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Operator
Good day, and welcome to the Saia Inc. Third Quarter 2018 Earnings Call. Today's conference is being recorded.
At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Douglas Col. Please go ahead, sir.
Douglas L. Col - Treasurer & Assistant Secretary
Thanks, Patrick. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to Saia's Third Quarter 2018 Conference Call. Hosting today's call are Rick O'Dell, Saia's President and CEO; and Fritz Holzgrefe, our EVP and CFO.
Before we begin, you should know that during the call, we may make some forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements and all other statements that might be made on this call that are not historical facts are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties and actual results may differ materially. We refer you to our press release and our most recent SEC filings for more information on the exact risk factors that could cause actual results to differ.
Now I'd like to turn the call over to Rick.
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
Well, good morning, and thank you for joining us. I'm pleased to announce record quarterly revenue and earnings for the third quarter 2018. Tonnage grew 7.3% for the quarter. And with an 11.9% increase in our yield, we were able to grow third quarter revenue by 19.2% to a record $426 million.
The southeastern U.S. experienced another difficult hurricane season, particularly in the Carolinas during the third quarter. Our business in that region was disrupted for several days, but we were very fortunate not to have sustained extensive damage to our facilities, and our employees were all safe through the storms and subsequent flooding in those impacted areas.
Our operating ratio improved by 220 basis points to 90.9% for the quarter. And diluted earnings per share grew from $0.55 last year to a record $1.07 per diluted share.
Customer demand remained steady through the quarter with what I would describe as normal seasonality. Our financial results continue to benefit from our focus on freight selection and by taking account-specific pricing actions where necessary. The 11.9% yield increase in the quarter marked the 33rd consecutive quarter of year-over-year improvement in our yield.
Contractual renewals were similarly strong at an average increase of 10.2% in the quarter. Contractual renewals tend to be annual, so the average increase negotiated in the third quarter bodes well for our expected positive pricing well into 2019.
Other key operating metrics that drove our improved year-over-year financial results in the quarter are as follows: LTL shipments per workday rose 5.4%; LTL weight per shipment rose 1.8%; as I mentioned, LTL tonnage per workday rose 7.3%; our length of haul, benefiting from our expanded geographic reach, increased by 2.7% to 835 miles. With the 11.9% increase in the -- in our yield for the quarter, our LTL revenue per shipment increased by 13.9% to a record $233.
Just a couple of other items from the quarter I'd like to mention before I turn things over to Fritz for a review of our financial results. Our cargo claims ratio of 0.7% improved from 0.73% a year ago and improved sequentially from 0.82% in the second quarter. The claims ratio is benefiting from continued training initiatives across our network and also the increased experience of our newest associates.
Purchased transportation miles in the third quarter were 10.5% of total linehaul miles compared with 11.6% last year in the third quarter and down from 11.4% in the second quarter of this year. Rail PT miles were about 44% of the total PT miles compared to 32% in the quarter last year, as we sought to maximize the use of lower-cost rail on our growing long-haul segment of business.
With that, I'm going to go ahead and turn the call over to Fritz to review our financial results in more detail.
Frederick J. Holzgrefe - Executive VP, CFO & Secretary
Thanks, Rick, and good morning, everyone. Third quarter revenue grew 19.2% over the prior year to a record $426 million, benefiting from positive shipments, tonnage and yield improvements, as Rick mentioned, and also from higher fuel surcharge revenue. Fuel surcharge revenue was 49% higher than in the third quarter last year.
Operating income grew 58% (sic) [57%] to $38.7 million compared to $24.6 million earned in the third quarter of 2017. Our operating ratio of 90.9% was 220 basis points better than a year ago. Net income, benefiting from a lower tax rate, increased by 96% to $28.2 million.
I'd like to comment now on the year-over-year change and a few key expense items. Salaries, wages and benefits rose 15.2% to $224.6 million in the third quarter, reflecting the year-over-year increase in our workforce, which was nearly 8% larger throughout the quarter versus last year. Also, we implemented a wage increase in July, which averaged approximately 3.5% across the company.
Fuel expense in the quarter rose 37% over last year. National average diesel prices increased 24% compared to third quarter last year, and our miles in the quarter are up 10.8%.
Purchased transportation expense in the third quarter rose by 3.9% to $31.2 million and was 7.3% of revenue versus 8.4% last year. PT usage as a percentage of linehaul miles was down, as Rick mentioned, helping to offset the 15.1% increase in cost per mile of truck PT versus last year. Rail PT cost per mile rose 7.1% from the prior year.
Claims and insurance expense rose 17% in the third quarter compared to the prior year as accident frequency was impacted by the increase in miles versus the prior year.
Depreciation and amortization rose 19.5% to $26.7 million compared to $22.3 million in the prior year quarter. The increase reflects our continued investment in tractors, trailers and forklifts.
Our effective tax rate was 24.7% for the third quarter of 2018 compared to 38.5% in the third quarter of 2017. We expect our full year tax to be approximately 23.5% to 24%.
At September 30, 2018, total debt was $121.3 million. Inclusive of cash on hand, net debt to total capital was 15.3%. This compares to total debt of $127 million and net debt to total capital of 19.3% at September 30 last year.
Net capital expenditures in the year-to-date period through September of 2018 were $182 million, including equipment acquired with capital leases. This compares to $183.9 million of net capital expenditures through the first 9 months of 2017. For the full year 2018, we expect net capital expenditures will be approximately $265 million, including investments in terminals, terminal improvements, technology, growth equipment as well as continued investments made to lower the age of our fleet, tractor and forklifts fleets.
Now I'd like to turn the call back to Rick.
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
Thanks, Fritz. Well, 2018 has been a constructive year, and we have a busy fourth quarter ahead of us. As we mentioned in our press release, we'll be opening 2 terminals in Massachusetts in December, allowing us to offer direct coverage to the state. Including the 2 other terminals opened in Pennsylvania earlier this year, we will conclude the year operating 10 terminals in markets that we have not served prior to May of 2017. For 2019, we're planning to open 4 to 6 more locations in new markets as we fill out the coverage map across New England.
While the Northeast is a compelling multiyear growth opportunity for us, we're also opening terminals in our legacy geography where customer service can be enhanced in additional locations in a market put us closer to the customer. These additional terminals also free up some break capacity at our larger facilities for us to handle more longer-haul freight.
This year, we opened new terminals in Tacoma, Washington and Fort Worth, Texas and will target additional openings in the future as the density and market allows. Our strong financial performance and resulting cash flows are allowing us to fund much of this growth internally, and our long-term debt is down year-over-year.
Our expanded and enhanced coverage and our business mix management efforts are producing meaningful incremental margins. We believe the environment remains positive for us to continue this strategy and are excited about the prospects for the fourth quarter and into 2019.
With these comments, we're now ready to answer your questions.
Operator
(Operator Instructions) We have a question from Brad Delco, Stephens.
Albert Brad Delco - MD
Rick, first question, maybe it's for Fritz too. Can you give us monthly tonnage, or I guess what we need in September and then where you are through October? And then to the extent you can quantify the hurricane impact in tonnage and margins, that would be helpful.
Frederick J. Holzgrefe - Executive VP, CFO & Secretary
All right. So September tonnage is -- well, for the benefit of everybody, the July, August and September tonnage are 10.3%, 8.7% and 2.8%. And then shipments were plus 6.7, 6.6 and 2.7. And then October month-to-date, tonnage positive 1.6 and shipments positive 1%.
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
Yes, I think one thing -- let's just talk about kind of what's going on from a mix management standpoint, because I think that some of our actions last year, late in 2Q and into 3Q, we made some meaningful price adjustments to some of our transactional 3PLs that impacted our volumes for a period of time. And we continue to be diligent in our efforts to make sure our business mix is profitable. So when you look at our tonnage, I think it's important to look at the segment. So I'm going to give you some numbers here that I think will give you some indication of kind of how our mix management is working within the organization. So for the quarter, our field business was up 14.6%, our national account business was down 3%, and our 3PL business was actually up 34% year-over-year for the quarter. And as we go into October, our field business continues to grow. It's up 15.5%. Our national account business is now down 7.5% from a comp perspective. And our 3PL business is up 11.7%. So as you can see, there are some meaningful changes in our business mix management, it's producing good financial results and return on invested capital. And I think as we work through the business mix management to get business operating in the ranges that we would expect it to and to contribute, then obviously, our growth prospects will kind of continue with customers that recognize our value proposition.
Albert Brad Delco - MD
Could you quantify, though, what impact maybe the storms had on either in tonnage or margins in Q3?
Frederick J. Holzgrefe - Executive VP, CFO & Secretary
Not meaningfully to break it out. I mean, it created a little bit of inefficiency in the quarter. But keep in mind, Brad, the -- although we mentioned the Carolinas, that's not necessarily a significant area for us. And then the Gulf states, that's not significant either.
Albert Brad Delco - MD
Okay. And then, Fritz, you gave a good detailed comment on your cost per mile in PT. I think you said up 15.1%.
Frederick J. Holzgrefe - Executive VP, CFO & Secretary
Right.
Albert Brad Delco - MD
When do you renegotiate those, I'm assuming truckload contracts, and what would your expectation be on inflationary cost pressure over the next 12 months?
Frederick J. Holzgrefe - Executive VP, CFO & Secretary
Yes, I think specifically on PT, I mean we're kind of ongoing. We kind of work through that. I think what you would see, our expectation on -- as we watch and see what's going on in the truckload market, that's what we'll kind of project. So depending on what your view is on that pricing right now.
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
Yes, probably mid-single digits.
Frederick J. Holzgrefe - Executive VP, CFO & Secretary
Yes.
Albert Brad Delco - MD
Okay. And then maybe last one. The 2 new terminals in Q4, I noticed you didn't change your full year CapEx budget. Are these leased facilities? Are these being purchased?
Frederick J. Holzgrefe - Executive VP, CFO & Secretary
Yes, those 2 are actually leased. There are some improvements in those facilities. We will -- we've got other projects that we'll -- other facilities that we'll invest in that will -- won't open until next year though. So that'll be -- that's part of -- that's in our number right now.
Albert Brad Delco - MD
Could you give us the cash CapEx for the year, or what you expect it to be for Q4?
Frederick J. Holzgrefe - Executive VP, CFO & Secretary
So to date, I think the balance of what we will spend in capital will be cash. We won't use any additional capital leases. So if you look, that's roughly $80 million to $90 million of balance away. So that's going to be all cash outlay.
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
And there's a major real estate project in there that actually just closed.
Frederick J. Holzgrefe - Executive VP, CFO & Secretary
Yes.
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
It's about $30 million.
Operator
Our next question comes from David Ross, Stifel.
David Griffith Ross - MD of Global Transportation and Logistics
So in the Northeast expansion, there's increased average length of haul. A lot of the business initially comes from customers that you're already serving in your legacy territory. Could you describe, I guess, the evolution of the Northeast? How much of the business is going to and from legacy Saia terminals? And then how much is staying within the region? And then at what point do you get enough terminals? Is it 10, 12, 14 where you feel you have the coverage density to do a lot more intra-regional northeastern freight?
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
Yes, okay. So today, ballpark-wise, we're doing about 2,000 bills a day to and from the Northeast, and only about 100 -- I'm sorry, of the 2,000 bills going in and out of those terminals, only about 150 of those are intra-Northeast. So it's as you would expect, right? I mean, we're leveraging our network. And I think until you get -- until you get into full coverage up there in the Northeast, then I think there'll be some opportunity to penetrate some of that intra-regional business. But I would also comment that there are some good carriers up there and some of those rates are very competitive. So it's probably in our best interest to play in that to the extent it makes sense for customers and for us. But also, there's some more meaningful returns for handling business that's to and from Saia's network. Our length of haul up there is about 1,200 miles.
David Griffith Ross - MD of Global Transportation and Logistics
And when you think about the impact of the Northeast business on the network, as you've been growing that, certainly, there's less density in those linehaul runs. What do you think the drag has been on the operating ratio as you've kind of expanded into the Northeast? For example, if you weren't in the Northeast, would you be at a sub-90 OR right now?
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
Probably. When you run a network business, it's kind of difficult to do that. Obviously, we have profitability by regions. And then while some of the Northeast final legs might not have particularly good density at this point in time, the business that flows across, let's just say, the Carolinas and the Cincinnati regions, so the Ohio Valley, those regions, profitability has improved because of the density flow-through there. So again, we have regional profitability models and lane profitability models. It's obviously a dynamic situation, because if you move into a new market, it can change the balance ratios. I think I've commented before, one of the benefits of expanding your coverage, besides the obvious benefit to the customer, is that the regions in the middle of the country tend to operate better than the ends partially because of those flows from a linehaul perspective as well as P&D density within the terminals themselves, right? So just as an example, like the Cincinnati regions, our profitability model showed that it improved by 400 basis points. And the business -- on a fully allocated basis, the business to and from the Northeast is operating at about a breakeven now. And when we open -- so it's improved, what, about 10 operating points since we opened out the gate on a fully allocated basis.
David Griffith Ross - MD of Global Transportation and Logistics
And do you think getting up to 3,000 bills a day or 4,000 bills a day gets you back in line with the rest of the system? Is there a number you have in mind? Or is it not that simple?
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
I mean, we have some internal targets based on that and how we think it should improve and how that business should operate. So just the way that things work from a fixed cost perspective, you're going to have way better fixed costs coverage from the fixed costs in the Northeast terminal. Terminal network, we have excess capacity there. In many of the terminals, we run routes for coverage as opposed to having them be full from a shipment perspective. So I think the incremental margins there are going to be -- for business to and from the Northeast could be as high as 35%, which is going to drive the -- I would expect to get another 10 OR points from the mature terminals in those regions, which is going to be pretty meaningful for us, right?
Operator
Our next question comes from Amit Mehrotra.
Amit Singh Mehrotra - Director and Senior Research Analyst
Wanted to expand a little bit on the pricing backdrop. The contract renewals were obviously very strong at 10%. Just wondering if you could give us a sense of how much of the business has been repriced, and if there's more to go in terms of re-rating the book of business.
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
Yes, I mean, our national account business is now operating in the low 90s, so that's been a positive for us, so -- but there's always lanes that we'd have to look at that may or may not be contributing. But actually, I think the book of businesses is priced pretty well right now. And again, as you look at -- if we get 10.2% on contract renewals, we don't retain 100% of that business, as you could see. Some of the -- some of our comps from a national account basis in October with shipments being down about 7%. But obviously, the revenue per bill is trending in the right direction. And all of our data analytics basically have shown us that yield and business mix management would account for most of the gap between our performance and those of -- those who I would call benchmark-type performers in our industry.
Amit Singh Mehrotra - Director and Senior Research Analyst
I guess maybe a better way to ask the question is just how it translates to incremental margins. I mean, it was nice to see the incrementals kind of eclipse above 20% I think on underlying basis when you adjust some factors out that happened last quarter -- or last year rather. Is that -- I mean, you sounded pretty confident about kind of the operating environment prospectively. Is now kind of 20%-plus the right way to look at it prospectively? And then you typically do see this sequential uptick in OR as you move from 3Q to 4Q. Just any color there in terms of how we should think about it from a seasonality perspective.
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
Yes. I think we would kind of expect us to continue to see modest incremental margin improvement. I mean, that's clearly kind of what we are targeting. And again, that's kind of balanced by some of the terminal openings and some of the training and investments that are associated with that. And then in terms of 4Q, history would be about a 100-basis-point deterioration, and that would be in line with kind of our current expectations. So if you kind of look at it in spite of comps getting a little bit difficult and some of our business mix management, tonnage isn't looking as strong as our prior comps. But with the yield improvements, we still would expect to have double-digit revenue growth and similar kind of sequential margins which would be a meaningful improvement again over prior year.
Amit Singh Mehrotra - Director and Senior Research Analyst
That's very helpful. And if I could just sneak one last one in here that's more kind of high level, but I think topical for discussions people are having today. As there's obviously been some concern around the deceleration in trends and maybe some concern around the industrial economy. It seems like a lot of the deceleration in your tonnage is really a reflection of kind of a re-rating the book of business, if you will, from a pricing perspective. But are you seeing any changes when you talk to customers or look at what your customers are doing, either nuanced changes or maybe something more pronounced that maybe gives a little bit more credibility to some of these concerns around slowing macro activity? Or is it just unfounded, in your view, and you think things are still kind of firing all cylinders?
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
I think things are still pretty good. I mean, we're not seeing anything in any segment that would be particularly concerning or something that would set off alarms in any way that we could identify.
Operator
The next question comes from Matt Brooklier, Buckingham Research.
Matthew Stevenson Brooklier - Analyst
So my question around your heavyweight business, as we understand it, there's been some moderation in terms of the truckload spot market. Just curious to hear if maybe some of your heavyweight business may be migrated back over to that market.
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
That's probably fair. We're seeing some of that as truckload capacity has increased. I mean, we don't play in that a whole lot, right, but it's a segment of our business that can certainly have an impact. It's probably, from a revenue perspective, compared to when things were stronger, probably impacted us by about maybe 1% of our revenue.
Matthew Stevenson Brooklier - Analyst
Okay, pretty minimal. And then can you remind us, like, as we look into the fourth quarter, what does peak shipping season look like for Saia? And also, what are your customers telling you about the volume expectations into peak?
Frederick J. Holzgrefe - Executive VP, CFO & Secretary
Right. I think of it the way our -- the quarter kind of works from a -- our business, October is what October is. Usually, a little bit busier in the first couple of weeks of November and in the first couple of weeks of December, I mean there's -- it's a pretty tough challenge to run efficiently in the other holiday weeks or holiday-related weeks. So there's a lot of -- if you go back in time, typically, the calendar can change quarter -- year-to-year depending on where the holiday winds up. I mean, we haven't really -- similar to Rick's comments around commentary from customers, we haven't noticed any real change there. I think other modes of transport probably are more impacted by holiday than necessarily us. So I don't know that there's real change or difference from the past.
Matthew Stevenson Brooklier - Analyst
Okay. And then did you guys provide terminal count as of the end of 3Q?
Frederick J. Holzgrefe - Executive VP, CFO & Secretary
Yes. We're at 158. I think it's in the press release.
Operator
Our next question comes from Scott Group, Wolfe Research.
Scott H. Group - MD & Senior Transportation Analyst
So I totally get all the mix changes here. If we look at comps, it looks like tonnage could maybe flatten out or turn negative by the end of the quarter or maybe first quarter '19. Given the mix changes, are you okay with that? Or do you feel like you want to have tonnage grow and maybe you need to like ease off the pricing a little bit? Or are you just okay with this because of the mix change?
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
I mean, obviously, we're growing field business, taking share there and benefiting from our enhanced coverage. We're very committed. I mean, this is a capital-intensive business with driver challenges and recruiting. There's a lot of costs associated with that, bringing on new people, training them, et cetera. So we just need to make sure that we're being compensated for that, and -- but that being said, once you get your national account business operating in the low 90s, that's not a bad start. And we would -- we will target growing that segment at those types of margins, particularly from a near-term standpoint. And then obviously, with the terminal openings that we have into some major markets in the Northeast, I would be disappointed if we were trending with negative shipment count standpoint year-over-year over time. It doesn't mean we might not have a month or something like that, that, that would happen, but I wouldn't expect that to happen over a prolonged period of time. And there are some levers that we have that we could pull, should we so desire, right, particularly in and out of the Northeast where we have, again, city routes running for service and coverage without adequate density. So there's some good opportunities for us to continue to grow and balance that by making headway from a margin perspective.
Scott H. Group - MD & Senior Transportation Analyst
Okay. That makes sense. And you said now a couple times the national accounts operating in the low 90s. I guess we always thought that the local accounts ran at much better margins than the national. If national is running at low 90s, how come our OR isn't better than low 90s in an aggregate basis? I guess I'm just not sure I follow.
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
Yes. Well, there is pressure on field margins as well while they're clearly in the low- to mid-80s, right, that it's a smaller portion of our business. And then you got some of the 3PL business has been repriced for us over a period of time. And it's -- that business is just kind of a constant optimization that goes on there with them being a technology company that you're working with. So that's another 11%, 12% of your business that operates at a margin that's now kind of improved backhaul adjusted, but it used to be around 100-ish, so that would be a negative. Field business is kind of in the 30% to 35% of our revenue, and national account business is in the 55%. So it's not a 50-50 mix from our perspective either, right.
Scott H. Group - MD & Senior Transportation Analyst
Okay, understood. And then just lastly...
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
And I would comment too, I mean obviously -- I mean, I commented on the Northeast business operating around the breakeven, so as we make investments up there, while the -- and that's having a bit of a negative impact overall. But it also -- strategically, us leveraging our fixed cost network over a broader base of business over time is going to have good incremental margins as well.
Scott H. Group - MD & Senior Transportation Analyst
Yes, that makes sense. And then, just last question. So obviously, pretty fantastic pricing renewals. How do you think we should model revenue per hundredweight net of fuel in '19? I mean, can we do another year of high single, low double-digit yield growth? I mean, I know the renewals would tell you that. But is there any offset to think about?
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
I think it's more of a -- probably given where we are with the company operating at a better position, and where -- how much of the national account business we've adjusted and repriced to an appropriate level, it's probably more of a mid-single-digit range on the renewals standpoint. And then, obviously, you've got the general rate increase. So probably if you model from here, more of a mid-single-digit from a renewal perspective, 5% to 6% probably as opposed to the high -- at the high mid-single digits, right.
Operator
Our next question comes from Ravi Shanker, Morgan Stanley.
Ravi Shanker - Executive Director
Just a couple of follow-ups here. I think you and some of your peers have said before that maybe some of the TL freight that had bled to the LTL market before is now [going] back. But are you starting to see any kind of LTL strategy coming in to the -- are any of the TLs coming into the LTL freight, just given the loosening in the market there?
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
No. I mean, I think it's just very difficult for a truckload carrier to be able to do that. I mean, if you look at our average shipment weight of 2 pallets and 1,300 pounds, I don't see how that -- the economics of that I don't think are going to work.
Ravi Shanker - Executive Director
So [somebody told me] that they kind of resort to when they get really desperate and the market's really weak.
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
I mean, maybe. I don't see how that works for them very well, but potentially, right?
Ravi Shanker - Executive Director
Right. Just kind of going back to your kind of mix shifts, again, I mean clearly it makes sense that you guys are prioritizing yield over tonnage. I mean how long or how much freight do you guys have to shed before you guys start to grow kind of meaningfully again? I mean, aside from macro?
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
Look, I think we're in pretty good shape and we're going to have a record fourth quarter, sub-92-ish type operating ratio would be our current expectation. I mean, we're on the fringe of a sub-90 operating ratio, and I think it could come from a balance of tonnage growth, our geographic expansion and continued reasonable pricing around our enhanced value proposition. So I don't think we need to shed a lot of tonnage. We have very few accounts kind of at this point that operate over 100. And those that do are right around 100 to 105, let's say, right. And then you have to look at backhaul adjusted contribution margin for certain customers that are in lanes that are attractive to us. So I think you'll see us -- I think we're at a position as a company -- from a company perspective, that we don't have to deal with just yield, we can go to a more balanced approach.
Ravi Shanker - Executive Director
Got it. And just lastly, you guys talk about how much of the growth is coming from the Northeast versus the rest of the base business, if you will. But if I can try and slice that a little bit finer and when you look at the early Northeast terminals that you guys opened, is the growth there kind of consistent with the rest of the national business? Or is that part of the business still growing faster? Obviously not as fast as the new terminals you're opening, but kind of just trying to figure out kind of if that's normalized or if there's still some runway there.
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
Oh, yes. No, the terminals at -- I mean our history would say when we open a new market and cross-sell the rest of our geography, it's a multiyear market penetration situation, right? So let's do -- take a terminal for instance in Newark, New Jersey that we're running at about a 2.2% market share per our calculation. And we would expect that to continue to grow by somewhere between 0.7% from a market share perspective to 1%. And that's kind of been our history when we've done geographic expansion or bolt-on acquisitions in the past. And we tend to kind of take share in the market or -- both take share and benefit from the growth in the marketplace that could be taking place at a rate of somewhere around 70 basis points to 100 basis points on an annual basis on average over a 5-year period. So again, it's a multiyear opportunity. And then again, as you open, for instance, today from -- as you open additional geography up there, we become a better option for customers. And not only do you get business into Massachusetts, but they might also move some more Pennsylvania, New Jersey business to you, right? Because they're selecting you for a carrier for a region, right?
Operator
(Operator Instructions) Our next question comes from Todd Fowler, KeyBanc Capital Markets.
Todd Clark Fowler - MD and Equity Research Analyst
Rick, I guess looking out to 2019, I think in the past you've talked about, in a positive pricing environment, that you get 100 to 200 basis points of margin improvement annually. Yet I think in the past couple of years, there's probably been some headwinds from the northeast expansion. Going into '19, with the terminals that are opening versus the ones that are maturing, do you have some thoughts on what sort of margin improvement you could see if the current environment stays steady?
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
Yes, I mean, again, we continue to target 150 to 200 basis points.
Todd Clark Fowler - MD and Equity Research Analyst
Okay. So that's something that we can think about for 2019, with the moving parts around the terminal growth and with the environment where it is right now?
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
Correct. Yes, I mean, that's our target. I mean, unless something changes meaningful, and then obviously, we continue to make investments in our product, quality, with a fleet expansion, et cetera. I mean, there's some fixed costs headwinds there, but there's also some other levers we can pull if the environment changes. So I think the range is reasonable, given our current outlook and market conditions.
Todd Clark Fowler - MD and Equity Research Analyst
Okay, good. That helps. And then just to put together some pieces of some of the other questions on the call. You're coming off of 2 years of very good top line growth, and I think that that's been a function of the pricing environment and the underlying strength. If we go back, there were a couple of years where tonnage was down and there was more of a focus on yields. And it sounds like that mid-single digits is the placeholder for yields. Should we think about, from a revenue standpoint, that it's a high single-digit revenue increase in 2019, so some yield and then some price on top of it? Or could it be stronger than that based on the growth in the Northeast?
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
Yes, I think I'd be disappointed if we couldn't achieve double-digit revenue growth.
Todd Clark Fowler - MD and Equity Research Analyst
Okay. And just the blend of that would be balanced between tonnage and yield? Or would it be more weighted towards one or the other?
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
Probably just given the constant, the material yield increase that we've had throughout this year and our current run rate, at this point, it's probably heavier on the yield side because of where we are on a run rate standpoint, right?
Todd Clark Fowler - MD and Equity Research Analyst
Yes. No, that makes sense. That's what it sounded like from some of the earlier comments, so okay. And then just the last one from me. Fritz, at this point, do you have any thoughts on where 2019 CapEx would shake out? I'm sure you're probably kind of finalizing some of the plans, but should we expect it to be similar to where it was in 2018? Or if you have kind of a preliminary number, that could be helpful.
Frederick J. Holzgrefe - Executive VP, CFO & Secretary
Yes, so we're still kind of working through that. We've got a real estate pipeline and equipment kind of orders that we've put in place. But I think in total, you're probably looking at a 285 to 300 number depending on where the real estate is. The real variable for us is that real estate number, right? So that depends upon whether or not we look -- as we identify our terminals, whether or not we add them or if we add them as a purchase or as a lease.
Operator
Our next question comes from Tyler Brown, Raymond James.
Patrick Tyler Brown - Research Analyst
Rick, there was an 8-K out a couple weeks ago on some changes in operation personnel. I'm not sure what you can share, but can you talk about that a little bit? And did it have anything to do with operations themselves?
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
I mean, we kind of just have shuffled the deck with an experienced -- put an experienced leader that's a long time with the company into that position. He was in operations obviously for a long portion of his career. And we kind of have, I would call it a -- while the Northeast expansion has been successful, we're kind of having a back to the basics from an execution standpoint from -- on both our service as well as we think there are some opportunities from a cost perspective. I mean there's a big business mix change, but it's, quite frankly, as much as our yield is up. I mean, I would have liked to have had more than 200 basis points of OR improvement, to be honest with you.
Patrick Tyler Brown - Research Analyst
Okay. No, that's helpful. And then, Rick or Fritz, I'm not sure which one mentioned it, but I think you mentioned a $30 million real estate deal, which you said you closed.
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
Correct.
Patrick Tyler Brown - Research Analyst
Does that mean you finished it up? Or you're getting ready to start one?
Frederick J. Holzgrefe - Executive VP, CFO & Secretary
No, that means we have an investment that we've made, and now we need to operational-ize it. In other words, get it ready for opening will probably be in the first quarter.
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
Yes, it's a major break bulk for the Northeast where we're re-leasing a facility, so we'll be moving in there.
Patrick Tyler Brown - Research Analyst
Okay, okay. So that will be an owned facility. Is that one particularly large?
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
Yes.
Frederick J. Holzgrefe - Executive VP, CFO & Secretary
Yes, it will be our break operation for the Northeast.
Patrick Tyler Brown - Research Analyst
Okay, okay. And then do you have what your door ownership mix is today based on all the terminals we've added this year with kind of a high mix of leased facilities?
Frederick J. Holzgrefe - Executive VP, CFO & Secretary
I don't have the current number, but we update that in our K as well, so -- but I'll look through that.
Operator
Our next question comes from Willard Milby, Seaport Global.
Willard Phaup Milby - Associate Analyst
I just wanted to ask a quick one on freight mix as you all continue to march northward. Is there a material change to national account business or intra-regional moves as you continue to move north? Is there something -- anything we need to be worried about, about more freight going in than coming out?
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
I mean, we know what the market is up there, and we know what our imbalance ratios are, and we price business in and out of there accordingly. And obviously, it's a bit of an inexact science when you open a new region too because you're kind of projecting your costs and the business that you'll take based on the market data that we have available up there. But we know what the market is and what the imbalance ratios are. And we just -- obviously, you project that and then you get some actual results. And then you have better cost data and you do what you need to do up there. But we're -- I don't -- I'm not -- I wouldn't be overly concerned about it. And I would also tell you as you add some incremental -- as we add incremental terminals up there, I mean, we have experience and we know what our lane imbalances are today. So if you go another 200 miles and open another terminal, it's not -- we know what the market is and we know what our costs are, so we can price it accordingly. I would actually think, though, at this point in time, the risk probably goes down from a -- I would call it some sort of mispricing scenario, right?
Willard Phaup Milby - Associate Analyst
That was good color. Also, as we kind of look at capacity on terminals that have already been opened up, I think last year maybe you all reached capacity on 2 of the facilities that were recently opened pretty quickly. I was curious if you're bumping up against maximum utilization on any others, and if we should see more expansions of that initial wave of terminals anytime soon?
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
Yes, I mean, the $30 million purchase is a major break bulk operation up there. It's 150 doors, so we were in a facility that we knew was going to be inadequate over time. So this was a good strategic immediate availability-type situation of a facility that was already used in the marketplace. So it's not incremental doors in the marketplace either. So we're excited about that and how that would have some enhancements for us. And there's a couple of terminals we opened that we know won't last us very long and it got us an opportunity to get into the market. And that can be addressed by obviously, either a larger facility coming available, potentially a construction project. Or you kind of do a spinoff terminal that takes part of the coverage, which works probably better on an inbound market like the Northeast than it could potentially in a major outbound market where you could lose more linehaul synergies on the -- linehaul load average synergies on the outbound side by breaking it up. So -- and I think there are some options for us, and I would tell you we have a really good pipeline of facilities in the Northeast from an opening perspective. So we actually have, at this point, 6 terminals, the 2 that are going to open in December and 4 to 5 more into next year that have already been identified and are pretty far down the road from an implementation perspective. So I feel good about our pipeline at this point in time where we kind of struggle to find terminals in markets and we've spent a lot of time and effort on that and have a nice pipeline of additional expanded coverage underway.
Operator
At this time, I'd like to turn the call back over to Rick. Please go ahead, sir.
Richard D. O'Dell - President, CEO & Director
Great. Thank you for your interest in Saia. We look forward to a continued dialogue.
Operator
Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. This concludes today's teleconference.
You may now disconnect.