Comscore Inc (SCOR) 2014 Q4 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good day ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the comScore fourth-quarter and full-year 2014 financial results conference call. My name is Adrian and I will be your operator for today.

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • As a reminder this call is being recorded for replay purposes. I would now like to turn the call over to Mel Wesley, Chief Financial Officer. Please proceed.

  • - CFO

  • Thank you, good morning and welcome to comScore's earnings call for the fourth quarter of 2014. I'm Mel Wesley, comScore's Chief Financial Officer and with me today is Serge Matta President and Chief Executive Officer. Before we begin, please allow me to read the following disclaimer regarding our use of forward-looking information and non-GAAP financial measures.

  • During the course of today's call, as well as during any question-and-answer periods that may follow, representatives of the company may make forward-looking statements within the meaning of Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 regarding future events or performance of the company that involve risks and uncertainties. Including, without limitation, expectations as to opportunities for comScore, including customers, markets, and partnerships, expectations as to the strength of comScore's business, including the growth and composition of comScore's customer base and renewal rates.

  • Expectations regarding comScore's products, including, regarding new releases and features, their quality relative to competitors and the potential benefits of a particular product. Expectations regarding the strategic and economic benefits of certain strategic relationships such as: those with Google; Yahoo; and WPP Kantar; expectations as to the financial effects of comScore's expected divestiture of certain business lines and related impairment losses; assumptions regarding tax rates and not operating loss carry forwards; and forecasts of future financial performance for the first-quarter and full-year 2015, including related growth rates, exchange rates, and assumptions.

  • Such statements are only predictions based on management's current expectations. Actual events or results could differ materially from those predictions due to a number of risks and uncertainties. Including those identified in the documents comScore files from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

  • Those documents specifically include, but are not limited to, comScore's Form 8-K filed earlier today relating to this call, and comScore's Form 10K for the period ending December 31, 2013, and comScore's most recent quarterly report on Form 10-Q. We caution you not to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements included in these presentations, which speak only as of today. We do not undertake any obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements to reflect new information after today's call or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.

  • In addition, we may also reference certain non-GAAP financial measures in the course of our presentation. You will find in our press release in our Investor Relations website, a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures discussed during today's call to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures. The link to our Investor Relations website is IR.ComScore.com and our results are posted under Press Releases.

  • We have a presentation posted on our IR website under Events and Presentations that corresponds to our comments today and will be helpful as you follow along. With that, I will now turn the call over to Serge.

  • - President & CEO

  • Thank you Mel. Welcome to today's call everyone. We have a lot to cover, so I will begin with a brief overview of the quarter and then provide details regarding the strategic alliance we announced this morning with WPP's Kantar group. Then I'll report on some key operational highlights from what has been a very quick start to the year. I'll then turn it over to Mel to provide a detailed review of our financial performance before we take your questions. Similar to previous quarters, we have a slide deck to review.

  • Let's begin with slide 4. comScore delivered another quarter of record revenues and strong profitability. This reflects continued positive momentum across our business and the strength of our partnerships which continue to grow in number and impact. On a pro forma basis, fourth-quarter 2014 revenue was $89.1 million, up 19% over last year. Adjusted EBITDA was $21.1 million, a 16% year-over-year increase and a 24% adjusted EBITDA margin, reflecting the significant operating leverage we have in the business and our focus on managing expenses.

  • During the fourth quarter -- excuse me -- we added 46 net, new customers for our overall business for a total of 2,545 customers at the close of 2014. We added 58 new customers to our Media Metrix Multi-Platform service for a total of 506 MMX MP customers at the year's end. Two thirds of these multi-platform customers also bought Mobile Metrix and/or Video Metrix during the same quarter, continuing a trend I've highlighted before.

  • We see this as a validation that customers place significant value on our entire suite of service offerings and continue to embrace our market-leading products that measure the multi-platform world. Our contract rate with existing customers, again, remained above 90% on a constant dollar basis.

  • Moving to slide 5. For the past year, we've been opening these calls with this Venn diagram, which expresses our thesis about three mega-trends driving the digital media and advertising ecosystem.

  • First, the rapid emergence of the multi-platform consumer who connects with media across multiple devices and platforms. Second, the ubiquity of video and television that's reaching consumers through increasingly digital channels. And lastly, the rise of advertising automation, which is changing how advertising is bought and sold.

  • As we pursue our mission of making audiences and advertising more valuable, our strategy has been focused on leveraging the data assets, partnerships, and client relationships which give us a strong competitive position at the intersection of these trends. Throughout 2014 we delivered on the key priorities that supported this strategy. In 2015, our focus continues to sharpen, as we concentrate on: first, expanding our cross media offerings globally; second, extending vCE market leadership; third, integrating comScore data into the places clients use them with a focus on integrating our data into programmatic platforms and client work flows; and forth, focusing on execution and continue to return capital to our investor base.

  • As we refined our strategy and build momentum over the past year we've looked for ways to amplify the impact of our unique capabilities and dramatically expand our addressable market and growth opportunities. That's the rationale behind the strategic, long-term, global alliance we have announced earlier this morning with WPP's Kantar group.

  • Turning to slide 6. In 1999, the founding thesis of comScore was the digital media would transform the interactions between people, media, and brands. In 2015 this is obvious and the digital media revolution has profoundly changed the way that advertising works and audiences are valued. Over the past 12 months, we've seen an acceleration in the transformation of the video and television audience as consumers access TV and video across multiple devices, shift their viewing patterns to fit their own schedule, and increasingly do so in ways that challenge the traditional broadcast and cable television model.

  • Enormous opportunities are emerging for media companies and marketers who can crack the cross-media code. This global opportunity would be undermined by inadequate measurements that fails to account for all video viewing with sufficient accuracy, a concern that has been frequently voiced by industry players around the world.

  • The solution to this complex problem requires technological innovation, deep measurement expertise, and individual country knowledge. We believe that the alliance between comScore and Kantar delivers all of this and more. By combining Kantar's global experience in TV and media measurement, with comScore's existing and new measurement technologies, we will deliver a truly global solution that addresses the requirements of the entire media industry. There are multiple aspects to our long-term, global, strategic alliance that are important to explain.

  • Moving on to slide 7. Let me first talk a bit about Kantar and explain why we're so excited to have forged this business alliance. As the data investment management arm of WPP, Kantar's one of the world's largest insight, information and consultancy groups. With annual revenues around $4 billion, the Kantar group of companies employs 30,000 people in 100 countries across the whole spectrum of research and consultancy disciplines.

  • Kantar has built a tremendous set of assets that are complementary to those that we've built at comScore, and offers its clients insight at every point of the consumer cycle. Kantar services are employed by over half of the Fortune 500.

  • As we've been meeting with Kantar CEO, Eric Salama, and the Kantar team over the past several months, it's become clear to us that their combination of deep media and TV measurement expertise and global footprint is unmatched. We both quickly realized that the opportunity for our partnership is massive, as we provide new capabilities to all of our existing and new clients.

  • Moving to slide 8. Our immediate focus is on combining our assets and expertise to jointly deliver cross-media audience and campaign measurement, in markets outside the United States, leveraging a consistent methodology around the world. Kantar is the leader in TV measurement outside the United States and, today, delivers its television audience measurement services, also known as TAM, in 41 countries.

  • Today, comScore delivers digital audience measurement services in 44 countries. Working together, we will be able to combine digital media and video with television data, to deliver new cross-media capabilities and products across the globe. This alliance will help the media industry in a variety of ways. Helping increase accuracy and more comprehensive measurement including, bringing services to markets where they are unavailable today and in many cases would be unattainable without our partnership.

  • Together, we can provide the global-media marketplace with accurate, reliable and innovative measurement solutions that the industry is calling for. Our focus here is not just on audience measurement, but also on advertising campaign measurement. At comScore, we've been developing cross-media vCE to provide campaign level insights across TV and digital media.

  • The ability to measure individual campaign performance across TVs, smart phones, tablets, and desktops provides new and powerful insights to marketers. Our alliance with Kantar would catalyze and accelerate the base of our global rollout. Together, we're embarking in a multi-year journey to deliver transformational services to our dynamic global marketplace.

  • Turning to slide 9. To reinforce their commitment to the success of this partnership, WPP is taking an equity stake in comScore. I know you're eager to understand this investment part, so let me explain the financial transaction.

  • Our agreement runs for a minimum of 10 years and is expected to be accretive on a non-GAAP basis in 2015 to comScore. As the foundation to our strategic cross-media partnership, WPP expects to acquire an equity stake just shy of 20% in comScore, through a combination of direct issuances and third-party transactions.

  • There are four parts to this transaction. First, we will be issuing new shares equivalent to 4.45% of basic shares outstanding in exchange for entering into our global, strategic, alliance and acquiring certain European Internet audience measurement assets. Second, WPP will commence a tender offer for comScore shares in the next few days for approximately 15% of shares from existing shareholders. The tender offer represents a 10% premium on the volume-weighted, average price of comScore's stock for the 20 trading days, ending February 9, 2015, at a price of $46.13. Third, in the event the tender offer doesn't reach at least 10.55% of shares outstanding for a total of 15%, comScore will directly sell additional shares at the previously mentioned tender price to help WPP reach 15% ownership. Lastly, WPP may purchase an additional 5% of comScore shares outstanding, to attain a total ownership stake in comScore of between 15% to 20%.

  • The entire transaction is subject to customary regulatory approvals, including HSR and expected to be completed later in the year. So what is this all mean for comScore? This strategic alliance will be transformative to comScore's business and to the entire industry. Together with WPP and Kantar, we've worked for over a year to make sure our Company's goals are aligned, and to ensure that this partnership succeeds, and that were able to fulfill on its promise, which is, to bring cross-platform solutions to markets where these types of solutions have not been available or even attainable.

  • That success depends on comScore maintaining its stature as a trusted source of independent third-party metrics. The value we bring to our clients, and the broader market, requires trust in our position as a neutral, objective and independent third-party. While WPP will be taking a substantial equity stake in our company, they fully understand the importance of comScore's neutrality and independence. Accordingly, WPP will not have a board seat, either as a member or observer. We recognize that it is strongly in all of our interests to ensure that comScore continues to deliver trusted and independent data and services to all our media agencies, advertiser clients, and the industry at large.

  • Finally, as we've met with Kantar over the past year, it's become clear to both of us that there are also powerful opportunities that extend beyond our immediate focus on cross-media audience and advertising measurement outside the US, but we've covered enough and we'll leave that discussion for another day. Were obviously excited to announce our alliance with Kantar this morning and I'm sure you'll all have questions, but there are several other items that I want to report on.

  • Turning to slide 12. 2014 saw a strong emphasis on partnerships at comScore, as we worked to bring our data to the places clients use them and expand and enrich our data sets, which help make our products so valuable to clients. A year ago, we announced partnerships with both Google and Yahoo to integrate vCE into their app server work flows. Our beta with Google went live in Q4 of last year and we are on schedule to exit the beta period within DoubleClick by the end of Q1 of this year.

  • I'm pleased to announce, this morning, we're extending vCE in DoubleClick along to additional key dimensions. First, in the US, vCE and DoubleClick will be available for mobile advertising. This is an extremely important step as we all know how critical it has become to measure mobile campaigns in a scalable platform. Second, vCE and DoubleClick for desktop advertising will become available globally and we plan to jointly rollout several countries in 2015. These additional services will begin rolling by the end of Q2.

  • We've been working with Google for the past few months to make this happen and we're both excited that this additional layer strengthens our partnership even further. On our Q3 earnings call, I announced the partnership we signed with Pandora to bring their demographic data into vCE Mobile. As a reminder, Pandora -- as a reminder -- excuse me -- Pandora has over 200 million registered users in the US, with 81.5 million of them active in a given month. I'm pleased to announce that, as of January, we are now receiving this data stream and we will be soon activating it within vCE Mobile.

  • Rich in granule demographic data is a key building block for vCE, but we want to go beyond age and gender, which today are the predominant demographic variables used in digital advertising. We intend to ultimately incorporate behavioral, lifestyle, and off-line segment data into our measurements. That's why in Q4 we signed an agreement with Acxiom Corporation, deepening our existing partnership.

  • Our agreement will bring Acxiom's InfoBase consumer segmentation into the comScore vCE product suite. This data allows us, for example, to extend the audience validation we offer in vCE to advertisers targeting, likely, purchases of luxury sedans or consumers who shop with a particular credit card in the past 12 months.

  • Acxiom InfoBase provides data on 42 major life segments, 252 sub segments, and thousands of [at] general brand and product propensity ratings. Its inclusion in our vCE product suite will be a significant enhancement to our capabilities.

  • Moving on to slide 13. We opened 2015 with two major product announcements that directly advance our corporate strategy. The release of Video Metrix Multi-Platform and the launch of comScore Industry Trust.

  • In 2014 we announced Total Video, our approach to providing cross-media measurement that includes digital, video, and linear TV. We've been working hard on building and assembling the many complex pieces required to deliver syndicated, cross-media services and have been delivering private data to clients such as ESPN, NBC, ABC, SIM among others. Now a prerequisite for our total video solutions is Video Metrix Multi-Platform, which provides unduplicated audience measurement for digital video consumption across desktop, Smartphone, tablets, and over-the-top video.

  • We announced the beta availability of Video Metrix Multi-Platform, also known as VMX MP, in mid-January. The industry has quickly rallied behind us based on this announcement and we're in the process of tagging with 79 video publishers in the US, including more than 90% of major broadcast and cable networks.

  • Client subscriptions to Video Metrix continue to grow and VMX MP is obviously important in its own right, but it should also be seen as a key building block for our work in delivering total video measurement and the global work that will be doing jointly with WPP and Kantar. Video Metrix MP launched in beta in the US, and will come out of beta mid year. We'll deliver Video Metrix Multi-Platform in additional markets later this year.

  • Moving to slide 14, in late January we launched comScore Industry Trust, an important multi-part initiative that will be fully rolled out over the course of 2015. As the name implies, Industry Trust tackles, head on, a fundamental problem in today's advertising ecosystem, which is the increasing lack of trust between ad buyers and sellers, resulting from fraud and non-human traffic that has become a fixture of programmatic advertising.

  • With Industry Trust, we're enabling trusted transactions by activating key comScore metrics: non-human traffic data; Media Metrix rankings; vCE viewability metrics; and demographics, directly in programmatic trading platforms. The first integrations for MediaMath, Turn, The Trade Desk, Rubicon Project, and Eyereturn will be completed soon, and we expect many more to follow.

  • The technology and data behind Industry Trust is based, in part, on the work of MdotLabs which we acquired six months ago. Our team completed the Mdot integration with comScore data and systems in just 90 days, and it's now a core component of our Industry Trust initiative. Through Industry Trust, we're giving media buyers the ability, for the first time, to conduct traditional and programmatic buys based on the same set of trusted metrics.

  • Industry Trust also supports the needs of ad sellers, providing a mechanism for premium publishers to distinguish themselves on programmatic platforms through the quality of their inventory certified by neutral third-party comScore. We're putting our data in the places clients need to use them. We'll be talking at greater length about this important initiative as the year goes on, but I'd encourage you to find out more details now by going to www.industrytrust.com.

  • With Media Metrix MP, Video Metrix MP, vCE, and comScore Industry Trust, we're bringing solutions to markets that make audiences and advertising more valuable. Our new strategic alliance with Kantar and our growing relationship with Google, and other partners, are bringing our solutions to market in new ways, globally and at massive scale.

  • We're embarking on this next phase in technology and measurement innovation at exactly the right time and I look forward to updating you over the next several quarters on our progress. Now, I'll turn it over to Mel for a review of our financial results.

  • - CFO

  • Thank you Serge. I will now provide more details regarding our fourth-quarter results. Revenue in the quarter was $89.1 million on a pro forma basis, up 19% versus the same quarter last year. We are pleased with our revenue growth, despite foreign currency exchange rate headwinds. If exchange rates against the US dollar remain constant from the same quarter last year, our Q4 pro forma revenue would have been $1.5 million, or 2% higher.

  • Subscription revenue in the quarter was $81 million on a pro forma basis, up 21% versus the same quarter last year. Subscription and project revenue represented 91% and 9% of total revenue respectively. The ongoing success in customer adoption of vCE continues to drive our subscription revenue mix higher.

  • Revenue from existing customers was $82.4 million on a pro forma basis, up 22% year over year and representing 92% of total revenue. During the quarter, we also added 46 net, new customers bringing our total customer count to 2,545 on a pro forma basis.

  • Our international revenue on a pro forma basis also continued to grow, up 16% year over year and representing 28% of total revenue. As Serge mentioned, in December we signed an arrangement with an existing customer to acquire key data assets for future use in our products. In return, we provided them with historical behavioral data for use in predictive advertising analytics. The transaction resulted in $4.5 million of Q4 revenue and $6.3 million of Q4 R&D expense. We believe this investment will significantly enhance future products in 2015 and beyond.

  • Turning to margin and expenses on a GAAP basis, our gross margin was 71%, increasing 3% over the same quarter last year. The higher gross margin trends this year are primarily attributable to operating model leverage from increased scale and tight expense controls.

  • Selling and marketing expense decreased to $24.7 million, down $1 million from the same quarter last year. The decrease was largely the result of lower travel and advertising costs.

  • R&D expenses increased to $21.2 million for the fourth quarter, up from $10.6 million from the same quarter last year. The increase is primarily the result of data acquisition costs, including the arrangement previously discussed that added $6.3 million of R&D expense this quarter.

  • G&A expenses increased to $20 million for the fourth quarter, up from $13.7 million from the same quarter last year. The increase is primarily due to stock-based compensation expense driven by the market-based grant issued in November. I will provide additional grant details during my discussion of stock compensation expense.

  • GAAP pre-tax loss for the quarter was $6 million compared to GAAP pre-tax income of $312,000 in the same quarter last year. The decrease was primarily the result of a $2.8 million impairment charge during the quarter related to our mobile operator division and higher stock compensation expense. The impairment charge was necessary, given a classification of that division as held for sale at December 31.

  • In addition, we were unable to complete the sale of the division under the terms of the LOI that was signed in October 2014. Our intent to divest the division has not changed.

  • The higher stock, compensation expense resulted from a market-based, stock grant issued in November that contributed $7.9 million of incremental stock-based compensation expense during Q4. During the quarter, stock compensation expense was $15.5 million, compared to $7.7 million for the same quarter last year. The increase relates to the market-based grant that was approved by our compensation committee and issued in November. Vesting, of which, is conditional on significant appreciation and comScore's share price.

  • This grant, outlined in an 8-K, filed in November, is designed to align management and shareholder interests during its three-year term by motivating existing and newly appointed executives to drive shareholder value significantly higher. In accordance with applicable accounting guidance, we will record the grant expense, regardless of whether the share price conditions are achieved and the shares vest. Given the structure of the grant, 80% of the grant expense, or $21 million, will be recorded by the end of Q1 of 2015 and 100% of the grant expense, or $26.1 million, will be recorded by the end of 2015.

  • This is only the second market-based grant approved during the Company's history and is intended to drive tangible returns to our shareholders. The expense associated with this grant is included in our guidance.

  • We generated a tax benefit during the quarter of $3.4 million, compared to a tax expense of $142,000 for the same quarter last year. The tax benefit this quarter was primarily the result of a change in the status of our mobile operator division and the related impairment, together with the associated tax treatment. We expect our cash taxes to remain low in the near term as we hold net operating, loss, carry forwards in the US and certain foreign jurisdictions.

  • During the quarter, GAAP net loss was $2.7 million, or $0.08 per basic and diluted share, based on a basic and diluted share count of 33.6 million shares. Non-GAAP net income for the quarter was $15.7 million, or $0.45 per diluted share excluding: stock-based compensation; the impairment charge related to our mobile operator division; amortization of intangibles; acquisition related expenses; and other nonrecurring items. Our non-GAAP, EPS calculation is based on a fully diluted share count of 34.6 million shares.

  • Fourth-quarter, adjusted EBITDA was $21.1 million, or a 16% increase over the prior year, representing an adjusted EBITDA margin of 24%. We are pleased by the continued margin expansion we've generated in our core business and we expect these gains to provide us with incremental investment dollars to accelerate key projects we believe will contribute significant ROI.

  • Looking at our balance sheet, we ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $43 million, an increase of $3 million sequentially and a decrease of $25 million from the same quarter last year. The decrease from last year primarily reflects $37 million of share repurchases in connection with our stock repurchase program, partially offset by cash flow from operations.

  • Cash flow from operations for the fourth quarter of 2014 was $7.5 million and capital expenditures for the quarter were $1.1 million, resulting in free cash flow of $6.4 million. Free cash flow for the same quarter last year was $4.7 million. The increase in free cash flow was primarily the result of strong accounts receivable collections activity.

  • Slide 15 details our guidance. It is important to note that the following guidance ranges exclude the financial impact of the mobile operator division as the division is currently classified as held for sale. For the first quarter of 2015, we anticipate revenue on a pro forma basis in the range of $84 million to $88 million.

  • We anticipate GAAP loss, before income taxes, on a pro forma basis in the range of $15.3 million to $10 million. The guidance range is driven by $13.1 million of expense associated with the previously discussed market-based, stock grant.

  • We anticipate adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $17.5 million to $20.3 million, which represents an adjusted EBITDA margin range of approximately 21% to 23%, or 22% at the midpoint of our revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance ranges. For the full quarter of 2000 -- sorry -- for the full year of 2015, we anticipate revenue on a pro forma basis in the range of $366 million to $379 million.

  • We anticipate GAAP income, before income taxes, on a pro forma basis in the range of a $10.9 million loss-to-income of $4.5 million. The guidance range is driven by $18.2 million of expense associated with the previously discussed market-based, stock grant.

  • We anticipate adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $82.5 million to $93.5 million, which represents an adjusted EBITDA margin range of approximately 23% to 25%, or 24% at the midpoint of our revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance ranges. We will now open the line for questions.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • Youssef Squali of Cantor Fitzgerald.

  • - Analyst

  • It looks like you guys have been pretty busy this quarter so congrats. A couple questions. First maybe you can just dig a little deeper into the areas of strength in the quarter by business product vCE, DAX, and MPX, et cetera. And vCE in particular maybe you can comment on the contribution of Yahoo and Google in the quarter and then I have a follow-up.

  • - CFO

  • I'll take the second part of your question first and then I'll turn it over to Serge. For the revenue generation by the Google Yahoo partnerships during the quarter it was in the low [$7 million]-figure range.

  • - President & CEO

  • And as Mel's suggested, hey Youssef. As far as the other business units a everyone has been doing well vCE specifically has beaten all of our internal expectations, obviously the partnerships that we announced all last year have helped to do that but we are on track for vCE we're actually beating all of our like I said, beating all of our estimates on vCE and we are extremely bullish on that product line.

  • In terms of the others MMX MP is the one I really want to highlight. That product and remember just to tell everybody remind everybody what that is it's a D duplicated audience measurement service for mobile and desktop and that product we've mostly rolled it out in the US and a few other countries.

  • That product is, there's no other way to say it other than it's on fire. Everybody is buying it we have already 506 Media Metrix MP customers at years in. Most of those are in the US.

  • We've started launching, rolling those out in additional countries. But and will do -- will do a phased rollout in several new countries this year, Brazil, Spain, and others. The key gating factor for that product is mobile and we need mobile measurement panels in each of those countries so before we can do that and that's always been the gating factor that we've had, but were fortunate enough to be doing extremely well in the US and rolling it out in additional -- in additional countries.

  • - Analyst

  • And then on the partnerships -- partnership you announced this morning just a quick clarification on Kantar maybe you can comment on it not being in the US, it's only outside the US, so is that just a function of the data that Kantar has and maybe not being able to supply you with US data or is there anything else? And then on the WPP ownership not sure how WPP owning almost 20% of the company will not hamper your ability to deal with other agencies. Have you had any conversations with other agencies and feel confident that, that will not be the case considering you're no longer Switzerland?

  • - President & CEO

  • There's an easy way -- there's an easy way to differentiate before Kantar and Kantar by the way it's not that hard, but realistically Youssef outside of the US is, they don't, Kantar does not have TV audience measurements services in the US. They did have some and they sold it off in a transaction they did with a company called Rentrak last year.

  • So this agreement focuses on 100% on non-US markets and again its non-US markets for not only just the cross media audience measurement piece but it also focuses on cross media campaign measurement piece. So it's -- they have Kantar as I mentioned earlier, Kantar has over 42 countries where they are, where they have the television audience measurement service we measure 44 countries digitally.

  • So in a lot of countries what happens is there something called the JIC, which is the Joint Industry Committee and what the JIC does is it appoints a research provider to measure TV and a research provider to measure the Internet. For example in the UK the organization is called BARB which is -- and they have anointed Kantar as its provider.

  • UCom is the Internet audience measurement association and they have anointed comScore -- comScore to measure. So there's a lot of new opportunities where we can do this not just in the UK but obviously in a lot more countries where we have the overlap between the two companies.

  • As far as your second question and the objectivity. Obviously our biggest concern here right so when we've been working with WPP and Kantar and WPP has recognized this from day one that they want to make sure that even with an investment in comScore that we remain completely independent and I actually disagree we are still in Switzerland here. This is -- this is -- and that's why we insisted that WPP does not take a board seat or a board observer in our, in comScore, that's extremely important.

  • Now as far as the agency and the objectivity and all of that stuff the end of the day all of our agency clients have been asking for cross media measurement globally. This is an and industry initiative that they've been asking for and we came together with Kantar Media and the Kantar Group and us to bring this to our agency clients and all of our other clients not just the agency. So it's an industry initiative that they've been asking for and this is one way to solve for it.

  • - Analyst

  • Thanks Serge. Thanks Mel.

  • Operator

  • Robert Peck of Sun Trust.

  • - Analyst

  • Congratulations on the WPP deal. I wanted to start there if we could. First of all how should we think about list for comScore not only in 015 based on the deal but 016 going forward and then as part of the guidance for 015 because what you're baking in I just have a quick follow-up on that?

  • - CFO

  • Hey Bob, it's Mel. We definitely have revenue baked into 15. We're not disclosing what that is. We feel like we've been conservative obviously the strategic alliance portion will take some time to ramp. But that is definitely contemplated in our 2015 guidance.

  • - Analyst

  • And then Mel can you maybe just walk us through how do the economics I mean new products or capabilities that you form together how does economics of those products split out between the two?

  • - CFO

  • Yes, sure so we're going to be working with them to work through a revenue sharing type arrangement. Those have not been completely hammered out yet but that is in process.

  • - President & CEO

  • And Bob, hey this is Serge. These things with the cross media measurement service these things take time. This is a, now this capability not exist before was not attainable in a lot of different areas.

  • Now we have that capability jointly with Kantar we're going to go and put the two products together and then we're going to go jointly bid to the individual in each of the individual countries. It's a process. It takes time but absent -- prior to this announcement comScore did not have a true robust cross media measurement service in -- in countries outside of the United States and we feel now with this combination we are -- we're very well-positioned.

  • - Analyst

  • Switching gears really quickly here. Mel could you tell us what you baked in for 2015 on the vCE with double-click and then also along with the total video for 2015?

  • - CFO

  • So we definitely have obviously revenues baked into our plan for that. It's included in the guidance. We're not breaking out those at a product level. But those are definitely baked into the plan.

  • - President & CEO

  • Now to be fair we have baked in, in these numbers, what we have baked them very conservatively and mostly because Google is still in beta and we expect to get out of beta at the end of Q1. So we still -- it's way too early to fully bake everything into the numbers just because we need more time. It's still in beta there's also seasonality issues that we have to consider.

  • So but again like Mel said we have baked in some revenue and we'll be updating it as we know more and as we launch other beta.

  • - Analyst

  • Congratulations again.

  • - President & CEO

  • Sure. Thanks Bob.

  • Operator

  • Jason Helfstein of Oppenheimer.

  • - Analyst

  • Thanks. Two questions. How should we think about I guess the guide so if it is some Kantar in the guidance you guys are saying it's accretive, but you're not actually telling us you know kind of what you're getting in return for the effectively for the shares. Is there a way to think about the value trade? And then maybe how we get there what are you guys assuming for what was year-end share count what you are assuming for first quarter share count what you assuming for fourth quarter share count? Assuming this transaction is consummated. And then I've got two more.

  • - CFO

  • Got you. So on share count we did not guide on share count. There are lots of variables obviously with respect to this, this arrangement. So we did not guide on share count for that reason.

  • In terms of the different revenue streams so there's basically two buckets to think about. The first relates to the IAM business that we're purchasing that we referenced in the script. There are revenues associated with that that will be -- will be recording during 2015. They are in the guidance.

  • Together with the revenues we discussed regarding the strategic alliance which will take more time to ramp. But based on those two categories and our assumed cost associated with the acquisition obviously that's how we arrived at determination from a non-GAAP perspective were expecting that to be accretive in 2015 now that assumes that the tender is successful. If the tender is not successful then obviously that would impact that accretion analysis and we will obviously update that during the next call once we get visibility into whether or not the tender is successful.

  • - Analyst

  • Yes I guess it's just I mean you could have EBITDA but if you don't know how much shares are associated with it, it's just it's hard for people to value the stock I think. Outside of just fully loading everything for the full option so, and what -- any comment on what your guidance assumes for the currency impact for the full year? So how much headwind are you assuming in your guidance?

  • - CFO

  • Could you repeat that Jason.

  • - Analyst

  • So any can you comment on what type of currency headwinds you're assuming in the guidance of the full year, so the impact? --

  • - CFO

  • Yes, sure. So we did look very carefully at the trends regarding the major currencies where we operate and we basically made the assumption that the US dollar is going to continue to appreciate against our major currencies so we feel like we have baked in a sufficient amount there. I think we would only get in trouble if we saw a significant appreciation that was far and above what we saw last year. So we feel like we're relatively well positioned from a currency headwinds standpoint and just to get back to your share question I can appreciate that.

  • At a high level what you can think about is if the -- if the tender offer is successful we should see the current share numbers increase by somewhere around $1.6 million. If we end up having to backstop the tender if it's -- if the tender is not fully successful that obviously changes and we just can't predict that at this time.

  • - Analyst

  • I got it, that's helpful and just two quick questions. Can you just talk about what drove the spike in R&D sequentially and then with respect to the shares being issued with the new option grant plan can you guys commit to buying back the equivalent amount of the shares out of free cash?

  • - CFO

  • Sure, so on the R&D expenses, as I mentioned $6.3 million of that was related to that transaction that Serge spoke about. The customer where we reached an agreement to acquire data assets.

  • So that obviously was a big driver for the year-over-year and then other data acquisition costs. We obviously expect that to come down sequentially and obviously that's included in our guidance.

  • And then in terms of, your second question could you please repeat that.

  • - Analyst

  • Yes, so obviously it's a significant share grant -- or option grant can you commit effectively buying back to offset the dilution as those options vest?

  • - CFO

  • Well in the past we have used our stock buyback program to offset dilution among other objectives and we intend to continue to do that. Obviously at this point I don't necessarily know what the share price would be if in fact there is vest I obviously know what the triggers are, but if we operate the plan consistent with how we have in the past we would offset dilution, but I simply can't commit to that at this point without knowledge of what this prices ultimately will be.

  • - Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Andre Benjamin of Goldman Sachs.

  • - Analyst

  • My first question was also about the Kantar partnership. I was wondering if you have any thoughts around when their commercial product would actually the market when you have the -- and will you have the ability of leverage information from Rentrak given WPP also has a stake in that company.

  • - President & CEO

  • Sure. As far -- hey Andre. As far as timing is concerned we've been working with Kantar now for a few months, I don't have the specific timing. Suffice to say we have a bunch of different work streams already going on with Kantar on a bunch of different initiatives. But as far as the cross media audience measurement and campaign measurement work stream we will -- our goal is to have something in 2015 but will obviously be updating you and the street accordingly over the next few quarters.

  • As far as Rentrak is concerned this deal like I mentioned is non-US and does not include any US data assets. We are -- we're good friends with Rentrak and we know obviously that WPP has also a 20% ownership stake in Rentrak, but this deal does not include them at this stage so it's just, it's because it's 100% focused on non-US markets.

  • - Analyst

  • Got it. And in the past you've provided some color on how you're progressing with respect to penetration of the Media Metrix suite. I was just wondering if you could give some more color on that both domestically and internationally and how are you think about the runway there.

  • - President & CEO

  • the Media Metrics suite obviously in the US we're very well-positioned in the US we have a lot of clients that are buying that product we feel like we're probably 85% 90% of most clients buy Media Metrix. I always joke that you kind of have to be in a cave -- living in a cave if you are the digital space and not buying Media Metrix.

  • Now MP is a subset of Media Metrix so a Multi-Platform subset of the entire Media Metrix product line we've done very, very well there. It's probably less than but it's still less than 50% penetrated in the United States. And then overseas it's probably a lot less penetrated because we only have it in one or two countries right now and will be rolling it out in several other countries, so the opportunity to roll out MP, Media Metrix MP, and Video Metrix MP the product that we announced today as well is substantial not only in the US but also overseas.

  • - Analyst

  • My last question would be on the guidance. What would we need to assume happens in order for you to hit the high end of the range?

  • - President & CEO

  • [ laughter ] Go ahead.

  • - CFO

  • Are you referring to Q1?

  • - Analyst

  • No we can go for full-year.

  • - CFO

  • [ laughter ] I'll stick to Q1. [ laughter ] First I'll address Q1. So yes, we did have some deals that we had some accelerated deal cycles in Q4 just due to customer needs that we pulled in so if we and that's obviously contemplated in our guidance at our midpoint. Obviously that's something that can recur if that does recur we would obviously expect to be up a high end.

  • For the full year obviously from a pipeline perspective as you get out you have to extrapolate a bit more, so that's a little bit tougher but obviously the big -- you know the big kind of areas that can push us to the top are obviously areas where we've been conservative. Those areas coming in higher we've been conservative in quite a few areas we talked about the Google and Yahoo partnerships, we talked about obviously the revenue that we expect to generate from the Kantar partnerships, so we do feel good about our ability to come in near the high-end just given the fact that we feel we've been conservative across the board in some key areas.

  • - Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Todd Mitchell of Brean Capital.

  • - Analyst

  • First two questions, I want to ask about vCE. So looking at vCE Reston or non-Yahoo Google alignment. What is the key sell metrics when you go to market that you communicate to potential customers vis-a-vis competition.

  • And the second question which is also related to vCE is if Yahoo or rather Google is in this beta test what, just very high level conceptually, what are they looking for that's going to give them the ability to determine what their ROI or what's going to make the value add for them in this partnership? What are they looking for, what is the metrics there?

  • - President & CEO

  • Sure. Hey Todd. In terms of the sell metrics on vCE Reston versus Google Yahoo. Let me explain the differences. In vCE Reston if you want to call it that is --

  • - Analyst

  • vCE just in Reston not as opposed to aligned with Google or Yahoo but as opposed to another competing solutions.

  • - President & CEO

  • Yes, yes, no we get it. The vCE is, the core vCE product includes view-ability, it includes verification, it includes non-human traffic that we enhanced significantly through our Mdot acquisition. And obviously it includes all the data partners that we have that we announced last year Pandora, Yahoo, Google, and others. So it includes all of that and it measures all campaigns across all ad servers. That's the vCE core service.

  • The vCE service in, for example in Google up until today's announcement covered the US only and covered display and video it did not cover mobile. So that's a differentiator and it was not global.

  • Now today's announcement obviously expands that. It includes we will be launching with Google mobile vCE and double-click, we will be launching with Google global desktop vCE. And so that's some of the differences, another big difference is also view-ability.

  • Is not yet included in the vCE service and double-click. It does not include view-ability. It includes making sure that their reaching the target audience in terms of demographics.

  • As far as what Google will see at the end of Q1 and to determine you know honestly I'm not going to talk on behalf of Google. Clearly I think high level metrics I would think are based on adoption in terms of brands, advertisers, number of agencies using the service. Those are high level metrics that they would look at but more specifically to that I'll leave for Google to answer.

  • - Analyst

  • Is there a differentiator in the linkage between vCE and Media Metrix in that publishers are often delivering inventory to the exchanges or to even primary customers using Media Metrix for a guarantee? And kind of having your data set aligned increases the efficacious of your measurement mechanisms.

  • - President & CEO

  • You know it's a great question, great point and that's exactly what the industry trust is all about. Bringing all of these metrics of Media Metrix, view-ability, brand safety, fraud, the demographics all in one platform and then integrating them into these programmatic platforms where it hasn't been made available in the past. So now they can do it pre-bid and then obviously the media planning tools they would leverage the Media Metrix product suite.

  • So it all comes together with industry trust and it also allows premium publishers to look at the data in advance for their own data to make sure how they measure themselves in terms of fraud, view-ability all certified by an independent third party. So it's all coming together. We felt that it was extremely important to make sure that that data is available in the programmatic platforms such as Stern, Rubicon project, and others and will obviously be expanding that list of platforms in the next few quarters.

  • - Analyst

  • One other question. Market positioning for Total Video and VM MP. How should we think about that as differentiated obviously they are differentially but could you just really quickly sort of address you know end markets, ASPs, kind of how should we think about the difference in the business models and positioning there?

  • - President & CEO

  • So we've always thought that total video encompasses the way we measure it is encompasses both a combination of set top box data plus panel data from the assets of Nielsen Audio. We then combine it with set top box data that we have from different providers including AT&T and then combine that data and all of the digital data that we have the panel and the census data. That's what Total Video is.

  • Now a prerequisite of Total Video is what we launched earlier this year which is Video Metrix Multi-platform. Now what that is, is the ability to tag all of your video content across all digital platforms? Digital platforms being PC, smart phones, tablets, OTT. All of that is what Video Metrix MP does.

  • So we wanted to make sure that we do it, we wanted to make sure that we do it in a scalable and census-based versus a panel based approach. So we need the prerequisite of video MP -- Video Metrix MP.

  • We have amazing adoption we announced this product at the beginning of January or in the second or third week of January and already we have 79 plus companies tagging with us, video companies tagging with us, over 90% of cable and broadcast networks tagging with us and when they tag they don't just tag one site they tag all of their sites across all of their digital platforms. Once we have all of that and we will get out of beta of that product in Q2 of this year than it becomes a solid platform and foundation for Total Video.

  • - Analyst

  • Thank you, that's helpful.

  • Operator

  • Shyam Patil of Wedbush Securities.

  • - Analyst

  • Just wanted to start on Google just wanted to confirm are you guys still expecting Google to come out of beta at the end of the quarter and go live in 2Q? And Serge it seems like Google's pricing to its customers could have a meaningful impact on adoption what's your sense on whether it makes sense for them to offer an opt out basis versus opt in given that direct response advertisers make up such large portion that they make would love to hear your opinion on that.

  • - President & CEO

  • Sure, hey Shyam and welcome to your first earnings call. We with Google the -- in terms of opt out opt in all of that stuff honestly we're not going to get into that, we're still in beta, they have a decision to make at the end of Q1. We are absolutely on schedule with Google to get it out of beta by Q1 on the desktop and then will be rolling out mobile vCE and Google International on the desktop later this year mostly in -- starting in Q2.

  • But as far as opt in opt out, I think for now just we're 100% focused on getting it out of beta and then jointly with us and Google we will determine what's right for -- what's right for the industry. I'm not going -- I'm not going to predict what they're going to do. It's still a bit early and we'll obviously -- once we know will update everybody.

  • - Analyst

  • Great. Not to beat a dead horse, but in terms of the accretion with WPP how much accretion are you guys assuming at the midpoint of the guidance. Do you expect to be accretive right away or is that more backend loaded in the year, can you maybe talk about that?

  • - CFO

  • In the quarter that it closes it would -- it would depend on the timing. If it closes towards the middle to the end of a quarter it would not be accretive in that initial quarter, but we would expect it to be accretive the following first full quarter and certainly for the year.

  • - President & CEO

  • Now again that's all assuming that the tender is successful.

  • - CFO

  • Correct.

  • - President & CEO

  • We're not going to know that until 30 days or so after the tender is launched. And we expect the tender to launch in the next couple of days WPP will launch the tender in the next couple of days.

  • - Analyst

  • Thanks.

  • Operator

  • So you have no more questions at this time. So I'd now like that, call over to Serge for closing remarks.

  • - President & CEO

  • Thank you for your participation today. Our fourth-quarter 2014 results reflect the momentum we've been building across our business. We continue to enhance the value proposition of our offerings and enter into strategic partnerships with leaders in digital media.

  • We're extremely excited for our WTP Kantar relationship and will update you in the coming quarters on our progress. We will remain focused on our key priorities, on the sharp execution of our strategy, and on delivering value to our shareholders. There's never been more exciting time at comScore.

  • We look forward to speaking with you again on the next conference call. Thank you and have a good day.

  • Operator

  • Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This concludes the presentation. You may now disconnect. Good day.