Quanta Services Inc (PWR) 2012 Q3 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Welcome to the Quanta Services third-quarter 2012 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session with instructions provided.

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • As a reminder, this conference is being recorded today, Wednesday, October 31, 2012, and I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Kip Rupp, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

  • - VP, IR

  • Thank you, Luke, and welcome everyone to the Quanta Services conference call to review third-quarter 2012 results. Before I turn the call over to management, I have the normal housekeeping details to run through. If you would like to have Quanta news releases and other information e-mailed to you when they occur, please sign up for e-mail information alerts by going to the Investors and Media section of Quanta Services' website at QuantaServices.com. A replay of today's call will be available on Quanta's website at QuantaServices.com. In addition, a telephonic recorded instant replay will be available for the next seven days, 24 hours a day, that can be accessed as set forth in the press release.

  • Please remember that information reported on this call speaks only as of today, October 31, 2012, and, therefore, you are advised that any time-sensitive information may no longer be accurate as of the time of any replay of this call. This conference call will include forward-looking statements intended to qualify under the Safe Harbor from liability established by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements include all statements reflecting Quanta's expectations, intentions, assumptions, or beliefs about future events or performance, or that do not solely relate to historical or current facts. Forward-looking statements involve certain risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict, or are beyond Quanta's control, and actual results may differ materially from those expected or implied as forward-looking statements.

  • Management cautions that you should not place undue reliance on Quanta's forward-looking statements and Quanta does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after this call. For additional information concerning some of the risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that could affect Quanta's forward-looking statements, please refer to the Company's annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2011, its quarterly reports on Form 10-Q and its other documents filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which may be obtained on Quanta's website or through the SEC's website at SEC.gov. With that, I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Jim O'Neil, Quanta's President and CEO. Jim?

  • - President and CEO

  • Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Quanta Services' third-quarter 2012 earnings conference call. Before I begin the call, on behalf of the Quanta management team, we would like to express our concerns to our friends, analysts, and shareholders that may have been impacted by Hurricane Sandy, many of whom may not be able to participate on the call today. You are in our thoughts and prayers. After my operational overview, I will turn the call over to Derrick Jensen, Quanta's Chief Financial Officer, who will provide a detailed review of our third-quarter financial results. Following Derrick's comments, we welcome your questions.

  • We continue to see market momentum in our infrastructure segments, particularly our electric transmission and pipeline services. In addition, because of the many nuances in building major infrastructure projects in today's challenging environment, our customers have become more selective in choosing a construction partner that can successfully manage safety and environmental concerns, project timelines and execution while meeting budget expectations. Our third-quarter performance reflects our customers' continued confidence in our ability to exceed expectations with consistent, safe, and efficient execution. We also expect strong demand for our services in the future, from a broadening customer base, as our infrastructure projects move forward.

  • Our revenues in the third quarter were a record $1.69 billion, a 35% increase compared to the third quarter of 2011. Revenues for the first nine months of this year have increased almost 49%, compared to the same period last year. Our 12-month backlog is at record levels. Our employee count at the end of this year's third quarter was approximately 21,000, up 21% compared to the third quarter of last year, and up 20% since the end of 2011. Although emergency restoration service revenues were $81 million for the quarter, the highest quarterly levels since Hurricane Rita hit the Gulf coast in the third quarter of 2008, the quarter-over-quarter increase of $16 million was negligible relative to the overall revenue growth in the quarter.

  • Our third-quarter results were primarily driven by strong performance in our Electric Power segment, due to the significant volume of electric transmission projects underway, and our ability to safely execute those projects. Improved performance, quarter-over-quarter and sequentially, from our Natural Gas and Pipeline and Telecommunications segments also contributed to the strong results. Our Electric Power segment revenues continue to reflect significant growth, and 12-month backlog grew, due to new contract awards. During the third quarter, Quanta was selected for three large electric transmission projects, which have an aggregate value of approximately $400 million. We secured a contract from ATCO Electric to install transmission infrastructure for their Hanna Region Transmission Development Project in Southeast Alberta, Canada. This project is in the early stages of construction and is expected be completed in 2013.

  • Southern California Edison, or SCE, selected Quanta to install transmission infrastructure for SCE's Eldorado-Ivanpah Transmission Project. This project is in construction, with completion estimated by July of 2013. In addition, SCE selected Quanta to construct its Red Bluff Substation project, which also includes the installation of two parallel transmission line segments in Eastern Riverside County, California. This project is in construction, and is expected to be completed by the end of 2013.

  • Quanta was also selected by American Electric Power, or AEP, to rebuild 66 miles of its 345-kilovolt line near Corpus Christi, Texas. We will perform this work while the line is in an energized state, utilizing proprietary energized services capabilities and equipment, to avoid service outages to AEP's customers during construction. This project is the first of five phases of energized transmission upgrades AEP has planned in this area, which are projected for completion by March of 2016. Once completed, this first phase will represent the longest transmission line in the United States rebuilt in an energized state, and we believe we are well-positioned to be awarded the remaining four phases of this project.

  • Our proprietary energized services strategically differentiate Quanta from others, enabling us to provide solutions to utilities that minimize disruption to their customers when upgrading or replacing electrical infrastructure. Last month, a federal court entered an order finding that a product line sold by another company infringed on the United States patent for our LineMaster Robotic Arm. We will continue to be diligent in defending our proprietary technologies and work methods. The outlook for electric transmission spending remains strong. We continue to see a significant amount of additional new, large transmission program opportunities that we expect to be awarded over the next 12 months. In addition, smaller transition project activity, which represents approximately 50% of our overall transmission revenues, is significant, as our customers upgrade existing transmission infrastructure to comply with NERC reliability standards.

  • Our electric distribution revenues continue to grow at near double-digit rates through the first nine months of this year, compared to the same period last year, despite political and economic uncertainty. Pockets of distribution activity are being spurred by a pickup in new home construction, but the primary driver of distribution activity continues to be reliability initiatives. Our renewables revenues increased approximately 104% to $306 million during the first nine months of this year, compared to the same period of last year, as we continue to build utility-scale solar projects, primarily in the western United States. We have an active pipeline of utility-scale solar opportunities that we anticipate will be awarded and moved into construction in 2013.

  • Over the past week, we have deployed significant resources to nine states and the District of Columbia for eight utility customers to restore electrical infrastructure damaged by Hurricane Sandy. A storm like Sandy will obviously generate emergency restoration revenues for Quanta, however these revenues are not all incremental. Our employees, who are responding from points throughout the United States and Canada, have been released from non-critical work, where they were generating revenues, to respond to this storm event. Additionally, we have pipeline construction projects in the Marcellus, several large electric transmission construction projects in the Northeast, and our Fiber Optic Licensing business in Philadelphia that may be negatively impacted by Hurricane Sandy. As a result, it is too early to determine the extent to which Hurricane Sandy will affect our financial performance this quarter, and our fourth-quarter guidance does not take into account any positive or negative impacts from the storm.

  • Turning to our Natural Gas and Pipeline segment, revenues increased substantially compared to the same quarter last year, and more importantly, operating income continues to improve. The strategic shift to this segment over the past 18 months to capitalize on shale infrastructure opportunities, as well as better project execution, is driving this improved profitability. We expect this segment to remain profitable for the remainder of the year and for 2013. Demand for our pipeline shale gathering services is active and steady, as the lack of gathering infrastructure in many of the shales remains a challenge for producers to transport products to market and processing areas. Most of our shale gathering work is being performed in the Marcellus, Bakken, and Eagle Ford shales. We believe demand for the shale gathering infrastructure will remain robust for the foreseeable future, and that development of new shales in the future will create additional opportunities for Quanta over the next several years. We continue to see signs that a significant volume of long-haul, large-diameter pipeline projects could be awarded over the next several quarters, and moved into construction toward the middle of 2013.

  • A significant increase in the long-haul pipeline market, coupled with continued demand for shale gathering pipeline construction resources, could result in a significant tightening of industry capacity. A number of long-haul pipeline construction companies have moved pipeline construction resources into the shales to perform pipeline gathering work, and we do not believe all of these spread resources will return to the long-haul market. We have been taking strategic steps to ensure we are in position to capitalize on the return of the long-haul pipeline market when it occurs, while maintaining pipeline construction resources in the shales to help our customers develop pipeline gathering infrastructure. We will continue to gain more clarity on the progress of long-haul projects and the industry dynamics over the next few quarters. We are optimistic that long-haul pipeline market conditions should improve in 2013 and 2014.

  • Our Telecommunications segment experienced solid growth in the third quarter. Revenues increased almost 21% in the third quarter compared to the same period last year, driven by increases in the pace of construction on broadband stimulus projects, and fiber to the cell site initiatives. Our 12-month backlog increased in the quarter, while total backlog decreased slightly, due to backlog burn associated with the significant increase in projects under construction during this year's third quarter, as well as the expiration of several multi-year master service agreements at the end of this year that we are optimistic will renew before year end. We expect broadband stimulus projects to continue through the rest of this year and well into 2013, and expect the same high levels of fiber to the cell site activity through 2013.

  • The reallocation of funds within the universal services fund to develop and operate the broadband networks in underserved areas of the country should also have a positive impact on our business. This program funding reallocation is in the early stages of deployment, and we anticipate that our Telecom segment will begin to experience the benefits of it in the latter part of 2013 or 2014. In our Fiber Optic Licensing segment, revenues for the quarter were slightly up, compared to the third quarter of last year. This segment continues to provide a steadily growing revenue and earnings profile, with attractive margins and returns. Our contract sales for the segment for the first nine months of the year, have increased at a healthy double-digit growth rate, which indicates that the segment revenue growth is likely to accelerate next year. We are increasing our full-year outlook to reflect our strong results for the first nine months of 2012, the expectation of continued strength in all of our segments for the remainder of this year, and better visibility in our Natural Gas and Pipeline segment. Derrick will provide additional detail about our outlook during his comments.

  • In summary, the demand for the services Quanta provides is substantial. All of our operating segments are executing well, and total Company backlog remains strong. Based on the work we have in hand today, the opportunities we believe could materialize over the next year, and our confidence in continued solid execution, we believe all of our operating segments will have a solid finish to 2012, and we look forward to a strong 2013. I will now turn the call over to Derrick Jensen, our CFO, for his financial review of the third quarter. Derrick?

  • - CFO

  • Thanks, Jim, and good morning, everyone. Today, we announced revenues of $1.69 billion for the third quarter of 2012, compared to $1.25 billion in the prior year's third quarter, reflecting growth of about 35% quarter over quarter. Net income attributable to common stock for the quarter was $96.4 million, or $0.45 per diluted share, compared to net income of $52 million, or $0.25 per diluted share, in the third quarter of last year. Included in net income attributable to common stock for the third quarter of 2012 was $7.1 million of income, or a net benefit of $0.03 per diluted share, primarily from the release of income tax contingencies associated with the expiration of certain statutory periods that are no longer subject to audit.

  • The growth in consolidated revenues in the third quarter of 2012 was driven by growth across all of Quanta's segments, as well as the incremental contribution of approximately $62 million in revenues from companies acquired since the third quarter of last year. Excluding the impact of revenues from acquired companies, organic growth for the quarter was 31%. Our consolidated gross margin increased to 16.6% in the third quarter of 2012, from 15.6% in 3Q 2011. This increase was due to strong performance in each of our segments, as well as the impact of higher revenues, which improved our ability to cover fixed operating costs.

  • Selling, general and administrative expenses were $124.3 million, reflecting an increase of $31.9 million, as compared to last year's third quarter. This increase is primarily due to -- $16.7 million in higher salary and incentive compensation costs associated with increased levels of activity and profitability; approximately $5.1 million in increased professional fees, primarily associated with ongoing technology development costs, business development issues, and legal matters; and $4.6 million in additional administrative expenses associated with recently-acquired companies. As a percentage of revenues, selling, general and administrative expenses remained flat at 7.4% for the third quarter of 2012 and 2011. Our consolidated operating margins before amortization expense increased from 8.2% in 3Q 2011 to 9.3% in 3Q 2012. Amortization of intangible assets increased from $8.3 million in 3Q 2011 to $10.5 million in the third quarter of 2012, due to acquisitions at the end of 2011 and the first and second quarters of 2012.

  • To further discuss our segment results, the Electric Power segment's revenues were up about $266.6 million, quarter over quarter, or approximately 32%. Revenues were positively impacted by higher revenues from electric power transmission services, resulting from an increase in number and size of projects that were ongoing in 3Q '12 compared to 3Q '11, as well as increased renewables revenues. The increase in revenues is also attributable, in part, to the incremental contribution of $53 million in segment revenues from acquired companies, and an increase of $13 million in emergency restoration services versus 3Q '11. Growth in this segment without revenues from acquired companies was still 27%. The end of the third quarter, 12-month backlog for the Electric Power segment increased 23%, and total backlog for this segment decreased slightly by 1% compared to the third quarter of 2011. Operating margin in the Electric Power segment increased to 12.5% in the third quarter of 2012, compared to 12.2% in last year's third quarter, primarily due to the increased volume of revenues from services on higher-margin transmission projects. Also contributing to the increase was the increase in emergency restoration service revenues, which typically carry higher margins.

  • Natural Gas and Pipeline revenues increased quarter over quarter by 53%, to $397.5 million in 3Q '12, primarily due to an increase in the number of shale gathering system projects currently under construction. Additionally, we saw increases in revenues from natural gas distribution services, as the outsourced gas distribution work with Puget Sound Energy was just starting up in the third quarter of 2011. The end of the third quarter of 2012, 12-month and total backlog for this segment increased about 26% and 11%, respectively, compared to the end of the third quarter of 2011. Operating income for the Natural Gas and Pipeline segment as a percentage of revenues increased to 5.8% for 3Q '12, from a negative 1.6% for 3Q '11, due primarily to the impact that lower revenues earned in the prior year and on this segment's ability to cover fixed operating and overhead costs, as our efforts to move into shale gathering systems projects had just begun in the third quarter of 2011. The current year was positively impacted by the overall increase in the volume of this segment's revenue, due to the shift to more shale gathering system projects.

  • Revenues from our Telecommunications segment increased $29.2 million, or 21%, to $169.9 million in 3Q '12, primarily due to an increase in the volume of work associated with stimulus-funded fiber optic network projects and higher revenues from fiber to the cell site and wireless initiatives, resulting from higher capital spending for our customers. Compared to the end of last year's third quarter, 12-month backlog for this segment increased 6%, and total backlog decreased about 2%. Operating margin in the Telecommunications segment was 13.1% in 3Q '12, compared to 11.3% in 3Q '11. This increase in margin is primarily due to increased demand for our services, allowing for margin expansion as well as the impact of revenue increases on this segment's ability to cover fixed and overhead costs. Fiber Optic Licensing segment revenues were $28.6 million, and operating margin was 49.2% in 3Q '12, which were both comparable to the third quarter of 2011. Capital expenditures for this segment have increased this year versus last year, which should drive revenue and backlog growth as network capacity is licensed out to customers in 2013.

  • When calculating operating margins by segment, we do not allocate certain selling, general, and administrative expenses, and amortization expense to our segment. Therefore, previous discussion about operating margins by segment excludes the effects of such expenses. Corporate and non-allocated costs increased $18 million in the third quarter of 2012 as compared to 3Q '11, primarily as a result of $11 million in higher salary and incentive compensation costs associated with current levels of operating activity, and $2.2 million in higher amortization expense associated with intangible assets. Adjusted diluted earnings per share, as calculated in today's press release, are $0.48 for the third quarter of 2012, compared to an adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.29 for 3Q '11.

  • Cash flow use and operations was approximately $61.3 million for the third quarter of 2012. Capital expenditures, net of proceeds from equipment sales, were about $68.7 million, resulting in approximately $130 million in negative free cash flow for the quarter. Days sales outstanding, or DSOs, were 91 days at September 30, 2012, versus 75 days at September 30, 2011, and 81 days at June 30, 2012. Cash flow for the quarter was primarily impacted by increases in receivables. DSOs have increased compared to September 30, 2011, and June 30, 2012, as a result of the overall increase in Quanta's net position with its customers, which was driven by significant revenue increases on a select number of large electric transmission projects which went into construction starting this quarter. These jobs contributed approximately five days to Quanta's consolidated DSO calculation as of September 30, 2012.

  • In addition, the significant storm work I spoke of earlier remains uncollected, due to the timing of when the work was performed in the quarter. Lastly, although we have invoiced the customer for the change orders associated with the Sunrise project, change orders have not yet been settled due to the substantial volume of underlying support records that are being reviewed by the customer. These change orders remain in costs in excess of billings and contribute to the overall higher DSO. Detailed discussions and reviews continue with the customer, and we are currently unaware of any circumstances warranting any adjustments to the amounts invoiced, although the timing of the settlement could significantly impact our overall free cash flow for the year.

  • EBITA for the quarter of 2012 was $152.8 million, or 9.1% of revenues, compared to $98.1 million, or 7.8% of revenues for the third quarter of 2011. Adjusted EBITDA was $193.7 million, or 11.5% of revenues, for the third quarter of 2012, compared to $133 million, or 10.6% of revenues, for the third quarter of 2011. Calculation of EBITA and EBITDA, and adjusted EBITDA, all non-GAAP measures, and the definitions of these and DSOs can be found in the Investors and Media sections of our website at QuantaServices.com. September 30, 2012, we had about $179 million in letters of credit outstanding, primarily to secure our insurance program, and we had borrowings of approximately $125 million outstanding under our credit facility. In addition, at the end of the quarter, we had approximately $128 million of cash, predominantly within foreign operations. Considering our cash on hand and availability under our credit facility, we had nearly $524 million in total liquidity after September 30.

  • Turning to our outlook for 2012, we expect revenues for the fourth quarter of 2012 to range between $1.55 billion and $1.65 billion, and diluted earnings per share to be $0.37 to $0.39 on a GAAP basis. Included in our estimate of GAAP diluted earnings per share for the fourth quarter of 2012, the net tax benefit of approximately $0.02 per share associated with certain task contingency releases, due to the expiration of certain statutes of limitations during the fourth quarter. These estimates compare to revenues of $1.51 billion and diluted earnings per share of $0.32 in GAAP EPS in 4Q '11. GAAP EPS forecast for 4Q '12 includes an estimate of $6.9 million for non-cash compensation expenses and $9.1 million for amortization expenses. Including these expenses, and the previously discussed net tax benefit, our non-GAAP adjusted diluted earnings per share for the fourth quarter are expected to be $0.40 to $0.42, when compared to non-GAAP adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.41 in 4Q '11. This non-GAAP measure is calculated on the same basis as the historical calculations of adjusted diluted earnings per share presented in the release.

  • We are currently forecasting net income attributable to non-controlling interest to be approximately $3 million to $3.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2012, and around $16 million to $16.5 million for the year. For additional guidance, we are currently projecting our GAAP tax rate to be around 34% for the fourth quarter of 2012. The lower tax rate for the fourth quarter is primarily due to the additional tax contingency releases I previously discussed. We expect our diluted share count to be about 213 million shares for 2012. We expect CapEx for all of 2012 to be approximately $215 million to $225 million, which includes CapEx of our Fiber Optic Licensing segment of about $45 million. This compares to CapEx for all of 2011 of $172 million.

  • As Jim commented, we continue to execute within all of our segments, and we believe that we are operationally and financially well-positioned for continued solid growth in 2012 and beyond. This concludes our formal presentation, and we will now open up the line for Q&A. Operator?

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • Your first question comes from the line of Tahira Afzal of KeyBanc. Please go ahead.

  • - Analyst

  • Congratulations on a very strong quarter. The first question is, you are having such a strong finish to the year. As you look into 2013, Jim, what do you see as your key challenges for growth?

  • - President and CEO

  • Tahira, right now we're seeing so much momentum think it's just, getting resources is becoming more challenging, even though we are the preferred employer in the industry, because we play the best wage and provide our folks with good equipment to work with, so I think that would be the biggest challenge. We have momentum in our business going forward, the timing of projects is the challenge. And the regulatory environment, while it is not as big an issue for us overall, because we have so many projects going, trying to determine when a project is going to start, this slippage of a month or two, could impact of our forecast but other than that, we are continuing to see momentum going into next year.

  • - Analyst

  • That's great. And I have one more and then I will hop back in the queue. As you look on the electric transmission side, and you stated several large awards that are still out there, and you talking about $200 million to $500 million-type of projects from what you can see that could be awarded over the next 12 months, as you look at that prospect list you mentioned, could you talk a little bit more, to provide a little more color on the drivers of some of these transmission opportunities that you are seeing?

  • - President and CEO

  • Yes, there's going to be big project awards. There are big projects in the pipeline, and we're excited about that. I think one thing that is really not understood is the small transmission market. The regulation that is driving the NERC compliance standards, and the coal switching to natural gas. These are all going to be smaller segments of transmission, and that business is very, very active, and it's going to remain very active, and I believe in the growth mode for quite some time. You look at CREZ, CREZ is billed as a big transmission project, but you have to think about all that laterals and interconnects that are to be built off of that, and in total, the amount of money being spent there is far more than what CREZ is. The small transmission market for the projects we don't typically announce in day-to-day work is very active, and that's over 50% of our business, and we expect the big transmission market to be active as well. So it's a really robust time in the transmission business and I still think we're in the early years of a major transmission build out.

  • - Analyst

  • Thanks a lot, Jim, and congratulations, again.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from the line of Adam Thalhimer of BB&T Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

  • - Analyst

  • First, Derrick or Jim, can you help me think about, your Q4 revenue guidance is up single digits, but your total 12-month backlog up about 19% in Q3, what is the relationship between 12-month backlog and then revenue over the next couple of quarters?

  • - CFO

  • 12-month backlog overall over the next couple of quarters, typically we run about the 65% range as far as backlog as a percentage of revenue, as that relates to 2012 and going into 2013.

  • - President and CEO

  • I think the relationship too, Adam, when you look at the fourth quarter, first off, 12-month public backlog is the best indicator of our business going forward. It's at record levels. It's strong. That's an indicator that the next 12 months we should see growth in our business, although we are not willing to quantify right now. The fourth quarter of guidance, we've got seasonality in the fourth quarter, we've got weather risks, the risk that projects could get pushed into the next period. We've got holidays, we've got this storm going on right now. So we think we can do better, but we are going to shoot the ball down the middle right now and give the guidance that we have, and hopefully we will do better, but we don't want to take a risk because of all these factors, and the fourth quarter being seasonal, primarily because of the weather and holidays, that we haven't issued any guidance.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay. That's good. And then for the second question I wanted to ask about electric distribution, Jim. Have you seen any -- have there been any changes there in demand in Q3. Some of the equipment suppliers saw some deceleration in demand on the distribution side. Utility returns maybe are softening a little bit. Are you seeing any utilities cut distribution here?

  • - President and CEO

  • No, we have not. From a constant standpoint, the third quarter in distribution was probably a tough comp from third-quarter 2011, but we still seeing close to double-digit growth for the year, and really we haven't seen any slowdown as many of the utilities are spending money on reliability. And that trend continues, despite that we are in an election year. So we have been pleased with what we've seen so far, we expect that trend to continue going forward

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from the line of Alex Rygiel of FBR. Please go ahead.

  • - Analyst

  • Nice quarter, gentlemen. Two quick questions. First, you mentioned in your opening remarks that you're seeing your customer base broaden and one of the strengths of Quanta through the years has been that your customer base has already been very broad. Can you comment a little bit further on that comment in your opening remarks?

  • - President and CEO

  • Yes. Well I don't want to give any names, Alex. I think that the current environment is, for our customers, that they are under more pressures to get projects done on time and under budget or on budget and it's very important, and we've had more discussions with people that we haven't traditionally worked with in the past, and we believe that there will be opportunities that we will execute on, because we have the capabilities to get their projects done. On time and on budget. And we have the resources to do that.

  • - Analyst

  • That's great.

  • - President and CEO

  • You will see some new customers for certain in 2013.

  • - Analyst

  • Excellent. And then secondly, can we dig a little bit deeper into the pipeline business? Excellent quarter, 5.8% operating margin, up nicely from the second quarter. Can you put that into perspective and maybe give us some directional guidance on the mix of long-haul, large-diameter versus shale work this year, and possibly what that mix could look like next year, and how it could help or hurt margins?

  • - President and CEO

  • I would say that for 2012, all of our work is shale-related. And we've done very well. We established a presence about 18 months ago and from that point, we built momentum, and we've got more volume and better margins because of that. I would not think that a 50/50 mix next year would be out of the question, but that's not going to be one plus one equals two. It'll probably be one plus one equals 1.5, but we will see some big pipe opportunities next year that could be a 50/50 mix potentially, big pipe versus soft shale work.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from the line of Will Gabrielski of Lazard. Please go ahead.

  • - Analyst

  • Can you talk about any impact you may have seen as the quarter, Q3, went along in the shales? Did you see any change in activity levels based on what's happening with the rig count, or some of the commentary from the E&Ps around expensing or exhausting their capital budgets for this year, and maybe waiting until next year to start spending again?

  • - President and CEO

  • No, Will. We have not seen that. This E&P guys that we're dealing with are not going to shut rigs down for the quarter and start back up in January. That's inefficient. We continue to see the drilling rig count, particularly on the horizontal rigs in the liquid-rich plays, the pickup continues to be strong and we have not seen any pullback in that activity.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay, and then for my follow-up. I was just wondering if you could talk about the reliability side of your business? [Mozan] Transmission tracks assets every quarter, just to see how it's tracking, but the enforcement of some of the NERC reliability rules, and how that's trending, and what the margins are looking like on that work right now?

  • - President and CEO

  • Well, it's 50% of our transmission business, and it's growing, if not the same, more than what our big transmission business is growing this year. It's significant and it's going to be here for several years. And our customers are just on the very front end of spending money to comply with NERC reliability standards. And then on top of that, you've got FERC 1000, which could impact us in 2014 and 2015, you have the coal switching to natural gas projects, which is going to be 30 to 60 mile pipe segment lines that need to be built off a new gas-fired generation that's going to be in the small transmission category so we've got a significant amount of opportunities in the small transmission market that is being driven by regulation.

  • And that's going to help pipeline too, to because you're going to have to build gas pipelines, compressor stations, and pump stations and all of that, so that's really going to support our pipeline business as well. It's all good stuff. Good drivers right now in our business.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from the line of Noelle Dilts of Stifel Nicholas. Please go ahead.

  • - Analyst

  • I was hoping you could speak a little bit about the opportunities that you're seeing in Canada, in terms of both electrical and pipeline, and how that compares to US? And I've been hearing that, on the pipeline side in particular, we've been hearing that labor is tight in Canada. I'm wondering if you're seeing a shift toward negotiation and away from competitive bid in the Canadian market, on the pipeline side?

  • - President and CEO

  • I can just tell you that the same drivers in the US are in Canada today, as far as both electric transmission and on pipeline. It's a very active market and we are well-positioned in Canada from a competitive standpoint to take advantage of those opportunities as they present themselves. Really in almost every province in Canada, there's opportunities. It's the same drivers that we see in the US, it's just about 18 months behind the activity here in the States.

  • - Analyst

  • On the labor side, is the tightness of labor pool, is it similar to the US or is it a little bit tighter in Canada?

  • - President and CEO

  • I would say it as tight if not tighter in Canada than it is in the US. Everyone is going through a skilled labor, both the pipeline industry and the electric industry are going through labor shortfalls right now, as the demand continues to increase for the services our customers need.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from the line of Andy Wittmann of Robert W. Baird. Please go ahead.

  • - Analyst

  • I wanted to dig into the pricing environment in the electric business. Specifically, there's a fairly large project that went out this past quarter that your name had been circled around -- you have been a higher-quality service provider and this is a project that I assume you did not want to price it at some of those levels that we're seeing in it. Can you just talk about the level of competition on price today, and what maybe your passing on that job means for the rest of the environment that you might be looking at in terms of other projects?

  • - President and CEO

  • Yes, and you can't take one project and think that's going to set pricing for the industry. It's a very regional dynamic and it's also depends upon the size of the line, the scope of the line, what type of geography we're in, so we're not going to win every job. I can tell you that our philosophy on pricing has not changed. If anything, prices could go up because the demand for our services continues to increase. So, I wouldn't read anything into us winning or not winning a project that everybody had circled for us to win. I just think that you can't do that. The pricing dynamic in the industry still continues to be very strong.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay. That's helpful. And maybe totally different, but I guess somewhat related also, on the margins, were there any project close-outs in the quarter, Derrick, and can you also quantify the absolute dollars of the storm? I know you said $11 million to $16 million more this year than more. Can you just give us the absolute dollar amount for storm?

  • - CFO

  • Sure the absolute dollar model for storm for the consolidated basis is about $81 million for the quarter and then relative to your questions about close-outs, we obviously had starts and stops of all of the jobs, but there was nothing material associated with any impacts of the quarter, for those starts and stops.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from the line of Scott Levine at JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

  • - Analyst

  • Hi, it's Rodney Clayton here for Scott. Congratulations on a very nice quarter. First, I wanted to ask about your energized service offering. You obviously got a nice award there from AP, and certainly looks like that's a service we have a competitive advantage with differentiation for the competition, what is really stopping the greater percentage of your customers from adopting this type of approach when they're planning a project? Is it just price or is there some reason why that's going to become a greater percentage of your business?

  • - President and CEO

  • Well I think that energized services is going to be more important to our customers going forward. The NERC compliance work is going to be an important driver for that business. When you have one transmission line into an area that needs to be upgraded, because it's not in compliance and that the customer can't -- or it's not cost effective to acquire new right away or take the line out of service because the customers will have interruptions for too long a period of time. So this is a perfect application and technology that becomes cost-effective at that point to utilize.

  • That's why AEP is using this technology. So, again, upgrading this older infrastructure, having one line in and out of a load center, it gets to the point of right-of-way issues and everything else. It just makes it a lot more cost effective and more efficient for the customer to use this technology going forward. So were pretty excited about the opportunity we have for energized services in the future.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay. Got it. Very good. For my follow-up, I want to ask about how at Energy Partners, just in general, how is that venture going and how does your project pipeline look? As you get to work in the 80%.

  • - President and CEO

  • Howard Energy is going along like we expected it to. The investment is giving us opportunities, the Eagle Ford is very early in development we are seeing engineering and construction opportunities, not only in the Eagle Ford, but in other areas, because we have leveraged our relationship with Howard to do work in Marcellus as well, and in the Bakken. So we've been very pleased with that relationship and that investment and we expect more opportunities to come out in the future as the Eagle Ford in particular becomes more active.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from the line of Zach Larkin of Stephens, Inc. Please go ahead.

  • - Analyst

  • This is Chris Godby in for Zach. With two quarters of profitability in gas without large diameter work, do you have a sense for what the operating margin profile of the segment could be, just on shale work alone?

  • - President and CEO

  • We said we should be in the mid to upper single digit operating income on shale gathering work alone, and we've been moving toward that target over the last several quarters. If we were to bring in some big pipe into that mix, some large diameter pipe, we should be able to move in that 9% to 12% operating income range.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay. Great. Thanks for the color. And then, thinking about electric transmission, have there been any changes in approval timelines, given the regulatory environment or elections?

  • - President and CEO

  • No, everything has moved according to plan. Since the last quarter, we have not had any delays to speak of. Nothing meaningful.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from the line of Ahmar Zaman of Piper Jaffray. Please go ahead.

  • - Analyst

  • Congratulations on another great quarter. A couple of questions just on the impact of Hurricane Sandy. I know you made some comments in your prepared statements. First question is, how much be pre-prep were you able to do getting going into Hurricane Sandy, and how will that affect kind of minimizing the damage to your activities that were in the path? And secondly, the repair work that you will probably get because Hurricane Sandy, how we should think about the margin profile of that work versus basically the margin mix between repair work and existing projects that were impacted by Hurricane Sandy, is what I'm trying to get at.

  • - President and CEO

  • A hurricane is a little bit different than a tornado or an ice storm. We get a little bit of pre-notice, so we did have almost a week to prepare and batten down and secure our equipment and the core services that we provided the area. So, hopefully, we will be okay there. We have not been able to go in and completely assess the situation to date. We were also, at the same time, able to move a significant amount of resources and pre-position those resources prior to the storm arriving so that we could have a expedient response to the storm damage that occurred. So in both cases, both from our core business and helping respond to repair the damage, we had some ability to move in and do we could before the storm arrived.

  • As far as the margin profile, I don't even think we need to go there right now. Certainly the store margins do command higher margin but are these resources coming off existing work we're doing for those utilities we are responding to? Are they coming from Canada or the West Coast? And what ultimately is the impact -- negative impact to our core business in the area. It's too early to tell what kind margin impact we're going to have at this time. But certainly, by our fourth-quarter call, we will be able to get more color around that.

  • - Analyst

  • Thank you very much.

  • Operator

  • Your next question is from the line of Dan Mannes of Avondale. Please go ahead.

  • - Analyst

  • A couple of follow-up questions, I think most of my questions have been asked and answered. Real quick on the pipeline side. We were pretty pleased to see the backlog pick up sequentially. Can you talk a little bit about the bidding environment on the shale side, and maybe just help me out a little bit with understanding the seasonality of the business, because it looks like it's showing a lot less seasonality that maybe we have seen before.

  • - President and CEO

  • There is less seasonality, even though I don't want to discount the fourth quarter weather seasonality. There's seasonality in the amount of work that you do, and there's seasonality due to weather. The work is steady right now, fourth-quarter is very active because our customers are still trying to get infrastructure in place, and there's no let up. With that said, that means that you are really moving with one customer from project to project to project, so you are really working on a negotiated basis. They don't have time to go out and do an RFP on every project and they certainly don't want to deal with the new foreman and workforce every time they bid on a new job. They are very comfortable with their working relationship with us. We have been working for six to eight of the same customers and just going from project to project to project, and the work is steady, and we don't see any let up on that work going forward. If anything, it's increasing.

  • - Analyst

  • Sounds good. One quick other topic that you haven't talked much about, but you mentioned on Puget Sound, obviously you have outsourced their gas LDC operations. Are you seeing opportunities for more deals like that, or alternatively just more opportunities for gas LDC retrofit work, especially given some of the regs coming down there and certainly what happened in California.

  • - President and CEO

  • Yes, certainly, we think there are more opportunities to do outsourcing work and program management on reliability projects that are being driven by FEMSA regulations. That are opportunities. That's one of the biggest areas I think that we have, working off the smaller base, of course, but it's one of the biggest areas of growth for us is the integrity and pipeline rehabilitation work that is going to occur throughout the country. There's a role to be a program manager in many of those, and certainly some outsourcing opportunities are possible.

  • Operator

  • You next question comes from the line of Jamie Cook of Credit Suisse. Please go ahead.

  • - Analyst

  • Hello this is actually [Andrew Vascelli] on behalf of Jamie. Congrats on a great quarter. Just a quick question regarding your customers' visibility. I know we have the election, should be a lift for that, but I'm just curious about what you are hearing. It looks like your guidance says that things are heading up for your customers and I'm curious what they're saying the remainder of the year in 2013, just any update there.

  • - President and CEO

  • Yes, our customers -- the spending is there. We've got significant pipeline of opportunities and backlog going into 2013. So they're does not seem to be any pullback from our customers on capital spending and either the electric pipeline or telecommunications markets right now. Our customer base, things look to be very active going into '13.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay. And then just an update on capital allocation specifically if you could comment on what your updated views are, if any?

  • - CFO

  • Sure. Capital allocation first is obviously working capital to support the business, which you can see is going on here versus the second and third quarter cash demand. Second is capital expenditures, and then third to invest in some acquisitions. We did about 10 acquisitions over the last 1 year to 1.5 years, and we continue to be active and opportunistic in that area. As it stands it right now, we don't really comment for future acquisitions and the timing of when and how large and whether they will occur, we seem to be active and optimistic.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from the line of John Rogers of DA Davidson, please go ahead.

  • - Analyst

  • Congratulations, as well, on a great quarter. If we could just go back to the DSOs for a second. I know that in the past, seasonally, they have come down in the fourth quarter. It sounds like there was some timing issues this quarter. Can you just talk about how quickly those are going to drop back down, or what the collection cycle is on those?

  • - CFO

  • Sure. I would agree that typically DSOs do decline in the fourth quarter because of seasonality. As revenues also drop, but predicting this fourth quarter is pretty typical. The storm work that Jim alluded to is an example. We are uncertain as to the type of volume that may occur from that, the timing of what that would be and how long, and so that could be a pretty big draw of cash. Secondly, as I made reference to the Sunrise change order as an example, the timing of the collection of that, we are striving to achieve collection before the end of the year, but as to whether that occurs by 12/31 or into the following quarter is a little bit difficult to say. I would say that we overall expect we will have a strong free cash flow in the near term. It's just difficult to say whether that will occur by the 12/31 time frame or not.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay. My other question was, I guess for Jim, in terms of the large diameter work, there's a lot of projects on the table. Are they going to bid this season, late fourth quarter to first quarter, where some of the big projects we're seeing the press, or are later into 2012, or 2013, sorry.

  • - President and CEO

  • I think that the bidding season is modified somewhat during this time. I think that you really don't have a bidding season right now. I think it's an ongoing basis and it really -- you may not have projects go to a formal RFP, they may just be negotiation a process because some of these projects are so big and our customers are concerned about capacity. So I would not be focused so much on the bidding season on big pipe this year. I think it's going to be a different dynamic. Not to say it won't moderate back to a bidding season at some point in time.

  • We do think these programs get built, whether it's in the latter part of 2013, the middle part of 2013 or into 2014, a lot of that is going to do with the regulatory environment. For when these projects get approved, these liquid lines get approved. It's going to be a very robust market, you can see that capital spending going into the refinery stage and the E&Ps really aren't letting up on drilling these wells or building this gathering infrastructure, so the next logical step is to build these pipelines and we do see visibility and traction online to getting plan and moving towards construction over the next year or two.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from line of David Giesecke of Wedbush Securities. Please go ahead.

  • - Analyst

  • You mentioned earlier about an expectation for dark fiber acceleration going forward, could you talk a bit more about that?

  • - CFO

  • Sure. I mean last year we had capital expenditures in dark copper, about $17 million. This year we have CapEx in the segment of about $45 million, and what we think will happen is, as Jim alluded to, the pickup in sales 2012 has been a little bit down because the economy has picked back up and some of the double-digit sales you see, and we think that will turn back into revenue to backlog in the future, as we end up delivering on this network.

  • - Analyst

  • Thank you. And also, it looks like you had substantial telecom bookings in the quarter. That appears to be accelerating. Can you talk a bit more about that going forward, as well?

  • - President and CEO

  • Yes, I think what you are seeing is that we are in the height of the stimulus build out right now, and we think that our business will continue, the telecom construction activity will continue at high levels through the better part of 2013. The significant portion of what you are seeing is stimulus build out that's occurring, due to customers in underserved areas.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from the line of Martin Malloy of Johnson Rice. Please go ahead.

  • - Analyst

  • On the pipeline side, could you talk a little bit about your market share in terms of spreads of equipment for large diameter pipelines in North America?

  • - President and CEO

  • Yes, I mean what I think we've been saying as we have about one-third of industry capacity to do large-diameter pipeline across the US. So it's about one-third.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay. And in terms of levels of activity, do you think you could get back to the 2006 - 2008 timeframe?

  • - President and CEO

  • I think it's possible, I think it depends upon how compressed a construction cycle we have. How many customers is the industry going to be building the pipe for at one time, or does it get spread over a three to four-year period. It's going to be a very active market. Can reach 2008 levels? Yes. It has yet to be determined as to whether that will happen or not.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from the line of Steven Fisher of UBS. Please go ahead.

  • - Analyst

  • I wonder if you could talk about your staffing and presence in the various shales. Are you ramped up to where you want to be in the specific shales? And if not, which basins do you think to add the most incremental resources to be the most competitive.

  • - President and CEO

  • I think the Marcellus was the first shale that really was developed, and we've been there for 18 months and certainly we're doing a lot of work there. We've got a presence there now, so we are well-positioned to take on additional customers if we are able to do so. The same goes for the Eagle Ford in the Bakken, which are younger shales as far as development, but opportunities will present themselves there as well. Then you start talking about new shales that have not even been developed yet like the Utica, the Niobrara, the Granite Wash, the Mississippian, it goes on and on. It's a lifecycle, but we will continue to build our presence in the shale and take advantage of those opportunities, and we should see growth over the next several years. Building out our gathering work.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay, thank you.

  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen this does conclude the question-and-answer session. I will now turn the conference over to management for some closing remarks.

  • - President and CEO

  • I'd like to thank you all for participating in our third-quarter 2012 conference call. We appreciate your questions and your ongoing interest in Quanta Services. Thank you. This concludes our call.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen this does conclude the conference call for today. This conference will be available for replay later this afternoon until November 7, 2012. At midnight. You may access the replay at (303) 590-3030 and enter access code 4572253. Again, the phone number to dial is (303) 590-3030 and access code 4572253. This does conclude the conference call for today. We thank you for your participation in you may now disconnect your lines.