Haverty Furniture Companies Inc (HVT) 2014 Q1 法說會逐字稿

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Havertys Q1 2014 financial results conference call. (Operator Instructions).

I would now like to turn the conference over to Dennis Fink. Please go ahead, sir.

Good morning, everyone. During this conference, we will make forward-looking statements which are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from those made or implied in such statements. We speak only as of the date they are made, in which we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise. Factors that could cause actual results to differ include economic and competitive conditions, and other uncertainties, detailed in the Company's reports filed with the SEC.

Our President, CEO, and Chairman, Clarence Smith, will now give you an update. Clarence?

Thank you, Dennis. Good morning. Thank you for joining our first-quarter conference call. Early last month we released our first-quarter sales, which decreased, on a comparative store basis, 0.9% to $181.7 million versus $186.1 million last year. As most companies have reported, we were also impacted by severe weather, with store closings and significant delays for inbound product shipments.

We're pleased to report a recent uptick in our comparative store written sales of 7.5% for the second quarter. We've seen this nice improvement over a very strong month last year. Our pre-tax earnings for the quarter were $10 million versus an adjusted $12.7 million last year, with EPS at $0.27 versus an adjusted $0.34. Gross margins were up modestly to 53.8% versus 53.5% last year.

In the first quarter, our average ticket was up 5%. This increase is driven by our higher-quality product and the addition of our in-home designer program, H Design. Our average ticket for the in-home designer sales is running at 2.5 times our overall average. We now have 72 designers in the H Design program serving 82 stores, working closely with our sales associates in the team selling program. We are offering highly valued design assistance to our customers, and they are responding positively to this complementary service.

In the first half of 2014, we are bringing inventories back up to levels to support new sales growth. Due to a few key manufacturer service issues and difficulties bringing in containers in the winter months, we were out of stock in some of the key sellers, and the flow of merchandise is now starting to come back in line. We believe that this will allow us to better serve our customers and capture sales we might have been missing. We should have a strong in-stock position by the end of the quarter.

We believe that our five-year program of remodeling and improving our stores -- we call Bright Inspirations -- has gained traction, and we are recognized by our customers as providing an exciting, fashion-oriented shopping experience. We believe that we are better executing on our theme of Discover Something You in our stores, and helping our customers make their vision of their home come true. We will continue our store improvement program for 2014, and we expect to remodel approximately 12 stores, and about that many in 2015.

We have a number of significant new projects underway, and a CapEx for 2014 of $35 million. We announced the planned opening this fall of our Atlanta Buckhead location in a site we occupied 23 years ago, at the corner of Peachtree Road and Piedmont Roads. This will be a new smaller store model featuring more contemporary designs, more special order focus, and expanded digital enhancements to serve that more densely populated, upscale market.

We will be taking over a larger store in the form of Carls flagship at Coconut Creek in southeast Florida, with a planned opening like this year. We will also open this Fall on new location in North Fort Worth, at Alliance Town Center and better serve the Dallas-Fort Worth markets. We have three major store locations opening in the fourth quarter -- relocations -- with one in Winston-Salem; and the Fayetteville, North Carolina market; and the Kissimmee, Florida, south of Orlando. We were close one underperforming store whose lease expires at the end of the year.

These plans will have us end 2014 with 120 stores, and an increase of 1.8% in retail square footage. We have plans to open five additional stores in 2015 in new cities within our current distribution network. In order to support the growth in our regions, we are adding to the capacity of some of our distribution facilities to better respond to the growth in regions farther out from our main distribution centers. We will initially increase the racking storage capacity in the mid-Atlantic and Florida regions, with plans to study capacity enhancements in our Dallas DC.

We're making significant operating improvements in these facilities, with the interior lighting improvements and spot air-conditioning for major working condition enhancements for our associates, creating cleaner operating conditions. We are improving our abilities to react quickly to our customers' regional tastes by bringing top-selling products directly to the closest distribution center serving the area, which also reduces freight costs and double handling. We are investing heavily in new technology and initiatives to reach our customers by enhancing our Web and mobile sites, and through increased investments in digital and social network marketing.

Our new 3-D store planner should be in place by the third quarter, which will help build our H Design capabilities for our associates and our customers.

Havertys is being recognized in our markets as a fashion player who offers top-quality merchandise and the finest service levels. Our investments in our store interiors, our interactive and fully integrated systems, our exclusive designs and product development, and in training and personnel development, all combine to establish Havertys as the place to Discover Something You for your home. We believe these improvements will allow us to gain market share from our competition.

Operator, I'd like to now turn the call over to any questions.

(Operator Instructions). Budd Bugatch, Raymond James.

This is David Vargas on for Budd. Thanks for taking my question this morning. I was just wondering if you could give a little color on what the mix was of accessories this quarter.

Our accessory business is improving -- the fastest-growing category, and that is the rug category, which we really weren't a player in in the past. But that entire category is growing. A lot of that has been driven by our in-home design program, where we are adding more accessories; we're completing the room package for the customer; and it's about 3.4% of our sales in Q1, which is up from previously.

Thanks. And also with the margin that the accessories carry, does it tend to leverage the gross margin a little bit, or is it roughly in line with your current margin?

I would say it's a little lower right now. It's roughly in line, and I think it will continue to improve. We are creating a whole new product category. And certain parts of it are more -- are better margins than the others. But I'd say, overall, it's about the same; in some of the categories, a little lower.

Okay. And then just one final question. You mentioned that you are bringing inventories back up to levels to support sales this quarter. Do you see the sales recovery that you've experienced so far this quarter continuing? And do you expect comp store sales to improve and get back to normalized levels this quarter? Or do you think it's going to be more back-half-of-the-year weighted?

We really don't give estimates on our projections for comps going forward. We certainly feel much better about the last several weeks in this quarter than we did, obviously, in the first quarter. So, I would say conditions are better. We are optimistic. We don't give estimates for comps going forward.

Okay. All right, thank you, gentlemen. I'll get back in the queue.

Todd Schwartzman, Sidoti & Company.

Sticking with the accessory theme, is the mix -- or was the mix for the quarter -- or has it been recently about the same in all your geographic markets?

The mix for accessories?

Yes, accessories to total sales -- does it vary greatly (multiple speakers) by region?

No, not in any significant manner. They are about the same by region. Where we are the strongest with the in-home designer program is where it's a higher percentages of accessories. And so there's some markets that are stronger than that, but I would say there's not any major difference from region to region.

And with the in-home design, what can you tell us that you haven't already told us so far, as far as how that's progressing? And in particular, what are you learning? What has surprised you, if anything?

I'd say we're very pleasantly surprised with the positive response our customers are giving us. I think our customer base was coming to us in the past, and we didn't have this service, and they needed it. And when we offered it to them, they are enthusiastic about it. We're having very good closing rates. As I mentioned, the average ticket is 2.5 times our average. It's extremely positive. We are learning how to integrate it into our regular store operations and our sales teams, and that's a learning experience. But I would say it's more important than we thought it would be.

And, Clarence, do you think that your price points now are, on average, about where you need them to be to fully take advantage of -- to maximize the potential of this service?

Not fully. We are bringing in several new lines that are in the upper end of the general product mix that we are very optimistic about. I think that as we improve the service levels, the quick ship parts of the special order programs, it will continue to grow. And we're working with all our vendors to improve that. Most of our efforts in product development are in the better end of the industry's price points. So we're growing in the better product, in the higher quality. And we'll continue to do that because it's being well received, and I think our customers are asking for it.

Got it. Now, you're returning to Buckhead shortly, right?

Yes, sir.

Are you hopeful that the sales per square foot at that store will exceed the Company average?

Absolutely. That is definitely the plan. It needs to; we're paying more for it.

Sure.

It's a smaller format, so we need to get more production out of that. And I would say that most all of our new stores that we are developing, our plan is to exceed our average tickets. You've heard us articulate our plan to be over $200 a foot. We were in the high $170s last year. We want to get back over that where we were in 2006; and all the stores we're opening, we certainly model to be above that. And we're closing stores that are weaker, that are underperforming. And we've done that over the last several years. So yes, it needs to be significantly better than our average.

Okay, thanks. And, lastly, if you could discuss the case goods versus upholstery demand. And within case goods, the children's category, you've seen that a number of manufacturers have methodically exited, or maybe decided to exit that particular business -- what your take is on youth bedroom? But maybe more importantly, just whether case goods, as a whole, has closed the gap somewhat in terms of demand with upholstery?

Upholstery is still growing faster than cases. We're doing well in our dining category, particularly in the casual area. And we're bringing out more exclusive product at the better price points, which are being well received. The bedroom category has always been a strength for us. It is improving, but not like upholstery, still. The youth category, we're not that strong in youth. We do have a youth program, and we're strengthening it. We're adding several collections to it. But we're not -- it's not a huge part of our overall case goods business.

We were not doing business with Stanley when we weren't doing business with La-Z-Boy's youth, so that really doesn't directly affect it.

Terrific. Thank you.

(Operator Instructions). Brad Thomas, KeyBanc Capital Markets.

I got into the call a few minutes late, so I apologize if I missed this, but I did just want to ask a little bit more about the recent trends. Obviously, the number from your press release, the 7.5% comp for April, is pretty encouraging. I just wanted to make sure I understood that right. You've adjusted that for an Easter shift. So if we look at actual written orders, April over April, would those be up in the 3% to 4% range? Is that how we should think about that?

Yes, that'd be about right, or slightly less than that. Because the Easter adjustment on a single month has a bigger impact, obviously, than it does on a quarter.

And so, as it results to the business -- but as you think about the run rate of the business as we moved into the second quarter, it has seemed to snap back pretty well.

Yes, I think it's legitimate to look at it with Easter/May comparable, as it is -- we write nothing on that day. So I think the way we look at it internally is with either Easter in both years, or out of both years. But that's the run rate that we've been at. We adjusted the -- of course, as you remember, the first quarter down, because Easter had been in the first quarter last year, so we adjusted the comparison down. And the adjustment isn't as much, again, because on a quarterly basis, it doesn't make as much difference as it does on a monthly.

Great. And then just trying to connect the dots between two other items. The inventory obviously down year-over-year, in both 2013 and the first quarter of this year. The deposit is very strong, up close to 19% year-over-year. You may have touched on this before I was able to get through on to the call, but are you in a position to tap some of these orders that you've already taken? And could that help the sales growth accelerate at a greater pace than the written orders come through in the second quarter?

Yes, we do have a higher deposit. Some of that is because there is more customer order and more designer orders, and they do require a deposit on them. And then part of it was because we were a little higher holiday backlog at the end of the first quarter than we were a year ago. We think that there won't be increases in that from performance of the manufacturers. We think we are getting -- that will be behind us in the second quarter, largely behind us. It's a matter, really, of whether the increases in the customer order and the designer orders continue to be a bigger part of our increases.

And those just deliver out a little more slowly, the bigger orders. People don't want every room at the same time, necessarily. So there is a little bit of momentum that will help to leverage sales; but I don't think, for the quarter, we'll see a big change in it.

Okay.

At least relative to written.

And if I could just ask one last more on the bedding category. Just any commentary on your thoughts on the industry growth for this year, and anything notable that you might call out, given that there is a tremendous amount of new product getting on floors right now, with new Tempur and new Stearns; new Optimum, for example. How are you thinking about that category?

Well, it is a huge change-out, Brad. We're changing out almost all of our line, which is disruptive and costly; not only for us, but as you noted, for some of the vendors. So we're really in the middle of all of that. I think some of these improvements are nice and I think they will be well received. But it's really just now starting to play out, and we're just now getting some of these samples on the floor. So I'd say we're all in the mix right now of a significant change-out across almost all of our lineup.

Okay. Is there a particular quarter where we should factor that in, to a greater degree, from a gross margin standpoint? Or do you think you're in a good position to manage through it?

I think we're fine in managing through that. I don't think it's going to impact overall margins.

Sounds good. Thanks so much, and good luck.

(Operator Instructions). Showing no further questions, I will turn the call back to Clarence Smith for closing comments.

Thank you, operator. I appreciate you joining our call, and for your interest in Havertys.

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.