Rapid7 Inc (RPD) 2021 Q2 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Rapid7 Second Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call. (Operator Instructions) Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. (Operator Instructions)

  • I would now like to hand the conference over to Sunil Shah, Vice President of Investor Relations. Thank you. Please go ahead.

  • Sunil Shah - VP of IR

  • Thank you, operator, and good afternoon, everyone. We appreciate you joining us today to discuss Rapid7's second quarter 2021 financial and operating results, in addition to our financial outlook for the third quarter and full fiscal year 2021.

  • With me on the call today are Corey Thomas, our CEO; and Jeff Kalowski, our CFO. We've distributed our earnings press release over the wire and it is now posted on our website at investors.rapid7.com, along with the updated of opening presentation and financial metrics file.

  • This call is being broadcast live via webcast. And following the call, an audio replay will be available at investors.rapid7.com until August 11, 2021.

  • During this call, we may make statements related to our business that are forward-looking under federal securities laws. These statements are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and include statements related to the company's positioning, our future goals and financial guidance for the third quarter and full year 2021 and the assumptions underlying such goals and guidance.

  • These forward-looking statements are based on our current expectations and beliefs and on information currently available to us. Actual outcomes and results may differ materially from the expectations contained in these statements due to a number of risks and uncertainties, including those contained in our most recent quarterly report on Form 10-Q and in the subsequent reports that we filed with SEC. The information provided on this conference call should be considered in light of such risks. Actual results and the timing of certain events may differ materially from the results or timing predicted or implied by such forward-looking statements and reported results should not be considered as an indication of future performance.

  • Rapid7 does not assume any obligation to update the information presented on this conference call, except to the extent required by applicable law. Our commentary today will primarily be in non-GAAP terms and reconciliations between our historical GAAP and non-GAAP guidance can be found in today's earnings press release.

  • At times, in our prepared comments and in response to your questions, we may offer incremental metrics to provide greater insight into the dynamics of our business or quarterly results. Please be advised that this additional detail may be onetime in nature, and we may or may not provide an update in the future on these metrics.

  • With that, I'd like to turn the call over to our CEO, Corey Thomas. Corey?

  • Corey E. Thomas - Chairman & CEO

  • Thank you, Sunil, and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you all for joining us for our second quarter 2021 earnings results call. I am pleased to once again report sustained our performance and our business as Rapid7 delivered strong second quarter results. exceeding both our growth and profitability goals for the quarter. Strong demand across our Insight platform drove year-over-year ARR growth of 29% and ended the quarter at approximately $489 million.

  • As we shared a few weeks ago, this strong organic growth is the validation of both our strategy and our execution as we continue our journey to make the best and security operations accessible and achievable for all. Our ability to meet customers where they are in their SecOps journey with leading capabilities across vulnerability risk management, detection and response and cloud security is resonating as evidenced by 2 consecutive quarters of accelerating customer growth to start 2021.

  • I'll share more on this momentum and our customer growth engine shortly, but I'd like to start today with some perspective on the security landscape and what we're hearing from our customers. If you think back to our Investor Day in March, I shared with you how we are in a fundamentally new dynamic right now when it comes to the pace of technology adoption. Companies of all sizes across industries and regions are dramatically increasing our focus on delivering world-class digital and remote experiences with their customers and employees as they look to keep up with the pace of integration.

  • However, alongside this rapid expense to their technology footprint, customers are experiencing an evolving landscape. We are in an environment where the accelerated investment in digital transformation is turning every company into a technology company, driving an exposure in the service area that customers must monitor and protect.

  • This is being met by a shift in the attacker landscape over the past year with escalating risk driven by a clear increase in both the scope and the impact of attacker activity.

  • Against this backdrop, our strong 2021 performance to date is a clear indication that customers are recognizing our Rapid7 integrated Insight platform portfolio is designed to address the challenges of today's threat landscape.

  • Let me take a moment to level set you on why we believe our strategy to build a unified SecOps platform experience in the cloud is well positioned to address multiple aspects of the shipping threat landscape.

  • Rapid7's vulnerability management solution remains a critical component of our customer security hygiene, accelerating technology adoption is opening even more vectors of tech. Managing risk visibility is more important than ever for our customers.

  • Many of today's threats continue to leverage known vulnerability. So having a best-in-class VM program remains foundational to protecting against pervasive threats such as ransomware. This is demonstrated by the durable growth we continue to deliver in VM, which saw an acceleration in ARR during the second quarter.

  • However, a strong VM program is just a part of the equation. Remediating vulnerabilities takes time and an increasing trend with recent attacks is that people don't know about them till after the attack occurs. This to our customers increasingly need best-in-class detection and response capabilities to alert them to suspicious activity.

  • For the second year in a row, Rapid7's Insight IDR has been recognized as a leader in the Gartner Magic Quadrant for SIEM. But we believe this is just 1 component of the IDR story. And we reflect back on the groups of IDR 6 years ago, with a strong point of view, they're driving or traditional laws like most sales yet been and many continue to do today was insufficient. This drove us to build a differentiated capability for sale, one that began with behavioral analytics has since expanded to include laws, (inaudible), network traffic visibility, target analytics and cloud visibility among other market-leading capabilities.

  • The best validation of our winning formula with IDR beyond its sustained high growth at scale has been the emergence of the extended detection and response market, which exposes this view of comprehensive detection response that spans across in SIEM , EDR, SOR and now threat intelligence.

  • Our recent addition of Insights positions Rapid7 the lead to extra movement, enabling our customers to drive comprehensive security transformation alongside their digital investments. But as these digital transformation initiatives accelerate, businesses are increasingly leveraging the cloud to drive more innovation. As the sole cloud infrastructure usage is skyrocketing and so too is the need for security teams to gain visibility and understand risk across these environments.

  • Rapid7's newly released Insight Cloud is leading the charge to provide customers a single cloud security solution that natively integrates cloud posture management, cloud identity management, infrastructure as code and Kubernetes workload protection. This fully integrated cloud-native security platform enables broad visibility across multiple cloud environments, enhancing cloud security programs by automating continuous security and compliance.

  • We remain focused on innovating to help security and DevOps teams shift to the left, reducing noise and complexity and protecting their container environments and automating workflows to drive better security outcomes as customers scale into the cloud.

  • Each one of these mandates to provide foundational [XDR Citrix]visibility; to deliver comprehensive extended detection and response; and to enable continuous protection of complex contenvironments. It's top of mind for our team here at Rapid7. In fact, Rapid7 is one of the only vendors in the market today that can offer best-in-class products across each of these 3 critical security vectors.

  • As the attack service expands, Rapid7's platform is increasingly relevant because security teams are struggling to manage a myriad of independent security tools. Resource constraints and vendors are a critical concern in today's fast-moving threat environment as customers are tasked with minimizing the visibility gap that exists between their disparate products.

  • Rapid7 has addressed this challenge by investing not just in building market-leading products in their respective categories but natively integrating these solutions into our Insight platform and delivering them via a single unified experience in the cloud. This is why our strategy to build a unified SecOps platform in the cloud that reduces these gaps through an integrated automation-driven experience is resonating with customers today.

  • Customers are increasingly looking to consulting to a smaller number of critical security partners without sacrificing best-in-class trade capabilities. As security teams look to minimize coverage gaps to respond faster to emerging threats, Rapid7's integrated platform experience is increasingly more relevant.

  • You see that it's reflected in our business to date in 2021. We continue to deliver strong ARR growth in our business, driven in part by our accelerating customer growth engine, which saw a 13% year-over-year growth in customers during the second quarter.

  • This is there by 2 fundamental drivers. First, we continue to add more new customers more efficiently lap our ability to meet customers where they are in their securing while landing across any of our core platform pillars while demonstrating ease of expansion over time.

  • Second, our aggressive investments in technology integration are driving compelling customer value realization, enabling us to deliver ongoing strong and improving gross retention in our business as our platform scales. This is coupled with a compelling cross and upsell opportunity in our existing installed base, which is the core driver of our sustained mid-teens growth in ARR per customer during the quarter.

  • As our platform story increasingly resonates with customers, we have expanded the ability for more of our sales teams to sell more of our products, which should support durable growth in ARR per customer as we look ahead. A great example of this platform value realization was a competitive 6-figure Insight One deal during the quarter with a new international customer.

  • As a brief reminder, Insight One is an example of how we are looking to lower the barriers to platform adoption by making it easier for customers to purchase multiple Insight products. In this case, InsightVM, InsightIDR, InsightAppSec and InsightConnect to deliver a unified SecOps experience.

  • In this particular case, Insight One unified approach not only separated Rapid7 competitively versus other point products, but our platform value proposition accelerated the customers' future projects to leverage this broad set of Insight capabilities. Our single agent and One platform story resonated with the customer who was looking for a leading security partner within their business.

  • We're excited about the opportunity to continue partnering with customers like this to minimize their security coverage gaps as we further enable these platforms contract go-to-market motions during the second half of the year.

  • Turning now to a brief update on the recent progress towards our enduring goals. First, we remain focused on leading the charge to enable customers to transform their security operations, practices around the cloud. This is clearly demonstrated by our investments. In addition to accelerating our XDR capabilities, the addition of Insight will deliver a differentiated SecOps experience in the cloud by elevating the capabilities across our Insight platform. We've already begun to see strong customer interest and momentum in this capability.

  • Second, we continue to work on accelerating our platform distribution engine. The recent launch of Insight Cloud tech, which brings together the cloud and workload security capabilities of Bibby Cloud and Alsea into a seamless and integrated cloud security experience on an Insight platform is a key milestone. This further accelerates our ability to drive sales leverage across our portfolio, particularly as we enable more of our sales team to sell the platform value proposition. We will continue to deliver on this both from a product innovation standpoint, as well as primary commercialization and from a customer perspective.

  • And third, we are committed to driving long-term operating leverage in our business while investing for growth. A great validation point is that during the first half of 2021, we have delivered over 300 basis points of non-GAAP operating margin expansion over the first half of 2020 alongside improving free cash flow.

  • This strong year-to-date operating profit performance, our solid growth execution and our disciplined investment approach position us well to absorb the incremental expenses of the Insight acquisition while delivering on our prior operating profit expectations. Notwithstanding the Insights deferred revenue right now. Jeff will share more details on it in his remarks.

  • So in summary, we're addressing the challenges of today's escalating threat landscape by delivering a unified SecOps experience in the cloud that helps to minimize visibility gaps detect threats faster and deliver automated responses.

  • I could not be more proud of our team for their ongoing commitment to our customers as we work to deliver on our goals by making the best in security, accessible and achievable to all.

  • And finally, as I'm sure many of you saw from our press release, our CFO, Jeff Kalowski, has announced his intent to retire in 2022 once his successor is appointed.

  • On behalf of the entire team, I want to thank Jeff for his outstanding leadership in helping us scale Rapid7 for the past 5 years. Jeff has been instrumental in our effort to transition and scale our recurring revenue business while also building a world-class culture and finance mix. He has served as a true partner to myself and the entire leadership team here at Rapid7. And I look forward to that continued partnership into the next year.

  • With that, thank you, Jeff. Now I'll turn the call over to you.

  • Jeffrey A. Kalowski - Advisor

  • Thanks, Corey, and good afternoon, everyone. Before I begin, a brief reminder that except for revenue, all financial results, we will discuss today, are non-GAAP financial measures. Unless otherwise stated, and reconciliations between our GAAP and non-GAAP results can be found in today's earnings press release.

  • Turning to our results. Rapid7's strong momentum continued during the second quarter of 2021 driven by sustained high growth of over 40% in our security transformation solutions and acceleration and vulnerability management.

  • Second quarter ending ARR of $488.9 million grew 29% over the prior year reflecting strong overall demand for our Insight platform as customers look to transform their security operations around the cloud. As a result of this ongoing momentum, second quarter revenue of $126.4 million exceeded the high end of our guidance, accelerating to 28% year-over-year growth.

  • Products revenue of $119.1 million exceeded our expectations and accelerated to 29% growth as our integrated platform opportunity is increasingly resonating with customers. We continue to execute well geographically, driving durable growth across our regions during the second quarter. North American revenue grew by 25% year-over-year and comprised 82% of total revenue in the quarter while Rest of World grew by 40%, representing 18% of total revenue.

  • As I've shared with you on recent calls, we see a huge and growing market opportunity ahead. And so we are continuing to invest in our business as we execute against our durable growth goals, all while continuing to drive ongoing margin improvements as we scale.

  • I will share more detail on this shortly, including how we intend to leverage our strong year-to-date growth and operating profit performance to fund the incremental expenses from our recent Insights acquisition.

  • During the second quarter, we demonstrated ongoing progress towards the fundamental financial goals we laid out at our Investor Day in March. In addition to strong ARR growth, our customer-centric innovation focus is paying off as we saw our second consecutive quarter of accelerating customer growth, led by our ability to meet customers where they are in their SecOps journey.

  • As a result, we ended the quarter with over 9,300 customers globally, growth of 13% over the prior year. This sustained strength in our customer growth engine feeds ongoing long-term opportunity for our land to expand engine, which saw continued strong performance in the quarter with cross and upsell execution, driving 14% year-over-year growth in ARR per customer to end the period at approximately $52,500.

  • These results demonstrate that our focus on delivering an integrated platform experience across our best-in-class detection response, vulnerability risk management and cloud security pillars is delivering a differentiated value proposition for customers.

  • Turning now to some details on our operating results for the second quarter. Total gross margin for the quarter was 73%, consistent with the first quarter and down modestly compared to the year ago period, driven by faster-than-expected growth in our cloud-based products versus a year ago as we continue to see strong demand for our Insight platform.

  • Sales and marketing expenses grew 24% year-over-year, reflecting growth in headcount and improved to 40% of revenue compared to 41% in Q2 2020 as we see ongoing productivity improvements in the business.

  • R&D expenses grew 31% over the prior year and represented approximately 20% of revenue, consistent with the prior year as we continue to invest in product and technology innovation. G&A expenses grew 14% and were 8% of revenue, down slightly from 9% in the prior year period as we continue to scale our business. Our strong revenue overachievement in the quarter enabled us to continue investing in our business while still delivering record quarterly operating profit of $6.1 million, above the high end of our guidance range. Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter was $10 million and net income per share was $0.07, also ahead of guidance.

  • Moving to our balance sheet and cash flows. We ended Q2 with cash, cash equivalents and investments of $613.2 million compared to $616.9 million at the end of Q1 2021. This is before the net cash impact of approximately $308 million paid at closing for the Insights acquisition in July. Our strong ARR growth and the associated strong billings in the quarter drove better-than-anticipated second quarter free cash flow of approximately $5 million.

  • Shifting now to our updated guidance for the full year. Our strong year-to-date ARR growth reflects the success of our ongoing efforts to invest in driving durable growth in our business. These investments have positioned us to help customers meet the challenge of an ever-expanding attack service with an integrated platform experience across our best-in-class extended detection and response, vulnerability risk management and cloud security solutions.

  • We believe the acquisition of Insights only amplifies this value proposition and further expands the opportunity for Rapid7. The combination of these drivers and our team's strong execution to date fuel our confidence in once again raising our full year ARR expectations for 2021.

  • We now expect to deliver full year ARR of approximately $576 million or growth of 33% over the prior year. This accounts for both an improved organic outlook of now over 25% ARR growth for 2021, a strong improvement over our prior outlook of 22% growth, plus the addition of the Insights acquisition. As a reminder, Insights ended the second quarter with approximately $27 million of ARR.

  • Given the strong momentum in our business, we're raising full year revenue guidance once again to account for an improved organic outlook in addition to the contribution of Insights, we now anticipate revenue to be in the range of $520 million to $524 million or growth of 26% to 27% after taking into account the Insights purchase account deferred revenue adjustment.

  • Turning to operating profit. As Corey shared, we've delivered strong execution in the first half of 2021 with over 300 basis points of margin improvement compared to the first half of 2020. This puts us in a great position to continue reinvesting to drive durable growth, enabling us to leverage our revenue and operating profit overperformance to absorb Insight's operating expenses.

  • As a result, we're adjusting our full year operating profit guidance strictly to account for the Insight's purchase accounting deferred revenue adjustment of approximately $5 million and now anticipate full year operating profit of approximately $7 million.

  • I will reiterate that if we were able to recognize Insight's full deferred revenue balance, we would anticipate delivering full year operating profit in line with the low end of our prior operating income guidance of approximately $12 million, consistent with our growth and profitability framework.

  • We believe these investments position us well to drive ongoing durable growth in our business as we look to accelerate our path to become a $1 billion business with the acquisition of Insight.

  • Factoring all this in, we now anticipate non-GAAP loss per share for the full year to be a loss of approximately $0.09 per share. This is based on an anticipated 55.3 million basic weighted average shares outstanding.

  • Turning to cash flow. We remain focused on investing for growth while scaling free cash flow generation over time. I'm pleased to report that given our strong ARR performance to date, coupled with our updated guidance. And even after accounting for the Insights acquisition, we are raising our full year free cash flow expectations and now anticipate delivering free cash flow of approximately $20 million this year. This is a great validation of the long-term free cash flow potential of our business.

  • Moving now to quarterly guidance. Note that our third quarter guidance also includes the impact of the Insights acquisition. For the third quarter of 2021, we anticipate total revenue to be in the range of $133.4 million to $135 million, growth of 27% to 28%. We anticipate non-GAAP operating income for the third quarter to be a loss of approximately $0.5 million as we invest in the business and absorb a partial quarter of Insight's expenses. We anticipate non-GAAP net loss per share to be a loss of approximately $0.07 per share, which is based on an anticipated 56.1 million basic weighted average shares outstanding.

  • So in summary, the first half of 2021 is a great validation of our ability to execute against our goal of driving durable growth while scaling profitability and free cash flow as we continue to invest to close the security achievement gap on behalf of our customers.

  • And finally, I'd like to express my gratitude and appreciation to the entire Rapid7 team. It has been a privilege to work with Corey and a talented leadership team here for the past 5 years, and I'm extremely proud of everything we've accomplished. I look forward to ensuring a smooth transition when the time comes. In the meantime, I look forward to continuing to work with all of you until then.

  • With that, we appreciate your time and support, and we'll now open the call for any questions. Operator?

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) Our first question comes from Robert Owens with Piper Sandler.

  • Robbie David Owens - MD & Senior Research Analyst

  • Corey, I wanted to touch a little bit on the acceleration in new logos. And I know you've been adding additional capacity and leaning in has been part of the story. But what are you seeing in terms of sales productivity as well with the pre-existing sales force? And if you can kind of characterize where the environment is right now relative to these additions, that would be great.

  • Corey E. Thomas - Chairman & CEO

  • Rob, it's a good question. So there's really 2 big factors. One is what I talked about earlier, the demand environment is a healthy demand environment for cybersecurity, but especially for the security operations, innovations that we're offering to the market. So that's always helpful for sales productivity.

  • The second one is as you know, we have a very disciplined model that as we actually -- when we introduce new products or we do acquisitions, as we actually prove out and hone the sales process, we start out with specialized and then we add more of those offerings to our sales teams over time. That is a positive tailwind to sales productivity.

  • And the last thing, as you all noted, is that we're also investing in optimizing our product in action. We're very, very early in the journey there. But that's also been a positive tailwind to sales productivity. So all those things are coming together, allowing us to actually grow our ARR and overall sales productivity, and that's being reflected both in the new customer growth, but it's also being reflected in the ARR of our customers.

  • Robbie David Owens - MD & Senior Research Analyst

  • Great. And then second question for Jeff. I guess, if I look at your days billings outstanding, it's -- was far less than we had expected and obviously helps cash flow. Does that reflect the linearity of the quarter? Or was there something unique relative to collections this quarter versus historic?

  • Jeffrey A. Kalowski - Advisor

  • Yes. We had favorable linearity in the quarter, but I think -- we've had -- we've seen a dramatic improvement over the last couple of quarters and really due to our internal efforts and improving days billings outstanding. But I wouldn't say that it's really dramatically different on linearity other than we did see some improvement. I think it's more...

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Matt Hedberg with RBC Capital Markets.

  • Matthew George Hedberg - Analyst

  • Well done in the quarter. And also, Jeff, congratulations on your retirement. We certainly -- it feels like you're not leaving anytime soon. But we will certainly -- we've enjoyed the ride here with you. So best of luck at the next chapter of your career.

  • Jeffrey A. Kalowski - Advisor

  • It's been a fun ride.

  • Matthew George Hedberg - Analyst

  • Yes, it's been a fun ride. I think it was -- you said 5 years, so it's been a fun...

  • Jeffrey A. Kalowski - Advisor

  • I'll be here for a bit longer.

  • Matthew George Hedberg - Analyst

  • Yes, well we'll enjoy that. Corey, I wanted to follow up on Rob's question. At Analyst Day, you talked about 5% to 10% was sort of the target level for new logo adds. Obviously, you added 13% this quarter, 13% growth this quarter.

  • Is that -- I just want to sort of frame that with your Analyst Day. Is this sort of a new normal? Was there anything unique with the customer adds this quarter? I mean is kind of 5% to 10% kind of where you kind of continue to expect? Because it was obviously a lot better than you talked about previously?

  • Corey E. Thomas - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes. So I think there's a couple of important things. One is keep in mind that the Analyst Day discussion was a CAGR over 4 to 5 years. And so you could imagine that -- and in fact, early this year, we said we saw a little bit of performance above that. So you can expect that sort of like at the it average over a sustained time period. The other thing to keep in mind is that we're doing a potential move and migration to more strategic. And we've talked about that before. And I think that's continuing a pace.

  • And so what I would actually say is we have very good confidence in the near term that we see trends in the double digits and continued momentum there in the very near term. But I would say, I don't think our long-term CAGR has changed material.

  • Matthew George Hedberg - Analyst

  • Got it. Okay. That's helpful. And then in your prepared remarks, you talked a little bit about Insight Cloud, which is I think DivvyCloud now. It's still early for that. And the carrier carries higher ACV dollar values and kind of your base. But can you talk about kind of the level of penetration in your base and how are you successful when you -- what's sort of the recipe when you're able to cross-sell that back into your existing customer base?

  • Corey E. Thomas - Chairman & CEO

  • I mean keep in mind, like all of our solutions, especially our big main pillars around detection response, cloud security and vulnerability management. They're all landable solutions. That said, we're seeing increasing growth in traction on the cross sells -- to get to your specific question, the catalyst for also digital transformation.

  • And so it is when we're talking to a customer that is looking to actually roll out a big digital transformation initiative, and they cross a through a critical threshold where they are changed enough of their IP infrastructure from a digital perspective.

  • Security is a priority and they need to actually get the visibility to actually stay abreast and the management to stay abreast and the automation and stay current with that. That's the catalyst for those things. And our sales team is quite patient. So we're seeing good growth and good momentum. Good excitement there. But we like having that tie to digital transformation. And we did it sort of -- it puts us in a position where it's not just the current growth driver, but that actually gives us a long-term growth dynamic. But as you look at any industry reports, both cloud security, but especially the drive of a digital transformation is expected to grow over the longer-term horizon.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Saket Kalia with Barclays.

  • Saket Kalia - Senior Analyst

  • And Jeff, I'll echo my congrats on retirement. Very well deserved.

  • Jeffrey A. Kalowski - Advisor

  • Thanks, Saket.

  • Saket Kalia - Senior Analyst

  • Corey, maybe just to start with you, those as interesting example of Insight One bundle that bundle example that you talked about during the prepared remarks. I was just wondering if you could just talk a little bit about how bundles are working, sort of what some of the data points are on that, that you'd be able to share? And without preannouncing anything, are there any other bundles that might make sense to explore?

  • Corey E. Thomas - Chairman & CEO

  • So it's a good question. So I won't go into the numbers on it. It's just too premature to actually drill the numbers, but I will talk about little bit. What -- We have a number of pilots out there I talked before about some of the stock automation. We actually have IDR network topic analysis, the enhanced endpoint telemetry in SOAR together, and that's sort of like quite positive.

  • We have several other things that we actually are piloting that are out there. And most importantly, we're moving forward with thinking about sort of the two-pronged strategy. One, it is a strategy that allows us to do bundling. Think about -- bundling is primarily deals at the time of sale when people are really looking to upgrade their overall security program.

  • Now subsequently, I'm sure we're going to do upgrades to bundling programs. But one focus of bundling is they sort of like deal at the time of sale. The example that I gave here was a customer that says, hey, listen, I'm looking to do a significant upgrade in my security program. And so they wanted to actually look at the economics of the investment and the results across both of the categories. It may complete fits there.

  • The only thing that I would say, just to be clear, is that I am not concerned, our team is not concerned with how customers buy. So if they buy upfront because they actually are looking to actually do a big shot in the arm and improve their security quickly, that's great. And if you do it slowly over time, that's great also.

  • Now on the slow over time, I guess the third point that I'd actually emphasize is that we're also investing in our package enterprise solutions to make it both predictable and economical for customers to actually plan for and build out and upgrade their security operations over time.

  • So those are the 3 areas of strategy, I would say that they're having traction, we're getting validation. So therefore, we're accelerating. I would not call them massively material to the success today from the new packaging perspective, but I would say very, very positive momentum such that our sales teams are going back to us and deep things are working, it's resonating well with customers. And therefore, we're actually continuing to actually roll out the further phases of that.

  • Saket Kalia - Senior Analyst

  • Got it. That's helpful. Jeff, maybe for my follow-up for you. Can you just remind us how fast that newly acquired Insight business is growing? I think we said it was about $27 million in ARR. How fast is that growing? And maybe as part of that question, just zooming out a little bit, when you look at that ARR base at the end of this year, right, I think the guide for about $576 million. How do you sort of roughly think about the mix of VM versus kind of that broader sort of security transformation bucket. Does that make sense?

  • Jeffrey A. Kalowski - Advisor

  • Yes. So first off, it is $27 million that we acquired as of the acquisition date. And at Analyst Day, we said that VM has been over 50%, and security transformation was about 40%. So security transformation, we're saying is going to grow over 40% this year. So it will become a bigger piece of the pie by the end of the year. We're not going to pick a specific percentage, but VM, since it's growing slower, we'll have -- will become less of the total pie.

  • And I think we said in our call is that Insights was growing over 40%. And that will be included in our security transformation products which even without Insights will still grow over 40% this year is what we're projecting.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Brian Essex with Goldman Sachs.

  • Brian Lee Essex - Equity Analyst

  • And Jeff, congrats from me as well. Well done.

  • Jeffrey A. Kalowski - Advisor

  • Thanks, Brian.

  • Brian Lee Essex - Equity Analyst

  • Perhaps, Corey, what I maybe want to touch on is with the acquisitions that you've done over the past several years. And if we think about things in these 3 pillars, how is your sales force aligned with regard to maturity and where you're incentivizing them in terms of which ones of these buckets are, I guess, more accretive to the bottom line versus others might have better unit economics?

  • And then do you have -- are you just looking for a sales force that has a maturity across the platform to kind of put all the arrows in that quiver, so to speak?

  • Corey E. Thomas - Chairman & CEO

  • It's a good question. So I think there's 2 distinct parts of it. So the first thing is how do we -- when we acquire, we build, how do we actually think about rolling out the sales force. And in general, what we do is we always start with a dedicated team to make sure we have mastery of selling.

  • Because what we really want to make sure is that we understand what the sales motion is and how to optimize the sales for activity. As we get the mastery of selling that, then we actually broaden the number of sales team that can sell that. And that's not a one shot where you just sort of like into the sales force. That is a steady expansion out themselves.

  • So we're constantly expanding the selling capacity of our sellers and what they can actually sell. But we want to do it in a way that we actually really have a mastery in the sales, which allows us to actually steadily drive our total sales productivity over time. And that's actually worked out quite well.

  • The second part that I think that you're referring to is how do we actually incentivize or focus the sales teams on which product. And while we actually track and manage that ourselves, we do not target the sales team either from an existing customer versus net new customer or for a product perspective to say, you should sell this product to that.

  • Now that's a case of pit that happened when we maybe doing something with a particular partner at some point in time. But by and large, we don't do it. And the reason for that is we have 2 levers. One is we actually have sales, but because we have such an innovation engine, we're constantly updating the profitability from an engineering perspective of the things that we actually sell to.

  • And so both of those are changing over time. So we want our sales team to be focused on going out and meeting customers where they are. (inaudible) turn a lot, meeting the customer where they are because we don't want to introduce inflection that actually says that I want to steer you in this way.

  • And that creates a lot of customer credibility for our sales team as they could take the customers' pain points and then actually focus on and delivering them a solution for that pain point.

  • And so that's the strategy that we have. And then when we look at our customers, we are focused on like how do we actually do things more and more profitable over time, which is why we've been able to do the market expansion.

  • Brian Lee Essex - Equity Analyst

  • Got it. That's super helpful. I appreciate it. And maybe Jeff, to follow up. Could you maybe reconcile the adjustment to free cash flow guide for us? I mean it seems like you're bumping it up by about $5 million, but you've already got a deferred revenue write-off and the cash from the Insight acquisition. So -- and the costs associated with that business. So what are the puts and takes that gets you more confident bringing free cash flow guide up?

  • Jeffrey A. Kalowski - Advisor

  • Yes. The biggest driver is the increased ARR performance. But I believe for the first half, about $23 million, and we are projecting a net income loss for the second half. And so you -- which is around $7.5 million of implied loss. If you deduct that from the $23 million really, the balance is really what we can realize in cash flow from the incremental ARR with the raise from the previous guidance.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Michael Turits with KeyBanc.

  • Eric Michael Heath - Research Analyst

  • This is Eric Heath on for Michael. Jeff, congratulations as well. Corey, you've shown good progress increasing that ARR per customer metric as you do larger lands, but could you talk more about how you're progressing on educating customers and the sales force on the power of the combined unified platform to really drive expansion among those customers and increase attach rates?

  • Corey E. Thomas - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes. I mean I would say that we're taking it steadily in 1 week go. I mean my take is that just prove it to customers don't just sell it to them. And so what we're looking for as we expand and we think about our expansion engine is taking customer pain points and showing them why we actually extend their leverage of the existing investments.

  • So no matter where we start, you say, hey, I have an IDR customer and they have an incremental pain point on cloud or on VM or applications, we're able to say like, okay, listen, here's how your existing investment scales up and so frame it as they scale up. But again, it's not a big (inaudible). It's more about like you made an investment and we can actually scale that investment more efficiently and more effectively than anyone else.

  • And again, we're still in the early innings here because lots of our engineering work right now and a lot of our product and packaging work is about making it much easier for customers to recognize incremental pay points and scale it much more naturally and plan for that nationally.

  • Eric Michael Heath - Research Analyst

  • Got it. That's helpful. And then I just wanted to touch upon VM. You mentioned accelerated this quarter. So -- would you attribute that to some of the breaches we've seen this year? Obviously, it's kind of top of mind right now. And do you think this is a sustained elevated level of demand that you could kind of see VM continue to accelerate for the rest of the year?

  • Corey E. Thomas - Chairman & CEO

  • Our fundamental outlook on VM hasn't shifted. We always thought it was actually a sustainable market and market demand, we continue to see vulnerability management as sustainable. It did accelerate, and that's a positive thing, but we feel pretty confident that is going to have the long-term market demand that we saw.

  • One aspect of that acceleration is that we continue to overall including the VM customers stay with us and have high levels of commitment. So we talked before about the lower churn and the higher retention of customers, and that's also a factor of the growth.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Jonathan Ruykhaver with Baird.

  • Jonathan Ruykhaver;Robert W. Baird;Analyst

  • So I just have one question. Obviously, you've made a pretty market shift from talking about IDR as the SIEM to talking about XDR just for the last several months. And so Corey, I know you touched on that evolution in your opening comments, but I'm wondering if you could just dig deeper into those capabilities that you believe are critical to this category. Maybe touch on some of those that you have today, some that you might not have today and might need in the future for a competitive position.

  • Corey E. Thomas - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes, when you think about extended detection response, which is what XDR is, it's really about reducing the gaps that you actually have in the 3 operating environment. If you think about why so many companies and organization investment security, but still are so able to be compromised and attack is because it's just lock the blind spot in that environment.

  • So no matter where you start, the IDR or XDR is actually minimizing those gaps in the overall security operations environment. So for us, very specifically, it actually it starts with gaps in data. And so the ability to actually see that just a low data, which is traditional SIEM, but also to actually see the endpoint data given the network data and now to be able to see the external event in the environment. That should be viable.

  • So it's start with data. But the second thing is that when you actually have the data, you actually have to be able to process if you think about the additional innovation that we deal with user behavior analytics, it was about a different way of actually processing data to look for attack in the environment, understanding the user context. We added a take-over analytics. But again, as another way to actually make sure we're minimizing the gaps in the overall environment.

  • And then the last area that you really have to fall about is I have the information, how do I make sure that I don't have any gaps in my workflow? And whether that's my investigation workflows and forensic work post or moderate mediation workflows, and that's where the SOAR technology comes in with the automation.

  • So when we think about extended detection response, it's about minimizing the gaps. That's why you have to extend it there. in the data and the analytics, but also in the workflows and the automation around that.

  • And that's why I claim our vision of IDR has always been about minimizing those gaps. I just think that the XDR market is recognizing today the value of that strategy. And we're being recognized along with that, which is a big part of success.

  • Jonathan Ruykhaver;Robert W. Baird;Analyst

  • And Corey, one last item that I think is important. I'd love to hear your thoughts, just the ability to leverage intelligence. How do you view that? And where is that in the product portfolio today?

  • Corey E. Thomas - Chairman & CEO

  • Intelligence. You said intelligence? So Yes. So I think about that as sort of like a part of 2 things, the data context, which is what's happened in the external environment. But I also think about it as the analytics context.

  • One of the things that you actually have as you do digital transformation, you just have not just in expanding the attack surface, you have so much more data, which has the potential to create a lot more noise.

  • And so what we're doing with it predominantly is like we have a massive amount of engineers that just have to figure out how do you actually continuously up to gain on pulling out the signal from the noise. And the threat intelligence is another key tool and another key technology, another key strategy that allows us actually pull out the noise. But those are the 2 places where it actually shows up.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Gregg Moskowitz with Mizuho.

  • Gregg Steven Moskowitz - MD of Americas Research

  • Okay. Jeff, I know you're not going anywhere just yet, but you've done a terrific job and will most certainly be missed.

  • Jeffrey A. Kalowski - Advisor

  • I appreciate that. Thanks, Gregg.

  • Gregg Steven Moskowitz - MD of Americas Research

  • Of course. Corey, I guess I had a follow-up to that last question. In light of all of the increased customer awareness of XDR. Do you believe that most customers today are looking at the XDR and SIEM areas as an Or or as An and when it comes to their deployment of these technologies?

  • Corey E. Thomas - Chairman & CEO

  • I think -- so one, it's the market sort of developing. Most customers are looking at how do they actually reduce the gap in their operations. And so -- and that's really clear. That stands out more than anything.

  • Now I think it's part of that what you have is companies that have actually had an XDR bias, which is like we earlier is we haven't used XDR before, but we're clearly getting massive customer adoption there. Why because customers were focused on that. So really, you could like XDR as a proxy for doesn't allow me to actually consolidate and improve my security operations with less gaps in my ability to manage our security operations. That customers are definitely should do.

  • Now my belief because of that is that XDR offerings and security, which means I'm able to consolidate, I'm able to actually minimize gaps and our ability to be able to manage from our security infrastructure. I think people that do that are more likely to win in the future.

  • So yes, I think XDR Citrix SIEMs much more likely to take share in the overall security analytics of the system market as we actually move forward. But that's because they're actually providing a real business value proposition, which is taking things that are highly manual, have lots of gaps in the environment and simplifying it for customers even as it becomes more complex as we scale the volume increase.

  • Gregg Steven Moskowitz - MD of Americas Research

  • All right. That's very helpful. And then just for Jeff, are you able to say roughly how much revenue from Insights you're expecting for Q3 and Q4? Obviously, ARR is the most important metric. Just trying to get a sense of how much of the revenue guide increase is organic versus acquired?

  • Jeffrey A. Kalowski - Advisor

  • Yes. High single digits, upper single digits, for the half in the second half.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Brad Reback with Stifel.

  • Brad Robert Reback - MD & Senior Equity Research Analyst

  • Corey, over the last few calls, you've called out retention gains broadly. Just wondering where you are in that process if you think you've gotten most of that and its incrementalism from here or if there's still meaningful gains to be had?

  • Corey E. Thomas - Chairman & CEO

  • I mean we have steady improvements in all of our different customers retention metrics. And I would say as we execute on our strategy, I would say we have upside and opportunity as we actually go forward. I just think have most reflected in ARR per customer metric, which is, again, that and in net customer adds to our primary metrics. And we made clear commitments and expectations that we expect our ARR per customer to go steadily up over time. You could expect that, that had either stable or increasing retention of the fundamental underline assumption.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Alex Henderson with Needham.

  • Alexander Henderson - Senior Analyst

  • I just wanted to follow up on that last question a little bit the ARR per customer statistic is a great statistic, but I was wondering if you could update us relative to the ARR of new customers, whether they're coming in near the average, and that's helping boost that ratio or if they're coming in well below and still have a lot of room to move to the upside? Can you just give us that piece of the puzzle?

  • Jeffrey A. Kalowski - Advisor

  • Yes. Alex, they come in below the average of $52,500. They start smaller and then they grow with us. But there hasn't been a big change in that new. It's going up a little bit with the more platform product with additional platform products and higher ASPs. But it's still less than the $52,500.

  • Corey E. Thomas - Chairman & CEO

  • And I would say that's especially true on a like-for-like basis when you compare company size the ending, I would say they could draw up over time as we are having -- we are all with that strength in the mid-market, but we have an additional -- we continue to have strong strength in our enterprise expansion. And that's going to continuing trend for like the last 4 or 5 years. And so I'd say you see strength across that segmentation.

  • Alexander Henderson - Senior Analyst

  • So the environment clearly has changed quite significantly over the course of the last 6, 9 maybe, call it, 12 months as a result of an incredible number of attacks and the breadth of those attacks as well as presidential edicts and things of that sort, they've really moved the perception of perimeter defense down multiple notches and the need for defense and depth up a lot of notches.

  • How has that been impacting your business? Is that part of the acceleration in customer wins? Is that something that is accelerating? Or is it static in terms of impact? Can you give us some sense of what the environment looks like as a result of all of these hacks?

  • Corey E. Thomas - Chairman & CEO

  • Yes. It's tough to do specific attribution to different levels. What I would say is that you saw that we actually gave commentary coming out in the second half of actually last year. It was very clear that the demand environment has actually been improving.

  • And I would say that the focus the discussion, just curious is the fact that this is a topic at both the core levels. and at the executive levels companies is clearly a demand environment more favorable.

  • I think you see that most in some of our security transformation solutions categories where you actually -- if you look back 2 years ago, I would say security was not a must-have in the default digital transformation discussion. I would say today, you're seeing security much more as a default in the digital transformation discussion.

  • Now I can't say whether that's the government, whether that's the press, whether that's the breaches, but I would say that the tie between digital transformation and the security transformation upgrade has gone up materially over the course of the last year. And I think that -- I think there's some correlation there. It's just tough to do direct attribution.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Hamza Fodderwala with Morgan Stanley.

  • Hamza Fodderwala - Equity Analyst

  • Jeff, congrats again on the retirement. So just one quick question from my end. Just on gross margin. You mentioned that down slightly year-on-year. When could we expect that to start to normalize? What range should this sort of normalize at? Sort of mid-70s? Is that something that we should expect over the next few quarters?

  • Jeffrey A. Kalowski - Advisor

  • Yes. I just want to remind you that because of the deferred revenue haircut, we may have a little bit of headwind in the second half because we have the cost, but we can't recognize all the revenue. But we would expect to still be in that mid-70% range.

  • Hamza Fodderwala - Equity Analyst

  • Is that near or longer term?

  • Jeffrey A. Kalowski - Advisor

  • For product margins. And overall, in that 73% range. So no significant change.

  • Operator

  • There are no further questions. I'd like to turn the call back over to Corey Thomas for closing remarks.

  • Corey E. Thomas - Chairman & CEO

  • Well, thank you all for joining us today on our call, and I appreciate the fact that many of you share the sentiments how grateful we are for Jeff. But you will still be hearing from me. Well, thank you, and we look forward to chatting with you over time. Thank you very much.

  • Operator

  • This concludes the program. You may now disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.