TrueBlue Inc (TBI) 2016 Q4 法說會逐字稿

Greetings, and welcome to the TrueBlue fourth-quarter 2016 earnings conference call. An interactive question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation.

(Operator Instructions)

I like to turn the conference over to your host Mr. Derrek Gafford, CFO of TrueBlue. Thank you, you may begin.

Good afternoon, everyone and welcome. I'm here with our CEO, Steve Cooper. Before we begin, I want to remind everyone that today's earnings call and slide presentation will contain several forward-looking statements. All of which are subject to risks and uncertainties, and we assume no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements.

These risks and uncertainties, some of which are described in today's press release and in our Secretary filings, could cause actual results to differ materially from those and are forward-looking statements. In addition, we use several non-GAAP measures when presenting our financial results. Please refer to the non-GAAP reconciliations on our website at www.TrueBlue.com under the investor relations section.

Also, any comparisons made two other periods today are based on a comparison to the same period in the prior year unless otherwise stated. As we discussed in October, our FY16 fourth quarter, includes a 14th week. And we move the quarter ending date forward two days, from January to Sunday January 1, to better align with the workweek of our customers. The facilitate comparison with prior periods and with the outlook we previously provided on a 13-week comparable basis, we'll be referencing both GAAP and comparable 13- and 52-week results.

We will use the term GAAP for Generally Accepted Accounting Principles when referring to the 14th week or 53 week results ending January 1. And the term comparable when referring to the 13-week and 52-week results.

Due to the previously announced reduction in the use of our services by our largest customer, Amazon, we will also be providing comparable results excluding this customer. We believe both sets of comparable results are complementary to our GAAP results and helpful in understanding the underlying trends in our business. The revenue for the nine additional billing days was $34 million. However, since this is one of our lowest revenue weeks of the year, the gross profit dollars produced during this period are more than offset by operating expenses, resulting in an operating loss for approximately $1 million for the nine-day period.

Any reference made during this call to a comparable 13- or 52-week set of results, exclude the nine additional billing days. We made several changes in our reporting this quarter to enhance transparency for investors. As we announced in October, we transitioned to three go-to-market brands during the fourth quarter of 2016.

As a result, we are now reporting our results in three segments versus our prior approach of two segments. Our previous staffing services segment is now divided into two segments. PeopleReady, our branch-based staffing business comprised of the former Labor Ready, Spartan Staffing, and COP brands, and People Management, comprised of the current Staff Management, Plaintext, Centerline, and SIMOS brands, which predominantly serve customers from a location base of customers worksite.

Results of our previous managed services segment, which was comprised of our recruitment process outsourcing and managed service provider business', are now reported in our PeopleScout segment. We have also reduced the unallocated portion of our operating expenses, resulting in additional operating expense for each of the segments. The annual run rate of unallocated operating expense was about $35 million and is now about $25 million. This action coincides with changes made to our internal management reporting to increase the accountability and transparency of our operating expenses.

Before I hand it over to Steve, I want to make you aware that we are no longer excluding processing fee expenses associated with the work opportunity tax credit from adjusted net income. So these expenses are necessary to produce a lower effective income tax rate. We believe it's more reasonable to conclude these expenses and adjusted net income. However, these fees will continue to be excluded from adjusted EBITDA.

Lastly, we have lowered the expected ongoing effective tax rate using our adjusted net income calculation to 28% versus our previous rate of 32%. The new rate is a closer approximation to our results over the last four years and of our future expectations due to a higher yield on work opportunity tax credits. Please note that we have recapped all non-GAAP and segment information for all prior quarters and years back to 2014 on our website to ensure you have comparable results.

Okay. I'll now turn the call over to Steve.

Thank you, Derrek. Good afternoon, everyone. Our earlier expectation was that revenue trends would worsen during the fourth quarter, given the strong prior year performance in Q4. However, due to strong momentum across all business segments, and PeopleReady in particular, we exceeded the outlook we provided in October.

We are also pleased to report that comparable monthly organic revenue trends, excluding the loss of revenue from Amazon, showed consistent improvement. The improvement was largely driven by PeopleReady, our branch-based industrial staffing business and was widespread across almost all geographies and across all business sizes including our large national customers. Our comparable 13-week revenue, excluding results from Amazon, grew by 5% compared to the prior year.

We are also pleased to have maintained strong adjusted EBITDA margins despite the decline in the total revenue. Our adjusted EBITDA margin on a comparable basis was up 5.8%. It was at 5.8% up 10 basis points over the same period last year.

We continue to emphasize disciplined pricing to optimize our bill-and-pay rate spreads. And we continue to focus on containing cost across all business units along with driving synergies in our acquired businesses in order to keep the momentum of improving our EBITDA margins, which remains very important to us.

Our acquisitions are performing better than our original expectations. We acquired SIMOS at the end of 2015 and Aon Hewitt's, RPO service line, at the beginning of 2016. We've been pleased that these acquisitions have exceeded expectations from a profitability, customer retention, and employee retention perspective.

Commencing with the fourth quarter, we are now reporting on our business as three distinct segments. Specialized Staffing, which is operating as PeopleReady, Workforce Management, which is operating through four brands within our people management segment, and Recruitment Process Outsourcing, which is operating as PeopleScout. This approach should also provide better insight for our investors.

Simplifying our service options and clarifying our branding structure, as we did with PeopleReady, ensures that are very segments work together more effectively as we provide businesses with the right people for both contingent work or for permanent positions or better yet, a combination of both in a total workforce solutions. On a comparable 13-week basis, our revenue of $701 million, during the fourth quarter, exceeded the high end of our outlook we provided in October and represents an increase of 5% excluding Amazon, our largest customer that has had significant declines the past three quarters with the change in scope of service using their contingent labor.

Our comparable adjusted EBITDA of $41 million was toward the high end of our outlook range. And excluding Amazon, represents an increase of 14%. Derrek will provide more detail on the fourth-quarter results in just a moment.

We are as excited as ever about the prospects of our two staffing segments, PeopleReady and People Management. Our new specialized staffing brand, PeopleReady, combines Labor Ready, COP Resources, and Spartan Staffing into one brand that greatly improves the customer experience, while bringing the full range of our services to more markets.

Our new PeopleReady brand began a throw out across North America last fall. And we are unifying our branch-based businesses on a common set of information systems here in the first half of 2017. This move simplifies our suite of services in the eyes of the customer. Bringing them up more solutions and increasing our agility in each of the market places where we operate.

One of the most exciting developments in our staffing a business, has been the introduction of Job Stack, our mobile app for placing orders and dispatching workers in the PeopleReady business. As we've pointed out, more and more job seekers are using smartphones. And to capitalize on this trend, years ago we invested in WorkAlert and SMS texting-based solution.

Now many of our PeopleReady branches are using the job stack app, which allows workers to choose their jobs from an electronic stack of options through the app, and will soon allow our customers to place their orders using the app. We plan to have the entire PeopleReady organization up and running with Job Stack this year, to give us access to more workers of more demographics, including those who aren't willing or unable to come into a branch seeking work.

Customers will appreciate having more workers available, and our associates will appreciate being able to view all the available jobs stacked and tailored to their skills and qualifications, to allow for easy swiping and sorting positions that they are interested in accepting. Our customers appreciate that they can place an order 24/ 7 on the app, and the worker can immediately accept a position without needing to speak with our branch operations team, and through the app, customers can now immediately see when a worker excepts their job and can feel comfortable the shift will be covered by a PeopleReady worker.

Turning to People Management, the demand for industrial staffing continues to expand as customers are relying on us more and more to manage a larger portion of their workforce needs. Our ability to increase productivity in our customer's operations, is a perfect fit with the growing world of digital commerce, which, serving that sector, is a strategic priority for us.

We can provide the talent needed to ramp up production, recruit and manage workforces of hundreds or even thousands of employees per site, and supply the drivers and logistic specialist needed to distribute goods. In addition, our SIMOS solutions can help these locations save more than 15% in labor costs using a per piece pricing model rather than an hourly pricing model.

Digital commerce is emerging as a secular positive for us, as it tends to be more labor-intensive for the warehouses as the selection process is based on the order from a customer rather than orders being shipped to a retail store. These digital commerce fulfillment centers need employees to pick and pack and handle what is known as reverse logistics as return items now come directly back to the warehouse instead of a retail store.

Put simply, while the traditional distribution warehouse focused on the movement of goods on a pallet using a forklift, in a digital commerce fulfillment center, it's about thousands of individual items and this demands a larger workforce that can ramp up and down quickly, based on the order flow from the online consumers. Online sales are expected to continue to expand as a percentage of the overall retail market for the foreseeable future according to retail analysts. We are excited to be prepared to participate in this growth.

Lastly, we are also excited about PeopleScout, our RPO brand. We see growing demand for RPO services on a global scale. With companies increasingly turning to providers to efficiently scale their full-time recruiting functions. While we have a market leading position in the US, which is the largest most developed market for RPO, we also see growth opportunities as the European and Asia markets rapidly develop and as companies serving multiple continents increasingly want a provider that can handle their global needs.

Companies worldwide are increasingly choosing to partner with a provider for their recruiting processes. They are interested in reducing cost, becoming more scalable, and flexible, and gaining better insight into best practices and technology. We view the adoption of RPO both domestically and globally, as another secular force from which TrueBlue benefits. We are beginning to see many large companies approach us to work directly with them in the bringing together the right workforce at the right time in the right place.

That sounds simple, yet with a shrinking pool of available workers, it's more important than ever that customers build a united front and their employment brand. And the best way to do that is to unite the effort of attracting, acquiring, and retaining both contingent and permanent employees, and ensuring the proper balance is in place. TrueBlue workforce solutions is the key to properly managing that challenge.

I'll turn over the call to Derrek for further analysis of our results. Afterwards, which we will open up the call for your questions. Derrek?

Thank you, Steve. I'll start off by covering results on a GAAP 14-week basis and follow up with a summary of our key results on a comparable 13-week basis followed by a supporting discussion of our operating trends. I'll follow up with a discussion on our three segments and finish off with an update on our liquidity position before I share our outlook for the first quarter.

On a GAAP basis, revenue for the fiscal fourth quarter declined by 9% and net income was $18 million, or $0.43 per share. Our results for the quarter boiled down to this: We posted stronger-than-expected bottom line results driven by higher-than-expected revenue. On a comparable 13-week basis, adjusted EBITDA and net income per share of $41 million and $0.58 respectively, were the high end of the comparable 13-week outlook provided in October. Comparable 13-week revenue was $702 million, which exceeded the high end of our comparable outlook of $686 million provided in October.

The better-than-expected revenue performance was the result of two factors-- One, improving comparable organic revenue trends excluding Amazon, which were as follows: October was down 6%, November was down 4%, and December was flat. Additional holiday related business provided about two percentage points of benefit to December. And second, we expected to transition the former Spartan and CLP branches to a new operating system during the fourth quarter, which we elected to delay until after the holiday season.

Our Q4 revenue outlook included about $8 million of headwind for this transition. Or about one point of revenue headwind. I also want to provide some color on the results from Amazon.

On a comparable basis in 2016, Amazon contributed about $170 million of revenue and $5 million of adjusted EBITDA compared to 2015 revenue of $350 million and adjusted EBITDA of $24 million. On a comparable basis, Q4 2016 revenue was about $30 million and adjusted EBITDA was $1 million compared to Q4 2015 revenue of $175 million and adjusted EBITDA of $11 million.

Looking forward, the annual run rate of the business we expect to retain in 2017 is about $30 million of revenue and $2 million of EBITDA. Additional revenue and EBITDA details related to Amazon can be obtained in our Q3 earnings release deck and conference call transcript, both available on our website.

The annual run rate of Amazon revenue we expect to retain represents 1% of total company revenue. Our next three largest customers each represent 2% and none of our other customers represent more than 1%. Taken a broad look at our revenue results, we saw improving our consistent trends across most geographies and industry verticals.

Moving on to gross margin, gross margin was up 180 basis points, with 110 basis points from the staffing business. Largely driven by the drop in revenue with Amazon, which carries a lower gross margin than our blended average. Pricing adjustments and an improvement in recruiter utilization in the RPO business drove 40 basis points of increased and a higher gross margin within the acquired businesses contributed another 30 basis points.

Turning to our operating expense, we remained focus on scaling our costs in response to current business conditions. Operating expense was up $4 million on a GAAP basis. Which includes $7 million of expense related to the extra nine days in the quarter. $11 million of ongoing operating expense from acquired businesses, and 2 million and $2 million more of adjusted EBITDA add backs, net of a $60 million decline in the organic business. Excluding the nine extra days in the quarter, and integration and other charges, operating expense on an organic comparable basis decreased by 10%.

Our effective income tax rate was 21% for the quarter, lower than our previous expected rate of 32% due to a higher yield on the prior year worker opportunity tax credits. Taking a look at our results by operating segment, PeopleReady comparable revenue declined by 6%. Comparable adjusted EBITDA dropped by 21%, a larger decrease then the revenue decline, due to the deleveraging effect associated with fixed costs and the branch network. People management comparable revenue declined by 29%. Comparable revenue excluding Amazon was up 23% largely from the SIMOS acquisition which was acquired at the end of November 2015.

Comparable adjusted EBITDA dropped by 38%, but grew by 42%, excluding Amazon. PeopleScout comparable revenue grew over 60% largely driven by the Aon Hewitt RPO acquisition completed at the beginning of the year. Comparable adjusted EBITDA grew by $7 million both from the acquisition, as well as from pricing and operating expense adjustments in the legacy business.

Our balance sheets strengthened in 2016 from strong cash flow, which we used to reduce debt and interest expense. During FY16 the company produced cash flow from operations of 262 million and reduced its debt-to-capital ratio from 31% the year before to 21%. Resulting in adjusted EBITDA as a multiple of total debt of 1.1 times.

For the first quarter of 2017, the outlook for total revenue is a decline of 11% to 13%. Excluding Amazon, the outlook is a decline of 2% to 5%. Included in this outlook is a revenue headwind of one percentage point associated with bringing the three former brands within the PeopleReady organization onto the same operating systems. These types of system conversions involve an investment of time-to-train field personnel and a learning curve for our branch personnel, lessening the time available to optimize revenue opportunities.

The first-quarter outlook on and earnings per share basis, is a net loss per share of $0.01 to net income per share of $0.04. The outlook for adjusted net income per share is $0.09 to $0.14 based on a share count of 42.3 million. And the outlook for adjusted EBITDA was $12 million to $15 million. Keep in mind that the first quarter is our lowest level of profitability since it only makes up a little over 20% of the total revenue mix for the year.

The reduced amount of business with Amazon made for a challenging 2016. But the adjusted EBITDA headwind is behind us after the first quarter of 2017 providing an opportunity to get back to revenue growth. Total adjusted EBITDA for Amazon in 2016 was $5 million, all of which was booked in Q1 2016. Our Q1 2017 outlook includes $10 million of revenue and $1 million of adjusted EBITDA for this customer versus $70 million of revenue and $5 million of adjusted EBITDA in Q1 2016.

Okay. That concludes our prepared remarks. We can now open the call for questions.

Randy Reece, Avondale Partners. Please go ahead.

Afternoon.

Hi, Randy.

I wanted to discuss-- get a little better understanding of-- you're going from, it looks like comparable revenue growth in the mid single digits in the fourth quarter and then the guidance is for year-over-year decline in the first quarter. I'd like to get some components of the underlying trends representing that change.

Yes, thank you for that. The growth in the comparable revenue was really driven by the acquisitions of SIMOS and Aon. On an organic basis our results in Q3 and Q4 were about -3% and that's about where we're heading into the first quarter also.

Okay. So that's a very similar trend. Do you sense any difference in how quickly that customers have restarted production, restarted operations, in the beginning of the year compared with a year ago, just after the holiday idleness.

I understand that yes. That's about the same a year ago. We're not seeing a lot of environmental differences. Yes. It's very similar. The minimum wage increases always cause our PeopleReady group to hesitate a bit as they're pushing through larger minimum wage increases and-- but that is similar to a year ago also. So I think as we closed out January, things are feeling very similar to a year ago.

So the number of markets with minimum wage increases is comparable year-over-year?

Hi, Randy. I'd say that the number of markets is comparable. It's more concentrated in California this year. You know, compared to what we have seen in the past so we're starting up this year, California has a $0.50 pay increase for the state overall. But there's roughly just a little south -- let's call it about 10 cities that has some pretty sizable increases from $1 up to $2.

So, most of the pressure, as far as getting our markup passed through, will be in the state of California early on. As you know, the challenge for us isn't getting the cost passed through or necessarily the burden; the payroll tax burden is on the cost. Our customers understand that they have that in their own businesses. It's to keep our margin whole, at least in the PeopleReady business, there's a markup of about 40% put on top of that. And that's the challenge that we have in pushing things through. However, I will say that we're off to a good start here in January.

As we look back at where we were last year, in that PeopleReady group, we ended the first quarter with maybe about 50 basis points of gross margin compression, which we worked on -- really worked that away really well as he moved to the year. As we take a look at our January results, in how we're doing right now, we're, at this point, holding pretty flat with the prior year. So we're off to a really good start here.

That's also having incorporated in our guidance here, a little bit of pressure on the revenue side as well, there's a bit of a trade off particularly in that early days of minimum wage pass through. And so most of the pressure of that, as I talked about, is in California.

My last question is when I look at the impact of Amazon on the comparisons, does it affect any other segment other than the people management segment?

No, it's all in the People Management segment.

Great. Thank you very much. (Operator Instructions)

If there are no further questions I'd like to turn the floor back over to Mr. Cooper for any closing comments.

Well, Thank you. We appreciate you joining us today to hear the explanations of our operating results of Q4 and most importantly this longer-term strategies that were working on that we've talked about here today. We look forward to updating you as we get to the end of Q1. Thank you.

This concludes today's teleconference. Thank you for your participation.