ICON PLC (ICLR) 2019 Q3 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen,

  • thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Q3

  • results 2019 conference call. (Operator Instructions) I

  • also must advise you that this conference is being

  • recorded today.

  • And I would now like to hand the conference over to

  • your first speaker today, Mr. Jonathan Curtain. Thank

  • you. Please go ahead, sir.

  • Jonathan Curtain - VP of Corporate Finance & IR

  • Thanks, John. Good day, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you

  • for joining us on this call covering the quarter ended

  • September 30, 2019. Also on the call today, we have our

  • CEO, Dr. Steve Cutler; and our CFO, Mr. Brendan

  • Brennan. I would like to note that this call is webcast

  • and that there are slides available to download on our

  • website to accompany today's call.

  • And certain statements in today's call will be

  • forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ

  • materially from those stated or implied by forward-

  • looking statements due to risks and uncertainties

  • associated with the company's business, and listeners

  • are cautioned that forward-looking statements are not

  • guarantees of future performance. The company's filings

  • with the Securities and Exchange Commission discuss the

  • risks and uncertainties associated with the company's

  • business.

  • This presentation includes selected non-GAAP financial

  • measures. For a presentation of the most directly

  • comparable GAAP financial measures, please refer to the

  • press release statements headed consolidated --

  • Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (U.S.

  • GAAP) (Unaudited). While non-GAAP financial measures

  • are not superior to, or a substitute for the comparable

  • GAAP measures, we believe certain non-GAAP information

  • is more useful to investors for historical comparison

  • purposes.

  • From January 1, 2018, the revenue recognition standard

  • ASC 606 became effective for ICON. Consequently,

  • current and prior year comments made by both Brendan

  • and Steve incorporate the impact of this revenue

  • standard. All business win and backlog-related

  • financial measurements comprise both direct fee and

  • pass-through components. This is consistent with

  • financial measurement presented in quarter 1 and

  • quarter 2 of this year.

  • We will be limiting the call today to 1 hour and would

  • therefore ask participants to keep their questions to

  • one each with an opportunity to ask one related

  • follow-up question.

  • I would now like to hand over the call to our CFO, Mr.

  • Brendan Brennan.

  • Brendan Brennan - CFO

  • Thank you, Jonathan. In quarter 3, we achieved gross

  • business wins of $1.079 billion. We recorded $148

  • million worth of cancellations. Consequently, net

  • awards in the quarter were $931 million, resulting in a

  • strong net book to bill of 1.31. On a trailing 12 month

  • basis, our net book to bill was 1.32. With the addition

  • of these new awards, our backlog grew to $8.4 billion.

  • This represents a year-on-year increase of 12%.

  • Revenue in quarter 3 was $710.4 million. This

  • represents year-on-year growth of 8.5% or 9.5% on a

  • constant currency basis. On a constant dollar organic

  • basis, year-on-year revenue growth was 8.4%. Year-to-

  • date revenue in quarter 3 was $2.080 billion. This

  • represents a year-on-year growth of 8.5% or 10.3% on a

  • constant currency basis. On a constant dollar organic

  • basis, year-on-year revenue growth was 9.4%.

  • Our top customer represented 11.4% of revenue for the

  • quarter compared with 14.1% in quarter 3 2018. We

  • expect revenue concentration from our top customer to

  • remain in line with our previously stated guidance of

  • 11% to 13% of revenue for the full year. Growth outside

  • our top customer on a trailing 12-month basis remained

  • robust. Our top 5 customers represented 36.2% compared

  • to 40.5% last year. Our top 10 represented 49.1%

  • compared to 55% last year, while our top 25 represented

  • 67.9% compared to 71.2% last year.

  • Gross margin for the quarter was 29.7% compared to

  • 29.4% in quarter 2 and 29.9% in the comparable quarter

  • last year. As revenue growth continues, we continue to

  • leverage our global business support model. As a

  • result, SG&A was 12% of revenue in the quarter. This

  • compared to 12% last quarter and 12.3% in comparable

  • period last year.

  • Operating income for the quarter was $110 million, a

  • margin of 15.5%. This compared to 15.3% last quarter

  • and 15% in the comparable quarter last year. The net

  • interest expense for the quarter was $1.5 million, and

  • the effective tax rate was 12%.

  • Net income attributable to the group for the quarter

  • was $94.8 million, a margin of 13.3%, equating to

  • diluted earnings per share of $1.74. This compares to

  • earnings per share of $1.69 in quarter 2 and $1.54 in

  • the comparable quarter last year, an increase of 13%.

  • On a comparative non-GAAP basis, days sales outstanding

  • were 56 days at September 30, 2019. This compares with

  • 61 days at the end of June 2019. The primary reason for

  • our improvement this quarter can be attributed to the

  • conversion of billed receivables into cash. During the

  • quarter, cash generated from operating activities was a

  • strong $160.7 million. We remain focused on all

  • elements of our DSO, particularly the transition of

  • unbilled revenue to build debt. And we feel confident

  • that our full year cash from operations will be in the

  • range of $320 million to $360 million.

  • As you all have seen from the press release last night,

  • during the quarter, the group completed the acquisition

  • of Symphony Clinical Research. This was for an initial

  • payment of $31.6 million. In addition, during the

  • quarter, capital expenditure was $13.7 million and

  • $76.5 million worth of stock was repurchased at an

  • average price of $151.80. At September 30, 2019, the

  • company had net cash of $121.7 million compared to net

  • cash of $81.8 million at June 30, 2019, and net cash of

  • $142.3 million at September 30, 2018.

  • With all of that said, I'd now like to hand the call

  • over to Steve.

  • Steven A. Cutler - CEO & Director

  • Thank you, Brendan, and good morning, everyone. Quarter

  • 3 was another quarter of excellent progress for ICON.

  • During the quarter, we delivered record growth and net

  • business wins leading to a very healthy quarterly book

  • to bill of 1.31 or 1.32 on a trailing 12-month basis.

  • ICON's continuing positive business development

  • performance means we grew our backlog by 12% year-on-

  • year to nearly $8.4 million and recorded a robust

  • revenue increase year-over-year of 9.5% on a constant

  • currency basis.

  • As with recent prior periods, we continue to expand

  • relationships and revenues from customers outside our

  • top 10, which grew by over 20% on an annual basis.

  • As we develop these new customers, we expect to see

  • further revenue growth from them as we move into 2020.

  • We believe this diversification leaves us well-

  • positioned for a consistent and sustainable future

  • growth.

  • The backdrop of a strong outsourcing landscape and

  • continued biotech demand offers possibilities to

  • broaden our existing customer base, and we are pleased

  • to see new strategic alliance opportunities opening up

  • across our clinical research, functional solutions, and

  • laboratory service lines. These customers are looking

  • to leverage ICON's operational excellence, flexible

  • partnership model and depth of therapeutic expertise

  • across our global footprint, all underpinned by our

  • differentiated patient, site and data strategy.

  • In anticipation of our operational delivery

  • requirements, a significant proportion of our 2019

  • headcount hiring occurred during the earlier months of

  • this year. This meant that during quarter 3 we were

  • able to improve utilization and expand our gross margin

  • to 29.7% of revenue. Moving forward, we will continue

  • to closely assess our hiring requirements in line with

  • our project pipelines and will ramp our recruitment

  • accordingly in line with project needs.

  • As we balance revenue growth with our requirements for

  • additional project resources, we continue to leverage

  • our global business support model.

  • During the quarter, we saw further evidence of this

  • with SG&A remaining in line with the prior quarter of

  • 12% of revenue, down from 12.3% last year.

  • As we have demonstrated over the years, our SG&A

  • leverage remains a key industry-leading strength. We

  • have developed a strong positive culture within our

  • support structure that is focused on best-in-class

  • service delivery and appropriate cost-saving

  • initiatives.

  • As we move forward into 2020 and beyond, we will

  • continue to balance our investment needs with savings

  • opportunities in these areas. This continued focus on

  • operational excellence and the proactive management of

  • our cost base resulted in an operating margin of 15.5%,

  • up from 15% last year. This led to an EPS increase of

  • 13% year-over-year to $1.74.

  • We continue to develop our patient, site and data

  • strategy. At this time I'm delighted to announce the

  • acquisition of Symphony Clinical Research, a provider

  • of site and patient clinical trial support services.

  • This acquisition, concluded in late September, further

  • enhances our ability to help solve our customers' key

  • challenge of getting patients into clinical trials

  • faster and more efficiently.

  • The acquisition of Symphony complements ICON's existing

  • PMG and MeDiNova site networks in the U.S. and Europe.

  • Importantly, it means ICON can now offer patients at-

  • home trial services, which will make it more convenient

  • and accessible for patients to participate in clinical

  • trials. This patient-centric approach helps reduce the

  • travel burden for patients, broadening ICON's

  • recruitable population and providing patients access to

  • clinical research studies in which they may not have

  • otherwise been able to participate.

  • At-home trial services will improve our ability to

  • recruit and retain patients in traditional studies, and

  • crucially, it will also enhance our ability to conduct

  • virtual trials as we move forward. Innovation and the

  • ability to execute effectively in this emerging area

  • will be a key differentiator in the future. In quarter

  • 3, we repurchased $76.5 million worth of shares at an

  • average price of $151.80. This means in total we have

  • spent just under $141.6 million year-to-date

  • repurchasing a million shares at an average price of

  • $141.57.

  • During the quarter, we also generated strong cash

  • collections, helping us to achieve cash from operating

  • activities of $161 million. This helped drive our DSO

  • down to 56 days from 61 days last quarter. While the

  • industry trends of customers looking for fewer billing

  • milestones and elongated credit terms remain, we are

  • committed to working with our partners to proactively

  • improve our cash conversion cycle and lower this metric

  • further over the medium term.

  • As we look forward with optimism on the business

  • environment and confidence in our ability to continue

  • to execute our strategy, I want to take this

  • opportunity to update our full year guidance. We expect

  • 2019 revenue to increase to a range of $2.79 billion to

  • $2.83 billion, an increase of 7.5% to 9% year-over-year

  • and earnings per share to increase to a range of $6.81

  • to $6.95, an increase of 11.8% to 14.1% year-over-year.

  • Before moving to Q&A, I would like to welcome all the

  • Symphony staff to ICON. And of course, thank the entire

  • ICON team for all their hard work and commitment during

  • the quarter. Thanks, everyone, and we're now ready for

  • questions.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • And we'll now take our first question, and this comes

  • from the line of Elizabeth Anderson.

  • Elizabeth Hammell Anderson - Associate

  • Congrats on a good quarter. I just had a question. How

  • should we think about the acquisition contribution from

  • Symphony going forward?

  • Brendan Brennan - CFO

  • Elizabeth, welcome back to the (inaudible) group.

  • This is very much a strategic acquisition. So it will

  • be relatively, relatively small in terms of quarterly

  • contribution. So really, you're really looking at a

  • couple of million dollars on a quarterly basis. So we

  • do see it as very, very important from a strategic

  • perspective and obviously being there to really augment

  • the patient experience, but it is relatively small in

  • absolute terms.

  • Elizabeth Hammell Anderson - Associate

  • Okay. Perfect. And then one sort of more broader

  • question. Have you -- could you comment a little bit on

  • the -- any changes and perhaps like site network

  • competition in the quarter or any sort of changes in

  • your offerings and the -- for future margin opportunity

  • there?

  • Steven A. Cutler - CEO & Director

  • From a site network point of view, Elizabeth?

  • Elizabeth Hammell Anderson - Associate

  • Yes.

  • Steven A. Cutler - CEO & Director

  • No real changes. We're bringing the PMG and the

  • MeDiNova site network together. And then we'll overlay

  • that with the services that Symphony offers from a

  • patient point of view. So that whole patient and site

  • network is coming together. We're in the process of

  • doing that. We're starting to see some good traction in

  • terms of the increase in the proportion of patients

  • recruited and the numbers of patients recruited into

  • our trials, but there's no particular changes in terms

  • of the cost base. At this point, we anticipate we'll

  • get some efficiencies as we complete those

  • integrations. That's certainly the aim. But really it's

  • around how we get patients into trials faster. That's

  • the focus of that group.

  • Operator

  • And we'll now take our

  • next question, and this comes from the line of John

  • Kreger.

  • Jonathan Marley Kaufman - Associate

  • This is Jon Kaufman on for Kreger. I realize that you

  • haven't completed budgeting for 2020 yet but do you

  • have any broader observations on how you're thinking

  • about next year?

  • Steven A. Cutler - CEO & Director

  • Jon, no, we're looking at our business. We're actually

  • just starting to go into our budgeting season. So we're

  • going out to our business, looking at the markets,

  • getting some input from various parties, and we've got

  • nothing to announce right at this stage, although we

  • expect our business to continue to grow as we outlined

  • into 2020 and beyond.

  • Jonathan Marley Kaufman - Associate

  • Okay. And then if you look across all of your client

  • segments, are you seeing any signs of caution? And if

  • so, is that coming from large pharma, midsize clients

  • or perhaps the smaller biotech cohort?

  • Steven A. Cutler - CEO & Director

  • We've seen -- I mean demand for our services across all

  • those segments continues to be very solid. Certainly in

  • the biotech space, if we look at our year-to-date

  • trailing 12-month numbers, the dollars are there, the

  • dollars are up on a sort of mid-single-digit basis. So

  • we feel good about that market. I recognize that as we

  • look at the -- we look at the same data review from a

  • funding point of view. And probably, the growth there

  • has come off a little bit from where it was perhaps a

  • couple of quarters or a year ago, and we see that. But

  • in terms of the opportunities we're seeing in that

  • segment, over the period of a year or so, we continue

  • to see opportunity, we continue to see growth, and

  • certainly our backlog has benefited from that.

  • Operator

  • And we will now take our

  • next question, and this comes from the line of Tycho

  • Peterson.

  • Tycho W. Peterson - Senior Analyst

  • I'm wondering if you can talk to the DSO improvement.

  • In the past, I think you've talked about longer time

  • and extended credit terms. So can you maybe just talk

  • to some of the drivers of improvement in DSOs and how

  • sustainable do you think that trend is?

  • Brendan Brennan - CFO

  • Tycho, it's Brendan here. Yes, no, it was a good --

  • very good quarter in terms of the improvements. We

  • would say we still have a lot of work to do and a lot

  • of folks to put on there. I think we were particularly,

  • as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, good at getting

  • cash in on bills are out the door in the current

  • quarter. So it was very much focused on making sure

  • that we were collecting as efficiently as we could, and

  • that's where a lot of the improvement came from.

  • As we have spoken about it in the past, those

  • commercial pressures are still there around folks

  • looking for those fewer milestones and milestones being

  • pushed out further into the contract, and that is

  • something that is still a pressure point as we look at

  • our DSO and the make up of our balance sheet. But as

  • we've said, it is something that we're very focused. It

  • is something that we're working with our customers on

  • particularly to ensure that we are seeing a good level

  • of traction and pull-through of our cash conversion

  • cycle. But that said, it was a good quarter. We are

  • very happy, as I said, $161 million of cash from

  • operations this quarter gives us a very, very good cash

  • conversion ratio of nearly 90% year-to-date on net

  • income. So good pull-through from that perspective, but

  • still work to be done, particularly on that on build

  • debt side.

  • Tycho W. Peterson - Senior Analyst

  • Okay. And then one more for you, Brendan, before I hop

  • over to Steve. Just plans for further share repos, now

  • that you've hit kind of the target for the year?

  • Brendan Brennan - CFO

  • Yes. We'll keep our eyes to the market. It's been funny

  • trading patterns over the last little while. I think

  • opportunistically, we'll still look at the market in

  • the fourth quarter. And if the opportunity presents

  • itself, we will go beyond the 1 million shares already

  • done by end Q3 and get back in the marketplace if the

  • need arises.

  • Tycho W. Peterson - Senior Analyst

  • Okay. And then Steve, we're seeing a little bit of a

  • resurgence on the Alzheimer's front here with the

  • Biogen news. Can you just talk a little bit about your

  • pipeline in CNS more broadly? How robust that is?

  • Steven A. Cutler - CEO & Director

  • Tycho. I'm not sure I'd get too carried away with as

  • you (inaudible) there coming back into the

  • submission stakes. I think there's certainly still some

  • challenges there with regard to that. So I'm not going

  • to get too carried away about the resurgence in the

  • Alzheimer's market based on one sort of resubmission.

  • However, if I look at our CNS portfolio, it continues

  • to grow. It's in the neurology space and psychiatry

  • space. It's an area we're continuing to invest in, in

  • terms of bringing in new medical experts and project

  • managers. We feel we have a good network of sites that

  • can do these sort of trials, a number of the sites than

  • we have in our network are also skilled in the CNS

  • area. So we feel we're well placed to be able to

  • benefit from any uptick in Alzheimer's trial or any

  • other sort of neurological conditions or psychiatric

  • conditions as they come through. It's -- I think it's a

  • strength of ours and one that we are looking to bring

  • forward.

  • Operator

  • And your next question

  • comes from the line of Robert Jones.

  • Robert Patrick Jones - VP

  • I guess, Steve, just to go back to where maybe some of

  • the growth or what you're seeing in the different

  • cohorts on the demand side, clearly, bookings, very

  • strong in the quarter as you guys highlighted.

  • Cancellations, I know you guys characterized as normal.

  • But I mean, maybe just to parse those out a bit, did

  • you see anything in particular from the smaller biotech

  • cohort that either, a, drove the incremental booking

  • strength in the quarter? Or maybe you had a

  • disproportional contribution to the cancellation side

  • of the equation?

  • Steven A. Cutler - CEO & Director

  • No. There was -- I mean some of the growth as we

  • mentioned outside our top 10 is very strong, very

  • substantial. But sometimes you kind of naturally think

  • that outside of our top 10 customers are typically a

  • biotech customer. That's actually not the case. So the

  • growth we drove in that cohort, that outside top 10,

  • was across the spectrum. Certainly, there were some

  • smaller customers in there, but there were also some

  • large and midsized customers in there as well. And

  • that's what I was particularly pleased. 1 or 2 of the

  • partnerships that we've been able to win over the last

  • year, 18 months or so, moved into that and are moving

  • up the league table, so to speak. So we got to -- I

  • think we got growth across the segments in that space.

  • They were all biotech, although, of course, the biotech

  • business has grown recently substantially within our

  • portfolio over the last -- really over the last couple

  • of years, I suppose 18 months or so. Certainly, they

  • are a larger part of our backlog now than they were a

  • year ago, although still very much a minority, around

  • 20%, 25% of our backlog. So the growth -- what I'm

  • pleased about was the growth was fairly broad-based

  • across the segments of our customer segments, and that

  • is I think that's good for us and certainly gives us

  • plenty of optimism in the future in terms of

  • establishing or continuing to develop the relationship

  • with companies who have a portfolio and have a budget

  • that is not just around 1 or 2 projects, but around

  • something much more sustainable of it.

  • Brendan Brennan - CFO

  • Maybe just to add to that quickly, Bob, I think

  • specifically on your point around cancellations in the

  • quarter, I don't think we really saw a skew towards

  • small biotech or large. It was a pretty normal mix.

  • Some of the reasons for operational pieces, some for

  • non. So there was nothing there I think from a

  • therapeutic or a company size perspective that would

  • indicate anything specific.

  • Robert Patrick Jones - VP

  • No. That's helpful. Good to hear. I guess just on -- I

  • know you guys are not in a position yet as you

  • mentioned, to give specifics around 2020 but just so I

  • can think about the way things have trended so far this

  • year, it looks like you're pointing to about somewhere

  • north of 8% top line growth this year. You're on pace

  • to grow the backlog in a similar range to what we saw

  • last year. Is there anything unique or different about

  • the type of wins or the progression of the type of wins

  • that you've seen this year that we should think about

  • as we look forward as far as it relates to conversion

  • from backlog?

  • Steven A. Cutler - CEO & Director

  • I think broadly speaking, no. Bob, the portfolio that

  • we've won, as I just said, it's been -- the last 12, 24

  • months has been I think a larger proportion of biotech

  • working there. But we have I think a good spread of

  • work right across the segments. Large pharma remain a

  • core foundation of our backlog. That will continue.

  • Midsized pharma is very strongly represented as is

  • biotech. So there's been nothing I think in the win

  • profile over the last quarter or 2 that's going to mean

  • we'll drive a different sort of profile as we get into

  • 2020 and beyond.

  • Operator

  • And your next question

  • comes from the line of Juan Avendano.

  • Juan Esteban Avendano - Associate

  • Regarding the point on the cancellations, I mean, I'm

  • calculating a 1.8% cancellation rate in the quarter,

  • which is at really low on historical terms. Am I

  • looking at it correctly?

  • Brendan Brennan - CFO

  • That's a opening backlog, Juan. Yes -- no, that sounds

  • like it's around the right percentage.

  • Steven A. Cutler - CEO & Director

  • It was low teens I think with growth. Yes, I think it

  • was around our expectation. I don't think it was a bad

  • effort in Tier 1.

  • Brendan Brennan - CFO

  • Yes, yes. That was sure.

  • Juan Esteban Avendano - Associate

  • Okay, got it. Now I just wanted to clarify that. And so

  • cancellations are actually historically low. I guess

  • staying on the backlog, could you share with us what

  • your gross win growth rate on a reported basis was

  • year-over-year in third quarter and what it's been

  • year-to-date?

  • Steven A. Cutler - CEO & Director

  • Gross wins were in the low double-digit range from a

  • growth point of view, Juan. You're happy enough with

  • that. It's a little higher on a net basis, but we got

  • back to some comparisons that we didn't provide that

  • both the comparisons at the end. So we were happy with

  • the sort of low double digits on a gross basis.

  • Juan Esteban Avendano - Associate

  • Good. All right. And then have you noticed any changes

  • at all in recent months in the pace of bookings from

  • Bristol-Myers Squibb?

  • Steven A. Cutler - CEO & Director

  • We don't comment on specific bookings from specific

  • customers, Juan. So I'm not going to talk about any

  • specific customer. We've seen continued progress across

  • our large pharma a cadre of customers. It is a matter

  • of public record that we are a supplier to Bristol-

  • Myers. We continue to have a good relationship with

  • them. We continue to work hard with them, and that

  • relationship is ongoing but I'm not going to comment on

  • specific customers and specific bookings.

  • Juan Esteban Avendano - Associate

  • All right. Last -- and lastly, if I may, can you give

  • us an update on the percentage of patients that you're

  • recruiting within your integrated site network in the

  • quarter?

  • Steven A. Cutler - CEO & Director

  • Yes, it was -- we certainly increased that on a year-

  • on-year basis. It's up around 30% from last year. So

  • we're happy to see the input. It did come down a little

  • bit in terms of the proportion of patients recruited,

  • that was partly because there were more -- fewer

  • vaccine studies in this quarter. So it came down a

  • little bit to closer to around 20%, 25% but only on a

  • year-to-year basis, it's gone up. So we're continuing

  • to see traction in that and I think with Symphony

  • coming on board, we'll get more traction around that

  • because of the -- of these guys, our Symphony folks

  • will be helping to support and helping to expand that

  • integrated SMO network. So I'm really pleased to see

  • those 3 companies, essentially 3 acquisitions come

  • together with our site and patient recruitment group to

  • really solidify that offering and really make that key

  • part of what we do.

  • Operator

  • And your next question

  • comes from the line of Dan Brennan.

  • Daniel Gregory Brennan - Senior Equity Research Analyst of Healthcare Life Sciences

  • Great. I wanted to start off with strategic alliances.

  • I think it was mentioned during the prepared remarks,

  • you see some new opportunities. Maybe could you just

  • elaborate a bit outside of your top client, how much of

  • your business today is made up of what you would

  • consider to be strategic alliances? And any light of

  • sight -- or excuse me, any line of sight on these new

  • opportunities which you mentioned?

  • Steven A. Cutler - CEO & Director

  • Sure. we're not going to -- I mean we're not going to

  • comment on specific negotiations, Dan, that we're

  • having at the moment. But I've been delighted with the

  • opportunity that things like the MeDiNova acquisition

  • have allowed us or got us into some discussions with

  • some large pharma potential strategic alliance customer

  • on the lab front. So we continue to have those

  • discussions and were ongoing. And as we all know, these

  • things take some time to come to fruition and certainly

  • take some time before revenue starts to flow, and wins

  • start to open. So we're still in the discussion,

  • negotiation phase, but we have a good reason to believe

  • that we are very well-positioned on the lab front.

  • Our Functional Services group, we're also in discussion

  • with a couple of large, very large providers of the

  • larger alliance partners, one of which would be a very

  • much a new customer to us. So we are very optimistic

  • about that. But again, I don't want to get too far

  • ahead of us on that front. And then the ICR, our Phase

  • II, Phase III business has also been able to make some

  • progress in that area and again I think we see some

  • opportunity there.

  • So these strategic alliances, I would say, make up

  • around about 1/4 of the revenues that we do in that

  • sort of vicinity. I'd like it to be a little higher

  • than that. We certainly see some opportunity to be --

  • for that to be a bit higher going forward. It might be

  • up to 30% I think as we go forward. It's not a figure

  • I'm actually holding my head. And so I'm sort of

  • thinking a little bit off the top of my head. But I

  • think it's around about a 30%, 25% to 30% mark, maybe

  • 1/3. And we see some opportunity I think to move that

  • upwards, and that's certainly what we are looking to do

  • as we go forward.

  • Daniel Gregory Brennan - Senior Equity Research Analyst of Healthcare Life Sciences

  • I wanted to ask a second question on kind of your

  • customer breakdown and understanding that customers

  • move in and out of the buckets that you kind of define

  • when you release. But nonetheless, I think, clients

  • numbers 2 through 5. I think those were growing nearly

  • 30% the last 2 years and year-to-date I think, they are

  • up low single digits. So anything specific to call out

  • there? I know you're not going to mention the customer.

  • But just to kind of understand that bucket, which

  • looked like it was a meaningful driver in the past.

  • Steven A. Cutler - CEO & Director

  • Yes. No, I think on that one, we're -- I think,

  • slightly up in terms of the last quarter or so. But

  • these things, they tend to go, wax and wane a little

  • bit, customers jump in and out of them. I think where

  • we've seen most of the progress is on the, as I say,

  • beyond our top 10, which is really where I want to see

  • most of the progress. We were moving some of those

  • customers up, as I say, up the league table. But 2 to

  • 5, remain obviously an important component of where we

  • are.

  • Brendan Brennan - CFO

  • (inaudible) obviously, a more mature relationships

  • and they're kind of in that more mature relationship

  • phase. You probably wouldn't expect to see quite the

  • levels of growth. We've done well, as you've said, with

  • then accelerating over time. But as Steve said as well,

  • we want to see more balance in our organization. So

  • that's what we're looking.

  • Daniel Gregory Brennan - Senior Equity Research Analyst of Healthcare Life Sciences

  • And then -- and maybe just maybe just a few more quick

  • ones just on the backlog burn. Looks like it was

  • reasonably stable. I think it was down maybe 10 bps I

  • think if I kind of look at the model right now on the

  • slide. But how do we think about that? I mean is it --

  • is this the right Zip code do you think from here given

  • the backlog and kind of how things are progressing?

  • Steven A. Cutler - CEO & Director

  • Yes, I don't -- I think it's one we constantly look at.

  • And to the extent that we win more biotech and small

  • pharma business, Dan, we have the opportunity typically

  • to increase the burn. So the biotech business is a

  • tailwind from a backlog burn point of view, less so

  • with large pharma and less so with the sort of mid

  • pharma, and that remains the bulk of our backlog and

  • the bulk of our wins still. So I would anticipate that

  • we'll probably continue at around about the level we're

  • at, 8.7%, I think was the percentage this quarter. I

  • don't, we're trying to push that up. I'd like to think

  • we could push it up over the next 12 months or so, but

  • with the proportion of oncology business we're getting,

  • that's such an important part of such a large part of

  • the landscape at the moment, and that's always a

  • headwind for us. So this puts and calls on this, I

  • would say, we'll be looking to maintain maybe as these

  • opportunities slightly increase, but I'd say, at this

  • stage, I wouldn't expect too much of an increase in the

  • burn rate.

  • Operator

  • And your next question

  • comes from the line of Jack Meehan.

  • Andrew Brooks Wald - Research Analyst

  • This is Andrew Wald on for Jack. Just looking at the

  • quarter, how would your growth have compared under the

  • old accounting standard? And were there any notable

  • changes from reimbursed expenses?

  • Brendan Brennan - CFO

  • Andrew, I think as we mentioned in the past, there's

  • only one type of revenue, Andrew, and that's the 606

  • revenue reported, and that's why we talk about it

  • year-over-year in percentage terms. So I don't think

  • it's useful trying to parasite the revenue into

  • different elements. We have to look at our projects in

  • totality and work our percentage completions on that

  • basis. So we're happy with the progress we've made. As

  • we've said, 8.5% year-over-year, and I think that's the

  • number we should probably stick to and think about as

  • we think about revenue growth.

  • Andrew Brooks Wald - Research Analyst

  • Okay. Understood. And on the deal environment, in what

  • areas are you looking to add additional assets for the

  • site network?

  • Steven A. Cutler - CEO & Director

  • I mean that's -- we're looking to round that. I mean

  • obviously, the Symphony acquisition moves us more

  • towards patients, which has been a very specific and a

  • very considered move. We do believe the virtual trial

  • environment is going to be important going forward. So

  • we want to be able to position ourselves well to not

  • just follow and take advantage of that, but to actually

  • get ahead and innovate in that area. So as we look at

  • M&A, we'll continue to look at organizations that

  • facilitate the connection with patients. We're

  • continuing to look at how we develop our data

  • resources, particularly in partnership with the various

  • groups we've talked about in the past. That's certainly

  • an area. But around recruitment directly to patients,

  • there's limited opportunities there I think to perhaps

  • acquire. But it will all be around -- most of it will

  • -- sorry, will be around our patient, site and data

  • strategy. That's what we've done certainly this year

  • with the acquisitions we've made, MeDiNova, the lab was

  • a little bit out of that but the PMG and the MeDiNova

  • and now Symphony very much in line with our patients

  • under, and there are organizations around there that

  • we'll continue to look at, in order to fulfill that

  • particularly that patient connection going forward.

  • Operator

  • And your next question

  • comes from the line of Sandy Draper.

  • Alexander Yearley Draper - MD of Equity Research

  • A lot of my questions have been asked and answered. So

  • maybe just a quick one. I missed it, Brendan. The

  • constant dollar organic growth number, I got the

  • constant dollar but I missed the constant dollar

  • organic?

  • Brendan Brennan - CFO

  • Sandy, the constant dollar organic in the quarter was

  • 8.4% year-to-date, constant CDO, same basis was 9.4%.

  • Alexander Yearley Draper - MD of Equity Research

  • Okay. Great. And then maybe for Steve, a follow-up to

  • one of the earlier questions about the broader dynamics

  • in the market. Just more specifically, have you heard

  • any feedback from customers on their discussions around

  • the DC issues around drug price controls, et cetera?

  • There's certainly some uncertainty there. If I look

  • back to 2016, there was some noise around the election

  • that caused some people to pause. I'm just curious if

  • customers are bringing that up or if you had that and

  • you hear that out there in the market, people are

  • saying, "Hey, drug price controls come in, we have to

  • sort of rethink how we do business." I'm just curious

  • any thoughts on that.

  • Steven A. Cutler - CEO & Director

  • Yes. Sandy, we don't get much of that feedback from

  • customers, to be honest. It's not to say that they

  • don't have a wish to do things more efficiently and

  • more cost effectively. That's certainly the case. But

  • it's not really on the basis of, at least, not

  • expressed to us on the basis of drug pricing. I know

  • it's a topic of conversation within your pharma

  • industry, a constant topic of conversation of how that

  • can potentially evolve going forward, but it really

  • doesn't. They don't say it to us, at least not to me.

  • So from my -- and it was one point of view. I'm sorry,

  • I can't give you much joy there, at least much

  • information there.

  • Operator

  • And your next question

  • comes from the line of [Michael Pollard].

  • Unidentified Analyst

  • I was going to ask for more detail on where we stand in

  • the patient engagement site network evolution. But

  • Steve, I think you've addressed a lot of that. So I

  • will shift gears to a couple of others that I had. So

  • one for Brendan. We infrequently talk about debt with

  • ICON because you have a net cash position and generate

  • a lot of cash. The debt you do have is due December of

  • next year. A note, I'm curious what opportunities you

  • see. Rates have, obviously, continued to grind lower

  • for the most part. Should we consider that refinance as

  • opportunity for accretion, roll it over, pay it down,

  • pay some of it down, any initial thoughts would be

  • useful.

  • Brendan Brennan - CFO

  • I think, Mike, we'll certainly be looking to, at least,

  • roll over. So we had good experience. As you know, it's

  • a private placement last time out, and that's a market

  • we're well familiar with. So we'll certainly roll it

  • over. We haven't, I suppose, completed our

  • conversations around whether we extend or decrease. I

  • think, at the very least, we'll keep it at the similar

  • levels and look opportunistically again with what we

  • could do with those dollars as we go into, I suppose,

  • really it's -- as you say quite rightly, at the end of

  • 2020. So it's really more of a tough conversation of

  • what we might do at nearly late '20, early '21. So roll

  • over, good PP market is there, good interest rates at

  • the moment. So we're pretty happy that we'll do at

  • least that and then we'll explore, I suppose, further

  • opportunities as we go to 2020 as to whether we extend

  • that debt position or not.

  • Unidentified Analyst

  • Maybe a follow-up also for you, Brendan. So you've been

  • asked and answered the question on DSO many times, and

  • I think the response has been consistent and makes a

  • lot of sense. You are presenting a non-GAAP DSO now.

  • Can you remind us why it's a non-GAAP DSO? What are we

  • missing? What are the pieces that we can dig up every

  • quarter to align our calculations, which we were doing,

  • say, last year and the years previous to the new

  • calculation?

  • Brendan Brennan - CFO

  • Sure, Mike. I mean the reasons we're doing it that way

  • is purely because part of our direct cost space now is

  • something that previously would have been included in

  • getting to our net revenue position, which is obviously

  • investigator accruals. But investigators are an element

  • of a direct cost now, and as a result, don't go into a

  • DSO calculation and are kept as separately on the

  • balance sheet. So that's where it is different. That's

  • now sitting in a different line in the balance sheet.

  • So it doesn't impact and doesn't decrease our DSO in

  • the same way we would have done in the calculation

  • previously.

  • I think that's appropriate from an accounting

  • perspective, but obviously, it does have this impact.

  • We're showing the DSO on a like-for-like basis to give

  • people more historical comparison of where we were in

  • the past and where we are now. We're going to continue

  • to work on it. But I think working from a calculation

  • of the balance sheet now that would give you a higher

  • number of days is equally valid. I think what we're

  • focused on is making sure that the trajectory of where

  • both of those numbers are going continues to be in the

  • right direction. And so we're very focused on making

  • sure that if we bring a non-GAAP DSO down by 1 day, the

  • GAAP number is down by 1 day as well. So we're very

  • focused on actually making sure that we're moving in

  • the right direction regardless of what the number is.

  • But the number what we quoted at the moment is very

  • comparable to what we did in the past to give people

  • some context given that it changed.

  • Operator

  • And your next question

  • comes from the line of David Windley.

  • David Howard Windley - Equity Analyst

  • I'm catching up. I'm reading notes. I don't think this

  • question's been asked. Your gross margin has been under

  • some pressure for a little while and ticked up

  • sequentially in the third quarter, still down year-

  • over-year, but maybe at a slower rate. Wondered is that

  • just a tremble of the needle? Or is that actually a

  • signal that some pressures have abated and maybe gross

  • margin can stabilize or even turn higher?

  • Steven A. Cutler - CEO & Director

  • Dave, it's Steve here. Yes, I think from our point of

  • view, gross margin has been under a little bit of

  • pressure. And as I said in my prepared remarks, we

  • recruited fairly actively, particularly in the second

  • quarter to prosecute the work that we've won really

  • over the last couple of quarters, 12 months or so. And

  • that had a bit of an impact on our gross margin. I

  • think we attenuated or mitigated a little bit the

  • hiring rate in the third quarter and very actively look

  • hard at that, and that was what led to the uptick, I

  • think, by 20 bps in our Q3 margin.

  • I would expect our gross margin to remain at around

  • that level over the next sort of in the immediate

  • future. We continue to see some challenges as we've

  • recorded our book to bill at 1.3 for the last, I think,

  • 3 or 4 quarters. And so we've got work to do, and we

  • need to recruit people to do that, and we want to make

  • sure we do a really good job because a lot of this work

  • that we're doing, doing it well, brings us repeat

  • business, of course, or even more than that, brings us

  • the opportunity to form strategic alliances and

  • partnerships with these customers. So it's important,

  • obviously, that we do this. Well, that's a trite

  • statement.

  • So -- and I do think, as I say, I think we've said

  • publicly for quite a while. The gross margin is about

  • where it's going to be. We may go up or down a little

  • bit, 10, 20 bps on a quarter-to-quarter basis, but I

  • don't see much long-term progress in terms of that

  • going back to 30-plus percent. I think that will be a

  • challenge. Where we're seeing an opportunity to improve

  • our overall operating income, of course, is we'll

  • continue to leverage the SG&A and our global business

  • services group, and we're able to do that. This

  • quarter, we see some continued opportunity there in the

  • medium to longer term, and we certainly intend to keep

  • pushing down that road whether it'd be continued off

  • shoring, robotics, process reengineering, all of those

  • good things we've talked about quite extensively in the

  • past.

  • David Howard Windley - Equity Analyst

  • That's fair. I appreciate that, Steve. And you kind of

  • stole the thunder on my next question which was to ask

  • how much runway do you think you have. I think ICON's

  • increasingly viewed as one of the best, if not the

  • best, operating manager of its SG&A. You mentioned

  • robotics and off shoring. Is this -- I hate to ask the

  • trite baseball analogy, but still a lot of innings left

  • in that path?

  • Steven A. Cutler - CEO & Director

  • I haven't had a lot of innings, but I don't think we're

  • at the eighth or ninth. I would characterize it, if you

  • use your baseball term, I'm more a cricketer, Dave,

  • than a baseballer. But I'll use your baseball term for

  • a minute. You know I would say we're the top of fifth

  • or top of the fourth round, into the fourth. So I think

  • we're halfway through. I think there's still plenty of

  • opportunity to continue to do that. And who knows,

  • maybe there's a double header here as well, a further

  • analogy, and I think as we see further opportunities,

  • we'll keep driving it.

  • David Howard Windley - Equity Analyst

  • And one last one before I drop, the -- I think, you

  • declined to answer questions about any specific

  • clients. But as you think about maybe by client cohort,

  • bookings and demand in your large pharma, your larger

  • clients versus the small mid, is it kind of

  • consistently balanced? Or are you seeing some rotation

  • there?

  • Steven A. Cutler - CEO & Director

  • I would characterize that as saying in the large pharma

  • cohort, it's stable. We are seeing plenty of demand or

  • stable demand, I would say. I think you'd have to say

  • that most of the growth has been in the biotech, the

  • smaller customers, but certainly, the midsize ones are

  • also I think (inaudible) I think I alluded to some

  • of the partnerships that we brought on in the last 12,

  • 18 months are now starting to really ramp up from a

  • growth point of view. So that growth outside of the top

  • 10 is not all biotech customers, it's significant

  • number of more midsize, I would say, customers. So I'd

  • say, let me -- to paraphrase it all, I would say large

  • pharma, pretty stable; biotech, certainly moving on the

  • up; and midsize sort of somewhere in between.

  • Operator

  • No further questions had

  • came through, sir. You may continue.

  • Steven A. Cutler - CEO & Director

  • Okay. Thank you, everyone, for listening in today. We

  • are very pleased. This quarter 3 was another strong

  • quarter for ICON. We look forward to building on this

  • progress throughout 2019 as we consolidate our position

  • as a CRO partner of choice in drug development. Thank

  • you, everyone.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. That

  • concludes our conference for today. Thank you all for

  • participating. You may now disconnect.