Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) 2014 Q2 法說會逐字稿

完整原文

使用警語:中文譯文來源為 Google 翻譯,僅供參考,實際內容請以英文原文為主

  • Operator

  • Thank you for standing by, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to

  • Tsakos Energy Navigation conference call on the second quarter 2014 financial

  • results. We have with us Mr. Takis Arapoglou, Chairman of the Board; Mr.

  • Nikolas Tsakos, President and CEO; Mr. Paul Durham, Chief Financial Officer; and

  • Mr. George Saroglou, Chief Operating Officer of the company.

  • At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. [Operator

  • Instructions] I must advise you, the conference is being recorded today,

  • Monday, August the 4th, 2014. And I now pass the floor to Mr. Nicolas Bornozis,

  • President of Capital Link, Investor Relation Advisor of Tsakos Energy

  • Navigation. Please go ahead, sir.

  • Nicolas Bornozis - President

  • Thank you very much, and good morning to all of our

  • participants. This is Nicolas Bornozis of Capital Link, Investor Relations

  • Advisor to Tsakos Energy Navigation.

  • The company released its financial results for the second quarter of 2014 this

  • morning. The press release has been distributed publicly. In case you do not

  • have a copy of it, please call us at 212-661-7566, or email us at

  • ten@capitallink.com, and we will e-mail a copy to you right away.

  • Please note that parallel to today's conference call, there is also a live audio

  • and slide webcast, which can be accessed on the company's website on the front

  • page at www.tenn.gr. The conference call will follow the presentation slides,

  • so, please, we urge to access our presentation on the webcast.

  • Please note that the slides of the webcast will be available as an archive on

  • the company's website after the conference call. Also, please note that the

  • slides of the webcast presentation are user-controlled. And that means that by

  • clicking on the proper button, you can move to the next or to the previous slide

  • on your own.

  • At this time, I would like to read the safe harbor statement. This conference

  • call and slide presentation of the webcast contain certain forward-looking

  • statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provision of the Private

  • Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Investors are cautioned that such

  • forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties which may affect

  • TEN's business prospects and results of operations. Such risks are more fully

  • disclosed in TEN's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

  • Ladies and gentlemen, at this point, I would like to turn the call over to Mr.

  • Takis Arapoglou, the Chairman of the Board of Tsakos Energy Navigation. Mr.

  • Arapoglou, please go ahead, sir.

  • Takis Arapoglou - Chairman of the Board

  • Thank you, Nico. Good morning, everyone. It's really a great

  • pleasure and honor to have been elected chairman of TEN, succeeding John

  • Stavropoulos. I'd like to thank the Tsakos family, the board of TEN, and Mr.

  • Stavropoulos for their support and confidence.

  • Under Mr. Stavropoulos' chairmanship during the past 20 years and with the close

  • cooperation and leadership of COO and Strategic Investor Niko Tsakos, TEN has

  • established itself as one of the leading and highly trusted oil tanker companies

  • in the world.

  • Going forward, we'll commit to perfect further our model of operational

  • excellence, capital efficiency and revenue growth, in order to continue to offer

  • value to our investors and customers while adhering to the highest standards of

  • corporate governance.

  • In doing so, we'll maintain our dynamic asset allocation philosophy with a

  • modern and ever-evolving technologically advanced fleet ready to cover the

  • diverse needs of our customer base, which as you all know is of the highest

  • caliber. During the last few years, the market has fully supported us in

  • raising new growth capital which resulted in the broadening of our investor

  • base, and the results of this can be clearly visible now in our financials.

  • A few words on our stock. Our stock has outperformed year to date all our

  • peers. However, we still believe that it continues being undervalued. We are

  • committed to rectify this going forward by committing to deliver superior

  • financial performance for the benefit of our shareholders.

  • So I'd like to thank you and pass the floor to Nikolas Tsakos.

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and welcome onboard. We're very proud

  • and happen to have you and to continue our growth prospects. We're very glad to

  • report six months and second quarter results going towards the right director.

  • It seems that what we have discussed in previous quarters that the light at the

  • end of the tunnel is more visible today than it was, it's true. We have seen a

  • very strong first quarter. We have seen the seasonal correction of the second

  • quarter, and we have been surprised by the strength of the beginning in the

  • first 40-so days of the third quarter, the strength of that market.

  • Together, also we are surprised to see of the appetite of the major end users

  • for the operational (report) from companies like ours. We have good news to

  • report. We hope to be reporting quite a few items of good news going forward

  • within this quarter, as things develop and the pieces fall in line.

  • Before we get, I think, in the future, I will ask our COO, Mr. George Saroglou,

  • to give us a little history of the last six months and the last quarter where we

  • are and where we've been and where we're going. So, George, thank you, please.

  • George Saroglou - COO

  • Thank you, Nikos. It is my pleasure to speak with all of you

  • today and provide you with details of the operations of the second quarter and

  • six months of 2014. For those of you connected to the Internet and our website,

  • there is an online slide presentation [please] follow during the call. Let's

  • turn in slide number three, where we have a snapshot of the diverse [specified]

  • fleet TEN currently owns which enables the company to advantage of market

  • opportunities and slides.

  • We have 44 tankers that carry crude oil, consisting of one VLCC, 12 Suezmaxes.

  • We have taken delivery of two modern Suezmax tankers in mid-June and end of

  • July. One of them [is trailing] in a strong [fourth market] and the sister

  • vessel on (inaudible) to a major oil company.

  • We have 17 Aframax tankers, eight in the water and nine new buildings under

  • construction for Statoil, two DP2 shuttle tankers from [fixed long employment],

  • and 12 out of 26 product tankers in the fleet are engaged at the moment in crude

  • trade operations, resulting in 35 vessels out of a 50-vessel operating fleet

  • [trading] in the [group market] today, a market that is doing extremely well.

  • We have also two LNG vessels, including one in the water and one on order.

  • The next slide shows the growth TEN has experienced since going public in 1993

  • in (inaudible) stock exchange. And since the New York Stock Exchange

  • [flotation] in 2002, we have seen -- you can see the growth in all the metrics,

  • the size of the fleet and, you know, the deadweight.

  • On the tanker market, the next slide, the [quarter CAPEX slow] thanks to

  • scheduled refinery maintenance in the northern hemisphere before switching from

  • [shipping oil] to gasoline production that made the tanker fleet look bigger.

  • However, we experienced a big rally starting from the second half of June that

  • listed the earnings of VLCCs, Suezmaxes, and Aframaxes that continued well into

  • July. Rates for Suezmaxes and Aframaxes surged to levels we have seen in

  • January of this year, as more [barrels] continue to head east to Asia.

  • The outlook for the balance of the year continues to improve for all three crude

  • (inaudible) as the third quarter appears to be much stronger than typical,

  • mainly due to a growth in Chinese imports as China continues to build their

  • strategic reserves and their [infrastructure feeding] as their refining capacity

  • continues to increase this year, as well.

  • Despite their political risks and financial headwinds, the global economy is

  • expected to grow at 3.4% in 2014 and 4% in 2015. Especially in 2015, growth is

  • expected to come from advanced economies. That's the first time since 2008 that

  • advanced economies other than the United States are expected to contribute to

  • have GDP growth.

  • Global oil demand also continues to grow, breaking the demand record every year

  • since 2010. Demand for 2014 is expected around 92.7 million barrels per day,

  • which is 1.2 million barrels per day growth over 2013 demand levels. The

  • forecast of 2015 as macroeconomic conditions improve is for 94.1 million barrels

  • per day, the growth of 1.4 million barrels per day over 2014.

  • The order book, especially for crude tankers, is still low by historical

  • numbers. Suezmax and Aframax tankers expect little supply growth in the next

  • two years. On average, less than 1% growth in 2014 and '15 for Suezmaxes,

  • negative growth in 2014, and flat in 2015 for Aframax. [Far Eastern yards]

  • appear to have covered their order book well into late 2016. Most of the orders

  • in the last 18 months have been [on product tankers in March and levels twos].

  • The overall tanker order book is now around 14% to 15% of the existing fleet,

  • and we are talking about vessels over 30,000 deadweight tons, down from almost

  • 40% back in 2008 and 22.3% in 2010. The [end result] calls for modest global

  • trade growth for the next two to two-and-a-half years.

  • The company pro forma fleet -- the next slide -- continues -- the company's pro

  • forma fleet of 60 vessels includes 50 vessels in operation, as two [modern]

  • Suezmaxes recently joined the fleet, nine are from [our crude] carriers under

  • construction for delivery in 2016 and '17, and [one priced] (inaudible) vessel

  • under construction.

  • The fleet is 100% double-hulled, very modern, and the average age of the

  • operating fleet today is 7.3 years, much younger than the average of the world

  • tanker fleet. Twenty-one tankers has [I plus] capabilities, and 21 vessels of

  • the company's 50 vessel operating fleet have [fixed term] employment, nine

  • vessels operating profit-sharing charters [that together] with the [fixed term]

  • vessels ranged from a few months until the end of the year for 14 years, 20

  • vessels [trade] in the [spot market], including [pure spot] for 17 vessels,

  • [COAs] for two vessels, and [pulling arrangement] for one vessel.

  • Together with the nine vessels and profit-sharing, TEN has today 29 vessels that

  • can take full advantage of market [supplies]. Thanks to our balanced [time

  • charter] philosophy, we continue to operate the fleet at a very high utilization

  • rate, 98% for the second quarter and the first half of 2014, when the average

  • utilization for the tanker fleet in 2014 is expected to be a little lower 86%.

  • Let's move to slide number eight. The slide has the main financial highlights

  • of our press release, significantly improved numbers in every category for the

  • first half of 2014, leading to profitable operation in the first half of the

  • year. 18% improvement in [royals revenue], $243 million versus $206 million in

  • the first half of 2013, 22% increase in the EBITDA over the same $83 million

  • (inaudible) you know, the figure of the first half of 2015. 80% increase in

  • operating income, $33 million versus $18.3 million in the first half of '13.

  • Net income of $14.8 million versus a modest loss of $500,000 in the first half

  • of 2013. [Impeccable] debt service records since the crisis started back in

  • 2008, while maintaining the firepower to grow responsibly.

  • The next slide presents basically the fleet as it stands right now. Again, you

  • look -- you see it at the very modern, diverse and purpose built fleet. We

  • focused in three market sectors, conventional tankers which covers (inaudible)

  • product tankers, energy and (inaudible) tankers, of the four markets, LNG and

  • (inaudible) are potential growth areas for TEN. These are the growth prospects,

  • favorable supply-demand fundamentals and barriers to entry.

  • Within conventional tankers (inaudible) product (inaudible) as you can see, TEN

  • has one of the largest and most modern [group fleets] in the water, taking

  • advantage of a surge in crude market environment and a versatile product fleet

  • with almost half of the products' vessels in the fleet engaged in their

  • (inaudible) crude oil trading at the moment.

  • We also have 21 [high-class] tankers. We have entered the (inaudible) shuttle

  • tanker sector with (inaudible) tankers with 15-year time (inaudible) for

  • Petrobras. This is a sector -- the [shuttle] tanker sector is being monitored

  • by TEN, where we expect to see more expansion going forward. We have one LNG in

  • the water, one [pipe fuel] LNG also under construction. Since 1997, the vessel

  • was built exclusively with (inaudible) in Korea and Japan.

  • The next slide shows the clients with whom the company is doing repeat business

  • over the year thanks to the quality of service, fleet modernity, and the safety

  • record of the enterprise fleet. In the same table, besides the names, we also

  • list the top 7 clients of -- the top 8 clients of 10 and (inaudible) in the

  • revenue of the company during 2013.

  • Let's go to the next slide, which is the employment slide. We continue the

  • balanced employment strategy of a fleet that has a mix of [port charters],

  • [COAs], and pulling arrangements, and (inaudible) charters with fixed rates and

  • minimum rates with [corporate sharing] arrangements. With 21 vessels

  • (inaudible) fixed employment, nine vessels in profit-sharing, and 20 vessels

  • trading in a combination of (inaudible) [and puts].

  • Another way of reading the employment details of the fleet is that we have 33

  • vessels with [secured employment] from a few months until the year end to 14

  • years and 29 vessels with earnings tied in full for up to 50% over a minimum

  • base rate to a spot market that continues to improve.

  • If we put a dollar value in the next slide on the above, as of today, August

  • 4th, we have 58% of the remaining available 2014 fleet operating days, 39% of

  • the available 2015 fleet operating days, and already we have fixed 22% of the

  • 2016 fleet operating days. If we assume only the minimum rates, TEN has secured

  • 858 months of forward coverage or 2.2 years per vessel, which translates to $800

  • million in minimum gross revenues.

  • The next slide talks about the (inaudible) track record of the company. The key

  • takeaways here is that the [sale] (inaudible) activities are an integral part of

  • our operation, as the record shows, and that fleet modernity is a key element of

  • the corporate strategy. Since the listing in the New York Stock Exchange, we

  • have generated capital gains of approximately $280 million, or another $25

  • million per year. The company [reinvested these capital gains] in the renewal

  • of the fleet by ordering the majority of its [new building tankers] before [new

  • building] prices started to rise.

  • TEN has already acquired at attractive price levels two modern Suezmaxes, sister

  • vessels to Suezmaxes already operating in the fleet, and is actively looking to

  • sell some of its existing tankers in the current environment of rising asset

  • prices.

  • At the same time, the company's working on projects with similar

  • characteristics, like the recently announced (inaudible) so the company's next

  • growth phase will be with transactions for [purpose-built] vessels that will

  • serve all major requirements from medium- to long-term business based on

  • accretive minimum rates and additional profit-sharing arrangements with the

  • charters.

  • Slide 14, this is the history of our cash dividend distributions. The next

  • dividend of $0.05 per share on performance shares will be paid on August 14th.

  • We have announced today another dividend to be paid on November 25, 2014. In

  • total, since 2002, we have paid $9.88 in cash dividends, or approximately $394.7

  • million, and this compares with a listing price in our IPO of $7.50 adjusted for

  • the November 2007 2 to 1 split.

  • Although we floated the company in 2002 at $7.50, our share price reached $40 in

  • 2007. In comparison to 2007, we have today a bigger operating fleet, a new

  • building program, where 9 out of the 10 vessels are tied to loan-accretive

  • charters, [but the] current share price doesn't seem to reflect according to

  • management, the company's financial strength, the embedded company's growth, and

  • growth profits, and the improving state of the freight market. The management

  • vision is to continue growing the company responsibly and, at the same time,

  • have this reality being reflected in the company's share price.

  • That concludes the operational part of our presentation. Paul will walk you

  • through the financial highlights for the second half of 2014. Paul?

  • Paul Durham - CFO

  • Thank you, George.

  • Well, as expected, the softening of the crude market is [partly due] to seasonal

  • factors [affecting] future earnings after a robust quarter one. Quarter two net

  • income was $200,000, at least a considerable improvement over the $1.5 million

  • loss in quarter two 2013. So negative earnings per share, which (inaudible)

  • However, for the six months, net income was $14.8 million compared to a loss in

  • the first half of 2013. Operating income for quarter two was $8.5 million,

  • about the same as in quarter two 2013. But for the six months, we achieved $33

  • million operating income against $18.3 million in the first half of 2013, an 80%

  • increase.

  • Revenue after voyage expenses in quarter two increased marginally over quarter

  • two 2013. Average daily time charter equivalent per vessel was over $18,100 --

  • sorry, $18,100 quarter two compared to $18,000 in the previous quarter two.

  • However, half year average [TC] per vessel was over $20,400, versus nearly

  • $18,100 in the last year first half.

  • Those (inaudible) in a difficult market for most of quarter two were actually

  • (inaudible) earning nearly 30% more compared to the previous two. Suezmaxes

  • earned less than average than in Q2 2013, but rebounded in later quarter two and

  • especially into quarter three. Product carriers on market-related rates

  • achieved lower average rates than in quarter two 2013.

  • Despite slightly cheaper fuel and fewer days [on spot], voyage expenses were $2

  • million higher in quarter two than in quarter two 2013 due to higher (inaudible)

  • consultation on longer haul voyages and higher port expenses.

  • Operating expenses increased from the prior [quarter two] (inaudible) higher

  • operating costs than conventional tankers, but they had earnings that easily

  • absorbed these costs, and also there was a 5% fall in the dollar against the

  • euro, which affected [crew expenses].

  • On an average daily cost per vessel, operating expenses fell sharply from the

  • recent quarter one (inaudible) returning to more acceptable levels. Finance

  • costs were nearly $2 million down quarter against quarter and also for the half-

  • year (inaudible) mainly due to the [expiry] of three rather expensive interest

  • rate swaps.

  • All vessels generated a positive EBITDA in the half-year, with total EBITDA of

  • $83 million, 22% over the first half of 2013. In quarter two, EBITDA of $34

  • million was similar to that achieved in quarter two 2013. Committed new

  • building capital expenditure related to the [nine Statoil crude] Aframaxes and

  • to one LNG carrier.

  • [Remaining payments] in 2014 will be [$52 million], and $57 million will be paid

  • next year. We have finalized financing arrangements for the Aframaxes with the

  • leading banks at competitive terms, which include financing all the remaining

  • pre-delivery [yard installments]. [Debt at services due] was $1.36 billion

  • after $42 million was drawn for the acquisition of the [Suezmax Eurovision].

  • $39 million was also recently drawn for the acquisition of the second [Suezmax

  • Euro]. At 30th of June, leverage based on values was 56.6%. Net debt to

  • capital was 49%. We have strong liquidity and cash flows, fully capable of

  • meeting our operational needs, CAPEX commitments, debt service, and dividend

  • requirements, allowing us also to consider new proposals. The recent increases

  • in crude tanker rates, despite fluctuations, bode well for Q3 results and [for

  • service cash flow] generation this year.

  • And this concludes my comments. Now I'll hand the call back to Nikos.

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • Thank you, Paul, for really analytical description of what has

  • happened in this -- in the last six months, and especially in the last quarter.

  • I think that we're optimistic looking forward. The beginning of the third

  • quarter started very, very well. The -- I think the supply-and-demand

  • characteristics that George spoke about for the (inaudible) in the crude

  • carriers, specifically the Suezmaxes and the Aframaxes are very positive for the

  • owners for a very -- for the first time after a very, very long time, more than

  • they indicate.

  • We have not heard of negative growth as it is in the Aframaxes and almost

  • breakeven growth on the Suezmaxes and [oiling] tanker (inaudible) 14% of which

  • most of it has to do with unfortunate -- unfortunate orders of product carriers

  • that happen in the last couple of years. So I think we are looking forward to

  • finally a well-balanced market. We can see this coming also because the

  • majority of our clients are looking to take (inaudible) long-term employment, so

  • the longer the better.

  • 2014 so far is going to be the year with the biggest demand of [prolonged term]

  • employment, which means business for six months and over. Six months to 10

  • years and over -- and over by the major oil companies. So far this year, we

  • have close to 280 long-term charters signed, in the whole -- [350], the whole of

  • 2013, and it hasn't been a year that [we've exited] 250 in the last 10 years.

  • So, you know, we are seeing that the clients who know forward the requirements

  • are looking to cover themselves, because they can see that the supply-and-demand

  • is [finally towards] the owners' benefit.

  • So without trying, you know -- we have to be conservatively optimistic, but I

  • think we are looking forward at a good year. We believe 2014 will be a positive

  • and hopefully substantially positive year. And we're looking to come back to

  • the market and talk to you about the opportunities that we're going to be

  • looking.

  • As George said, there's a lot of interest for long-term employment [and critical

  • employment] (inaudible) needs to get a surprise not to the $7.50 that we went

  • public in 2002, but significantly above that. We really believe that right now

  • the whole segment is at a very low point.

  • And with these thoughts, I would like to open the floor and would be happy to

  • answer any questions about the company and the market. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you very much, indeed, sir. (Operator Instructions) And from

  • Stifel, your first question comes from the line of Ben Nolan. Your line is now

  • open.

  • Ben Nolan - Analyst

  • Yeah, thanks a lot. Nick, you were just mentioning some increased

  • activity on the long-term charter side. And I think you guys have done some of

  • that specifically with some of the Suezmaxes that you've got. I guess with

  • respect to the two vessels -- the two Suezmaxes that you just recently acquired,

  • is that something that you would consider doing with those? And, you know, what

  • type of tenure are you looking at? I mean, are we talking two years? Are we

  • talking 10 years with respect to sort of what your interest would be and someone

  • locking down charters on your assets?

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • Well, right now, we have to say that we are fighting and it's

  • been a while to feel this way -- we are fighting business away. We would not

  • charter a long-term without either a significant...

  • Operator

  • (inaudible)

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • (inaudible) because we expect that the market (inaudible)

  • Operator

  • (inaudible)

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • (inaudible) political (inaudible) that are (inaudible)

  • Operator

  • (inaudible)

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • (inaudible) whole Ukrainian situation. We have the problems in

  • Iraq, the Kurdish oil coming out. And we have a longer -- longer hauls, longer

  • (inaudible) happening. I mean, the -- the Russian oil that Europe was

  • absorbing, it's a huge market for Suezmaxes and Aframaxes, the Black Sea, any

  • embargos on that will lead us to get (inaudible) and starting getting [oil] from

  • either West Africa or Venezuela or the U.S. (inaudible) so I think that is going

  • to increase the pressure on the rates.

  • [On assets] I think we described a very tight supply-and-demand situation, and

  • I'm boiling this out, because our industry really has suffered for the last six

  • or seven years from the oversupply. Demand (inaudible) 2009, which was a year

  • that people actually tightened their belts even on energy, was always there. So

  • I think what we have been trying to achieve is get owners more responsible

  • (inaudible) it has happened. I hope -- it won't last for long, but we're going

  • to enjoy as long as it lasts. So we are not looking to [charter fixed rate].

  • We are [set to] do business anywhere between, you know, 2 to 5 years with an

  • accretive minimum and profit-sharing, and there's a lot of that type of business

  • that is coming our way by the major oil companies.

  • Ben Nolan - Analyst

  • Okay. Very helpful. And then my next question, actually, sort of

  • goes with the crude side. I did notice that when you split out your -- the

  • percentage of your fleet that's in the product market versus the crude market,

  • there's only -- it only looked to be 14 vessels, I believe, in the product

  • trade.

  • Have you guys been actively moving or rotating your product fleet into the crude

  • market as a function of, you know, better rates in that area? And would you

  • characterize that as sort of a longer-term move or just sort of opportunistic,

  • you know, making better rates when available?

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • You know, we [got it] anything -- any form of energy, so we do

  • not have any, I would say, preference. We have the luxury to run a very

  • versatile model fleet and a good operation (inaudible) can actually turn around

  • those vessels [in the market of a week], going from (inaudible) is a bit -- is a

  • bit harder, but going from clean to dirty, it's much easier. So it has been a

  • very process having the right vessels with the right equipment to do it.

  • We are -- we are client-driven, so we are seeing our clients and the rates being

  • on the crude, and we have -- so, you know, our three Aframax [product carriers

  • operating fuel and crude right now], the same with all our Panamaxes, and a big

  • part of our (inaudible) vessels, other than [14 ships], as you said. So, you

  • know, we have the type of fleet that is able to turn around and carry the energy

  • that pays more.

  • Ben Nolan - Analyst

  • Okay, that's helpful. And could you just maybe four main

  • categories, what the -- what the differential is that you're seeing right now,

  • crude -- or dirty versus clean? I mean, how much on average more profitable do

  • you think it is on the dirty side?

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • I think it's 60/30 as we speak today, but we're still -- you

  • know, what we -- we're seeing the product carrier. We see more and more

  • (inaudible) United States, and as they come down, turn right, and go through the

  • Panama Canal to the far east. I think that's going to balance it -- to balance

  • it. So we're ready for that. As I said, you know, we have nine Panamaxes,

  • that's what they do, and then [we're there] to take advantage of that market if

  • they have to.

  • Ben Nolan - Analyst

  • Okay, perfect. And then my last question relates to the potential

  • for you guys doing an MLP is, has the timeline changed on that at all? Are you

  • still maybe thinking the first part of -- or first half of 2015? Is that the

  • target?

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • That's correct, exactly.

  • Ben Nolan - Analyst

  • Okay. All right. That does it for me. Thanks a lot, guys.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. Now from Morgan Stanley, you have a question from the

  • line of Fotis Giannakoulis. Your line is now open.

  • Fotis Giannakoulis - Analyst

  • Yes, good morning, gentleman, and thank you. I would like

  • to follow up on the last question [on TEN]. I think it's the third time in the

  • last three calls that I'm asking about that. Have you started drafting the

  • prospectus for the MLP? And when shall we be expecting the first filing over

  • what type of vessels and see what type of vessels you're going to include in

  • this MLP?

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • Yes, thank you for (inaudible) as I think we discussed, yes, we

  • are -- we have, I would say (inaudible) two-thirds of the expenses and the work

  • being required for the MLP. So it is -- it has gone down that road.

  • Fotis Giannakoulis - Analyst

  • And can you remind us, which are the vessels that you are

  • considering of including in this MLP? And what type of growth you think that

  • the MLP is going to be having?

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • It will be initially any vessel (inaudible) five years period

  • [or longer], which, of course, includes our -- some of our Suezmaxes, some of

  • our -- some of our DP2 [saddle tankers]. And the LNGs, as they come on long-

  • term charters. And, of course, the growth will be almost -- at least a vessel

  • per quarter from beginning of 2016 as the long-term target (inaudible) will be

  • dropping in, so it will have a good (inaudible) but there is quite a lot of

  • business that we might be announcing for new vessels with very long employment

  • from within this quarter.

  • Fotis Giannakoulis - Analyst

  • Yep?

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • I mean, we're actually right now negotiating businesses that

  • range from, again, you know, 5 to 15 years (inaudible) are pushing (inaudible)

  • to go (inaudible) with profit-sharing arrangements.

  • Fotis Giannakoulis - Analyst

  • So you mentioning the -- that there are more deals to be

  • done. And I think in the last quarter, you said that there are probably more

  • similar to what you executed with Statoil. Is there any progress on that, on

  • the other oil majors that -- oil producers that are looking to -- to employ

  • vessels long-term or even give you a contract for a new building assets that

  • will allow you to order more vessels?

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • It's true. I think we're looking at least at a half a dozen of

  • these transactions that, you know, we will be able to announce with -- most

  • probably within this quarter.

  • Fotis Giannakoulis - Analyst

  • And is it also for a similar type of vessels, Aframax

  • vessels? And if you had to make an estimate or give us a probability, how many

  • vessels are we talking here?

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • I believe that, you know, we could be talking about from now

  • until the end of the year about another six vessels.

  • Fotis Giannakoulis - Analyst

  • Again Aframaxes?

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • Well, within -- you know, both [the crew] and the -- [crew]

  • then the, you know, ranging from VLCC, which is a segment of the market that we

  • are not -- as you know, we have [sold] (inaudible) assets, and we're looking to

  • renew, so it will start from VLCCs down to (inaudible) Suezmaxes, Aframaxes, and

  • LR1s.

  • Fotis Giannakoulis - Analyst

  • Well, that looks very exciting.

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • We are excited, and we're waiting -- I think, as I said, I

  • think within September we'll be announcing some very [interesting] transactions.

  • Fotis Giannakoulis - Analyst

  • Despite that, and all this good news that you are

  • delivering right now, we see the stock price for some reason is dropping. It

  • could be the very [thin liquidity] of the stock. What -- you mentioned about

  • the MLP earlier. Of course, that should help bridge the gap between your NAV

  • and your stock price. What other steps are you willing to take? Are there any

  • thoughts of potential share buybacks? You have plenty of cash in your balance

  • sheet. Have you thought that your stock might be an interesting investment in

  • addition to buying ships?

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • We believe our shares -- I would say, a very interesting

  • transaction. [We'd consider it very cheap] (inaudible) major shareholders have

  • always [been biased]. And I think at these levels, of course, it's a very good

  • buy. I think after we set the dust settles down about what is the new

  • requirement from the new business (inaudible) growth capital, I think our next

  • step will also look -- will be looking to look how attractive the share price

  • for a buyback. As you know, we are paying a dividend -- I think we have

  • dividends coming this month and then in November and so on and so forth.

  • Fotis Giannakoulis - Analyst

  • And apart from that, obviously you have the capital

  • requirements for your potentially new business. Are there any thoughts of

  • issuing any preferred? We saw that some of your peers, they issued high-yield

  • or preferred -- or convertible in order to fund buyback programs. Is this

  • something that you have been also considering?

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • I would say high-yield we like to receive it from our charters,

  • not to pay it out. So I think we will speak -- I think we will speak to the

  • [costs] that we are generating as we speak today. I mean, we always have our

  • eyes open in the market. And as soon as we know the transactions that we are

  • negotiating, we'll have a very good view what we're looking for, but I think all

  • the transactions are going to be very accretive, so there will be -- hopefully,

  • we'll reverse the trend in the market.

  • Fotis Giannakoulis - Analyst

  • Thank you, Niko. One last question. You mentioned earlier

  • about the orders that they were -- that they took place during the last couple

  • of years in the product tanker market. I understand that you are only

  • interesting in ordering new buildings with long-term contracts, but in

  • hypothetical scenario that you would be buying vessels without any contracts.

  • What type of vessels would these be? [Product carriers] or crude or even

  • expanding further in the LNG space?

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • As I said, I am a very strong advocate that no one should be

  • ordering ships that they do not need at this stage, so I think I should stick to

  • that, because, you know, I've been [printing that] for a while. And thank God

  • the crude market seems to have reached that stage, and I hope we will find the

  • appetite -- we will get a lot of U.S. exports to take care of all the product

  • carriers that have been ordered in that -- in (inaudible) 2012-'13 period. But

  • I think right now there are more than enough ships out there to move the oil and

  • allow the owners to make a respectable (inaudible) at the same time.

  • Fotis Giannakoulis - Analyst

  • Thank you very much for your answers.

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you very much. Your next question from Canaccord comes from

  • the line of [Noah Parket]. Your line is now open.

  • Noah Parket - Analyst

  • Thanks, good morning. A lot of my questions have been answered,

  • but I thought you could just go into more detail. You mentioned, obviously, you

  • know, your VLCC fleet, there's only one ship left, and you're looking at new

  • contracts. I mean, is this -- can you talk a little bit about your outlook for

  • VLCCs, you know, why you sort of avoid the sector now? And would we expect

  • more, you know, new builds with long-term contracts? Or how do you plan to get

  • back really into that space?

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • Well, yes, I think this is a very good question, but, you know,

  • in order to be a significant player in the spot market and the VLCC, you need to

  • have a dozen ships. We -- you know, I think we have more than half-a-dozens

  • ships in any other sector. The VLCC market is a very important market, and we

  • are client-driven. Being client-driven, it's when a client needs our services

  • in VLCCs. It makes sense. And plus the addition that we have a very small

  • presence in this market, you know, makes it easier for us to decide when we talk

  • to the border to move in that direction.

  • We will only move when we have contracts that will amortize the ships to scrap

  • or to zero and we will be left -- still left to the model 10-year-old ship that

  • has no obligations and hopefully we'll make a good retainer, between that time

  • and going forward.

  • Noah Parket - Analyst

  • Okay, and then you mentioned -- you talked a little bit about the

  • [common state] -- potential for [common state] cargoes out of the U.S. We saw I

  • think two, maybe three cargoes, you know, the last few weeks on LR1s. Can you

  • talk a little bit about what you see -- you know, how that new trade route plays

  • out? Is that going to all go to Asia? And, you know, and broader implications

  • for -- how will the -- you know, the crude export ban in the U.S., how do you

  • see that developing over the next couple of years?

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • Well, I think the first step has been made. And it's a very

  • important first step. Either it goes to the Far East, that's significant ton

  • miles. If it comes to Europe, to balance some of the Russian crude that, you

  • know, perhaps Europe will not be importing, that's also, you know, a very good

  • [volume]. So I think -- it is a very positive and, I would say, unexpected trip

  • for ship owners, the opening up of the American exports.

  • Noah Parket - Analyst

  • All right, thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you very much, indeed, sir. Now from Euro Pacific Capital, you

  • have a question from the line of Mark Suarez. Your line is now open.

  • Mark Suarez - Analyst

  • Hi, good morning, gentlemen. And thanks for taking my call.

  • Niko, you talked, you know, in the beginning of the Q&A here that, you know, for

  • those charters that may be coming up for renewal and given sort of the

  • improvement that we have seen in the tanker space, especially in some of the

  • Suezmaxes and Aframaxes -- I know the VLCCs are beginning to improve now and

  • gaining some momentum -- should we start thinking about maybe those charters

  • coming out for renewal in the next 12 to 18 months? By that I mean, because

  • that's an important (inaudible) '15, that maybe as they come up, you put them

  • into shorter charters with profit-sharing arrangements and maybe expand your

  • fleet or expose to the spot market a little bit more than the long-term

  • employment? Is that a fair way of thinking about it?

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • I think in general, it is -- it's the correct essence. And I

  • think it's the first time that you see charters willing to take profits --

  • profit-selling, which, you know, we have always said it has been a very good

  • arrangement for both parties, but I think it (inaudible)

  • Mark Suarez - Analyst

  • And do you think that market is now beginning to move in -- is

  • that like a big -- has the market significantly moved into those profit-sharing

  • arrangements, something that we haven't seen in the past? I mean, has this --

  • has that been (inaudible) in your view?

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • Well, I think, you know, it has been like pulling teeth in most

  • cases to get the end users to accept profit-sharing, as it's a bit easier, I

  • would say, right now.

  • Mark Suarez - Analyst

  • Okay. And going back to the -- I know you have an LNG option.

  • Maybe I missed it in the comment. I don't know if you talked about it. But are

  • you still thinking about maybe replacing that contract with construction of the

  • two VLCCs, if you have a charter attached to it? Or how are you thinking about

  • that? Do you think that could be a good entry point to be expanding your VLCC

  • fleet?

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • I hope you're not reading my e-mails. Yes, I think that could

  • be -- yeah, it could be a good alternative.

  • Mark Suarez - Analyst

  • Okay. And then lastly, I know you did some secondhand (inaudible)

  • acquisitions, you know, with the Suezmaxes. You know, should we expect maybe to

  • see similar transactions [obviously chartered attached] -- you don't want to

  • just buy something for the sake of buying -- over the next 6 to 12 months, or

  • should we be thinking more about the transactions like you did in Statoil? I

  • think you commented that maybe you want to -- you're thinking of doing something

  • like that and you're going to be announcing it soon.

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • I think we will not exclude, but it will be a smaller percent

  • of the (inaudible) of buying ships in the open market, unless it is for a

  • specific purpose. Let's say (inaudible) and they would like someone to operate

  • them for them, we'll be happy to do that. So in that case, you'll see us doing

  • something like that.

  • Mark Suarez - Analyst

  • Right, right, okay, that makes sense. And then lastly, you know,

  • [senior contracted] cash flow continues to rise, you have raised your earnings

  • capacity. Now especially with the [future delivery] of the nine Aframaxes, at

  • what point do you think the board could consider raising dividends again? Is

  • that something you see happening? What sort of metrics would you like -- you

  • have to see before that happens?

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • I will have to ask my chairman here. No, I think we always --

  • we are a dividend-friendly company. And I'm sure, you know, the board, when we

  • see that the market environment has stabilized, within 2014, I think we will be

  • happy to consider something like that.

  • Mark Suarez - Analyst

  • Okay, great. That's all I have for now. Thanks for your time as

  • always.

  • Operator

  • Thank you very much, indeed. (Operator Instructions) As there are

  • no further questions at this time, I'll now pass the floor back to Mr. Nikolas

  • Tsakos for closing remarks.

  • Nikolas Tsakos - President and CEO

  • Well, again, thank you very much for following the company. As

  • we said, I think we are optimistic of going forward. I mean, all you have to do

  • is look back in our COO's presentation on the income statement and see that in

  • 2005, 10 years ago, the company was half the size of what it is today, and we

  • had an EBITDA of $215 million and a market cap of in excess of $1 billion and

  • something like that at the time.

  • So I think today the company is not only double the size, but you double the

  • size in quality, so I think the prospects are strong. So we're looking to take

  • advantage of that. You know, we believe we have weathered the very difficult

  • years of 2008 to 2013, and we have -- and we came on the other side stronger

  • with a stronger, larger company with a stellar banking record, having all our

  • obligations met without any negotiations, and we have done that because we have

  • the support of our shareholders and our banks and, of course, our clients in

  • going forward.

  • So we are very excited in welcoming our new chairman and we're looking forward

  • to move the company and share price to where it has to go. So with that, we

  • wish you a very good and peaceful and restful summer. Make sure we will not be

  • resting, because we need to get the share price up, at least not all of us at

  • the same time. And with that, I would ask our chairman for his [wise words].

  • Takis Arapoglou - Chairman of the Board

  • Well, thank you, Niko. I think if you look, as I mentioned

  • earlier, the last six months, our stocking has outperformed our peers, which

  • means that the market is beginning to realize the attractiveness of our shares.

  • I think the broadening of the investor base of the increase in the liquidity of

  • the stock in the last six months have been phenomenal. Together with the truly

  • stellar operational efficiency of the company, I think we will see going forward

  • this correction that we mentioned on the evaluation of the company for the

  • benefit of everyone.

  • So with that, I'd like to issue you a happy, enjoyable summer and talk to you

  • again in the fall. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you very much, indeed, sir. And (inaudible) today. That does

  • conclude our conference. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

  • Thank you.