Jack in the Box Inc (JACK) 2015 Q2 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good day everyone, and welcome to the Jack in the Box Incorporated second-quarter FY15 earnings conference call. Today's call is being broadcast live over the Internet. A replay of the call will be available on the Jack in the Box corporate website, starting today.

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • At this time, for opening remarks and introductions, I would like to turn the call over to Carol DiRaimo, Vice President of Investor Relations and Corporate Communications for Jack in the Box. Please go ahead.

  • - VP of IR and Corporate Communications

  • Thank you, and good morning everyone. Joining me on the call today are Chairman and CEO Lenny Comma, and Executive Vice President and CFO Jerry Rebel. During this morning's session, we will review the Company's operating results for the second quarter of FY15, as well as some of the guidance we updated yesterday for the remainder of the year. In our comments this morning, per share amounts refer to diluting earnings per share, and operating earnings per share is defined as diluted EPS from continuing operations on a GAAP basis, excluding restructuring charges and gains or losses from refranchising.

  • Following today's presentation, we will take questions from the financial community. Please be advised that during the course of our presentation and our question-and-answer session today, we may make forward-looking statements that reflect Management's expectations for the future, which are based on current information. Actual results may differ materially from these expectations, based on risks to the business. The Safe Harbor statement in yesterday's news release, and the cautionary statement in the Company's most recent Form 10-K, are considered part of this conference call.

  • Material risk factors, as well as information relating to Company operations, are detailed in our most recent 10-K, 10-Q and other public documents filed with the SEC. These documents are available on the investors section of our website at www.jackinthebox.com. A few calendar items to note. Jack in the Box Management will be presenting at the Oppenheimer consumer conference in Boston, on June 23, and the Jefferies consumer conference in Nantucket, on June 24. Our third quarter ends on July 5, and we tentatively plan to announce results on Wednesday, August 5, after market close. Our conference call is tentatively scheduled to be held at 8:30 AM Pacific Time, on Thursday, August 6.

  • And with that, I'll turn the call over to Lenny.

  • - Chairman and CEO

  • Thank you, Carol, and good morning. Jack in the Box reported another solid quarter yesterday, culminating in a 35% increase in operating EPS. We experienced continued sales momentum and margin expansion, at both Jack in the Box and Qdoba, and essentially completed our refranchising strategy with the sale of our last Southeast market. Same-store sales at Company Jack in the Box restaurants increased 7.4% for the second quarter, with transactions driving approximately one-third of that growth.

  • System-wide, same-store sales increased 8.9%, which was our best performance since 1999. Once again, Jack in the Box outperformed the industry with system-wide same-store sales growth, 760 basis points higher than the QSR sandwich segment, more than doubling the gap we experienced last quarter. Second-quarter sales increased in all of our major markets, and were strong across all day parts, led by breakfast and dinner. The biggest contributor was our new premium Buttery Jack Burgers, which have been the most successful product launch in recent memory. These are a permanent addition to the menu, not just an LTL.

  • We believe they are great foreshadow of the type of crave-able products and quality that we intend to introduce in coming quarters. Over the years, we've built a lot of equity in breakfast, with great tasting items featuring freshly cracked eggs. And that momentum continued during the quarter, with products like our breakfast burrito and loaded breakfast sandwich. Jack in the Box has served our full menu, including Breakfast All Day, for nearly 25 years, and you can expect us to continue to focus on this core competency. We showcased these new products in our advertising, where we have been placing a greater emphasis the on taste and visual appeal of the food.

  • Another way to demonstrate the quality improvements we're making to our menu is in the presentation to our dine-in guests. With the launch of the Buttery Jack Burgers, we also began serving all burgers and sandwiches in baskets, using half wraps. Our research told us that the guests wanted more choices when it comes to beverages. So we announced in March that we will be rolling out Coke Freestyle machines across the Jack in the Box system, by the end of the calendar year. Frances Allen, our Jack in the Box Brand President, has been on board since October. And one of her top priorities has been to retrain our entire workforce on hospitality and friendliness.

  • We're pleased with the progress we have made on this front, and we remain focused on delivering a more consistent experience throughout the system. Turning to Qdoba, second-quarter same-store sales increased 8.3% system-wide, and 7% as Company-operated restaurants. On a two-year basis, quarter two Company same-store sales of 14.2% were just slightly below the 14.9% we saw in Q1. We don't usually talk about the weather, but we've had several questions based on recent industry reports. We do believe that weather was more of a factor this year, and Jerry will talk about that in his comments.

  • Qdoba's performance reflected an increase in average check, resulting from our new simplified menu pricing structure, another quarter of double-digit growth in catering sales, and the benefit of continued menu innovation. During the second quarter, new product news included a new savory queso sauce for our Smothered Burritos, a bacon jalapeno queso, and Quesomole, a combination of any queso and guacamole. Qdoba and queso have become synonymous, and these new products further strengthen the association the brand has with that guest favorite.

  • And was summer just around the corner, our mango loyalists know what that means. In a couple of weeks, we will be adding spicy tequila mango smothering sauce, along with our classic mango salad, which will feature mango cucumber salsa and cilantro lime vinaigrette. We believe unique and crave-able items like these will continue to differentiate Qdoba in the fast casual Mexican space. The new pricing structure and intensified focus on our menu innovation are the first major outcomes of Qdoba's brand strategy and positioning work. We're now beginning to incorporate the new brand strategy into the restaurant facility.

  • Essentially, we want to marry up the brand's bold, in-your-face flavors with a bold, in-your-face design, on both the interior and exterior. In the past few weeks, we've opened three new restaurant prototypes, featuring some of the new elements that reflect our new brand positioning. With the exception of a few nontraditional locations, all new Company units that open over the remainder of 2015 will include these and other exterior and interior trade dress elements. We'll test and thoroughly evaluate each of the new design elements, before releasing the prototype to the system, and determining how to incorporate those elements into remodels.

  • Given the confidence we have in the sustainability of our results, and our outlook for the future, we continue to return cash to shareholders during the quarter, and announced yesterday a 50% increase in our quarterly dividend, as well as an additional $100 million share buyback authorization. Before I turn the call over to Jerry, I just want to say how pleased I am with how Qdoba and Jack in the Box are performing. I'd also like to thank our entire organization, including franchisees for both brands, for their commitment and dedication. We think that the brand initiatives coming out of extensive research are just in the early innings, and have both brands primed to sustain their recent success.

  • On that note, I'd like to turn the call over to Jerry for a more detailed look at our second-quarter results and outlook for the second half of the year. Jerry?

  • - EVP and CFO

  • Thank you, Lenny, and good morning everyone. With strong same-store sales growth at both brands, and the benefit from refranchising at Jack in the Box, we were able to drive significant margin improvement, and continue to return a substantial amount of cash to shareholders during the quarter. For Jack in the Box, the 7.4% increase in Company same-store sales was comprised of transaction growth of 2.4%, mix benefits of 2.9%, and pricing of approximately 2.1%. For Qdoba, the 7% increase in Company same-store sales was comprised of a 7.4% increase in the average check, which was driven primarily by the new simplified pricing structure, catering growth of 0.9%, and a decline in transactions of 1.3%.

  • As Lenny mentioned, weather was a factor for Qdoba in the quarter. There were three weeks negatively impacted, and in one week alone, where 90% of our Company restaurants were affected, same-store sales were down nearly 8%, and transactions were down nearly 15%. For the second quarter, consolidated restaurant operating margins topped the 20% level, up 210 basis points to 20.6% of sales, as same-store sales growth translated into nice margin expansion at both brands, despite headwinds from commodities and minimum-wage increases.

  • Jack in the Box Company restaurant margins expanded 280 basis points, to 21.4%, including the benefit of approximately 170 basis points, resulting from our refranchising strategy. Average weekly sales for Jack in the Box Company restaurants topped $36,000 in the quarter, up 11%, resulting from both refranchising and strong same-store sales growth. Year-to-date, our Company AUVs are above $1.8 million. Qdoba Company restaurant margins grew 50 basis points, to 18.8%, as leverage from the new pricing structure was partially offset by commodity inflation, an increase in labor staffing, and higher credit card fees.

  • Franchise margins expanded by 220 basis points in the quarter, as rental income for Jack in the Box restaurants, and royalties from both brands, benefited from higher average unit volumes, as well as an increase in the number of franchise restaurants. SG&A was negatively impacted by pension expense, as we expected, as well as higher incentive compensation, as our year-to-date performance and full-year expectations are significantly higher than originally anticipated. Given the annuity-light cash flows our business model generates, and the flexibility of our credit facility, we remain committed to returning cash to shareholders.

  • We repurchased $75 million of stock during the quarter, and have an approximately $140 million available under current Board authorizations, including an additional $100 million authorized last week. Our outstanding shares decreased by 9.5% versus last year's second quarter, which will continue to contribute to our EPS growth. As far as commodities are concerned, overall, we now expect commodity costs for the full year to increase by approximately 2%, versus our previous expectations of approximately 3%, as we've seen some easing in beef prices.

  • Here is our current thinking on guidance for other key items for the balance of the year. Same-store sales growth at Company restaurants in the third quarter of 4% to 6% for Jack in the Box, and 6% to 8% for Qdoba. The only significant changes we made to our full-year guidance were as follows. We raised our full-year same-store sales guidance for Jack in the Box Company restaurants to 4.5% to 5.5%, from 3.5% to 4.5%, reflecting our performance in the first two quarters, and our outlook for Q3.

  • We increased our consolidated restaurant operating margin guidance for the full year, from a range of 19.1% to 19.9%, to approximately 20%, based on the higher same-store sales guidance. Operating EPS is now anticipated to range from $2.90 to $3 in FY15, compared to our prior guidance of $2.85 to $2.97. Our guidance now includes the expected $0.06 charge relating to the removal of existing beverage equipment, as we install new Coke Freestyle equipment in Q3 and Q4. This charge was not included in our prior guidance.

  • That concludes our prepared remarks. I'd now like to turn the call over to the operator to open it up for questions.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • Joe Buckley, Bank of America.

  • - Analyst

  • Thank you. Had a question on sales, I guess for each brand, if I may. It's the first time in a while that you have mentioned dinner for Jack in the Box, along with breakfast. Usually, we're hearing late-night and breakfast as the strongest day parts. So can you talk a little bit about what is driving the dinner day part of Jack?

  • - Chairman and CEO

  • Sure, Joe, this is Lenny. When we were out in New York and Boston, back in January I guess it was, we talked about the research that we had been conducting with the Jack in the Box brand. And that we were disappointed in some of the results that we got. Essentially, what the consumer said was they were not pleased with the state of our hamburgers, and several other core products. And so I had mentioned that we were going to start investing in improving those products, and using LTLs this year to foreshadow what those improvements would be.

  • And we expected that -- and I think I talked about it during those conferences -- that we expected that would start to drive the lunch and dinner day parts, two day parts that, for the last couple of years, haven't been the drivers of our success. So I think what you are seeing is, with the launch of the new products, the consumer is responding right in line with what the research said they would do. And essentially, the success we've experienced with that product started to drive the dinner day part. So that's really what it is.

  • And what we would anticipate, as we move further into the initiatives, is that across the menu, we would be able to make permanent improvements, similar to what we have been able to foreshadow with these new additions to the menu. And we would expect that they would drive strong results, as well.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay, and then question on Qdoba. How do you think about a sustained level of same-store sales growth? You have a couple more quarters where you'll benefit from the simplified pricing structure. And then I would suspect the comp will be a little bit more traffic-dependent. And even though weather impacted it this quarter, the traffic component has been relatively small. How do you think about that, going forward? How can you elevate the traffic, the traffic portion? Or is that the overall game plan, when you lap the simplified pricing structure?

  • - Chairman and CEO

  • First, let me answer the last part of your question. Yes, we do think it will be traffic dependent. So you can expect a focus there. When you look at the building blocks to Qdoba's success, you can go back to the prior strategy, where you had a core menu that hadn't changed essentially in over 10 years. You had introduced a whole-wheat tortilla and brown rice, within 10 years. So it was certainly not an innovation strategy.

  • Coming out of the research, what we realized is that we would have to incorporate product innovation into our strategy, going forward. And so the first thing we did was, we capitalized on existing equities, which were essentially queso and mango. And when we did that, you saw significant growth, not only in sales but in transactions. And on the heels of that, we changed the pricing structure, which essentially took some of the annoyance factor out of the transaction, and generated a new value proposition for the consumer.

  • And although we've realized that primarily in price, we also see favorable response from the guest, from the standpoint of loyalty and their satisfaction with the experience. And so what you can expect to be the next phase will be additional product innovation, going into next year, as well as reading the results of some of the investments we have in the interior and exteriors of the facilities. And then starting to incorporate that into remodels and new builds. And we believe that product innovation, and focusing on place, will drive additional transactions, which will help us to lap what we have done with price and transactions thus far.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay, thank you.

  • - Chairman and CEO

  • You got it.

  • Operator

  • Alex Slagle, Jefferies.

  • - Analyst

  • Thank you. A question on Jack in the Box, and if you could talk to what's driving the increase in the unit growth outlook for that brand this year?

  • - EVP and CFO

  • Yes, Alex, this is Jerry. I think what we're seeing is -- and I guess not too surprising. When franchisees get a sense for the higher sales and the believability that they are more sustainable than they are a one-trick pony, they begin to get a little bit more excited about investing in the brand.

  • Also, we have changed a few things structurally for -- with the Company investing in some real estate broker-type services, that we're looking for new units for that regard, if they're going to be Company or franchise units. In face, we have a bias to looking for units, and then offering them up to franchisees. So I think it's a combination of the sales improvement, the excitement about where we are going long-term, and then also some of the things that we're doing structurally, with respect to new unit opportunities.

  • - Analyst

  • Great, thank you. And then just one clarification, on guidance and what the share repurchase now is assumed, in the current earnings guidance. Is that just already what's been completed? Or does it exclude potential execution of the remaining -- a piece of the remaining $140 million authorization?

  • - EVP and CFO

  • No, we would expect to be active in Q3 and Q4, as well. We remember that we've -- and it's in the guidance -- it hasn't -- the share buyback piece, though, in the guidance, Alex, hasn't really changed at all from what we described in the guidance back in November. So we're not expecting buybacks to drive the increase in our EPS guidance; it's just operational. So we had said we expect to be regular and opportunistic. And if we're looking at the way things are trending this morning, we may have an opportunity to bit more opportunistic this quarter, as well.

  • - Analyst

  • Great, thank you.

  • Operator

  • Chris O'Cull, KeyBanc.

  • - Analyst

  • Thanks, good morning, guys. Jerry, since your initial guidance for 2015, the Company has raised the Jack comp assumption by roughly 3 points, and Qdoba by 1 to 2 points. Which based on the earnings sensitivity you've given us in the past, would indicate roughly $0.35 of additional earnings. But your earnings guidance ex the impairment increases has only been increased by roughly $0.20. And you also lowered the commodity outlook. So I guess I'm trying to understand, is this just conservatism? Or has the flow-through assumption, or -- which you have been experiencing -- has that changed?

  • - EVP and CFO

  • No, I don't think it's the flow-through assumptions, Chris. But if you look at our incentive compensation plans, they are driven almost exclusively on improvement in operating EPS, and an improvement in restaurant-level margins. And so what we have seen is, as we have continued to perform better than our original expectations, we have also seen an increase in our incentive comp accruals, so far, for the first half of the year.

  • Then, also, that we expect to see, going forward for the balance of the year, which is included now in the guidance. So I think that's partially offsetting that. I would say the good news is, as far as the G&A load on this, is this does not add any dollars to our structural G&A costs. This is all variable cost, based upon improved performance. So I don't think that you will see this be baked in into the baseline G&A costs, going forward. Although we would love to have a similar problem, if you will, next year, with improved EPS growth and improved margin growth, as well.

  • - Analyst

  • And one last one. Do you still expect Qdoba's margin to be higher than Jack's for the year?

  • - EVP and CFO

  • That's a good question. But I would say it's going to be a close call, and maybe a photo finish here. But I would say that's more due to the Jack in the Box improving margins, (inaudible) by 21.4% margin that we saw in Q2. It won't be because Qdoba margin is performing lower than what our expectations were, though.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay. Great, thanks.

  • Operator

  • Robert Derrington, Wunderlich Securities.

  • - Analyst

  • Two questions. One, first off, Lenny, when you look at the competitive environment out there, as you see it, obviously, there's a lot of noise. The Company, Jack, has been very successful with some of the innovation that you are brought to bear there. Given the noise that some of the competition is doing to try and steal some of that specialness, do you anticipate any changing of your plan versus what you have been doing? Or should we consider you all to zig with the brand, as opposed to one of your competitors doing something more similar to you? How should we think about that?

  • - Chairman and CEO

  • Yes. So Bob, if you think about some of the conversations we have had in the past, we said long ago that essentially, Jack in the Box has to be a differentiated, quality-driven brand. Because we're not big enough to play in the space of the value driver in the industry. And I think the good thing is that the consumer wants and believes that we are more of a quality-driven brand, differentiation, our quirkiness of our advertising, the weirdness of our menu. Keep in mind, tacos is still a huge seller, and we're a burger company.

  • So we've had a history of being able to put things out there that are a just a little different than everyone else. And the consumer has come to expect it. When you look at what some of our competitors are doing, they're trying to play in a space that is probably not an equity that they currently have, and will take, I believe, a very long time for them to establish that equity. So I'm not saying whether it's right or wrong. Those are things that the competitors have to figure out for themselves. But what I can say is, our strategy won't change, because we know the space that we play in. And essentially, we've been finding success there, and there's no reason for us to believe that's going to change.

  • One of the things we've also done, as a brand historically is, we're very responsive to what the competition does. So we'll stick to our strategy, but as folks try to encroach on our space, we will certainly have a response. And that's something that you can anticipate, as well. So no strategy change. And if we're going to throw some punches back in the other direction, it's going to be from the basis of what our strengths are. And you will see us compete that way, going forward.

  • - Analyst

  • Great, that's really helpful. Jerry, and if I could pursue or follow up on the Qdoba difference between the Company comps and the franchise comps. I think it was about 260 basis points. Can you give us some color how much of that specifically? Have you broken out, in basis points, what the weather's impact may have been, or could have been, based on store closures? Or anything like that?

  • - EVP and CFO

  • What we know is that the Company restaurants were generally, and perhaps more substantially, impacted by weather than what the franchisees were. As an example, our -- the upper Midwest saw very mild winter, versus, say, Colorado and Nashville, from where you are, as an example. And our largest franchisee is in Milwaukee, and they saw virtually no weather impact at all, throughout the quarter. So I think part of this is, without being able to quantify exactly how much, I think part of that 260 basis point differential is due to the Company restaurant being more heavily impacted by weather, particularly in those three weeks that I described earlier.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay, terrific. Thank you.

  • - EVP and CFO

  • Jeff Farmer, Wells Fargo.

  • - Analyst

  • Thank you. I know you are reluctant to focus too much on any one product. But can you put the success of the Buttery Jack Burger launch into context, relative to some of the other new products you've seen recently? I guess the best way to do that would be percent of sales? Or any other method or measure you think would be helpful for us?

  • - Chairman and CEO

  • Jeff, we don't typically share those details, but let me just try to give you some color in another way. I've been here for 14 years. And in that timeframe, we've never had a product as successful as Buttery Jack. So it's by far the most successful thing that most of the folks working in the brand today have experienced. And when you look at the work that went into it, what's nice about what we are experiencing is, we expect similar quality cues and changes across the core menu, coming into next year. And we think that's going to be met with a very similar response from the consumer.

  • - EVP and CFO

  • And Jeff, just let me add to that is, the Buttery Jack, in terms of the food and packaging costs, one of the things that contributed to the margin in the quarter was, the Buttery Jack actually had a lower food and packaging cost than what the LTO that we promoted in last year's second quarter, which was the Bacon Insider Burger. And then also, it's replacing the number one and number two position on the menu board. It's replacing the Sirloin Burger. It also has a lower food and packaging cost than what the Sirloin Burger has, also. So it helped generate some nice mix benefit on our food and packaging costs in the quarter, as well.

  • - Analyst

  • That is helpful, thank you for that. And just one follow-up. It looks like last quarter, or your first fiscal quarter, Jack's franchise same-store sales at least modestly outperformed the Company number. That franchise out-performance looks like it jumped pretty nicely here, in the fiscal second quarter, and looks like 2 points. I'm just curious, in terms of what's driving that? Where the franchises are, in terms of initiating some of these top-line drivers that perhaps you introduced a couple of quarters ago? But again, any color and understanding of that accelerating relative performance, versus the Company stores, from the franchise stores?

  • - Chairman and CEO

  • Jeff, couple things to think about there. First off, the Company operations have historically been 24-hour operations. And our -- as we started focusing on late-night, our franchise locations, many more of them went to 24/7 locations. In addition, on the franchise side, you have a bit more pricing than what you see us take on the Company side in recent quarters. And then also, traffic for the franchise side was even better than traffic for the Company side. And keep in mind, part of what you see there is just, in the base case, the benefit that the franchisees get from a percentage standpoint, on a lower AUV base, compared to the Company ops.

  • - EVP and CFO

  • Jeff, this is Jerry. I'll just -- one other thing to add onto that, with now 80% plus franchise operated, we get -- sorry, we earn slightly more operating EPS, on a 1% change in franchise same-store sales, than we do in -- with Company same-store sales. So that adds nicely to our earnings growth.

  • - Analyst

  • All right. Thanks again.

  • Operator

  • Nick Setyan, Wedbush Securities.

  • - Analyst

  • Thanks. Lenny, I want to focus a little bit more the profitability of Jack in the Box. Over 21%, that level of margins here. That is better than a lot of the fastest growth names out there. And the cash and cash returns, over the last two years, have increased dramatically at Jack in the Box, too. So why aren't we seeing above 1% unit growth? Or why can't we see the franchisees accelerate to above a 1% unit growth, going forward?

  • - Chairman and CEO

  • Nick, we're hopeful that we will see that. I can tell you that, I was just sharing internally, I spent the last six weeks out in the marketplace, visiting with Qdoba and Jack in the Box franchisees and corporate employees. And there is certainly a lot more conversation. In fact, the primary conversation has been about growth, from our operators of both brands.

  • And where we are with it today is that the Jack in the Box brand is working on these core improvements that we're talking about. And I think the franchisees are starting to gear up for growth. And they are looking at it through the lens of, if we can continue to make these improvements, then I want more restaurants. So our hope is, and our anticipation is, that growth rate will go up. And we're going to prepare for that.

  • - EVP and CFO

  • Then Nick, just with respect to timing. What we're seeing, to Lenny's point, is we are seeing a significant increase in the interest from our franchise operators to building new Jack in the Box restaurants. But because there is a drive-through, and it's a freestanding, ground-up building, that process takes anywhere from, call it, 18 months in Texas to 2 plus years in California. So activity today doesn't create a new restaurant next month. It has a much longer timeline.

  • - Analyst

  • Got it. And basically, your longer-term guidance, I think we've already gotten to your longer-term guidance, in terms of unit -- or the lever margin. Any reason why we shouldn't see that go up from here, at both brands?

  • - EVP and CFO

  • That's a great question. We will provide that information to you on our November call. And -- but we'll certainly have to re-look at that, given where the current trends are. One thing I want to just caution everybody, for the Q3 and Q4 outlook for the Jack in the Box margins, one thing to consider is, Q3 and Q4 margins are generally more significantly impacted by higher utility costs. As it costs more to heat -- or excuse me, it costs more to cool our restaurants in hot weather than it costs to heat them in colder weather. So we usually see a 50 plus basis point change, just in utilities, seasonally.

  • - Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Sam Beres, Robert W. Baird & Company

  • - Analyst

  • Hi, thanks for taking the question. In terms of the Qdoba traffic, obviously, it appears it was fairly meaningfully impacted by some unfavorable weather during the quarter. But even excluding that weather, it seems like traffic may have possibly decelerated modestly here, relative to a couple prior quarters. So if that is the case, maybe a little perspective from you on what possibly could have driven that slightly softer traffic? And if you think the new pricing architecture could be having an impact in any way?

  • - Chairman and CEO

  • Sam, just one thing to think about is, as you said, there was a weather impact. And as you focus on the one-year basis, you could see the transactions as flat to slightly negative. But when you look at the two-year basis, even with weather, we don't have that situation. And that's why, when Joe asked the question earlier, I was trying to help folks think about the stack of sales generators over the last year-and-a-half. Because if you look at the innovation of last year, it drove sales and transactions.

  • And then we stack, on top of that, the new value proposition this year, which early on, drove both sales and transactions. And only recently, with some weather impact, do we see the transactions moderate a little bit. But when you look at the stack, over a two-year basis, you actually have a very healthy mix of both sales and transaction growth driving the performance.

  • So when you look all things in, and you think about what we have been able to do, with the value proposition that has raised the average check, without reducing significant traffic, all in all, it's a big win for us. And when you're able to then stack, on top of that, the next set of product innovation, which we anticipate happening into the beginning of next year, we're feeling really good about the outlook.

  • - Analyst

  • Thanks. And maybe just one quick follow-up. If you could, are you able to provide any perspective on what the Q3 comps guidance for Qdoba assumes for check-in traffic, roughly speaking? Given that -- I believe that traffic was pretty strong in the year-ago period?

  • - EVP and CFO

  • Yes, Nick, we never break out what our expectations are -- or I'm sorry, Sam. I knew I'd get one name wrong today. (laughter) I apologize, Sam. It probably don't be the last one, either. But don't typically -- in fact, we don't ever provide breakout on our same-store sales numbers, until the end of the quarter.

  • - Analyst

  • Great. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. Matt DiFrisco, Guggenheim Securities.

  • - Analyst

  • Thank you. One question and one clarification. You said the superior trend, that you were outpacing your peers by roughly 700 basis points, I think it was. Is that on a national basis? Or is that on a regional basis, meaning your stores in California are beating their peers, sitting across the street from them, also at a 7% pace?

  • - VP of IR and Corporate Communications

  • Yes, Matt, this is Carol. So we actually out-paced the NPD QSR sandwich segment by 760 basis points. That's the national numbers that include 16 of the chains. And you can see, it's the biggest ones. It's all of the major peers. So we don't get the regional data, but that's the national number. I would also say, keep in mind that weather really wasn't a factor for Jack in either period. So you would have to look at that more on a regional basis, too.

  • - Analyst

  • So I guess one would conclude, then, that your -- one of the benefits could be deduced from that, that you were also seeing California -- your California and Texas exposure has benefited you, versus those that are naturally skewed, correct?

  • - VP of IR and Corporate Communications

  • I guess -- we don't have the data to know what the peers are doing in those two markets.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay. Then my question, also, is just with the $0.06 charge for equipment. I just wanted to clarify, also, that is 100% Company-owned stores replacing? Or are you also replacing those stores of the franchisees that made be -- you still own the building, too, and rent them back out? Are you going to be owning the machine and retiring the existing one, and bringing in the new Freestyle?

  • - EVP and CFO

  • The $0.06 charge, Matt, is just related to the Company units. Franchisees will replace their own equipment, and do whatever they deem appropriate with their write-off. But it won't impact the Company at all.

  • - Analyst

  • And did you give any color on how many stores today have the Freestyle? And what we should expect, as far as the progression for Company, and then the complete system, as well, to adopt it?

  • - EVP and CFO

  • We're just beginning to roll out, Matt. We expect to have that done by the end of the calendar year. So there is less than 100 that are out there right now. And that's just recent.

  • - Analyst

  • Franchise, as well. Okay. Calendar year franchise and company?

  • - EVP and CFO

  • Correct.

  • - Analyst

  • Great. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Joe Buckley, Bank of America.

  • - Analyst

  • Thank you, had a couple of follow-ups. Maybe first, just on the $0.06 charge. Jerry, would that be evenly split between the quarters? And is it the same number, like pre-tax to post-tax? Or is there a tax benefit to the expense?

  • - EVP and CFO

  • No, it's the same number, pre-tax and post-tax. But I'll -- there's no additional tax benefit to that, versus any other tax benefit for any other expense. But I'd say, for now, you can assume that's going to be pretty evenly split. The reality will be, it will depend upon the actual implementation schedule, and how close we are to keeping on that actual implementation schedule. But I'd model it pretty even.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay. And then more for an industry background question. What are you seeing, in terms of egg prices, with the avian flu news seeming to spread to more markets?

  • - EVP and CFO

  • Yes, we are seeing, generally, egg prices trending up. And fortunately for us, most of our supply are coming from it yet-unaffected areas, by and large. It doesn't mean that we are completely unaffected. But I think our major supplies are coming from those other yet-not-affected areas. Eggs are only about 3% of our overall spend, and our assumption about increasing egg costs are included in our 2% commodity guidance for the full year.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay. And then one more quick one, if I can, going back to my dinner business question. So are the Buttery Jack burgers being viewed more as a dinner product? Or are you merchandising them, in some way, to make it more of a dinner product, to drive the dinner day part?

  • - EVP and CFO

  • A couple things that are interesting Joe. So we experienced -- and I'm going to just compare and contrast a couple things, from the past to today. In the past, when we rolled out a breakfast platter, we sold a ton of them at dinner and lunch and late-night. And you're seeing the same thing with Buttery Jack. Although we do sell, obviously, the majority of them at lunch and dinner, because we serve the whole menu 24/7, there is a ton of Buttery Jacks being sold, even a breakfast.

  • So your assumption that it is primarily a lunch and dinner product is correct. I don't know that it's more of a dinner versus a lunch. I think we just need a little more time to learn that. But it's certainly a lunch and dinner product. But like all of our other products that just -- they are a hit with the guests, we tend to see a more than you would imagine percentage of sales going through the other day parts, as well.

  • - Analyst

  • And is the Buttery Jack driving the mix up at Jack in the Box? Is that the primary factor? The check mix?

  • - EVP and CFO

  • Yes, it is.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay thank you

  • Operator

  • Jeffrey Bernstein, Barclays.

  • - Analyst

  • Great, thank you very much. Two questions. One, maybe Lenny, as we think about the Jack in the Box brand and throughput. I think you mentioned the AUVs at the Company-operated stores are now North of $1.8 million. I'm wondering whether you see any capacity constraints? Or better yet, maybe what's the biggest throughput opportunity? I know in the past, you've often updated us on speed of service as the biggest opportunity. So any color on where we stand on that? Or any other opportunity, just to alleviate any pressure you might be seeing, with such strong sales?

  • - Chairman and CEO

  • Yes, so a couple things to think about, Jeff. First off, keep in mind some of our oldest facilities are in cities like Los Angeles and Houston. They happen to be our smallest-footprint facilities, with our smallest kitchen. And they also happen to do well over $2 million in sales a year. So from the standpoint of any constraints, we don't see those. Actually, the newer restaurants can facilitate even higher sales than that. And those are what we're building today, and we would expect that the $1.8 million is something we can grow on top of.

  • And what's really going to be the driver of that, we believe, is the menu, primarily. And then supporting the menu would be operational efficiencies. But the big learning, I think, that came out of the research was that, from a prioritization standpoint, we were going to get more of a return -- an early return on investing in menu enhancements than we were on operational efficiencies. So it's not that we are forgetting operational efficiencies; it's just that from a prioritization standpoint, we're going to drive the menu to be a better menu first, followed by, or least paralleled by, operational efficiencies.

  • - Analyst

  • Got it. And then just the refranchising. Jerry, I think you mentioned you are now pretty much complete. And obviously, it's been a long journey from 5, 10 years ago. Just a couple things. Just wondering what you would say is maybe the biggest noticeable operational difference? We understand the financial impact, but what you would say is the biggest difference, now versus then? And whether there are thoughts to pushing above the low 80%s? What the positives and negatives might be, to consider a next tranche to take you to that 90% or more?

  • - EVP and CFO

  • Let me start with the last question first here. I think we're not married to a number. There's nothing magic about 81% or 82% or 85% or 75%, or 90%, for that matter. The real issue for us is, can it be accretive to operating earnings, in a post-refranchising world?

  • And with the average unit volumes trending above $1.8 million right now, that makes that a very high hurdle to be able to refranchise, and make it accretive to earnings. So I think we're pretty happy with where we are on that. It doesn't mean that we never look at one-off type transactions. But again, we're at $1.8 million volume, and 20%-ish margins. It makes it very difficult to justify refranchising transactions.

  • - Analyst

  • Got it. And if I can just ask one last thing. In terms of the balance sheet, I think you guys talked about the ongoing share repo, and the very healthy dividend increase. I'm just wondering how the Board thinks about leverage, in the context of returning even more cash? Or what's the right balance, from that perspective?

  • - EVP and CFO

  • I think the Board is still comfortable with this 2 to 3 times leverage. I think, in this quarter, with the share repurchase, we actually did nudge above 2 times for the first time; we were working pretty hard to get there. The Board is still obviously, with another $100 million share repurchase authorization, very bullish, with respect to us continuing to return cash to shareholders. And a 50% increase in the dividend, I think, also indicates their appetite to continue to do so. And I think the ability for us to get credit, and the free cash flow that we are generating, bodes well for us to continue to be very active, with respect to returning cash to shareholders.

  • - Analyst

  • Great. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Keith Siegner, UBS.

  • - Analyst

  • This is Dennis Gallagher on for Keith. With competition announcing an aggressive shift to new digital engagement tools, including mobile order pay, and even delivery, where are you in that process now? And I guess more specifically, given, I believe, you've indicated you'd likely initiate broader mobile digital efforts at Qdoba first, where is Qdoba in that process right now?

  • - Chairman and CEO

  • So we -- everything you said is accurate. We're going to focus on Qdoba first. And the infrastructure that we're building for the Qdoba business actually bodes well for Jack in the Box, as we start to move into the same space. The Qdoba process is well underway, and we would anticipate being able to, into next year, start to test and initiate the use of that new technology. And keep in mind, Qdoba has not been out of that space. We've actually been active in that space for quite some time, and we have experienced quite a bit of success with it. But we believe, with the changes to the platform, we'll be able to engage consumers even better. And we believe that will drive even stronger results.

  • - Analyst

  • Great. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Robert Derrington, Wunderlich Securities.

  • - Analyst

  • Yes, thank you. Most of my questions have been answered, but I have one quick one, Jerry. When does your window open, on your repurchase program?

  • - EVP and CFO

  • Generally opens the day after, or two days after, we file the Q, depending on how early we file the Q.

  • - Analyst

  • Got it.

  • - EVP and CFO

  • So soon.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay. Very good. Thank you.

  • - VP of IR and Corporate Communications

  • I think that is all the questions that we have for today. Thanks for joining us, and we look forward to speaking with you soon.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. That concludes today's conference. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.