QuinStreet Inc (QNST) 2026 Q1 法說會逐字稿

Good day and welcome to Queen Street's fiscal first quarter 2026 financial results conference call. (Operator Instructions) At this time I would like to turn the conference call over to Vice President of Investor Relations and Finance, Robert Ampero. Mr. Ampero, you may begin.

Thank you, operator, and thank you everyone for joining us as we report Quinn Street's fiscal first quarter 2026 financial results.

Joining me on the call today are Chief Executive Officer Doug Valenti and Chief Financial Officer Greg Wong. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that the following discussion will contain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those projected by such statements and are not guarantees of future performance.

Factors that may cause results to differ from our forward-looking statements are discussed in our recent SEC filings, including our most recent 8k filing made today, our most recent 10k filing. Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions as of today, and the company undertakes no obligation to update these statements. Today we will be discussing both GAAP and non-GAAP measures. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures is included in today's earnings press release, which is available on our investor relations website at investor.quinstreet.com. With that, I will turn the call over to Douglas Valenti. Please go ahead, sir.

Thank you, Rob.

Welcome, everyone. Fiscal Q1 was another good quarter of performance and progress for the company. We delivered record revenue. And exceeded our outlook for both revenue and adjusted EBITDA. Auto insurance demand remained strong. Home services continued to grow at double-digit rates. And adjusted dial remains strong, inclusive of heavy investments in new media and product.

We expect further significant growth in auto insurance revenue and margin in coming quarters and years due to strong product and market fundamentals. And to our rapidly expanding product, market, and media footprint. Auto insurance carrier results are good. Consumers are shopping. And marketing budgets continue their relentless but still early shift to digital and performance marketing.

While carrier spending is expected to remain strong, uncertainty about tariffs and their eventual impact on claims costs appears to be delaying what we expect to be another significant inflection up from here in carrier marketing spend.

In the meantime, we are preparing for the next leg up in auto insurance by investing in new media capacity and in dramatically expanding our product and market footprint to drive growth and expand margins now and into the future. We also expect continued strong growth in our non-insurance, non-auto insurance verticals, and we are investing aggressively there as well. Overall, Our total addressable market opportunity is already enormous and growing, and we continue to deliberately, contiguously, and successfully expand our footprint.

We estimate that we are less than 10% penetrated in our current footprint of addressable market. We expect to grow total company revenue at double-digit rates on average for many years to come. We also continue to focus on margin expansion. With a near term next milestone goal of reaching 10% quarterly adjusted EBITDA margin in this fiscal year.

Which, as ends in June. Our leverage to grow EIDon margin are threefold. One, growing and optimizing media to catch up to auto insurance demand. 2, growing higher margin products and businesses, and 3, capturing capturing operating leverage from topline growth and from efficiency and productivity initiatives.

Some examples. Auto insurance margins are expected to expand 5 points this fiscal year and are already up over 2 points just since July, with margins in new faster growing product market areas of auto insurance running at more than twice those of our core click marketplace.

Also, margins in big new media areas in auto insurance and across the company are now past break-even and expanding further as they scale. And our exciting QRP and 360 finance products are expected to grow well over 100% this fiscal year and to nicely contribute to expanded profitability. Another area of current and future investment and excitement is artificial intelligence or AI. We are confident that we are going to be an AI winner. We expect AI to accelerate our already fast-growing markets by improving consumer access, interface, and engagement in digital media.

We also believe that we will disproportionately benefit from AI due to our structured proprietary data. And our over 17-year history of successfully applying AI as a competitive advantage. We have dozens of new AI projects underway across the company and business, and they are already improving consumer satisfaction. Client results, media efficiency, and productivity. And they are already adding revenue and expanding margins.

Finally, before I share our outlook for fiscal Q2 in the full fiscal year, I am pleased to announce that the board of directors has authorized a new $40 million share repurchase program. The authorization reflects the strength of our underlying business model and financial position and confidence in our long-term outlook for the business. Turning to our outlook, we expect revenue in fiscal Q2 to be between 270 and $280 million and adjusted EBITDA to be between 19 and $20 million. We expect full fiscal year 2026 revenue to grow at least 10% year over year. And full fiscal year adjusted EADA to grow at least 20% year over year.

With that, I'll turn the call over to Greg.

Thank you, Doug.

Hello and thanks to everyone for joining us today. Fiscal Q1 was another record revenue quarter for Quinn Street. For the September quarter, Total revenue was $285.9 million. Adjusted net income was $13.1 million or $0.22 per share. An adjusted EBITDA was $20.5 million.

Looking at revenue by client vertical. Our financial services client vertical represented 73% of Q1 revenue and declined 2% year to year to $207.5 million. Auto insurance momentum accelerated in the quarter. Growing 16% sequentially versus the June quarter and 4% year over year against a very tough comparison. Non-insurance financial services, which included personal loans, credit cards, and banking.

Declined 10% year over year as the year ago period included a very large limited time promotional offer that benefited our credit cards vertical. Our home services client vertical represented 27% of Q1 revenue and grew 15% year over year to a record $78.4 million.

Other revenue has been consolidated into our home services client vertical to more accurately depict the operational structure of that business. Turning to the balance sheet, we closed the quarter with $101 million in cash and equivalents and no bank debt.

And we remain in a strong financial position. In the September quarter We repurchased $7 million worth of company shares. And subsequent to quarter end, another $10 million worth of company shares, exhausting our previously authorized share repurchase program. In our October 30th board meeting, our board of directors authorized a new share repurchase program of up to another $40 million. We continue to have a rigorously disciplined approach to capital allocation. And continue to prioritize one. Investing in new products and initiatives for future growth and margin expansion. 2 accret of acquisitions.

And 3 share repurchases at attractive levels. We will continue to be measured in our approach and remain focused on maximizing shareholder value. As we look ahead into Q2, I'd like to remind everyone of the seasonality characteristics of our business, as I do every year at this time.

The December quarter or fiscal second quarter typically declined sequentially. This is due to reduced client staffing and budgets during the holidays and end of year period. A tighter media market and changes in consumer shopping behaviour.

This trend generally reverses in January. Moving to our outlook for fiscal Q2, our December quarter, we expect revenue to be between $270 and $280 million. And adjusted the EITA to be between 19 and $20 million. We expect full fiscal year 2026 revenue to grow at least 10% year over year and full fiscal year adjusted EBITDA to grow at least 20% year over year.

With that, I'll turn it over to the operator for Q&A.

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. (Operator Instructions)

Your first question is from Jason Kreyer from Craig-Hallum. Your line is now open.

Wonderful thank you guys. Doug, just wondering if you can give some more details on the media investments that you made in the quarter, how those are performing specifically you kind of teased out some of the faster growth areas and then, where you're seeing better margin performance. Just curious more details on that. Thanks.

Sure, Jason, we have been focused on growing our proprietary media.

Campaigns and scaling those pretty dramatically. In response to the market demand in auto insurance and in response to the competitive pressures we've seen against scarce media and auto insurance because of the spike in auto insurance demand. And those campaigns have done, have both scaled nicely over the past few months and have now gotten beyond, well beyond break even, and our margins there are expanding.

And are expanding nicely, and we, but we expect there's a lot more to come. And as I indicated, we've already seen about a 2 point improvement in our auto insurance margins overall since July and expect at least 5 points by the end of the fiscal year and those campaigns will be a big contributor to that. Other contributors include new products and services and auto insurance beyond our historic and click marketplace that are also getting to good scale.

And also have significantly better margins. I don't want to talk a lot about the details of those. I don't want to give our competitors a road map, to everything we're doing, but to suffice to say they're very contiguous. They're a good scale, they're highly effective and proprietary as well, and we expect those to continue to scale and to again continue to contribute. By the way, those numbers for auto insurance do not include QRP. QRP margins are treated separately.

From auto insurance and QRP, as I indicated, also continues to scale very nicely, and we expect to be quite profitable this year to reach profitability and be nicely profitable this fiscal year as well as it gets to quite good scale. It grew last year it grew like 294%. This year we expect to grow at least 70% plus. And QRP while the 360 products on the home services side is going to grow, at even faster rates, so, we're seeing a lot of good, scale and expansion from us a new media, incremental products, and services and auto insurance, our new breakthrough products of ERP and 360 and, other businesses across the company including home services. That have better and higher margins than our insurance, so a lot of things, a lot of good things going on the margin expansion front.

Yeah, certainly seems promising. We wanted to follow-up on your tariff comments. It seemed like last quarter that a lot of the tariff concerns had pretty well abated. Now it sounds like maybe those are back on. I'm curious if there's a new round of tariffs causing concern or if the carriers are kind of reacting more to tariffs in recent months more than they were this summer.

No new tariffs, but no resolution of, not much by way of resolution of existing tariffs. In fact, some of them went up for some countries affected.

We can only go by spending behavior of our clients and by public, any public statements or public information. Spending behavior wise, the clients are spending strongly and we expect them to continue to do so, but they're not yet spending at the rate that we would expect. Given their very strong financial performance, one of the things that we note is mentioned in the public filings is the risk and. Difficulty in quantifying the exact impact of tariffs. And so it. We would say that and that's one of the few things that's mentioned.

When it comes to why they might not be spending more than they are, relative to their performance, so we would just point out that that remains a risk factor that they identify and one that they identify is one that's difficult to quantify the exact impact of, which probably implies that they're being a little bit more conservative than they would be otherwise, and I think as things get more clarified.

They'll be able, we would expect, given again the engagement we have with them, the performance that they're reporting, and the performance that we know that they have with our products, we expect a lot of room for another big leg up from here, and I think you've, and those of you that follow anybody else in our space has heard the same thing, I think, from, all the others in our space as well. We're getting kind of very similar, reads on the market.

I appreciate the thoughts, Doug. Thank you.

Thank you, Jason.

Thank you. Your next question is from Zach Cummins from B Riley Securities. Your line is now open.

Hi, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions. Doug, I was curious if you could just talk a little bit more about The spending trends you're seeing broadly among your auto insurance carriers. I know for a good part of the past 12 to 18 months, a lot of the recovery has really been driven by, just a couple of major carriers, but just curious if you've seen any sort of evolution in spending trends here in recent months among your carrier partners.

We spend, we've seen a broadening of spending, Zach. I mean, I'd say that some of the non-biggest players are have grown their spend at a significantly higher rate.

This over the past year or so then have the larger players are still spending strongly and plan, as they've indicated us plan to continue to do so I didn't mean to imply for a minute that the tariffs and, were a risk factor to current spending levels. I think they're just a factor in how fast we get to what we believe is going to be a pretty significant next leg up in spending. For carriers, but we're seeing a broadening trend, a lot of very healthy spending from a lot of different clients, and I think record numbers of clients spending it, if you want to pick a metric of a million dollars a month, yeah, we've got, we got a record number of clients doing that now, and so, that would be a data point for the broadening trend, but, deepening, broadening, of spend, a lot of deep engagement of clients with the various products. And very healthy activity.

Understood. And a follow-up question, Greg, I really appreciate the additional, segment detail, regarding Q1.

Just as we look at the full year guidance and the implied ramp in the second half of the year, anything we should keep in mind in terms of like, credit card offers or anything to that extent in the credit-driven verticals that we should be building into our model?

No, what I, how I think about the guidance overall, Zach, is, what we expect to see is continued strong spend within auto insurance, although we expect a leg up once we, you get more clarity around tariffs, etc. Etc. That Doug was talking about. We do expect to see a leg up. That is not baked into our outlook, because we just don't know the timing of that. So I'd tell you, continued strong spend to the carriers, and then what you would typically see is typical seasonality in the back half. And then continued progress against our other initiatives as well as, the non-insurance businesses, is how I'd characterize the outlook for the year.

Got it. That's helpful. Well, thanks for taking my questions and best of luck with the rest of the quarter.

Thank you, Zach.

Thanks, Zach.

Thank you. Your next question is from Patrick Sholl from Barrington Research. Your line is now open.

Hi, thank you, I was just on the following up on the credit driven verticals. Have there been any like indications in like the current macro environment of any changes in like the, monetization of that category of those categories in terms of like the customer profile that's coming through those media channels.

I would say not. I, they're not significant changes but trends, the trends, and the trends are that the lower end consumer is under more and more pressure.

And so we're seeing very healthy demand for credit and debt related relief products.

And then, and also in some cases personal loan products which are which serve more that demographic, than the upper end of the income spectrum. The middle and upper end of the income spectrum continue to be very healthy. The banks reported it yet again. We're seeing it yet again. The demand for credit cards, credit card debt is at record levels, but delinquencies and are not. They're quite, low levels. And so there continues to be trend wise, a bifurcation. Now our credit card business is primarily aimed at upper income consumers, so that works for us and our am1 financial products business, tends to be aimed at helping lower end consumers, so that works for us there.

The only other, business that we have in that area is the banking business, which is a source of funds business, and that market is still growing very rapidly. It was kind of dormant during the zero interest period and once your interest rates came back up.

The that market really has taken off and we have very strong demand from a very broad range of clients and and we continue to do very well there and again the only trend there is that interest rates are more normalized now even if they come down a little bit they're still, they're the, source of funds accounts are open again and so and banks are utilizing that to to raise capital, so. Those would be the general trends, but nothing significant, no significant changes or inflections that we've seen.

Okay, and then, within the, home services segment, I guess have you seen any sort of like change in like activity there driven by, lowering interest rates or is that more going to flow through the financial services sector?

We have not, we see, we continue to see robust demand, for home services and got, we have all the business opportunity and market opportunity we can stand and we'll have, I think, for decades to come there. It's a massive market, it's healthy. Performance marketing works very well. They're done well and we do it.

Better than anybody, and our clients tell us that, by the way, and, they're, it's a matter of continuing to execute and implement and execute and implement we're doing that every day and as you've seen, we're growing at very consistent, very good rates.

And probably limited only by our capacity to to execute, not by market demand. So we're very early in our penetration there. The market is quite healthy. Consumers have a lot of equity.

They have a lot of capacity to to fund the products, the projects.

And they haven't been relocating as much, which, means that there aren't as many new projects associated with with moving in, but there are a lot of new projects associated with nesting and fixing up where they are. So on balance, just a, super healthy market. Homeowners are in very good financial shape, in general, and we're very early on our penetration of that very large market.

Okay, thank you.

Thank you.

Thank you once again. Please press store one should you wish to ask a question, and your next question is from Elle Niebuhr from Lake Street Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Hey guys, thanks for taking my questions. So first wondering how we should think about mixed shift impacts on gross margin into 2026, especially as the carrier budgets, remain healthy.

That's a great question. The carrier budgets are healthy, but they, we haven't really modeled.

The next leg up in growth for this fiscal year. So if in fact we stay at, steady state and then just grow with seasonality as we enter this insurance shopping season in the March quarter, we're likely to see that mix where the mix has shifted pretty dramatically to auto insurance.

Over the past year and a half or so, to start normalizing more and that that makeshift trend will soften and in fact we may actually see a growth of other products and services and businesses, faster, go faster than auto insurance if that's the case that's generally speaking, until and as we get these new media campaigns built for auto insurance, generally speaking that will expand the gross margin. And we indicated, as I indicated in my prepared remarks, we are targeting getting to a 10% adjusted DBTda in the back half of the fiscal year which would be of course the March or June quarters, and that would be a component of that, a factor in that.

Got you thanks and then with that margin expansion, do you see that, coming from auto mix or operating efficiency or where do you see that expansion coming from?

Yeah, 33 main areas, one is, the mix and initiatives, particularly the new media initiatives and auto insurance continuing to scale and continuing to expand and continuing to, help grow our margins there. The growth of our higher margin businesses, as I indicated, just now when we talked about that either the new products for 3,160 and QRP or, home services, some of our other businesses that are structurally higher margin, growing, faster or at least not falling back in the mix. And then, certainly efficiency and productivity initiatives which we have a ton of going on, and just to give you a data point on that just to make sure that's real, it's real to you, in the past two years we've gone from like $600 million a year in revenue to $1.2 billion a year in revenue.

In that period we have gone from 902 employees to 928 employees, so we've doubled revenue by adding 26 employees. So, when I talk about efficiency and productivity initiatives, we really have efficiency and product initiatives. And they're working very well.

Got you. Thanks for taking my questions. I'll hop back in you.

You bet.

Thank you. There are no further questions at this time, and that concludes our question-and-answer session for today.

Thank you everyone for taking the time to join Queen Street's earnings call. Replay information is available on the earnings press release issued this afternoon. This concludes today's call.

Thank you for joining. You may all disconnect your lines.