Team Inc (TISI) 2015 Q2 法說會逐字稿

完整原文

使用警語:中文譯文來源為 Google 翻譯,僅供參考,實際內容請以英文原文為主

  • Operator

  • Good day ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the second-quarter fiscal year 2015 Team Incorporated earnings conference call. My name is Katina and I will be your coordinator for today. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. Later we will facilitate a question-and-answer session. (Operator Instructions). As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes.

  • I would now like to turn the presentation over to your host for today's call, Mr. Ted Owen, President and CEO. Please proceed.

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • Thank you Katina. Good morning everyone. It's my pleasure to welcome you to the Team Inc. web conference call to discuss recent Company performance. My name is Ted Owen and I'm the President and CEO of Team. Joining me today are Greg Boane, our new Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, and Phil Hawk, who as you all know was our CEO for the last 16 years and has now assumed the position of Executive Chairman.

  • The purpose of today's conference call is to discuss our recently released financial results for our second quarter of fiscal 2015 that ended on November 30, 2014. As with past calls, our primary objective is to provide investors and analysts with an enhanced understanding of our Company's performance and prospects. This discussion is intended to supplement our quarterly earnings releases and our SEC filings.

  • Greg will begin with a review of our financial results, and then I will follow with a few remarks and observations about our performance and outlook. Before opening the call for questions, I will then ask Phil to make a few comments about his perspective on our performance and outlook. So Greg, let we first welcome you officially to Team. We are delighted to have you join us as our new Chief Financial Officer.

  • Greg Boane - SVP, CFO, Treasurer

  • Thanks Ted. Good morning. First of all, I'm happy to be here and I look forward to working with the Team organization.

  • I'll open with our standard legal guidance. Any forward-looking information discussed today is being provided in accordance with the provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. We have made reasonable efforts to ensure that the information, assumptions, and beliefs upon which this forward-looking information is based are current, reasonable and complete. However, a variety of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated in any forward-looking information. A description of those factors is set forth in the Company's SEC filings. Accordingly, there can be no assurance that the forward-looking information discussed today will occur, or that our objectives will be achieved. We assume no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements made today or any other forward-looking statements made by the Company, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

  • Now, I will focus on the results for the current quarter. Second quarter 2015 was a record quarter for Team. All three business segments posted both record revenues in the current quarter and double-digit growth versus last year's quarter. We reported a 33% increase in adjusted earnings to $17 million, or $0.80 per diluted share, compared to $13 million or $0.62 per diluted share for the prior-year quarter.

  • Revenues increased 20% to $241 million for the current quarter compared to $200 million for the prior-year quarter. There were no nonroutine items in the current quarter. Adjusted earnings in the prior-year quarter excludes $1.4 million net of tax, or $0.06 per diluted share, of nonroutine revaluation gain recognized in the prior-year quarter.

  • Adjusted earnings before interest and taxes, or adjusted EBIT, increased 32% to $29 million for the current quarter compared to $22 million in last year's quarter. Adjusted EBIT margin improved by a full percentage point to 11.9% for the current quarter versus last year's quarter, and operating leverage was 17% in the current quarter. Operating leverage represents the change in adjusted EBIT for the period divided by the change in revenue.

  • Our focus on service execution and cost control initiatives has made a noticeable performance improvement thus far in fiscal year 2015. Adjusted EBITDA increased 26% to $36 million for the current quarter compared to $28 million for last year's quarter. Trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA was $88 million. The effective tax rate for both the current quarter and year-to-date was consistent at 36%.

  • Weighted average diluted shares outstanding for the current quarter were 21.8 million shares, up from 21.3 million shares for the first quarter of fiscal year 2015. The sequential share increase relates to the revised estimated number of shares to be issued to acquire the remaining 5% noncontrolling interest of Quest. The actual number of shares issued will be determined after the two-year performance measurement period ends in May 2015. We have included the current estimate of 757,000 shares in the diluted shares outstanding for both the current quarter and year-to-date.

  • I will finish with some balance sheet information. At quarter end, total debt was $85 million, up from $74 million at the end of May 2014. The increase relates to borrowings to fund our increased Accounts Receivable related to the overall growth in revenues and operating levels. At quarter end, availability under our existing credit facility was $52 million and our ending cash balance was $41 million. Net debt was $44 million and net debt to trailing 12-month EBITDA was 0.50 to 1. Year-to-date CapEx was $11 million, including $4 million related to the new ERP system implementation.

  • That completes the financial review. I will now turn it over to Ted.

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • Thanks Greg. First, let me say that I couldn't be prouder of our organization's performance in the second quarter and indeed for all of the first half of the year. As Greg mentioned, we achieved record revenues of $241 million and earnings of $0.80 per share for the quarter, and our first-half performance of $428 million in revenue and $1.12 of adjusted earnings per share is also a record for six months.

  • But what is exciting is not just the absolute performance, but that the performance is broad-based. All three business units contributed significantly to our second-quarter and year-to-date success. We had double-digit growth in all business units in both the quarter and the year-to-date periods. Our EBIT margin for the quarter of 11.9% was the second highest in the history of Team. And you have to go all the way back to the fourth quarter of fiscal 2012 to find a higher EBIT margin.

  • And, as Greg reported, we achieved operating leverage of over 17% for both the quarter and for the year-to-date periods. That reflects outstanding execution during the quarter by all our business groups.

  • Now let's look in a little more depth at each of the business groups. As you will recall, we are organized into three businesses -- Inspection and Heat Treating, which accounts for a little more than half of our revenues; Mechanical Services, which is about 35% of revenues; and Quest Integrity Group, which is about 10% of our revenues.

  • The Inspection and Heat Treating group, or IHT, continued its growth trend by increasing revenues in the second quarter by $25 million, a 23% increase over the prior-year second quarter. We achieved revenue growth across every IHT region with seven of the 11 regions experiencing double-digit growth. And more impressively, all IHT regions reported double-digit operating income percentages. Some of the contributing factors to this broad-based growth are pipeline projects in the Northeast region and Canada, new construction in capital projects in the Southeast and Gulf, large heat treating projects in the West and Canada, as well as broad-based turnaround and outage services across all regions.

  • We are excited about the outlook for IHT for the second half of the year. We have significant new and continuing customer projects scheduled across most of our regions. We are already benefiting from the development and launch of our wireless mobile smart rig in our heat treating services, and collaborative efforts are underway with Quest to broaden our high energy piping inspection and assessment capabilities which we expect to expand our addressable markets and continue to support our strong growth in advanced inspection services. We expect continued positive momentum in IHT.

  • Our Mechanical Services group had a 19% increase in revenues in the quarter, up $13.2 million versus the prior-year quarter. The growth was also broad-based across all regions and service offerings with five of eight mechanical service regions growing at double-digit rates and five of eight regions having double-digit operating income percentages.

  • Helping to fuel that growth were turnaround activities and various service line expansion initiatives. Turnaround activities were strong across most of our regions throughout the quarter. Other contributing factors are service line expansion initiatives in valve repair, field welding and project services. We are building both our personnel and fixed facilities to support our valve repair service offerings in several regions along with expanded capabilities in Europe associated with our recent acquisition in the UK.

  • Specialty field orbital welding services were enhanced and increased along the Gulf Coast to support the growing demand. Project Services, which is a centralized business unit within Mechanical Services, was established to coordinate and leverage Team's offering for larger turnarounds, shutdowns and projects. Those are just a few of the business building initiatives that are underway with the Mechanical Services business unit.

  • Looking ahead to the third quarter and beyond, we also have a number of exciting turnarounds and expansion projects scheduled across the entire network. We believe that our spring turnaround activity, our participation in new capital projects, as well as new run and maintain customers will help continue our growth in Mechanical Services throughout the remainder of the year.

  • Now let's talk about Quest. Quest Integrity generated $6.3 million in operating income on $22.5 million in revenue in the second quarter, representing 13% and 16% year-over-year growth in revenue and operating income respectively. The 28% operating profit for Quest in the quarter reflects the power of incremental revenues that we've described frequently to investors, and puts us on track to achieving our annual target of 20% operating income. Our pipeline sector activity, including both inspection and engineering assessment services, drove the quarter's strong performance domestically and abroad.

  • Looking at the full first half of our fiscal year, we see the impact of increased utilization in Quest Integrity's capacity and infrastructure investments that we made during fiscal 2014. The first half's revenue performance of $37 million represents a 13% increase over the prior year and, at $7.1 million in operating income, 48% growth over the prior year.

  • We currently see healthy momentum in virtually all business sectors as we move into the second half. Coupled with the commercial implications of several of Quest Integrity's new NDT tool initiatives which we are beginning to introduce the market with applications in the pipeline, process, and power markets, we remain comfortable with Quest Integrity's fiscal 2015 budget expectations of $80 million in revenue and $16 million in operating profit that we have disclosed previously to you.

  • To summarize, we are obviously off to a very good start for the first half of our year and we expect positive momentum into the second half of the year. Having said that, I caution our analysts not to simply extrapolate the first half of the year to the second half. Remember first that the third quarter is always very challenging for us. While we don't expect the severe weather events this year that we had last year, we still have to deal with the natural seasonal slowness and the resetting of significant benefit costs on January 1 of each year. With that in mind and based on our positive view of the spring turnaround season, we believe, though, that we are on track to achieving our $840 million revenue target and $2.00 in EPS target for fiscal 2015.

  • We can't conclude our prepared remarks, however, without addressing the question on everyone's mind. What is the impact of declining oil prices on our business? Believe me, we think about this a lot, and have our ears firmly to the ground and listening for signals from our customers of any changes in their maintenance or inspection behaviors.

  • At this point in time, we have seen no indication that lower commodity prices will significantly impact our business. If you think about that, this perspective on minimal impact makes sense. 90% of our revenues are associated with the installed base of mostly midstream and downstream energy facilities generally far removed from upstream production activities.

  • Demand for inspection and maintenance is a function of a population of operating facilities. As we often say, it's the population of high pressure, high temperature piping systems. If plants are running, our services are required for the safe and efficient operation of those facilities.

  • Even with respect to the 10% of our business that's associated with new construction activities, we don't expect much impact. Remember that the industrial expansion renaissance on the Gulf Coast is driven by the abundance of low cost shale gas and not directly related to oil commodity prices. Having said that, lower commodity prices should make us all cautious about the near to midterm outlook, even though we have seen no indications of changing behavior from our customers at this time.

  • So with that, let me now ask Phil to provide his perspective on our performance and outlook.

  • Phil Hawk - Executive Chairman

  • Thanks, Ted, and good morning everyone. I would like to share a few brief additional perspectives on our business.

  • Of, course I am also delighted with our strong record results that Team achieved in both the past quarter and year-to-date periods. Several aspects of this performance are noteworthy to me. I am impressed with the breadth of business growth that Team achieved. As Ted indicated, all business units and virtually all regions achieved double-digit growth rates. This breadth of growth was achieved despite the tailwinds of major projects and turnaround activities which would tend to concentrate growth in a few areas or regions.

  • I am also impressed with the nice margin improvement and nice improvement in job margins, reflecting very good job execution and the significant management attention on this critical profit lever. And I am impressed with the significant continued emphasis and focus on initiatives that will be the foundations for future growth and business development.

  • Ted mentioned several expansions of Team's service capabilities that have taken place recently. At the same time, Team continues its investment in and commitment to world-class quality and safety. In the past year, we have significantly expanded and refocused our quality initiatives. We believe that service excellence has been and will continue to be a significant competitive advantage for our company.

  • Looking ahead to the remainder of the year, as Ted indicated, there are many reasons to be optimistic, but with a measure of caution. I share that optimism.

  • And as a final comment, let me remind everyone that Team's business fundamentals continue to be extremely attractive. We serve a very large market with a very large number of customers. Our inspection and maintenance services are necessary to maintain the mechanical integrity of the operating plants and facilities in the segments we serve. Demand for our services does not track the business cycle, or even the profitability of our customers.

  • Procurement trends continue to favor the larger multi-service line, multi-location service providers such as Team. And despite Team's approximate 20-fold growth over the past 15 years, overall market share today is still considerably less than 20%. In other words, Team's success does not depend on growing markets or market tailwinds. The key to Team's continued success and business growth is to remain an outstanding service company in all respects. And I have no doubt that we will do so.

  • Ted, let me now turn it back to you.

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • Thank you Phil. And with that, let's now open up the line for questions from our analysts and investors.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions). Arnie Ursaner, CJS Securities.

  • Arnie Ursaner - Analyst

  • Good morning. It's rare to say congratulations on a great quarter, but you guys did it. Within your budget estimate, what percent of that is tied to project activity at this point?

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • Project activity in total is probably about half of our total revenues. Within Mechanical Services, it would be slightly less than half, but our IHT services, virtually all of heat treating revenues are associated with projects, and about half of our inspection services are associated with projects.

  • Arnie Ursaner - Analyst

  • And in your customer dialogue, you are not seeing timing shifts questions being raised about ongoing project at the or even a slowdown in this activity?

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • We are really not. And believe me, we've spent a lot of time talking about this and inquiring of our customers and probing with our regional vice presidents. We had our quarterly meeting with all of our vice presidents just a couple of weeks ago, and that, as you might expect, was the main topic of conversation at that meeting. We are just not seeing any shift, any significant shift. Clearly, there are some anecdotal examples of shifts and changes, but from a broad-based standpoint, we are not seeing any impact at this moment in time.

  • Arnie Ursaner - Analyst

  • Incredible. Thanks. A final question I have is on Quest. You're targeting roughly 20% growth but we are a little below that at this point. And you mentioned some new programs or other areas for growth. But maybe expand a little bit on why you're comfortable with the 20% growth target for the year.

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • I think -- one of those anecdotal areas where we have seen a bit of deferral is in the process side of Quest on the in-line inspection of some heater projects that indeed were deferred in the first half. Again, not a major impact on our business, but we are seeing those now being teed up for the second half of the year. So just based on the level of kind of projects that we expect for the second half of the year versus the first half of the year, the deferral of some heater projects from the first half that we believe are going to in fact occur in the second half of the year, we just feel pretty comfortable that we will be where we said we would be by the end of the fiscal year.

  • Arnie Ursaner - Analyst

  • Fantastic. We will see you next week at the conference.

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • Look forward to it, Arnie.

  • Operator

  • Matt Duncan, Stephens.

  • Will Gabrielski - Analyst

  • Good morning guys. This is Will all the call for Matt. I'm wondering. Based on your past experience, how long would it usually take into a down cycle for oil before you might start seeing some impact on your business?

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • In truth, I'm not sure we have a lot of past experience that's all that relevant. We clearly had a significant experience in the days of the deep recession, but as we all know, there's a lot of other things that were at play there that are not at play right now.

  • I think our caution is that -- this is our caution within our own organization, that while we are not seeing any impact on projects at this moment in time, it would not surprise us to start seeing some impact in maybe that six months removed or nine months removed or certainly as we get -- and I think it would depend upon how long this lower commodity price environment lasts. And so I don't think -- we don't have a good historical database, but certainly, again, as we look into the next fiscal year, we are cautious.

  • Phil Hawk - Executive Chairman

  • To just maybe add a comment to that, this is Phil, if you go back over the last 15 years, we have experienced a very wide range of oil prices, energy prices and some rapid changes up and down. I think that's a good historical base that supports the premises that there really is a decoupling of downstream activities -- is that we did not see, with the exception of the great recession, which wasn't really related to energy prices but was related to a broad industry or a global contagion or financial system contagion, really, more than energy prices. So I think the fundamentals are pretty sound. It gets back to the operations of facilities that we serve.

  • I think Ted's caution, though, is right on, is that when you have major shifts and changes, does it scare people? Does it disrupt I'm going to say what would be prudent normal practices in the near term? I think that's where our caution is.

  • Will Gabrielski - Analyst

  • That's very helpful, appreciate it. Next one from me, on the pricing front, if you were starting to see any price, has this drop put a damper on any of that wage inflation you are starting to see, and can you comment on --?

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • Yes, I think we have always said we had expected significant wage price or wage cost pressures over the next year because of the tightening labor market. I think that dynamic may change a little bit now as we look forward because clearly,. on the upstream side, there are several announced layoffs or the tightness in labor from an upstream perspective won't be a significant as it might have been, and that will create, we think, more availability in the labor market as we look out over the course of the next year. So, I would say that we no longer expect the kind of wage cost increases broadly over the next year that we might have expected in our last quarter's call.

  • Will Gabrielski - Analyst

  • Very helpful. And the last one from me, I think you guys had a small acquisition that started to contribute to the business. I'm wondering how much that added to sales and any impact on EPS this quarter?

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • Very insignificant. That was a very small business that we acquired in the UK. Its annual revenues are about $10 million. It's very, very significant and we are very excited about it to support and expand our UK presence, particularly in machining and valve repair, but from a financial standpoint, to the overall enterprise, it's pretty insignificant.

  • Will Gabrielski - Analyst

  • Great, thanks a lot guys. Great quarter.

  • Operator

  • Adam Thalhimer, BB&T Capital Markets.

  • Adam Thalhimer - Analyst

  • Good morning guys. Nice quarter. And Greg, welcome to Team. Look forward to working with you.

  • Greg Boane - SVP, CFO, Treasurer

  • Thank you, same here.

  • Adam Thalhimer - Analyst

  • You had some bullish comments about the spring turnaround season, Ted. Can you compare that for us a little bit to what you experienced in the fall?

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • I would say, at this moment in time, we think the spring is going to look a lot like the fall for us. We had some really nice projects in the fall. We have some really nice projects that are lined up in the spring, and so we are optimistic. In all of our business units, activity levels look to be, continue to be very strong throughout the balance of the year, again in the absence of any dramatic shifts that we haven't seen yet.

  • Adam Thalhimer - Analyst

  • In terms of those shifts, one place you would -- I would think you might start to see it is up in Canada. Can you maybe talk a little bit specifically --

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • I think that is absolutely true. And that will be the first place that we would probably see it because, particularly in Western Canada, our business is more tied to upstream activities for the upgrader facilities, if you will.

  • But what is different now, remember that our Canadian business is significantly smaller, if you will, than it was three years ago. And what is different, particularly on the mechanical side, is that our business three years ago was largely associated with project activity, so the new upgraders coming out of the ground three years ago. Today, there's a huge shift in that. It's now a maintenance focus. Much more of our Canadian revenues are associated with install base, if you will, as opposed to new construction activities. So I think we are while not insulated from shifts in patterns, clearly we are not as dependent upon new construction activities in the oil sands as we might have been three years ago.

  • Adam Thalhimer - Analyst

  • Okay. And then real quick, the last one for I guess Phil. My quest to find one metric that perfectly forecasts your business. One thing you had said was hey, look, utilization is really high, which it is. I think refinery utilization is as high as it's been since 2007. Is that a better predictor of your business than customer profitability/crackspreads?

  • Phil Hawk - Executive Chairman

  • I think in some respects it might be. it might be coincident with that. We just have never found any kind of -- I guess the major theme that we would have is there's just broad stability of demand, and therefore let's go get it and earn a bigger piece of that rather than being able to track growth or declines -- changes in demand based on really any operating metric.

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • I'll just follow up on that and say though that certainly higher utilization of a facility would suggest more maintenance and inspection activities. But remember, Adam, that refining is only -- while it's very, very significant, it's only about 40% of our total revenues. So looking at a utilization factor of a segment that's 40% of revenues is not necessarily going to give you a good metric of our overall business.

  • Adam Thalhimer - Analyst

  • Okay. Thanks guys.

  • Operator

  • Tahira Afzal, KeyBanc.

  • Tahira Afzal - Analyst

  • Hi folks. Congrats, a great quarter. If you look at where you are tracking on your internal budget around this time of the year, did you expect to be where you are in terms of earnings or what are the moving parts, the positive and negative?

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • I think there's always moving parts that are positive and negative. But again, I will tell you that we are delighted with where we are, but where we are is where we expected to be. We are on track to achieving our annual targets.

  • Again, my caution is don't extrapolate the first half and just kind of double it and say because we are at $1.12, that means we ought to be at $2.24, because the third quarter is tough, as you know. Historically, that's the tough quarter for us. We have basically 13 weeks of cost and 11 weeks of revenue if you think about it that way. So it makes it -- it's just tough to get through the third quarter. But so the answer is, yes, we are kind of right where we thought we would be.

  • Tahira Afzal - Analyst

  • Got it, okay. And I think -- thanks for the word of caution around the third quarter to keep everyone in check. I guess, if I look at, you know, as you said and I think you're right, the framing the future as -- the visibility is cautious even if you're not seeing it right now. But you are seeing expansion in your valve repair business through market share gains, where you're gaining traction. I know on the pipeline integrity side, you gained some visibility through your technology. And with costs coming down, let's say the revenue line does come under pressure in the next fiscal year. Do you feel, post the structure changes you've made and the better clarity you have on your costs, that on the margin side you can at least maintain margins to a greater degree and to, you know, whatever is ahead?

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • I think the answer is yes, I think that we can. And I think if you look back on our history where we have gone through dips even in the great recession, our revenues were down 9%. And looking back on it, it seems like we performed pretty well during that time.

  • So what's great about our business, again, is it's the broad base of it. We have a very broad network, very broad end markets that we serve. We are not just tied to refining or not just tied to turnarounds. It's very, very broad-based. We've gotten a little humble in the last couple of years, as we should, because as we've said many times in 2013 and 2014, we got a little ahead of ourselves. So we haven't forgotten that, I will tell you. So, even as we are expecting growth, we are cautious.

  • And I think what I am, again, more proud of than anything about the quarter and the year-to-date is the execution and the resource balancing and just the focus on quality and execution. And man, when we do that, that's when our -- we kind of have an earnings engine that's associated with execution and quality. So even if we slow down our growth a little bit, that doesn't make me any less optimistic about how Team is going to perform.

  • Tahira Afzal - Analyst

  • Got it, okay. Thank you very much and congrats.

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • Thanks.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions). Edward Marshall, Sidoti and Company.

  • Edward Marshall - Analyst

  • Good morning guys. So, I wanted to clarify for just a second because we were talking about higher utilization rate at refineries. And I would assume -- I've always been under the assumption that you would kind of wag refinery utilization, and maybe it wouldn't be necessarily coincidental, which I guess would imply maybe stronger performance on the go-forward. Is that appropriate?

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • I don't think so. Again, it's a little hard to know. Remember -- let's just talk about refining for a second in terms of our services that we offer to refiners. We offer both onstream services when plants are under pressure and running, and we offer turnaround services. And there's always lots of discussion internally and in our industry. Does running harder mean more maintenance or does it mean -- wider crackspreads mean you defer maintenance because you want to keep running? We just don't see -- we can't see the granularity of any of that. Our customers are sophisticated customers who maintain their plants for safe and efficient operations. And we just haven't been able to see any correlation, frankly, between levels of utilization, certainly within a range. Now, if you shut down a plant and if you're not going to run, then that matters a lot.

  • Edward Marshall - Analyst

  • I guess that was my point. Technically a turnaround suggests that utilization rates would be lower if you are shutting the plant down.

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • Only during the turnaround. But turnaround is a normal -- that's kind of part of the operations of a facility. You have to bring them down periodically for a turnaround.

  • Edward Marshall - Analyst

  • Sure. Okay, so spreads look okay. Utilization rates are high. You have a good outlook for the spring. And I'm just kind of curious, and I think I know what you'll say. But why not raise guidance or rather budget targets for the year as we kind of progress? Is it a sense of just being conservative? It's not a budget -- it's a budget, it's not guidance? How are you looking at kind of --?

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • Again, we've been that route before. And look back to 2013. We high-fived ourselves at the midway point and raised guidance and then we had to lower it about three times.

  • And so again, the point is when we look at where we are internally, we think we are on track. We know that the third quarter will be more difficult, if you will, than the first quarter was if you are kind of doing the natural comparison of first-third quarter versus second and fourth. I think second and fourth quarter looks probably -- just from an activity standpoint, we think it's going to be strong. Whether that's $0.80 or $0.82 or $0.78 I couldn't tell you. But the point is I think we believe we are simply on track.

  • $2.00, by the way, is a really good target. Achieving $2.00, we will be doing some high-fives around our table because we think that's a very strong performance. It is a 30% improvement. So could we do better than that? Yes, if everything goes well. But with the caution in the environment that we have and the fact that we are heading into that difficult third quarter, I think it would just not be prudent to raise expectations.

  • Edward Marshall - Analyst

  • So are you basically saying you're not quite sure exactly what the third quarter is going to look like at this point?

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • Of course we are not. We are never quite sure when we begin a quarter what it's going to look like. Timing of projects matter. Timing can shift. We know what the cost structure is going to look like because we have a resetting of benefit cost. We know that the first -- or there's about a two- or three-week period in between the week before Christmas to this week, if you will, where activity levels are very, very low because plants aren't working right. And so projects start resuming. In fact, we have some turnarounds that are beginning even this week. So from an activity standpoint into the third quarter, we feel pretty good about the third quarter. But again, we're just cautious. We know that it's tough.

  • Edward Marshall - Analyst

  • Shifting gears for just a second, I look at maybe the cost side, and I guess you've been striving for some time to get price in line with your labor costs. And I know, with labor revisions in the industry, I would assume that maybe labor costs are coming down. I think you kind of alluded to that earlier. In the event that maybe it lags a little bit, I'm wondering if you've got pricing in place so that you're actually going to see a margin improvement as your costs come down, and just kind of walk me through how that might happen.

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • First of all, I think it would be not the right way to look at it to think our costs are going to come down. I think what we are saying is we don't expect them to go up as much as we previously thought that they would, because this tightness in the labor market won't be quite as severe as we had thought. So it isn't that costs are coming down. It's just they are not escalating as rapidly as we thought they might.

  • From a pricing standpoint, I think we have achieved some success in getting better pricing from our customers. But again, we are also now starting to, at least anecdotally, feel some pressures from some customers that, because the world has changed a little bit, that are putting pressure on prices. So we feel pretty good about where we are from a margin standpoint. We have had margin expansion because of execution. Our guys have just done a great job in just managing all of the levers from a cost standpoint, labor standpoint, utilization. And because of that, we have achieved margin expansion already. So we feel pretty good about where we are there.

  • Edward Marshall - Analyst

  • I guess the last one, when I look at -- when we talk about margin, I guess we can kind of address this question now too. You look kind of year-over-year on second quarter to second quarter, there wasn't much movement at all. I just want to kind of understand what's going on. I think you were having some changes in the MS division, and it looks like that margin actually stayed relatively flat. I'm just kind of curious. Have we hit that yet or have we seen those cost improvements yet or --?

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • You're talking specifically about the Mechanical Service group --

  • Edward Marshall - Analyst

  • Right.

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • -- as opposed to the entire business. As we have said, there is a process going on within Mechanical Services that we are delighted with. We had some quality issues a year ago that have been addressed. We've made some kind of personnel changes within that group, and I think you are now starting to see in Q2 the benefit of that. 19% overall topline growth is kind of the evidence of that. So while our cost -- our margin expansion on that growth isn't quite where Pete's is going to take it, I assure you we are off to a good start. We feel pretty good about where we are.

  • Edward Marshall - Analyst

  • Okay, thanks guys.

  • Phil Hawk - Executive Chairman

  • This is Phil. Just one more kind of little perspective about kind of margins and all of that is we have a simple business but it's also complex in its diversity and variety. We do about 150,000 jobs a year. So just kind of getting all of the timing and balance of all of those activities and kind of branch by branch we feel where our resources are is a continuing journey. And sometimes we are a little out of balance and sometimes we are a little ahead of it and benefiting from that. So I think I wouldn't get too excited about kind of differences kind of in short time frames. But I think the point Ted made, I completely agree with you. It's just the amount of focus the organization has on those fundamentals and kind of keeping -- we are seeing the benefit of that overall and we expect to continue to see that rate.

  • Edward Marshall - Analyst

  • Okay. Thanks guys.

  • Operator

  • With no further questions at this time, I would now like to turn the call back over to Mr. Ted Owen for any closing remarks.

  • Ted Owen - CEO, President

  • Thank you. I want to end today's call by speaking directly to our more than 4,400 Team colleagues. As we have said many times, we are the product of more than 150,000 service opportunities a year, as Phil just mentioned. Our success depends upon outstanding service execution by all of our colleagues all of the time. And we've certainly done that in the second quarter. And I want to thank all of you, our technicians, our operation supervisors and managers, our account representatives, our branch managers, our support personnel, and all our vice presidents and leadership team that make that happen every day. Let's keep it going in the second half of the year.

  • And thanks to all of our investors and analysts for your participation in this quarter's call and for your interest in Team. We look forward to talking with you again after our third-quarter call in early April. Have a good day.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation in today's conference. This concludes the presentation. You may now disconnect. Good day.