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Operator
Greetings, and welcome to Park City Group Fiscal Third Quarter 2020 Earnings Call. (Operator Instructions) Please note the conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Rob Fink with FNK IR. Mr. Fink, you may begin.
Rob Fink;FNK IR
Thank you, operator, and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us today for Park City Group's Fiscal Third Quarter 2020 Earnings Call. Hosting the call today are Randy Fields, Park City Group's CEO and Chairman; and John Merrill, Park City Group's CFO.
Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that this call could contain forward-looking statements about Park City Group within the meaning of Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not subject to historical facts. Such forward-looking statements are based upon current beliefs and expectations. Park City Group management are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ from those forward-looking statements. Such risks are fully discussed in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The information set forth herein should be considered in light of such risk. Park City Group does not assume any obligation to update information contained in this conference call.
Shortly after the market closed today, the company issued a press release overviewing the financial results that we will discuss on today's call. Investors can visit the Investor Relations section of the company's website at parkcitygroup.com to access this press release.
With all that said, I'd now like to turn the call over to John Merrill. John, the floor is yours.
John R. Merrill - CFO
Thanks, Rob, and good afternoon, everyone. For the last several conference calls, we have focused on 3 core messages. First, we shifted our business to prioritize recurring revenue over nonrecurring revenue. This has not changed, and the trend continued in the March quarter as the year-over-year decline in revenues was largely from nonrecurring revenue. While we experienced delays in supply chain customer implementations and slower Tier 2 expansion due to COVID-19, we offset a portion of this customer-driven slowdown with modest growth in our existing base of recurring revenue and increases in MarketPlace revenue. Second was our focus on strengthening our balance sheet. As I have said before, our customers demand it. This effort is critically important as PCG and the global economy, face the disruption and uncertainty associated with the pandemic. Preservation and survivability are more vital now than ever before. Third was our focus on growing the network. We will not waver. However, that effort took a back seat in this quarter. We remain laser-focused on growing our network. As you might expect, many of our target customers were busy with pandemic-related disruptions and not able to focus on our offerings. There were other customer priorities in an environment none of us ever experienced before. I am optimistic that we will see new and expanded opportunities as our customers and the consumers shift from triage and panic to stabilizing the supply chain and resume some sense of normalcy. I am confident that the grocery industry will focus on how to avoid these challenges in the future. When will normalcy resume? What is the new normal? It's anyone's guess. In the meantime, I believe our customers, both large and small, demand partners who will assist them through these uncertain and volatile times. I also anticipate they will be much more selective, working with companies that position themselves financially to weather the storm.
While our profitability and cash generation declined in the quarter on a sequential and year-over-year basis, the pandemic significantly impacted the grocery supply chain and how our customers do business. This situation may be short-term in nature. Nonetheless, the services and peace of mind we provide our grocery customers and U.S. consumers has never been more vital, particularly when it comes to what we do, food-safety compliance and supply-chain visibility.
In early March 2020, as the depth of the pandemic unfolded, we took steps to reduce costs. As I have said before, it takes $17 million a year to run this place, absent MarketPlace. In response, we made a defensive decision to tighten our belt and reduce cash-operating spend to less than $16 million, absent MarketPlace. Some of these expenditures ceased naturally as a result of projects that were completed or we halted, less business travel given the pandemic-related shutdown, cancellation of trade shows and lower commissions due to lower revenue. Keeping our employees safe, we focused on other cost areas whereby we took a more aggressive approach. This included, but was not limited to, professional fees, consultants, software and maintenance contracts and across-the-board general overhead reduction. Although no assurances can be given, this may reduce our monthly cash expenses by $100,000 per month. Also in March, we launched our FoodSourceUSA program. This unique online platform utilizes our proprietary data to provide the Department of Defense with information so they can proactively address chronic imbalances in the food supply chain caused by COVID-19, and prepare for other crisis situations in the future. This enables the DoD to visualize shifting surplus food in one part of the country to another where such food may see a low supply. As Randy will explain in more detail, we view our position in the grocery industry as a public trust, helping to preserve food safety and adequate supplies in the largest subset of the economy. This is the prime example.
Our MarketPlace offering is another example. MarketPlace revenue was up 66% in the March quarter. Most of that increase took place in the last few weeks of March. This was the result of our customers seeking all sorts of hard-to-find items such as glove, masks; and other items to facilitate stay-at-home and work-from-home mandates such as chest freezers, web cameras, microphones, portable Bluetooth speakers and other such items. Our ability to connect retailers with new suppliers helped our customers meet unprecedented demand quickly and safely. As we have said, the MarketPlace generates lower margins than the other parts of our business. This revenue mix contributed to our reduced profitability, but this is a vital service that strengthens our value with our customers.
Turning to the numbers. We generated $2.3 million in cash from operations for the first 9 months of fiscal 2020. This compares to $3.5 million that we generated in the first 9 months of the prior year. Total cash as of March 31, 2020, was $17.9 million, down $5.3 million sequentially from the $19 million at December 31, 2019. I
On March 17, we halted our stock buyback program for the foreseeable future. Deferred revenue for the comparable period decreased by 11% or $213,000 due to delays in implementations and completed contracts. Our accounts receivable increased sequentially by 13% from $4 million to $4.5 million as our grocery customers and their suppliers opted to use cash to order product, stocking shelves and keeping the supply chain moving.
In the third quarter of fiscal 2020, total revenue was $4.63 million, down 7% from $5 million in the same quarter of 2019. Recurring revenue grew 5% to $4.2 million for the third quarter of fiscal 2020, up from $4 million in the same quarter of fiscal 2019. Year-over-year recurring revenue as a percentage of total revenue increased from 80% to 90%. Year-to-date fiscal 2020 total revenue decreased from $16.5 to $14.3 million for the first 9 months of fiscal 2020, down 14% from the same period of fiscal 2019. It should be noted that last year's 9 months revenue included $2.9 million of nonrecurring onetime revenue, most of which did not occur in the 9 months ending March 31, 2019. Recurring revenue for the first 9 months of fiscal 2020 grew 4.3% from $11.8 million in fiscal 2019 to $12.3 million in the same period of fiscal 2020. Recurring revenue for the first 9 months of fiscal 2020 as a percentage of total revenue increased from 71% in fiscal 2019 to 86% in fiscal 2020.
In the third quarter of fiscal 2020, total operating expenses were $4.4 million, an increase of $408,000 or 10% from $4 million in Q3 of 2019. This increase is largely the result of higher costs associated with MarketPlace, higher depreciation associated with our 2019 CapEx spend, an increase in costs associated with telecommuting due to the stay-at-home mandate. Total operating expenses for the first 9 months of fiscal 2020 increased to $13.3 million versus $12.8 million, up 4%. As I have discussed previously, absent MarketPlace costs, our fixed operating expenses are approximately $17 million per year to operate our business. We anticipate reductions to offset the 3 sales positions we hired in Q2 to accelerate our Tier 2 initiative and maintain net-neutral operating expenses for fiscal 2020.
In the third quarter of fiscal year 2020, net income to common shareholders was $125,000 or $0.01 per diluted share compared to $921,000 or $0.05 per diluted share in the year ago quarter. The decrease in net income to common shareholders was largely a result of a decrease in onetime revenues of approximately $500,000, lower-than-anticipated implementation fees due to customer disruptions, higher MarketPlace costs, increase in depreciation and amortization, additional sales staff and costs associated with the stay-at-home mandate. On a year-to-date basis, net income to common shareholders for the first 9 months of fiscal 2020 was $674,000 or $0.03 per diluted share compared to $3.3 million or $0.16 per diluted share in the year ago period. The year-to-date decrease in net income to common shareholders was largely the result of lower onetime revenues of $2.7 million, higher MarketPlace costs and higher depreciation and amortization due to our 2019 capital expenditures for our data center.
Under the current stock buyback authorization, we repurchased 157,616 shares of common stock at an average price of $5.10 per share in the March 2020 quarter for a total of $803,000. To date, we have repurchased a total of 499,786 shares of common stock at an average price of $5.28 per share for a total of $2.6 million.
As I mentioned earlier, as the pandemic unfolded, we halted our repurchase efforts on March 17, and we do not plan to repurchase any additional stock in the near term. As previously stated, the company holds no treasury stock. The stock purchased under the buyback plan is retired from issuance and, hence, reduces the total amount of common stock outstanding. Since May 2019, the company has reduced its total net capitalization by 2%. The total amount remaining under the buyback plan for purchase and retirement of common shares under the existing repurchase plan, if or when it resumes, is approximately $1.4 million.
At this point, I will pass the call over to Randy. Randy?
Randall K. Fields - Co-Founder, Chairman, President, CEO, COO & Head of Sales
Like everyone, we found ourselves in the unique and challenging position this quarter with the pandemic disrupting the way we do business. It impacted our customers, both large and small. It also impacted our employees with uncertainty and distraction. Thankfully, we were already largely a remote-based organization with very strong collaboration. So the transition to a virtual environment was actually relatively smooth. We're fortunate that we are in the grocery supply chain. Many nonfood retailers have faced abrupt and significant disruptions to their business, including for some, literally a total halt to revenues. Our grocery store customers faced a different set of challenges, including new steps required to keep employees and customers safe. Indeed, the grocery industry may be the only industry to experience more muted consequences to the economic challenges all of us are facing.
The worse things get economically, the more things become discretionary, but certainly not food. Supply chain challenges we've been talking about for years are now at the top of everyone's mind. Anyone who's been in the store in the last 2 weeks knows that some things like toilet paper and certain cleaning supplies are fully out of stock. And in addition to that, even some of the basics and essential ingredients for cooking and baking at home are equally out of stock, other items are way oversupplied. Indeed, the supply chain is being challenged unlike ever before, and we're in the middle of that. Food safety is critical even in more critical times of disruption and crisis. Compliance, although it remains critical, we're finding our sales cycle is being extended due to near-term emergencies. We think this will only last a short while as our customers deal with the immediacy of addressing the pandemic-induced challenges. This will change as our customers adapt to the new normal and as the supply chain ultimately follows. But while uncertainty and volatility exists in the short term, we think the long-term changes, frankly, favor us and our abilities. We are not peripheral to the food supply chain. We are essential.
As John alluded, our customers rely on our data and our efforts to help them navigate these uncharted waters. To be sure, this wasn't a great quarter in terms of building out the network with our Tier 2 initiative. Our customers are focused, obviously, in their complete resource allocation and attention to responding to the pandemic. Our efforts, though, will restart sooner rather than later, and we'll begin to add many more Tier 2s to our system.
As John said, what we do represent the public trust. We see our role as a critical part of making sure the grocery supply chain continues to function smoothly with safe food, a streamlined compliance system that doesn't create headaches or overwhelm anyone with paperwork, and a platform to effectively connect suppliers with retailers and retailers with suppliers.
In an important way, this pandemic has reinforced how significant we are to the whole of the ecosystem. Our customers know this now, frankly, more than ever. Our position with our customers up and down the supply chain has been reinforced, and we will continue to improve our strong competitive advantage once the normalcy returns. To underscore how essential we are to the grocery supply chain, I'd like to point out a few significant facts, and I suspect you may never have thought of us in this context. One, more than half of all U.S. food safety audits are done on our platform. We are certainly the largest compliant network in the world. These 2 parts of our business are critical to keeping the food that all of us eat, safe.
The Department of Defense thought we were essential in helping to address the systemic food supply imbalances. In other words, it's not just our opinion, it's the government's opinion that thinks that what we know and what we can do is important. And finally, our platform enables buyers and sellers of perishable goods at supermarkets and mass merchants to get paid. Without us, suppliers don't get paid. And things like milk, bread, sodas, snacks and other perishable food will not be sold to the extent that it is in the grocery industry, and certainly would be much harder to source. So in a sense, we're vitally important to the safety and availability of important foods in the supermarket supply chain. Our customers and consumers, therefore, actually depend on us. That is an important mantle, so we don't take it lightly. In fact, it's the definition of a public trust. We must protect the business to maintain that trust, and we are. But like everyone, our business has experienced disruptions due to the pandemic. In this new environment, recurring revenue, obviously, is increasingly important. This ties back to sustainability and predictability of our business for our customers. And having a large growing base of recurring revenue certainly helps me to sleep at night. The revenue this quarter incidentally was completely related to nonrecurring revenue that occurred last year. As the environment stabilizes, we are still positioned for year-over-year recurring growth and total top line growth now that we've reduced nonrecurring revenues as much as we have. While this pandemic reinforced the importance of out-of-stocks to our customers, the challenges they face right now are well beyond our out-of-stock offering. The lack of essential items such as eggs and toilet paper were not due to an oversight or minor changes in buying patterns, it was due to a line of customers around the block buying up supplies. But I have no doubt that as things begin to return to a more normal, retailers will be thinking about how to avoid out-of-stock interruptions in the future, and our offering will gain more traction.
Looking to the future, our customers require as part of their continued trust in us that we maintain profitability and a strong balance sheet. Without financial stability, they could easily lose confidence. And that would create ripples in the supply chain, not just with us, but literally across the entire food supply chain. In view of this need for us to remain strong, we've cut costs out of the business, decreasing our risk, increasing our comfort and, therefore, hopefully, our customers comfort. We lack good temporary visibility, everyone does. Decision making is slower and the implementation ability of our customers is reduced as they deal with their supply chain, labor problems, et cetera, and basically, all of these woes that are brought upon them by the pandemic on a day-to-day basis. In the intermediate term, we've reinforced our positive relationship with our customers. We've demonstrated to them over and over again our value. We are essential, and we really mean that. Without us, food would be less safe and harder to find. As a result, I believe we have many more opportunities for our services and to our customers when the pandemic is over.
So with that, I'd like to open the call for questions. Operator?
Operator
(Operator Instructions) Our first question is from Ananda Baruah with Loop Capital Markets.
Ananda Prosad Baruah - MD
It sounds like you guys -- actually, it looks like you guys had good execution this quarter as well. So congratulations on that. Randy, a couple of things, if I could. Could you -- you made a comment a moment ago, and I just want to make sure I'm understanding it accurately about all the growth this quarter, all the revenue this quarter, the magnitude of it being recurring. And could you just squeeze that out a little bit? Because it also seems like you did really well with MarketPlace, and I think of that as being distinct from the recurring. So I wanted to make sure that I'm understanding your comment accurately.
John R. Merrill - CFO
Good. Okay. Ananda, thank you. The way Randy and I think management looks at the business is this. We have 3 components. One is an old and fading component, which was licensing and services. That has been decreasing substantially over the course of the last year. The other piece of the business that we consider to be the most important piece is the recurring revenue subscription-type business. That part of our business is growing. In other words, it went from $4 million prior year to about $4.2 million in the current quarter. And we then have the MarketPlace. And the MarketPlace, yes, was definitely up substantially in the quarter, especially in the last few weeks. So going forward, as the old licensing services piece of our business fades, and we're pretty close to having pushed that behind us, now what happens is you have 2 significant pieces of business. The recurring piece, which is growing, and the MarketPlace, which at the moment, also appears to be growing and growing at a pretty rapid rate. If anybody goes back a couple of years, that's really where we wanted to be. And now that we've got that third piece, the tail of the business, the licensing, et cetera, onetime stuff behind us, it feels as if going forward, those 2 pieces should both do very well. Did that help?
Ananda Prosad Baruah - MD
It did, Yes. That's great. That's very thorough. And so my next question then is, are you -- is that -- if I'm understanding all the math accurately, does that mean that you stand a really good chance of generating year-over-year revenue growth in the June quarter, this current quarter, given that the recurring revenue seems like it would get you almost back to flat since June quarter last year? And then my hunch is, you get some incremental MarketPlace this quarter, something like that, I just want to ask that question. And then I have a follow-up as well.
John R. Merrill - CFO
Okay. Yes. Let me see if I can help, again. Here's how we see things. In the current quarter last year, 1 year ago, same quarter, that were -- that we just finished, we had about $500,000, other than MarketPlace, of onetime revenue. So if you look at our revenue this quarter, you can quickly see that we did better than the number that you would expect from simply removing that onetime revenue, which is what we did. So in other words, there was growth in the quarter. And as we look out, it's really -- Ananda, it is -- the environment we're in is, what do I say? It's once in a lifetime for sure. So we have a high degree of uncertainty. We're managing the business conservatively, but we feel as if just the way the numbers now are rolling out, we've achieved the reduction in onetime revenue well ahead of plan. We would have guessed it would have taken nearly 2 years, and now it appear that it's largely behind us at the end of a single year. So we feel pretty good because our recurring revenue is continuing to grow and improving. That's our focus. And you don't have to be Einstein to figure out that helping people, which MarketPlace, if you remember was intended to do, is to find those things that are hard to find and that are emergency fills, if you will. So you can probably figure out that MarketPlace is experiencing some growth there. So both pieces going forward feel very good at the moment. That's about the most that I can say, given the uncertainty.
Ananda Prosad Baruah - MD
That's super helpful, Randy (sic) [John]. And then my last ones for now, and then I'll see before I get back in the queue. It sounds like -- this is just based on some of the prepared remarks. It sounds like licensing and services, at least in March, began to see the impact of businesses sort of having friction out or being shut down, things like that. It sounded -- well, actually, I would love any context to it. Can you -- is that an accurate assessment? And then could you give us some sense of what April and the first couple of weeks of May have looked like with regards to licensing and services? And really, what I'm wondering is, if things in March really began to impact that did kind of April and May, they look a lot like March in that business right now.
John R. Merrill - CFO
Yes. I think the answer really is this, is that the environment is making it easier for us to reduce onetime revenue. In other words, historically, our customers who had been buying licenses; now, obviously, would like to conserve cash, though that makes it much better for us, much easier to convert that into nonlicensing or recurring revenue. So it's gotten easier. We feel good about it. And I'm not sure there's much else to say, but I think the world now is in cash conservation mode, and that bodes well for recurring SaaS revenue versus licensing revenue.
Operator
Our next question is from Thomas Forte with D.A. Davidson.
Thomas Ferris Forte - MD & Senior Research Analyst
I have 4 questions. I'll go one at a time. So first one is, Randy and John, how should we think about the opportunity for you to add aisle for your scan-based trading efforts from existing retailers?
John R. Merrill - CFO
Well, in a way, this -- the whole supply chain now is up in the air, meaning, I think there's an opportunity to help reshape as we come out of this situation. Reshape how retailers and their suppliers think about our scan-based trading, our out-of-stock initiatives, et cetera. We feel very good. We've actually seen a modest amount of expansion and interestingly, more interest on the part of our existing customers in terms of thinking about these kinds of problems. So again, the uncertainty is high, Tom, that needless to say, but as the supermarket segment stabilizes, if you will, you're going to see, we think, more interest in how do we fix this problem that got terrible in the last 2 months. How do we fix this out-of-stock problem? How do we watch the explosion of our balance sheets? And here's something to think about. Historically, 15 years ago, the supermarket industry would have had 2 to 3 months of inventory on hand in warehouses, et cetera. As it leaned out the inventories over the last 10 years, hopefully, reducing the cost of capital, they now caught themselves in a short inventory position. We think as they begin to envision a future, that scan-based trading feeds into that just perfectly and certainly our out-of-stock work. So we feel really good about where the world is for us right now in that respect, but uncertainty, though, is high.
Thomas Ferris Forte - MD & Senior Research Analyst
Okay. And then my second question is, you touched upon this in your prepared remarks. It's the opportunity for MarketPlace to address out-of-stock basics such as hand sanitizer and toilet paper. So my question is, why not? Why can't MarketPlace address those situations?
John R. Merrill - CFO
Well, you're asking a very interesting question. And as the management team talks to each other, certainly, some of that has moved into our domain. So as hard as we've resisted it, people have come to us to help them source some of these difficult things like hand sanitizer and that kind of stuff. You're spot on. And the question is, do we want to try and stay in that space, et cetera? I think I've mentioned in a previous call, by this summer, we wanted to be able to make a decision about MarketPlace and its ongoing role. And obviously, something is happening out there. And do we know if this is a permanent change? Because we've certainly established, and I think it's fair to say, we're establishing more new relationships in MarketPlace. And as you know, we are maniacal about our execution, just we want our customers to feel like, my God, these guys are the best at whatever we do. And we're maintaining that standard. So we're moving into that space very gently, Tom, and we're -- again, so long as our execution remains as good as it has, we'll probably stay the course.
Thomas Ferris Forte - MD & Senior Research Analyst
Okay. And then for the third one of the 4, I wanted to go big picture. So Randy, I'd love to hear your thoughts on the implications of COVID-19 when it comes to China's role in the global food supply chain.
Randall K. Fields - Co-Founder, Chairman, President, CEO, COO & Head of Sales
Yes, that's a really, really good question. Let me back up one step because there's a cross current going on. The cross current is this, is that if you go back to the theory of supply chain that began about 20 years ago with just-in-time inventory, et cetera, and just-in-time manufacturing, people lengthened their supply chains. They leaned out their inventory levels, even though the cost of capital has fallen dramatically. So you could argue, maybe that wasn't such a smart idea. And they lengthened the distance and, therefore, time over which replenishment could take place. And much of that ended up in Asia. You would be amazed at how much of our canned goods, for example, come from Southeast Asia. What's terribly clear to everyone in our industry, in the food industry, is maybe that was not a great set of decisions. So I suspect several things are likely to happen. This is just our theory. It's a working theory. And candidly, it benefits us. So I'm guessing there's a bias in it, but I don't feel the bias, I think it just might be there. People single-sourced their products. I think that's going to go away. I think people will now multisource their products in the event that a supplier can't fulfill. I think you're going to see a lot of stuff that's in China, come back and really for a couple of reasons. The distance has been a problem. The interruption has been a problem. We see it with a number of our customers that the supply chain, not just over the distance, but as you know, when the Chinese were at their peak of the COVID experience, they almost closed their ports. So lots of product on the ocean ended up being much delayed. And I think all of these were negative experiences, not so much just about China, but about the distance problem and the dependency on the slow freight system.
So we're seeing people beginning to address whether moving all of this offshore was worth it. There were certainly cost advantages, but the question is, in retrospect, was it worth it? On the other hand, so that says that I think there's pressure here in the U.S., even in food, to shorten the supply chain, begin to be -- I don't want to use the term self-sufficient because I don't know that, that's right, but more stuff produced in the U.S., I think, is definitely going to happen. Interestingly, though, we've had a great deal of interest. We don't know where it will lead, no promises here. But we are exploring the ReposiTrak compliance management opportunities outside the U.S. We're looking carefully at Mexico, and frankly, in China. Again, no promises about how that might unfold. So on the one hand, foreign countries are looking to our standards and systems. On the other hand, I think the U.S. food supply chain is going to become more U.S.-dependent than foreign-dependent over time.
Thomas Ferris Forte - MD & Senior Research Analyst
Great. And so my last one, then I'll get back in the queue because I might have 1 or 2 more. How should we think about the financial health of your ecosystem, Tier 1, Tier 2 suppliers and bad debt risk?
Randall K. Fields - Co-Founder, Chairman, President, CEO, COO & Head of Sales
Yes, that's another good question. We -- I suppose if there is a place to be in general, it's where we are. Food has always been considered to be defensive. As I said in my remarks, it's absolutely true. You may cut out your discretionary spending, but you will not cut out food. So food-related activities, the food, retail food system is doing well. It's experiencing, obviously, how do you expand? How do you keep product on the shelf? It's a high-class problem in many respects. Having said that, because of how they're doing their purchasing, there's clearly a pressure for everyone to strengthen their balance sheets. The consequence of everybody strengthening their balance sheet is that we're seeing our receivables move out a bit. We're seeing some smaller companies, who are at more discretionary spend, have trouble. Here's an example. We do some work in cut flowers in grocery stores. I don't -- again, you don't have to think too hard to realize, well, that part of the business is probably soft for the flower guys, and that's a true statement. So some of those are seeing contractions in their business. I think our receivables are very conservative. We do reserves. We're pretty comfortable that bad debt is not going to be a growing problem for us, but we're approaching it conservatively. John, anything you can add to that? I guess that's a no from John.
Operator
Our next question is a follow-up from Ananda Baruah with Loop Capital.
Ananda Prosad Baruah - MD
Just a clarification for John around OpEx. And John, did I hear you accurately that you said net-neutral OpEx for fiscal '20 and then that ends June or that's this quarter, so given that dynamics are somewhat unpredictable right now, what's a responsible way to think about OpEx for at least the beginning of fiscal '21? Or how are you guys thinking about it?
John R. Merrill - CFO
Yes. I mean, some of the projects were completed, and so that's natural. Obviously, no one's traveling right now. That will come back. But we've done some belt-tightening and gone through every line item on our P&L to reduce the spend that I think can be about $100,000 a month going forward. And as I said, as far as the net neutral increase, absent MarketPlace, because obviously, that has a lower margin, I do believe we'll be net flat for the year.
Ananda Prosad Baruah - MD
And should we think of that, all things equal, that kind of run rate going into fiscal '21?
John R. Merrill - CFO
I think it will be lower because you're only picking up 3 months of the fourth quarter and certain contracts will expire, certain things that we've implemented. Cost-cutting will start in July or August or September or October, but on an average, over the forward 12 months, not making a prediction, but based on our numbers, you'll see about a reduction of about $1.2 million, absent MarketPlace going forward.
Ananda Prosad Baruah - MD
Okay. That's helpful. And it sounds like -- I mean, can you guys like -- particularly once you get the cost reductions really kind of kicked in, can you guys -- are we talking about a cash-neutral situation with you guys? Meaning, are the levels that you're sort of going to be at, very sustainable? It seems like the recurring revenue is going to be pretty sticky. It almost feels like you could have flat revenue sequentially through this thing because of the recurring base you've put in. And so what I'm wondering is I get the receivables is stretching out, but if you can -- this is super rough, if you're offsetting that, relatively speaking, with cost reduction and just belt-tightening, can you guys be cash-neutral? Or should there -- are there other moving parts that we should worry about or not worry about, but be aware of?
Randall K. Fields - Co-Founder, Chairman, President, CEO, COO & Head of Sales
You're asking a really -- you're asking the tough question. Let's go back -- let me -- I'm going to dance around it, Ananda. So be prepared. It is important to our customers, because of this public trust issue, that we be a profitable company, that we be a cash flow positive company and that we have a strong balance sheet. It's really significant to think about the fact that billions and billions a year of product couldn't get paid for, couldn't get invoiced if we didn't exist. So we've always talked about the need for the strong balance sheet. Now in a way more than ever, our customers want us to be secure, want us to be here, want to be sure they can lean on us. And we think there is an opportunity in the current environment that compliance is going to become very important, that more of our supply chain activities will be absorbed by our existing customers and new customers and MarketPlace should be obvious. So we think that we wanted to be better than neutral. We've reduced our expenses significantly. We're watching every nickel. And I think it's fair to say if we were only neutral, management would be disappointed. How is that for dancing? I think you get it.
Ananda Prosad Baruah - MD
That's pretty good. And what I realized was -- I just want to make sure that I'm not being too opaque in my use of the word neutral. Sort of current cash flow -- free cash flow run rate, I guess, is what I'm talking about. Current cash generation run rate, I'm say, using that in terms of neutral, meaning maintain current levels despite going into a macro-challenged dynamic is what I'm talking about. Just to clarify that.
Randall K. Fields - Co-Founder, Chairman, President, CEO, COO & Head of Sales
Yes, you're -- we're comfortable that that's really the goal. And by reducing our cash spend and by having our recurring revenue growing, if you subtract one for the other, it puts us in a shape that our customers want us to have. Was I being too indirect?
Ananda Prosad Baruah - MD
No, no. No, that's great. That's very helpful.
Randall K. Fields - Co-Founder, Chairman, President, CEO, COO & Head of Sales
Yes. And that was an important decision by the Board and management, that we had to be in a place where our customers were not worried, they shouldn't be worried. So the cost now of the company, the ongoing cash cost after the reductions, et cetera, is clearly below the anticipated rate of recurring revenue.
Operator
Our next question is a follow-up from Thomas Forte with D.A. Davidson.
Thomas Ferris Forte - MD & Senior Research Analyst
Great. So last 2 for me. So first, Randy, it seems like COVID-19 has been a catalyst for online grocery. Would you agree? And what are the implications of that for Park City Group?
Randall K. Fields - Co-Founder, Chairman, President, CEO, COO & Head of Sales
We certainly agree, but it's more mixed than I think most people think about because it hasn't been a terrific experience for customers trying to do it. Meaning, in many cases, they couldn't get the delivery slot, et cetera. Now remember, a core aspect of our business is maintaining inventories, meaning literally the inventory counts in the direct store delivery business. And about 30% of the sales inside of a supermarket are products that get to the store, direct-store delivery. Now the issue really is somebody goes online and wants to order milk or whatever. And the fact is that those inventories tend not to be correct. So there's a great opportunity for us to expand our footprint, and hopefully, we'll be able to take advantage of that so that the online orders become more efficient. In other words, by count, less than 25% of all online orders are properly filled without substitution. If that were a manufacturing business, they would be broke. So the reality is, the online ordering issues are enormous and we can help get that straightened out. So both the out-of-stock problem and what's the value of the inventories in terms of counts are right in our wheelhouse. So online ordering will grow. It will probably shrink actually to a certain extent as a percentage of sales when COVID is gone. It almost certainly won't go back to where it was, it will be higher. But what we do is needed more than ever to help people keep accurate counts of what's on the shelf. So again, we feel good about where we're positioned.
Thomas Ferris Forte - MD & Senior Research Analyst
Great. So last question for me. With a strong balance sheet and cash flow generation, I would imagine you have a lot of opportunities on the M&A front, what would you -- how would you characterize your current M&A strategy?
Randall K. Fields - Co-Founder, Chairman, President, CEO, COO & Head of Sales
Well, candidly, the last 6 to 8 weeks, we've been head down in execution, looking at the projects that we could wrap up, et cetera. There's still a couple of ongoing things that are critically important to us going forward in terms of our own technology. But we feel like the current environment probably create some opportunities because of the financial pressure lots of people will be feeling. So our eyes are open, and if there's something to come along, we would certainly want to be able to take advantage of that.
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, we have reached the end of the question-and-answer session and we are out of time for today's call. Park City Group thanks you for your time and participation. You may disconnect your lines at this time.