OceanFirst Financial Corp (OCFC) 2024 Q1 法說會逐字稿

完整原文

使用警語:中文譯文來源為 Google 翻譯,僅供參考,實際內容請以英文原文為主

  • Operator

  • Good morning. Thank you for attending the OceanFirst Financial first-quarter 2024 earnings release. My name is Victoria, and I'll be your moderator today. (Operator Instructions)

  • I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Alfred Goon, with OceanFirst Financial. Thank you. You may proceed, Alfred.

  • Alfred Goon - Senior Vice President, Corporate Strategy & Development

  • Thank you very much. Good morning, and welcome to the OceanFirst first-quarter 2024 earnings call. I am Alfred Goon, SVP of Corporate Development and Investor Relations.

  • Before we kick off the call, we'd like to remind everyone that our quarterly earnings release and related earnings supplement can be found on the company website, OceanFirst.com. Our remarks today may contain forward looking statements and may refer to non-GAAP financial measures. All participants should refer to our SEC filings, including those found on our Forms 8-K, 10-Q, and 10-K for a complete discussion of forward-looking statements and any factors that could cause actual results to differ from those statements.

  • Thank you, and I will now I will turn the call over to Christopher Maher, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer.

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • Thank you, Alfred. Good morning, and thank you to all being able to join our first-quarter 2024 earnings conference call. This morning, I'm joined by our President, Joe Lebel; and our Chief Financial Officer, Pat Barrett. We appreciate your interest in our performance and this opportunity to discuss our results with you.

  • This morning, we'll provide brief remarks about the financial and operating performance for the quarter and some color regarding the outlook for our business. We may refer to the slides filed in connection with the earnings release throughout the call. After our discussion, we look forward to taking your questions.

  • Our financial results for the first quarter included GAAP diluted earnings per share of $0.47. Our earnings reflect net interest income of $86 million, representing a modest decrease compared to the prior linked quarter of $88 million. Operating expenses decreased to $59 million.

  • First-quarter results demonstrated a stable quarter for margins as our core net interest margin was flat at 2.77%, the same level as the prior quarter. Margins were impacted by our continuing efforts to improve the quality of deposit funding. These efforts resulted in another quarter of decline in brokered CDs, a loan to deposit ratio below 100%, and a negligible increase in deposit betas to 40%.

  • We continue to see a gradual shift in deposit mix towards higher-yielding products, but that velocity is slowing and is now largely offset by the ongoing repricing of our loan and securities portfolios. Capital levels continued to build with our common equity Tier 1 capital ratio increasing to 11% and continued growth in tangible book value, which increased by $0.28 or 1.5% to $18.63. These results include nearly 1 million shares repurchased under the company's repurchase program at a weighted average cost of $15.64.

  • Further on capital management, the Board has approved the quarterly cash dividend of $0.20 per common share. This is the company's 109th consecutive quarterly cash dividend that represents 43% of GAAP earnings. We continue to remain focused on positioning the company for a variety of economic and industry outlooks through responsible growth, expense discipline, and prudent balance sheet management.

  • At this point, I'll turn the call over to Joe to provide some more detail regarding our performance during the first quarter.

  • Joseph Lebel - COO, EVP, & Director

  • Thanks, Chris. Non-maturity deposits remain relatively stable, decreasing approximately 1% compared to the prior quarter, while overall deposit balances declined by approximately 2%, reflecting our planned continued runoff of brokered CDs and a decline in high-yield savings balances driven by targeted refinements to both marketing efforts and rates offered.

  • On the loan origination side, we saw modest decline in loan balances of less than 1%, driven by reduced demand from customers combined with price and credit discipline. Given the slow start to the year, growth in loans and deposits may be modest for the remainder of 2024. Growth is expected to be lower in Q2 but ramp up in the second half of the year. Said another way, we expect our 2024 year-end loan balances to be higher than 2023 by low to mid single digits with the majority of the growth coming in the third and fourth quarters.

  • Asset quality metrics remained strong with non-performing loans and criticized and classified assets representing 0.35% and 1.65% of total loans, respectively. We reported 0.01% in net charge-offs to average total loans for the quarter, which marks essentially no net charge-offs in 11 of the last 12 quarters.

  • With that, I'll turn it over to Pat to review margin and expense outlook.

  • Patrick Barrett - CFO & EVP

  • Thank you, Joe. GAAP net interest income and margin were $86 million and 2.81%, respectively, reflecting the continued repricing of assets offset side the higher interest expense from a continued modest mix shift in funding. As Chris noted, funding costs reflect cycles and deposit betas, 40%, up modestly from 38% in the prior quarter, while initial signs show relative stabilization in net interest margin.

  • This is subject to unpredictability around loan growth and funding mix trends, so you shouldn't be surprised to see either stability or possibly some modest compression in the near term.

  • GAAP non-interest expenses decreased linked quarter to $59 million. We continue to make every effort to hold operating expenses stable in the $58 million to $60 million per quarter range, but modest quarterly volatility may occur.

  • Our effective tax rate for the quarter of 27% included a one-time non-recurring charge of $1.2 million. Excluding this charge, the full-year effective tax rate is expected to remain at 24% in line with prior periods and guidance.

  • Finally, as Chris mentioned earlier, capital strengthened appreciably with growth in our CET1 ratio to 11%, and we're pleased to report capital accretion even while repurchasing 958,000 shares for approximately $15 million during the quarter.

  • At this point, we'll begin the question-and-answer portion of the call.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) Frank Schiraldi, Piper Sandler.

  • Frank Schiraldi - Analyst

  • Good morning.

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • Good morning, Frank.

  • Frank Schiraldi - Analyst

  • I just wanted to ask about the -- in the -- I believe, in the slide deck, you talked about the CET1 ratio remaining above 10%, and obviously, it's well above. They're now at 11%. And thinking about some modest growth in the back half of 2024, it seems like you could -- if you want to even return, you get 100% plus of earnings through a buyback.

  • So I'm just trying to get a sense of when you talk about getting to that or that 10% threshold, how aggressive you could be on capital return with the stock at these levels and your thoughts about capital, I guess, over the next medium-term here?

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • Hey, Frank. It's Chris. Look, we're very comfortable with where we are in the capital ratios today. I think we have a little bit of room, but we also anticipate returning to growth. So we don't want to use up any of that excess capital that we might want later in the year for growth.

  • I think like you saw in the first quarter, if you just think about it this way, we're not using repurchases to increase our leverage. We're using all the free cash flow that we're not using for growth to fund repurchases. And if the pricing remains around this level, I would expect that to continue.

  • Frank Schiraldi - Analyst

  • Got you. Okay, I appreciate that. And then as you think about growth in the back half of this year and maybe beyond, just curious, any targets in terms of -- as we think about commercial real estate concentration, if you could just remind us where that is currently as a percentage of total capital, and any sort of thoughts about trend there going forward?

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • So Frank, I think the way to think about it is that we're comfortable with our CRE exposure today, but we will not be increasing it. So what we're doing is as loans mature, in some cases, we're allowing those depending on the credit structure to move off the balance sheet and replacing them with other borrowers. But that's kind of a treading water position. So most of the growth you're going to see is in classes outside of CRE, so that the right way to think about it.

  • Frank Schiraldi - Analyst

  • Okay. And then just finally, obviously, office has been a focus of investors. I know you don't have much in the central business districts, but I wondered if you could maybe just spend a second or two on your larger loans. I believe that average -- taken as an average, your loans are below $1 million to $2 million in size. But if you could just spend a second maybe on your larger loans and how they're performing and the geography there. Thanks.

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • Frank, I'll give you a couple of thoughts, and then I'll have Joe walk you through some of the numbers. First, as we've talked before, our exposure in central business district is quite low and all credits that we feel very comfortable with. So we've been through that book.

  • One important note, I've shared this with a number of folks, our exposure in central business district in Manhattan, for example, totals just $16 million in the balance sheet. We're talking about very low numbers. The vast majority of the portfolio is suburban office and in smaller-sized loans. But Joe, maybe walk through some of the stats you have that might be helpful.

  • Joseph Lebel - COO, EVP, & Director

  • I'll just give you a couple, Frank. So we have -- about 87% of the loans are under [$10 million]. And actually, the weighted average size of those loans is about $1.8 million. And we only have nine loans over $25 million in the portfolio. And that includes a loan I think we've been pretty transparent about in the CBD book, which is a very well-known national pharmaceutical company and another very well-known confectionary company where it's their US headquarters.

  • So we're pretty confident and pretty positive. Another very large loan is a headquarters of one of the big four banks -- the regional headquarters of one of the big four banks in the country. So that's the three the nine larger loans over $25 million.

  • Frank Schiraldi - Analyst

  • And I guess if we're thinking about central business district -- forgive me, I forget exactly what you have total, but is that kind of the book you look at the stuff over $25 million is kind of the CBD stuff?

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • There's a correlation there. Certainly, the largest tends to be in CBDs where you'd see bigger buildings. But the entirety of the CBD book is about $125 million. And then each of the loans that Joe mentioned is part of that. They all happen to be in CBDs.

  • Frank Schiraldi - Analyst

  • Sure. Okay. I appreciate it. Thanks.

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • Thanks, Frank.

  • Operator

  • Tim Switzer, KBW.

  • Frank Schiraldi - Analyst

  • Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking my question.

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • Good morning, Tim.

  • Tim Switzer - Analyst

  • I wanted to follow up on your comments about the loan demand you've seen recently and a little bit less demand from customers. Do you think part of that is driven by an expectation for rates to be lower by the end of the year, and so they're maybe waiting for that, or is it macro related peers? Could you maybe just provide some color around the lower demand?

  • Joseph Lebel - COO, EVP, & Director

  • Tim, it's Joe. I would tell you that was absolutely the case really in the year, January, February. I think people were looking for some relief before taking on either an M&A transaction, a new business line, maybe some capital expenditure purchases, but we're seeing that moderate. I think people are coming to the realization that that may not necessarily be the case.

  • The other thing that we're seeing is that we're seeing a little bit more renewed confidence. People have been able to pass along increases to some of the product costs. We're seeing that obviously in inflation. So we've seen subsequent to quarter end a little bit of an increase in pipelines. So we're seeing those green shoots start, which is a positive for us. And I think as Chris mentioned earlier, the vast majority of the increase in the pipe is coming from the C&I book, which is really where we've been focused.

  • Tim Switzer - Analyst

  • Okay, got it. And could you remind us or update us on what you guys believe the impact of rate cuts would be in the back half of the year to NII? And particularly, if we only get one or two rate cuts, how would that be different than if we got, say, a series of five to six?

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • First, it's Chris, and Pat will probably chime in as well. But I'd give you just a sense that whether it's an incremental cut up or even down. So I think we're looking and thinking about it both ways these days. It doesn't make a big change, so we're relatively stable outlook regardless of whether it's two cuts or even one raise, right, those kinds of scenarios. So it's not going to be a big impact.

  • We do have a significant amount of loans that are maturing -- contractually maturing in the last three quarters of the year. And I think one of the ways we're thinking about higher for longer is some things we know for certain and some things we're just going to have to see play out. But on the certainty side, we know what's rolling, and we've got about $700 million worth of loans rolling, fixed-rate loans that are contractually hitting their maturity in Q2, Q3, and Q4 or the rest.

  • So as a result, that $700 million is going to come up from where it is today. That's a significant opportunity. On the other hand, there will be a lingering deposit pressure. It's abating, but it's very hard to say exactly how that will look as the year goes on. So higher for longer doesn't concern us, particularly and one or two cuts or one raise doesn't change the outlook much either, so it's a relatively stable outlook for us.

  • Pat, anything you'd add to that?

  • Patrick Barrett - CFO & EVP

  • No, I guess I would -- yes, I would just emphasize the whole uncertainty factors that we're really looking at is around the non-maturity deposit funding side. So on the term side -- on the loan side entirely, the securities book entirely and CDs and other term funding, we've got pretty high level of confidence. It's just the unpredictability of behavior of depositors in the interest-bearing space, non-interest-bearing space that has proven really difficult for us to predict.

  • And it's hard to see that confidence level building in the near term. I think we're just going to have to see some trends develop before we have better confidence. And that's why you see that we're working on our outlook for NIM. Be pretty cautious around stable. It might be a little compressing. I could have said that it might even expand a little bit, but I'm just a naturally cautious guy.

  • Tim Switzer - Analyst

  • Okay. Got it. That was all really helpful. And one last question, can you remind us what percent of your loans are repriced immediately or floating rate?

  • Patrick Barrett - CFO & EVP

  • Up 30%.

  • Tim Switzer - Analyst

  • Great. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Daniel Tamayo, Raymond James.

  • Daniel Tamayo - Analyst

  • Hey, good morning, guys.

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • Good morning.

  • Daniel Tamayo - Analyst

  • (Technical difficulty) I appreciate the guidance on the range for expenses in the $58 million to $60 million per quarter through the year. I was hoping if we can get a finer point on maybe the cadence of expense growth. Does it just kind of imply volatility each quarter through that $58 million to $60 million range? Or should we kind of expect a little bit of a ramp up as we go through the year here?

  • Patrick Barrett - CFO & EVP

  • No, I think you should expect it to be flat throughout the year, but it could bounce around a little bit. You just -- you do have some volatility, but we're going to work really hard to keep it below $59 million. We put the range out there so that you can do the math and come up with $59 million, which is a pretty good average estimate. But you should expect that that's the one thing every day that we know that we can control. It's not up to customer behavior.

  • Daniel Tamayo - Analyst

  • Appreciate that color. And then maybe additionally there, are there any timing -- any additional initiatives that you guys are working through that are implemented through the year?

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • I would just -- I mean, the only thing that we would anticipate doing over the course of the year is we always hire good talent when we find in the markets. So if we find good talent, good commercial bankers, we're going to hire them. We have some room in the budget to do that. We have other expenses that are coming down.

  • So if we're hiring our typical pattern of a few people every quarter, we can hold expenses right where they are. If we find an opportunity to do something better than that, then we'll change our expense guidance and let you know. But that would be, in our view, a very positive outcome. So any volatility, significant volatility in expenses would be linked to something that we think would be good news.

  • Daniel Tamayo - Analyst

  • Appreciate the thought there, Chris. And then maybe lastly, just looking at the fee lines, you're looking -- stripping out the noise of some the equity gains in the trust sale, taking out maybe the fully gained during the quarter where it kind of just implied a run rate a little bit under $9 million there.

  • And kind of with the main variance being a little bit lighter service charges that we were looking for, is that $9 million level fair to look at run rate going forward? Or was there maybe some seasonality or one-time things, the service charges that may boost that going forward?

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • The seasonality would not play a significant role, but I'm always cautious on this line given public policy around fees. And I would expect that as we continued the dialogue over which fees are more less responsible than others, you could have some vulnerability there to fees.

  • We may decide to change to make sure we're in line with the current regulatory thinking, but seasonality wouldn't come into it. This is really just kind of listening to the -- to our regulators and to their views on different fee lines. It may cause us to reexamine fees in the next few quarters.

  • Daniel Tamayo - Analyst

  • That's all I had. Thanks for the color, guys.

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • All right, thank you.

  • Operator

  • David Bishop, Hovde Group.

  • David Bishop - Analyst

  • Hey. Good morning, gentlemen.

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • Good morning, Dave.

  • David Bishop - Analyst

  • Hey, Joe, quick question in terms of maybe the outlook for low to mid single-digit growth, mostly in the back half. Is it -- obviously, the pipeline numbers have come under pressure here. Do you have sort of line of sight in terms of maybe what's beyond the published numbers in terms of the greater-than-90-day pipeline that gives you confidence that you may hit those bogeys in the second half of the year?

  • Joseph Lebel - COO, EVP, & Director

  • Yes, Dave, I think the easier answer is this. We've added eight C&I lenders last year. It takes them some time to ramp up. We've added two more in the first quarter. We have a couple of more scheduled to start pretty much any day here in Q2. So we're absolutely seeing an increase in pipe subsequent to the end of Q1.

  • I think you're going to see that start to filter through closings in Q2 into Q3. And I expect that the folks that have finally gotten to that point where they're ramping up to continue to bring that kind of business to us. So I think that's the measure of what we're seeing so far and what our expectations are.

  • David Bishop - Analyst

  • Got it. And then I saw in the slide deck some narrative regarding the high-yield savings product. It sounds like you moved down pricing. It looks like the spot rate was down 30 basis points from the quarterly average. Am I reading it right that overall balances have remained stable? And is there more opportunity to move those rates down, maybe either they are in the money market or interest-bearing checking?

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • I think we're in the -- the good news is we're in the fine-tuning stage of this rate cycle, meaning, we're kind of deciding which ones we want to keep at what prices and money that may not be economical for us to keep, and we can kind of pull back off it. So that stability is a welcome change. We saw that in the fourth quarter coming into the first quarter.

  • Let's be clear, when we reduce those rates, we lost some deposits. That's why you saw some of the deposit contraction in Q1, but that was planned. We knew when we actually hit pretty much what we expected to in terms of attrition in the high-yield book. So I would expect us to be fine tuning deposit pricing over the course of the year.

  • One of the questions we get often, it goes back to Fed rate policy and people trying to predict. Are there going to be cuts and all that? Obviously, we care a lot about what the Fed does. But I would not assume that there is any linkage between Fed rate policy and deposit rate expectations.

  • Depositors are going to want what they want. They going to shop where they shop. And that's what makes it a little bit difficult at this point in the cycle to kind of get a beat on things. We certainly feel the pressure is easing, but it is way too early to make a longer-term blanket statement about that.

  • David Bishop - Analyst

  • Got it. And then in the same vein, is there -- do you have any sort of outlook in terms of broker deposits maybe maturing this quarter?

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • Over time, we generally want to just continue to reduce that brokerage segment. Traditionally, we have not relied on brokered funding. We saw it as a really good option that kind of bolster liquidity at a time when it made a lot of sense to do so. And it is a great option to manage interest rate risk.

  • So what we did with our brokered book is we went out right after rates first started to rise and we immediately kind of pulled down funding that we knew would have a very certain interest rate characteristic to it for a duration.

  • Now that we're somewhere near the top end of the cycle, extending the duration through brokered CDs doesn't make sense. So rolling them off also takes not just volatility out but allows us to maybe become a little bit more liability sensitive over time.

  • David Bishop - Analyst

  • And then one final question. Looks like maybe a modest tick-up in the special mention loan category, maybe it looks to be office CRE. Just curious, but maybe some commentary on what drove the change in risk rating? Thanks.

  • Joseph Lebel - COO, EVP, & Director

  • Yes, Dave, I'll give you a little feedback. It's primarily three loans. One -- just a little color, one was a construction of build to suit. There's a little delay getting the tenant in. The tenant is in and paying. And the two other loans, one was an office loan at Philadelphia, which is fully occupied but just some little bumps in the road with the principal. I think two of the three, if not all three, are cleaned up by the end of Q2, but it's just prudent to put them in the category where they belong if you have some concerns.

  • David Bishop - Analyst

  • Got it. Appreciate the color.

  • Operator

  • Christopher Marinac, JMS.

  • Christopher Marinac - Analyst

  • Hey, thanks. Good morning. I'm just going to continue where Dave left off on his last question. So if we look at the level of criticized loans, did you see that driving at all your reserve levels going forward? Or is the reserves still build on kind of across the cycle and the low charge-offs that continue to kind of speak for itself?

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • No, I don't think -- Chris, it's a good question. I don't think there's any linkage there. We don't expect any kind of going forward unless there's a change in the outlook, which, frankly, we don't see. So the way I would think about it is if you look at the allowance this quarter, if we had just gone with the external observable factors, both the economic forecast as well as our history of charge-offs, you might have made an argument to release reserves. We didn't think that was prudent at this point in the cycle.

  • So our qualitative factors came up a little bit, but that's kind of what's going on. Quantitatively. It would have been a quarter where you could have considered releasing. I know some banks have we just chose to be a little bit more conservative.

  • Christopher Marinac - Analyst

  • Great. And then just a follow-up about overall commercial growth, where do you think customers are now? I mean, we know there's a lot of pencils down with the large regionals. But given that you may not want to do commercial real estate as you mentioned, so just specifically in C&I, where is the customer attitude? And are you dependent on them kind of being more optimistic in the second half of the year?

  • Joseph Lebel - COO, EVP, & Director

  • Yes, I think we all are, but I think we're seeing already the conversations we're having are that customers are getting a little bit more optimistic. I think the other thing is we've continued to recruit lenders largely from the nationals. And largely, what we're hearing a lot from our new folks is that there is a limited appetite for any type of lending at the highest level, which is beneficial for us as time goes on. It's still a relationship business, so I expect that to be the case.

  • On the CRE side, it's fascinating. We've talked about this a bit. I think there's a little bit of a limitation on banks wanting to do CRE, but there are plenty of alternative lenders in the space. And one of the ones we talk about a bunch is the government entities. And we saw that a little bit in Q1.

  • Not that was prevalent, but one of our better borrowers refinanced the $26 million transaction with one of the GSEs at 6% fixed with an extended IO period. We're not pricing like that, and we're not structuring like that. And that's still a challenge. But in today's world, I don't think that's monumental. It's just something to be aware of.

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • Maybe one more comment too, Chris. The interesting phenomenon we've noticed among our long-term kind of generational C&I clients is a good news story to this is they have virtually no debt. They've paid all their lines and loans down. So that affects our earnings a little bit because we're not showing those outstandings, but these families have shared with us that they're poised and ready. I mean, Joe, you might add to that. But there -- at some point, they will become net borrowers again, and we hope that's in the next couple of quarters.

  • Joseph Lebel - COO, EVP, & Director

  • We've told that story of one of our better C&I clients has been chasing two other acquisitions for peer years and not been successful. And now we finally believe he will be successful. And with his balance sheet and our ability to lend, I think he finally gets that opportunity. But it's -- people are cautious still. There's still some of that market.

  • Christopher Marinac - Analyst

  • Great. Thank you again for the background here. Appreciate it.

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • Thanks, Chris.

  • Operator

  • Matthew Breese, Stephens Inc.

  • Matthew Breese - Analyst

  • Hey, good morning, everyone.

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • Hey, Matt.

  • Matthew Breese - Analyst

  • I guess the obvious question is, is how much more should we expect in the way of buybacks? I think you have a remaining $2 million -- 2 million share authorization. So I guess first part, is it reasonable to assume that that gets exhausted by the end of the year?

  • But the second part is just more of a philosophical one. I can't remember the last time I saw OceanFirst buy back this many shares, and I would love to hear kind of capital strategy in light of valuation and the environment and in light of the other options you have on the table.

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • It's a great question, Matt. I think there's just a really simple answer for it. When we look at the value of our shares, we think there's an opportunity there. We feel very good about the balance sheet. We feel very good about credit. We feel very good about our long-term prospects. And the sector, including us, is just trading at reasonably cyclical lows. So as long as we're below tangible book value, it's a very compelling investment decision.

  • That said, to your earlier point, Matt, we're a growth company and we're anxious to be back in the growth side. But we do get this opportunity. As we grow loans in the second half of the year, we have the opportunity potentially with margin stabilization and a little bit of growth to see some earnings power as well.

  • So if we're returning to growth, you're going to see earnings growth as well, which should provide some more growth capital too. So we don't want capital levels to drift up. We do have certain floors. We want to make sure we're above but trading below, substantially below tangible book value for us. It's just a unique opportunity.

  • You asked about the outlook. The first quarter would probably represent -- I couldn't see us doing more than that because we do want to preserve capital for growth. But if we continue to do anywhere near that level, by the end of the year, we would fulfill our current plan. We'd have to think about whether we wanted to do another plan.

  • So I think it's going to depend a lot on, believe it or not, kind of margins, structure, and growth opportunities. We can bring on new clients, but we want to make sure we're bringing them on at the right margins. It is not the right part of the cycle to give up your margin discipline and chase just like standalone EPS at the end of what could be a multi-year expansion.

  • The soft landing is not off the table. But you could also imagine that by '25, we're in a recession, right? I mean, we don't know what the Fed's going to have to do later in the year. So we're not going drive capital levels down, but at these prices, if we have excess capital, we're going to use it.

  • Matthew Breese - Analyst

  • I appreciate that. And then turning to credit, I just was curious about the actual process for getting LTVs and getting debt service coverage ratios. Is the LTV at origination or is it more recent? If you have kind of an average age of LTV, that would be great. And then on the debt service coverage ratio, are those updated annually? So are those fairly fresh?

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • So there a couple of things, Matt. So the debt service coverage ratio is updated annually. If we detect an issue in a loan where we have a concern, we would go out and update the appraisal. Based on what we see in the portfolio, most of our appraisals are origination-based appraisals. We do not have a vintage chart, but we'll think through that. Maybe we'll add a vintage chart for our next investor presentation, just to give people a sense, but there's not really a big cluster of loans in any one vintage.

  • The other thing I'd mention is that one of the reasons we feel comfortable about our office book is that a lot of that book was originated after COVID. We were very careful to focus on medical use and things that we thought for long-term durable kinds of office products. So we'll work on that vintage for you.

  • I'd also point you in the investor deck to the variety of stress tests that we do. So we kind of take these loans and stress test them and then look at the NOIs and the debt service coverage ratios post stress, and those hold up really well. So we feel pretty good about whole income side of the equation that we are on top of, and it's very current. The appraisal side would be subject to vintage, but we'll think about getting to a table on that.

  • Matthew Breese - Analyst

  • Okay. And then, Joe, I think you had mentioned that there's nine, and you can correct me if I'm wrong, there's nine office loans over $25 million. You referred to three of them. I was curious in the other pool of what else is over $25 million. Is there any of those loans that are not passed? And I would love to hear your thoughts on why, concern, and any potential for lost content in your view.

  • Joseph Lebel - COO, EVP, & Director

  • So good news of the other loans, all the loans are passed. And I don't -- unequivocally, I can tell you at least the top three or four we're really happy with. I'd have to go look at the other ones, but the fact that the rate of the past tells you pretty much the story.

  • We've really had -- with the one exception in, whatever, Q3, we've had really good performance in this book. And we talked a bunch about it, and we talk a bunch about the fact that a lot of it is in suburban markets, very little CBD, very little urban, period. And I think that's been a benefit to the book.

  • And as Chris mentioned, we've got a lot of diversity in the book in geography, medical, credit, tenant, the whole ball of wax. So I think we've done what we've done. The money is out. It's performing. And we're on top of it.

  • Matthew Breese - Analyst

  • And then switching to deposits, how much more cost savings were brokered is there kind of targeted to run off? And is the deposit growth guide all in, or is it just off of kind of the core deposits?

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • The deposit growth guide is all in. And I think that for the most part, we don't have much in brokered. Pat can give you the number, but we're not we're not trying to drive that down quickly or in any material amount. So it shouldn't be much of a headwind. The high-yield savings, I think it will be a little bit more of that running off in Q2, but nothing significant. Then brokerage is just going to wind down over the next several quarters.

  • Matthew Breese - Analyst

  • Okay, and then last one for me. A lot of your peers are waving in talent from some recently disrupted institutions, if you will. Are you seeing any of that come your way, or is there opportunity to bring in some deposit-gathering folks or commercial lending talent down in your neck of the woods?

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • I think there's a great opportunity and it's something we've done over the years, and we'll continue to do it. And there are a lot of reasons that people kind of reevaluate where they are. But when you go through periods like this, really high-quality bankers sometimes have challenges wherever they are for whatever reason.

  • And we have a lot of conversations and a lot of talk. And we've said over the years, and we mean it, when we find good people, we hire them. And we don't say, gee, we only have a budget for two people this year. But we don't do the opposite either. We don't just hire people because we think we've got to hire three bankers this month or something. So I would expect you'll see us continue to add talent from there from a variety of places.

  • Matthew Breese - Analyst

  • Okay. Any -- just any comments on how much talent? I know, Joe, you had mentioned, I think, a handful. And I'll leave it there. Thank you.

  • Joseph Lebel - COO, EVP, & Director

  • I think the easy way to describe that -- we've had a few already. We have an inside joke in the company that says that we don't have a budget for talent. And as Chris mentioned, all that means is that whenever we find good talent, we're going to try to hire them. So if we can find good talent, we'll add as many as we can add.

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • And Matt, for today, it's still going into kind of the pace where you've seen over the last couple of years, a couple of bankers a quarter. If that pace changes, we'll be communicating about it.

  • Matthew Breese - Analyst

  • Perfect. I appreciate it. Thank you.

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • Thanks, Matt.

  • Operator

  • Manuel Navas, D.A. Davidson.

  • Manuel Navas - Analyst

  • Hi, good morning. So on the core deposit engine, are you seeing the C&I lenders that you've brought on actually bring in deposits so far? Or do you have like a visible pipeline to this point?

  • Joseph Lebel - COO, EVP, & Director

  • So we are seeing them bring in deposits. If anything, they're bringing in deposits before they're bringing in loans. Because as you all know, sometimes, there's limitations or maturities or prepayments that prohibit loans coming over as fast as some deposits early on. But I think, Manuel, we'll see more and more of that in Q3 and Q4.

  • Manuel Navas - Analyst

  • And that's kind of giving you that confidence to let some of the high-yield reprice run off of it, the high-yield savings channel?

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • And also, we need to understand exactly what those dynamics are. So until you start moving rates, you really don't know what that kind of run-off tolerance will be. So we're beginning that process of moving rates around a little bit, so we know what that marginal pricing should be.

  • We've always been big fans of you can do every deposit survey you want, but the actual experience of pricing and watching deposit flows will tell you exactly what your market is. We're just trying to make sure we're on top of that.

  • Patrick Barrett - CFO & EVP

  • I'd also add that those levers, we have a high confidence level in our ability to ramp those back up quickly if we want to, whether it's high-interest savings, brokered CDs, certainly -- or even time deposit specials, retail, and/or other customer segments.

  • So with that confidence level, we're feeling a lot better about letting some things mature and roll off, not replacing and rolling them, and starting to dial back some of the highest rates that we've had on offer. And we'll learn from that and be prepared hopefully to see growth pick up in core deposits.

  • Manuel Navas - Analyst

  • I appreciate that color. Can we have a bit of a general update on the operating leverage strategies and where we sold the trust business and just kind of how that fits in?

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • I'd make a couple of comments. First, the trust business sales is strategic partnership where we think that with a partner, we can do more in that business than we do today. It's relatively neutral to the P&L, so you're not going to see much change in the P&L.

  • In terms of the operating leverage strategy, I think the way we're thinking about the company is that we have now, for the most part, fully absorbed all the expenses attended with coming over $10 billion. Obviously, if you add a banker here and there, you've got some expense, but the marginal cost to support growth is quite low.

  • So our view here is hold that non-interest expense line, allow non-interest expense to assets to decrease as we grow, and that's where you're going to see the leverage come in. And then I think there's a second story from that, which is at some point, and I offer no calendar for this, we might have a yield curve that's not inverted, right?

  • And at that point, you're going to have the revenue side kind of kick in as well. So that's this guidance about flat expenses. It doesn't mean that we're going to need to add dollars to grow. We can grow off this expense base. And then this kind of second cylinder that would hit would be at some point down the road if rates normalize.

  • Manuel Navas - Analyst

  • Appreciate the commentary. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you for your question. There are no additional questions waiting at this time. I would now like to pass the conference back to Chris Maher for any closing remarks.

  • Christopher Maher - Chairman of the Board, President, CEO of the Company, & CEO of the Bank

  • Thank you. Before we close the call, I want to remind everyone that our annual meeting of stockholders will be held virtually on May 21 at 8:00 AM Eastern Time. For the 2024 annual materials, we have transitioned to a notice-and-access model for all meeting materials. Notice and access grants stockholders access to the full set of materials electronically. By reducing paper waste and mailings, we're able to decrease operating costs and further our environmental goals as a company.

  • If you have received the notice and would like to receive a printed version of our proxy materials, please follow the instructions provided on your notice and submit your request prior to May 7, 2024. If you have any questions or need any assistance with requesting these materials, please don't hesitate to contact us. We encourage stockholders of record on March 25, 2024, to review the proxy materials and vote your shares.

  • We appreciate your time today and your continued support of OceanFirst Financial Corp. We look forward to speaking with you during our annual stockholders meeting on May 21. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • That concludes today's call. Thank you for your participation, and enjoy the rest of your day.