International Seaways Inc (INSW) 2025 Q4 法說會逐字稿

Hello, everyone.

Thank you for attending today's International Seaways Inc. Fourth quarter 2025 earnings conference call. My name is William and I will be your moderator today.

All lines will be muted during the presentation portion of the call with an opportunity for questions and answers at the end.

If you would like to ask a question, you can do so by pressing 1 on your telephone keypad.

At this time, I would now like to pass the conference over to our host, James Small, general counsel with International Seaways. James, you may go ahead.

Thank you and good morning, everyone. Welcome to International Seaways Earnings call, the Fourth quarter of school year 2025.

Before we begin, I would like to start off by advising everyone with us today of the following.

During this call and then the accompanying presentation, management may make forward-looking statements regarding the company or the industry in which it operates, which may address without limitation the following topics.

Outlooks for the crude tanker and product tanker markets, changing trading patterns, forecasts of world and regional economic activity, forecasts covering the production of and demand for oil and petroleum products, the effects of ongoing and threatened conflicts around the world, the company's strategy and business prospects, expectations about revenues and expenses, including vessel, charter hire and G&A expenses, estimated future bookings, TCE rates, and capital expenditures. Projected dry dock and offpire days.

You build vessel construction vessel sales and purchases.

Anticipated financing transactions and plans to issue dividends, economic, regulatory and political developments in the United States and globally, the company's ability to achieve its financing and other objectives and its consideration of strategic alternatives, and the company's relationships with its stakeholders.

Overlooking statements take into account assumptions made by management based on various factors including management's experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions expected in future developments. And other factors that management believes are appropriate to consider in the circumstances.

Forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions, many of which are beyond the company's control that could cause actual results to differ materially from those implied or expressed by the statements.

Factors, risks, and uncertainties that could cause the company's actual results to differ from expectations include those described in our annual report on Form 10k for 2025 as well as in other filings that we have made or in the future may make with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.

Now let me turn the call over to Lois Zabrocky, our President and Chief Executive Officer. Lois Zabrocky.

Thank you very much, James. Good morning, everyone.

Thank you for joining International Seaway's earnings call for the fourth quarter and full year of 2025.

On slide 4 of the presentation, which you can find in the investor relations section of our website, net income for the fourth quarter was $128 million or $2.56 per diluted share.

Excluding special items, adjusted net income for the fourth quarter was $122 million or $2.45 per diluted share, and adjusted EBITDA was $175 million.

Today we also announced the declaration of our largest ever quarterly dividend, which is a combined $2.15 per share to be paid in March.

After this payment, Seaways will have paid over $1 billion in returns to our shareholders since 2020.

A milestone that we are very proud of.

As you can see in the upper right section of the slide, the dividend represents a payout ratio of 87% of our fourth quarter adjusted net income and is our sixth consecutive quarter with a payout ratio of at least 75%.

We continue to believe in building on our track record of returning to shareholders as part of our consistent and balanced capital allocation strategy.

We also have our $50 million share repurchase program in place until the end of 2026 as share repurchases remain an option for Seaways as an addendum to our payout ratio.

On the lower part of the page, we are consolidating Tankers International, the leading VLCC pool by acquiring the remaining 50% interest and expanding Tankers International with a Sus Max platform.

We took delivery of the Seaways Gibbs Hill and she delivered into Tankers International at the end of December.

We paid $119 million for this high spec scrubber fitted VLCC after disposing of 10 older vessels with an average age of 18 years for proceeds of $131 million.

So, far in 2026, we've continued this trend by selling another seven older vessels for proceeds of $216 million.

Our remaining 4 LR1s will deliver in 2026, completing our new build program which is fully financed.

These two fundamental reasons are why we were able to extend our dividend beyond our 7% payout ratio.

With only $30 million of seaways cash needed to take delivery of the LR1s, as well as the impeccable state of our balance sheet, which you can see on the lower right hand of the page, we believe this dividend provided great returns for our shareholders.

We review our capital allocation strategy quarterly with our board, and we remain steadfast in our commitment to shareholders.

We have $724 million in total liquidity, which includes nearly $170 million in cash and $560 million in undrawn revolver capacity.

During the fourth quarter we repaid our leases as previously announced of about $258 million. This was then followed by the third quarter's bond issuance for $250 million which unencumbered six VLCCs and lowered our cost of debt.

Our net loan to value is below 13% and our spot cash break-even rate is less than $15,000 per day.

Turning to slide 5, we've updated our standard set of bullets on tanker demand drivers with subtle green up arrows next to the bullet representing positive influences for tankers, the black dash representing a neutral impact, and red down arrows meaning the topic is not positive for tanker demand.

Without reading these bullets individually, we believe demand fundamentals are solid and continue to support a constructive outlook for seaborne tanker transportation.

Oil demand growth remains healthy at more than 1 million barrels per day of growth projected for both 2026 and 2027.

OpEx plus is supplementing the million barrels per day of non-OpEx production increases by unwinding their own previous cuts.

In the lower left-hand chart, both the EII and the IEI are forecasting supply to exceed demand in 2026.

We experienced some of this during the fourth quarter where there was a substantial amount of oil on the water, much of which we understand to have done sanctioned barrels. However, as we look ahead, the market has not reacted to this projected oversupply.

You would expect a tangled structure market or at least a drop in the absolute price of oil.

However, as you can see in the middle bottom chart, the market structure remains backward, and absolute prices remain elevated.

We believe China to be stocking up as they have built substantial storage capacity as seen in the lower right-hand chart.

Another element driving the oil market dynamics is the geopolitical environment.

The U.S.Iran tensions remain elevated.

The Russia-Ukraine conflict has not been resolved.

The United States started the year with upheaval of the Venezuelan government and their oil production.

The geopolitical intensity on tankers remains strong, and we continue to work through a multitude of scenarios that constantly impact our business.

On the supply side, on slide 6 of the presentation, we're starting to see the enforcement of sanctions that are affecting our business, which provides support for the compliant fleet.

When we take into consideration sanctioned vessels, the order book remains well below replacement of the fleet.

On the bottom right hand chart we reflect vessels turning 18 or older by the end of 2029 when a majority of the order book will have delivered.

We also layered in currently sanctioned vessels into the dark bars on the chart.

These removal candidates to the compliant trade remain a multiple of those vessels that are on order as noted in the chart as the light bars.

This remains one of the most compelling cases for tanker shipping, and the bottom line is that even with 15% of the fleet on order, there is simply not enough tankers to cover removal candidates for the compliant trade.

We believe these fundamentals should translate into a continued upcycle over the next few years, and Seaways remains well positioned to capitalize on these market conditions.

We will continue to execute our balanced capital allocation strategy to renew our fleet as well as to adapt to industry conditions with a strong balance sheet while returning to shareholders.

I will now turn it over to our CFO Jeffrey Pribor to provide the financial review, Jeff.

Thanks, Lois and good morning, everyone.

On slide 8, net income for the fourth quarter was approximately $128 million or $2.56 per diluted share.

Including special items, our net income was $122 million or $2.45 per diluted share.

On the upper right chart, adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter was $175 million.

In the appendix we provided a reconciliation from reported earnings to adjusted earnings.

On the lower left chart, I would point out that our TCE revenues from crude and have been evenly balanced over the past year.

But the crude segment outperformed products in Q4 with the return of the OCCs as a leader in tanker ears.

While our revenue expenses were largely within expectations for the year, fourth quarter vessel expenses were higher than our guidance due to timing of stores and spares at year end.

The lining business in the fourth quarter had around $7 million in revenue and expenses.

Turning to our cash bridge on slide 9.

We began the quarter with total liquidity of $985 million composed of $413 million in cash and $572 million in undrawn revolving capacity.

Following along the chart from left to right on the cash bridge.

We add $175 million in adjusted Eva do the fourth quarter, that's $19 million in debt service and another $23 million in dry dock and capital expenditures.

We therefore achieved our definition of free cash flow of about $135 million for the fourth quarter.

We've received 36 million in proceeds from the sale of vessels in Q4, which offsets the remaining expense of 107 million for the purchase of the Seaways Gibbs Hill.

A 2020CC was delivered in the fourth quarter.

We also paid about $6 million in LR1 new building installments of financing.

As previously announced, we repaid the sale lease back on 6 DLCCs for $258 million deploying the proceeds for last quarter's not on issuance.

The remaining $42 million represents our $0.86 per share dividend that we paid in December.

The latter few bars reflect our balanced capital allocation approach where we utilize all the pillars fleet renewal, dollar sheet optimization, and returns to shareholders.

In summary, the result of our activity this quarter yields a net decrease in cash of $261 million.

This equates to ending cash of $167 million with $557 million indrawn revolvers for total liquidity of nearly $724 million.

When we to slide 10, we have a strong financial position detailed by the balance sheet on the left hand side of the page.

Liquidity remains strong at $724 million.

We have invested about $2 billion in vessels that cost on the books, which are currently valued at about $3 billion.

And with under $400 million in net debt at the end of the fourth quarter, our net loan to value is approximately 13%.

In the lower right hand table of the page we have included a summary of our debt profile.

Gross debt at the end of 2025 was $578 million.

Mandatory debt repayments through the end of 2026 are about 30 million.

Our debt is 100% fixed or hedged, which contributes to our cost of debt being below 6%.

We continue to enhance our balance sheet to maintain the financial flexibility necessary to facilitate growth as well as returns to shareholders.

Our nearest maturity in the portfolio isn't until the next decade. We have 31 unencumbered vessels and we have ample undrawn RCF capacity.

We continue to explore ways to lower our rates in the cost even more to share in the upside with substantial returns to shareholders.

And the last slide that I'll cover, slide 11 reflects our forward-looking guidance and up to dateate TCE aligned with our podcast break-even rate.

Starting with TCE pictures for the first quarter of 2026, I'll remind you that actual TCE during our next train call may be different.

But in the first quarter so far, we are continuing to see the impacts of the elevated rate environment we began to see in the second half of 2025.

We currently have a blended average spot TCE of about $50,500 per day, 71% of our first quarter expense revenues.

On the right hand side, our expected 2026 break even rate is about $14,800 per day.

Based on our spot TC book date and our spot break even, it looks like sea waves can continue to generate significant free cash flows during the 1st quarter and build on our track record of returning cash to shareholders.

On the bottom left hand chart, we provide some updated guidance for our expenses in 2026.

You'll notice that we've added a few million dollars per quarter to our projected DNA.

These increases represent the impact of consolidating Tankers International into INSW's financials.

I would also like to note that we've added guidance for what we were referring to as other revenues which are TI commissions that offset this increase.

We also include in the appendix our quarterly expected off hiring caps.

I don't plan to read each item line by line, but encourage you to use these for modeling purposes.

That concludes my remarks. I'd like to now turn the call back to Lois for her closing comments.

Thank you so much, Jeff. On slide 12, we have provided you with Seaways investment highlights, which we encourage you to read in its entirety. And I will summarize here briefly. Over the last 10 years, International Seaways has built a strong track record of returning cash to shareholders, maintaining a healthy balance sheet, and growing the company.

Our total shareholder returns represent over 25% compounded annual return.

We continue to renew our fleet so that our average age is about 10 years old in what we see as a sweet spot for tanker investments and returns.

We've invested in a range of asset classes to cast a wide net for growth opportunities and to supplement our scale in each class, we operate in larger pools.

We aim to keep our balance sheet fortified for any downturn in the cycle. We have over $550 million in undrawn credit capacity to support our growth.

Our net debt is under 13% of the fleet's current value, and we have 31 vessels that are unencumbered.

And lastly, our spot ships only need to earn collectively under $15,000 per day to break even in 2026.

At this point in the cycle, we expect to continue generating cash that we will put to work to create value for the company and for our shareholders.

Thank you very much.

And with that said, operator, we would now like to open up the lines for questions.

Thank you.

If you would like to ask a question, please press star followed by 1 on your telephone keypad. If you would like to remove your question, press followed by 2. Again, to ask a question, press 1.

As a reminder, if you are using a speakerphone, please remember to pick up your handset before asking a question.

We will pause here briefly as registered.

Our first question comes from the line of Liam Burke with B. Riley. Liam, your line is now open.

Thank you. Good morning, Lois. Good morning, Jeff.

Good morning.

Lois, I had a question on your MR, partial fixtures for the first quarter 26. You prepared comments, you mentioned that the refinery margins are at 5-year averages, but it doesn't seem that compelling, to warrant the type of, TCE rates that you've got fixed for, first quarter. Is there anything out there in the macro that's driving up those rates?

Well, geopolitically, of course, now, EU is not going to import refined Russian product and that had previously been allowed from India and so there's definitely a period of adjustment here that benefits the MRs versus the bigger clean LRs that normally would do that move right? So, that helps us logistically and then Derek Stallone, our Chief Commercial Officer, Derek, maybe talk about. Diesel spikes or the the winter.

Thanks both. I guess I would say, firstly, your main geopolitical point seems to be one of the big drivers of the MR rates being as strong as they are, like you said, it's.

Less refined product coming in from India that came from Russian crude, so that was previously coming in on bigger product carriers, so that's the benefit of the MRs and also, when you see less refined products coming from Turkey, which was previously refined from Russian crude, that's all coming from Atlantic, a lot of that's coming from Atlantic basin, so that's US Gulf exports back to Europe, which is really helping the MRs, and of course we've had a.

Pretty challenging winter here in the Northeast as many of the listeners will know and so when you get these weather delays, you get a lot of.

Shifts Being disutilized or stuck in port, so that sort of exacerbated the supply issue which has helped us.

Great thank you and then Lois you have been pretty nimble moving from spot to time charters looks like that you're pretty comfortable with rates spot rates are going to be healthy for the.

For the foreseeable future.

Oh yes, absolutely, the spot market is just going from strength to strength. This is not to say that we wouldn't layer in some time charters, as we just see these, outsized numbers, but we're going to be judicious we.

I mean, part of what we hope the value add is to remain open to when you see the high utilization and then the geopolitical laid on top of it, even though we can't control that, to remain open to the possibilities of this market which has just continued to impress us.

Great.

Thank you, loss.

Thanks, Liam.

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Sharif El-Maghrabi with BTIG. Sharif, your line is now open.

Hey, good morning.

Thank you. The, at this point, the VLCC fleet is looking pretty modern and you guys have refreshed a good chunk of your MRs. Just looking across your diversified fleet, there's still some older vessels maybe on the Suez Max side. Can we think about that as the next stop on your renewal campaign, or maybe more broadly, where are you seeing the most attractive opportunities.

Right now?

Yeah, I, I'll flip it over to you, Derek, in a second, but we definitely say, of course, you see us taking the remaining 4 of our LR 6 LR1s, the 1st 2 are already operating in the fleet, and that was just incredibly well timed on that renewal, really critical sector for us. And you know you saw us bring in a modern VLCC, right before, the market went crazy here we still like the lineup of the big ships and rec while recognizing that, right now, the market, as I said, is going from strength to strength. I don't know if you want to add anything to that, Derek, or if that cuts it.

No, Lois, thank you, that's.

That's the same answer I give.

Thanks Sharif.

And then one for Jeffrey.

You guys took the opportunity to excise some purchase options and.

That's all good stuff that lowers your cost of debt.

Can you remind us just are there any other repurchase options coming up on your remaining sale lease back vessels?

Hire, we, we've got, flexibility on all of the remaining, debt that we have that structured as leases, so we have complete flexibility, but, a real theme of 2025 was that we would, we put our balance sheet in a place where we want to be. So, I don't see us, exercising those options which is essentially.

Additional leveraging beyond where we are today because we like where we are and that allows us maximum flexibility to do things like we did which was increase our dividends.

Very clear.

Thanks everyone.

Thanks.

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Omar Nokta with Clarksons Securities. Omar, your line is now open.

Thank you. Hey guys, good morning. Just a couple of questions on the company specifically. Obviously seeing as low as you were just talking about, we're seeing rates go from strength to strength, and you know typically when VLCCs hit these 200,000 levels, it's almost like the culmination of some short squeeze, but it feels like this is a bit stickier. Just wanted to ask in terms of your current VLCC footprints, you have the 3, the 3 VLCCs on contract to show that are, that do have a profit share element. Can you just remind us how that profit split works on those ships?

No, absolutely, Derek, why don't you describe how that's rewarding INSW right now?

Okay, Omar, good morning.

The profit shares that we have on the Shel VLCCs, we have a base rate.

That we've had since the beginning of the time charter and then there's a market element that is added to that based on the stock market and the Baltic graph and then from there we split we split the profits above that base rate.

5,050 with our charter.

So, in a market like this it'll be quite beneficial.

Okay, so there's no, so full upside, there's no cap at the top in terms of where the spot rate, there's no collar, for instance, on that.

Oh, great question, Omar, thanks, but no, there's no cap on top.

Okay, thank you. And then maybe I know this is obviously a board decision, you've stepped up the dividend here to that 87% threshold, the past maybe 4 or 5 quarters you were around that 75% level. Is this a new range for us to expect going forward, especially just given, the earnings power and the liquidity and the overall leverage, or low leverage you have? Is 87% something we should kind of think about as a new base level, going forward?

Omar, I'll start on that one and let Jeff, that's where he lives. But we're super excited. This is our highest dividend return to shareholders, and this follows six quarters of at least 75%. And that's a lot of that's testament to the balance sheet. And Jeff, do you want to add to that?

Sure, thanks, Lois. Yeah, Omar, it's a definition of a high-quality problem is how to keep dividend providing a really good yield when your stock price is going up steadily, so, I'm, we're super pleased to have this dividend as to be the one that puts us over the top to over a billion dollars in dividends in total.

That's number one.

Again, we, I think we've talked about it a lot. We really focused on free cash flow, right? And what we looked at was, hey, as we said, the balance sheet is in good shape. We don't need to allocate more, cash to deleveraging. We had the $30 million of all the one payments that Lois mentioned in her remarks, what we needed for free renewal this quarter, so we were able to direct all the rest of the free cash flow. To a to a dividend and that sort of worked out to be 215 or 87% you know again we focus first on cash and but we know we're always going to lean into increasing the dividend and we know people want to know how that is as the as the payout ratio so yeah it's the highest yet, it, it's represents a 12% over 12% yield on an annualized basis.

We will, it's part of the pattern, as I said, we'll lean into always being able to share as much as we can with the shareholders.

Great, thank you. Thanks, Jeff that's helpful and, I'll turn it over. Thanks.

Thank you, Omar.

Thank you. And as another brief reminder, if you would like to ask a question, you can do so by pressing one on your telephone keypad. Our next question comes from the line of Chris Robertson with Deutsche Bank. Chris, your line is now open.

Thank you, operator, and good morning, Lois and Jeff.

Thanks, good morning.

Hey, Morning.

In terms of the current market strength, what is your assessment around the impact that Sinoor Maritime has had on the VLCC segment in particular, and do you think that, this impact is enduring or fleeting?

Yeah, so, we only like to opine about ourselves, but without a doubt, the, I would call it a restructuring of the ownership base and where.

Always tanker owners are highly fragmented. So, the fact that, you now have a major player consolidating.

Legitimate DLCC tonnage is a true strength in our market and that indeed, as we've combined to as max is now into Tankers International that offers owners also a footprint to keep that commercial exposure and come into a position of strength so we really are excited. About what we're seeing there, it is a fundamental shift in the ownership base and again, in a highly fragmented market right now you've got over 150 VLCCs on the OAC sanction list, players that are not maintaining their shifts that are trading rogue barrels, and the fact that in that market that, this owner has recognized.

Oh, now is the time to gather legitimate unsanctioned tonnage and really take advantage of the marketplace.

It's got staying power and it's very strong leadership and exciting to all the DLCC owners.

Yeah, interesting, Lois, thank you for that. Just kind of building on that, given the impact that it has had and owners are seeing the impact, what are your thoughts around further consolidation in the industry either on the crude side or the refined product side? Do you think we'll see more of it now that, these benefits are pretty clear?

I think so and and I also would say that, our customer base, recognizes this these are, you see a shift from the charters, the customers into recognizing and.

Making sure that they have access to tonnage, so this just provides more.

Drive and demand for owners where I think you know when the market looks like it doesn't have as high a utilization.

Customers can be more relaxed. So, you're seeing customers saying, hey, I need to make sure that I have access to vessels and all of that, structurally is super positive for tanker owners.

Got it. I appreciate the color.

Thank you.

Thank you. At this time, I would now like to pass the conference back over to Lois for any closing remarks.

We just want to thank everyone for joining us, International Seaways for our Q4 and full year 2025. And we look forward to talking to you next quarter with strong tanker markets.

Thank you.

Thank you. That will conclude today's conference call.

Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect your lines.