使用警語:中文譯文來源為 Google 翻譯,僅供參考,實際內容請以英文原文為主
Operator
Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the MELA Sciences third quarter earnings conference call. (Operator Instructions)
This presentation includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements include, but are not limited to our plans, objectives, expectations, and intentions and other statements that contain words such as "expects", "contemplates", "anticipates", "plans", "intends", "believes", "assumes", "predicts", and variations of such words or similar expressions that predict or indicate future events or trends or that do not relate to historical matters.
These statements are based on our current beliefs or expectations and are inherently subject to significant known and unknown uncertainties and changes in circumstances, many of which are beyond our control. There can be no assurance that our beliefs or expectations will be achieved. Actual results may differ materially from our beliefs or expectations due to financial, economic, business, competitive, market, regulatory and political factors, or conditions affecting the Company and the medical device industry in general, as well as more specific risks and uncertainties facing the Company, such as those set forth in its reports on Forms 10-Q and 10-K filed with the U.S. Securities Exchange Commission, factors that may cause such a difference include whether MelaFind achieves market acceptance or becomes commercially viable.
Given the uncertainties affecting companies in the medical device industry, such as the Company, any or all of these forward-looking statements may be proved to be incorrect. Therefore, you should not rely on any such factors or forward-looking statements. The Company urges you to carefully review and consider the disclosures found in its filings with the SEC, which are available at www.sec.gov and www.melasciences.com.
I will now turn the call over to your host, Joseph Gulfo. Please go ahead.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Good afternoon and thank you for joining us for MELA Sciences' third quarter 2012 conference call. We have now completed our initial six months on the market and I'm pleased to report that we have escalated the pace of our commercial activities, consistent with our planned, controlled, deliberate, and staged rollout in the U.S. and Germany.
We are gratified to hear about the positive clinical experiences and benefits of using MelaFind. As many of you know, MelaFind is our breakthrough noninvasive and objective automated point-of-care system for use when a dermatologist chooses to obtain additional information for a decision to biopsy clinically atypical pigmented skin lesions with one or more clinical or historical characteristics of melanoma.
On today's call I'm going to give a brief overview of our third quarter accomplishments, then turn the call over to Richard Steinhart, our Chief Financial Officer, for a review of the financials and then open up the call for questions.
Cutting to the chase, I'm thrilled to report that, as of today, we have 99 systems for which we have signed user agreements in hand, 76 of which have been installed with associated revenues booked. We are proceeding according to plan. Before we begin, I would like to take a minute to define some terms.
There are three stages of customer interaction to which we refer with different meanings.
Number one, "in discussions". This means that we have met with a dermatologist and have initiated the sales process and provided materials. At the end of the discussion period, assuming significant interest, we will send him or her a user agreement, at which point we say that "a user agreement is out".
Number two, "signed user agreement". This, as expected, means we have received the signed user agreement back from the clinician. At this point we are in various stages of orchestrating installation and training. We consider this a placement; that is we have a known address to where the system is going.
Number three, "installation complete". This means we have installed the system and the dermatologist has passed the FDA-mandated training. It is at this point that we book revenue.
And "revenue recognition". As we've explained previously, we receive an upfront payment of now $10,000. Note the increase that we took at the end of the quarter. However, all of the upfront system revenue is not recognized immediately; rather, roughly 75% to 80% is recognized over the ensuing 24 months.
Separately, we provide a box of 25 cards of product installation. We sell boxes of 50 cards - one card per patient exam - for $2,500 to our dermatology customers. To date, we have a 100% conversion rate from sending out a user agreement to a system installation.
Moving on to our results. We are pleased to report the significant achievements we have reached in the third quarter. Most importantly, we escalated the pace at which we obtained signed user agreements, installed systems, and trained new customers in our controlled and deliberate launch of MelaFind in the U.S. and several key cities throughout Germany.
In the quarter, we installed and booked revenue for 15 systems in the U.S. and 5 systems in Germany, for a total of 20. We also obtained signed user agreements for 14 additional customers in the U.S. during the quarter. All 14 of those systems have been installed with associated revenues booked in October.
The only thing that marred an otherwise excellent quarter, which proceeded to overall plan, was not being able to book the revenue for the 14 systems. This resulted in revenues that were slightly below second quarter results and did not reflect the increased level of business activity that we saw in the third quarter.
We are pleased to report that, as of today, there are 76 MelaFind systems installed in the U.S. and Germany for which we have booked revenue and we have an additional 23 systems for which we have signed user agreements in hand and are in various stages of installation and training. We expect to book revenues from these 23 systems this quarter.
Further, there are 41 user agreements currently under review by potential customers who have expressed significant interest. The period from obtaining a signed user agreement to booked revenue can take as little as two weeks for a small private practice and longer in a large academic center.
We are pleased to report that we are building out our sales and marketing infrastructure in both Germany and the U.S. In Germany we have established an office Munich, hired a strong commercial leader with extensive medical device experience, and we are in the process of adding two additional sales people as well as sales and technical support and logistical personnel.
Late in the third quarter, we also added three new sales representatives in the U.S. with very strong backgrounds in dermatology for the New York, Texas and California markets. These three new territory managers underwent sales training in late September and have already started to contribute to our growth.
We experienced several vital key learnings in the third quarter worth discussing. We established a team of installers and trainers so that our sales professionals can focus on signing new customers and helping them integrate MelaFind into their practices. The need for this is acutely appreciated when we observed that one of our most prolific sales people had obtained many contracts in June, then saw a sharp decline - as in none - in July, because he was busy with installations and training the customers who signed use agreements in June.
Therefore, in August we established a dedicated team of System Operation Specialists to perform the training of new and existing customers so that our sales people can do what they do best - sell. Our sales reps are acutely focused on signing user agreements with new customers and working with existing customers to promote the incorporation of MelaFind into the practice. We have observed a significant increase in sales activity since implementing this.
With these changes in place, our sales people can be far more efficient. For example, one of our sales representatives in the U.S., who was hired in July and started in the field in August, obtained 13 signed contracts in her first 10-week period and continues to show strong momentum. Another rep who started at the same time was responsible for nine signed contracts over his first 10-week period and also showed continued momentum. We now have seven sales representatives in the U.S., including the three additional hires trained in late September.
We have identified five steps along the trajectory toward increased usage within a practice.
Number one, training the practice champion, the dermatologist in the practice who is responsible for bringing MelaFind in.
Two, experimentation and testing by the practice champion toward achieving his or her, quote, "medical conversion" unquote, which is a Eureka moment that a dermatologist has when he or she realizes how best to use MelaFind and to appreciate its clinical utility.
Third, increase usage by the practice champion and an invitation from him or her to train additional staff and other dermatologists at the practice.
Four, direct-to-patient outreach by the practice to augment usage.
And five, local advertising and other patient mobilization efforts in an area.
To date we have focused primarily on steps one to three and, as expected, usage has been quite modest. In the current quarter, we have begun to provide tools and techniques to the customers to help them with step four - direct-to-patient outreach - and step five, local advertising and outreach for enhanced patient mobilization.
We anticipate usage to increase as we roll out these tools and techniques and as more and more dermatologists achieve their medical conversions. We observed that the 25 cards included in the instillation package will last about a month, typically, as they experiment with the system en route to their medical conversion. In July and August, the cards lasted longer.
Timing of the medical conversion can be quite variable, as quickly as one week to as long as four-and-a-half months so far. We work with customers to help them arrive at this point as soon as possible and we have appreciated the need to develop additional tools to help in this process.
We are in the final stages of developing several videos based on interviews with over 10 practicing dermatologist customers who have had excellent experiences with MelaFind. We filmed these at the American Society of Dermatologic Surgery meeting in October and we will roll out the videos after Thanksgiving. We believe that not only will these peer-to-peer videos expedite the time to medical conversion, but also increase usage.
We are also working on a "Perils and Pitfalls' paper with several customers to share best practices for optimal medical experiences. We are confident that additional papers and discussion of MelaFind at medical meetings and in the literature will also lead to increased usage, but, given timing considerations, do not expect to see the impact of that until 2013.
As of the third quarter, usage has averaged approximately once per day across all customers for the days that dermatologists are in the office. Over the summer months, as expected, they were fewer days in office and a commensurate less usage. Not surprisingly, our most prolific usage tends to be with customers who had systems placed and were trained in March and April. One of these customers has used MelaFind on over 350 patients. This customer also ran his own local advertising.
Several customers whose systems were placed in June used MelaFind multiple times per day in the third quarter. We expect much greater usage as we roll out two event techniques designed to enhance the usage once the medical conversion has taken place.
Also of note, we are pleased to see that some customers ordered a second or a third system for an additional office location within their practice. One customer ordered two additional MelaFind systems after having their first for two weeks. Several weeks after that, this very large practice ordered 10 more, for a total of 13 MelaFind systems for multiple locations.
We have also initiated discussions with several large regional health systems who expressed interest in placing MelaFind in many or most of their network locations. We are actively pursuing discussions with these groups and planning pilots with the goal of full penetration within one or more of these networks. We are pleased that the networks mirror our national rollout out; that is, they reside in states that we have already begun to penetrate.
On October 23rd, one of our newest customers, Dr. Glynis Ablon of Manhattan Beach, California, appeared on the TV show The Doctors. This is the third major national TV program including The View and Good Morning America that has featured MelaFind since launch.
On October 30th, the Cleveland Clinic published its list of Top 10 Medical Innovations for 2013. The candidate technologies were identified by Cleveland Clinic's staff from every major field in response to the question, "What innovations are game-changers in your field and will have the biggest impact on healthcare?" Products and technologies on the list are considered by the judges to have significant clinical impact, high probability of commercial success, and significant human interest.
Based on continued high levels of interest in demand, recognition that MelaFind is a breakthrough product and the accelerating cadence at which we have been signing user agreements and installing systems in the field, we believe we remain on track to achieve our stated goals in the U.S. and Germany for the first 12 months of commercialization. That is, by March 31, 2013 having signed user agreements in place for 200 systems in the U.S. and 75 in Germany. Based on experience in the third quarter, we expect that over 90% of the systems will be installed and revenue recognized by March 31, 2013.
As we look to 2013, we expect to continue our trajectory of MelaFind placements and expect to place 50% more systems in 2013 versus what we place in 2012. We will continue to optimize our sales, installation and training model and look to leverage our experience, future learnings, and customer momentum in 2013.
We are now beginning to focus on practice-based patient outreach and regional and national patient mobilization awareness efforts, which we are confident will increase awareness, demand and usage for the remainder of the first year of commercialization and beyond.
A number of other important activities occurred in the third quarter. For instance, the creation of a series of videos that explain the origins of MelaFind, the precision manufacturing of MelaFind, dermatologist validation of MelaFind and the impact of melanoma on patients. Several additional videos are in production, including the ease-of-use of MelaFind and the peer-to-peer medical utility videos that I discussed earlier.
All videos will be distributed in the fourth quarter. These are designed to be viewed by dermatologists and patients and most are suitable for dermatologists' websites and for use in their waiting rooms. We are now working on these in conjunction with Practical Dermatology, a dermatology journal that is distributing the videos to dermatologists through the Internet and hosting them on their website. We will also make the videos available on our website.
We continue to generate new data that are shown as posters at medical meetings and subsequently published as papers. We look forward to the submission and publication of both of these over the next year. In the third quarter we received final approval from FDA for the post-approval study, which was initiated at one clinical site this morning. The study has been posted on ClinicalTrials.gov, if you are interested in more details.
I will now turn the call over to Richard Steinhart, our Chief Financial Officer.
Richard Steinhart - SVP Finance, CFO and Treasurer
Good afternoon and thank you, Joseph.
Total invoicing to our customers in the three months ended September 30, 2012 was approximately $132,000, of which $69,127 was recognized and $62,902 was deferred, bringing deferred revenue reported as of September 30th to $150,876. This is compared to no revenue for the same period in 2011.
Revenue associated with the 14 user agreements signed but not installed in the quarter will be reported in the fourth quarter, since we do not book revenue until a system is actually placed in a customer's office and the doctor is trained.
Now, if we did book a sale upon signing as opposed to installation, recognized revenue for the third quarter would have been roughly $87,000 and deferred revenue as of September 30th would have been approximately $200,000, which would have been higher than the second quarter. Recall that the second quarter recognized revenues were $75,757 and as of June 30th, deferred revenue was $87,974.
Just as a reminder about recognized and deferred revenue, we have what the accountants call "a contract with multiple elements of delivery" and must defer a significant portion of our placement fee, despite the fact that we generally do receive the entire cash payment on installation. As a reminder, deferred revenue reflects the timed recognition of the installation fee revenue over the term of the user agreement, which is usually two years.
Gross profit for the third quarter of 2012 was a loss of $500,000.
Research and develop expenses for the third quarter were $1.4 million versus $2.4 million reported in the same period last year. The decrease in research and development expenses is primarily attributable to the reallocation of certain expenses to properly reflect commercial operations and reduced research and development expenses at our contract manufacturer, Askion, in Germany.
As we announced in October, we placed a multimillion dollar order for MelaFind systems that will ensure supply through the first quarter of next year.
General and administration expenses were $3.5 million for the third quarter of 2012 versus $3.7 million reported in the same period last year. The slight decrease is the result of several factors. First, there was a reallocation of certain expenses from research and development into general and administration to properly reflect commercial operations.
Secondly, stock-based compensation is approximately $1.7 million below the comparable figure in 2011. Approval of the MelaFind PMA in 2011 resulted in the vesting of a significant number of performance-based options and its correspondently large expense.
Without the reallocation of the research and development expenses and the stock-based option charges, general and administrative expenses would have increased approximately $400,000, which was a result of the expansion of our sales force, incremental marketing costs and an increase in the indirect costs associated with the placement of MelaFind systems in the doctors' offices in the U.S. and in Germany.
Our net loss for the third quarter of 2012 was $5.4 million or a loss of $0.17 per share, versus the reported loss in the third quarter of 2011 of $6.1 million or a loss of $0.24 per share.
As of the end of the third quarter, the Company's cash and cash equivalents were $13.3 million. We have selectively been using our after-market funding vehicle in order to reduce our burn rate. During the quarter, we raised about $3.4 million through this vehicle.
It is important that we point out that we continue to be focused on expense control despite significant ramp up and expansion activities. We continue to balance the need to invest in building our market opportunity and revenue growth with a keen focus on controlling cash expenditures.
I'd now like to turn the call back to Joseph for concluding remarks and then we will open it up for questions.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Thank you, Richard.
So we're pleased to report the many achievements we have reached in the third quarter, most notably the heightened activity of our commercial launch in the U.S. and Germany, which is proceeding as expected, in accordance with our plans.
We are looking forward to an expanded and accelerated rollout of MelaFind through the remainder of the year and into 2012 and putting the device into the hands of an increasing number of dermatologists. We will continue with our deliberate approach, as we work to increase usage and ensure the product's long-term success.
In conclusion, we are confident in our people and the power of our strategic plan and we continue to execute with passion and purpose. We will now open the call up for questions.
Operator
(Operator Instructions) Dalton Chandler, Needham & Company
Dalton Chandler - Analyst
Hey, good afternoon.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Good afternoon, Dalton.
Dalton Chandler - Analyst
So your objective is to get 275 signed agreements by the end of March. So, if I've done the math right here, you had 99 in hand. You have 41 out.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Right.
Dalton Chandler - Analyst
That means you need another 135 signed in roughly the next four months. So the question is do you have those 135 identified or where do you stand in that process.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Well, we have a substantial sales funnel and we are very, very confident in achieving that number. And you can see, with the increased pace - Dalton, thank you for picking up on all those facts. The same numbers for the end of the quarter were 45 placed, another 14 signed contracts out -- I'm sorry, another signed contracts in hand, and 16 contracts out, for a total of 75. So, in just one month and a handful of days of November that total number 75 jumped to 140.
So, with the increased number of sales reps that we added, both in July and came onboard in August and especially at the end of September and the SOS, the System Operations Specialist team that does the training and install so the sales reps sell, you can see a marked jump in the activity.
Dalton Chandler - Analyst
Okay and what happens between the time when you send an agreement out and you get it back? Is the customer interacting with you, asking a lot of questions, or are they doing internal deliberations? Just what happens there?
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
A variety of things. Sometimes we'll hear from their lawyer about certain aspects of the contract. Other times they're showing it to their partners so that they see -- they definitely want to do it and they're just getting buy-in from their partners. And there is normal scheduling things and whatnot taking place, so there's not really much back and forth about the science, about the medicine of the product, of the sale.
It's really more about the logistics and the contract itself. We don't put a contract out, for example, in the initial package of information, right. We only give a customer a contract when they basically say they want one, alright, significant interest and that's why we have that 100% conversion rate.
And in smaller practices, it'll take a couple of weeks. In some larger practices, like there was one medical institution that took a couple of months. There's one that we gave, I think, in June, and is still out, okay, and this is the dermatologists said they want it and it's going through the review committee at a major medical institution.
Dalton Chandler - Analyst
Okay and you have touched on this a little bit, but just on average what is the amount of time between sending an agreement out and getting it back, if you can?
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Don't know. Don't know. I think the quickest has been a day and the longest so far has been since June, that university center, right, so let's call it four-and-a-half months.
Dalton Chandler - Analyst
Okay and then just moving on to a different topic. You said you'd ordered systems from Askion to get you through the first quarter of next year. Presumably, after you get through that quarter, you're going to really try to ramp up the placements. So what is the plan after the end of the first quarter production?
Richard Steinhart - SVP Finance, CFO and Treasurer
Well, yes, we basically have a plan for the year for that, Dalton, and we will essentially put out purchase orders quarterly based on demand and where our budget is. So, what you saw was certainly the first of that for next year and that'll continue.
Operator
Trey Cobb, Stephens, Inc.
Trey Cobb - Analyst
Thanks, guys. This is Trey Cobb on for Scott. First, Joe, just to stick with the system placements, now how should we gauge kind of the physician interest levels to date? You guys obviously had a step up in system placements and orders over the past months. Are you seeing a pick-up in the interest and how should we think about that trajectory going forward over the next few quarters?
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Well, when I say we're executing to plan, this is what I'm getting at. We purposely, in the beginning, did not want to put many out, and we didn't. We then wanted to put a growing number out and we hired, accordingly, more sales reps and scaled up other activities that generate demand. So I would just stick to our number of 200 and look how many more we need and allocate that over the ensuing months, realizing holidays and whatnot, right. So I don't know if we're going to have another October, but for Christmas, for December, but we expect that kind of level of demand related to the number of days in the practice going forward.
Trey Cobb - Analyst
And then just to make sure I heard you right in your commentary, you're already seeing additional system orders from existing customers? Was that right?
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Yes. Yes.
Trey Cobb - Analyst
Okay, so are these going to, I guess, additional sites or are some of these going to actually the same sites where the --?
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Yes, we -- these are going to additional office locations. So we have not yet -- okay, with one exception, one university center that basically has all the partners on one huge floor. They have two, basically, in the same location. The others have been in separate physical locations.
So what we have not yet seen, what we have not seen yet is a group ordering another MelaFind for the room right next to the one the current one is in. That will happen and I'm confident that will happen when usage goes up, okay, and we are only just beginning to move usage to the priority level that we put placements at, of course. So stay tuned for when I report that we've seen that.
Trey Cobb - Analyst
Okay. That was helpful. And then sticking with utilization, maybe if you could talk about trends to date for those systems that have been out in the field for a while? How quickly are you seeing the physicians ramp from that one use a day to multiple uses per day? It seems like, from a few of the offices we've talked to, there's really not much ramp-up time. They're just going straight in and they're seeing three or four uses a day pretty quickly. Just any color you can provide there.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Yes, we don't have enough global numbers yet. We have some really good anecdotes, but overall, certainly, I would say there's one a day overall. The other thing to realize is that in the initial rollout, we really focused, as we said we would, on KOLs, key opinion leaders and these are the folks that are very, very smart, get the product, see its importance to the disease and all that, but they don't practice a lot. They are not in their offices a lot.
So, I think, when once we have a little more time where we now have it in the hands of people who practice a lot, I'll be able to answer your question more intelligently. I just, today, was with a customer who loves MelaFind and uses it several times a day and we didn't do anything special with him. He just got it. He's one of the ones you just talked about who just got it and ran with it. So stay tuned.
We clearly have palpated a need. What we've observed with a number of doctors is they try it out themselves. They want to convince themselves that MelaFind is what we say it is, and looking at the path reports and from their first experiences, really trying to figure out how best to use it and that's where, I think, we can do a heck of a lot better. And these peer-to-peer videos from other doctors who have gotten themselves to that medical conversion or from talking to one of their peers got themselves there, we want to expedite that and I think that's the real key.
Once we have that medical conversion, we could really then foster the usage. I remember speaking to one KOL at the American Society of Dermatologic Surgery meeting and I asked this person, I said, "So what do you think of MelaFind?" "Oh, I absolutely love it." And this person doesn't use them lot. "Oh, are you kidding?" He's told me some great clinical story and all of it.
And I said, "Well, how do I get you to use it more?" "Oh, well, Joe, You know I just left a partner and I'm doing this and this and I'm doing this. I have a TV show." And so it's very interesting that the KOLs, we can't expect the KOLs to be the real big users, okay, so we're living that firsthand. However, we have can have the KOLs help us in teaching others how to get to their medical conversion and that what's we're going to do and roll that out.
Trey Cobb - Analyst
Thanks, guys, for taking my questions.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Sure.
Operator
Josh Jennings, Cowen and Company LLC
Josh Jennings - Analyst
Gentlemen. I guess, just first, you mentioned that you've had some interest in some regional health systems. Can you just talk about how far along you are down in terms of discussions with them, and what type of system placements we could potentially see in one regional health system?
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
I'm sure I can, but I don't know if I should, okay. So I'd just like to be honest.
Josh Jennings - Analyst
Well, I guess, just to ask another way, I mean, can this potentially help you achieve your guidance of 200 systems in the U.S. within the first 12 months of commercialization?
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Oh, absolutely and none of those are in the numbers I already gave you. None of the big number placements where one bolus were in the 140 that I gave you.
Josh Jennings - Analyst
Great. And then, just -- if you could just -- I missed the first of the call and I apologize. I was stuck on another earnings call, but can you just walk us through the step-down in recognized revenue, sequentially? You had 20 systems that were installed in the quarter, is my understanding, and but the revenues came in just a little bit shy of Q2.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Right.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
Is that -- is there any pricing issues or is that all just utilization?
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Well, first of all, if I may, because you came on a little late, if the 14 -- we had 14 systems that we had signed contacts in the quarter for, but we didn't install them. So we don't count that revenue, okay. So, if we did install them in the quarter or if we did book revenue on receiving a signed contract, you would have had more. You would have had higher recognized revenues. But Richard, could you please fill in Josh with the --?
Richard Steinhart - SVP Finance, CFO and Treasurer
Sure. Revenue recognition for the U.S. systems hasn't changed very much from what we've been doing. We recognized 20% to 25% or so of the amount upfront and the balance over the life of the contract, usually two years. So it's really just a small amount of the contract placement fee that we recognize once the system is installed and doctors trained and then, beyond that, you would recognize that the revenue for the box of cards that we would sell to the doctors.
Josh Jennings - Analyst
But, I mean, if you look at the number of revenue-generating systems that were installed in the quarter, that was higher in Q3 than Q2, correct?
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
It was about the same, Josh.
Richard Steinhart - SVP Finance, CFO and Treasurer
Yes, it was actually the same.
Josh Jennings - Analyst
But, so, was the sequential downtick all driven by utilization levels? Is that how to think about it? I'm just trying to justify the increased number of systems in the field, but yet just slightly decreased revenue recognition in Q3 versus Q2.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
I think there were a combination of factors, Josh. In Germany, for example, we don't get a fee up front. It's typically just a monthly fee. So that was a little bit lower, I think, than the prior quarter and then there were a whole series of different things in there that get very detailed that I don't think we need to go into on the phone, go into on the call, but there's a whole series of different issues.
Josh Jennings - Analyst
Okay. Alright, thanks a lot, guys.
Operator
Greg Chodaczek, First Analysis Securities
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
Thanks. Hi guys.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Hey, Greg.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
Just a couple. Joseph, you talked about the time from signed contract to install. What's the average time? I think you gave a big range, but can you narrow that down, saying it takes an average of 5 weeks or something from that signed contract to install?
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
I can't. The best I can give you is that the 14 that we ended June -- excuse me, September 30th with, all 14 of them were installed in the first three weeks of October. Okay, so that's the best average I can give you. It's the one I know. Also, I'll tell you -- I'll do one more thing. We did install 10 in a three-day period.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
And what's the bottleneck? Is it everything? Is it the derm practices? Is it not enough people? I'm just trying to figure out why is that changing and why is it different.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
It's all scheduling.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
Okay.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
It's scheduling, at that point. It's the doctors not in. The practice champion has to be there, the person on the install we need to do the training, right, the FDA-mandated training. We do that all at once. We don't want to be making multiple visits to the doctor's office, so it's really logistical coordination more on their end than our end.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
Okay and I'm going to go back to one of Josh's questions. Sequentially, your revenue was down, so quarter-over-quarter your revenue is down. You installed a similar amount of MelaFinds quarter-over-quarter.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Right.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
Which means, now, you have more MelaFinds out there at the end of Q3 than you had at the end of Q2. So you should have more consumable revenue than you had in Q2, unless --.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Yes, but it was summer. As I said in my comments, the usage over the summer was --.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
Okay.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Okay, so they have that. The other, one of my colleagues here is reminding me, we had a couple of placements at or we had a couple of educational placements in there.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
Okay.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
So we didn't, right, so that's really the difference.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
Okay. So you have -- you're in the beginning of the install curve here and depending on where those installs go, it could change your revenue numbers. You can't draw a straight line, I think is what was said.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
I think, at this stage, yes. At these low numbers and where, of installations, you can have that kind of phenomenon, we just did. Once the usage goes up, I'm sure that that would mute any of the variables there, but I really want to, again, focus you on that activity in the quarter.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
Oh, absolutely!
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Having those 14s in hand and then installing them all and recognizing the revenues within three weeks is something we just can't forget here.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
Right. No, I understand that, Joseph.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Okay.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
And when MelaFind is installed, you have the derms get a box of 25 cards.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Yes.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
And then when they reorder, that's a box of 50?
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Yes.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
And I know the answer is going to be it's all over the board, depends on if it's a KOL or if it's a doctor on the Upper East Side, but how soon until they reorder after that first initial 25 box?
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
It's interesting. We've had cases where a doctor will buy a box when they buy the system. We've had examples of that. It's at least a month, usually. They go through what they have. They start focusing on it, our sales people go back in to engage them. So I'd say a month or two.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
Alright and just a few more and hopefully they're quick. Of the 275 of placements at the end of Q1 2013, if I do the math right based on your 90%, that's 247 generating revenue by that time, or thereabouts?
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Yes, it's 0.9, right, times 275 is that number, yes.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
Yes. Okay, and then for, I guess, from April 2013 through or, yes, through or, yes, through March '14, you're saying you're going to place another --
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Right.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
-- if I get the numbers right, another 412 is what you said.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
That's right.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
Based on a 50% increase.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Right, 1.5 x 275.
Richard Steinhart - SVP Finance, CFO and Treasurer
In round numbers, that's right. Right.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
Okay and Richard, can I back into the consumable revenue based on the numbers you've given us on place-- or not placements, but generating revenue based on the $2,000 upfront that you're recognizing, based on the number of machines placed that quarter? I shouldn't say placed, but generating revenue that I can come up with a consumable number? Is it pretty simple like that?
Richard Steinhart - SVP Finance, CFO and Treasurer
No. It would be hard, because there's some variable pricing in Germany, as I said, and a couple of the systems were done on discounts that we gave at the summer AAD conference. So there's some variety in the pricing in there that would make that a little difficult to do.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
Okay, two quick ones. You talked about July and August. You think this seasonality happens every year with derms?
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
You know, I don't know. I will tell you and this is anecdotal, okay? We haven't studied this. We don't look at trends. We have heard some people tell us this was the slowest year they've seen. This is sales reps, our own, as well as when we were at the meetings, so this was anecdotally. Again, I have no data, but just the feeling this year was there was less activity over these summer months than previously seen.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
Okay and this is my last one and I apologize to anybody who's in the queue behind me. Any idea what percentage of MelaFinds out there right now, as of the end of this past quarter, are in the hands of KOLs compared to a typical dermatologist?
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
I don't know, I'd say at least 20 % are KOL.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
Okay.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Actually, my -- one of -- my head of commercialization is telling me no, even more than that.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
Okay. Alright. I appreciate it and I'm glad you guys both made it through Sandy.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Yes, thanks.
Richard Steinhart - SVP Finance, CFO and Treasurer
Thanks, Greg.
Greg Chodaczek - Analyst
Alright.
Operator
John Sullivan, Leerink Swann
John Sullivan - Analyst
Hey guys, good afternoon.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Hello, John.
Richard Steinhart - SVP Finance, CFO and Treasurer
Hi, John.
John Sullivan - Analyst
A couple of quick ones. First of all, you know what, a couple of questions here have been around bottleneck and whether there are bottlenecks in the process. So I think of your process, past manufacturing as selling, contracting, installing and training. Is there one of those four that you would characterize as more of a bottleneck than the others right now, given your own capacity?
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
No and I don't see a bottleneck.
John Sullivan - Analyst
Okay.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
I see scheduling, so, if I seem defensive, but I wouldn't call it a bottleneck.
John Sullivan - Analyst
Okay, great. Can you just talk about how many sales guys you have on quota at the Company today and how many you might anticipate at dates in the future?
Richard Steinhart - SVP Finance, CFO and Treasurer
Go ahead.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Yes, we have seven right now in the U.S. and we'll -- I said previously that by March 31, 2013 I could see that number 12. And in Germany, we've had -- we have three basically now. We're adding two and I could see that number, I've said previously, get to, by March 31st, six to eight.
John Sullivan - Analyst
The three that you mentioned for Germany includes the two that you say you're adding right now?
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
No.
John Sullivan - Analyst
Okay, so three now, adding two more.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Yes.
John Sullivan - Analyst
And thinking by the by the end of March, you could be at --?
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
At least one to three more. We'll --.
John Sullivan - Analyst
Oh, six to eight total, something like that.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Exactly, exactly.
John Sullivan - Analyst
Okay. Can you talk for a minute about of the user experience? I get these questions around utilization, but can you talk about whether your clients are having success, having success clinically with the system? Can you give us some sense of how docs are responding to the system once they start using it?
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Yes. We just made -- we have a lot of raw footage from at least 10, if not more, of our users who have had their medical conversion and we're hearing things like -- we just got a call yesterday from someone. They had a lesion that didn't look all that peculiar to them, didn't want to do a biopsy, put MelaFind on it. MelaFind was high and they looked at other aspects MelaFind provides and decided this is really concerning and they did a wider excision than they normally would, based on MelaFind, and it was indeed a melanoma. And they were thrilled that they did, basically, an excisional biopsy, not just a regular biopsy that could risk leaving disease behind and not even needing now to treat, do a curative resection, right. That was story that just got called in to us yesterday.
We hear stories of doctors detecting melanomas they wouldn't have detected. I had -- I just was with another user today and he told me that he has a patient that he follows very, very closely and he put MelaFind on. He had done a physical exam on her day one, told her to come back. He wanted to do another one assisted with MelaFind. Put MelaFind on five lesions. Two where high, one was a high grade expression, one was a melanoma, three were low and just a great experience.
So we're hearing that they are beginning to use other aspects of the system, looking at the lesion below the surface and how disorganized it's appearing. They're beginning to experiment more with the product, not just the output of high/low and we're hearing really great things.
We've heard another doctor tell us that it really helps them now. Now he just puts it on every lesion he biopsies because he wants to know what MelaFind thinks of the lesion, quote/unquote, "to help better interpret the path report that comes back; do I need to re-excise if there's a margin on the dysplastic nevus or not? Well, gee, let me look what MelaFind's analysis under the surface really showed me, what is it saying to me?"
So, this is why we ran off to make these videos and why we will, ultimately, have a roundtable of users to chronicle all these pros and pitfalls so that other people can learn how to use it. So one of the things that really impressed me in this process, so far, which I didn't realize, is they practice very differently. Very differently. A gentleman I was with today practices very differently than the person who told me the way they use it from the one who called me yesterday with the story.
So what we're landing on is we're trying to get down to these archetypes. I've used that word in the past, but there's even archetypes about not only their practice is a three-person practice, five offices, four PAs or one-person practice and one nurse. So there's practice archetypes but there's even methodological practice archetypes, the way they approach a patient.
So I can tell -- oh, the guy I had lunch with today, right, half the time he uses it he gets the low reading, half the time he gets the high reading, okay, so I can tell he's a cutter. He's a guy who does that, who just takes off anything that is the least bit of concern to him. I can tell other people who tell me that, "Gee, MelaFind seems to be high on most, if not all, the lesions. " Okay, this guy is not cutting off, probably missing melanomas at when we could catch them earlier.
So I can just tell by what they're telling me their experience with, so far, MelaFind is, what kind of practice they're in, and then I can I guide them, right. We can guide them. We can say okay, so you can have great confidence in a negative than not, because the way you're using MelaFind is, you just won't -- you can rely on it not to make you do unnecessary biopsies no more than you're doing now. Or, "Doctor, gee, you really could use it more, because you're probably letting some early-stage melanomas walk out the door."
So we need to -- we have appreciated the need to bottle that and get it out to people and help them realize what kind of doctor are they and their practice style and given that, how is this tool most helpful to them.
And only when they have their medical conversion do we start doing things to get the usage up, right, and we're only starting to do those things now. We've purposely wanted to wait. We've seen organically how they do it on their own, but we didn't want to a get them offering it to all their patients or doing things that would make the patient ask for it without them knowing what to expect from the tool. That would be a prescription for disaster.
John Sullivan - Analyst
Great. Thanks so much for that color. And then my last two questions are just can you just talk about the decision to raise the price of the system and how you arrived at it and how it's being -- what sort of experience you're having with the price change? And then secondly, as you go through your sales process, is there any pushback from clinicians anticipating problems in the reimbursement area and specifically the lack of reimbursement for use of the -- patient reimbursement for use of the MelaFind system?
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Sure. So number one, the price increase. Well, after you're on the markets six months, you can no longer use the word new, right, from a regulatory point of view. So our marketing team said with that you take a price increase and we did and people haven't batted an eye, so that's why we did that.
And then, reimbursement. So, sure, there are times we talk to a doc and they don't feel that this is something that they'd be successful at in their practice. The overwhelming majority of the time, reimbursement simply is not an issue to the doctors, so there are some.
There is one health system we're talking to that wants to do a pilot with us and we'll be setting that up where that model wouldn't work. The price per patient model wouldn't work. We'd have to come up with another scheme for them that would allow them to use it, basically, much more widely, but at a different type maybe lease arrangement or something. So we're running into that question. Not that much and in places where we really would want to be, we're going to adapt, we'll work with them to adapt that model. Do you want to add anything to that, Richard?
Richard Steinhart - SVP Finance, CFO and Treasurer
No, I think that's right. That's really what we're planning to move to.
Operator
Steve Brozak, WBB Securities.
Steve Brozak - Analyst
Hey, good afternoon, gentlemen. Hey.
Steve Brozak - Analyst
Hello.
John Sullivan - Analyst
There's one item here that I'd like to go past the clinicians because, obviously the end-users are really the patients. What kind of color can you give us in terms of what the patients are seeing? Because obviously, in what you sent via email, there was a -- on the publication side, there was obviously the trial that 20% elected not to biopsy.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Okay.
Steve Brozak - Analyst
And considering that these patients, they're going to be some -- fair skinned people are going to be some frequent flyers in terms of being biopsied.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Yes.
Steve Brozak - Analyst
And, obviously, that's, in some cases going to be pretty traumatic. So, what kind of insight you starting to see on that? Because, obviously, not all biopsies are created equal.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Right.
Steve Brozak - Analyst
And when you're dealing with facial biopsies versus the rest of the body, you've got other considerations to think about. And I'll have one follow-up question after that, related to the patients.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Sure. Yes. So we, again, we don't talk to the patients directly, right, so it's hearing from the doctors and routinely we hear patients love this. Patients want this done to them. They feel that the practice is giving them more attention. That -- it's funny, one of -- just please hold for a moment. Rich, I can't read your writing.
Richard Steinhart - SVP Finance, CFO and Treasurer
Alright.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Why do you -- just say it out loud? What is it?
Richard Steinhart - SVP Finance, CFO and Treasurer
The money manager who went to one our melanoma conferences, yes.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Oh, thank you. Thank you. Okay. So here is a fund manager that we've known for years, called me up and he said he just went to a doctor and the doctor put MelaFind on him and he very much enjoyed it. Number one, he was thrilled to see it because we had lost contact with him. But then he asked the doctor what the doctor thought of it and he said the doctor went on for five minutes about how this is, how they use it. What price did that doctor charge? It was $250? $225?
Richard Steinhart - SVP Finance, CFO and Treasurer
Yes, it was expensive.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Yes and this person was charging more than we've heard other people say. So he was thrilled to have it done to him and he reported that the doctor went on and on about it.
Now it's interesting. This does not answer your question, but it brings up a point and I'm glad Richard pointed it out to me. One of the things that delighted me the most with that story was that I never met that doctor. Our head clinical person who ran the pivotal trial never met the doctor. And our new sales rep, really, who isn't among our most prolific, sold it to that doctor. So what I hung up saying was, my gosh, we have a very scalable product here. Ms. Roy or I don't have to meet every patient, every doctor. So that was good.
So other doctors routinely tell us patients very much enjoy it, love the additional attention. We made -- when the doctors asked us for more features of it and we baited these features, when we showed them the novel images MelaFind can provide and other things, yet a number of doctors tell us, "You guys, give me that. Patients will love that."
And sure enough, the feedback we got, when we first started rolling that out, was from a doctor who told me, "I have very highly intelligent patients. I have a guy who works on Wall Street, I have a physicist patient and they just loved it. They just love watching it.
One of the customers called me and said, 'Gee, could you have those images, those things that the machine is doing, can you have it come up sooner?'" Because there's a little bit of a delay on the screen and the patients are just looking at the screen, waiting for the next thing to pop up. So from these kind of anecdotes, Steve, we're hearing that patients very much like it and its corroborating what we personally experienced on the pivotal trial.
Steve Brozak - Analyst
And following that up, because, obviously, I'd mentioned you're going to have -- obviously, the clinicians that are going to be using this for patients that they are more involved with than others. What's your modeling in terms of the frequent flyers and like I said, that are going in, a fair-skinned person that's going to be coming in and that is -- how will you go out there and what's your plan to address how clinicians deal with that person?
Because obviously, these people are continuously coming in to the office.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Right.
Steve Brozak - Analyst
Because obviously they don't want a situation where something looks funny today and tomorrow it's a real problem and they've all got stories like that. So what's your approach? What's your planned approach for the treatment of those types of patients and I'll hop back in the queue after that.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Yes, you know I want to clarify the question before I answer something you didn't ask and waste the time. So what are you -- can you repeat what you mean about what's our approach to a doctor who is seeing the patient, what, frequently? I don't understand the question.
Steve Brozak - Analyst
Yes, there are going to be some patients that are obviously going to be in the doctor's office, let's say, every six months.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Okay.
Steve Brozak - Analyst
For continued monitoring, because they just happen to fit a certain profile, and/or they just -- they caught something soon enough and these are people that are not going to be the normal dermatological patient.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
Right. So this is an interesting question. So one of the models we thought about when we started was basically the health club membership model. That for that kind of patient you would buy a card or an ability to use the system frequently over a period of time, rather than just one shot and we shied away from that.
And I tell you, we haven't had requests. The doctor I was with today told me that he has a train wreck patient like that. Very, very, very fair-skinned, covered with very, very dark spots, sees this patient every three to six months and this patient just bought two cards. Wanted him to put it on as many lesions as he felt needed. So that's something we have our eye on. I think there's certainly a way we can have a different program for a patient like that and if it helps the doctor practice better medicine and we can do it, why wouldn't we? So we have our eyes and ears open on that.
Operator
Dalton Chandler, Needham & Company
Dalton Chandler - Analyst
Hi, good afternoon again. Just real quickly, it looks like your cash balance is down about $4 million quarter-over-quarter and I think you said you also raised about $3.4 million, which implies somewhere around a $7.5 million burn. Is that accurate and where do you see that going as you continue to ramp up here?
Richard Steinhart - SVP Finance, CFO and Treasurer
Yes, that's about right, Dalton. Remember, we're buying equipment. We're buying the MelaFind units and putting them out and we'll continue. We've hired some new people. We've hired sales reps, as Joseph talked about. We hired some of the technical support people in the field and whatnot, so that's kind of plateaued at this point and we will continue to buy units and use the ATM appropriately.
Dalton Chandler - Analyst
Okay and so you don't really expect much of an increase off of this $7.5 million level?
Richard Steinhart - SVP Finance, CFO and Treasurer
Well, I think that's probably a good number for the next few quarters.
Dalton Chandler - Analyst
Okay, thanks. That was it.
Operator
I'm showing no further questions. I will now turn the call back over to management for closing remarks.
Joseph Gulfo - Chairman, President and CEO
All right. Well, number one, thank you, everybody, for staying on as long as you did and the interest you're showing. We're very excited here. We're at an inflection point in our activity with our infrastructure, to enable it, and we're beginning now to move, to elevate to a higher priority the system usage, which is really how we build our business. So very exciting times for us and stay tuned. Thank you, very much.
Operator
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude today's conference. You may disconnect and have a wonderful day.