Holley Inc (HLLY) 2021 Q4 法說會逐字稿

Greetings. Welcome to the Holley fourth-quarter and full-year 2021 earnings call. (Operator Instructions). Please note this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to your host, Ross Collins, Managing Director of Alpha IR. Thank you. You may begin.

Thank you, Alex. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for taking the time to join us today. On the call with me today are Tom Tomlinson, Chief Executive Officer; Dominic Bardos, Chief Financial Officer; Vinny Nimmagadda, Executive Vice President of Corporate Development & New Ventures of Holley; and Sean Crawford, Chief Marketing Officer. After their prepared remarks we will open the call for questions.

Now I will reference the Safe Harbor provisions under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. This call make contain certain forward-looking statements that are subject to significant risks and uncertainties, including the future operating and financial performance of the company. In many cases these risks and uncertainties are beyond the company's control.

Although the company believes the expectations reflected in its forward-looking statements are reasonable, it can give no assurance that such expectations or any of its forward-looking statements will prove to be correct and actual results may differ materially from expectations.

Important risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in the forward-looking statements are included in the company's recent 10-Q, S-4 and S-1 filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The information contained in this call is accurate only as of the date discussed. Investors should not assume that statements will remain relevant and operative at a later time. Holley undertakes no obligation to update any information discussed in this call in the future.

Additionally, we will be discussing certain non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of these items to US GAAP are included in today's press release, which is also posted on our Investor Relations website. At this time, I'd like to turn the call over to Tom Tomlinson, Holley's Chief Executive Officer. Tom?

Thank you, Ross. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining us today. Holley's fourth-quarter and full-year 2021 results demonstrate continued strong consumer demand and robust sales growth, capping off a milestone year for our business.

As highlighted on slide 5, our net sales grew by 30% in the fourth quarter, 17% from acquisitions with 13% organic growth. For the full year, net sales grew by 37%, 23% from acquisitions with 14% organic growth.

While supply-chain challenges limited our ability to fully satisfy consumer demand, our team performed well and we've been able to capture meaningful growth. We also executed on a price increase during the fourth quarter, which helped offset inflationary cost pressures and allowed us to maintain solid gross profit margins, which Dominic will talk about later in the presentation.

Looking forward to 2022, we'll continue to focus on developing innovative new products and engaging with our enthusiast consumers to broaden and deepen those all-important relationships. I'll now turn it over to Sean to touch on Holley's strong consumer engagement. Sean?

Thanks, Tom. Holley continues to focus on building relationships directly with our consumers, both digitally and in person at our company owned events. Our teams' efforts to expand Holley's digital capabilities continues to drive incremental DTC revenues, as was evidenced by our fourth-quarter results.

DTC sales were up significantly in the fourth quarter driven by strong performance marketing, content and social media marketing, event expansions and new brand integrations. For the full year 2021, DTC sales were $113 million, up 35% or roughly $29 million compared to 2020 results. These DTC sales represented 16% of total 2021 sales, up from 13% of total sales in 2020.

Our DTC strategy is core to what we do, as we continue to directly align our sales channels with our enthusiast customers' purchase preferences. As a result we would expect to grow DTC sales at or above the rate of our overall business.

Holley owned events also continue to be a key pillar of our consumer engagement strategy. These self-funded events act as an invaluable opportunity to learn more about our customers and truly understand the [props] that are resonating with the enthusiast community. Our consumer events are scalable and we're excited to expand our event calendar as we continue to grow and innovate our product offerings. We hosted five total events in 2021 with a total attendance of 93,000 individuals.

As outlined on slide 7, since 2015 we have seen an average annual attendance grow of 37%, proving that the Holley community is growing rapidly. During the fourth quarter we were very excited to launch the Holley high-performance experience -- or Holley High Voltage Experience rather -- our inaugural consumer event dedicated to having fun with electric vehicles. The event attracted many EV enthusiasts and influencers, as well as some of the leading EV manufacturers such as Ford and Tesla.

Finally, we continue to leverage and invest in content marketing. Our educational and entertainment content, coupled with our strong social media presence, truly allows us to engage, inspire and support our consumers on their journey, while also driving incremental web traffic and sales for Holley.

For example, Holley's very own Motor Life digital publication continues to experience strong traffic growth with page views more than double the prior year. Importantly, a large majority of this growth is coming from organic unpaid searches as well as direct web traffic, indicating that our consumers are finding Holley on their online research as well as returning for great content. With that I will now turn it over to Vinny to discuss Holley's recent M&A activity.

Thank you, Sean, and good morning to everyone on the call. As highlighted on slide 9, we closed on four separate acquisitions during the fourth quarter, including Arizona Desert Shocks, Baer Brakes, Brothers Trucks and Rocket Racing Wheels, further strengthening our product offering across several vehicle platforms.

These acquisitions are in highly strategic, powertrain agnostic product categories such as off-road suspension, braking systems, appearance items and wheels. Ultimately these brands expand our range of performance products and capabilities which will allow us to connect with a broader set of enthusiast consumers going forward.

As we have communicated previously, we have a robust pipeline of acquisition opportunities for our team to evaluate. Holley will remain disciplined with the ultimate goal of unlocking and expanding new and large addressable markets of strategic importance to the company. I'd now like to hand the call over to Dominic who will discuss our financial results in greater detail. Dominic?

Thanks, Vinny, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us on this morning's call. I will now cover our fourth-quarter and full-year 2021 results, which are highlighted on slides 10 through 13. Holley delivered net sales of $179.8 million in the fourth quarter, an increase of $41.4 million or 29.9% from the fourth quarter of 2020.

Year-over-year sales growth from acquisitions accounted for $24 million of the $41.4 million growth, with the balance of $17.4 million being organic in nature. So, of the 29.9% sales growth, 17.3% was due to acquisitions and 12.6% was organic.

Gross margin increased from 39.4% last year to 41.6% in the fourth quarter of 2021. The increase in gross margin can be attributed to pricing, increased leverage from the higher sales volume and product mix.

Total selling, general and administrative expenses increased $15.6 million to $37.7 million in the fourth quarter. Incremental SG&A from recent acquisitions was responsible for $4.1 million of the increase in the quarter. Additional cost drivers include an increase in equity compensation, public company expenses, an increase in outbound shipping costs due to the higher sales volume, and an increase in professional fees.

Net income for the fourth quarter of 2021 was impacted by accounting charges to reflect the higher value of warrants and sponsor earn out shares. As a reminder, these are non-cash items that are required to reflect the increased liability associated with those instruments. Net income in the quarter was also impacted by the refinancing of our credit facility in November, which resulted in a loss on the early extinguishment of debt.

These large items more than offset growth in operating income in the fourth quarter and, as a result, we recorded a net loss of $18 million. This compares to net income of $2 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. Adjusted net income in the quarter was $9 million, which compares to the same $2 million in 2020. Adjusted EBITDA increased to $36.1 million in the fourth quarter, up from $30.4 million in 2020.

Now let's turn to 2021 full-year results. Holley delivered net sales of $692.8 million, an increase of $188.6 million or 37.4% from 2020. Net sales from acquisitions drove $116.4 million of that growth with the balance of $72.3 million from comparable organic sales growth. So, of the 37.4% net sales growth in 2021, 23.1% from acquisitions and 14.3% was organic.

Gross margin increased slightly from 41.3% last year to 41.4% in 2021. We effectively managed prices during the year to offset supply chain and cost of goods sold pressure.

Total selling, general administrative expenses increased 45.9% million to a total of $116.8 million for the year. Incremental SG&A from recent acquisitions was responsible for $18.5 million of the increase. Additional cost drivers included increased professional fees and an increase in outbound shipping costs related to the higher sales volume and DTC growth and equity compensation.

Net income for the full year was also impacted by charges for warrant and earn out share accounting in the third and fourth quarters, fees paid related to the business combination in the third quarter, the increased acquisition earn out charge in the first quarter, and the loss of the early extinguishment of debt in Q4.

As a result we recorded a net loss of $27.1 million for the year compared to net income of $32.9 million in 2020. Adjusted net income for the year was $61.8 million when the aforementioned items are removed. Adjusted EBITDA increased to $169.5 million for the year, up from $126.2 million in 2020.

I want to take a moment to touch on the quarterly cadence of our sales. Slide 13 contains quarterly net sales from 2021 compared to 2020. As we've stated previously, we saw a return to more normal seasonality in 2021. In a typical year, we expect over 50% of our annual sales to be realized in the first half of the year, with the second quarter being the largest sales quarter of the year.

The fluctuations in our quarterly sales growth percentages in 2021 are largely due to the unusual sales pattern we saw in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic that impacted reseller buying patterns.

I'll now provide our full year 2022 guidance, which is outlined on slide 15. These ranges include organic growth and acquisitions that we've completed to date only. No new acquisitions in 2022 are projected in these ranges, although we are always exploring potential strategic acquisitions and have available capacity on our new credit facility.

For the full year 2022, we are projecting net sales in the range of $765 million to $790 million and adjusted EBITDA in a range of $186 million to $194 million. For modeling purposes we are also providing guidance for CapEx, depreciation and amortization and interest. We expect 2022 results to include capital expenditures of $14 million to $16 million, depreciation and amortization between $24 million and $26 million and interest expense in a range of $30 million.

That now concludes our prepared remarks, so I'd like to turn the call back over to Ross to open up the call for questions. Ross?

Absolutely, Dominic. As a reminder, we ask you please limit yourself to one question with one related follow-up as needed. Alex, please open the line for questions from our participants.

(Operator Instructions). Joe Altobello, Raymond James.

So, a few questions on the quarter. I guess first, I assume the four tuck-ins that you did in the quarter were fairly negligible in terms of their contribution to sales and EBITDA. Is that correct?

Yes, Joe, this is Dominic. Yes, the timing of those, they were late in the quarter, so it was immaterial.

Okay, great. So, if I look at your sales and EBITDA in the quarter versus the implied guide, you obviously beat your sales guide fairly sizably, but your EBITDA guide by a much smaller amount. What surprised you positively on the sales front? And I guess what surprised you negatively on the OpEx side?

So, a couple things. One is we entered into the year basically going into the second half. We knew that we had very strong consumer demand. And the big wildcard for us was our ability to overcome the supply-chain challenges to meet it.

If you recall, we did defer $7 million out of Q3 into Q4, which did assist us on the sales side in the quarter. But that had already been contemplated in our guidance. So, from a sales perspective, I think we were very pleasantly surprised. I don't know if surprised is the right word, but pleasantly, I guess, encouraged to see the continuing consumer demand. It has just been robust the entire time.

With regards to some of the expenses on the SGA side, we did have an increase in some of our professional fees associated with acquisitions that we did in the fourth quarter. As we did some of the refinancing and some of the work from a public company standpoint those were higher. We knew those were coming. We didn't want to raise the guidance on sales without necessarily raising the guidance on the EBITDA.

And on a pro forma basis, I think as we've released in the past and discussed in the past, we would've added another $8 million or $10 million in sales on a pro forma basis with another $3 million in EBITDA. So, we were above the guidance range, so we felt very comfortable maintaining the guide that we had given.

Okay, that's helpful. And maybe turning to 2022, your guidance implies flattish EBITDA margins this year. Could you talk about what headwinds and tailwinds you are expecting from that perspective?

So, the first half of the year we still have not lapped all of our public company expenses. And if you recall, we've talked about that before. When we are privately held those things would have been an adjustment out. And we just know as a public company those expenses just have to be absorbed. So, for the first half of the year, we still have those expenses to overcome.

But from an overall margin standpoint, we're just balancing with investments that we want to make to continue to drive consumer engagement on the [D2C] front. There's some marketing initiatives that we are undergoing as well. And so, we feel like the guide that we've given is great. We'd love that 24% to 26% sweet spot and we believe we can manage to that.

Okay. Thank you, guys, good luck.

Mike Swartz, Truist Securities.

Good morning, everyone. I guess from the acquisitions in the quarter, the four acquisitions, it doesn't sound like had much of an impact on the fourth quarter. But thinking about the 2022 guide, I guess what are you actually embedding in your estimates from those acquisitions?

Thanks, Mike. This is Dominic again. We've projected that those have an estimated impact of $30 million in 2022. And I believe that is also in the slide deck.

And on an EBITDA basis?

We haven't disclosed EBITDA. But the things that we're looking at, I would say the best way we look at that is on par with what we achieve.

Okay, got you. And then just with the -- I think you said you took some price increases in the fourth quarter which had a positive effect on revenue and margin. Just maybe talk about that. Were those price increases broadly across the business or on select items? And then should we expect further pricing actions to go into effect, or I should say off-cycle pricing actions go into effect in early 2022?

Those increases were applied broadly to the product portfolio. And then in terms of going forward into 2022, we generally do one price increase a year. We've historically done that, but obviously when cost pressures demand we've demonstrated the ability to get off-cycle increases. So, will just continue to evaluate the cost environment and make those decisions as we work our way through the year.

Okay, great. And then just final question, maybe Dominic. Help us think about just the moving parts for margins in 2022. And just meaning how should we think about gross margin and operating costs relative to 2021 maybe as a percentage of sales?

Yes, so we've talked about this before. We do know that we are overcoming some increased SG&A expenses. So, if anything, we're hoping to continue to drive gross profit margin expansion. But the target for EBITDA margin is really what we're after, around the 25% target is what we're always after. So, for us, we do know that we have to get a little bit more out of the gross profit margin side to overcome some increased SGA. So, that's the best guide I can give you.

Ryan Sundby, William Blair.

Over the past year, we've gotten to hear about your enthusiast consumer base quite a lot, and whether that be through the strong attendance metrics at the festivals, as Sean shared, or the higher repeat rates and average spend per consumer we are seeing in your results. I guess I wanted to flip this around a little bit and ask about more of a financially motivated consumer.

With the really impressive performance we've seen at some of the collector car auction shows so far here in 2022, I think we've seen strong sell through, record volumes, average pricing up about 50% in some cases.

I guess as you look back historically, when you've seen these trades where there's more of a financial reward for upgrading and restoring vehicles like this, can you talk about kind of impact that's had, I guess, on top of your passionate enthusiast base when you kind of build in this economic incentive like we are seeing right now?

Well, I think we're poised to benefit from trends like that. But what I would say is that most of these financial investors we see moving into the market and bidding up prices, we feel like they become enthusiasts. This is a lifestyle, it's an activity that's contagious that gets in your blood. And the more excitement there is in general around the automobile, we feel like that benefits our company and our business.

That makes sense. Should be a strong motivator there. And I guess just to follow up, I think DTC was up 35% for the year, sales were up 37% for the year. I'm assuming it's probably contribution from the acquired businesses don't have as much DTC penetration as you have. But I guess why would DTC be up less than maybe sales for the full year?

Well, when you look at organic for the full year it was 14% with the balance of that being from acquisitions. So, basically that's my view of it. The acquisitions drove a large portion, obviously, of that 37% growth. I think comparing the -- and I think your assumption is right about the acquired businesses by and large having lower DTC penetration. But I think you should compare the 35% DTC growth to the 14% organic growth.

Michael Baker, D.A. Davidson.

This is Jeff Walter on for Michael Baker today. We were just wondering if you guys could talk about some of the trends you're seeing in new customers versus old customers. And then maybe talk about some of the initiatives that are being taken to help maintain the new customers. And then I know you guys had also talked about a loyalty program in the past, and if we could just get an update on that or any other initiatives around there. Thanks.

Sean, do you want to take this one?

Sure, sure, yes. So, new customer acquisition continues to be strong. What I can tell you is that we continue to focus on enhancing our digital capabilities that are going to further enable our customer retention and increase lifetime value. So, as I mentioned in the presentation, digital capabilities, as it relates to communicating to the consumer and scaling that, is a big focus of us right now and we are optimistic about what we can do there.

John Lawrence, Benchmark.

Good morning, guys. Congratulations. Tom, would you talk a little bit about -- over the second half of the year, just about some of the different categories that you've seen? Has there been any change in the third and fourth quarter as far as some of these components, what people are looking for?

And then secondly, maybe just a little bit of a dive into AEM and these new acquisitions, sort of the integration plan and where we sit as you look at AEM and [EEM] as far as getting the profitability out of that. Thanks.

Sure, John. When you look at the second half of the year, we saw continued strength in some of our leading categories like fuel injection -- electronic fuel injection, like electronic tuning, also in our exhaust business. So, there was really nothing there that surprised us. Those are all categories we have been investing in and growing.

When you -- in the context of integration, we made progress during the second half of the year, still a lot of work to do there. You mentioned AEM. We are excited to be working more closely with that group. We've got those teams on the innovation side folded in together. They are very focused on providing us with the electronic products that facilitate EV conversions on classic vehicles. So, very excited to be making progress with that.

We did start the Simpson integration in the second half of the year. Just as a reminder, there was a one-year earn out there, and so we tread very lightly and that business ended up performing very well. So, we are in process integrating that as well. And now we've got a host of other acquisitions that we did in the half that we're looking forward to getting integrated.

Great, thanks. Just one more. What about -- we talked about -- obviously, navigated the supply chain extremely well. What did you learn in everything in that backlog? You made a lot of changes to sort of execute against that. Did that backlog number come down as we moved through the end of the year?

The backlog only came down minimally. And I think the way to interpret that is, despite what I would call a yeoman's effort on the part of the team, we weren't able to fully satisfy the demand. So, we still have a very robust backlog out there.

Great. And I'm sorry, last question. Sean, did I see on the ad for some of the marketing events that you've arranged other sponsorships? So, is it even more support for those programs? Is that correct?

Are you asking if we have sponsored programs related to our events that are help funding them?

Yes.

Yes, we do that, but only in a way that retains Holley as the premier brand and the owner of the event. So, we did just bring on eBay Motors recently as a presenting sponsor for our event series. But as you can see on slide 7, the integration of their brand is limited. So, we want to make sure that that asset is protected and communicated as a Holley event.

Great, great. Thanks, guys. Congrats. Good luck.

(Operator Instructions). Ladies and gentlemen, we have reached the end of the question-and-answer session. This concludes today's conference and you may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation and have a wonderful day.

Thanks, everybody.

Thank you.