Hancock Whitney Corp (HWC) 2013 Q4 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good morning, and welcome to Hancock Holding Company's fourth quarter 2013 earnings conference call.

  • Participating in today's call are Carl Chaney, President and CEO; Mike Achary, CFO; Sam Kendricks, Chief Credit Officer; and Trisha Carlson, Investor Relations Manager. As a reminder, this call is being recorded.

  • I would now like to turn the call over to Trisha Carlson. Ma'am, you may begin.

  • Trisha Carlson - SVP, IR Manager

  • Thank you and good morning. During today's call we may make forward-looking statements. We would like to remind everyone to review the Safe Harbor language that was published with yesterday's release and presentation and in the Company's most recent 10-K and 10-Q. Hancock's ability to accurately project results or predict the effects of future plans or strategies is inherently limited. We believe that the expectations reflected or implied by any forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, but actual results and performance could differ materially from those set forth in the forward-looking statements. Hancock undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements.

  • The presentation slides included in our 8-K are also posted with the conference call webcast link on the investor relations website. We will reference some of those slides in today's call. I will now turn the call over to Carl Chaney, President and CEO.

  • Carl Chaney - President, CEO

  • Good morning and thank you for joining us today. In previous quarters I've noted that our performance has reflected an improvement in our core results, a trend we expected to build upon in the future. In the fourth quarter, that trend accelerated and has now become more evident in our results.

  • Improvements were noted in many areas such as loan growth and mix, net interest income, and net interest margin, and a reduction in operating expenses. Yesterday we reported fourth quarter operating earnings of $45.8 million or $0.55 per share, and an ROH under 1%. The improvement in our core performance was significant and largely offset the anticipated in accretion -- our purchase accounting income. As a result, earnings were relatively stable linked-quarter.

  • As we have discussed in previous quarters, the level of purchase accounting income in our numbers has been significant and somewhat volatile, and we have been providing projections of how accretion will decline in future periods, and cautioning investors not to count on continued levels of above expected cash recoveries.

  • This quarter, as detailed on slide 5 in our earnings presentation, loan accretion was down about $8 million, or $0.06 per share from the third quarter. That is significant, but as I mentioned earlier, the strategic initiatives we have recently put in place continue to have a meaningful, positive impact on our results, with the decline in purchase accounting income largely offset by core earnings performance. As a reminder, our core results are simply our reported results, less the impact of net purchasing accounting adjustments, which are detailed on slide 13.

  • Some of the areas I'd like to highlight include an increase in core net interest income of approximately $1.5 million with expansion in the core net interest margin of 3 basis points. Approximately $625 million linked quarter net loan growth, or 22% annualized, and over $900 million or 8% year-over-year loan growth, each excluding FDIC-covered loans. We had very nice loan growth in each of the five states in which we operate.

  • Continued improvement in overall asset quality metrics and, most notably, a decline in operating expenses of $4.2 million linked quarter. That decline in expenses reflects the progress we are making in conjunction with that expense and efficiency initiative we announced in early 2013. Comparing the fourth quarter to our starting point of first quarter 2013, expenses are down $12 million annualized and we remain on track to meet our first quarter 2014 targets.

  • So what are we doing to meet the first quarter target? We redefined our markets with either a consumer, business or combination focus. We continued our ongoing branch rationalization process and recently closed or sold 38 smaller retail branches across our five-state footprint. And we reevaluated market leadership and efficiency in staffing.

  • We refocused efforts around procurement savings through centralized sourcing in RFPs, added efficiency through process enhancements and enabling technology implementation, and we announced in November a bank charter consolidation to help improve back-office efficiency. A few have asked about the charter consolidation, specifically how much of the cost savings and which bank will remain. First, let me start by saying this initiative will not eliminate a significant amount of current run rate expenses -- less than $1 million annually.

  • What it will do is bring efficiency to certain areas and eliminate the need to add future expenses in meeting regulatory requirements, such as stress testing and annual reviews, which are required at the individual bank level. Both Hancock Holding Company and its single bank charter will continue to be headquartered in Gulfport.

  • As you know, for over a century in each bank's case, brand loyalty has been important to both Hancock and Whitney. It was important when the transaction was announced and it remains important that we continue to do business as Whitney Bank in Louisiana and Texas and Hancock Bank in Mississippi, Alabama and Florida. This charter consolidation is simply a back-office event and will not have any impact on our customers or our branding.

  • We are continuing to work on initiatives designed to meet our fourth-quarter 2014 target and, as I just described, related to our first quarter target, we will continue to provide additional details in future quarters. What is important is that as of today we have identified initiatives that will get us the majority of the way to meeting our fourth-quarter 2014 target. We are currently reviewing those initiatives while at the same time exploring opportunities for other initiatives that can be implemented in the best interest of our shareholders, customers and associates.

  • At this time I will turn the call over to our CFO, Mike Achary, who will review some of the quarter's results in more detail.

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • Thank you, Carl, and good morning, everyone. As we've discussed over the past several quarters, one of our goals for 2013 was to grow the Company's loan portfolio but also to improve the mix of loans we are adding to our balance sheet. Aside from the tactical decisions made around our mortgage production, we are making progress in improving the mix of CRE credit. For example, CRE was about 15% of our total new loan production in the first quarter of 2013 and is now about 18%.

  • The largest component of the quarter's growth was C&I, which was up about 10%. We also reported increases in CRE, up 5%, and residential mortgages, up 3%. The majority of the growth came from our South Louisiana, Houston, and Florida markets, but all markets across our footprint reported positive loan growth.

  • Additionally, the levels of payoffs and paydowns on the loan portfolio returned to a more normalized level in the quarter. While we are very pleased with these results, given the nature of our mostly commercial portfolio, we do not expect to report the same rate of quarterly growth going forward. For the full year 2014, we expect period-end loan growth in the mid-single-digit range.

  • Total deposits for the Company at year-end were $15.4 billion. That was up $306 million from last quarter. The deposit growth from last quarter was mostly reflected in interest-bearing public fund deposits of about $330 million. As a reminder, public fund deposits typically reflect higher balances at year-end with subsequent reductions beginning in the first quarter.

  • As Carl mentioned earlier, we reported expansion in core net interest income and the core net interest margin, despite declines in the reported levels of both. On a reported basis, the linked quarter decrease in net interest income was mainly related to the decline of almost $8 million of loan accretion. With earning assets relatively flat, that decrease was also the main driver behind the 14 basis point drop in our reported margin.

  • What we believe is significant is the 3 basis point expansion in our core margin to 3.40%. The core loan yield of 4.09% declined only 3 basis points during the quarter and was offset by an improvement in the yield on investment securities of 19 basis points and a slight decline in the cost of funds of 1 basis point. Additionally, while earning assets remained flat, the mix improved as cash flow from the bond portfolio once again funded the growth in loans.

  • Noninterest income for the Company totaled $59 million. That was down $4 million from the third quarter. The decrease reflects a decline in service charges of about $1 million, mostly related to fewer business days in the fourth quarter, and approximately $1 million less in ATM and bankcard fees, mostly, again, due to a one-time Visa-related incentive that was booked last quarter. The decline in mortgage fees of almost $1 million reflects a continued slowdown in mortgage loan activity resulting from the impact of increased longer-term interest rates.

  • The fourth quarter's activity also reflects a continued higher level of portfolio loan production. Additionally, other noninterest income was down about $1.2 million on a linked quarter basis. That decline mainly reflected a lower level of expected future losses on covered loans. That resulted in an increase of $1.1 million in the amortization of the FDIC indemnification asset.

  • Excluding one-time costs of $17 million, noninterest expense totaled $157 million. That was down $4.2 million or about 10% annualized from last quarter. Personnel expense was down almost $2 million, with occupancy and equipment down just over $1 million. The reduction in these categories reflects a full quarter's impact from the recent branch closings.

  • ORE expense for the Company totaled $1.5 million for the quarter. That was down about $1 million. The effective income tax rate for the fourth quarter was 20%. The linked quarter decline was primarily related to several additional New Market Tax investments closed during the quarter. We expect the effective tax rate to approximate 25% to 27% during 2014.

  • And, finally, we have a couple of months remaining on the current stock buyback program. Given the recent increase in our stock price, we do expect to receive about 700,000 additional shares when the buyback is complete in May.

  • I hope it's evident from our numbers and comments today that we are very pleased to report the significant progress made so far on many of the initiatives we have been discussing since early last year. Specifically, we hit the inflection point for core net interest income and reported an expansion in core net interest margin this quarter. Our level of operating expenses declined this quarter, some $17 million annualized, and reflects the impact of initiatives that we have implemented over the last few quarters.

  • Strong levels of loan growth along with a renewed focus on loan mix and a declining level of loan accretion, especially related to excess cash recoveries, did significantly impact the quarter but was largely replaced this quarter through increases in core operating metrics such as higher net interest income and lower expenses.

  • At this point I will turn the call over to Sam Kendricks, our Chief Credit Officer.

  • Sam Kendricks - Chief Credit Officer

  • Thank you, Mike. As Carl noted in his comments, our asset quality metrics continue to improve. Nonperforming loans, ORE and foreclosed assets, net charge-offs, criticized and classified loans are all down linked quarter. The total provision was virtually unchanged and the change in the allowance for loan losses, which was down $4.6 million linked quarter, primarily reflected a $7.2 million net reversal of previous impairment on FDIC covered loans.

  • We did build the allowance on the noncovered portfolio by $2.6 million during the fourth quarter despite the continued positive trends in asset quality metrics. With continued loan growth, the natural migration of some acquired loans to the originated portfolio and the accretion of the remaining discount on the acquired performing portfolio, we expect to continue to build this portion of the reserve in the future.

  • As a final note, from a credit perspective I am pleased with the quality of the new business we are seeing and booking across our footprint and our overall loan portfolio mix. I will now turn the call back over to Carl.

  • Carl Chaney - President, CEO

  • Thanks, Sam. Before I open the call for questions, I would like to point out that while our release and today's comments have focused on the fourth quarter, we don't want to lose sight of the fact that through all of the noise we have seen in our results over the past several quarters, loan growth is up over $900 million or 8% from year-end 2012. Our year-over-year diluted EPS is up 4%. Operating income is up 2% and our capital remains very strong, with a TCE of 9%. We will now open the call for questions.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions). Jennifer Demba of SunTrust.

  • Jennifer Demba - Analyst

  • I think last quarter, Carl, you indicated you guys would talk in a little more detail about some of the process changes that you've made. I'm wondering if you could give us some color there?

  • Carl Chaney - President, CEO

  • Well, we did some -- Jennifer, we implemented some enabling technology in the back-office that allowed us to actually reduce some FTE, allowing us to continue to operate even more and more efficiency. We have a -- it's a laundry list of initiatives in that respect that go throughout the organization from the front office all the way through the back office. And it's pretty significant in the impact, as we have mentioned earlier, the impact of -- the cumulative impact of all those initiatives really started to show up in the fourth quarter and will continue to show up as we get full run rates throughout 2014, certainly heading toward our fourth quarter 2014 goal.

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • Jennifer, this is Mike. Just to add a little bit of additional color to Carl's comment, certainly we have talked in the past before about the enabling technologies that we'll be implementing. Probably the best example of something that was done over the course of the fourth quarter is, again, something we have talked about before, and that's our conversion to a new general ledger.

  • And it's not just the general ledger; it actually is all the peripheral systems associated with the GL, such as payables, fixed assets, procurement, et cetera. So that has helped us dramatically improve the efficiency, the operating efficiency of our finance group, specifically accounting. And so that has resulted in some very real cost savings that are reflected in the fourth quarter numbers.

  • I think, as we go through 2014 and get closer to the fourth quarter, we will be able to give more examples of those kinds of improvements in enabling technologies. So not to give those details today, but there are several projects that we are working on right now that, again, we'll be in a better position to chat about a little bit later.

  • Jennifer Demba - Analyst

  • Okay, thank you very much.

  • Operator

  • Ebrahim Poonawala of Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

  • Ebrahim Poonawala - Analyst

  • Just one quick question in terms of loan growth. Did we disclose -- and I apologize if I missed it -- how much of the growth on this quarter was driven by syndicated loans?

  • Sam Kendricks - Chief Credit Officer

  • Ebrahim, this is Sam. Of the total loan growth, only about $60 million is attributed to shared national credits, so we feel very good about the core growth in the portfolio. As Carl said, every state in our footprint had growth for the fourth quarter. So this is not through purchase activity (technical difficulty) through the core growth in our markets, in our footprint.

  • Carl Chaney - President, CEO

  • As you can see, the percentage of syndicated -- it was extremely low. And what little there was, was actually end market, which is what we typically do.

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • And, again, just to add a little bit more color, we talked about some of the categories that were up. And hopefully the message came through that the increase in loans was very broad-based across almost all of our loan categories. The only exceptions, I think, were construction and indirect, were both down just a little bit. All of our markets across our footprint reported positive loan growth. So we are certainly excited about the progress that was made in the quarter and look for that to continue into 2014.

  • Sam Kendricks - Chief Credit Officer

  • And from an asset quality perspective, though, high-quality credit, we are not giving up on asset quality as we book these transactions.

  • Ebrahim Poonawala - Analyst

  • Got it. Thank you very much. And just a quick follow-up on -- in terms of -- Mike, you alluded to the remaining buybacks. And going forward you mentioned depreciation in the stock. Does that change the thought process around buybacks?

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • Well, not related to the current program.

  • Ebrahim Poonawala - Analyst

  • No, beyond that, yes.

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • Beyond that, beyond that certainly is a question around capital management and certainly additional buybacks and other forms of capital management activity are certainly out there. When we look at our capital level, specifically TCE, you can see that we are at an even 9% at the and of the fourth quarter. And if we track back to the first quarter of last year, right before the buyback was announced, we were at 9.14%. So here we are three quarters later, having gone through a 5% stock buyback, and have nearly grown our TCE back to the level that it was that before the stock buyback was announced. So, Carl, you may have some additional --.

  • Carl Chaney - President, CEO

  • Yes. So that's pretty impressive if you think about that. Our capital ratios are just about back to where they were in three quarters after having purchased back 5% of our stock. But with the recent uptick in our stock clearly has the impact on our thought process for future buybacks, as well as other means of deploying that capital -- M&A and other means. So, yes, it clearly will have an impact and certainly is a factor to be considered.

  • Ebrahim Poonawala - Analyst

  • Got it. Thank you for taking my questions.

  • Operator

  • Matthew Clark of Credit Suisse.

  • Matthew Clark - Analyst

  • Good morning, guys. Maybe just first on the loan growth, a big, big increase this quarter. And you have offered some color, but just curious whether or not also there was an increase in line utilization within the C&I bucket. Also whether or not there may have been an increased appetite in some industry vertical or not, just curious if there's anything that has changed other than maybe the increase in usage as well?

  • Sam Kendricks - Chief Credit Officer

  • Matt, this is Sam. Saw some slight increase in usage, particularly in the fourth quarter, as it relates to some seasonality for some of our clients, is something we typically see. We will see some of that stick, but then in the first quarter we typically see a little bit of runoff in certain client classifications.

  • As it relates to any industry verticals, very broad-based in terms of new growth. We saw a little bit in reserve-based lending. We saw core C&I. We had some clients that were out making acquisitions of other enterprises. We did see a little bit of growth in CRE space, which was a targeted area for us for quality projects.

  • As you recall, we contracted the CRE segment of our portfolio over the course of a couple of years as we tried to de-risk the portfolio. We feel very positive about our efforts there and have moved back into that space with some quality projects, so we feel very good about our success there. And this is largely a result of the efforts throughout 2013.

  • You don't, in one quarter, turn on the spigot and have the results. This is the result of our line of business leadership, market leadership, and sales teams out in the markets who are doing this work in the first, second, and third quarter of 2013. But the funding is coming online late in the year, so this is a year's worth of effort that's starting to show up in these numbers, at least from my perspective.

  • Matthew Clark - Analyst

  • Okay. And then just as a follow-up, why only mid-single-digit growth for this coming year? Is it the pipeline is down maybe more after this quarter?

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • Yes. And Sam alluded to this, Matt, just a second ago. But we normally see a little bit of a seasonal increase in the fourth quarter of every year and that is usually followed by a little bit of a seasonal decrease in the first quarter. So as we talked about a little bit earlier, we are really looking for a kind of flattish EOP growth for the first quarter and then growing from there.

  • Matthew Clark - Analyst

  • Okay. And on the tax benefit, was there any offset in expenses there? Or was that just -- did that just fall to the bottom line?

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • Yes, there is an offset related to expenses that are embedded in the expense numbers that we discussed. It gets very complicated in terms of the accounting related to the New Market Tax Credits. But certainly, there's a benefit in the tax credit that impacts the effective tax rate, but then there's also a little bit of amortization of the original investment that's reflected in operating expenses.

  • Matthew Clark - Analyst

  • Okay. And then lastly on M&A, any change in your appetite here based on what you are seeing, hearing, and your currency?

  • Carl Chaney - President, CEO

  • Well, clearly our currency is benefiting us, no doubt. And I can tell you that the quality of the books that we are starting to look at has certainly increased. So I am pretty optimistic about our ability to have some opportunities for strategic moves probably in the latter part of the year and going into 2015.

  • Operator

  • Jefferson Harralson of KBW. Jefferson, please check your mute button. Okay, we'll move on to the next question. Kevin Fitzsimmons of Sandler O'Neill.

  • Kevin Fitzsimmons - Analyst

  • Good morning, everyone. Mike, I definitely appreciate the disclosure you guys have on the purchase accounting. I just want to go to more of a top-level and make sure I am thinking about it right. It's roughly -- I think it's about a 69 basis point difference right now between the reported margin and the core margin. And I know you lay out the revenue anticipated over 2014 through 2015.

  • So is the way to -- just doing this back of the envelope, are we looking at something in the neighborhood of 25 plus basis points over this next year, another 25 over 2015, and then the balance occurs when it totally goes away in 2016? Just trying to get a feel for how that pace is going to work in the reported margin.

  • And then on the topic of NII, you had mentioned that you guys feel you hit that inflection point on core NII. When do you feel you will hit that inflection point on reported NII? So in other words, when will that loan growth be enough to offset the ongoing wind down in the scheduled accretion income that's going to go on over the next two years? Thanks.

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • Sure. Thank you, Kevin, and I guess there were a couple of questions in there, so I'll try to answer it in this manner. Certainly we have disclosed in terms of an annual projection for 2014 and 2015 around what we are believing the runoff in all of the purchase accounting to be over the next couple of years. And, again, those are annual projections and certainly the devil is in the details around how that happens on a quarterly basis.

  • I think what you'll see over the course of 2014 is the purchase accounting to go down or the impact of purchase accounting to go down modestly the next couple of quarters and then, toward the end of the year, a little bit more of a significant increase. And then over 2015 it will probably be a little bit more measured in terms of stepping down each and every quarter.

  • So once we are through 2015 we will still have some impacts in 2016 but they will be much, much less significant. So by the time we get to around the first quarter of 2016 you will see that convergence between our reported net interest margin and the core net interest margin.

  • Now, as far as the outlook, say, for the next four quarters, obviously we are thrilled and have worked very, very hard this year to reduce the compression in the core net interest margin and then begin the process of inflecting that upward. So over the next couple of quarters the increases in our core net interest margin will probably be on the modest side, a couple of basis points every quarter, potentially. And, of course, very dependent upon our ability to continue to grow the loan portfolio and effect improvements of that loan mix.

  • So hopefully that answered the questions.

  • Kevin Fitzsimmons - Analyst

  • Yes, that's great, Mike. And just a real quick one -- that item within basically the write-down on the FDI receivable -- what's the date when the loss share on the FDIC deal expires? And what should we expect from that write-down item between now and then?

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • As you know, we have two parts to that loss share agreement related to Peoples First. The nonresidential coverage expires at the end of this year. And then on the residential piece we have another five years to go, once we complete this year. And so, as of right now, when we look at the expiration of the nonresidential piece we are not looking at any specific event when that agreement expires. We are very cautious and very conservatively or re-projecting our losses, which of course has impacts on the ultimate receivable. And so we began to write that down a little bit more aggressively in the fourth quarter. There was an increase in that IA amortization of about $1.1 million and that will continue through the balance of this calendar year.

  • Operator

  • Emlen Harmon of Jefferies.

  • Emlen Harmon - Analyst

  • Good morning. You gave us some good color on what you had done from a processing side of things to date to generate some saves. And I think with the additional efficiencies going forward, what you said is that you would expect those saves to come from processing technology expense. I guess, two questions -- when do you wrap up that evaluation process and distinctly know where those saves are coming from? And do you feel like you are getting saves from any areas outside of that kind of processing technology that you've talked about in the past?

  • Carl Chaney - President, CEO

  • Well, we are obviously continuing to work throughout this calendar year. And I think, to address one of your questions, as far as a timetable, I think when we arrive into the fourth quarter we certainly expect to be where we need to be. We are continuing to work on processing efficiencies, procurement savings, as we mentioned earlier, all of those, by the time we roll into the latter part of the year, specifically the fourth quarter, we will have those in full operation so we get the full benefit of those.

  • I didn't quite understand the last question that you asked, so if you don't mind repeating that?

  • Emlen Harmon - Analyst

  • Yes, for sure. What you said in the past is that it's kind of the second half of the efficiency program that gets you in the fourth quarter of 2014 number is going to come from the processing and technology side of things. And I was just kind of curious, does it continue to be the case that that's where the saves are going to come from? Are you finding other opportunities that you think are going to help you get to that target as well?

  • Carl Chaney - President, CEO

  • Well, I think it will continue to be some of the process improvements. But we are always looking at our branch rationalization and there are some other initiatives and opportunities that we are pursuing at this time that may well contribute to the ultimate fourth quarter 2014 target.

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • And, Carl, what I would add to that is the initiatives are very broad-based across both the front office and the back office. We have things like business process improvements that are at hand right now and being worked on intently. So again, Emlen, as we go through the year and we actually hit our target for the first quarter, we will give some additional specifics beyond what we have done in today's call. And then as we approach the fourth quarter we will do the same thing.

  • Emlen Harmon - Analyst

  • Got it, thanks. I squeezed two into that one question there, so I'll step aside. Thanks.

  • Operator

  • Michael Rose of Raymond James.

  • Michael Rose - Analyst

  • Good morning, guys. How are you? Just a question on the paydowns. You mentioned that they slowed, obviously. What was the actual amount of paydowns this quarter and last quarter? And then maybe if you can talk to loan production and pipelines and where you are seeing strength in the pipeline?

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • As far as the paydown numbers, and these are pretty broad numbers, Michael, but we had somewhere in the neighborhood of about $1.1 billion last quarter, and that went down to about $730 million this quarter. And, again, those are rough numbers. And, Sam, you want to speak to the pipeline?

  • Sam Kendricks - Chief Credit Officer

  • Well, from a pipeline perspective, again, we feel very good about where we find ourselves positioned. We have already talked about the anticipated loan growth for the year. We will see a little bit of attrition through some of those seasonal fundings of lines that will come down, we expect, in this quarter. But we also expect some backfilling through the remainder of the year from some commitments that have already been approved that we will be funding.

  • And, again, those are broad-based, from CRE to -- there is some reserve-based opportunities -- some reserve-based funding opportunity in there, as well as a number of industries that are doing very well, particularly in the South Louisiana markets. So, based on the pipeline, I feel very good about our current run rate and the projected loan growth that was alluded to earlier.

  • Michael Rose - Analyst

  • Okay, that's helpful. And then just on credit quality, you had a nice drop in criticized balances again this quarter. How should we balance that with the loan growth that you expect as it relates to the provisioning on a quarterly basis for 2014? And how should we think about reserve trends from here? Thanks.

  • Carl Chaney - President, CEO

  • Yes, Michael; I think, going forward, it could very well be the case where we have similar levels of provision for the next couple of quarters, although we could see our charge-offs down and the amount that we set aside in the ALLL actually increase a little bit.

  • Michael Rose - Analyst

  • Great, thank you.

  • Operator

  • Matt Olney of Stephens.

  • Matt Olney - Analyst

  • Hello. Good morning, guys. I want to circle back on the loan growth guidance that you guys gave. You mentioned the paydowns slowed in the fourth quarter. As it relates to your expectations for that mid-single-digit loan growth in 2014, are you assuming the paydowns pick back up again? Or are you assuming they remain relatively tame, like they were in the fourth quarter?

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • Yes. What will probably happen to the paydowns, and if we look at the fourth quarter, it was down pretty significantly from the third quarter and a little bit lower than what we would consider to be a normal quarter. So we would expect, all things equal, to see two things happen in the other first quarter. One would be that the paydowns could go up a little bit to what is considered a more normalized level, as well as the seasonal decreases in lines and in other credit facilities that, again, we normally see in the first quarter.

  • Matt Olney - Analyst

  • Okay, that's helpful. And I was encouraged to see the core margin improve in the fourth quarter. I wanted to ask about the core loan yields down 3 bps. I'm trying to get a better idea of where this could go and how close we are to that core loan yield stabilizing. If you guys had any kind of data as far as the yield on the new and renewed loans in the fourth quarter, that would also be helpful.

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • Yes. Just a couple of items, Matt. Certainly, with our core loan yield down 3 basis points, we consider that pretty darn close to stable. And as far as the yield on the new loans that were added this quarter, because C&I was a little bit greater mix in terms of all the loans that were added, we did see that new loan yield go down just a little bit between the third quarter and the fourth quarter.

  • Matt Olney - Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Christopher Marinac of FIG Partners.

  • Christopher Marinac - Analyst

  • Thanks, good morning. Mike, you may have mentioned this earlier and I just missed it, but what is the impact of any loans that you are involved with from syndications or purchased type of credits? Is that at all impacting this quarter?

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • Yes. We talked about that a little bit earlier, Chris, but the increase in our syndicated loan portfolio was about $60 million.

  • Sam Kendricks - Chief Credit Officer

  • Funding, funded in the quarter.

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • On a funded basis, right. Yes.

  • Sam Kendricks - Chief Credit Officer

  • Yes.

  • Christopher Marinac - Analyst

  • So that's a very small piece of the loan growth.

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • (Multiple speakers) it's one of the smallest increases we've had.

  • Christopher Marinac - Analyst

  • Got you. Okay, great. And can you give us more color on the tax rate? I know that from the disclosures that you're getting all -- with the new purchase tax credits. Will more of that happen in the future? Is what you already have in place baked into what you have given us in terms of the full tax rate? Or can that even evolve further?

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • That could definitely evolve further. That's becoming a very nice line of business for us and it's one that obviously is pretty lucrative. So the guidance around the effective tax rate for next year certainly includes the portfolio of New Market Tax Credits that we have on the books now and a conservative assumption of what could be added in 2014. If we exceed those expectations, then, yes, the tax rate could come down a little bit from where we are projecting.

  • Carl Chaney - President, CEO

  • Yes, Chris, this is Carl. We have, over time, developed a real expertise in that niche market. And when you look at those credits, those are typically very, very high-quality credits as well. So we are pretty optimistic about our ability to continue in that line.

  • Christopher Marinac - Analyst

  • Great. Is that related to all three of your main states? Or would it be just one?

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • We have the potential across the footprint, but the vast majority of where we have been successful in putting those kinds of investments on the books has been in Louisiana.

  • Christopher Marinac - Analyst

  • Okay. Very good. Great. Thanks very much, guys.

  • Operator

  • Peyton Green of Sterne Agee.

  • Peyton Green - Analyst

  • Yes, good morning. A question maybe for Mike first and Carl second, but just stepping back and going back to the earnings run rate of the Company before the cycle and looking at it now, it has not really changed much, yet the Company is certainly a lot larger. I was just wondering how much cushion do you have if we had a 10%, 15% pullback in bank stocks and Hancock found its valuation lower? What would the appetite be to maybe give the existing shareholder more ownership of the Company?

  • And then from an asset sensitivity perspective, how much more leverage will you all apply on the loan to deposit ratio? I know historically 80% has been a stopping point. What is the ceiling going forward? And then maybe for Sam, what is the variable percentage of the new loan growth in the quarter versus fixed?

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • Okay. Thank you, Peyton. A bunch of questions there, so we will try to hit them all. I guess the last one first. For the fourth quarter when we look at our new loan growth, it really was weighted more toward variable, about 61% versus 39% on a fixed basis. As far as the potential pullback of our share price, if something like that were to happen, certainly we are constantly evaluating the options that we have in terms of how we manage our capital. And certainly, that's something that we would consider, should something like that happen.

  • Carl Chaney - President, CEO

  • Yes; I will add into that, Peyton. In that scenario, clearly that would have a meaningful impact on our decision of how to utilize this capital. But at the same time, in M&A we have opportunities to deploy that capital as well either through cash acquisitions or, certainly, combinations of stock and cash. So how our currency trades clearly impacts the mix of future M&A opportunities as well as the attractiveness of returning some of that capital to existing shareholders, as you mentioned.

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • And then, Peyton, I think your third question was around our loan to deposit ratio. You are correct that 80% had been a line in the sand, if you will, in terms of the way we managed our balance sheet. You know, Carl, I bet that certainly doesn't exist in the context of the combined company. So that really is no longer a constraint.

  • Carl Chaney - President, CEO

  • Yes. That used to be a really special guiding principle. And I'm not going to say that we ignore it, because we certainly do pay close attention to it even today. But those hard and fast 80% ceilings no longer exist. And also we have not -- in the last several quarters, we have not been aggressive in trying to grow deposits. It has simply been just keeping what we have and taking care of our customers. But if loan growth continues as we expect it to, we certainly have the ability to grow deposits without having a meaningful cost to us as well, so to keep that loan-deposit ratio in check.

  • Peyton Green - Analyst

  • Okay. And then I guess the follow-up to that is, would you go with $500 million or $600 million more in loan growth and just use all borrowings, in order to keep the deposit costs down? Or is there a point in time when you really would like to grow deposits again?

  • Carl Chaney - President, CEO

  • Well, absolutely. When you look at the rate environment, clearly doing fundings right now would make more sense than having to grow deposits. So that's the beauty of the environment we find ourselves in. So, clearly, we could have that type of growth and use other sources of funding other than deposits. And then at some point you look at whether there's a real financial need to grow deposits.

  • Peyton Green - Analyst

  • Okay, and then I promise this is the last one. The securities yield jumped nicely linked quarter. Was that bond premium amortization or was there a mix change or some kind of --?

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • The big driver, Peyton, was lower levels of premium amortization.

  • Peyton Green - Analyst

  • Okay, great. Thank you all very much.

  • Operator

  • Kevin Reynolds of Wunderlich Securities.

  • Kevin Reynolds - Analyst

  • Thank you. Good morning, Carl, Mike, everybody. So, couple of questions. Most of my questions have been answered. A couple questions. One is with the surge in loan growth that you noted that was late in the quarter, and obviously not reflected in the increase in average balances this quarter, even with a slowdown in period ends, should we interpret the average balance to grow next quarter and therefore to boost NII maybe more than it ordinarily would have in a seasonally weak first quarter?

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • Yes, that's correct.

  • Kevin Reynolds - Analyst

  • Okay. Second thing is on expenses, and two questions inside here. One is when you have your first milestone out there of $153 million, Mike, just refresh my memory. Does that include or is that excluding the CDI amortization? Because I remember your original expense projections after the Whitney deal, where everything was communicated as an excluding CDI kind of number.

  • And then the second question I have after that is when you have a target of 57% to 59%, could you remind us what has to happen in the environment for you to get there? Is there anything that you are banking on like Fed tightening or improvement in economic activity or any acquisitions or anything like that, or is that just a steady-state expectation from here that allows you to drive the efficiency ratio into that range?

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • Sure, be glad to help you with those two. On the expense question, no; the guidance and the targets that we have established for ourselves are really all-in numbers. So that would include CDI amortization. And, again, just as a reminder, we have given specific targets around the $153 million and the $147 million for the fourth quarter. And then the second question around -- what was the -- if you can repeat the second question, Kevin?

  • Kevin Reynolds - Analyst

  • Sure, Mike. You have a targeted range as part of your efficiency plan of 57% to 59% efficiency in 2016. So could you remind us what has to happen to get you there? Are you banking on things that are beyond your control, I guess, is what I am saying.

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • Yes.

  • Kevin Reynolds - Analyst

  • Such as Fed tightening or improving economic activity or acquisitions? Or is this something that you feel confident that you can get into with just continuing along the pace that you are right now? Is it completely within your control to get there, into that range?

  • Mike Achary - CFO, EVP

  • Yes, thank you for the reminder. No; the way we have characterized the efficiency ratio target for 2016 is really without the help of any change in the operating environment in terms of interest rates or economic activity. So it really is kind of a steady-state type target. Certainly those things, if they were to occur in a positive nature for the Company over the next two years, would help. But we have established the target really regardless of what net operating environment would be.

  • Kevin Reynolds - Analyst

  • Okay, thanks a lot. All my other questions were answered.

  • Operator

  • Mikhail Goberman of Portales Partners.

  • Mikhail Goberman - analyst

  • Thank you. Good morning, gentlemen. A question I have about your last slide here in the slide deck, about your oil and gas portfolio. If my numbers are right, it looks like you guys had a pretty strong sequential growth of about 14% to just under $1.5 billion. Is that in keeping with the period end loan growth of 5% that we saw for all of the loan book that you have? Or is that something that is maybe something special going forward?

  • Sam Kendricks - Chief Credit Officer

  • Well, what we saw were some growth and particularly in some of the support industries around the energy industry, from transportation to fabrication, to just other non-drilling support. So it speaks to the overall growth in that segment of the economy in terms of that industry-specific. And so I can't speak to whether that's going to be a continuum throughout the remainder of 2014, but we have seen some real strength in that segment for our client base that we are delighted to see. So that's the primary driver of what you see there.

  • Mikhail Goberman - analyst

  • Got it. And that's mostly southern Louisiana, correct?

  • Sam Kendricks - Chief Credit Officer

  • Southern Louisiana and some Texas activity as well.

  • Mikhail Goberman - analyst

  • Houston. And one more, if I can get in one more. Could you guys speak to the general level of loan competition in those three big markets that you are playing in? Is it continuing to get more tough?

  • Carl Chaney - President, CEO

  • Well, I would say it's -- the competition has been pretty fierce for the last several quarters, so I would not say that it's increasing. We occasionally see what we call mavericks, people that are really stretching on terms, covenants, and things like that. But typically that doesn't last very long. But I would say the competition has been pretty steady -- very fierce, but pretty steady.

  • Mikhail Goberman - analyst

  • Okay, thank you very much.

  • Operator

  • Jon Arfstrom, RBC Capital Markets.

  • Jon Arfstrom - Analyst

  • Thanks. Just a small question for you. On the construction line of business, curious what you are seeing in terms of new construction activity in your footprint and if you have any change in appetite. My guess is there's probably some opportunities there, but I'm curious if your appetite has changed at all.

  • Sam Kendricks - Chief Credit Officer

  • This is Same. I would say yes, it has, in the respect that, as we mentioned earlier, we have pulled back relative to the CRE segment in 2010, 2011, as we have wanted to take a look at the risk profile in the portfolio and have moved some of those riskier profile transactions off the balance sheet.

  • Within our footprint we have seen some real opportunities for some strong developers who have moved back into the market who are constructing new projects that we have an interest in. In addition, we are seeing some construction activity for owner-occupied projects as well. So the answer is that, yes, we have articulated a desire to move back into that space following a period of contraction. And we are seeing some quality projects that match our risk appetite. And so that is part of our funding that we mentioned earlier in the presentation.

  • Jon Arfstrom - Analyst

  • Okay, Sam, thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you, and at this time I'm not showing any further questions. I would like to turn the call back to Mr. Carl Chaney for any further remarks.

  • Carl Chaney - President, CEO

  • Okay. Thank you all for participating in today's call. As you can tell, we are extremely pleased with the quarter's numbers. And, as you can also tell, we are starting to really see the benefits of all the hard work and initiatives that are being put into place. We told you what we are going to do several quarters ago, and this quarter certainly reflects the results of that work. And we will continue to do what we said we would do.

  • We are continuing to deliver what we said we were going to deliver and we look forward to continued success as we move into 2014. So, again, thank you for joining us today.

  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today's conference. This does conclude today's program. You may all disconnect. Everyone have a wonderful day.