Piedmont Realty Trust Inc (PDM) 2018 Q1 法說會逐字稿

Greetings and welcome to Piedmont Office Realty Trust's First Quarter 2018 Earnings Call. (Operator Instructions) As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.

I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Mr. Robert Bowers, Chief Financial Officer for Piedmont Office Realty Trust. Thank you. You may begin.

Thank you, operator. Good morning and welcome to Piedmont's First Quarter 2018 Conference Call. Last night, we filed our Form 10-Q as well as an 8-K that includes our earnings release and our unaudited supplemental information for the first quarter. All this information is available on our website, piedmontreit.com under the Investor Relations section.

On today's call, the company's prepared remarks and answers to your questions will contain forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements address matters which are subject to risk and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ from those expectations we discuss today. Examples of forward-looking statements include those related to Piedmont Office Realty Trust's future revenues, operating income and financial guidance as well as future leasing and investment activity.

You should not place any undue reliance on any of these forward-looking statements, and these statements speak only as of the date they are made. We encourage all of our listeners to review the more detailed discussion related to risk associated with forward-looking statements contained in the company's filings with the SEC.

In addition, during the call today, we'll refer to non-GAAP financial measures such as FFO, core FFO, AFFO and same-store NOI. The definitions and reconciliations of our non-GAAP measures are contained in the supplemental financial information available on the company's website.

I'll review our financial results after Don Miller, our Chief Executive Officer, discusses some of the quarter's operational highlights. Don?

Thank you, Bobby. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us on today's call. As is no surprise to anyone following the REIT sector in general or more specifically, the office REIT sector, we are incredibly frustrated with the share price of our stock. Currently, we are trading at a huge discount to our estimated real estate value and the lowest-earning multiple in years. We've consistently undertaken the approach to selling select assets at private market pricing and buying back our shares at a big discount as value-added to the company and our shareholders. Although the market has not recently rewarded that philosophy, we remain committed to increasing the net asset value of our shares going forward.

Therefore, during the current quarter, we completed the disposition of a portfolio of 14 noncore properties. As of the closing date of the sale in January, the total gross sales proceeds were $426 million, but we realized an additional $4.5 million in sale earn-out proceeds later in the quarter due to the completion of over 150,000 square foot lease at one of the sold properties. These additional proceeds increased the total gain on the sale to approximately $45 million during the first quarter.

After initially paying down over $470 million in near-term debt maturities with the disposition proceeds and line of credit, we ultimately used a little bit more than half the sale proceeds to repurchase approximately 12.5 million shares of our common stock during the first quarter at an average price of approximately $18.50 per share. Since we began this program in 2011, we've repurchased over 25% of our outstanding common stock, almost 44 million shares at an average price of $17.74 per share.

In fact, we would encourage all of you to revisit your NAV analyses with almost a 10% reduction in share count during the first quarter alone, we believe there has been a large positive incremental change in net asset value per share. As previously announced, our board renewed our stock repurchase plan during the quarter authorizing the repurchase of an additional $200 million in stock, of which we have approximately $156 million in capacity remaining as of March 31.

As a reminder, we continue to be committed to only using property disposition proceeds for the repurchase of shares. We also purchased during the quarter a value added asset, 501 West Church Street in Orlando for $28 million. 501 West Church Street is 100% leased Class A office building with adjacent structured parking located in downtown Orlando between Amway Center where the NBA's Orlando Magic play and the Orlando City Stadium, home of the city's MLS soccer team. It also sits adjacent to the proposed Orlando Magic sports and entertainment complex development. The property, which we acquired for approximately 50% of replacement cost, is a strong strategic fit for us in terms of physical quality, location within one of our strategic submarkets and is in close proximity to some of our other existing assets, which should allow us to realize additional marketing and operational synergies. With the building currently leased at below-market rates, we see significant future upside potential in terms of market rent roll ups and event parking revenue.

The last capital markets transaction for the quarter that I'd like to briefly address is the completion of a new $250 million 7-year bank term loan. Bobby will talk more about the loan and related swaps in a minute, but this new debt facility in combination with paying off our 2018 and 2019 maturities allows us to greatly extend our debt maturity schedule while maintaining plenty of balance sheet flexibility.

Turning to our leasing activity during the first quarter. Exclusive of the 150,000 square feet of leasing related to the portfolio sale, we completed an additional 350,000 square feet of leasing at our remaining properties, approximately half of which is related to new tenant leasing. We're especially pleased with the rental rate roll ups embedded in these executed leases with a 10% roll up in cash rents and over 20% increase in GAAP rents.

Interestingly, Piedmont's produced double-digit GAAP roll ups on average every year since the beginning of 2014 on 5.4 million square feet of rollover leasing. We also have one of the lowest quarterly capital per square foot per year of lease term metrics in our history at $2.84, which is only 60% of our average of approximately $4.50 in the last 5 years.

Highlights of the quarter's leasing included in Orlando and approximately 51,000 square foot lease at SunTrust Center in CBD was executed with a renewal with the Holland & Knight for 5 years plus through 2024 and an approximately 28,000 square foot lease at 500 TownPark in the Lake Mary submarket was signed with Robinhood Markets for an 8-year renewal and expansion through 2026.

In metro New York, Amneal Pharmaceuticals completed a lease expansion of approximately 40,000 square feet at 400 Bridgewater Crossing and the Bridgewater, New Jersey submarket for 6-plus years through 2024. In Boston, we welcome the Smithsonian Institution who executed a new 10-year lease of approximately 33,000 square feet at 5&15 Wayside Road through 2028. And in Atlanta, the architecture firm, Rule Joy Trammell + Rubio renewed approximately 23,000 square feet at Galleria 300 for over 11 years through 2030.

While I'm encouraged with some of the positive activity in all of our leasing markets, our biggest competitive challenge remains in Washington, DC. Executed lease activity was limited in the first quarter, however, we're seeing a strong pickup in lease proposals, particularly in the RB Corridor in the last quarter. The best news for Piedmont, however, is we only have an opportunity to grow in Washington because we have very few material lease expirations in this market for the next 5 years. Examining our potential expirations remaining in 2018, we have good renewal discussions or replacements in process for the vast majority.

Looking forward to 2019, we've already wrapped up 440,000 square foot renewal with Raytheon in Boston and the largest remaining expiration, New York State for over 480,000 square feet at 60 Broad in downtown Manhattan is in advance renewal discussions.

In Atlanta, we're actively marketing the 125,000 square feet of RB space. And in Orlando, we are in discussions with others, who have expressed interest in the 125,000 square feet of SunTrust space should they decide to move out of the tower. Frankly, other than New York City's lease who expires in 2020 and with whom we are in early renewal discussions, we have very few large lease renewals over the next 5 years.

I'll be happy to expand on any of the acquisition, disposition or leasing comments after Bobby reviews the first quarter financial results. Bobby?

Thanks, Don. While I'll discuss some of our financial highlights for the quarter, I encourage you to please review the earnings release and supplemental financial information, which were filed last night for more complete details.

For the first quarter of 2018, we reported net income of $0.42 per diluted share. FFO of $0.41 per share and core FFO of $0.43 per share. FFO and core FFO were $0.45 per diluted share a year ago with the decrease in the current year being the result of the sale of 17 properties, or over $50 million in annualized NOI since June of 2017. These sales included the portfolio sale in January of this year as well as the sale of one of our then largest assets, the 600,000 square foot Two Independence Square building in Washington, DC during the third quarter of 2017. AFFO was approximately $46 million in the first quarter of 2018, well in excess of our regular $27 million quarterly dividend.

Our overall lease percentage improved to 91.3% primarily as a result of the sale of the 76% lease 14-property portfolio and the transfer of our Two Pierce Place property into redevelopment status as it undergoes a $14 million renovation with approximately half of that already incurred. We anticipate our reported lease percentage for our same-store portfolio, exclusive of the redevelopment project, will move above 92% by the end of the year, absent any further significant transactional activity.

During the quarter our same-store cash NOI improved approximately 4% and we continue to believe that we'll end the year around this low single-digit growth rate.

From a balance sheet perspective, our quarter-end leverage ratio remained at approximately the same leverage as we ended the previous year, although it is higher than what we originally budgeted for 2018. This was largely due to the capital allocation opportunity that existed during the first quarter for share repurchases and the resulting use of the disposition proceeds for that purpose.

We were successful, however, in restacking and extending our debt maturity schedule during the quarter with the reduction of $470 million in near-term debt maturities and a completion of a $250 million 7-year term loan. We entered into interest rate swaps for $150 million of this debt, of which $100 million is for the entire 7-year term at 4.21% fixed rate and $50 million is for the 2-year term at a 3.93% fixed rate, which coincides with the burn-off of prepayment penalties on the debt. The $100 million of floating debt is priced at LIBOR plus 160. There are no additional prepayment penalties associated with the repayment of $470 million term loans, and the company received approximately $800,000 of net cash proceeds from the settlement of several related interest rate swap agreements, which will be amortized over time against interest expense for GAAP purposes. However, we did recognize a noncash loss for GAAP purposes due to the early extinguishment of the debt.

After reviewing our financial and operational activity during the first quarter, we'd like to raise our previous financial guidance to between $1.68 to $1.74 for core FFO per diluted share. That's a $0.03 per share increase at the midpoint. This guidance is impacted by certain events during the first quarter and includes assumptions for the remainder of the year. First and obviously, our capital allocation decision to utilize a portion of the $430 million of disposition proceeds received during the first quarter to opportunistically repurchase our common stock is a major driver in this guidance increase. Also the restructuring of our debt maturity schedule and the total amount of debt impacted our interest expense assumptions. And although dependent upon stock performance, our G&A expense forecast remains at our original estimate of approximately $27 million for the year 2018.

It is important to note that our quarterly earnings can vary by a $0.01 or $0.02 based upon commencement or expiration of leases and related abatements as well as the timing of capital markets' activities. Seasonal expenses such as snow removal and utilities in the first quarter and stock awards that occur each year during the second quarter can cause some of this variance.

With that, we're happy now to take your questions, and I'll ask the operator to give you instructions on how to do so. We're joined today by most of our senior management team. We'll attempt to answer all of your questions now or we will make appropriate later public disclosure if necessary. (Operator Instructions) Operator?

(Operator Instructions) Our first question comes from the line of Jed Reagan with Green Street Advisors.

Bobby, you mentioned low single-digit cash on same-store NOI growth for 2018, I think the last time you'd signaled 2% to 5%. Should we read that as unchanged guidance? Or do you think you end up closer maybe one of the other end of that range?

I think, still 2% to 5%.

Okay. You guys also disclosed a potential move-out in Houston with Technip. I'm just curious if you have any visibility on the other tenants' plans in that building at this point, I believe, it's Schlumberger. And I think they have a 2020 expiration themselves. So that, Bobby, I'm just curious how you see that all kind of playing out?

Yes. I think, we -- Jed, it's Don. I think we've known this. Obviously, Technip was a full building tenant in that building for many years. They had actually subleased a majority of the building to Schlumberger. We then did a direct lease with Schlumberger beyond the end of 2018 for 2 more years on about half of the building and then Schlumberger still subleases in addition to the space they went direct on with us another 65,000 or 70,000 feet from Technip through the end of this year. We are in discussions with them, I think, as assessed in the supplement right now to potentially expand all of that space for long-term, but those negotiations are not concluded at this point.

Okay. And any traction on the building next door, the recent development?

Yes. I'll lead in and Joe Pangburn is on the line, I'll let him give a little colored commentary, but interestingly, we've seen a lot more activity there recently. I'm not sure either Joe or I would tell you that means we think there's imminent activity coming. But at the same time, I think, we're more bullish than we've been, but it's still a very difficult market. So Joe, do you want to dive in a little bit deeper, if you don't mind?

Yes, I'll just add a little bit that at this point, we've probably seen more activity out there in Energy Corridor than we have since the building was completed. Part of that is large corporate tenants sort of well ahead of their lease expirations sort of perceiving the value that they might be able to get in doing a transaction. So that's another way of saying there might be a long lead time between now and when those leases could start. But again, we're encouraged by the level of activity that we have at the moment.

Do you think higher oil prices sort of played into more optimism down there?

It certainly doesn't hurt.

It's hard to say there is a direct correlation really at this point. It's more people have real estate needs, and they reassess sort of what they want to do, where they want to be. I think more than it is the level of oil prices, at least at the moment.

Okay. And maybe just one another for me. Are you guys out in the market with any potential dispositions at this point? And can you discuss maybe, in general, updated plans for sales, acquisitions and buybacks for the rest of the year?

Jed, it's Brent. We continue to evaluate our portfolio regularly, as you know, we do have a few things that we either have in the market or intend to put into the market for sale that's probably regular-course business, how we generally say, again that's either a mature assets or noncore in nature. We are going to continue to be opportunistic around the allocation of those proceeds as we have been in the past. And with the time kind of evaluate where our stock trades and what the opportunities are in the market for acquisition. As you know, it's a pretty difficult acquisition environment. That said, we do still see some opportunities into the 8 strategic markets that we are operating in and continue to find product even within the kind of specific step markets that we are looking. Specifically, within the market from a dispose side, I think, we've alluded to this in the past is our One Inde asset that One Independence is next door to an asset we sold just last year in the midsummer, Two Independence, that was NASA's headquarters, bringing in roughly about $360 million of proceeds at that time. So at this point, we're going to continue to evaluate where we are in the market with proceeds and that would be hard to characterize our capital allocation at this point.

Jed, you didn't ask, but we're -- I think, we're having a little bit of technology problem on the question queue. So I'm going to go into another area that I think where questions that came up on in some of the reports that were written last night. Obviously, we had an all-time sort of record quarter from a buyback standpoint. We're obviously very excited about that, very pleased that it came to fruition. But at the same time, I think that the -- a lot of the people say the next question is, sort of, where does the growth come from? Obviously, there was a lot of growth created just from the share buyback in terms of net asset value per share, but on top of that, I think we would say, hey, let's look at these now smaller denominator of our portfolio and realize that everything we do has a greater impact. And if you think about the fact that we have very low economic occupancy today, although it's improved dramatically over the last few quarters. We've got the vacancy we have coming or the ones we see coming back to us in the next year or 2, which are Atlanta or Orlando or Dallas, maybe not all of the above, but some of the above, are in really good markets. We've got very limited roll or virtually no rollover in our toughest markets, i.e., Chicago and Washington. And we've got below-market rented leases 5% to 10% across the board in the portfolio. On top of that rent bumps in our larger leases and very limited rollover through 2024. So we think we've got a really compelling growth story on a smaller denominator, and I think that gets missed sometimes when you're buying back as many shares as you -- as we have been. But I think that's part of the reason we've been so optimistic on the share buyback is that we see really good continuing growth within the portfolio. So I think we may have worked out the question queue now. So I think we can turn that back over. Thank you.

(Operator Instructions) Our next question comes from the line of Dave Rodgers with Robert W. Baird.

Sorry, I jumped on late. So hopefully, these haven't been addressed. But Don, I think in your comments earlier, you did mention discussions with both the New York State and New York City for renewals and early renewals there. Can you dive into that a little bit more? I know New York City is quite a ways out. What would give you the confidence that they are going to stay?

Dave, I'm going to let Brent -- we have not addressed that. Thank you for asking, and I'm going to let Brent address that since he runs the Northeast region.

As you noted, we have had pretty lengthy discussions with the New York State for some time now for almost, I'd say, a year. We're in advanced discussions, as Don mentioned in his prepared remarks. We remain cautiously optimistic that we'll be able to renew a significant portion, if not maybe all, of that space. But that still remains to be seen. Unfortunately with 7 different agencies, as I have mentioned in the past within that almost 500,000 square foot envelope, there is a lot of decision-makers that have to finally sign off on things, et cetera. So we still remain positive on that. And hopefully, we'll have something to share here in the coming quarter or so, but again, the New York State moves at its own pace, and we're willing to work with them on that, and we'll share when we can new information. Regarding the New York City, as you noted, that's an April 2020 expiration, that is just above where the New York State resides within the building, roughly around 315,000 to 320,000 square feet. That is a significantly below-market lease. So we look forward to capturing some additional value and cash flow from that, if we were to be able to renew the city and/or if we just went to another tenant within the marketplace. It's very early in those discussions. I would hope that they move faster than the New York State, but that may not be the case, and we're willing to work with them as any other tenant to kind of meet their pace. But we still remain hopeful that we'll keep that agency. Again, it's a unique building within a building similar to the New York State. They have their own lobby, their own elevator banks and that provides a unique environment that really is not available in too many other buildings in Manhattan. So we still remain hopeful that we'll continue those negotiations with the New York City and have a positive outcome, but again, it's a very early. That's probably about all the color I can share. Is there anything else I can maybe answer?

On the New York State portion, I think you said 500,000 square feet. I mean, do you anticipate a full renewal? I mean, is that the tenor of the discussions today? Or are you not far enough to discuss that?

It's a little shy of 500,000 today, they would occupy roughly around 480,000 to be specific. I think it's a possible outcome that they would take all, but I think it's probably reasonable to assume that there is a potential situation where they might give back a little bit of space. But I think we still remain cautiously optimistic there that there is going to be a substantial portion of that space would renew.

Great. I appreciate that color. Maybe, Don, I'd heard in your comments too, you really kind of talked about the balance sheet flexibility that you have, and you kind of also mentioned the $156 million of ATM capacity, but you wouldn't really use that without asset sales. So I guess, how do you use that balance sheet flexibility? In your mind, what's the right thing to do with that today?

Well, I'm not sure that I would tell you we think we have a lot of flexibility at this very moment, until we execute some more dispositions as you pointed out and probably don't have the flexibility that we would say would give us options to do a variety of different things as we're upper 30s now debt to gross assets and about just under 6x debt-to-EBITDA, I think it's 5.4x recorded at the end of the quarter. But as you can imagine, that's an average over the quarter. And so towards the end of the quarter, the number creeps up to closer to 6. And so I'd say, we feel like we're sort of fully utilizing the balance sheet according to what we would be willing to do today, but as we sell off potentially One Independence or a couple of the other things we're working on right now, then I think that gives us that much more flexibility. At $18, we feel like the stock price is so compelling that, that would be a likely use of proceeds. But having said that, Brent is also and his team is also working on some acquisition activity that if they were strategic enough and reasonably priced, then we would be moving in that direction as well.

So I guess, what I'm hearing with you is that you're kind of on that borderline between what's more attractive, acquisitions or share buyback? Where that may not have been true where the stock was in the first quarter?

I'm not sure that the stock price has changed, obviously it's in the same range that we were an active buyer in the first quarter. But at the same time, we've added a lot of NAV, as we've probably pounded on in this call, repeatedly batted a lot of NAV as a result of all this share repurchase. I think just by quick math in the last 6 months or so, we bought back up through March 31 about 15 million shares and most of that was in the first quarter. If you just do just basic math, I think you see we got about 5% growth in NAV over that period of time just from share repurchases. If our math is correct, you can imagine what that does to our internal NAV and makes our $18 share price that much more attractive as a use of proceeds if we were to get some more disposition activity done.

Our next question is a follow-up from the line of Jed Reagan with Green Street Advisors.

Maybe just a follow-up on that. I guess, what's your -- what sort of your updated kind of comfort level in terms of your balance sheet and sort of vis-à-vis where you sit today on some of the metrics you highlighted. And if you did do future buybacks, I mean, would you look to do those on a leverage-neutral basis?

Yes. So Jed, it's not lost on me. I think a quarter or 2 ago, I told you we would not go above about 35% or 36% debt gross assets and now here we are at 38%. Obviously that probably implies we have a little bit of confidence that we'll get some disposition activity done or that we'll create some more liquidity. But having said that, I think we feel like we're at the upper limits of what we would do from a leverage standpoint right now, not that we're overlevered by any stretch. In our view, I mean -- I think we're still levered below average in our sector. But at the same time, our view is that we would not fund new share repurchases without having disposition activity to take care of it and typically, there would be a lot more disposition activity than there would be share repurchase because of the math of share repurchase.

Okay. And then just in terms of the potential timing of dispositions this year, I'm sorry if I missed that, any sense, I assume we're kind of looking at back half of the year, maybe back third of the year at this point, is that fair?

I'd say that there is a reasonable chance we could get something sizable done in the next few months with the rest of it probably backdated towards end of the third quarter or fourth quarter.

Okay. And still kind of net neutral on external growth over the course of the years, I think that's what you guided to last time?

If you mean, combination of acquisitions and share repurchases, I mean, yes, you're probably right.

Thank you. Ladies and gentleman, there are no further questions at this time. I'll turn the floor back to Mr. Miller for any final comments.

Well, we had a -- we thought one of the best quarters we've had since we turned public. Almost all of our metrics were fantastic and so we're very excited about that. Obviously, we're very bullish about where the stock price is trading today or we wouldn't have been a such a large buyer, and we look forward to telling that story further in June at NAREIT in New York. We're going to have the full team there, all 5 of the folks you're normally used to seeing will be there and having meetings. So to the extent you're interested in hearing more about the story, we'd love to catch up. And so feel free to give Eddie Guilbert and myself a call, and we'll get you on the schedule and tell more about what we're thinking. So thank you very much for attending. Have a great day.

Thank you. This concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.