Midland States Bancorp Inc (MSBI) 2020 Q3 法說會逐字稿

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by and welcome to the Third Quarter 2020 Midland States Bancorp, Inc. Earnings Conference Call. (Operator Instructions) Please be advised that today's call is being recorded. (Operator Instructions)

I would now like to hand the call over to Tony Rossi. Please go ahead.

Thank you, Michelle. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today for the Midland States Bancorp Third Quarter 2020 Earnings Call.

Joining us from Midland's management team are Jeff Ludwig, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Eric Lemke, Chief Financial Officer. We will be using a slide presentation as part of our discussion this morning. If you've not done so already, please visit the Webcasts and Presentations page of Midland's Investor Relations website to download a copy of the presentation.

Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that this conference call contains forward-looking statements with respect to the future performance and financial condition of Midland States Bancorp that involve risks and uncertainties, including those related to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Various factors could cause actual results to be materially different from any future results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These factors are discussed in the company's SEC filings, which are available on the company's website. The company disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking statements made during the call.

Additionally, management may refer to non-GAAP measures, which are intended to supplement, but not substitute, for the most directly comparable GAAP measures. The press release available on the website contains the financial and other quantitative information to be discussed today as well as the reconciliation of the GAAP to non-GAAP measures.

And with that, I'd like to turn the call over to Jeff. Jeff?

Good morning, everyone. Welcome to the Midland States earnings call.

I'm going to start on Slide 3 with the highlights of the third quarter. Our reported results reflected the one-time charges related to the branch and facilities optimization plan that we announced last month, and I will talk more about that plan a little later in the call. Excluding those charges, we delivered a strong performance this quarter in light of the continuing challenges presented by the ongoing pandemic with adjusted earnings of $12 million or $0.52 per diluted share. This performance was driven by solid balance sheet growth, significant contributions from many of our sources of noninterest income and disciplined expense management. While overall economic activity remains muted due to the pandemic, we are effectively targeting those areas of the economy where we are seeing healthy loan demand. As a result, we were able to generate annualized loan growth of 8.4% during the quarter, and we continue to see positive trends in gathering core deposits, which resulted in 6.8% (sic) [6.9%] annualized growth in our total deposits this quarter.

Looking at asset quality. In general, we were pleased with the trends that we saw during the quarter and the improvement we saw in the health of most of our borrowers. This was most notably in the decline we saw in deferred loans as the vast majority of these loans returned to regular payment schedules during the third quarter. We did see an increase in nonperforming assets but this was largely driven by 3 commercial real estate relationships. These were 3 credits that were adversely graded prior to the pandemic, and with the downturn in the economy, their conditions deteriorated to an extent where they moved to nonaccrual status. Outside of these loans, we didn't see other migration to nonperforming during the third quarter.

Given the uncertainty of the pace of the economic recovery, we continue to add to our loan loss reserves, resulting in our allowance for credit losses increasing to 1.07% of total loans. As we have throughout the year, we continue to benefit from the diversity of our business model and our ability to generate significant contributions from a variety of areas.

Wealth management continues to provide a stable source of reoccurring revenue. Our equipment finance group had another outstanding quarter, generating the second highest level of originations in its history just behind their performance last quarter. And our residential mortgage group continues to effectively capitalize on the demand for refinancing and produced a strong quarter of loan originations and gain on sale income.

Aside from our financial performance, this was a very productive quarter for the company as we made significant progress in our work to optimize our operating model and improve our ability to deliver consistent earnings growth in the future. This includes the sale of our commercial FHA loan origination platform and the announcement of a series of planned branch and corporate office reductions, which I will discuss in more detail on the next slide.

Moving to Slide 4. I'll start with a review of our sale of the commercial FHA loan origination platform to Dwight Capital. We were able to structure this transaction in a way that will eliminate the volatility that this business had on our overall financial performance while maintaining some of the positive benefits for Midland. With the disposition of the origination platform, we have reduced the expenses associated with this business by $8 million to $9 million per year. At the same time, we maintained the servicing portion of the business that provides a meaningful source of low-cost servicing deposits and contributes approximately $300,000 in revenue per quarter.

As a nationwide mortgage banking firm and one of the largest originators of commercial FHA loans, Dwight Capital has significant funding needs, and the relationship that we have formed as part of this transaction will provide Midland with the opportunity to provide warehouse lines of credit and bridge loans that will generate interest income for the company. And in fact, the warehouse line of credit extended to Dwight was one of the contributors to loan growth in the quarter. So we will be able to offset some of the lost revenue from the origination platform and do it in a way that is more profitable for Midland. And with the size of our commercial FHA operation now much smaller, we will be able to focus our attention and resources on more profitable areas of the company. While there was no significant gain on the sale of this transaction, it did result in a $3 million tax charge recorded in the third quarter.

Turning to the branch and facilities optimization plan that we announced. We felt that the pandemic presented an opportune time to make a comprehensive evaluation of all of our real estate holdings. Clearly, the pandemic has accelerated the shift towards digital banking, and we determined that there were a number of smaller branches that had no longer made economic sense to continue operating. We identified 13 branches which represented 20% of our network that could be consolidated. 4 of these branches have been closed since March due to the pandemic. So customers have already made adjustments to use other branches. And most of the branches being consolidated are located within 3 miles of another Midland branch. So we expect a relatively smooth transition for our customers and only a modest amount of deposit attrition. We also identified 5 other branches that we will be renovating and upgrading to reduce their size and better utilize those facilities to serve retail and commercial customers.

In addition to the branches, we are exiting 3 corporate locations, including facilities in St. Louis and Denver. We expect this plan to reduce operating expenses by approximately $6 million in 2021. Taken together with the sale of the commercial FHA loan origination platform, we believe the collective impact of these actions will help drive further improvement in our efficiency ratio and provide more operating leverage as we continue to grow our balance sheet in the future.

Moving to Slide 5. We'll provide an update on our PPP efforts and the impact that these loans had on various line items in the third quarter. We had approximately $278 million of PPP loans on our balance sheet at the end of the quarter. We have now started the process of helping our clients apply for forgiveness. Through October 9, we have submitted approximately $72 million in loans for forgiveness and have received approval from the SBA on a little more than $3 million. While it is difficult to predict how quickly the SBA will start approving more loans, at this point, we are expecting 25% to 30% of our PPP loans to receive forgiveness during the fourth quarter with the remainder occurring sometime in 2021.

Turning to Slide 6. We'll provide an update on our loan deferrals. At September 30, we had $279 million in loan deferrals, which represented a decline of 69% from the end of the prior quarter. Our loan deferrals now represent just under 6% of our total loans. Approximately $238 million are full payment deferrals with the remainder being interest-only deferrals. The largest contributor to our deferrals continue to be the hotel/motel sector, which we will speak in more detail in just a bit.

At this point, I'm going to turn the call over to Eric to provide some additional details around our third quarter performance. Eric?

Thanks, Jeff, and again, good morning, everyone. I'm starting on Slide 7, and we'll take a look at our loan portfolio.

Our total loans increased $102 million or 2.1% from the end of the prior quarter. The increase was primarily driven by 3 areas: first, equipment finance, which continues to experience strong demand in both construction and manufacturing; next, consumer loans increased coming through our partnership with GreenSky; and finally, we realized increases in warehouse lines of credit to commercial FHA originators, including the relationship with Dwight Capital that Jeff previously discussed. The growth in these areas has helped to offset a decline in our residential real estate portfolio as we are not making an effort to retain loans that are looking to refinance to lower rates.

At the end of the quarter, we moved some of our GreenSky loans to held for sale as part of our strategy to manage the concentration levels of consumer loans in the portfolio. We sold this portfolio in October at par.

On Slide 8, we've provided an update on our equipment finance portfolio. As of September 30, we had $75 million of deferrals, which represents a decline of 68% since the end of the last quarter. The majority of the deferrals represent borrowers in the transit and ground transportation industry, many of which are operators of tour buses who have been temporarily impacted by the decline in travel.

On Slide 9, we've provided an overview of our hotel/motel portfolio. At September 30, we had $106 million of loan deferrals in this portfolio, which is down 28% from the end of the prior quarter. Over the past couple of months, more of these borrowers have had increases in occupancy rates that allow them to return to at least a breakeven level. With these improving trends, many of these borrowers are now moving back towards interest-only payments as we continue to work with them to find the right solution that will enable them to manage through this downturn.

As of September 30, approximately 40% of the deferred loans at June 30 were either back to making their original contractual payments or making interest-only payments.

Looking at Slide 10. We've provided an update on the consumer loan portfolio that we have through our relationship with GreenSky. We had $8 million of deferred loans in this portfolio at September 30, which represents a decline of 77% from the end of the prior quarter. This portfolio continued to -- continues to perform well over the past 4 months, and the delinquency rate has stayed in the 30 to 40 basis point range. In addition to the strong performance, we have an escrow account that is available to cover any deficiency in Midland's principal balances. The escrow account increased during the quarter to $30.6 million.

Turning to Slide 11. We'll take a look at our deposits. Total deposits increased $86 million or 1.7% from the prior quarter. The growth was largely driven by increases in servicing deposits related to commercial FHA originators. Our growth in core deposits and the runoff of higher-cost time deposits continues to result in a favorable mix shift and a reduction in our overall cost of deposits.

Looking now at Slide 12. We'll walk through the trends in our net interest income and margin. Our net interest income increased 2% from the prior quarter primarily due to higher average loan balances. As we anticipated, we saw more stability in our net interest margin as it was essentially unchanged from the prior quarter with the decline in earning asset yields being offset by a reduction in our cost of deposits. The 11 basis point reduction in our cost of deposits was driven by our improved mix of deposits and overall reductions in deposit rates, particularly on rates paid on time deposits as well as the runoff of certain money market special rates during the quarter. Looking ahead, we have $91 million in time deposits with a weighted average rate of 1.11% scheduled to mature in the fourth quarter, and we also expect to redeploy some of our excess liquidity into higher-yielding assets. The combination of these 2 factors should help us keep our net interest margin relatively stable.

Turning to Slide 13. We'll take a look at the trends in our wealth management business. Our total assets under administration increased $7 million from the end of the prior quarter primarily due to improved market performance. Our total revenue continues to range in the mid-$5 million range with quarter-to-quarter variations primarily driven by seasonal impacts related to tax preparation.

On Slide 14, we'll take a look at noninterest income. We had a decrease of 2.5% this quarter primarily due to lower commercial FHA revenue as we only had the origination platform for 2 months in the third quarter. We also recorded a $1.4 million impairment of commercial mortgage servicing rights that reduced our noninterest income this quarter. Excluding the impairment, our noninterest income increased due to higher residential mortgage banking revenue and higher community banking fees as we've seen an increase in transaction volume and business activity as the economy continues to reopen in our markets.

Turning to Slide 15. We'll review our noninterest expense. Our total expenses were impacted by the one-time charges related to the branch and facilities optimization plan. Excluding these charges and a small loss on the residential mortgage servicing rights held for sale, our noninterest expense was relatively unchanged from the prior quarter. This resulted in an efficiency ratio of 58.8% for the quarter. Looking ahead, we expect to complete the branch and corporate facilities consolidation by the end of the year. With the cost savings realized from the consolidations as well as the sale of the commercial FHA origination platform, we believe we will start out 2021 with a quarterly operating expense run rate of approximately $39 million to $40 million.

Turning to Slide 16. We'll take a look at our asset quality trends. As Jeff mentioned, our nonperforming loans increased primarily due to 3 commercial real estate relationships. We had $5.3 million of net charge-offs or 44 basis points of average loans in the quarter, which included charge-offs taken against those 3 commercial real estate loans. We recorded a provision for loan losses of $11 million, which reflects the higher level of net charge-offs in the quarter, as well as a continued build in our level of reserves in light of the pandemic. At September 30, approximately 96% of our allowance for credit losses, or ACL, was allocated to general reserves.

We are seeing quite a bit of interest in the market for troubled debt, and it's possible we might have some near-term opportunities to dispose of some of our nonperforming loans with no additional losses.

On Slide 17, we'll show the components of the change in our ACL from the end of the prior quarter. Our ACL increased by $5.7 million and strengthened our reserve to 107 basis points of total loans from 97 basis points at the end of the prior quarter. With economic forecasts stabilizing, this component of the reserve drove a much smaller increase than it did in the prior quarter. The biggest contributor to the reserve build was changes in our portfolio largely resulting from new loans, downgrades to risk ratings and adjustments for loans on deferrals and other payment plans.

On Slide 18, we show our ACL broken out by portfolio. The increase in reserves was spread across the portfolio with most areas seeing a bump-up in coverage. In addition to the ACL to total loans, we also track the coverage ratio when excluding loan portfolios with certain credit enhancements or government guarantees, including the PPP portfolio, our GreenSky loans and commercial FHA warehouse lines. When these loans are excluded, our ACL coverage increased to 1.36% compared to 1.21% at the end of the prior quarter.

And with that, I'll turn the call back over to Jeff. Jeff?

Thanks, Eric. We'll wrap up with a few comments on our near-term outlook and priorities. First and foremost, we will continue to focus on maintaining strong capital and liquidity positions. We will also continue to capitalize on those areas where we see loan demand in the current environment. Equipment finance continues to have a strong pipeline, and we have additional opportunities to expand our commercial lending relationship with Dwight Capital. As a result, we believe that we'll see another quarter of growth in average loan balances, although our end-of-period loan growth might be impacted by volatility that we see in warehouse line utilization and forgiveness of our PPP loan portfolio. And we also continue to see strong demand in residential mortgage lending and should see another good quarter of revenue from this group.

From an operations perspective, we will be focused on implementing our branch network and corporate facilities reduction plan, ensuring that we provide a smooth transition for customers using new locations.

As we approach the end of 2020, while this has been an extremely challenging year due to the pandemic, it's also been one that has been extremely productive for the company in terms of repositioning and refocusing our franchise on areas of the business that we believe present the best opportunities for future growth and deliver the most attractive returns. With the changes we have made and the improved operating leverage that has resulted, we feel that we have made important progress in positioning Midland to deliver more consistent financial performance and earnings growth as the economy strengthens.

With that, we'll be happy to answer any questions you might have. Operator, please open the call.

(Operator Instructions) Our first question comes from Michael Schiavone of KBW.

So you guys had some nice loan growth in the quarter from 3 different verticals. Can you just provide some more color on the main drivers and then discuss the pipelines? And with the growth, how sustainable is the growth going forward?

Yes. I mean, we saw nice growth in consumer loans in our GreenSky relationship, and that's a relationship where we sort of set limits, if you will, and we increased the limits in the quarter. So I think there'll be a little bit -- it could be a little bit of growth in that area, but it's something that we sort of control. Eric talked about we sold some portfolios in that group. So as the volume comes down a little heavier than we would like, we were able to partner with GreenSky and sell some of those loans at par, which I think continues to support the fact that there's very limited credit loss in that portfolio.

I think there's opportunity on the commercial FHA warehouse lines that those businesses are seeing some pretty good activity. So I would expect some nice draws in this quarter. And the equipment finance business continues to have a very strong pipeline. Fourth quarter is typically their strongest quarter. So we would continue to see similar activity in the fourth quarter as we did in the third quarter.

Great. And can you also share some color on the new relationship with Dwight Capital and what type of revenue and deposit growth opportunities we might expect?

I don't want to get real specific on customers on an earnings call. But I think what we said in the call is we've got a warehouse line with them, and you'll start to see it. I mean, we've got another customer as well in that space. So -- and we'll, as we move forward, sort of call that out as the balances move in and out. But those couple of companies that we provide financing to, they need a lot of line availability in the hundreds of millions of dollar type range. So we have -- so that's the warehouse lines.

And then just like we had with Love Funding, we bridged -- we did some commercial loan bridging from an origination of a loan, hold it on the balance sheet for a period of time and then take it to the secondary market. So we'll also provide that type of financing when needed to that customer as well. So I think there's a good opportunity to generate some revenue with that new customer and offset some of the revenue and earnings loss from Love Funding.

Okay. That's helpful. And then final one. Do you expect that the capital can start to build from here, just given pretax preprovision earnings outlook should improve after all the cost initiatives? And then also, what is your appetite for continued share repurchases versus other uses of capital at this point?

Yes. So we're trying to -- that's a balance for us. We're -- we want to build capital. But with our stock trading at $0.70 on the dollar, there's a small appetite there to repurchase some shares each quarter. So we're sort of balancing that as we move forward with the idea that we'd like to build -- need to build our tangible common equity ratios.

Now our bank capital ratios are very strong, and we hold a lot of liquidity at our holding company. So from an overall capital position, we feel really good, but we do need to build some better ratios at the holding company level. We'll do that through earnings. And that improved earnings and improved pretax preprovision is going to help with that.

(Operator Instructions) Our next question comes from Nathan Race of Piper Sandler.

I was hoping to just follow up on the operating expense discussion. Eric, appreciate your guidance for the first quarter. I guess I'm just curious if there's going to be some redundant costs, just given that you guys are kind of working through those branch optimizations here in 4Q, which may carry over into 1Q and just how we should kind of think about the core run rate as we head into the second quarter of '21.

Do you want me to take that? Yes. So I think we've gotten some nice cost saves through both the branch rationalization and office rationalization and Love Funding. We've had a really good expense year in terms of -- we've had a nice medical cost year. Our incentive plans are half of what they would normally be in a normal year. And so we're sort of projecting those would sort of come back to '19 levels. And so there's some expense headwind when you compare to 2020. And maybe that's -- maybe what you're trying to get at is thinking that the quarterly run rate might be less than a $39 million to $40 million run rate. But there are some expense headwinds that we're seeing as we head into 2021.

Okay. Got it. That's helpful. Appreciate that, Jeff. And then just changing gears on credit. The provision has been pretty stable last few quarters. I guess, obviously, it was elevated this quarter with the commercial real estate, credits and so forth. Those 3 isolated incidents, it seems like. How should we be thinking about additional reserve build just given the macro inputs that factor into your CECL model and just given how you guys are seeing deferrals trend at this point and just overall changes in criticized and classified loans as well, at least in the fourth quarter, I suppose?

Yes. I mean, we continue to give a better look at deferrals. And as that starts to narrow, you get a better look at where you might have real problems, right? So I think what we said at the end of last quarter, that provisioning in the back part of the year would be similar to the first part of the year. And I think we probably continue to see it that way. So hopefully, that helps you.

Our next question comes from Cooper Brown with Stephens.

This is Cooper on for Terry. Just wanted to quickly touch on the equipment finance portfolio. I think you mentioned you're expecting some growth going forward like you saw this quarter. Specifically, it was from construction and manufacturing. Any additional industries that are worth noting that you might see to get demand from?

I think those are the sectors -- we think we're -- we have a well-diversified approach to the equipment finance business. We think we're in areas that have some growth. Obviously, the shuttle bus area is sort of shut down. But there's -- we're seeing good demand in construction and manufacturing. So it's in those sectors.

Okay. Got it. And then just quickly, do you -- can you provide the total size of the transit and ground passenger portfolio where I think deferrals are elevated within the -- within equipment finance?

Yes. We know the deferrals. I don't know what the total portfolio is, but it's -- the majority of that portfolio is in deferral.

Great. Okay. Okay. And then just finally, I think you guys touched on some opportunities to help the NIM out in this coming quarter. With the CD maturities, how are things looking for early '21? And are there any other deposit cost reduction opportunities over the next several quarters?

Yes. I mean, we're through most of the deposit reductions. There are still CDs that we have that will continue to roll down even as we go into 2021, I think as much as $400 million that's going to mature next year or within the next 12 months, maybe that's what I was just looking at, that will roll down over time. So -- and that's really the only area at this point where there's opportunity. I mean, maybe it's a few basis points, a couple of basis points here and there. But for the most part, in the last 2 quarters, we've gotten our deposit costs down to reflect really where the market is right now.

Our next question comes from David Konrad of D.A. Davidson.

I just had a quick follow-up question on the NIM. You just kind of filled in the questions on the CD side. But on the asset side, I thought loan yields held up remarkably well. Just curious on the equipment finance, kind of a front book, back book. What's the current yields you're booking now versus the portfolio yields? Is there a gap there? And maybe the same question for the securities portfolio for maybe if there's any pressure on that as we look into next year?

They're -- I'm pretty sure, and you might need to look it up, but I'm pretty sure that our portfolio yield is a little higher than what we're putting new production on today. But new production in that business is north of [4%,] probably pushing [4.5%,] and we've been able to increase spreads over the last 3 to 4 months in that area as well. So although we're losing some yield as that portfolio pays down and we put new on, that spread, that difference isn't significant.

And then on the securities part?

Securities, yes. Right. I mean, it's rolling. I mean, Eric, you talked about it. It's rolling. It's rolling down.

Yes. David, on the securities portfolio, that yield continues to drop. We've been looking at new purchase opportunities, and those are in the range of 100 to 140 basis points depending on what type of security and the duration. So yes, we're continuing to expect that to roll down a little bit over the course of the next few quarters.

Okay. But then I guess the flip side of that is if you can deploy some of the cash at probably 10 bps into the leasing portfolio, that will help offset some of those pressures?

Correct.

We show no further questions. I'd like to turn the call back over to management for closing remarks.

All right. Thanks, everybody, for joining today, and we'll see everybody in 2021. Thanks.

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.