LKQ Corp (LKQ) 2025 Q4 法說會逐字稿

內容摘要

  1. 摘要
    • Q4 營收 33 億美元,年增 2.7%;調整後 EPS 為 0.59 美元,低於去年同期(去年含一次性法律和解收益 0.10 美元);全年調整後 EPS 3.01 美元,落在 10 月指引低端
    • 2026 年指引:調整後 EPS 2.90-3.20 美元,Parts & Services 有機營收成長 -0.5% 至 +1.5%;自由現金流預估 7-8.5 億美元
    • 盤後市場反應未提及;管理層強調現有股價未反映公司長期價值,董事會已啟動全面性策略檢討
  2. 成長動能 & 風險
    • 成長動能:
      • 北美持續擴大與 MSO(多店體系)及保險商合作,市占率提升,Bumper to Bumper 業務在加拿大持續成長
      • Specialty 事業群連續兩季恢復有機成長,汽車與 RV 配件需求回溫,且潛在出售進展順利
      • 歐洲積極推動私有品牌(private label)滲透率,SKU 精簡與系統整合預計帶來成本優化
      • AI 技術應用於定價與庫存管理,提升價格反應速度與利潤空間
    • 風險:
      • 北美 repairable claims 持續低迷,關稅壓力與價格競爭導致毛利率下滑
      • 歐洲消費信心疲弱、總體經濟不確定與激烈價格競爭,短期營收與利潤承壓
      • 私有品牌推廣初期需以低價促銷,短期壓抑營收與毛利
      • 2026 年市場復甦尚未明確,指引採保守假設,若需求未回升將影響成長
  3. 核心 KPI / 事業群
    • 北美:Q4 有機營收按日減少 1%,全年減少 1.9%;repairable claims Q1 年減約 10%,Q4 改善至 -4%~ -6%
    • 歐洲:Q4 有機營收按日減少 5.2%,全年減少 3.9%;EBITDA margin 8.3%,年減 180bps
    • Specialty:Q4 有機營收成長 7.8%,全年成長 2.7%;EBITDA margin 4.5%,年增 40bps
    • 全年自由現金流 8.47 億美元,超越預期
  4. 財務預測
    • 2026 年 Parts & Services 有機營收成長預估 -0.5% 至 +1.5%,北美略為正成長,歐洲略為負成長,Specialty 中個位數成長
    • 2026 年調整後 EPS 指引 2.90-3.20 美元
    • 2026 年自由現金流預估 7-8.5 億美元,資本支出維持紀律
  5. 法人 Q&A
    • Q: 北美市場出現哪些復甦跡象?何時有望回到平衡?
      A: 2025 年保險費下調約 6%,預期持續下降,將帶動 repairable claims 回升。1 月二手車價年增 2.4%,大型保險商預期下半年理賠件數增加,均有利於修復需求回升。
    • Q: 歐洲市場競爭與銷售表現如何?私有品牌推進狀況?
      A: 整體需求仍疲弱,競爭對手價格壓力大。Q4 私有品牌推動更積極,採用入門價格促進滲透,短期壓抑營收與毛利,但長期有利於毛利與庫存周轉。
    • Q: 與 MSO 合作進展及市占率提升情形?
      A: 2025 年與 MSO 合作量成長達雙位數,市占率明顯提升,MSO 客戶量體大、合約推動替代件使用率提升,帶動 LKQ 效率與銷量。2026 年預期續有成長。
    • Q: 歐洲 EBITDA margin 擴張 200bps 目標在需求低迷下是否可達?
      A: 大部分改善來自可控的成本優化(SKU 精簡、系統整合等),即使營收略為下滑,仍有信心達成 200bps 擴張,2026 年有望接近雙位數 EBITDA margin。
    • Q: AI 技術如何協助定價與競爭?
      A: AI 協助即時分析 SKU、區域與需求,動態調整價格,提升慢速品項利潤,快速反應市場變化,增強競爭力。

完整原文

使用警語:中文譯文來源為 Google 翻譯,僅供參考,實際內容請以英文原文為主

  • Operator

  • Hello, everyone, and thank you for joining the LKQ Corporation's fourth-quarter and full year 2025 earnings conference call. My name is Lucy, and I'll be coordinating your call today. (Operator Instructions)

  • It is now my pleasure to hand over to your host, Joe Boutross, Vice President of Investor Relations to begin. Please go ahead.

  • Joseph Boutross - Vice President, Investor Relations

  • Good morning, everyone, and welcome to LKQ's fourth-quarter and full year 2025 earnings conference call. With us today are Justin Jude, LKQ's President and Chief Executive Officer; and Rick Galloway, our Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Please refer to the LKQ website at lkqcorp.com for our earnings release issued this morning as well as the accompanying slide presentation for this call. Now let me quickly cover the safe harbor.

  • Some of the statements that we make today may be considered forward-looking. These include statements regarding our expectations, beliefs, hopes, intentions or strategies. Actual events or results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. We assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statements.

  • For more information, please refer to the risk factors discussed in our Form 10-K and subsequent reports filed with the SEC. During this call, we will present both GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP measures is included in today's earnings press release and slide presentation. Hopefully, everyone has had a chance to look at our 8-K, which we filed with the SEC earlier today. And as normal, we are planning to file our 10-K in the coming days.

  • And with that, I'm happy to turn the call over to our CEO, Justin Jude.

  • Justin Jude - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Thanks, Joe, and good morning to everyone joining us on the call today. Before we get into the quarter, I want to start with an important message to our LKQ team. This past year tested us in meaningful ways, and yet it also showcased the strength, discipline and resilience of LKQ. We accomplished a lot in 2025 and are focused on keeping this momentum going in 2026.

  • In February of last year, I committed to delivering $825 million of free cash flow in 2025 and despite multiple headwinds, our colleagues around the world executed, adaptive and deliberate at commitment. Importantly, we also made meaningful progress simplifying our portfolio. The divestiture of our self-service segment was a key element of the simplification strategy we outlined at our 2024 Investor Day, and we delivered on that commitment in 2025.

  • Transactions of this scale and complexity requires significant leadership focus and discipline executing successfully in the midst of a challenging year across our global enterprise reflects the strength of our teams and our ability to deliver against our strategy.

  • I am proud of the outcome and our continued focus on creating long-term value for shareholders. The headwinds of 2025 were real and significant, a continued decline in recurrable claims, the impact of tariffs and persistent softness in the European market. Any one of those would have been a challenge on its own. Taken together, they created a difficult environment. And yet our people found ways to serve customers, maintain discipline and deliver on our free cash flow commitment, that is an exceptional achievement and a testament to the grid of our employees.

  • As many of you are aware, in late January of 2026, LKQ's Board of Directors formally initiated a comprehensive review. Given the strength of our underlying performance even in the year defined by significant headwinds, it has become increasingly clear that our current stock price does not reflect the true value or long-term potential of our businesses.

  • The board and I, along with our entire management team, are aligned in our confidence that LKQ's future and that comment compels us to explore whether alternative structures could unlock value more effectively than the market is recognizing today. This review will run in parallel with our relentless focus on operational execution. Please note that we will not be answering any questions or commenting further on our strategic review process until further disclosure is appropriate or required.

  • Let me focus for a few moments on the operating highlights in the fourth quarter and a full year across our business. In North America, organic revenue decreased 1% on a per day basis in the fourth quarter and decreased 1.9% for the full year 2025, reflecting a continued environment of weak preparable claims. Even so, we gained market share by deepening relationships with MSOs and insurers, maintain pricing discipline and leverage the scale and breadth of our branch and distribution networks to outperform repairable claims.

  • Throughout 2025, each quarter, we saw improving comparables. Comparable claims were down approximately 10% in Q1 and improved sequentially each quarter. In Q4, repairable claims were down in the range of negative 4% to 6% demonstrating steady recovery from the early year low point. Our Bumper to Bumper hard parts business continue to grow in Canada, and we plan to expand this business further, given the still fragment do-it-for-me hard parts market across North America.

  • Now I would like to provide you with an update on our performance in Europe. In 2025, our organic revenue experienced a decline of 5.2% on a per day basis in the fourth quarter and a 3.9% decrease for the full year. This was primarily due to continued weak consumer confidence, macroeconomic uncertainty and competitive pricing pressures.

  • In response, we implemented a more aggressive pricing strategy in select markets to protect share and accelerated our focus on private label growth. We expanded private label inventory in the fourth quarter with introductory pricing to drive adoption. While these actions have pressured revenue and margins in the near term, we believe they will deliver meaningful long-term benefits.

  • We also completed a review of more than 85% of our Europe SKUs portfolio, bringing the total delisted SKUs to 71,000 or roughly half of our overall target. While we anticipate eventual market recovery were not being passive, our team is proactively making bold decisions. This year, we're streamlining key business areas to improve cost efficiencies through targeted productivity initiatives.

  • Our efforts include fast tracking our integration plan throughout Europe, streamlining our product lineup, sharpening our go-to-market approach and applying successful tactics from our North American strategy. And we are on track to go live with a key system integration in early Q2 of 2026, which will serve as a significant catalyst for cost reduction opportunities.

  • As CEO, I want to express my disappointment in Europe's results. While we never promised that progress would be linear and understand the risks involved in our three-year strategy, I remain fully confident in our team and the decisive actions we've taken. We are committed to overcoming these setbacks and delivering sustainable value for our shareholders. We remain confident in our leading position across our core markets and I remain committed to delivering the margin expansion we have previously communicated as we execute through near-term challenges.

  • Now turning to Specialty. This segment remains a strong performer, delivering 7.8% organic revenue growth on a per day basis in Q4 and 2.7% growth for the full year 2025. We've seen improving results from targeted initiatives to sharpen focus, improve pricing execution and strengthen channel relationships. As discussed last quarter, we returned to positive organic growth for the first time in 14 quarters and sustained momentum again this quarter. We continue to move forward with the previously announced process to explore the potential sale of our Specialty segment.

  • Interest in our Specialty segment remains robust and we expect to provide updates in the first half of 2026 as appropriate. In 2025, our teams gained share in North America while maintaining pricing discipline. We grew our Bumper to Bumper business, made progress on our European initiatives simplified the portfolio through the sale of our former self-service segment and grew free cash flow.

  • We entered 2026 with stronger management teams, pricing and cost measures supporting margins ongoing, efficiency improvements and productivity initiatives supported by a recently approved restructuring plan and early signs of demand improvement across our businesses.

  • With that, I'll turn the call over to Rick to walk through the financial results for the quarter in more detail.

  • Rick Galloway - Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

  • Thank you, Justin, and welcome to everyone joining us today. Before turning to the fourth quarter, I'd like to echo Justin's comments on some of our accomplishments from 2025. We completed the sale of our self-service business, further simplifying the portfolio and sharpening our focus on core assets. We delivered strong free cash flow in what remained a challenging market environment, and we continue to aggressively reduce costs through restructuring and productivity initiatives to better align our cost structure with demand.

  • In Europe, these actions improve the efficiency of our logistics footprint and reduced facilities and overhead costs. In North America, we focused on rationalizing overhead to more efficiently serve our customer base.

  • Turning to fourth quarter results for continuing operations. We reported revenues of $3.3 billion, up 2.7% year over year. Diluted earnings per share were $0.29, which includes a $52 million or approximately $0.20 per share goodwill impairment related to our specialty business. On an adjusted basis, diluted EPS was $0.59 compared to $0.78 in the prior year on a comparable basis. It's worth highlighting that the prior year included a $0.10 per share benefit from a nonrecurring legal settlement in North America.

  • Our balanced capital allocation strategy contributed positively to earnings with share repurchases and interest expense each adding $0.01 and favorable FX and tax rates contributing an additional $0.02 each. These benefits were more than offset by organic revenue declines and lower EBITDA in North America and Europe. For the full year, diluted EPS was $2.31 and adjusted diluted EPS was $3.01, at the lower end of the range we guided to in October.

  • Free cash flow in the quarter was $274 million, bringing full year free cash flow to $847 million, exceeding our expectations and driven primarily by trade working capital initiatives. We returned $116 million to shareholders during the quarter through share repurchases and dividends.

  • In North America, top line performance remained solid despite headwinds from repairable claims and tariffs. And we believe we continue to gain share. That said, pricing remains competitive, and our ability to fully pass through higher cost while maintaining margin continues to be constrained. Segment EBITDA margin was 12.7%, down 380 basis points year over year. Gross margin accounted for approximately 140 basis points of the decline driven by tariff pass-through dynamics and customer mix.

  • Overhead leverage accounted for approximately 260 basis points, primarily reflecting the impact from the prior year nonrecurring favorable legal settlement that I mentioned earlier. Importantly, our ongoing productivity and restructuring actions continue to support cost discipline in the current demand environment.

  • Looking ahead to 2026. We expect EBITDA margins to be slightly down from 2025 as we annualize the impact from tariffs. In Europe, revenue pressure weighed on margins. and segment EBITDA margin declined 180 basis points to 8.3%. Gross margin declined approximately 160 basis points due to heightened price competition and higher input costs. While lower volumes pressured overhead leverage, productivity and restructuring initiatives helped offset this impact, positioning the business well when market conditions normalize.

  • Our expectation is that Europe will get back to near double-digit EBITDA in 2026 with aggressive execution on our strategic initiatives and further cost actions. Specialty delivered an EBITDA margin of 4.5%, approximately 40 basis points better than last year, while mix weighed modestly on gross margin, strong cost control drove favorable overhead leverage. With two consecutive quarters of organic growth, we believe Specialty is well positioned as its end markets continue to recover.

  • Turning to the balance sheet. We paid down more than $500 million of debt in the fourth quarter following the self-service divestiture and strong free cash flow generation. With the help of our lending group, we also extended the maturity of our revolver to December 2030 and our Canadian term loan to March 2029, improving our maturity profile while preserving the liquidity and flexibility.

  • At year-end, total debt was $3.7 billion with leverage at 2.4 times EBITDA, down sequentially. We remain committed to maintaining a strong balance sheet and our investment-grade rating. Our effective interest rate was 5.0%, slightly lower than the prior quarter. In total, we returned $469 million to shareholders in 2025, 55% of free cash flow exceeding the capital return commitment we outlined in our 2024 Investor Day.

  • Turning to guidance for 2026. Our outlook reflects current market conditions and recent trends and assumes tariffs in effect as of February 1. And Importantly, we believe it is prudent to not reflect a meaningful market recovery in our guidance until we begin to see sustained improvements in underlying volumes.

  • As a result, our assumptions remain intentionally conservative. While we are cautious on demand, our confidence in the outlook is grounded in execution, particularly the actions we are taking on costs, productivity and capital allocation, which are largely within our control.

  • That said, we are encouraged by several early indicators that could support improved demand over time, including easing insurance premium pressures, improve consumer confidence in automotive and continued stabilization and improvement in used car prices. While these trends are not yet reflected in our guidance, we believe they represent positive developments for LKQ as volumes recover.

  • We expect organic Parts and Services revenue growth between negative 0.5% and a positive 1.5%. North America is expected to be slightly positive Europe remains challenged and is expected to be slightly negative and specialty is expected to grow closer to mid-single digits. Adjusted diluted EPS is expected to be in the range of $2.90 to $3.20. We remain focused on offsetting volume and inflationary pressures through productivity initiatives, additional restructuring actions and disciplined capital allocation.

  • As part of our continued focus on execution and discipline, we recently approved a restructuring plan designed to better position our cost structure to more efficiently serve our strategic markets and support improved performance over time. This plan is expected to result in cost of approximately $60 million to $70 million in 2026 and supports our broader strategic transformation objectives, including sharpening our go-to-market approach, rationalizing our logistics footprint and further consolidating back office functions.

  • We expect these actions will generate more than $50 million in annualized cost savings with over half to be realized in 2026. Free cash flow is expected to be between $700 million and $850 million. The midpoint reflects more normalized working capital expectations compared to 2025, while maintaining disciplined capital spending. As in prior years, we expect the first quarter to be a use of cash followed by positive cash generation throughout the remainder of the year. Thank you for your time.

  • And with that, I will turn the call back to Justin for his closing remarks.

  • Justin Jude - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Thanks, Rick. Before we begin Q&A, I'd like to note some positive early signs of improving market conditions in North America. We're seeing lower insurance premiums, rising used car prices and major insurers suggesting claims could return to historical patterns by late 2026.

  • At the same time, as I've emphasized on our second quarter and 2025 call, we will not build a recovery into our base case until we see it clearly materialize in the marketplace. We are being cautious and conservative as we enter 2026.

  • Stepping back, I'm highly optimistic about the future of our company. We begin this year on stronger operational footing with a more focused organization. Our foundation is solid, our opportunities are compelling and our people continue to prove why LKQ is such a powerful organization.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • Scott Stember, Roth Capital

  • Scott Stember - Equity Analyst

  • Good morning and thanks for taking my questions. Just a follow-up on the comments about, I guess, some potential green shoots in North America. Just trying to maybe dive into that a little bit more. What are you hearing? And I know that there's a chance that maybe by the end of this year, but just trying to get a sense of the reality of when we could actually start to see things balance out.

  • Justin Jude - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yes. Thanks for the questions. We're not only hearing it, but we're seeing it. I mean if you paid attention to some of the insurance premiums in 2025, they've been reduced around 6%. We expect those numbers to continue to drop, which will make insurance more affordable, then consumers will lead to more reactions, as we talked about in the past, isn't really down. It's just a repairable claims. So people use insurance to get their vehicle repaired as insurance becomes more affordable, and we are seeing it become more affordable. That will be good for us.

  • I think a large, a couple of large carriers also mentioned that they're expecting to see claims increase in the back half of the year, which will drive their profits down, but obviously lead to more repairable claims and more cars getting fixed. In addition, it's one month. But in January, we actually saw the, saw the used car value increase 2.5% over December but really up 2.5% or 2.4% year over year. So those are good things that will do more cars getting repaired. So those are the kind of green shoots we talked about.

  • Scott Stember - Equity Analyst

  • Got it. And then a follow-up question about Europe. Can you maybe talk about performance, both sales and I guess, competition by market?

  • Justin Jude - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yeah. We won't disclose that's by market, but we are still seeing a lot of pressure in the overall demand, just the economies and most of the countries we operate are still struggling. A lot of consumers are cutting spending that is leading to aggressive price cutting by some of our competition. I would say we were a little bit more aggressive in Q4 on combating price that we have in the past to make sure that we hold share. We intentionally increased our private label.

  • So we've talked about it in the past to try to drive our private label to increase that adoption, we pushed it out in new markets and we pushed new product lines in our private label with introductory pricing. So that came in more aggressive as we get that adoption rate up, and we see the volume increase on our private label, we can then start moving pricing up.

  • And as you can imagine, margins long term are better on private label, trade working capital is better on private label. But as we move in that private label and we're replacing some of those tertiary brands, we're not replacing the primary brands, but we replace those second and third-tier brands, we are, we got a little bit more aggressive on prices of those to make sure that we're not left with excess inventory. So some of that was our own doing intentionally. But the majority of the headwinds that we see over there is still just market demand.

  • Scott Stember - Equity Analyst

  • Got it. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Jash Patwa, JPMorgan.

  • Jash Patwa - Analyst

  • Hi, good morning, and thanks for taking my questions. I wanted to start with your comments on expanding relationships with MSOs. Could you maybe peel the onion a bit further and provide some color on the developments and share gains with MSOs over the past year. Additionally, I'm curious if you could share any insights on the differential an alternative fast utilization between MSO and non-MSO customers. Thanks and I have a follow-up.

  • Justin Jude - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yes. Thanks, Jash. On the MSO side, I mean, if you look at the stats, repairable claims, we said were down around that 4% to 6% range, which is good news. It's improving. It's still down, but it's moving from prior quarters.

  • But if you look at our volumes with MSOs compared to our volume with non-MSOs and then we back into what we feel market share gains have been had with MSOs. We're up, I would say, in the teens with the MSOs from an actual volume. Most MSOs that we talk to are probably flat to slightly up a few percent.

  • So if you look at our share of wallet with the MSOs that is outperforming their overall volume growth and we're up with every MSO that we have today. So we just feel that the value prop that LKQ offers, competitive price, great quality of products, great service levels. It allows us to continue to win with the MSOs.

  • We don't, we won't report any exact stats of APU by the MSOs, but for sure, with the MSOs, they have more direct contracts with insurance carriers that drives more alternative part utilization as part of their agreement with the insurance company. So we do see, as MSOs gain share, the APU grows. And so that's great for us.

  • And the MSOs, as you can imagine, have much, much more volume at a rooftop level than an non-MSO. So we gained efficiencies just by delivering more products to them. So when the MSOs grow, it's been good for us.

  • Jash Patwa - Analyst

  • Understood. That's helpful. And then just as a quick follow-up. We're starting to deciding to enter an anticipatedly strong tax refund season that could bring customers back into collision repair shops. Wondering if you sense that optimism from your customers, maybe anecdotally or in terms of sourcing activity to date? Thank you.

  • Justin Jude - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yeah. I mean that's a possibility. We haven't really talked with our customers about it. That hasn't been brought up, but that could be another green shoot that could benefit us.

  • Jash Patwa - Analyst

  • Okay, thank you and good luck.

  • Justin Jude - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Thanks.

  • Operator

  • Alex Jasiek, Stephens Inc.

  • Alex Jasiek - Analyst

  • Good morning. Yeah, thanks for taking my question. Justin, one of the things that jumped out at us when we visited your facility in Dallas in December was just a growing presence of EVs and now that we have a pretty big EV lease return cycle, and guessing there's not quite the robust parts network in EVs. Maybe you can just speak a little bit about potential tailwinds on EVs to your salvage business and just your all parts business.

  • Justin Jude - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yeah, I mean on the EV side, you would have seen probably a little bit more increase in EV just in a specific location than maybe in other areas because we have some agreements with a few OEMs where when the vehicle gets wrecked or total out, it comes to us. If you think about dismantling some of these EVs, it's very dangerous.

  • The touch in a wrong terminal could cause fires and what have you. So they're very, they're very, a lot of the OEs and some of the insurance companies are really concerned about dismantling these vehicles. So we tend to get a more lion's share of those EVs just because of our quality, our overall service level and just our coverage.

  • So we do see LKQ being able to capitalize on the EVs as they get out of the market, whether that's from providing parts off of it hoods and fenders doesn't what have you to other collision shops or some of the components on the recycling side. There's a big push to ensure that the battery and some of the commodities that go into the battery production or the motors get left in the US.

  • And so whether we're talking to folks in DC or talking to some of the manufacturers of the battery or manufacturers of the vehicles, they become very interested in talking LKQ just because of our coverage and our capabilities. So we see it as a good tailwind for us.

  • Alex Jasiek - Analyst

  • And then as a follow-up on Europe for you, Rick, you guys have talked about the 200 basis point opportunity, and that was kind of predicated on, call it, flattish organic revenue. We're not needing organic revenue growth. I'm just wondering, obviously, at some point, there's a fine line as revenue leaks a little, but, and then I also know the new team in place in Europe has found maybe some chunky stuff on efficiencies and costs. Just could you talk a little bit about the relationship of what's the art of the possible in terms of getting EBITDA margin expansion on a slightly negative revenue environment?

  • Rick Galloway - Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

  • Yeah, Jeff, good question. The opportunity we have, the 200 basis points expansion that we talked about is mostly within our control. The vast majority is within our control. So, when we're looking at the number, we're starting at a lower baseline than what we thought before. However, the 200 basis points of expansion is still within our control.

  • And we're looking at the opportunity we have in the back half of the year, in particular, when I mentioned in my previous comments that we have the SKU rationalization opportunity, the reduction that we have that Justin mentioned in our overall reduction of SKUs that we've eliminated.

  • We've eliminated over half of those items that we're going after. So in the back half of the year, we're expecting some of those to come through. I would still say we're still optimistic that we have the 200 basis points of margin expansion.

  • We're going to be close to the double digits that we thought within 2026 and still aiming towards that 12% number that Justin has talked about in the past, that's still within range. So obviously, we want the market to recover, but we don't need a whole lot of market recovery in order for us to get that expansion that we've been talking about.

  • Alex Jasiek - Analyst

  • Great. Well, thanks very much for taking my questions and best of luck in the first quarter.

  • Rick Galloway - Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

  • Thanks, Jack.

  • Operator

  • Craig Kennison, Baird.

  • Craig Kennison - Analyst

  • Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking my question. Justin, I wanted to dig into margin in North America. I mean you talked about competition, but LKQ was significantly larger than any single competitor there. So I'm trying to understand the source of that competition and how pervasive it might be across your competitive landscape?

  • Justin Jude - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yeah. The uniqueness of LKQ when it comes to pricing and competition, really against most other aftermarket or most automotive sectors is we have both the competitors that provide alternative parts, so the salvage yards, the aftermarket distribution businesses as well as the OEMs.

  • And when you're in a compressed market, repairable claims are down, everybody is fighting for more volume. Sometimes folks feel that they're losing share, they start getting a little bit more aggressive on pricing. And so we see that on the OEM side.

  • We see that on the aftermarket side. We still feel our right to win is better. We might have to give up prices on some parts such as A and B movers, but then we see the offset on some of the slowing stuff that we carry and our competition doesn't necessarily carry that in-stock quickly to the customer. So we still feel that there's some pricing competition, but we can navigate through that using some of the AI technology that we've been implementing with one of our partners to just help us react quicker to that.

  • Craig Kennison - Analyst

  • Thanks, and maybe you could just shed more light on your use of AI and how it can impact your pricing algorithms?

  • Justin Jude - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yeah. We had a pretty good system before. We've leveraged on, like I said, a partner to help us get more real time, more reactive looking at SKU, looking at SKU down to a regional level, maybe even a shop level, understanding the demand. I mean if you look at the data that it's existing out there, understanding the market, when I talked about repairable claims, we probably have more data combined than any other entity out there.

  • And so how do we take that data, leveraging what the demand is, leveraging what the opportunity is and acting real time on pricing to make sure that we can have a right to win and we're seeing even more opportunity, as I mentioned, on kind of C&D movers where we have it and everytime at the quote we're getting the sale.

  • And so there's an opportunity for us to push price on that, and maybe we need to offset price on some of the faster-moving stuff. But, it's just becoming more real time down to the SKU level down at the location level of the shop. So we have good sophistication to make sure that we have the right to win.

  • Craig Kennison - Analyst

  • Thanks.

  • Operator

  • John Babcock, Barclays.

  • John Babcock - Equity Analyst

  • Hey (inaudible) and thanks for taking my questions. I just want to delve a little bit more into Europe. Can you just talk about the factors that impacted the business in 4Q versus what happened in 3Q. Just want to understand that a little bit more. And also if you could break that out between market-related factors and company-specific factors that would be useful.

  • Justin Jude - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yeah. Thanks, John. I mean, the overall competition or I would say competition, the market continued to deteriorate in Q3 to Q4. The overall uncertainty, consumer spending was down. The competitive pressure continued on. Some of the headwinds on the revenue side were somewhat self-inflicted intentionally.

  • That was kind of in our guidance when we looked at the overall EPS that we may have to do this. And, so the majority of the headwind on the volume is market. And when that market comes down, competitors get a little more aggressive on price. Once again, some of the headwinds was self-inflicted, where we intentionally tried to replace and did replace volume of private label against the terrtiory brands that exist out there.

  • And when you're introducing the new products and you want to make sure that customer switches that brand over to you, we came out with introductory pricing. So there's a little bit of that headwind was us just getting more aggressive on pricing with the price we get the adoption rate up. In addition, as that's replacing some of the delisted product, we cut the prices on some of that delisted product to make sure that it moves off the shelf and we didn't take any excess in obsolete.

  • And so some of that stuff we will correct or I want to say, correct because it was intentional. We will be able to move the pricing up on private label as the volume has grown. As a percentage of revenue, private label was roughly still flat from Q3 to Q4. But if you look at the actual volume of units, that number increased to around 25%. So we're seeing market reduction on the private label. We have the pricing power to be able to push that pricing up as the adoption comes.

  • But it's still, the majority of it is just that market headwind. But we're not standing still. As we mentioned and Rick talked about, we're still working on the integration to get the cost out of the business to make sure that when the market does recover, we'll be even that much stronger.

  • John Babcock - Equity Analyst

  • Alright, thanks. And in terms of '26, I mean, it sounds like you're expecting to get back up into the double digits there. Is pricing going to be part of that? Or what else are going to be the big drivers that are going to get you there?

  • Justin Jude - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Pricing will be part of that for sure. The majority of it is going to be things that we can control on the cost side. So I mentioned ER migration that we're going to do in a region in early Q2, that will be a catalyst to help us drive significant cost cutting on the business. So we are working at continuing to drive productivity initiatives up, get some of the cost out, and we will be able to get some price as well in 2026. But the majority of it is things that we can control on the price, I'm sorry, on the cost cutting side.

  • John Babcock - Equity Analyst

  • Okay, thanks. And then just last question before I turn it over. Just on reparable claims in North America. Just kind of curious like how you're thinking about that in '26? Do you expect the trend to improve steadily. What are you thinking there?

  • Rick Galloway - Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

  • Yeah. So in our number, John, what we've got is we said we're not going to put a lot of improvement into our forecast. So as Justin mentioned, there's a lot of good news that we're seeing, but until we see it actually in our numbers, we're not going to put it in our forecast or in our budget or guidance. So what we've got is similar to what we had in Q4. We're assuming that kind of goes through the full year of 2026 with a little bit of improvement throughout the year. So the back half of the year, we expect to be a little bit better than the first half of the year.

  • John Babcock - Equity Analyst

  • Okay, very helpful. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Bret Jordan, Jefferies.

  • Bret Jordan - Analyst

  • Hey, good morning, guys. Comment about up with every MSO, I guess, market share in '25. Do you expect that to be the case in '26. Is there anything out there sort of moving around on longer-term volume contracts in the competitive landscape?

  • Justin Jude - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • No. I mean we saw our share and our volume growth throughout 2025. Some contracts just became renewed. I don't see any risk, if anything, maybe some more growth on that side just because on a run rate coming out of 2025, we saw good improvement on that.

  • Bret Jordan - Analyst

  • Okay. And then within Specialty. Could you talk about the strength, I mean, obviously, rebounding, is it light vehicle or RV or both, I guess, as you look at maybe divesting that, is it strong across the board, supporting maybe a better valuation? Or is it sort of spotty where you're seeing the recovery?

  • Justin Jude - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • It's across the board, both on the automotive side, the accessory side, obviously, in the RV side. So gets good for us. And that process is still ongoing for the sale. It has been a robust great interest on it. And with the market recovering on both once again, the automotive and the RV, we see that one being pretty positive to turn out.

  • Bret Jordan - Analyst

  • Okay, great, thank you.

  • Operator

  • Gary Prestopino, Barrington.

  • Gary Prestopinno - Analyst

  • Good morning, everyone. If you can answer this question, Justin. And what you're experiencing in Europe, is that more or less just on the content itself? Or does that also include UK operations. So they seem to recall that when you bought Euro Car Parts years and years ago, that was a pretty steady business. So if you could parse that out and if you don't want to do that, I understand.

  • Justin Jude - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yeah. So it is across the board in Europe. I mean there's pockets that are doing a little bit better than others. And UK is one that we talked about in the past that had, the economy was tough over there, consumer spending, (inaudible) spending was low.

  • The good news is we're still seeing vehicle aging grow. But right now, with the environment on the economic side, consumers are just still spending less. So it is across the board that we're seeing some pressure, higher in some areas than others. And I know there are some markets that are in Europe that are positive in when those markets are where we don't operate yet today. But overall, I would say, on average, it's really across all Europe.

  • Gary Prestopinno - Analyst

  • And then just, in Europe, are you doing things with recycled parts there on, in that market? I seem to recall you had some activities going on there versus there's very few recycled parts on the continent itself.

  • Justin Jude - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yeah. One of our initiatives has been to drive salvage or recycled parts over there and leveraging our North American talent and some of our processes over there. We have been in salvage in a very small scale. We've increased that volume with our, with an acquisition of joint venture with Ritchie Bros or Insurance Auto Auction called Cinetic in the UK.

  • We see as we enter that space, there's more and more demand growing for green bars, more used parts. The industry just needs a solid distributor of those parts to make sure that they can deliver on time and quality, and that's what we bring. And so we see that as a good growth opportunity, but we're still in, I would say, in the infancy stage as we introduce more and more recycled into those markets.

  • Gary Prestopinno - Analyst

  • Okay, thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. We have no further questions at the time. So I'd like to hand back to Justin for final remarks.

  • Justin Jude - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Thank you. I mean, for the group, I just want to make sure you guys know we remain highly, highly enthusiastic about our business. Despite the challenges of the environment in 2025, I feel our team successfully executed on our core business strategies. We streamlined our portfolio, generated strong, very strong free cash flow and maintained a disciplined approach on capital allocation. The resilience of our underlying business, coupled with the anticipated market recovery in the latter half of 2026 should translate into positive results. And with that, we will conclude this call. Thank you, everyone, for joining.

  • Operator

  • This concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.