TreeHouse Foods Inc (THS) 2007 Q2 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good afternoon and welcome to the TreeHouse Foods investor relation's conference call for the second quarter of 2007.

  • This conference call may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements include all statements that do not relate solely to historical or current facts, and can generally be identified by the use of words such as may, should, could, expects, seeks to, anticipates, plans, believes, estimates, intends, predicts, projects, potential or continue of the negative of such terms and other comparable terminology. These statements are only predictions. The outcome of the events described in these forward-looking statements is subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the Company or its industry's actual results, levels of activity, performance, or achievement to be materially different from any future results, levels of activities, performance, or achievements expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. TreeHouse's Form 10-K for the period ending December 31, 2006, discusses some of the factors that could contribute to these differences.

  • You are cautioned not to unduly rely on such forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date made when evaluating the information presented in this presentation.

  • The Company expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to disseminate any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any changes and its expectations with regard thereto, or any other changes and events, conditions, or circumstances on which any statement is based.

  • This call is being recorded.

  • At this time, I would like to turn the call over to the CEO of TreeHouse Foods, Mr. Sam, K. Reed. Please go ahead sir.

  • Sam Reed - CEO

  • Thank you [Sherla]. Good afternoon and welcome once again to our TreeHouse. David Vermylen, Dennis Riordan, and I welcome the opportunity again to report on the great progress our Company has made since we last spoke to you in May.

  • The past 100 days have witnessed an extraordinary burst of energy and growth at TreeHouse, resulting in further expansion and new opportunity at our young Company. We have combined strategic insight, market knowledge, and a gritty determination to fix much of what was broken in our legacy business while simultaneously expanding that base to new horizons.

  • In doing so we have adapted to a harsh environment of input cost inflation and evolved into a more capable and resilient basis -- business. Our progress can be best measured along three dimensions -- operational, strategic, and financial.

  • Operationally we have undertaken an urgent and comprehensive round of price increases to offset commodity and energy cost inflation. This program will generate annualized increases of $67 million, equal to 6% of our revenues.

  • Concurrently, we have eliminated the risk of further input cost inflation by covering 98% of our purchase requirements, excluding cucumber and pepper crops, with forward purchase contracts.

  • Further, we have raised the bar on productivity gains and cost reductions by 50% over our original plan.

  • We have seen the early returns of these margin preservation measures in second quarter's results, which reflect an 80-basis points in improvement in AGM, adjusted gross margin, over the Q1 run rate.

  • Financially, we have matched the high end of our second quarter earnings range and reaffirmed our original EPS guidance for the full year. The most fundamental measure of operating performance, adjusted EBITDA, increased 17% in the first half of the year.

  • The mid-point of our full-year guidance requires a 19% run rate, excluding new acquisitions through December. I'm highly confident of our ability to achieve this growth and in doing so resurrect our core business and obliterate the stigma of past disappointments.

  • Strategically, we have hit an exacta in acquiring San Antonio Farms and E.D. Smith. Salsa and Mexican Salsas are the first truly organic growth story for TreeHouse. All of the essential elements are there on trim category and demographics, healthy food made with fresh ingredients, premium quality and margins to match, operational fit with Bay Valley Foods' product portfolio and supply chain. As a bonus, San Antonio Farm's organization is fully capable of becoming the cornerstone of a much larger Mexican and southwestern foods business.

  • To the north E.D. Smith opens access to both new geography and new product categories. EDS is a renowned name in the world of private label, where its reputation sets the standard in strategic alignment and cooperation with grocery customers. We will greatly -- we will benefit greatly on both sides of the border from EDS, not only in opening markets but also in trade craft and prestige.

  • Pourable salad represents a new frontier for TreeHouse. Salads have moved from side dish to center of the plate in healthy diets. Unlike their commodity-oriented counterpart, mayonnaise and other spoonable dressings, pourables reward creativity and innovation versus mass production. They also provide access to the heavily shopped perimeter of grocery stores and entre to trend setting chains in food service channels.

  • Like salsa, salad dressings will also open a new vista of growth opportunity for TreeHouse. In turn, both of these new businesses will benefit from the scope and scale of the Bay Valley supply chain.

  • In combination with the smaller Degraffenreid and Santa Fe Ingredients transactions, I expect that these newly acquired businesses will account for 20% to 25% of our operating cash flow once fully integrated.

  • In summary, I know that a quarter does not a year make. But as quarters come and go I also know that we will one day look back on the second quarter of 2007, as that pivotal juncture when TreeHouse hit the path to operational, financial, and strategic progress in full stride.

  • David.

  • David Vermylen - President and COO

  • Thank you Sam. As you might imagine, this was a very busy quarter for us with the closing of three transactions and our pending purchase of E.D. Smith. But before I comment on the acquisitions, I'd like to review the excellent progress we've made on the legacy business.

  • Despite significant cost headwinds, Joe Coning and his Bay Valley team not only offset those increases with productivity improvements and pricing, but also have us well positioned for a solid second half.

  • I will focus on our top line performance, our overall improvement in gross margins, and progress on our pricing plans to offset input cost increases. Later, Dennis will provide additional color on adjusted gross margins and operating expenses.

  • As I mentioned on our Q1 conference call, we have been facing unprecedented input cost inflation that severely affected our margins in Q1 prior to our price increases taking hold in the second quarter. In the second quarter, input costs were up over $9 million versus last year with soya bean oil, sweeteners, vinegar, and dairy products all showing year-over-year increases well north of 20%.

  • Our price increases began to take hold in the second quarter, especially on non-dairy creamer where pricing was in effect for the full quarter.

  • Retail pickle pricing was in effect as we exited the second quarter, and soup pricing will be fully in effect in the third quarter.

  • Every Monday we review where we are on pricing by product, channel, and key customer. We are on track to hit our pricing targets and the success of our pricing plan is a key driver in our positive driver outlook for the rest of the year.

  • On our last call I mentioned that if the ethanol, biofuel, and dairy complex problems continue to drive commodity driving, we will not hesitate to take additional cost justified pricing. We are doing that on non-dairy creamer and we are in a solid price to cost position as we head into the second half of the year.

  • I'll now turn to the top line. Net revenue for the quarter was up 10.3% due to having the soup and infant feeding business for the full quarter. Excluding soup and infant feeding, and 2007 acquisitions, revenues fell about 1%. Non-dairy creamer sales were up 8% driven by gains in both volume and pricing.

  • Pickle sales were down 4% with pricing only beginning to roll in very late in the quarter. All of the pickle decline was in branded retail, which we continue to deemphasize. Private label and food service revenue was equal to last year.

  • Soup and infant feeding revenues increased 44% due to having a full quarter of sales, with volumes up 12% on a comparative basis. While our gross margin of 20.9% was flat to last year, you might recall that in the first quarter we were 330-basis points below the prior year.

  • Our margins will continue to improve over the year-to-date running rate due to pricing and mix improvements. Of our total pricing in 2007, over 75% of the year-over-year revenue impact will be realized in the third and fourth quarters.

  • As we move into late Q3 and Q4, our product mix shifts to higher margin soup and non-dairy creamer.

  • I'd now like to turn to our acquisitions. First, I'd like to reemphasize our acquisition objectives. First, participate in the growth of private label and food service markets by buying and integrating private label and food service companies, creating competitively advantaged scale and highly fragmented markets. Second, focus on large categories where we can develop a significant presence and be important to the customer. And third, link the categories via a common supply chain and go-to-market strategy utilizing technologies and selling approaches that support our goal of being the best in class supplier of choice.

  • The acquisition of San Antonio Farms and E.D. Smith are perfectly consistent with those three acquisition objectives. Let me touch briefly on San Antonio Farms and then move onto the strategic rationale for our acquisition of E.D. Smith.

  • We closed our acquisition of San Antonio Farms salsa business on May 31, and our goal is to be fully integrated early in the fourth quarter. Salsa's very large category and San Antonio Farms is recognized for its superior quality. But the company lacked the sales resources and distribution system to compete throughout the country. Bay Valley has those sales resources and distribution system.

  • In advance of the integration, we are already seeing the benefits of leveraging Bay Valley's food service and retail account penetration. We have already closed on a significant piece of food service salsa business and have had tremendous response from numerous other Bay Valley food service customers.

  • At retail, numerous customers are reaching out to us given we will be able to integrate this high quality product into our supply chain, which will make it far more attractive to the retailer. There is no doubt in my mind that we will be able to continue San Antonio Farms' 15% historical growth rate and double this business in a few years.

  • Now I'd like to turn to the $300 million Canadian E.D. Smith business and summarize the strategic opportunity.

  • First, in the U.S. where EDS does 40% of its business, it adds a fourth $100 million business to our U.S. retail dry grocery portfolio -- salad dressing. Salad dressings are a large growing category associated with healthy easting. Almost all of E.D. Smith's U.S. business is salad dressing and almost all of the salad dressing is pourable dressings, not spoonable dressing such as mayonnaise. E.D. Smith is a private label salad dressings market leader in the U.S with an estimated 60% plus share, and is recognized as a private label category innovator. Our focus in the U.S. will be on pourable dressings. We want to be the best, most innovative private label dressings company in the U.S.

  • Second, in Canada, where EDS does 60% of its business, it is the private label leader in nine categories and has outstanding relationships with all key retailers.

  • We will continue to build that business and add Bay Valley's U.S. categories to E.D. Smith's product portfolio, thus leveraging their account penetration with key customers such Lovelow and SoBe. Currently, Bay Valley does very little business in Canada and E.D. Smith will open doors for us.

  • Third, E.D. Smith has a very solid food service business in Canada but no presence in the U.S. Its specialty sauces food service portfolio is a perfect fit with Bay Valley's pickle, cheese sauce, and salsa business.

  • Fourth, beyond the revenue synergies, we see significant cost synergies across the entire supply chain as well as within SG&A.

  • While the transaction won't likely close until early in the fourth quarter, we are already working on an integration plan with the E.D. Smith management team. The majority of the integration activity will take place in 2008. As for the remainder of 2007, we want Bay Valley to stay focused on the integration of San Antonio Farms and on the all important soup and non-dairy creamer season.

  • I'll now turn it over to Dennis.

  • Dennis Riordan - SVP and CFO

  • Thank you David. As David mentioned, we were pleased to see the second quarter begin to rebound from the margin erosion we experienced in the first quarter and that the improvement took place in all of our key categories.

  • Sales in the quarter increased 10.3%, due to having the soup and infant feeding business for a full quarter, compared to about just over two months last year and one month of salsa revenues.

  • Excluding acquisitions, legacy revenues decreased about 1%.

  • Pickle sales were down 4.1% from last year, driven by lower retail branded sales. We continue to be negatively affected by the lack of brand advertising in this segment and, as a result, retail distribution has been predicated primarily by low prices.

  • Our pricing programs, however, began to take effect late in the quarter contributing about 1.1% in incremental revenue.

  • Non-dairy creamer revenues were very strong in the quarter growing 8% compared to last year. Volumes were up 3.3% and pricing contributed an additional 4.7 percentage points.

  • Soup and infant feeding revenues increased 43.6%, due to having a full quarter of sales compared to a partial quarter last year. On a comparative basis, volumes were up 11.5%, while pricing had an only marginal effect on revenues. The bulk of our new pricing will not be realized until the peak shipping season takes place in the fourth quarter.

  • Other product sales include refrigerated products, aseptic cheeses and puddings, and most recently, salsa and Mexican sauces. Revenues from these other products increased by 14.5% due almost entirely to the incremental sales from the addition of San Antonio Farms effective on May 31, 2007.

  • Our reported gross margins of 20.9% were flat to last year, but most importantly they were a significant improvement compared to the first quarter where the margins were down 330-basis points from the prior year's first quarter.

  • The sharp turnaround in the sequential quarterly AGM is due to the pricing actions we put in place along with cost savings programs at our soup plants.

  • As I discuss the key product category margins, please keep in mind that we analyze our segment margins by looking at gross profit, less commissions and freight expenses on customer shipments. And we refer to this variable contribution measure as adjusted gross margins or AGM.

  • Pickle AGMs have at least stabilized growing slightly by 10-basis points in the quarter to 11.2% from last quarter's 11.1%. We still trail well behind last year's second quarter AGM of 13.1%, as very little pricing has been realized in this category and volumes have decreased causing higher levels of under absorbed factory overhead.

  • Non-dairy creamer AGMs improved to 19.4% from 18.5% last year, as pricing actions offset much higher input costs. These input cost increases included a 21% increase in corn syrup and sweeteners and 26% increase in soybean oil.

  • Soup and infant feeding AGMs also improved very nicely finishing the quarter at 15.8% compared to 10.2% last year. Last year was negatively affected by inventory revaluations related to the acquisition of the business. But the AGM still reflected an improvement over the first quarter margins of 15.1%.

  • Our operating expenses totaled $34.5 million in the quarter, which was flat to the prior year.

  • SG&A expense, excluding stock option expenses, were $30.5 million or 11.9% of net sales in the second quarter of 2007, compared to $28.2 million or 12.2% of net sales last year.

  • The quarter-over-quarter improvement was replicated on a six-month comparison as well. Again, SG&A costs year-to-date, excluding stock options, were 12% of net sales this year compared to 12.9% last year. We will continue to focus on driving our costs down as a percent of net sales over the balance of the year.

  • Interest expense in the quarter was $4 million, compared to $3.3 million last year as the prior year had only a partial quarter of debt associated with the purchase of soup and infant feeding. This year's second quarter also included one month of interest expense associated with debt used to purchase San Antonio Farms on May 31.

  • Our effective tax rate for the quarter was 38.2%, down slightly from the 38.8% rate last year and the year-to-date rate of 38.5%.

  • Overall, net income finished at $9.4 million or $0.30 per diluted share, compared to $0.21 per share last year.

  • Excluding unusual items, such as a gain on the sale of a closed plant this year and plant closure and purchase accounting adjustments in 2006, the operating earnings per share would have been $0.29 per share this year compared to $0.25 per share last year.

  • The adjusted earnings per share in the quarter were at the high side of the $0.27 to $0.29 range we discussed during our first quarter earnings call.

  • I will now discuss the outlook for the remainder of the year. First, I want to focus on the third quarter. We have seen the initial results of our pricing programs and internal cost savings initiatives, but most of the benefits will not be realized until the fourth quarter during the peak shipping season for both soup and non-dairy coffee creamers.

  • As a result, we will see improvement in the third quarter margins due to a favorable mix of product sales and the benefits of some pricing actions. But the year-over-year improvement in the third quarter will be on par with the second quarter improvement.

  • As such, we expect a third quarter earnings per share, before acquisitions, to be in the range of $0.29 to $0.32 per share compared to last year's adjusted EPS of $0.24 a share. This represents an increase of about 20% to 30%.

  • For the 2007 full-year estimate, based on meeting the goals we outlined in the second quarter and the progress we have made in securing pricing for the fourth quarter shipping season of soup and powders, we are reaffirming our full-year guidance for operating earnings of $1.29 to $1.34 per fully diluted share before considering the effects of recent acquisitions.

  • With respect to the recent acquisitions, we expect San Antonio Farms will contribute approximately $0.05 per share in accretive earnings on an annual basis. However, due to the timing of the acquisition and one-time integration and purchase accounting adjustments, we expect the transaction to be slightly dilutive in 2007.

  • For E.D. Smith, we are assuming that the transaction closes early in our fourth quarter, and therefore we have only about three months of their results in our consolidated figures for '07. We expect that E.D. Smith will contribute approximately $0.07 in annualized operating profit, where the operating contribution in 2007 will be approximately $0.01.

  • These amounts will be offset by estimated integration and purchase accounting adjustments of approximately $0.07 in 2007 and $0.02 in 2008. This will result in an anticipated dilution in 2007, but will be accretive in 2008.

  • These estimates are not affected by the recent Canadian tax law changes that will result in all Canadian income trusts recording the cumulative effect of future taxes as an adjustment to deferred taxes and equity in the third quarter ended June 30, 2007, even though the tax law's not effective until 2011. Those adjustments are non-cash items that only affect the balance sheet.

  • Also, please keep in mind that the closing date of the E.D. Smith transaction is still subject to a shareholder vote and the approval of regulatory filings. In addition, the settlement of certain tax matters related to the E.D. Smith income trust could affect the closing date.

  • Our guidance is based on having E.D. Smith consolidated for all of the fourth quarter of 2007, so these estimates may need to be adjusted in your operating models depending on the actual closing date.

  • Due to the small sizes of the Santa Fe Ingredients investment and the Degraffenreid Pickle acquisition we expect that those transaction will be neutral to 2007 earnings.

  • After considering the effects of these acquisitions in 2007, and subject to the timing of the closing of the E.D. Smith transaction, we expect that our 2007 operating EPS forecast of $1.29 to $1.34 will be reduced by approximately $0.07. This results in full-year net earnings per share in the range of $1.22 to $1.27 per fully diluted share.

  • Sam, I'll now turn it back to you.

  • Sam Reed - CEO

  • Thanks Dennis. We recently celebrated the second anniversary of TreeHouse as a public company. Much has been accomplished since our spin-off from Dean Foods. The Company has doubled in size to $1.4 billion in annualized revenues. We have employed almost -- we have deployed almost $700 million in debt capital to acquire strategically valuable product categories with leading market positions.

  • New management, dedicated to the fulfillment of our strategic vision, has replaced the old guard in Green Bay.

  • Pickles have declined to one half their original share of our revenues.

  • By year-end, operating cash flow, our primary measure of operating performance, will have increased 73%. That's our mid-2005 inception as a public company.

  • Despite these many accomplishments, our celebration was a muted one given the market's reaction to our recent performance and newest acquisitions. As always, performance will have to speak for itself. Based on the last 100 days work, I expect that we will deliver that message loud and clear.

  • However, our acquisitions strategy may bear repeating to ensure that our strategic intentions and rationale are crystal clear. Earlier on this call, David summarized the logic of our growth strategy. We are riding a wave of industry consolidation, deploying capital to create scale, electing attractive category and channel opportunities, and lastly, aligning a diverse portfolio via a common supply chain and go-to-market strategy.

  • This approach, when coupled with superior execution and customer insight, will generate a sustainable premium with the one supplier who best meets the needs of its private label grocery and food service customers. That supplier in shelf stable dry grocery is TreeHouse Foods.

  • After two years, we are halfway to the $2 billion goal established upon our spin-off from Dean. We believe that the strategy has been validated by our consistent pattern of strategically sound growth acquired at financially prudent multiples. Further, we see a clear path, regardless of capital market conditions, to reach that $2 billion goal in the near future.

  • We have ample debt capacity and the end of the pick toggle era will also again -- will once again favor strategic buyers.

  • The addition of soup, salsa, and salad dressing has greatly strengthened the TreeHouse portfolio. Growth, margin, and customer opportunity are the common themes of this expansion.

  • As we continue to acquire assets, the time will also come to prune our portfolio of non-productive assets. It's an axiom in the private label and food service industry that, unlike a branded CPG marketer, you can't sell everything to everybody. It's also a truism that in acquiring new platforms you have to take the wheat with the shaft. Unlike acquisitions, portfolio pruning is largely a gradual process occurring over extended time.

  • Just as we add the strong, we must also win over the weak to construct a larger, better TreeHouse.

  • I hope this summary furthers your understanding of our principal TreeHouse growth strategy. It should also provide context for the San Antonio Farms and E.D. Smith deals and their strategic comparative to our Company.

  • Sherla, we'll now take questions and comments.

  • Operator

  • (OPERATOR INSTRUCTIONS.) Andrew Lazar, Lehman Brothers.

  • Andrew Lazar - Analyst

  • Good evening everyone. Thanks for bringing us through, again, the acquisition criteria and some of your thoughts and more detail on the more recent acquisitions. And I certainly understand the aspect of sort of scale and a consolidation play and where some of the opportunities of the most recent, let's say, announcement E.D. Smith play out.

  • I guess the one thing I'd love if you could address a little bit more fully though, and I know you're -- you do a lot of detailed work and are students of the various different categories that are open to you in private label and the different sort of structures that all of them bring, some, as you mentioned, are a lot more fragmented than others, some also bring a lot more complexity with them whether it's in terms of different recipes and different regions and offer, frankly, a lot low lower barriers to entry than some others.

  • And I guess it would seem that maybe some of the more challenging aspects of the recent announcement would be lower barriers to entry relative to things like soup or non-dairy creamer where you've got pretty hefty share of that private label piece.

  • So I was hoping maybe you could address that a little bit more fully and give me a sense why that does not seem like more of a risk to you than maybe some of your previous ones.

  • David Vermylen - President and COO

  • Andrew, this is David. That's a very good question and I think with E.D. Smith I'll focus on the key business that -- the key business opportunity that we see in the U.S. which is really salad dressing.

  • I mean E.D. Smith, while it has the market leadership -- private label market leadership position in nine categories in Canada, we do not -- and they have very strong positions in Canada but at this point in time we do not see ourselves bringing those businesses down into the U.S. and trying to start syrup businesses and some of the other businesses down here because admittedly the barriers to entry are low there and they are -- they can be complex because of different flavor preferences.

  • The key for us with salad dressing is that the two businesses that E.D. Smith acquired a few years ago, North Coast Processing which was a mid-sized private label salad dressing business in the U.S., North Coast was -- had an outstanding relationship with customers bringing national brand equivalent products with a very low cost manufacturing platform.

  • E.D. Smith then acquired Seaforth Creamery, a Canadian salad dressing business, which is recognized in the U.S. and Canada for high quality innovation and sophistication. Many of the other people who are in the salad dressing market participate in many different wet process categories. Our wet process focus in the U.S. is going to be on salad dressings and building on the innovation expertise that E.D. Smith has demonstrated.

  • So we're not looking to expand in the U.S. a lot of the categories that E.D. Smith participates in north of the border, but to really leverage the low cost manufacturing position that they have in salad dressing and the innovation capabilities that they have demonstrated.

  • Combining that with our, I believe, superior go-go-market strategy that we've been able to develop the last couple of years following our acquisition of the soup and infant feeding business, we really think through our supply chain, or marketing expertise, and the assets that we have acquired with E.D. Smith, we really will have -- create a barrier to entry in salad dressings which will be our key focus area.

  • Andrew Lazar - Analyst

  • That's really helpful. I appreciate it. One quick follow up. In the area where you got most of your pricing in the quarter, in the non-dairy creamer side, it didn't seem to have a real negative implication around volume. The sales growth, as you talked about, was pretty well balanced. Is your expectation that as pricing flows through more fully in some of the other areas, obviously soup and pickles in the third quarter, that sort of the volume reaction or elasticity has the potential to be somewhat similar to what you saw in non-dairy creamer or might it be somewhat different?

  • David Vermylen - President and COO

  • You know, it's very difficult to know. All we know is that the level of -- that the pricing increases that we are taking and what we are seeing throughout the food industry in the U.S., the days of 0% to 1% food inflation are disappearing rapidly. And I think this year -- there was a quote from a -- I can't remember the gentleman's name at the Department of Labor statistics a week or two ago, he quoted a number of 8% current running rate on food inflation in the U.S.

  • So I think, Andrew, we are seeing it across the board. Anecdotally what's -- as we went forward with our pricing, what -- and we did a very professional job fact-based selling, explaining the commodity impact on nondairy creamer and everything else, what we've really found is very little resistance because I think they are -- the retailers and the food service customers are seeing it across the board. I'm not sure if the consumer has fully felt it yet but the retailer is seeing it and accepting it.

  • Andrew Lazar - Analyst

  • Right, thanks very much.

  • Operator

  • (OPERATOR INSTRUCTIONS.) Jon Feeney, Wachovia.

  • Jon Feeney - Analyst

  • Good afternoon guys. I guess I just wanted to ask about a big part of what you guys have done so far and continue to do is look for good -- great little tuck ins to expand your presence. And I guess all over the headlines recently has been a lot of negativity impact on stock prices about the -- regarding the decline of private equity's ability to finance very expensive transactions with a lot of debt.

  • And I guess I just wonder strategically, could it possibly help you guys to source deals if maybe private equity's in less of a position to compete with you? And have you seen a lot of private equity competition for the deals you've looked at and done so far?

  • Sam Reed - CEO

  • Jon, this is Sam. One of the comments I made in my closing remarks was -- had to do with the demise of the era of pick-toggle debt financing. And I think it's clear that strategic buyers like ourselves who have operations and real operating synergies, will in a tighter debt market be more favored. And we would expect on a relative basis to be -- have more opportunity or have a larger share of that opportunity.

  • I do want to caution you though that private label and food service were not high on the priority lists of many of the private equity firms. And so, while we have had a competition all along here, what we will not see is a radically different or radically shortened list of participants.

  • We do expect that values will be affected. And one of the great advantages of our capital structure and our ability to generate large sums of cash is that regardless of the capital markets, whether they -- we have access to all forms to be able to kind of fund further expansion. And we have -- will through the E.D. Smith acquisition largely use up our existing lines of credit and will look to expand those shortly.

  • Further than that, I think the -- all of the models that David and Dennis and I look at indicate that we've got substantial incremental debt capacity and that when the next strategically important matter comes before us we will be at the forefront of those in the hunt for that next expansion.

  • Jon Feeney - Analyst

  • Thanks Sam. And I guess I just wanted to follow up on the comment that -- especially the conversation you had with the BLS guy who said 8% food inflation. From his lips to Gods ears for the second half of the year. But is -- you mentioned fact-based selling and I know I'm sure commodity prices have a lot to do with that, what's driving that ability to get pricing do you think? You've been around the business a long time. I mean the past 10 years we've seen periods of commodity pricing maybe not quite as comparable but aggressive and I guess manufacturers forced to sort of eat of that. I mean is it a change in behavior on the part of the branding companies? Is it a change in the retail landscape? I mean what's enabling this better pricing environment that's clearly in place?

  • David Vermylen - President and COO

  • Jon, this is David. I think that at different points -- you know, back in the late '90s we actually had some commodity deflation and the food manufacturers did quite well during that period of time.

  • In the early 2000, when cost started coming up, they would absorb those increases. But when you see back- to-back years of corn sweeteners growing 20%, our [K-zene] cost, which is a key protein that we use in non-dairy creamer, that price has more than doubled over the last two years, I think we're seeing that point now where the manufacturers have done everything they can in terms of productivity improvements to offset input increases. But when you're seeing doubling of dairy prices and everything else people just say you've got to move.

  • What's very interesting is that we had a conversation last week and someone mentioned that one of the challenges in the food industry is that the last time we had a significant food inflation was probably 25 years ago, and on both the manufacturing side and the retailer side there are not a lot of people round who have the experience on managing pricing during highly inflationary times. And I think people are going to have to learn how to deal with it.

  • From everybody's perspective, if you're able to pass through those cost increases and you maintain your margins, that's going to help your bottom-line. And that holds true for the retailer side as well. So I think we just have to get more people on both sides of the business recognizing that there are some benefits associated with moving on these commodity increases.

  • Jon Feeney - Analyst

  • Great. Well hope so, thanks so much.

  • Operator

  • (OPERATOR INSTRUCTIONS.) At this time we have no further questions, I'll turn the conference back over to Mr. Reed for any additional or closing remarks.

  • Sam Reed - CEO

  • Thank all of you for joining us again. In November we plan to be back to our regular morning schedule. And we'll look forward to being able to report more progress on the year and to begin to also consider what further expansion opportunities lie before TreeHouse.

  • Thanks again, and we'll see you next time.

  • Operator

  • That concludes today's conference. You may disconnect at this time.