STAG Industrial Inc (STAG) 2012 Q2 法說會逐字稿

Greetings, and welcome to the STAG Industrial, Incorporated second-quarter 2012 earnings conference call. At this time all participants are in a listen only mode. A brief question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. (Operator Instructions). As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.

It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Brad Shepherd, VP of Investor Relations. Thank you, Mr. Shepherd, you may begin.

Thank you. Welcome to STAG Industrial's conference call covering the second-quarter 2012 results. In addition to the press release distributed yesterday, we filed our second-quarter report on Form 10-Q with the SEC, and we have posted an unaudited quarterly supplemental information presentation on the Company's website at www.stagindustrial.com under the Investor Relations section.

On today's call the Company's prepared remarks and answers to your questions will contain forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements address matters that are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ from those discussed today. Examples of forward-looking statements include those related to STAG Industrial's revenues and operating income financial guidance, as well as non-GAAP financial measures such as trends from operation, core FFO and EBITDA.

We encourage all of our listeners to review the more detailed discussion related to these forward-looking statements contained in the Company's filing with the SEC and the definitions and reconciliations of non-GAAP measures contained in the supplemental information package available on the Company's website.

As a reminder, forward-looking statements represent management's estimates as of today, Tuesday, August 6, 2012. STAG Industrial will strive to keep its stockholders as current as possible on Company matters, but assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements in the future.

On today's call we will hear from Ben Butcher, our Chief Executive Officer; and Greg Sullivan, our Chief Financial Officer. I will now turn this call over to them.

Thank you, Brad. Good morning everybody and welcome to the second-quarter earnings call for STAG Industrial. We are pleased to have you join us and look forward to telling you about our second-quarter results and some significant subsequent events.

STAG is now well into its second year as a public company. We're proud of the progress made to date. Presenting today, in addition to myself, will be Greg Sullivan, our CFO, who will review our second-quarter financial and operating results. Also with me today are Steve Mecke, our COO; Dave King, our Director of Real Estate Operations, and Bill Crooker, our Chief Accounting Officer. They will be available to answer questions specific to their areas of focus.

At the end of the second quarter of 2012 the Company owned 121 industrial properties, totaling 20.4 million square feet. The 12 properties acquired by the Company during the second quarter represent an approximately 12% increase in the Company's real estate assets over the previous quarter.

As you undoubtedly know, our primary investment strategy focuses on what we perceive to be market inefficiencies in the pricing of our target properties. Our second-quarter operational results provide continued validation of our investment thesis with significant leasing and acquisition activity by the Company on leasing.

First let me mention the highlights from the Company's leasing activities during the second quarter of 2012. Tenant retention for leases scheduled to expire in the second quarter was 92%, above our long-term expectations of circa 80% to 85% for single-tenant industrial assets.

In the second quarter the Company renewed leases for 164,909 square feet. To date the Company has renewed 76% of all the remaining leases scheduled to expire in 2012. In the quarter we also leased 94,132 square feet of existing vacant space. The rental rates on renewed leases expiring in the second-quarter decreased 2.4% on a cash basis and increased 1.8% on a GAAP basis.

We also sold a vacant building, 153,700 square feet, to a user. This sale of a vacant asset acted to increase our occupancy rates.

As a result of these second-quarter leasing efforts and our acquisition activity, overall quarter-end occupancy increased by 150 basis points to 95.7%. Our results for the quarter were lower on an absolute square foot lease basis because we had less to lease, fewer vacant assets and fewer leases expiring.

Capital expenditures per square foot were slightly higher in the quarter due to the mix, higher finished space being leased. We continue to experience strong leasing results without having to offer significant rent concessions or by incurring large capital expenditures. That is simply a feature of our investment focus on large single-tenant industrial buildings.

Leasing activities slowed in the quarter, but continue to be positively impacted by the strong trends in US manufacturing. Continuation of these trends will further contribute to the Company's growth and stability in the coming quarters.

Our acquisition activity continued to be strong in the second quarter. We completed the acquisition of 12 properties for a combined all-in purchase price of approximately $74.9 million. These acquisitions added approximately 2.3 million square feet to our portfolio, increasing our portfolio size by 12%.

The 12 properties are located in nine different states, bringing the total states represented to 29. And their tenants reflect diverse industries, including business services and media and entertainment.

These acquisitions have been accomplished at an average cap rate of 9% plus, in-line with our targets. Since quarter-end we have acquired three additional properties with approximately 800,000 square feet for a price of approximately $23 million.

In addition, our pipeline of deals that meet our investment criteria is robust, with over $500 million of potential acquisitions being reviewed and considered by our acquisition teams. As these acquisitions in our pipeline indicate, we remain very confident of our ability to maintain a vibrant acquisition pace through the remainder of 2012.

During the quarter there was a change to our Board. Chris Marr has joined the STAG Board, occupying the seat that was vacated by Ed Lange. Chris has a long and distinguished career as an officer of public companies. He currently serves as CEO, CIO and President of CubeSmart. We welcome Chris to the Board and look forward to his contributions and insight going forward.

I will now turn it over to Greg to review our second-quarter financial results and provide some further detail on our balance sheet and liquidity.

Thanks, Ben, and good morning everyone. As Ben mentioned, we had another solid quarter from an acquisition and a leasing standpoint. Our cash NOI for the second quarter was $17 million, which represented a 14% increase over the first quarter of 2012. This growth was driven by our strong acquisition activity.

Our core FFO in the second quarter was $8.8 million, a 23% increase over the first quarter. This large increase was a function of the revenue ramp described above. Consistent with our past reporting, we eliminated our above/below market rent adjustments, the majority which was created at our IPO, as well as acquisition deal costs and other nonrecurring costs, to measure our core FFO, which we believe is a more representative measure than NAREIT FFO. You can see a detailed reconciliation of these various metrics in our press release and supplemental.

Our AFFO for the quarter was $8.6 million, a 21% increase over the first quarter. In part because of the single-tenant nature of our business our renewal leasing costs and recurring CapEx continue to be fairly modest. They were 1.7% of cash NOI in the second quarter.

Once again, we had a number of acquisitions close towards the end of the quarter. In fact, 40% of the acquisition volume was done in the last 15 days of the quarter. As a result, the run rate metrics are even better than stated.

We also had some temporary earnings dilution on a per-share basis this quarter since the proceeds from our May equity raise were invested in acquisitions towards the end of the quarter. In spite of this dilution our core FFO still increased from $0.30 to $0.32.

I should also point out that these metrics of quarter-over-quarter growth are comparing sequential quarters since we don't yet have comparable prior-year periods. Because of our significant external growth they would be much higher if compared year-over-year.

Our portfolio occupancy increased 150 basis points from 94.2% to 95.7% and 120 basis points on a day-weighted basis. Our same-store occupancy increased by 20 basis points when measured at quarter-ends and increased by 40 basis points on a day-weighted basis.

Once again, we experienced relatively stable rental renewals this quarter, with rents rolling down 2.4% on a cash basis and up 1.8% on a GAAP basis for renewed leases expiring in the second quarter.

Of the six renewal leases, one release was designed to push a tenant who wanted a short-term lease to renew for five years. We would have had a positive cash upwards but for that one lease.

Also, year-to-date we are essentially flat on a cash basis and up 2% on a GAAP basis. In addition, we retained 95% of our tenants year-to-date.

Our balance sheet and liquidity continues to be strong. We completed a common stock offering in May for net proceeds of $103 million, which further strengthened our balance sheet. One of the goals of the offering was to increase our institutional shareholder base, and we were pleased to see 47% of the demand come from new shareholders and 83% of the offering was sold to institutions.

Our interest coverage for the quarter increased from 3.3 times to 3.7 times, and our debt to total assets was lowered to 41%. Our net debt to annualized adjusted EBITDA was 4.9 times at quarter-end, but that figure is somewhat overstated since once again most of the acquisition activity occurred late in the year -- I'm sorry, late in the quarter. As a result, there may have been a few weeks of income in the quarter for certain acquisitions, yet we counted our full debt balance on those acquisitions.

On a pro forma basis, assuming all the second-quarter acquisitions were in place for the full quarter to correspond to the full debt balance, the pro forma net debt to annualized adjusted EBITDA would be in the mid-4 times.

As of quarter-end we had approximately $5 million of cash and $95 million of quarter-end availability under our credit facility. This liquidity when combined with 50% acquisition financing gave us roughly $200 million of incremental purchasing power at quarter end. I should add that we are in discussions to increase our revolving credit facility from $100 million to $200 million, and improve the pricing proceeds level and other terms.

In general, we continue to see the financing markets improve and the nature of our properties with high-cash yields and limited leasing costs is appealing to the lending community. We continue to see the high positive spreads between our going-in cap rates and our financing rates.

As a result, we once again were able to pay a high dividend to our shareholders, which averaged approximately 7.8% in the second quarter, and represented around 84% of our AFFO.

So, in summary, we continued to exploit the attractive acquisition opportunities available to us. We continued to experience the high tenant retention and minimal CapEx that is inherent in our business. And we have a sound balance sheet to execute our strategy of generating income plus growth for our investors.

I will now turn it back over to Ben.

Thank you, Greg. At the risk of sounding overly exuberant, it just kept getting better. The combination of factors continued to provide significant volume of quality and accretive opportunities for STAG to consider for acquisition. Opportunities that continue to be attractive on both a relative value and spread investment basis. In addition to the factors mentioned previously, such as limited competition and strengthening reputation of STAG, we believe that the impending tax law changes will drive supply through the remainder of the year. Whatever the reasons, the end result is a very attractive acquisition environment for the Company.

Despite the muted recovery to date the Company believes that the ongoing improvement in the general economy, combined with the recent strength in the manufacturing sector, will continue to positively impact our own portfolio in terms of occupancy levels and rental rates. The continued lack of speculative development generally across the country, and specifically in our markets, will enhance our performance on these important metrics.

Thus we continue to be optimistic about the future for our Company, for our owned assets and for our investment thesis. We believe that our business plan to aggregate and operate a large portfolio of granular and diversified industrial assets will produce strong and predictable returns for our shareholders. Our second-quarter operational results provide continued validation for this contention.

We thank you for your continued support. We will now take questions.

(Operator Instructions). Evan Smith, Cantor Fitzgerald.

Given the $500 million acquisition pipeline, can you just give a sense of what you expect to close in 2012?

It is a little difficult to say. The acquisition opportunities remain very robust and we're very pleased, obviously, with what we have closed to date. Our acquisitions logged to date are about 135 versus original expectations for the year of 160.

That being said, the third quarter is generally a quiet quarter and the fourth quarter is generally an active quarter. I think we're going to certainly surpass the 160 net, but we really just don't have a good concept at this time of what that total number will be for the year.

Okay, and then also could you touch a little bit on the vacancy that is actually in the portfolio right now, what some of the leasing prospects there look like? And then also are there any planned dispositions in the rest of the year of vacant assets?

I will let Dave King answer that.

Vacancy in the existing portfolio is concentrated in just a few buildings. We had activity on half of those spaces. I would consider about 10% of the space to be challenged leasing just because it is a mezzanine or it is attached to an existing lease space, so it is hard to lease the small income. But, in general, we see demand picking up with the velocity of deal flow certainly accelerating. We expect good results.

Again, as we have reported at 95.7% we only have a little over 4% vacant, so it is a relatively small amount to work on in terms of increasing our occupancy.

And it is Greg. As to the dispositions, there are fairly episodic. We're typically taking our vacant properties when they become vacant and make them available for lease or for sale. We are not inclined to sell to a value-add buyer, because that is what we do. But if someone will pay us full value, a user/buyer, they would basically pay us what we would have made if that property had been fully leased then occasionally we are that fortunate.

It is sort of ironic that one deal that we sold this quarter was actually -- for those of you who were on some of our previous calls, you may recall that that was the property that we had a lease termination where the tenant paid a three years rental advance, and we were able to sell that asset for full value in relatively short order.

Okay, great. Thank you very much.

(Operator Instructions). Mitch Germain, JMP Capital.

What are your thoughts on the Wells loan, how those discussions are going?

Yes, sure, just as a bit of background, we have one large loan that is about $125 million of outstanding principal amount. It is due at the end of October 2013. I have a term sheet from a syndicate of banks to refinance that probably in the next 60 days or so. And it is going to be part of a combination revolving credit facility and term loan facility.

The expected amount of that overall facility is about $350 million, so the revolver will actually be increasing from $100 million to $200 million, and there will be $150 million term loan as part of that overall package.

I might add that the terms and pricing on the revolver will be improving, but pricing will be reduced on the order of 40 basis points or more. The term will be four years on the revolver and five years on the term. And it is our current expectation that that revolver and the term loan will both be unsecured facilities, which will be a significant advantage for us.

Great. And with regards, then, to your comments on the acquisition environment, are you seeing any additional capital flows from institutional investors bidding on similar assets to the ones that you guys are acquiring?

Our history has been that we tend to buy from small owners in this highly fragmented ownership structure that is the US industrial base. And we tend to compete with small buyers.

We really haven't seen any great amount of organized capital coming into the space. The most organized capital we see remains in the sale/lease back part of our business, which is maybe 20% of our business, something like that, where there is some organized capital. There is -- at the margin we occasionally have seen some of the public nontraded REITs looking for single-tenant net leased assets, but really only at the margin of our business.

And what is the sweet spot in the acquisition market for you guys today? What is it, like $7 million to $10 million, is that what kind of what you (multiple speakers)?

I would say it continues to be sort of $5 million to $15 million. And we may have edged up a little bit in the last year or so in terms of size of deal, perhaps as risk [communes] have risen and maybe there has been slightly less competition from larger capital sources.

So the sweet spot remains sort of in the -- again, $5 million to $15 million, so centered around $10 million. And it remains secondary markets, although we certainly buy in primary markets, and occasionally tertiary markets. But it tends to be a $10 million deal in a secondary market with a reasonable credit and reasonable term. Sort of something around a seven-year term tends to be where our averages are on those parameters.

And looking at your expiration schedule moving forward are there any move-outs that are expected, known at this time?

There are a couple move-outs that are expected through the balance of this year. We expect that will be offset with some leasing activity that we have in place in the fourth quarter.

Okay.

We would expect same-store occupancy to be roughly where it is probably by the end of the year.

Great. I just missed, Greg, that liquidity number available for acquisition today. What was that number again?

The most recent numbers we put out, I think, in terms of liquidity would be in our -- at the time of our follow-on offering we had a page in that offering and we discussed remaining capacity for acquisitions.

At that time we were around, based on the size of that offering, net to the Company we were at additional capacity for acquisitions of $210 million -- $105 million of liquidity combined with circa 50% leverage.

Since that time we have bought -- in quarter two we bought another $48 million and in quarter three we bought $23 million. So if you take that $210 million and subtract those two pieces, we have a little under $140 million of capacity left to -- based on the proceeds of the follow-on offering.

We feel that is a pretty sizable additional ramp, obviously, compared to our asset base, which is circa $800 million to date -- $750 million, $800 million today. And also relative to our original projection for the year of $150 million, and our acquisition volume to date in six plus months of $135 million.

So we're feeling fairly comfortable we have a pretty substantial or additional capacity to acquire from this day forward. Greg mentioned the new revolver and term loan. That plus putting our assets that we buy onto the borrowing base will just increase the liquidity and flexibility of our balance sheet. So we're feeling pretty good about our capacity to grow from here.

Great, thanks, guys.

(Operator Instructions). Michael Mueller, JPMorgan.

Most things have been answered, but just two quick ones. One, your cap rates of 9% on acquisitions, what is a comparable GAAP cap rate?

(laughter). We are really cash neutral, so we don't think that way often. Bill, it would obviously be higher, because if you straight line around it is probably 50 to 75 basis points higher on a GAAP basis.

Okay.

I think that is about right.

Okay. And then can you just give us a rundown of anything related to Fuller Brush in the quarter's run rate that we need to be cognizant of or going forward?

Sure. And I explained on a couple of the previous calls, Fuller is working with their restructuring officer on an orderly sale of the business. We had expected that sale process to be completed probably this month, but they have asked for an extension through the end of October. There are apparently are several interested bidders, including bidders for the going concern of the business. So they have continued to pay us rent in full, which is on the order of about $140,000.

Again, we're sort of cautiously optimistic that things will work out well, that someone will want to buy the ongoing business. And given the highly disruptive nature of moving their facility and their workforce to a different location, we expect them to stay there. We have been showing this space to other potential tenants in the event that they choose to downsize, but at this point they have given us no indication that they want to do that. So in the meantime we are getting paid rent in full. We probably will continue to see that through the end of October.

Okay, got it. Thanks.

There are no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the floor back to management for further comments and closing comments.

Although I didn't sound all that exuberant in my closing comments earlier, we really are very thankful that the market has continued to be so friendly to our investment thesis. We really are seeing a lot of good opportunity.

We also -- as a backdrop, there is a number of things that are positively impacting the US and industrial and manufacturing sectors, and we think we are, both on a same-store and on perspective acquisitions, we are going to benefit from that as we move forward. So we're very optimistic about the future, and we thank you all for your support.

That concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.