Labcorp Holdings Inc (LH) 2018 Q1 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Q1 2018 LabCorp Earnings Conference Call. (Operator Instructions) As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.

  • I would like to introduce your host for today's conference, Scott Frommer, Vice President of Investor Relations. You may begin.

  • Scott Frommer - VP of IR

  • Good morning, and welcome to LabCorp's First Quarter 2018 Conference Call. As detailed in today's press release, there will be a replay of this conference call available via telephone and Internet.

  • With me today are Dave King, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Glenn Eisenberg, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; Gary Huff, CEO of LabCorp Diagnostics; and John Ratliff, CEO of Covance Drug Development.

  • In addition to our press release, we also furnished Form 8-K this morning that includes additional financial information. Both are available in the Investor Relations section of our website at www.labcorp.com and include a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures discussed during today's call to GAAP.

  • Finally, we are making forward-looking statements during today's call. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to 2018 guidance and related assumptions, the impact of various factors on operating and financial results and the opportunities for future growth.

  • These statements are based upon current expectations and are subject to change based upon various factors that could affect our financial results. Some of these factors are set forth in detail in our 2017 Form 10-K and subsequent forms 10-Q and in the company's other filings with the SEC. We have no obligation to provide any updates to these forward-looking statements even if our expectations change.

  • Now I'll turn the call over to Dave King.

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Thank you, Scott, and good morning. We are off to an impressive start in 2018, once again demonstrating the power of our integrated growth platform. The combination of accelerating organic revenue growth in drug development, strong organic growth in diagnostics despite headwinds from PAMA and weather, and acquisition contributions from both businesses yielded year-over-year revenue growth of 18%. This top line performance, along with the benefits from our LaunchPad initiative and tax reform, translated into adjusted EPS growth of 31%.

  • We expanded margins significantly in Covance and held them for the enterprise. In addition, we fully deployed our free cash flow through share repurchases and a one-time bonus payment to non-bonus-eligible colleagues as a result of tax reform. We are very pleased with our operating performance during the quarter.

  • Our results reflect the adoption of the new revenue recognition accounting standard, ASC 606. Although ASC 606 has no impact on our cash flow, we estimate that it will lower our full year 2018 adjusted EPS by approximately $0.20 to $0.30, which Glenn will discuss in more detail.

  • I want to stress that we are nevertheless maintaining our full year guidance despite this development because our strong first quarter performance, outlook for the balance of the year and progress on key strategic initiatives give us confidence that we will overcome this impact, which is merely due to the accounting change.

  • As we said early in the year, to achieve our guidance, we are relentlessly focused on execution of three priorities: driving profitable growth, integrating key acquisitions and optimizing enterprise margins. We are driving profitable growth by capitalizing on strong customer demand or our differentiated capabilities and strategically investing in new offerings for future growth.

  • In drug development, our investments in people, solutions, technology, therapeutic expertise and infrastructure are resonating with our customers. The objective evidence is another quarter of strong net orders and book-to-bill. Independent evidence comes from a survey of biopharma customers conducted by the Life Science Strategy Group and William Blair in which Covance was recognized as far and away the most improved CRO over the past year. As John Ratliff memorably told me last year, quite simply, we are winning in the market.

  • In diagnostics, our focus on women's health and medical drug monitoring as well as our strategic collaboration with 23andMe contributed to market-leading organic growth. The increased volume helped mitigate the impact from lower reimbursement rates related to PAMA. There are multiple growth opportunities in diagnostics, and we will continue to deploy capital judiciously to maximize the return on our growth investments.

  • Our second priority for 2018 is integrating key acquisitions flawlessly. The integration of Chiltern is largely complete, benefiting customers of both Chiltern and Covance. We have preserved the high-touch customized experience that Chiltern's biotech and emerging pharma customers require while strengthening both Chiltern and Covance's scale, therapeutic expertise and capabilities. In diagnostics, we continue to demonstrate the value of our "be selective and go deep" strategy as partnerships with major health systems such as Mount Sinai and PAML expand to new services and initiatives.

  • Our third priority in 2018 is optimizing our enterprise margins. Besides profitable revenue growth and acquisition integration, our LaunchPad improvement process initiative in both businesses is critical to achieving this goal. LaunchPad centers on fundamentally reengineering service delivery to improve the customer experience while sustainably enhancing margins.

  • During the quarter, we opened a Covance central delivery center in Bangalore, India, an important milestone for expanding our global service delivery model. Global service delivery enhances our proficiencies by standardizing processes and procedures, automating workflows and creating a global platform to reduce expenses and support long-term growth. The impact of Covance LaunchPad is clear in significant Covance margin improvement versus last year.

  • In addition to focusing on these three 2018 priorities, we are also capitalizing on long-term growth opportunities provided by our powerful combination of leading diagnostics and drug development businesses. At our Investor and Analyst Day in February, we identified three strategic initiatives supporting our customers transition to value-based care, enhancing the drug development process and creating a leading consumer engagement platform.

  • I will now discuss highlights in these areas during the quarter.

  • We entered into a comprehensive laboratory collaboration with Appalachian Regional Healthcare, an 11-hospital health system in Kentucky and West Virginia.

  • We expanded our relationship with Mount Sinai to consolidate all of their reference work and streamline their inpatient labs.

  • We delivered another quarter of strong double-digit growth in companion diagnostics, and Covance's backlog in this area now exceeds $300 million.

  • We continue to offer customers the unique ability to develop companion diagnostics as lab developed tests or in collaboration with manufacturers providing IVDs. We are in the process of finalizing an arrangement to offer companion diagnostics globally to meet the requirements of our biopharma customers who wish to sell their medicines outside of the United States.

  • We announced a strategic technology agreement with GlaxoSmithKline that covers several Xcellerate modules on a software-as-a-service basis, including Covance's proprietary risk-based monitoring solution. This software allows sponsors to strategically guide site monitoring resources from trial commencement to completion.

  • We announced the next step in our LabCorp Walgreens initiative with the opening of 10 patient service centers in Walgreens stores in Florida. Physician and consumer response to the LabCorp Walgreens experience has been outstanding, and we continue to attract new patients to these sites.

  • This quarter, we expect to bring our testing services to consumers' homes through our innovative at-home self-collection testing device. This device will be validated to provide results equivalent to venous blood draws, assuring LabCorp quality and reliability in another new channel.

  • LabCorp Express, our differentiated consumer check-in kiosk, is now available in more than 600 patient service centers. Feedback on this proprietary tool continues to be extremely positive, and we remain on track to install the capability in all of our patient service centers by year-end.

  • We released the LabCorp patient mobile app for download by consumers at various app stores as an additional option to the currently available Patient Portal. These innovations increase consumer engagement, capture more accurate demographic and insurance information, and create efficiencies in patient service center workflow.

  • In closing, we are off to a terrific start in 2018. Through sharp focus on our key priorities in diagnostics and drug development, combined with important strategic accomplishments, we delivered impressive growth and continue to create shareholder value. We are the world's largest laboratory by revenue and global reach. But we are more than the world's largest laboratory. We are a global leader in life sciences. We offer real solutions beyond lab and beyond CRO, and we provide unique and differentiated value to consumers, physicians, health systems, managed care and biopharma partners.

  • We could not accomplish these things without the commitment and contributions of nearly 60,000 colleagues around the globe. They dedicate themselves every day to our mission to improve health and improve lives and make all of our current and future successes possible. We are all confident that the future ahead is bright.

  • Now I'll turn the call over to Glenn.

  • Glenn A. Eisenberg - CFO & Executive VP

  • Thank you, Dave. My comments today will focus on the company's first quarter results as well as provide an update on our 2018 guidance. However, I'll start off with the discussion of the new revenue recognition accounting standard, ASC 606, given its impact on our numbers.

  • On January 1, 2018, we adopted ASC 606 using the full retrospective method, meaning that we restated our 2017 financial results to better enable evaluation of our 2018 performance and guidance. In the press release, our prepared remarks and the Q&A session to follow, all references to our 2017 results are to the restated numbers unless we specifically advise you otherwise.

  • In the back of the press release, we provided tables that include our full year 2017 results as well as our first quarter 2018 and 2017 results under both ASC 606 and the prior accounting standard, ASC 605. We also provided additional related information on Form 8-K furnished this morning.

  • As you can see from the tables, the net impact for the enterprise is that the company's full year 2017 revenues increased by $102 million or 1% compared to the prior accounting standard. Our adjusted operating income decreased $56 million or 3% from the prior accounting standard because the inclusion of investigator fees and other pass-through expenses changes the underlying percentage of completion calculation used to recognize revenue. The new accounting standard has the effect of deferring these earnings into future periods. As a result, earnings per share in 2017 decreased $0.35 or 4%. There was no impact on cash flow.

  • Furthermore, ASC 606 affects our businesses differently. For diagnostics, the new standard requires us to treat bad debt as a reduction to revenue rather than as an SG&A expense, meaning our revenue was lower but our operating income does not change. Our reported margins, therefore, are higher. Specifically, as seen in the table on the back of the press release, for the first quarter, revenue under current accounting was lower by $85 million compared to the prior accounting method. There was no change in operating income. And as a result, margins are now 90 basis points higher.

  • For drug development, the new standard requires us to add investigator fees and other pass-through expenses to both revenue and expense. As a result of the increases in both revenue and expense, our reported margins are lower. In addition, these investigator fees and other pass-through expenses, which are tied to our clinical services business, now affect the timing of revenue recognition over the life of the contracts because these expenses tend to be incurred later in the contract life. To be clear, the total earnings in the contracts did not change, only the timing of when they are recognized.

  • We have reviewed all of the drug development businesses contracts -- more than 800 -- that are affected by this new standard. For the first quarter, drug development revenues under current accounting increased by $196 million compared to the prior accounting method. Operating income decreased by $7 million, resulting in a 300 basis point decline in margin. Putting it all together, our consolidated revenue in the first quarter increased by $110 million or 4% compared to the prior accounting standard, while our operating income declined by $7 million or 1%, resulting in lower adjusted EPS of $0.05 or 2%.

  • To wrap up on the accounting discussion, a couple of key points worth noting. First, although the numbers look a bit different, the company's strong operating performance and its improving trends year-over-year are clear under both accounting methodologies. Second, ASC 606 has no impact on cash flow. With that, I'll review our first quarter results.

  • Revenue for the quarter was $2.8 billion, an increase of 18% over last year, as acquisitions added 13.4%, organic revenue increased 3.2%, and we benefited from foreign currency translation of 150 basis points. Operating income for the quarter was $305 million or 10.7% of revenue compared to $318 million or 13.2% last year. During the quarter, we had $68 million of restructuring charges and special items primarily related to acquisition integration and a one-time bonus to non-bonus-eligible employees due to the benefits from tax reform.

  • Adjusted operating income, which excludes amortization, restructuring charges and special items, was $436 million or 15.3% of revenue compared to $377 million or 15.6% last year. The $59 million increase in adjusted operating income was primarily due to acquisitions, organic revenue growth and savings from our LaunchPad business process improvement initiative, partially offset by lower Medicare reimbursement as a result of the implementation of PAMA. The 30 basis point decline in operating margin was due to the mix impact from acquisitions.

  • The tax rate for the quarter was 28.6% compared to 30.9% last year. The adjusted tax rate, excluding special charges and amortization, was 22.9%, down from 31.3% last year. This lower rate was due to the implementation of tax reform in the U.S. We continue to expect the full year 2018 adjusted tax rate to be approximately 25% as the first quarter rate of 22.9% came in as expected due to the benefit of stock vesting. Strong operational performance and the benefit of tax reform translated into net earnings for the quarter of $173 million or $1.67 per diluted share. Adjusted EPS, which excludes amortization, restructuring charges and other special items were $2.78 in the quarter, up 31% over last year.

  • Operating cash flow was $155 million in the quarter compared to $226 million a year ago. The reduction was primarily driven by the one-time bonus payment related to tax reform and higher working capital to support growth, partially offset by higher cash earnings. Capital expenditures totaled $73 million or 2.5% of revenue compared to $72 million or 3% last year. As a result, free cash flow was $82 million in the quarter compared to $154 million last year.

  • During the quarter, we repurchased $75 million of stock. As of March 31, we had $326 million of authorization remaining under our previously approved share repurchase program. On April 24, the board authorized an increase in the company's share repurchase program to a total of $1 billion, demonstrating our continued commitment to returning capital to shareholders.

  • Our cash balance as of March 31 was $362 million, up from $317 million at the end of 2017. And total debt was $6.8 billion, unchanged from last quarter. The company's leverage at the end of the quarter remained at 3.3x gross debt to restated last twelve months pro forma EBITDA.

  • Now I'll review our segment performance beginning with LabCorp Diagnostics. Revenue for the quarter was $1.8 billion, an increase of 8% over last year. The increase in revenue was primarily driven by acquisitions, organic volume measured by requisitions and the benefit from currency translation of approximately 30 basis points, partially offset by the negative impact from PAMA. Revenue per requisition increased 0.7% due to acquisitions, partially offset by the impact from PAMA. Total volume increased 6.9%, of which organic volume was 3%, and acquisition volume was 3.9%. In addition, volume growth was negatively impacted by approximately 1% due to adverse weather.

  • LabCorp Diagnostics adjusted operating income for the quarter was $364 million or 20.6% of revenue compared to $342 million or 20.8% last year. The $22 million increase in adjusted operating income was primarily due to acquisitions and strong organic revenue growth. In addition, the negative impact from adverse weather was mostly offset by a favorable legal settlement in the quarter. The decline in operating margin was due to the negative impact from PAMA, partially offset by strong revenue growth.

  • Now I'll review the performance of Covance Drug Development. Revenue for the quarter was $1.1 billion, an increase of 39% over last year due to acquisitions, accelerated organic growth and the benefit from 390 basis points of foreign currency translation. Adjusted operating income for the segment was $108 million or 10% of revenue compared to $68 million or 8.8% last year. The $40 million increase in operating income was due to organic demand, LaunchPad savings and acquisitions. The 120 basis point improvement in margin was primarily driven by organic demand and LaunchPad savings. We remain on track to deliver $150 million of net savings from Covance LaunchPad and $30 million of cost synergies from the integration of Chiltern by the end of 2020.

  • Drug development delivered another strong quarter of net orders and net book-to-bill. For the trailing twelve months, net orders were $4.8 billion, translating into a net book-to-bill of 1.29. These results compare to trailing twelve months net orders and net book-to-bill of $4.6 billion and 1.34, respectively, as of December 31, 2017. Backlog at the end of the quarter increased to $9.2 billion, up from $8.7 billion at the end of 2017. And we expect approximately $3.7 billion of this backlog to convert into revenues over the next twelve months.

  • Now I'll discuss our 2018 guidance, which assumes foreign exchange rate as of March 31 for the remainder of the year and includes the impacts from currently anticipated deployment of free cash flow towards acquisitions, share repurchases and debt repayment. And as a reminder, all 2017 results mentioned in the guidance are restated in light of ASC 606. We expect revenue growth of 10% to 12% over 2017 revenue of $10.3 billion, which includes the benefit of approximately 90 basis points of currency translation. This is an increase over our prior guidance of 9.5% to 11% due to strong organic growth and favorable currency translation.

  • We expect LabCorp Diagnostics revenue growth of 3.5% to 5.5% over 2017 revenue of $6.9 billion, which includes the benefit of approximately 20 basis points of currency translation. This is an increase over our prior guidance of 3% to 5%, primarily due to strong organic growth. We expect Covance Drug Development revenue growth of 21% to 25% over 2017 revenue of $3.5 billion, which includes the benefit of approximately 230 basis points of currency translation. This is an increase over our prior guidance of 20% to 24% due to favorable currency translation. We remain on track to deliver mid- to high-single digit organic growth in 2018 across our businesses.

  • Our adjusted EPS guidance is $11.30 to $11.70, an increase of 22% to 26% over adjusted EPS in 2017 of $9.25. This range is unchanged from our prior guidance. However, it now includes the projected negative impact from ASC 606 for the full year in 2018 of $0.20 to $0.30 per share whereas our prior guidance assumed no EPS impact from the accounting change. We expect to offset this reduction in earnings due to the new accounting standard through our strong first quarter results and an improved outlook for the remainder of the year. We expect free cash flow to be between $1.1 billion and $1.2 billion, unchanged from prior guidance.

  • This concludes our formal remarks. And now, we'll take questions.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) And our first question comes from the line of Ross Muken from Evercore.

  • Ross Jordan Muken - Senior MD, Head of Healthcare Services and Technology & Fundamental Research Analyst

  • So on the lab side, the volume number really stuck out to me, particularly on the organic side, given most of the other results we've seen across kind of health care this quarter doesn't seem like there was a huge shift in utilization and so it feels like you guys are kind of outperforming there. I know you called out 23andMe, and that's worked well for you. But can you give us just some context for how you've been able to sustain kind of this more elevated rate, particularly in the face of some of the weather issues we saw and just how that sort of likely to trend over the balance of the year, just in terms of the rest of the cadence?

  • Gary M. Huff - CEO of Labcorp Diagnostics

  • Sure, Ross. Good morning, this is Gary Huff. First of all, we are pleased with the 3% organic volume growth for the quarter despite the weather. This was really driven by strength in women's health, 23andMe as well as our medical drug monitoring. And I will tell you, we continue to expect low single-digit volume growth for the remainder of the year. And one of the reasons why we believe in our growth organically is due to the fact that our organization is focused. We started -- if you were at the Investor Day, you saw that we had a significant focus on oncology, genetics, medical drug monitoring as well as women's health and 23andMe. And so the organization is very focused. We have a great commercial organization that is focused. And in addition to that, the entire organization from our couriers to our phlebotomists, our lab, our people across the organization are focused on profitable -- driving profitable growth in the organization, but also delivering value in terms of high-quality results to -- and solutions to our customers, and that is proving out very well for us.

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • And Ross, this is Dave. I would just add, part of it is the integrated sale to the physician's office, particularly the OB/GYN and primary care around women's health, around genetics, around Sequenom. So I think we have a very comprehensive set of services, and we're offering them in a way that is attractive to the customer and highlights the one-stop shop opportunity that really makes us differentiated.

  • Ross Jordan Muken - Senior MD, Head of Healthcare Services and Technology & Fundamental Research Analyst

  • Excellent. And just on the guide, can you just give us a feel for how you were able to kind of manage through that $0.20 to $0.30 headwind because that's pretty significant relative to what we were first contemplating. And tease out a bit where in the P&L you sort of had the confidence that, that will sort of carry through for the rest of the year. I mean, obviously, you beat the Q1 number. But you still have quite a bit left to go in the year, and that's a reasonable step-up. And so is it really on the margin side where you've got some flexibility? Or were there other elements kind of contemplated on capital deployment, et cetera?

  • Glenn A. Eisenberg - CFO & Executive VP

  • Ross, this is Glenn. Yes, to your point, that the growth that we experienced in the first quarter organically margin improvement through our LaunchPad initiative was all coming through. We had a very strong first quarter. As we look to the remainder of the year, we continue to see a good outlook, that organic revenue. You saw that we bumped up our guidance, if you will, and revenue within our diagnostics business. We also did have the benefit of favorable currency in the quarter, and the outlook for the year contributes as well. But overall, we're feeling pretty bullish about our businesses, and it's reflected in our guidance.

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • And Ross, this is Dave again. The acquisitions are outperforming our preliminary view of them when we made the acquisitions that applies to PAML that applies to Chiltern. So those will annualize at some point, but we still feel that the underlying performance in the business is very strong and gives us confidence that we'll be able to offset the impact of this accounting change.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from the line of Lisa Gill from JPMorgan.

  • Lisa Christine Gill - Senior Publishing Analyst

  • Dave, you commented that on a combined basis, you're seeing accelerated growth versus what either company can do on a stand-alone basis. Can -- is there any way to quantify that? I mean, is there contracts that you've won or something that we can look to from our side to better understand that?

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Good morning, Lisa. I think that it sort of sounds like a circular answer, but it's not. I mean, I think you just have to look at the results. You look at -- you look, in particular, at the progression in Covance of the book-to-bill, the net orders in the backlog. Obviously, a lot of that is due to good leadership, and it's due to strong operational improvement but it's also due to the LabCorp capabilities that we bring around companion diagnostics. It's due to the LabCorp capabilities that we bring around data and recruitment. By the same token, you will look at strong LabCorp performance. And again, the numbers speak for themselves, but underneath that is the Covance capabilities that we bring to health systems with patient recruitment, the Covance capabilities that we bring with access to trials and cutting edge medications, not only in major academic centers but in health systems that have rural delivery, that deliver services in rural settings where the patients otherwise might not be able to access cutting edge medicines for acute conditions like advanced cancer. And so we bring something that is different and something that is attractive. So again, I think the numbers are the best reference point. But I also think those numbers would not be achievable without the combination of the two capabilities. And if you look at the performance of peers, you see that our numbers are better, and they're better because of the combination.

  • Lisa Christine Gill - Senior Publishing Analyst

  • So if we think about this and we look at peers and look at your number, is it fair to say the growth rate that you have that's incremental versus a peer potentially comes from that combination? Or is it really hard to quantify?

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • I think it's very hard to quantify. Again, we can talk about specific contracts in Covance that we've won because of the LabCorp data. We can talk about specific companion diagnostics contracts that we've won in Covance because of the LabCorp capabilities and the dedicated laboratory. But it's going to be hard to put a number on it other than to say I go back to the outperformances for a reason. And it's great people, it's great talent, it's great leadership. But it's also the value of the combined organization and the global scale and reach.

  • Lisa Christine Gill - Senior Publishing Analyst

  • Great. And then, Glenn, I know you said that the legal settlement helped to offset weather in the quarter. But is there a way to quantify what the legal settlement was, one; and two, what it was for?

  • Glenn A. Eisenberg - CFO & Executive VP

  • Well, I'll take the first part, which is the financial impact. We talked about it mostly offsetting the adverse impact from weather, and we did quantify that at around 1% impact on volumes. So the adverse weather, call it, is around $10 million of operating income. And so we've talked about that the legal settlement essentially is least mostly offsetting. And so it gives you the magnitude or the range of what that number would be as well.

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • And Lisa, it's Dave. We can't comment on what the legal settlement is for due to confidentiality. But it's -- again, it's one of those things where we incurred some legal liability, and we were able to recoup some of that liability through the settlement.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from the line of Jack Meehan from Barclays.

  • Jack Meehan - VP and Senior Research Analyst

  • So I wanted to focus on Covance. What was organic growth in the quarter? Can you talk about bookings under -- how they compared under the prior methodology? And then finally, in the early development, are you seeing any new opportunities, given consolidation and other factors impacting some of the smaller players?

  • John D. Ratliff - CEO of Covance Drug Development

  • Sure. I'll take that, Jack. This is John Ratliff. In terms of book-to-bill and the actual E.D. and then finally getting into the other part. Book-to-bills in the 8-K kind of shows we were, in the old methodology, is about 1.36; and then, in terms of now, 1.34. That's over the last 12 months. Under the new, it was 1.34 going to 1.29. So the key here is strong operating performance no matter what you take. And so that's even with annualizing probably our strongest quarter last year. So significant strength across each of the segments, early development as well as the labs as well as the clinical. The revenue is consistent with our guidance that we gave for the year in the single high to mid digit growth and so showing actual accelerated growth in all of the segments of the business. And then, finally, in terms of the early development business, we're seeing actual real strength in terms of the safety assessment, metabolic lead optimization as well as the chemistry areas, accelerating momentum organically and actually adding capacity in certain areas as we've actually given visibility to, as an example, the CMC area, but also adding capacity within our present facility. So seeing the biopharma area, showing the biotech area, showing real strength underneath in significant participant in our backlog.

  • Jack Meehan - VP and Senior Research Analyst

  • And then in terms of the data strategy, any updates on how the Walgreens collaboration could benefit Xcellerate? And any update on how the check-in tool is impacting patient opt-ins?

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Jack, it's Dave. So the check-in tool is being introduced into the Walgreens environment as we move to the next set of stores, and we are optimistic that it will support an increase in opt-ins. We're talking about a number of what we think are very attractive options to expand the things that we're doing with Walgreens beyond just the drawing of blood in the stores. And we'll have more to say about that probably over the next couple of quarters as opposed to this morning.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from the line of Erin Wright from Credit Suisse.

  • Erin Elizabeth Wilson Wright - Director & Senior Equity Research Analyst

  • Could you speak to any other nuances in test mix that, I guess, that may have influenced that revenue per requisition? And can you speak to kind of how sustainable that trend is?

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Erin, it's Dave. So MDM and women's health are probably, on average, at a slightly higher price point than our average test mix, which gives us -- which would give us a little bit of positive impact. 23andMe, as we've said, is below our average price point. I think it's important to remember, however, that when you think about 23andMe, also think about the fact that we don't do a blood draw, we don't do logistics, we don't do the typical things that we would do in procuring a specimen. So even though it's below our average price point, that is not in any way to suggest that it's not a great business for us because it's a terrific business. So what you get in the total mix is you get up from women's health, up from medical drug monitoring, up from genetics and oncology with some offset from 23andMe. And that's why we mix to the 70 basis points positive.

  • Erin Elizabeth Wilson Wright - Director & Senior Equity Research Analyst

  • Okay, great. And then on the Covance side of the business, if you could comment on general RFP flow more on the clinical side and were there any significant cancellations or anomalies that you would call out?

  • John D. Ratliff - CEO of Covance Drug Development

  • Sure. The amount of proposals is consistent with the past quarters, very nice proposal flow. And in terms of cancellations, we're within the range that we've seen in the past. There's nothing abnormal about that.

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Erin, Dave. Just one more thing. I should also have mentioned, I think it's obvious, but nonetheless should have mentioned that PAMA has an impact on revenue per requisition this quarter in the year-over-year comparison.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from the line of Patrick Donnelly from Goldman Sachs.

  • Patrick B. Donnelly - Equity Analyst

  • Great. Maybe just one on the United contract. In the last quarter, you said you were having accelerated conversations with them. Just wondering an update there, any thoughts on timing, how we should think about that one?

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Good morning, Patrick, it's Dave. We continue to be involved extensively and consistently with United. And as soon as we have something to tell you about, we absolutely will tell you about it.

  • Patrick B. Donnelly - Equity Analyst

  • Fair enough. And then just on capital allocation, how are you guys feeling about the M&A pipeline? Do you see more activity on the lab side now that PAMA has been out there for a few months? And how should we be thinking about lab versus CRO for your M&A?

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • It's Dave again. I would say on the PAMA side, there's certainly activity in the pipeline. There's certainly engagement of a number of parties that are looking at their options. At the same time, we have to recognize that we as LabCorp and the industry through ACLA and our industry colleagues have been working very aggressively, both within the court system and with the legislative system, to try to fix the error that CMS made with PAMA. And so I think there's some watchful waiting in terms of what's going to really happen before we see a strong pickup in activity. In terms of the allocation of resources, I will just repeat what we have said previously, which is we're fortunate that we generate significant cash flow. We're going to deploy that cash flow judiciously. We look at every deal individually. There's no bias toward the CRO side or the lab side. We look at every deal individually in terms of what's the best deployment of capital, where we achieve the best return. Both of the organizations are in the process of significant integration activity. And obviously, you saw we announced yesterday that we've expanded the partnership with Mount Sinai to do more things with them. So we don't have a bias. We will continue to be active in M&A, and we're going to look at where we can achieve the best return on the dollars we're investing.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from the line of Amanda Murphy from William Blair.

  • Amanda Louise Murphy - Partner & Healthcare Analyst

  • I actually had a couple of questions on the CDx side. So I guess, first, wondering if you could talk a little bit more about your plans. You mentioned plans to expand globally. Is that with specific partners? And how would we think about where the testing is done, regulatory dynamics? Maybe just more color there would be helpful.

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Amanda, it's Dave. It would be with partner or partners. And it would involve performing the testing outside the U.S. but obviously in environments where we felt comfortable with all the things like quality, reproducibility, laboratory certification. And it would involve in all likelihood sharing of our operating procedures and processes for performing the testing. So as you know, the biopharmaceutical companies see large markets for some of these companion diagnostics outside the United -- or some of the therapeutics outside the United States, and we want to be able to provide the companion diagnostic testing associated with it.

  • Amanda Louise Murphy - Partner & Healthcare Analyst

  • Okay, got it. And it feels like there's a momentum shift on the CDx side for various reasons, obviously, the NCD that was just published by Medicare. But I'm curious how your pharma partners are thinking about it so you've got some that are maybe focused more on an all-comer type strategy. Some are thinking about it more from a segmented perspective. So just curious how you think about that just in terms of premarket or clinical trials versus post-market or pharma -- I guess, partners interested in pursuing markers more generally at this point just given the pipeline.

  • John D. Ratliff - CEO of Covance Drug Development

  • I'd say, yes, to the very last point. We're seeing that extensively through truthfully both on the post-marketing side as well as in really the Phase II up. And so almost every discussion, every partnering discussion, we're having that extensive capability review even at the early Phase II time frame. But clearly, we're seeing strength. We believe we're seeing the majority of the market, and that's why you're seeing our backlogs and our order rate go up on a factor of 3 and 4x from the time of the LabCorp acquisition of Covance. So we're seeing it in both areas, both the post-marketing area as well as in the Phase II/III in pharma extensively looking at the biomarker space and the capabilities in terms of companion diagnostics with respect to the partnering -- strategic partnering of Covance and themselves.

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • And it's Dave. I would just add, beyond the dedicated companion diagnostics laboratory and our goal of achieving global delivery, we also have resourced a biomarker center of excellence within Covance to collaborate with pharma partners. And that is supported obviously by all the biomarker work we've historically done at LabCorp. So again just another example of how the combination adds more to our service offerings than the -- than we would -- that either of us would have along.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from the line of Kevin Ellich from Craig-Hallum.

  • Kevin Kim Ellich - Senior Research Analyst

  • Dave, I have two quick questions for you. First one, you gave some good detail to Erin on the revenue per requisition increase. But I don't think you guys have stated what the impact of PAMA was this quarter. Could you give us that?

  • Glenn A. Eisenberg - CFO & Executive VP

  • Yes. This is Glenn. We've talked about that the impact of PAMA for the year was going to be roughly around $70 million. And it is -- we expect that it'll actually be experienced in the first quarter pretty close to being kind of pro rata. So we expect it to be pretty evenly spread throughout the year.

  • Kevin Kim Ellich - Senior Research Analyst

  • Great. That's helpful, Glenn. And then I know we're early in the year still, Dave. And there's typically a wide range of potential outcomes. But free cash flow guidance was maintained at $1.1 billion to $1.2 billion despite seeing a strong organic growth. Just wondering what your thoughts are in terms of how the business trends are. And is that just your typical conservatism? Or how should we think about the free cash flow guide?

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Well, I don't even know if I need to answer the question. You answered it for me. So it's early in the year. The guidance encompasses a wide range of outcomes. I'm not going to comment on my conservatism versus my aggressivism, if that's even a word. But look, it's a very substantial amount of free cash flow. Certainly, there are things that we did in operational performance that make us optimistic about our ability to do better. But it is the end of the first quarter. The guidance does encompass a wide range of outcomes for earnings. And obviously, that translates into cash. We have said that we're going to make some incremental capital investments this year as part of the benefit of tax reform in the business. So we feel very comfortable maintaining the free cash flow guidance as it was in the quarter.

  • Glenn A. Eisenberg - CFO & Executive VP

  • And I'll just add to that. Just as you know, when you look at the seasonality of our business, our first quarter historically is in the 10% of our total year's cash flow. So we kind of came within that range doing $82 million, again out of a $1.1 billion to $1.2 billion total number. So obviously, as the year unfolds, as we generate the bulk of our free cash flow throughout the year, we'll continue to give the updates on where we feel the bulk will come out.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from the line of Bill Quirk from Piper Jaffray.

  • Tyler Lee Etten - Research Analyst

  • This is Tyler Etten on for Bill. I was wondering if you could talk about the opportunity with CMS approving next-gen sequencing. We're starting to see some small private payers follow suit. Are you guys viewing this as a coverage trend or maybe a little bit more conservative on that front?

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Good morning, Tyler, it's Dave. I think we've been in the forefront of next-gen sequencing, again, both on the clinical trial central lab side as well as on the clinical diagnostic side. We do see it as a significant opportunity, particularly around our genetic testing. At the same time, private payer coverage remains less than robust at this point. And so we see the CMS coverage decision as probably the beginning of a trend, but we're going to follow the trend carefully and adjust accordingly.

  • Tyler Lee Etten - Research Analyst

  • Got it. And then do you think that most of the negative weather effects is behind us now that we're at the end of the quarter? Do we -- should we expect some weather effects in Q2?

  • Glenn A. Eisenberg - CFO & Executive VP

  • I would say we -- forecasting is an art. It's not a science. And I think you would all agree that the worst forecasters tend to be the weather predictors. But from our perspective, we assume normal weather throughout the rest of the year, which is our -- within the guidance. But as you recall, when we had the third quarter of a year ago, we had adverse weather. So barring normal weather, we actually should see a pickup from weather in the third quarter. But obviously things that we don't control but -- which is why we don't forecast it to be anything other than kind of normalized.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from the line of Ralph Giacobbe from Citi.

  • Ralph Giacobbe - Director

  • Wondering about the margins. They were down year-over-year, and I think you mentioned mix and acquisitions in the release. Maybe you could flesh that out for us. And more importantly, help frame the opportunity around sort of either margin expansion versus just holding the line or maybe even having margins contract in sort of the years ahead given PAMA.

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Ralph, it's Dave. So we've been very clear that diagnostics margins are going to be down this year as a result of PAMA. And the assumption would be that if PAMA is fully implemented as planned, we'll have margin headwinds in '19 and '20 as well. The other side of that is LaunchPad cost reductions, things that we're doing in the core diagnostics business to improve efficiency. Obviously, organic growth helps us to improve those margins as well as the test mix. On the Covance side, obviously, we saw a 200-plus basis point improvement in year-over-year margins with the initial steps from LaunchPad. LaunchPad is a three-year program to improve service delivery and sustainably improve margins as well. So for the diagnostics business, the likelihood is we're going to see pressure on margins; for the Covance business, margin expansion. And for the enterprise as a whole, our goal, as we said and our third priority is to continue to protect them and optimize them over time. I'm sorry, I misspoke. The Covance margins were up 120 basis points as opposed to the 200 that I over-optimistically stated. That will be for John to do next quarter.

  • Ralph Giacobbe - Director

  • Fair enough. And then, the -- I was hoping you could maybe delve a little bit more into the Walgreens expansion and the incremental tenants. It's encouraging, but maybe help on what may or may not be potentially sort of prohibiting much faster expansion. Is this something that you want to accelerate more and Walgreens is more reluctant to or other way around? Or is it not that dynamic sort of (inaudible)? And is there any exclusivity reminders around the relationship? Or could there be sort of -- and if there was sort of interest from other retailers, is that something you could pursue?

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Sure. So on the question of exclusivity, there's exclusivity within the markets, but there's no blanket exclusivity. And so there could be other retail opportunities that we would pursue. And presumably, in fairness, there could be other lab opportunities that Walgreens might pursue. We have been very pleased with Walgreens as a partner. As I said earlier, we've talked a lot about other opportunities beyond or doing (inaudible) stations. And we expect this partnership to expand both in number of stores and in scope over the balance of 2018 and into the future. In terms of the number of stores, we want to be selective and careful about the markets. We want to think more broadly now that we're demonstrating the success of the model about how we can use the Walgreens service center locations to change the model of how patients engage with us at our current service centers. So I don't know if there's any hesitation on either side to scale the program. What they're -- what we are doing is being very careful about the way that we roll it out to make sure that, one, we don't damage service levels or reduce qualities because we're trying to expand too fast. Two, we're both very interested in integrating the kiosk check-ins into the broader structure of their pharmacy in our lab, and so that requires some IT work that we're looking at. There's just a number of reasons, but I would not take it as any hesitation on either side to scale up the project.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from the line of Dan Leonard from Deutsche Bank.

  • Daniel Louis Leonard - Research Analyst

  • Just a couple of questions on the EPS guidance. First off, Glenn, can you help me better understand what changed as you assess the impact of ASC 606? Because I thought that accounting change was already in your prior guidance. And then secondly, the offset that enabled you to maintain EPS guidance despite that headwind, how much of that would you characterize as organic versus other items like the legal settlement or tax coming in lower than we thought?

  • Glenn A. Eisenberg - CFO & Executive VP

  • Sure. First, I guess on the EPS and ASC 606 and the guidance. As you saw, when we gave our preliminary assessment and when we came out with our guidance, we did give preliminary restated revenue numbers for '17 and then our growth rates for '18, which is effectively adding the investigator fees and the other pass-through expenses. And so as you saw in our changing guidance or updating of our guidance, none of the growth rates on the revenue side were due to ASC 606. It was due to the strength of organic revenue growth within diagnostics as well as the change in the currency. On the earnings side, a little bit more challenging. There, while we did a sampling of the contracts that we have and again over 800 of them, the impact on the earnings was fairly negligible that we assume that over when we got to all 800 contracts going through the detailed review that they would be offsetting because effectively, they're all pass-through. When we did the analysis and updated again for every one of the contracts, what we saw was that relative to the sample that we used initially, our contracts tended to be earlier stages of completing of the trials. And because the investigator fees and the other pass-through expenses tend to be more weighted towards the middle of the contracts, we were more weighted with earlier-stage contracts. And as a result, it caused our percentage of completion to change, where effectively it moved it out a little bit. So the earnings -- and use 2017 as an example. There were -- again, we would assume there would have a nominal impact. It had around a $55 million impact in earnings that will again be pushed out to future periods. And then similarly, now in our guidance for '18 as we roll those contracts forward, we have around, call it, $35 million of reduction in earnings relative to the old accounting standard, so less than the impact in '17. But again, those earnings will be pushed out in the future as well. With regard to the offsetting of the $0.20 to $0.30 impact from ASC 606, we talked about the strength of our organic revenues. We've talked about the impact that currency was favorable as well. When we gave our original guidance at that point, we knew kind of the adverse impacts from weather other than there was some still bad weather later in the period. But the bulk of it was early, and we knew about the benefit of the legal settlement that was effectively going to be an offset to that. So relative to the guidance we've provided, both of those were kind of muted out. The change really is driven off of the strong performance we had in the first quarter and again, an improved outlook for the remainder of the year.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from the line of Ricky Goldwasser from Morgan Stanley.

  • Rivka Regina Goldwasser - MD

  • Just a couple of follow-ups here. When we think about just pricing, outside the United contract and outside PAMA, are there any other factors such as other contracts or renewals or anything else that we should consider when we think about pricing beyond this year? And I understand that this is the beginning of 2018. But just conceptually, how should we think about the other factors or either headwinds or tailwinds to price going forward?

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Ricky, good morning, it's Dave. So I think you've essentially stated it correctly. The things we need to think about are PAMA. I'm not -- I wouldn't -- obviously, the United contract doesn't have any impact on our 2018 pricing until -- unless and until there's a change in the contract status, the impact of acquisitions and the annualization of acquisitions. So PAML and the price point at PAML probably would be higher than our typical [encounter] price. And remember a lot of that is reference work that comes from hospitals. So that has -- that annualization will certainly have an impact. Generally, what I would say is our private pricing has been relatively stable over the last several years as we've said. We don't see anything that is going to have an immediate impact on that. And so the major impact as we've said is mix, which is not unit price and unit pricing relating to PAMA.

  • Rivka Regina Goldwasser - MD

  • Okay. And then on the cost-cutting side, I appreciate the comments on margin. But how should we think about the cadence of the cost-cutting throughout the year?

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Again, it's Dave. We're not -- we are not guiding to quarter-by-quarter impact of LaunchPad. I would say, remember that there were some reductions that we did last year that we're getting the full year impact of this year that will annualize. And then the impact of things like global service delivery, which started in the first quarter will actually accelerate throughout the year. So I guess the best way to put it is think about the Covance LaunchPad and then the Chiltern synergies as essentially being spread ratably over the three-year period. And then within that period, you'll typically see -- within each year, you'll typically see a relatively even distribution subject to some ups and downs.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from the line of Mark Massaro from Canaccord Genuity.

  • Mark Anthony Massaro - Senior Analyst

  • Obviously, 23andMe has seen massive growth from at-home testing with saliva for genetic testing. Dave, can you speak to the impact you think you might have from your at-home blood collection device and maybe speak to some of the test menu that will be available?

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Sure. The at-home device is designed to open another channel to consumers and patients. The initial test menu will be probably in the range of about 20 analytes, and we'll focus on things that are of high interest to consumers like hemoglobin A1c and also the payers. And there's several ways that we think about why this is important. One, just in conversations with leaders of large payers, one of the things that I'm hearing over and over again is the costliest patients are the patients who are sick at home. They're not engaging with the system that's why they're showing up in acute crises in the emergency room, and we need to find a better way to reach them. So you're seeing a lot more activity around home health. You're seeing a lot more activity around home monitoring. And for us, this is a simple way of supporting not only the consumer who wants to know about the status of their health through labs, but also the payer community, including the government payers in being able to reach patients in the home in a convenient and low-cost manner. So I'm not going to make an estimate in terms of what's the market opportunity or where it's going to go, but I think it's a really important initiative for us again to open another channel to reach consumers and then to think about does this -- is this kit available for sale in the retail setting? Is it delivered through a distributor or a wholesaler who has a home business? These are potential further legs of the business as we roll it out.

  • Mark Anthony Massaro - Senior Analyst

  • Great. And my second question, at the risk of oversimplifying or handicapping the outcome of the ACLA versus HHS case, is it fair to speculate that relief to the 2021 to 2023 is the bull case here in terms of the cuts that could be rendered in those next 3 years? Or do you see another alternative that could be even more appealing than that?

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • I've said all along that, first of all, any time you sue a government, it is an uphill battle. Nevertheless, on the merits and -- they are dense legal papers, but I have read them. On the merits, we have a very convincing and powerful case. Congress wrote a statute in, which it specifically instructed the secretary to do something. And that something was do a market survey that included hospitals. The secretary wrote a rule that excluded over 90% of the hospitals in the United States. So the secretary didn't do what Congress said. And legally, I believe that means the rule should be set aside. And that is what we're seeking in relief. We're not seeking change in the payment cuts. We're seeking that the rule be set aside and the secretary be told to go back and do what Congress said to do. So to me, the right case is the judge rules in our favor, the rule is set aside, the secretary restarts the process of rulemaking, and we end up with a rule that carries out the congressional intent. And that would have the impact of resetting the 2018, 2019, 2020 reductions and coming to a market assessment of the lab industry, which is exactly what Congress says the secretary to do. Congress said to the secretary, get Medicare to market. It didn't say get Medicare to the absolute lowest price on every single test, which seems to be what the secretary is trying to achieve.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from the line of Brian Tanquilut from Jefferies.

  • Brian Gil Tanquilut - Equity Analyst

  • Glenn, just a quick question on tax. So you're maintaining the tax rate at 25%, but with the exclusion of the tax benefit from stock comp, am I right in thinking that your effective baseline tax rate assumption actually went down?

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • No. We guided -- we assume that we would be roughly 25% on an adjusted basis, and we continue to believe that. The first quarter has always been up. Shouldn't always, obviously. Hopefully, we're always seeing a share price appreciation so we're getting a benefit from the stock-based comp impact on taxes. But we know that when we provide our guidance. So our stock comp, if you will, (inaudible) in February in the first quarter. You will see that in the trends that -- same quarter a year ago that we'll have a lower effective tax rate. And then throughout the year, we did not forecast any more change relative to stock comp. So to the extent that people are exercising shares that we obviously can't forecast, there could be a benefit from that going forward, but we don't model that. So we still feel the 25% is the right number for the year with the first quarter coming in, call it, around 23%, it obviously implies that we'll be a little bit above 25% for the remaining 3 quarters.

  • Brian Gil Tanquilut - Equity Analyst

  • Got you. And then for John, are you seeing any changes in how your customers are making decisions based on data enablement? And then, are there any wins you can call on Xcellerate at this point?

  • John D. Ratliff - CEO of Covance Drug Development

  • I do think that most of our customers are using data with respect to decisions on patient recruitment strategies on site selection, on protocol optimization. Now certain therapeutic areas are more applicable to the use of that data. But almost consistently across the board, whether it's our central lab data, whether it's our diagnostics data, they are utilizing that to their benefit in terms of the strategies of the aforementioned three years. So specific wins, I think as Dave said, we obviously have over a half billion in awards and are on track to the revenue goals that we've had before and -- but as you know, Brian, those decisions when they're made on "data", are also made on the project team, on the medics, the capabilities, strategy. It's never just one thing. And so we do look at this as a hugely differentiating factor. And the reason why we're winning to the extent we have with the strong book-to-bills of around 1.3.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from the line of Rohan Abrol from KeyBanc Capital.

  • Rohan Abrol - Associate

  • Just wanted to find out if you're seeing any changes with respect to your full service versus FSP demand in Covance.

  • John D. Ratliff - CEO of Covance Drug Development

  • The program versus FSP, I'm not seeing a swing to one way or another. The greatest thing in terms of the -- or one of the areas that the Chiltern acquisition benefited us greatly was the capability within the FSP areas, especially around the biometric space and now adding the strength of a legacy Covance in the monitoring space having that now enterprise offering, but we're seeing real strength on the programmatic side as well and across therapeutic areas, the oncology area. And I have to say the investment in the talent, team, therapeutic areas, et cetera, that LabCorp, Covance have made in the past are assisting with that programmatic wins as well. I'm not seeing a shift one way or another, to answer your question.

  • Rohan Abrol - Associate

  • Okay. I appreciate that. And then did you guys comment on the amount of project towards, say, with access to patient lab data this quarter?

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • It's Dave. I think as John just said, we exceeded $0.5 billion. We're not updating that number, but you can assume that it continues to grow.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. And that concludes our question-and-answer session for today. I'd like to turn the call back over to Dave King for closing remarks.

  • David P. King - Chairman, CEO & President

  • Thank you. Thank you very much for joining us this morning. I think what you can gather from this call is that we are intently focused on two things.: one is execution, the other is innovation. And our focus on execution and innovation is delivering impressive results. And we're excited that we will be updating you on those results in the quarter to come. We wish you a good day.

  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation in today's conference. This concludes the program, and you may now disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.