out of the way, I'd like to turn the call over to Alex Shen, Chief Executive Officer, to provide opening marks. Alex?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Thank you, Brett. Good day to everyone, and thank you for joining us. Our results for the third quarter were highlighted by improved gross margins and higher overhead absorption when compared to the third quarter of fiscal 2019.

  • Net income was $218,000 compared to a net loss of $691,000 in the year-ago quarter. Our improving results and higher overhead absorption were a direct result of better planning and better execution, enabled by projects with longer build cycles and further enabled by more timely customer approvals and releases.

  • As a reminder for everyone, at the beginning of our fiscal year, we adopted the new revenue recognition guidance issued by the Financial Accounting Standards Board. Under the guidance, we adopted a new revenue recognition model that allows us to recognize revenue over the project duration for most of our customer contracts. Prior period amounts have not been restated and continue to be reported in accordance with the accounting standards in effect for those periods.

  • Now I'd like to turn the call over to Tom to tell us more about our third quarter financial results. Tom?

  • Thomas C. Sammons - CFO

  • Thank you, Alex. Net sales for the third quarter of fiscal 2019 were $4.3 million or $0.6 million higher when compared to the same quarter a year ago. In the third quarter, net sales in our defense markets increased by $0.7 million, while net sales in our energy market decreased by $0.1 million each when compared to the same quarter a year ago. The higher revenues during the third quarter are the result of increased production levels.

  • Our cost of sales for the 3 months ended December 31, 2018, was $3.3 million compared to $3.2 million for the 3 months ended December 31, 2017.

  • For the 3 months ended December 31, 2018, gross profit increased to $1 million compared to $0.4 million in the 3 months ended December 31, 2017. Cost of sales and gross profit increased because of higher level production activity in the current year quarter.

  • Our return to targeted levels of production boosted gross margin to 22.7% for the 3 months ended December 31, 2018, a significant improvement over 11.6% in the same quarter a year ago.

  • Interest expense decreased by 16% and should continue to decrease as we amortize debt principal.

  • Net income was $218,000 or $0.01 per share, basic and diluted, compared to a net loss of $691,000 in the same quarter last year. Last year's net loss included a discrete tax item of $0.5 million in connection with the 2017 tax act.

  • For the 9 months ended December 31, 2018, net sales decreased by $2.1 million or 15% to $12 million when compared to $14.1 million for the 9 months ended December 31, 2017.

  • Our cost of sales for the 9 months ended December 31, 2018, was $8.9 million compared to $10.5 million for the 9 months ended December 31, 2018.

  • Gross margin was 26.0% and 25.6% for the 9 months ended December 31, 2018 and 2017, respectively.

  • Total SG&A expenses for the 9 months ended December 31, 2018, decreased by approximately $123,000 due primarily to a decrease in compensation expense and outside advisory fees when compared to the 9 months ended December 31, 2017.

  • Interest expense decreased by 13% for the 9 months ended December 31, 2018, and should continue to decrease as we amortize debt principal.

  • Our tax expense is primarily noncash expense as we continue to utilize our deferred tax assets to offset any tax liability. There has been no cash paid for income taxes during the 9 months ended December 31, 2018, and the company does not expect to make any significant tax payments over the remainder of the fiscal year.

  • For the 9 months ended December 31, 2018, our net income was $563,000 or $0.02 per share, basic and fully diluted, compared with net income of $101,000 or $0 per share, basic and fully diluted, for the 9 months ended December 31, 2017.

  • Fully diluted earnings per share is based on an average weighted share count of approximately 30.4 million and 30.2 million for the third quarter and year-to-date periods, respectively.

  • Our backlog at December 31, 2018, was $14.1 million compared to $14 million at March 31, 2018.

  • Turning to the balance sheet. Our working capital increased by $453,000 to $5.4 million at December 31, 2018, compared to $4.9 million at March 31, 2018.

  • We finished the quarter with $1.8 million in cash at December 31, 2018.

  • Cash provided by operations for the 9 months ended December 31, 2018, was $121,000. The lower cash flow amount was a result of an increase in manufacturing activity, with more cash expended to ramp-up new projects.

  • Net cash used in investing activities and in financing activities totaled $403,000 and $570,000, respectively, for the 9 months ended December 31, 2018.

  • With that, I will now turn the call back over to Alex. Alex?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Tom, thank you. Our defense and nuclear customers continue to emphasize the need for Ranor to be a stable and viable player within their supply chain, and we continue to respond with a sharp focus on tactical execution to meet customer expectations.

  • We expect a strong pipeline of business from our primary customers in defense. Core customer confidence continues as we added $6.3 million in new orders since September 30, 2018. This enabled us to grow our backlog from $12.1 million at September 30, 2018, to $14.1 million at December 31, 2018.

  • Before I open up the line for questions, there are several matters that I want to discuss and clarify.

  • First, backlog. Backlog consists of funded purchase orders.

  • Second, as I have commented before, our defense clients do not want me to disclose anything about the work that we do for them. But because we are a public company, they acknowledge that we must provide some insight into our business. So they allow us to speak in generalities, which I realize may be frustrating at times. From now on, when I cannot answer because of our defense clients, I will try to say something along the lines of: our clients do not want us to talk about this.

  • Third, along these same lines, again, as I have previously said, most of our direct competitors in the defense industry are private companies who do not have these quarterly calls. Sometimes, I do not answer a question because it will or may give them a competitive edge against us. In those circumstances, I will try to answer where applicable by saying something along the lines of: because of competitive reasons, I cannot answer that.

  • Having said all that, management and the board, we're all committed to enhancing shareholder value, and I will try to work towards giving you as much information as I can, while still staying in line with the points I just made.

  • Our primary target is the United States' defense industry, specifically naval submarine manufacturing. We continue to see meaningful opportunities in this sector. The size of the opportunities, as I have stated previously, between $75 million to $100 million has not decreased.

  • There are 2 significant demand drivers that will double existing overall nuclear submarine business workload at the shipyards starting in 2019. These 2 demand drivers have started to come into play.

  • The first significant demand driver is the Virginia Payload Module, an 85-foot hull section with 4 centerline large-diameter payload tools. That is expected to be added to all future Virginia class submarines, starting with the second Virginia class submarine in Block 5. VPM, short for Virginia Payload Module, VPM module-related components are definitely creating opportunities for us.

  • The second significant demand driver is the Columbia program, which will build 12 new SSBNs over a period of 20 years to replace the 14 Ohio class SSBNs. At 560 feet, 20,800 tons displacement, the Columbia class is slightly larger than the Ohio class it is replacing and represents a doubling of overall demand compared to the Virginia class construction program.

  • Throughout calendar year 2018, the pace of the demand was certainly slower than what we all would have liked. We are subject to the timing of government appropriations and funding and the time it takes as the funding makes its way through approvals, through releases, through the government, through the shipyards, through the prime contractors and finally, down to the subcontractors like us.

  • The key point is that the demand is significant, has not decreased and is definitely not going away.

  • I would now like to open up the call for questions and answers.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) Here we have a question that came in from Ross Taylor with ARS Investment Partners.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • Thank you for the comments you're making about how that things are going forward, because I think it's an important part of your job as CEO of a microcap company to work with analysts and work with shareholders and the steps you're taking, I think, if -- as executed hopefully going forward will help bridge that where it's been a problem, I know, in the past where a lot of investors have gotten frustrated and instead of staying the course have chosen to sell. My questions are, first, you talked about a $14.1 million backlog. What percentage of that backlog is from the U.S. Navy at this point?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Well, looking at the 80-20, it's still above the 80%. So a large majority.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • Okay. And so -- and the way you calculate backlog is you're looking at -- if they've let contracts for a particular boat or a certain component on a particular boat, your backlog is only for those components that are currently funded at this point. So if something -- if you're looking at doing business that or if you expect to get a contract that's not funded at this point, that's not in your backlog, correct?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Yes. Let me just really clarify this for you, for me and for everyone. For example, there's projects when there are component requirements for a 10 submarine block. The PO funding may be for less than all 10. So it could be 1, it could be 2, 3 or 4 or another number. The backlog itself will consist of only the funded purchase orders.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • Right. So in reality...

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • So even if there's 10 boats that require 10, if we only have a funded purchase order for 2.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • That's all you have is the 2. And if you actually don't have a complete run of something at this point in time, you might have a fractional share of what you'll be doing on a boat. Have you been able or will you be able to...

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Let me clarify, Ross. Sometimes, it really depends on how it's sourced. When the incumbents have a clear advantage, so if I'm an incumbent, I have a clear advantage. The customer can always change their mind on how they might source for all 10, even though it's highly unlikely. So I don't try to -- I just count the backlog as whatever the funded purchase orders are. I'm going to ask Tom to see if Tom has any more to add.

  • Thomas C. Sammons - CFO

  • That's all I was going to say. It's whatever purchase orders we have in hand that's been funded, that's the only thing we count in backlog.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • Right. And so -- and you're saying at this point it's probably about 80% of that is out of the Navy. On last call, you mentioned that you were doing work or you had business on an aircraft carrier. Can you talk to us about what -- go ahead.

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • That is correct.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • Can you talk to us about either what you're doing on that aircraft carrier? Or how the business sets up on a value basis versus what you're doing on a submarine? I know you can't talk about this many dollars versus that many, but the idea of how valuable is a given carrier versus, let's say, a Virginia class boat?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Well, to give you as much information as I can. So I haven't just started pursuing aircraft carrier. I have been pursuing it for quite a while. Some of the times it takes years, several years in fact before we can actually get sourced. The other piece to consider would be the build cycle of an aircraft carrier is pretty long for one. It's a different type of build cycle. I'm not too sure about exactly what we should consider the build cycle for an aircraft carrier because the different components may be ordered at different times. What's in the public realm is somewhere between 6 to 8 years an aircraft carrier gets built.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • Yes. And so in your backlog, you have aircraft carrier business in your backlog right now?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Yes, we do.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • Okay. But the majority of your backlog is submarines?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • The majority of my backlog is submarines? Yes, it is.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • Yes. And when we look forward, is the Columbia class -- is a Columbia class boat, there's going to be 1 Columbia class boat built a year basically through this cycle versus what 2 Virginia class boats. Is your business -- will the Virginia class on an annual basis become more -- be more valuable to you than the Columbia class? Or are they roughly comparable? Or is the Columbia class more valuable?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • That would -- I find it pretty hard to gauge because sometimes it's because of timing. So when we look at like a year, it would be a different mix. It depends on the mix. I'm not trying to evade the question. I'm just looking at if you look at it by periods, for example, an annual period of performance and what's that revenue contain versus how much we get on Virginia class, Columbia class and carrier. Some of it still remains to be seen.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • Okay. Could you comment on kind of the total bid? I don't want to talk about specific contracts or components and the like, but it's clear the next 3 to 6 months, from comments you made, are -- offer us a tremendous opportunity to grow backlog, whether it's funded or unfunded, and I look at this more as an unfunded story that if you got components, as you said it's your business to lose, so looking at it in that fashion. It seems like the next 3 to 6 months give us a lot of shots on goal that could be pretty powerful. Can you give us an idea of what the aggregate in bids outstanding you have are right now?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Gosh, Ross, this is one of those where I have to tell you because of competitive reasons, I cannot answer that, and I'm sorry.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • Okay. I won't beat around to try to get it out in various different ways. But is it safe to assume -- you've also talked in your prepared comments.

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Our competitor -- so let me just characterize that answer, it's because the competitors are carefully monitoring who's bidding on what as well, so it's...

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • I'm just trying to get a dollar amount, like you're looking -- are you bidding on business, are you bidding on $10 million or $50 million? Is it a industry where if you say, I'm bidding on $50 million or $100 million of revenue, they have an idea of what you're bidding on?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • The other part is, this is one part where our clients really don't want me to talk about that.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • Okay, I won't press on it. But you've also in prepared comments talked about nuclear. You referenced your nuclear customers. Can you tell us what you're doing in nuclear? And what kind of market opportunity that offers?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • I can tell you a bit about what we're doing in nuclear, and we are competing for this -- for the bit that we do have. So the U.S. nuclear industry is really not so existent for new component type and repair -- replacement new component type of business that we do. So most of the industries that we support, most of the companies that we support are domestic U.S. companies that are not manufacturing for the U.S., whether it's replacement parts or if it's brand-new. That's the characterization as in whether it's out of the country or in the country. Eventually, where these things are going is not in the U.S. That much I can tell you for sure. The other piece, I guess, what kind of -- well, they're nuclear plant parts. So if something -- if there's a need for replacement parts, we get an opportunity to bid. So that's not something that I can -- that they can tell me as far as a cycle goes.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • Is -- would -- should we expect that going forward your business kind of retains at 80-20, U.S. Navy, 80%, nuclear other 20%? Or do you -- the nuclear opportunity exists as a large enough opportunity to push it into a higher percentage of overall sales?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • I think the 80-20 is a good way to characterize it going forward.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • Okay. Away from nuclear and the Navy, what other opportunities do you look at? I know a lot of people -- I get calls a lot from people that are interested in the company. They always ask about Mevion, because of your formal role with Mevion. What other opportunities in industries do you see that could drive top line, bottom line in the next 6 to 12 months?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • I think the focus really needs to be on our defense customers, so that we can reap the rewards of sticking with them and aiming ourselves at them all these years. So take our ball off the focus would cause a deterioration in core customer confidence.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • Okay. And number of calls ago, 5 or 6...

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Having said that, Ross, opportunistically, really if an opportunity comes up, there's no reason why we can't take a look. It's just the deliberate aiming of our resources, of our focus, of all that we do, there's -- the opportunities are overwhelmingly large with the customers that we have decided to focus on.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • And you would -- and from comments you've made earlier in this call, you would expect to see a lot of demand for your capacity moving forward as we move into the latter part of this calendar year and into 2020?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Yes. Whether or not, the timing is always -- we're subject to other peoples' timing, but the key point is the demand is not going away whatsoever. Its significance has not decreased, so...

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • Yes. I'm going to ask one last question and then I'll step back out, but back at the end of 2017, on a call, you talked about the idea of -- it was mentioned in a prepared statement about effectively exploring alternatives -- strategic alternatives with the idea of maximizing shareholder value. Given your earlier comments in this call, both about the delay in probably 6 months or something, 4 to 6 months behind in the order letting with regard to Virginia class boats and the like. And the -- therefore, the ramp-up in -- potential ramp-up in backlog, is it safe to assume that any strategic review process is on hold until we move later in this year to see the backlog and the like that -- so we can get to an idea what the actual value of the business is going to be going forward?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • I can tell you that we continue to actively review our strategic alternatives. That's what I can tell you. The other piece on the letting out of orders, I think to characterize it properly, it's been over a year as far as this waiting around for things to happen.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • I'm trying to be kind to the government.

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • I understand. I just want to give you as much information as I can.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • Yes. So we're definitely this -- we've been kind of pushed behind the power curve. And obviously, as we look forward here, there -- we're looking at stuff we had hoped would have happened in mid late or in '18 is going to happen in '19. The last comment I'd make is obviously, it's very hard to value this company without having an understanding of the backlog potential and since the company is looking at exploring strategic alternatives, as you go forward, the more shareholders can understand the backlog, the run rates, the kind of total addressable market potential from what you're doing over the next 3, 4, 5 years, the better the market will be, I think, at valuing this company. It's clear to me the market doesn't really understand what's going on, the value of the business because we watch the way the stock trades, and it's clear that there's just the depth of knowledge in the marketplace seems to be somewhat limited. And so the more information you can put out there, I think, the easier it will be for all holders to have a better understanding, a true understanding of what the opportunity is here or what the value is here, and what the likely endgame is here. And I think that will help all of us, you, me, other shareholders and the like.

  • Operator

  • Okay. Our next question comes from Mark Gomes with Pipeline.

  • Mark Gomes

  • As a long-time shareholder over 5 years, I want to reiterate the last caller's kudos to management on increased communication. I have complete respect, obviously, for what you need to keep close to the vest. But this call is a very nice combination to us. So thank you on that. So kicking right in. Has your definition of backlog changed? You mentioned funded purchase orders is what -- how you define what goes into backlog. Has that changed at any point over the last several quarters?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • No. No change in the definition.

  • Mark Gomes

  • Great. Okay. And along similar lines, has ASC 606 changed the apples-to-apples comparison of what your backlog number is relative to what it may have been considered over the last few quarters?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • No. No. It has not changed the definition of whatever we have is backlog.

  • Mark Gomes

  • Right. Not the definition but the stated backlog figure. Is there any -- has ASC 606 created any change in what you're...

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Yes. The difference would be -- there really is no difference. 606 aside, backlog is funded POs. So you got to minus off whatever is revenue recognized.

  • Mark Gomes

  • Right. And that has been impacted by 606, right?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Right.

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Yes. The revenue recognition is impacted by 606, not the backlog.

  • Thomas C. Sammons - CFO

  • Stated in another way, you could say the backlog is future revenue, and in that respect, it's the same. It's what we have remaining to recognize as revenue over a period of time.

  • Mark Gomes

  • Right. And that's from a definitional standpoint. But if I want to compare the progress in backlog relative to what it was at the beginning of the fiscal year, then 606 did have an effect on revenue and therefore an effect on the comp, no?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Well, as we recognize revenue, we reduce our backlog.

  • Mark Gomes

  • Right. So if -- let me ask this in one more way and I'll move on.

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Sure. Mark, this is Alex. So from a more layman standpoint instead of Tom's more technical accounting standpoint, so revenue if it doesn't get like it used to not get recognized, if it wasn't shipped, right? So the backlog would remain at, one, if the 1 didn't ship. If the 1 ships, then it becomes 0. But now with revenue recognition along the way, it's like okay, you got it half done. So now revenue is half and the backlog's half because of 606. It's kind of like that. But the definition in how we count backlog has not changed whatsoever since the very beginning. It's just from the POs. It's -- and what Tom was trying to say from a more layman standpoint like me is it's whatever revenue is remaining.

  • Mark Gomes

  • Right. And that was understood from the beginning, completely.

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • I'm sorry.

  • Mark Gomes

  • I guess -- no, no, no worries. Let's say if you were operating under 606 for the past 12 to 18 months, what would the backlog comp be relative to where we were at the beginning of this fiscal year? I'm looking for what the adjustment has been.

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • The adjustment for this year?

  • Mark Gomes

  • Yes. If 606 had been in place for the last year or so, right? What would have the backlog number been entering this fiscal year?

  • Thomas C. Sammons - CFO

  • Yes. That I don't know because I would have to do 606 calculation of the revenue back a year ago.

  • Mark Gomes

  • Right. Yes, no gut feel on that.

  • Thomas C. Sammons - CFO

  • No, because it really depends on where product is in the process. So it's really hard to say without looking at it in detail.

  • Mark Gomes

  • Fair enough. Last question with regard to capacity. Is it fair to say that your capacity is at least where it was, let's say, 5 years ago?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • I'm really sorry to tell you but because of competitive reasons, I cannot answer that.

  • Mark Gomes

  • Okay. But it is safe to say that, let's see, your definition of target production, is that below your capacity level?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • I'm not sure I understand what the question is.

  • Mark Gomes

  • Well, you exited the quarter at your target levels, correct?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Yes.

  • Mark Gomes

  • And -- but those -- there's -- I would assume there's some cushion there for increased -- for operating at a higher level than that without increasing capacity?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Yes. I -- right. You would -- that's a good assumption for a good operator. Absolutely, I'm not trying to evade the question. I just -- many -- most of the competition of ours, they're listening to the call, so...

  • Mark Gomes

  • And I appreciate that as a shareholder, I again have complete respect for...

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • I just need to protect all our shares, right?

  • Mark Gomes

  • Absolutely. I have -- there's no frustration on my part at all. I'm asking questions and what you can answer, great. What you can't, great. I have no problem with that.

  • Operator

  • Okay. Our next question comes from Richard Greulich with REG Capital Advisors.

  • Richard E. Greulich - President & CEO

  • Alex, when you look back historically, is it fair or reasonable to say that your work on components that are related to the Virginia class submarine missile tubes was at least 50% of your business on that submarine?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • I'm sorry, Richard. The thrust of the question is getting quite specific, and because I really -- I'm very sorry because of competitive reasons, I cannot answer that.

  • Richard E. Greulich - President & CEO

  • Okay. Is it reasonable to -- since there's going to be 3x as many tubes when the VPM becomes inserted into the submarines. Is it reasonable for -- to think that the revenue volume on those specific tubes should be about 3x as much as it was in the past?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Revenue for whom?

  • Richard E. Greulich - President & CEO

  • Whoever is doing the components on the missile tubes that are existing now and the 4 additional tubes that will be part of the payload module.

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • That's a difficult question, because the math isn't quite linear. If you have more of them, there's -- the taxpayers and they're looking for a better production rate and therefore lower cost. But I don't think it's exactly linear. There's absolutely -- 6 is more than 2. So there's something there. I'm just trying to be very open and honest about looking at this. It's not super linear math because there's gains that you get from doing more of the same, and the design just because there's -- it says it's 4 tubes, they might not be the same exact part number.

  • Richard E. Greulich - President & CEO

  • Okay. General Dynamics, I think, said that the Columbia production would begin in 2021. Does that -- is that -- do they mean that some initial production -- early production for components begins in 2020? I know I should be asking that to them, but...

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Right. So our clients don't want me talking about things that I know about them that are not in the public domain.

  • Richard E. Greulich - President & CEO

  • Okay, okay. And if you were to be acquired and function as a subsidiary of a larger company, would that in any way affect your ability to garner business as a small company?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • I'm not sure I know how to answer the question, because I don't think I know the answer.

  • Richard E. Greulich - President & CEO

  • Do you -- does TechPrecision benefit from being a small company in terms of -- as a subcontractor to primes?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Do we benefit? I believe that we benefit. We are -- we do business as Ranor. Ranor is classified as a small business.

  • Richard E. Greulich - President & CEO

  • Okay. And that's why the thrust of my question was, if you were to be acquired by a larger company, would that benefit go away or doesn't happen?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • I don't know. I really don't know the answer to the question because I don't know -- I think it really matters, the details matter on how you do that. So it's -- I don't think it's a general answer to a general question. I think it really -- the specifics really matter a whole lot more. I think you're really asking, will TechPrecision lose the small business benefits or not?

  • Richard E. Greulich - President & CEO

  • Right.

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • I think overall, when we continue to actively review our strategic alternatives, that certainly would be part of the review process as to include that.

  • Operator

  • Okay. Our next question comes from Howard Brous with Wunderlich.

  • Howard Brous

  • Alex, just as a follow-up to Ross Taylor's question. You talked about the opportunities of $75 million to $100 million. Can you sort of define the time frame that you're looking at for the $75 million to $100 million without having a problem with competitors?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • I can. It's over -- overall, it's over a 2-year type of period, by and large.

  • Howard Brous

  • And the opportunities, it's still the 80-20 DOD versus nuclear?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Absolutely.

  • Operator

  • Okay. Our next question comes from Ross Taylor.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • Alex, without getting into too granular detail, can you tell us, I'm assuming that you are winning -- and you've referenced in the past that you're winning new components on the Virginia Block 5 boats that you did not necessarily have on prior Virginia class boats or predecessor boats. Is that correct?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • I'm trying to make sure that I answer yes correctly. Yes. The reason why I say that is because the -- throughout calendar year 2018, it's been really an abysmal pace of letting contracts. So I was trying to count the contracts in my mind on Block 5-related stuff.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • Okay. And in looking at these new component side, can you give us an idea of just what kind of win rate or what kind of success rate you guys are seeing in getting new business? And additionally, from talking to people at primes, it looks like or sounds like they really are trying to get a lot of business pushed out, things that they used to do internally pushed out of their yards and their facilities because of a limitation of resources and therefore pushing those to third-party manufacturers such as Ranor. And are you finding that -- getting business directly from Electric Boat or directly from Newport News that they used to do is also a growth opportunity and a growth driver for you guys going forward? Were you not displacing a prior outside supplier but rather replacing an inside supplier for a component?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Well, maybe I should answer the questions in reverse order. The opportunities are pretty large when the boat shipyards, Newport News and Electric Boat, runs out of capacity or decides to really outsource what they've always traditionally done. There's lots of opportunity there, absolutely.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • And they are in that position now, correct?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • They are in that position of looking around and seeing who can do what they used to do.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • Right. Or manage their resources and focused their resources more -- most effectively for their interests, okay. And so that's an area that we're seeing -- that you're seeing growth -- revenue growth come from, backlog growth come from at this point in time.

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Sure.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • Okay. Okay. And so as I said, just looking at all this setting up, obviously, you're seeing a tremendous amount of opportunity going forward. What -- at the end of the quarter, what was your long-term debt amount?

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • I'm going to let Tom field that question.

  • Thomas C. Sammons - CFO

  • Our long-term debt was $3.6 million.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • Okay. So basically you're down about $1.8 million net debt. And of this I would assume that one of the things that as you go forward, you would expect this -- your business model as you start to ramp-up production should become a pretty significant free cash flow generator?

  • Thomas C. Sammons - CFO

  • Yes. I'm not looking at -- we expect to be able to cash flow, if that's your question.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • Yes. You've done a lot your CapEx and things of that nature leading into this, and you had things you had that you basically put into place probably, I would assume, because your customers requested that you increase capacity, so that you could produce to the levels they wish you to produce to and the quality they wanted you to produce to. So I would assume that a lot of business going forward isn't going to require new CapEx for winning contracts -- when you win contracts.

  • Thomas C. Sammons - CFO

  • Ross, just let me clarify, our total debt is $4.5 million. So I'm giving you just a long-term portion at this point, there's this current -- yes, okay.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • That is all I was looking at, it was just that -- as I said, we're looking at a situation or going forward, your CapEx -- as you win new business, a lot of the capital expenditure needs you will have, have already been expended, correct?

  • Thomas C. Sammons - CFO

  • I wouldn't characterize it as already done and expect 0 CapEx, Ross, because it's not 0.

  • P. Ross Taylor - Partner

  • I'm saying from my experience in the defense industry, no one is giving you contracts that they hope that you might may be possibly be able to execute, and they have -- you have a good idea what you're supposed to be building, what they want you to build. So they have probably gone to you and said, to bid on this, we need you to be able to produce a run rate of x over a period of y, at least that's my experience. Because they're not going to give you the contract if they don't know that you can execute particularly in something like a submarine, where you tend to build things and move past them, it's still hard to go back and refit them and say, oh, you can't go back and it's not like Boeing building an airliner where they can leave a part off and then come back later and put that part back on. I would assume that you have a good idea of what you're bidding for, your customers do as well and that they made it pretty clear what your capacity needed to be in order for you to be considered to win the business.

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Yes.

  • Operator

  • Okay. And it doesn't look like we have any further questions.

  • Alexander Shen - CEO & President

  • Okay. Thank you very much, everyone. Have a great day.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. This concludes today's conference call. We thank you for your participation. You may disconnect your lines at this time, and have a great day.