Power Integrations Inc (POWI) 2012 Q1 法說會逐字稿

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for your patience. You have joined the Power Integrations Q1 2012 financial results conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session.

(Operator Instructions)

As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to your host, Mr. Joe Shiffler. Sir, you may begin.

Thank you. Good afternoon, and thanks for joining us to discuss Power Integrations' financial results for the first quarter of 2012. With me on the call are Balu Balakrishnan, President and CEO of Power Integrations; and Sandeep Nayyar, our Chief Financial Officer.

During today's call, we will refer to financial measures not calculated according to Generally Accepted Accounting Principles. Please refer to today's press release available on our website at investors.powerint.com for an explanation of our reasons for using such non-GAAP measures, as well as tables reconciling these measures to our GAAP results. Also, our discussion today, including the Q&A session, will include forward-looking statements, reflecting management's current forecast of certain aspects of the Company's future business. Forward-looking statements are denoted by such words as will, would, believe, should, expect, outlook, estimate, plan, goal, anticipate, project, potential, schedule, forecast, and similar expressions that look toward future events or performance. Forward-looking statements are based on current information that is, by its nature, dynamic and subject to rapid and even abrupt changes. Our forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, which may cause actual results to differ materially from those projected or implied in our statements. Such risks and uncertainties are discussed in today's press release and under the caption, Item 1A Risk Factors in Part 2 of our most recent Form 10-K, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on February 29, 2012.

This conference call is the property of Power Integrations, and any recording or rebroadcast of this conference call is expressly prohibited without the written consent of Power Integrations. Now, I will turn the call over to Balu.

Thank, Joe, and good afternoon.

We delivered strong first quarter results, with revenues exceeding the high-end of our projected range, and our non-GAAP gross margin expanding by a full percentage point to its highest level since 2010. We also generated more than $21 million in cash flow from operations and reduced internal inventories to their lowest level in nearly two years. The strength in our first quarter revenues was driven mainly by the industrial and consumer end markets, both of which grew at double-digit rates, sequentially after declining in the fourth quarter. The strength in industrial was broad-based, with growth in LED lighting, process and motor control applications, UPS and metering applications, among others. The growth in consumables, primarily in the appliance market, including seasonal strength in air-conditioning, as well as a rebound in white goods, after several quarters of softness in that market

The overall improvement in bookings that began in November has continued through the first quarter and the month of April, and we expect significant sequential growth in revenue again in the second quarter, specifically we expect second quarter revenues between $78 million and $84 million, an increase of 9% to 17% sequentially. This forecast include two months of revenues from CONCEPT, which we acquired on May 1. For those who may have missed the announcement last month, CONCEPT was a privately-held Swiss company developing highly integrated drivers for high-voltage IGBT modules. We acquired them for approximately $116 million, net of cash assumed, and we expect them to add roughly 10% to our revenue run rate. Essentially, CONCEPT does for IGBT drivers what we do for power supplies, replacing discrete solutions with much more sophisticated designs that offer lower component count, higher reliability, greater energy efficiency. Their products are used in power commercial applications up to a gigawatt of output, including industrial motor drives, solar and wind power systems, electric trains and trams, electric cars, and DC transmission, among others. A total addressable market approaching $0.5 billion and growing.

CONCEPT fits perfectly into our stated strategy of expanding available market to cover a wide range of applications within our core competency of high-voltage power conversion. Our Hiper product family, along with the complementary CAPZero, SENZero, and Qspeed product lines, have added $0.5 billion to our addressable market opportunity, and now with the acquisition of CONCEPT, we are expanding beyond the demand side of the power ecosystem into the generation and transmission areas as well, where factors like efficiency and reliability are arguably even more important. CONCEPT is also highly complementary to our investment in SemiSouth Laboratories, since CONCEPT technology and know-how can be used in conjunction with SemiSouth silicon-carbide transistors, which are beginning to replace silicon IGBTs, thanks to their durability and high-level of energy efficiency. This combination would give us a complete offering of drivers and high-voltage switches for very high-power applications, much like what we have today for power supply applications up to 500-watts and could expand our total addressable market to well over $5 billion.

Returning to our first quarter results, I'd like to highlight our gross margin, where we are making good progress in our effort to reverse the recent decline stemming from external factors, like the dollar to yen exchange rate and the price of gold. Our first quarter non-GAAP gross margin was 48.8%, an increase of 100 basis points from the prior quarter, driven partially by end market mix but also deflecting continued execution on the cost reduction efforts we have discussed on past conference calls. This is our highest non-GAAP gross margin since 2010, despite the fact that the dollar remains depressed against the yen and that gold prices remain elevated. As noted in our press release, we expect roughly another 100 basis points of improvement in the second quarter as the cost reductions gain further traction as we see the benefit of higher production values, plus a slight benefit from the addition of CONCEPT. While margin trends beyond Q2 are not entirely predictable, we believe we are on track to achieve our goal of returning to the 50% level, on a non-GAAP basis, by the end of this year.

Lastly, I would like to highlight the favorable verdict we received last week in our patent infringement case against Fairchild Semiconductor. After a three-week trial, a jury found that Fairchild infringes two Power Integrations patents, a decision implicating approximately 75 Fairchild products. We will ask the court for an injunction preventing the sale of these products in the US, and more importantly, use of this products and end products destined for US market. That would add to the list of more than 100 Fairchild products already subject to permanent injunction, based on previous findings of infringement. We also intend to pursue financial damages, as well as finding of willful infringement, which could result in enhancement of any damage award.

The jury in this case did rule against us on one of the two counterclaims filed by Fairchild, an outcome we intend to challenge on several different grounds. However, unlike the findings against Fairchild, the jury ruled that we did not induce infringement by any of our customers. Therefore, even if the verdict were ultimately upheld, the only sales potentially impacted could be US sales of accused products, which amount to only 0.1% of our total worldwide revenues. We believe this outcome, overall, is a highly favorable to Power Integrations, and we hope it will help put a stop to Fairchild's persistent violation of our patent rights, which has been ongoing for better part of a decade and has now resulted in three separate findings of infringement by Fairchild and its System General Subsidiary.

With that, I'll turn the call over Sandeep for a review of the financials.

Thanks, Balu, and good afternoon. I will briefly review the details of the first quarter results and the second quarter outlook, and then we will move to the Q&A.

Revenues for the first quarter were $71.8 million, up 8% sequentially and above our projected range of $64 million to $70 million. As Balu explained, the growth was driven mainly by industrial and consumer end markets, each of which grew at a low double-digit rate sequentially. Revenues from communication end market grew mid single-digits sequentially, while revenues from the computer market were down slightly from the prior quarter. Distributors accounted for 71% of sales during the quarter, while direct customers made up 29%. Average selling price for the quarter was $0.28, unchanged from the prior two quarters.

GAAP and non-GAAP gross margin increase from the prior quarter by 90 basis points and 100 basis points, respectively, reflecting continued progress on our cost-reduction efforts, more favorable end market mix, and the harder-than-expected revenues which resulted in more flow-through of cost-reduced inventory. Non-GAAP operating expenses were $22.6 million, up $1.1 million from the prior quarter and in the middle of our projected range. As expected, the increase was driven by the resumption of payroll taxes, as well as the one-time nature of certain expense reductions we took in the fourth quarter of 2011, such as the holiday shutdown. GAAP operating expenses were $25.9 million, up about $2 million sequentially and towards the high-end of the projected range, due to expenses related to CONCEPT acquisition, which totaled about $0.5 million. Non-GAAP earnings were $0.36 per diluted share, up $0.07 from the prior quarter. GAAP net income was $0.25 per diluted share.

Cash flow from operations was $21.6 million for the quarter, while capital expenditures totaled $7.5 million. The other significant use of cash during the quarter was a loan of $18 million to SemiSouth to help fund their continued growth. The loan appears in the other assets category on the balance sheet. All in, cash and investments increased by just over $1 million from the prior quarter, totaling $214 million at quarter end. Obviously, our cash balance will come down in the second quarter as a result of the CONCEPT acquisition, which resulted in a net use of approximately $116 million in cash.

Returning to the balance sheet, internal inventories were $43 million at quarter end, down about $9 million from the prior quarter. Days of inventory on hand fell to 105 days, a decrease of 30 days from the prior quarter. This is the lowest level of internal inventory in nearly two years, both in terms of dollars and days. Deferred income shipments to distributors picked up by $1.5 million from the prior quarter, reflecting a slight increase in channel inventories, which grew to 4.8 weeks after reaching multi-year lows last quarter.

Turning to the outlook, we expect revenues to be between $78 million and $84 million in the second quarter, including two months of CONCEPT results. Since we expect CONCEPT to add roughly 10% to our ongoing revenue run rate, it would be reasonable to back out 6 to 7 percentage points of growth from our Q2 forecast for purpose of calculating sequential growth, excluding CONCEPT. We expect non-GAAP gross margin to expand by roughly another 100 basis points in the second quarter, relative to the first quarter. GAAP gross margin will be lower on a sequential basis, due mainly to amortization charges related to the mark-up of the acquired CONCEPT inventory, which should be about $1.5 million for the quarter. Non-GAAP operating expenses should be in the range of $24 million to $25 million, an increase of about $2 million sequentially at the mid-point, driven by the CONCEPT acquisition. GAAP operating expenses should be $29 million plus or minus $0.5 million, reflecting $3.5 million of stock-based compensation plus acquisition expenses and amortization of intangibles, which should total about $0.5 million each. Lastly, I expect the second quarter tax rate to be between 21% and 22% on a GAAP basis and 18% to 19% on a non-GAAP basis. With that, I'll turn it back over to Joe.

Thanks, Sandeep. We will go ahead and open it up for Q&A now. In the interest of time, I would like to as callers to observe a limit of one question and one follow-up, and then we would be happy to come for a second round of questions after that, time permitting. Operator, would you please give the instructions for the Q&A session.

(Operator Instructions) Tore Svanberg, Stifel Nicolaus.

Hi, this is Evan Wang. Thank you for taking the question. I'm calling in for Tore. Could you break down the CT-Concept's impact all your financials in the coming quarter? In terms of OpEx, for example, how much would they be contributing to your R&D versus SG&A?

As we had indicated in our previous call, basically CONCEPT will account for about 10% of our revenue, and the expenses as a percentage of revenue, will be slightly below the percentage that we incur as a percentage of our revenue prior to the acquisition.

The breakdown between R&D and SG&A is roughly the same as yours?

It's roughly in the same percentage, roughly, but it's approximate.

Okay. Great. Could you also talk a little bit about the -- your industrial is up significantly. I assume that LED is one of the main drivers there?

LED is definitely one of the main drivers, but we also had a very broad improvement across the entire industrial applications, such as UPS, power supplies, meters, motor control, process control. It's a very broad-based increase in industrial.

Okay, great. Thank you very much.

Andrew Huang, Sterne, Agee.

Just a quick question on CT-Concept, again. Since you are only going to get two months of contribution for the June quarter, I guess my first question is, should we assume that there's going to be further improvement to margins in the September quarter, all else being equal, because you are going to get a full contribution? The follow-up would be, down the road, are there additional synergies that maybe we haven't seen yet?

So as you know, it's 10% of our -- CONCEPT is 10% of our revenue, so it does benefit incrementally to our margin, but it is a small percentage. But, considering having a full quarter, you are correct, slightly more better for the full quarter.

Yes. Just to add a little bit more color, we explained in the last conference call about the CT acquisition that they are on the high-end of our model, our 50% to 55% gross margin model. They're on the higher end of it. Therefore, you can compute from the roughly 10% revenue relative to ours, what the impact will be, and it will obviously be small compared to the total improvement we are seeing in gross margin.

Okay. If you don't mind me asking, the $18 million loan to SemiSouth, can you give us a little color on specifically what that's for?

It's basically to fuel their growth in terms of capital equipment and working capital. They are getting traction with their product, and they need to expand the capacity, and they also need working capital.

Thank you.

Steve Smigie, Raymond James.

I'm not sure if I heard you right, but did you say that you were hoping to get to 50% gross margin by the end of the year? And, if that's the case, is there some chance it could get above that 50%?

It's hard to predict, as we said, fully, but our expectation, as we have said all along, in the fourth quarter that we will get to the 50% level.

Okay. But I mean, it seems like you should be able to get above that pretty easily -- you seem pretty close right now already.

Yes. It's possible to be slightly above that, but at this point, because there are -- it's hard to predict everything that happens. So, we have been making steady improvements, and we are pretty much on target to hit that mark.

Yes. Again, to add more to color to that, we would have seen pretty much all of the cost improvements that we set out with last year in Q2. We will get incremental improvements in Q3 and Q4, primarily related to the copper conversion from gold. That is going to be gradual, so you will see some improvement. So, the large part of the improvement would have occurred by the end of Q2.

Okay. My other question was just -- I know September is a long way out, and you guys typically -- you go through distribution on great visibility -- is September, for you, has traditionally been a pretty strong seasonal quarter. I think you have been diversifying away from that communications, or handset business, whatever you want to call it. Is it fair to think you would be up, have a pretty nice potential seasonal growth, but maybe not the double-digit as you have had in the past?

If I could just sneak in a housekeeping item -- the tax rate was up here a little bit. What should we be thinking about through the balance of this year and maybe into next year? Thanks.

Let me answer your first question, and then Sandeep can answer the second. We do have an average seasonality, but every year seems to be different. It's very, very hard to predict what's going to happen. So, yes, you are right. Q3 is usually a growth quarter for us, although if you look at the last few years, Q2 and Q3 both have growth quarters of somewhat of equal magnitude. And, that's not a prediction by any means, I'm just telling you what, historically, what we have seen.

So internally, we are modeling some growth in Q3. And once again, that's not a prediction; that's just an internal modeling that we do for the September quarter. And maybe you can answer the --

Yes. For the tax rate, it can vary based on the geographic distribution of income, and that's why we gave you -- so the approximate number, the 18%, plus or minus, and that's why we gave you a range for the second quarter. But, non-GAAP 18%, plus or minus, is a good one and for the GAAP, it is somewhere around 21%, plus or minus.

Okay, great. Thank you.

Ross Seymore, Deutsche Bank.

This is Mike Chu for Ross. Congratulations, guys, on a good quarter and guide. Just a question on -- maybe if you could provide some color on where you see relative strengths on some of your end markets, your four end markets. Maybe you could speak specifically to whether or not you think the industrial and consumer strength that you saw in first quarter will continue on into the second quarter.

So, let me make a few comments on that. Industrial, historically, has been seasonally strong in Q1. Part of the reason is, I think the industrial -- if you look at even the other companies, like Linear and so on, they always see industrial being strong in Q1. The consumer side, the strength was primarily in appliances, and that was to some extent driven by air conditioners, which are normally built in Q1 for summer. So, Q1 is the peak for air conditioners, but we also saw the rest of the white goods coming back very strongly after several quarters of weakness. So, it looks like finally they will flush through inventory, and they are buying products.

So, those were the two big ones, and communications was up in the mid single-digits, whereas industrial and consumer were up in the double-digits, and computer was flat.

Okay, thanks. Maybe just as a follow-up, you could talk about some of the underlying trends and the coms was up 4, typically it is a seasonally-weaker quarter. How do you expect the communications segment to play out through the rest of the year?

I'm not quite sure, it is a very -- it is somewhat dominated by the cell phone market, which is quite volatile in terms of who gets share every quarter. I am somewhat optimistic that we will grow that segment, based on many of the design activities that's going on.

That's helpful. Thank you.

Christopher Longiaru, Sidoti & Company.

Hey, guys, congratulations on the results. First thing, I just want to check and see where channel inventory is in your estimation now. I think the last call you said it was at the lowest level you had seen since 2008, but I wanted to know if there's any relative commentary there?

Lead times are between four and six weeks. The last call when we had seen it go down, and we had expected it to nudge up, and it exactly did. So, we are expecting it to be between around five weeks, give and take, because of our lead time being in the four to six weeks.

Okay. That's probably -- that's because pushing that low end is just too -- it is not enough time to get product, is that how I understand it?

Well, you have to remember that 70% of our business go through distribution.

Right.

The distributors, they don't have approximately five weeks of inventory. They can't service their customer with a four- to six-week lead time.

Right, okay. The only other thing is -- could you give us an update on your idea for how the LED business is going to progress over the next 12 months?

Well, it's hard to predict, except that we continue to have strong design wins, so I think we projected earlier that -- not projected, we said earlier that we could grow 50% this year, relative to last year.

Thank you.

Andrew Huang, Sterne, Agee.

I just wanted to ask a follow-on on the LED lighting. Can you give us a sense of what percentage of your lighting business is for light bulbs versus fixtures?

That's a great question, and I have asked this question many times. We have a hard time nailing that down because when we sell the product to the LED customers, sometimes they actually -- in one of the design of the pc board, but we never know exactly what form factor it goes into. If I look at across the board, is really a mixture -- probably a good mixture, I would say, of individual lamps and also fixtures for commercial applications and some street lighting.

Okay. Then, another question along those lines -- when you're competing for business for your drivers for LED lighting, what do you think gets you the win more often than not? It is your features, or it is your price? What makes you win?

I think the main thing is cost. We have a very low-cost solution with a single-stage approach, and we have the lowest component count of anybody, and the third one -- actually, there are really three reasons, and the third one is we have the highest efficiency solution. Those are the three reasons people will pick us.

Got it. Thanks very much.

Thank you. (Operator Instructions) Gentlemen, there appear to be no further questions in queue at this time. Are there closing remarks?

No, thank you, we'll leave there it. There will be a replay of this call available on our website at investors.powerint.com. Thanks, everyone, for listening.

Thank you, sir. And, thank you, ladies and gentlemen, for your participation. That does conclude your Power Integrations Q1 2012 financial results conference call.