Hackett Group Inc (HCKT) 2009 Q2 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good evening. Welcome to the The Hackett Group second quarter earnings conference. Your lines have been placed on a listen-only mode until the question-and-answer session. Please be advised that the conference is being recorded.

  • Hosting tonight's call are Mr. Ted Fernandez, Chairman and CEO, and Mr. Rob Ramirez, Chief Financial Officer. Mr. Ramirez, you may begin.

  • Robert Ramirez - CFO, PAO & EVP Finance

  • Thank you, operator. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us to discuss The Hackett Group's second quarter results.

  • Speaking on the call today and here to answer your questions are Ted Fernandez, Chairman and CEO of The Hackett Group, and myself, Rob Ramirez, CFO. A press announcement was released over the wires at 4:05 p.m. Eastern Time. For a copy of the release, please visit our website at www.thehackettgroup.com. We will also place any additional financial or statistical data discussed on this call that is not contained in the release on the Investor Relations page on our Web site.

  • Before we begin, I would like to remind you that in the following comments, and in the question-and-answer session, we will be making statements about expected future results which will be forward-looking statements for the purposes of Federal securities laws. These statements relate to our current expectations, estimates, and projections, and are not a guarantee of future performance. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict, and which my not be accurate. Actual results may vary. These forward-looking statements should be considered only in conjunction with the detailed information, particularly the risk factors, contained in our SEC filings.

  • At this point, I would like to turn it over to Ted.

  • Ted Fernandez - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

  • Thank you, Rob, and welcome everyone to our call.

  • As I customarily do, I will start the call by making some comments -- overview comments relative to the quarter, and then I will turn it over to Rob and ask him to comment on the detailed operating results, address cash flow details, and then also address our guidance for the following quarter. Rob will then turn it back over to me. I will make some comments relative to the market and some of the strategic responses that we are focusing on, and then we will open it up for Q&A.

  • So having said that, let me again start by welcoming everyone to The Hackett Group's second quarter earnings call. For the quarter we reported revenues of $34.6 million, and pro forma EPS of $0.02, both in line with our guidance. As expected, our results reflect the impact from the volatile economy -- I'm sorry, economic environment which our clients are experiencing across the US and international markets that we serve. However, as our Q3 guidance indicates, we now believe that revenues will stabilize or be up sequentially in the upcoming quarter, which will allow us to benefit from the cost management actions that we have taken to date.

  • As we noted in early May when we provided our Q2 guidance, although our client pipeline activity is healthy, clients are simply taking longer to make decisions, and in general they are making smaller commitments. Initiatives that do not have credible ROI targets, or with longer benefit realization timeframes, are more difficult to get approved. Accordingly, even though all of our practice groups were impacted by the current environment, our Hackett Technology Solutions projects, which typically have longer benefit realization timeframes were impacted more significantly in the quarter. However, based on current pipeline activity, as I mentioned before, we now expect both Technology Solutions and Hackett Group revenues to stabilize, and be flat to up in the quarter.

  • During the quarter we are also started to see the benefit of our efforts to engage clients more strategically around the design and implementation of global operating platforms, or as we refer to it internally, our client service delivery models. This focus resulted in several large key wins that will benefit our results for the balance of the year. We are also encouraged by improving GDP figures in the markets that we serve, along with improved client decision-making that we saw during the second quarter. Although we have had to take difficult cost reduction actions, we are pleased that the actions we are taking are allowing us to continue to invest in our people and our offerings, while maintaining an appropriate level of profitability and cash flow under difficult market conditions. This will allow us to reward high-performing associates, while also protecting our shareholders' interests. We also believe that many of these actions provide sustainable operating leverage that we will be able to benefit from as our revenue growth reemerges.

  • As I mentioned last quarter, we will continue to ensure that our clients understand that our unique best practice intellectual capital and implementation expertise allows them to accelerate the change they must make to reduce cash -- to reduce costs and improve cash flows, while improving operating excellence. This requires operating agility that many organizations simply do not have. Along with cost reduction and cash flow improvements, the ability to sustain these benefits as growth stabilizes and reemerging -- and reemerges, is becoming an increasing area of focus for our clients. A lot of them are simply being pressured by their shareholders, will the cost reduction actions you have taken create real operating leverage in the -- for the balance of the year for 2010 and beyond?

  • This type of change requires operating excellence, not just brute force; this is where we believe our offerings excel. Although we continue to plan for a challenging environment for the balance of the year, we are also making sure that we build on the great momentum created over the last several years. Accordingly, we will continue to execute strategies that allow us to expand our brand position, and improve in all aspects of our go-to-market execution.

  • I will comment further on market conditions, and our specific go-to-market initiatives relative to revenue growth, but let me first ask Rob to provide details on our operating results, cash flow, and also comment on outlook. Rob?

  • Robert Ramirez - CFO, PAO & EVP Finance

  • Thank you, Ted. Good afternoon, everyone.

  • As usual, I will cover the following four main topics this evening. An overview of our 2009 second quarter results, along with an overview of related key operating statistics; a breakdown of our 2009 second quarter revenue; an overview of our cash flow activities during the quarter; and I will then conclude with a discussion on our financial outlook for the third quarter of 2009. For purposes of this call, any references to The Hackett Group will specifically exclude Hackett Technology Solutions. Correspondingly, I will comment separately regarding the financial results of The Hackett Group, Hackett Technology Solutions and the total Company.

  • Please note that all references to gross revenues in my discussion represent net revenues plus reimbursable expenses. For purposes of today's call, I will provide most of my comments on net revenues or revenues before reimbursements.

  • First, I will discuss our second quarter 2009 results. For the second quarter of 2009, the Company's growth revenues were $34.6 million, a year-over-year decrease of 29%, or 27% adjusting for constant currency; with Hackett Group net revenues down 26% on a year-over-year basis, or 23% adjusting for constant currency, and Technology Solutions' net revenue down 37%. As expected, the current macroeconomic climate has continued to affect client decision making. All client spending is heavily scrutinized, which has resulted in longer purchase decision cycles, which has negatively impacted revenues on a year-over-year basis.

  • On a total Company basis, the pro forma gross margin, which excludes noncash stock compensation expense, was 37% of net revenues in the second quarter of 2009, as compared to 44% in the second quarter of 2008. Cost reduction actions we have taken, inclusive of severance costs paid during the quarter of approximately $0.5 million, did not offset the year-over-year decline in revenues. Hackett gross margin on net revenues was 43% in the second quarter of 2009, as compared to 49% in the second quarter of 2008. Our annualized gross revenue per professional was $327,000 in the second quarter of 2009, or $344,000 adjusting for constant currency, as compared to $462,000 in the comparable period of 2008.

  • Pro forma SG&A, which excludes noncash stock compensation expense and amortization of intangibles, was approximately 10.4 million, with 33% of net revenues in the second quarter of 2009, as compared to $14.4 million or 32% of net revenues in the second quarter of 2008. This decrease on an absolute dollar basis is primarily related to lower bonus accruals and commission expenses due to revenue decreases, as well as the benefit of other cost reduction actions taken during 2009. Our pro forma net income totaled $663,000, or $0.02 per diluted share, for the second quarter of 2009. Pro forma net income excludes noncash stock compensation expense and amortization of intangibles, and assumes a normalized tax rate of 40%.

  • GAAP net income included tax expense in the quarter of $26,000. As of the end of the second quarter of 2009, the Company had approximately $51 million and 12 million of income tax loss carry forwards remaining in the US in the foreign tax jurisdictions respectively. Breaking down our second quarter revenue for 2009 growth revenue for 2009, gross revenue for the Hackett Group was $24.6 million, representing a year-over-year decrease of 26%, or 22% adjusting for constant currency, On a net revenue basis Hackett Group revenues decreased 26%, or 23% adjusting for currency.

  • International gross revenues, which are primarily based on where the contracting entity is domiciled, accounted for 34%, or 39% adjusting for constant currency, of Hackett Group revenues in the second quarter of 2009, as compared to 40% in the second quarter of 2008.

  • Our Technology Solutions group gross revenue totaled $10 million, which represented a year-over-year decrease of 37%. For the Technology Solutions Group our hourly gross realized billing rate was $144 for the second quarter of 2009, as compared to $169 in the second quarter of 2008. This decline in billing rate was primarily attributable to lower mix from our higher rate Oracle EPM profits. Consultant utilization was 60% for the second quarter 2009, as compared to 73% in the same period of the previous year. The Company's total consultant head count was 507 at the end of the second quarter of 2009 as compared to 532 in the previous quarter, and 548 at the end of the second quarter of 2008. As I mentioned previously, during the second quarter,we reduced our head count to conform to current market economic conditions in several practices.

  • Now moving to cash balances, the Company's cash balances were $24.2 million at the end of the second quarter of 2009, as compared to $26.3 million at the end of the first quarter of 2009. Subsequent to the end of the second quarter, our remaining balance of $1.1 million held in Bank of America's strategic cash account was fully redeemed.

  • Net cash used in operating activities was $1.3 million for the second quarter of 2009, which was primarily attributable to an increase in DSO, or days sales outstanding, and the timing of vendor payments, partially offset by the timing of US payroll. Our DSO at the end of the second quarter of 2009 was 57 days, as compared to 50 days at the end of the first quarter of 2009 and 65 days at the end of the second quarter of 2008. We continue to target DSO levels below 50 days, we expect our DSO to improve in the third quarter.

  • During the second quarter of 2009, cash was utilized to repurchase approximately 163,000 shares of the Company's common stock, at an average price of $2.12, for a total cost of $346,000. At quarter end we had approximately had $4.5 million remaining in our stock repurchase program authorization.

  • I would now like to discuss our guidance for the third quarter. As we've discussed this call, we continue to expect client budgets to remain tightly controlled and purchase decisions cycles to be longer. We expect total Company gross revenues for the third quarter of 2009 to be in the range of $34 million to $36 million. We expect our pro forma diluted earnings per share in the third quarter of 2009 to be in the range of $0.02 to $0.04, as we benefit from the cost reduction actions taken in Q2. This pro forma estimate excludes amortization expense and noncash stock compensation expense, and includes a normalized tax rate of 40%.

  • Sequentially, we expect gross margin to improve slightly, as we expect cost of sales to decline by approximately $1 million from Q2 to Q3. This is primarily as a result of the cost-saving actions we have taken, as well as the seasonal reductions in payroll-related taxes and vacation accruals, partially offset by an additional severance related to actions taken early in the third quarter in order to further reduce cost of sales. As a result of these additional Q3 actions, we expect Q4 to further benefit by approximately $1 million when compared to Q3.

  • We have taken these additional actions to further improve profitability from Q3 to Q4, assuming flat sequential revenues from our expected Q3 levels. However, we continue to maintain utilization rates, along with corresponding revenue for professional, at levels below both 2008 and normal internal targets. We have done so in order to retain a certain amount of excess capacity, which we can benefit from as we resume a normalized level of revenue growth.

  • We expect pro forma SG&A for Q3 to be approximately $11 million or up approximately $500,000, due to increases in bonus accruals and commissions as a result of our expected revenue levels. We expect our cash balances, excluding the impact of any stock buy back activities, to be up on a sequential basis, consistent with our earnings guidance.

  • At this point I would like to turn it back over to Ted to review our market outlook and strategic priorities in the coming months.

  • Ted Fernandez - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

  • Thanks, Rob.

  • Looking forward, although in 2008 we performed highly in an increasingly difficult economic environment, it is clear that 2009 is more challenged -- is a more challenging environment than what we experienced in '08. But regardless of the length and extent of the current economic cycle, we know that it will pass, and more importantly, that the long-term prospects for our organization remain unchanged. We continue to believe that the market demand for our services remains favorable; companies clearly recognize the need to reduce costs and optimize cash during this period of economic uncertainty. There are also starting to realize that in the near term, revenue gains may be difficult to come by; so operating excellence, which allows them to sustain the operating leverage that they have achieved, will be important in 2010.

  • We continue to believe that as GDP improves gradually in the markets that we serve, that the pressure on discretionary spending will start to ease, and clients will start to address how they can maintain productivity gains they have achieved while improving or maintaining acceptable service levels throughout their businesses. As a result, we expect to see gradual improvement in the US and international markets in the second half of the year. We also believe that the European recovery will lag the US recovery by a quarter or two.

  • With that demand overview as a backdrop, let me now comment on some of our strategic priorities, and specifically address revenue growth. Although we have been in a defensive posture over the last really two quarters, we now expect our revenues to stabilize in the third quarter. Long term, we understand our largest opportunity to grow will come by extending our special market position from being the premiere global benchmarking organization, to our global implementation capabilities across all of offerings. Our clients must know that we are every bit as good at helping them implement the outcome as we are at identifying the opportunity to improve, using our benchmarking capabilities.

  • To that point, one of our biggest investments has been in sales training and ensuring that our market-facing associates continue to improve their skills at presenting our key go-to-market messages and engaging clients strategically. This effort, which has been ongoing in the first couple of quarters, will continue in Q3; in fact, we have got a pretty significant meeting in the US actually at the end of this week.

  • The other key training area has been focused on the integration of our best practice implementation content and tools into our global delivery methodology; specifically, in one of our key service areas, which is an architecting service delivery strategy, and implementing global G&A operating platforms for our clients.

  • Let me now speak to our executive advisory leverage. As I've repeatedly mentioned, our long-term goal is to be able to ascribe an increasing percentage of our total annual revenues to clients who are continuously engaged with us through our executive advisory programs. At the end of the quarter, our membership counts approximated 690 across 215 clients, which are down slightly from last quarter. In Q2, over 50% of our total Hackett sales came from just over 10% of our client base.

  • At the beginning of the year, we started to increase our investment in an advisory-dedicated sales team in both the US and Europe. During the quarter, we decided to further increase the number of dedicated sales resources focused on our advisory programs, and we plan to do that during the third quarter. It is important to note, as I mentioned last quarter, that all of our client touch points, executive briefings, client inquiries, the research we've produced, the webcasts that are attended by our clients, continue to be highly read and attended, and that this has been consistent over the last several quarters. These touch points are important in expanding our market position and staying top of line with our client base, as we help them address strategic issues.

  • We also continue to see a great opportunity to expand internationally. We continue to look for alliance relationships as the most efficient way to make this happen throughout 2009. This is an area where we see how valuable our intellectual property is to potential partners across the globe. Last quarter, we mentioned a new industry alliance with the Shared Services and Outsourcing Network. This quarter we executed an alliance agreement with IQ Business Group in South Africa, that will help us introduce our brand in that marketplace. You can expect this kind of activity to continue, across both industry groups and with specific consultancies in markets we don't serve, through the balance of the year. Additionally, we also continue to actively look for acquisitions that would enhance and strongly leverage our existing intellectual capital to drive and accelerate our growth.

  • In summary, the strategy we put in place several years ago has been favorable to our brand expansion, growth and profitability. Regardless of the short-term impact that we may experience and have experienced from the current global economic crisis, we are certain that the opportunity for our organization remains balanced. We have a powerful brand, proprietary and unmatched intellectual capital, a terrific group of talented associates, and a strong balance sheet with ample cash balances and no debt. We have proven that these attributes are extremely valuable during increasingly challenging economic times, and we believe they will allow us to optimize our market opportunity as the global economic conditions improve.

  • Let me close by thanking our associates for their numerous contributions and their tireless efforts ,and urge them to stay highly focused on our clients and our people. This is an important time for our clients, and our associates understand that our clients will strongly value those organizations that help them manage through this challenging economic cycle.

  • Let me now open it up for Q&A.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions). Our first question is from George Sutton. Please state your company name, and you may ask your question.

  • Goerge Sutton - Analyst

  • Craig-Hallum. Hey, guys.

  • Ted Fernandez - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

  • Hey, George.

  • Goerge Sutton - Analyst

  • So last quarter, Ted, and I think in a couple of the previous quarterly calls, you have suggested a negative 3% GDP to a positive 3% GDP is the ideal environment for you, and I am not a GDP tracker but I think we are about there, and I was just wondering wouldn't this be the ideal time for the relevance as you're out pitching this offering?

  • Ted Fernandez - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

  • We do -- we do believe that when things -- when productivity is important to clients, which I believe is within that spectrum you mentioned of kind of broad economic performance, that our services should be in the highest demand, and we would expect that to happen. Clearly, you are dealing with clients in essence getting a little bit looking further away from what I will call the economic crash of the latter part of '08. So we know that clients are sensitive to any level of discretionary spend.

  • But we also know the clients -- that it is critical for clients to sustain all of the productivity improvements they put in place. When I tell you that have done it through brute force, I am not exaggerating. We know, because we speak to many of these clients, that they will have to come back and make structural change to retain some of those productivity improvements, and we believe they will benefit us. So as things continue to get further away from what I call the economic crash, I would expect the overall demand for our offerings to improve.

  • Goerge Sutton - Analyst

  • Could you give us a little more detail in terms of where some of these cost cuts have been made, and then the counter thought process with respect to hiring more advisory salespeople in Q3?

  • Ted Fernandez - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

  • It has been across the Board. I think it really doesn't matter by industry, clients have really taken a really hard look at their entire operating platforms, and I am talking soup to nuts, and looked at any way to improve both the efficiency and effectiveness of their platforms. Having said that, we know that many did this, you know, very quickly, and they didn't do it as thoughtfully as they would have liked, but that's what was demanded by the market. They know that if they want to try to sustain those productivity gains, they will have to do more work, and I believe that in order to do that they will have to turn to outsiders for that level of assistance.

  • So the question is only when, and how does that -- and how does that really tie in with obviously their goals of trying to -- to try to maintain the highest level of profits of '09? But I also think it will become a very significant part of the 2010 budget cycle.

  • Goerge Sutton - Analyst

  • As you look out to 2010, so getting out a couple of quarters from now, where do you see the most -- where do you have the most concern, and where do you have the most enthusiasm?

  • Ted Fernandez - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

  • Well, I think the most enthusiasm for us is that as I said, clients I think will try to drive 2010 EPS growth by trying to sustain most of the operating leverage that they have been able to achieve in the first half of this year. But to do that, they're going to have to make investments in the both their business processes across the business, and again soup to nuts, and they're going to have to look at the underlying technology that makes that work.

  • I think to date clients have done it -- I will call it the old-fashioned way, which is simply take costs out regardless of the ramifications just because of -- the revenue compression was so swift. But I would expect our services broadly to benefit from the way the clients try to deal with any kind of slow growth environment, which I believe we will see somewhat in 2010, which requires them to really sustain all of the productivity gains that they have worked so hard to put in place in '09.

  • Goerge Sutton - Analyst

  • Okay. Fair point. Lastly for Rob, if I could, this $1 million in cost cuts, so that's a good savings, that you mentioned sounds like it should fall to the bottom line, which suggests about $0.01.5 of EPS improvement alone. Am I reading that the right way?

  • Robert Ramirez - CFO, PAO & EVP Finance

  • No, you are -- you are reading $1 million on a like-to-like basis Q2 to Q3, and an additional incremental $1 million from Q3 to Q4.

  • Goerge Sutton - Analyst

  • Oh, an additional from Q3 to Q4. Okay, great.

  • Robert Ramirez - CFO, PAO & EVP Finance

  • $0.01.5, as you said, from Q3 to Q4

  • Goerge Sutton - Analyst

  • Okay. Thanks, guys.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. Bill Sutherland, your line is open. Please state your company name, and you may ask your question.

  • Bill Sutherland - Analyst

  • Good evening, guys.

  • Ted Fernandez - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

  • Hi, Bill.

  • Bill Sutherland - Analyst

  • Ted, maybe you can give us a little color. You mentioned -- on these new wins that you mentioned, to the degree to which you can?

  • Ted Fernandez - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

  • Well, I mean, you know we have worked very hard over the last 18 months to engage clients more strategically so that they don't just come to us for what I think they used to come to us for, which is help me identify my performance improvement opportunity, and in many cases either try to execute this on their own or turn to others for assistance. There's no doubt that over the last two years, our revenue per client has increased, and that is directly attributed to the fact that clients are starting to figure out that there's quite a bit more that they should do with us; that our expertise in actually implementing the opportunities for improvement we identified is absolutely core to our skills.

  • So what we saw in the latter part of Q2 is we saw some very significant wins with exactly that, where we are seeing our brand permission expand, our associates just doing a better job at making sure clients understand how broadly we can serve them, them and we were able to sign up some pretty -- what we would call significant clients, multimillion dollar clients, and there were several of them.

  • What we would have loved to see in addition to that is great volume, because we know from great volume then come more of these opportunities. We still would love to see more volume relative to clients quickly identifying and moving through in a pipeline -- moving through the pipeline. But we are clearly -- we clearly can see that we are getting better and better at making sure clients understand that if they turn to us for simply just some high level advice, or just to help them identify and [guess] the opportunity using our benchmark, they're really, really foregoing some of the most valuable skills that we have, and that is actually implementing the solution, which we do very, very well.

  • Bill Sutherland - Analyst

  • So this are all benchmark transformations, I think you call them?

  • Ted Fernandez - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

  • They were clients that were utilizing our intellectual capital either through an executive advisory program, or that leveraged some of our benchmarking capabilities in order to, as we call it, size the prize. So yes, and they have now become a broader transformation client.

  • Bill Sutherland - Analyst

  • So with one or more, you know, goals as far as transformation. But you are saying you would liked to have seen more volume; you just mean they're starting up more slowly than ideal?

  • Ted Fernandez - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

  • We would just like to see more clients get through that decision-making process quickly.

  • Bill Sutherland - Analyst

  • Oh, okay.

  • Ted Fernandez - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

  • But it is a tricky transition for us, because we saw significant wins, it gives us strong visibility into the quarter, but we also want to be very measured because we know that clients are still trying to do -- my sense is that clients are trying to do what they can to constrain spending and keep the productivity gains that they have achieved in the first half of the year; but we also know, because we speak to many of them, we estimate that without taking more structural change, the productivity gains that many of our clients achieved, that nearly half of those gains they will not be able to sustain in long term; which we believe creates an opportunity for us, and creates an opportunity for them as well. They know that making change quick may get you a quick return, but to sustain that takes more work, and we hope that that's where they turn to us, because we do that very well.

  • Bill Sutherland - Analyst

  • How many folks do you have in this advisory dedicated force now?

  • Ted Fernandez - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

  • Not enough. That group -- that dedicated group is going to [sit] by the end of the third quarter in US and Europe. So it is really nominal. So we really have to give tremendous -- I mean our -- when we look at our advisory results, even though, you know they were impacted just like all of our other business lines, when we look at the year-over-year declines some of our competitors experienced here as they report in Q2, we don't feel too bad about our results. So -- but we know long term if we are getting this kind of royalty from our executive advisory client base, 10% of these clients drove 50% of our sales in Q2, we would like to have more of that and we would like to have it -- we would like to continue to expand that base. As you remember, my long-term goal was to bring that client base up to 500 clients, and that would really provide just a great opportunity for growth if we could leverage that client base the way we are now leveraging it. So we would like to see that client count start to grow, and hopefully we can do that by making the investment now, and maybe we can see that happen in 2010.

  • Bill Sutherland - Analyst

  • So you said -- I'm not sure I understood; you said five focused --

  • Ted Fernandez - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

  • Six in total. Six. Okay. And then obviously -- now wait, let me go back. Obviously the rest of the sales force will sell that, but they obviously sell all of our other offering, but wanted to start making a dedicated investment because we know the leverage -- the leverage from that client base has been pretty substantial for us over the last 12 to 18 months.

  • Bill Sutherland - Analyst

  • Are these alliances -- you announced a new one in South Africa, are you starting to see them move the needle a little bit?

  • Ted Fernandez - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

  • The answer to the -- South Africa alliance actually will not get kicked off until this quarter we just signed it. It took quite a bit to get that signed. And we have got a couple of others where we expect them to have some impact on volume in the second half of the year. So we believe that is a very efficient way for us to expand our benchmarking and well as our executive advisory volume. And you will see more.

  • Bill Sutherland - Analyst

  • Okay. And then finally, know you, I know you are always looking around at the acquisition environment; how do you characterize kind of what you have in the pipeline right now? Does it feel like some things feel more realistic than the past or is it --

  • Ted Fernandez - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

  • We have been working hard at this, as you know, really for the last 12 to 18 months, as the stock market -- as the value in the market has really put a big question mark as to what assets are really worth. It simply just takes longer to try to come agreement with any organization that would be interested in becoming part of Hackett. But our hope is that the opportunity is compelling enough, and that if we put in enough time that sooner or later we will be able to add some acquisitions to our organization.

  • Bill Sutherland - Analyst

  • Good enough. Thanks.

  • Ted Fernandez - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. (Operator Instructions). Mickey Schleien, your line is open. Please state your company name, and you may ask your question.

  • Mickey Schleien - Analyst

  • It is Mickey Schleien with Ladenburg Thalmann & Co. Ted, I wanted to follow up on a comment you made in terms of Europe. You said you thought growth there would lag the U.S. by a quarter or two and I wanted to understand your thoughts behind that. And also whether you're doing anything to protect your revenue streams from Europe, given the volatility in the currencies that we're seeing?

  • Ted Fernandez - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

  • From a foreign currency perspective, we've done everything we can to hedge that exposure. And when I say hedge it, I mean from an operating perspective, not actual financial hedges. So making sure that whether we execute a contract or the time to settle, all of those things are being dealt with something we believe is manageable. So beyond foreign currency, if you call it exposure management, Europe went into the economic decline later but boy when it hit, it hit them harder. We saw that. If you recall back from our fourth quarter call, where we experienced the more significant stall happen in Europe in the late part of 2008.

  • We have seen that same, if you want to call it compression of the economic cycle impact their decision making more severely than we've seen our U.S. businesses. Having said that, we have seen some improvement in the European behavior here over the last 30 to 60 days. Whether or not that sustainable becomes a little tricky because you know we now are going into a little bit of the European summer stall, which is a little bit disappointing for us, especially given some of the activity we started to see over the last 60 days.

  • But with that backdrop in mind, we've seen the way the U.S. behavior has just improved slightly and gradually and clients just becoming a little bit more comfortable with what they're going to accomplish in 2009 and what they have to start looking for in 2010. So we believe, just based on that anecdotal feedback from clients and the clients that we're talking to, that we would expect the European recovery to lag a couple of quarters.

  • So that's our hope. We're not planning for Europe to help us as much in the second half of the year, as we're expecting, I'll call it our U.S. businesses, to participate in that. It would sure be nice to see it happen and we're doing everything we can from a marketing perspective to position those businesses to do that, but too early to tell.

  • Mickey Schleien - Analyst

  • Thanks, Ted.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. Morris Ajzenman, your line is open. Please state your company name and ask your question.

  • Morris Ajzenman - Analyst

  • Griffin securities. Hey Ted, Robert.

  • Ted Fernandez - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

  • Hey.

  • Morris Ajzenman - Analyst

  • Just a follow-up. I was going to ask the same question on the international versus the domestic revenues. I mean, clearly, you can see the revenues internationally has declined and with the down draft in revenues, you can see how steep it's been internationally. You kind of touched on it but you're giving guidance of $34.0 million to $36.0 million versus $34.6 million, so if you get lucky and you get some conversion of the interest by (inaudible) customers, you can have sequential revenues up.

  • Would that mean that domestically we're going to see potentially a stronger pickup or is there a risk to the international side dragging that down? It sounds like domestically there is some traction there. Am I reading that right into this current quarter?

  • Ted Fernandez - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

  • We think we've risk abated the international side properly. Yes, we have seen more volatility from international operations, and specifically Western Europe, in the first half of the year. Having said that, some of the significant wins that I commented on earlier, our prospects are better. We just know that clients are just being incredibly thoughtful and they're trying to do everything they can to protect 2009 EPS, which normally means 2009 comp for many of these executives, so don't forget that. We've very aware of that. So we're making sure the clients understand what we can do to help them with 2009, both cash or cost.

  • But we're also spending a lot of time making sure these clients understand that the cost reductions that have allowed them to report these, I'll call them -- 75% of the Dow that has reported so far, has beat expectations. They've done it on cost reduction. The productivity numbers reported this morning were incredibly strong. I'm just here to tell you that for those productivity gains to be sustainable, clients will have to make more structural change. If not, they will give some of that back. And we believe that most of our clients are planning on trying to improve their EPS prospects for 2010 by being able to improve their operating margins, when they compare that to a 2007 and 2008 number.

  • So you can only do that with productivity. If you want to sustain productivity gains, they're going to have to make more structural change, they're going to have to invest and hopefully we'll get a chance to participate in that.

  • Morris Ajzenman - Analyst

  • Let me ask the question differently. This year international was 34% of revenues. I think last year you said it was 40%. So if you did the math, we can get whatever the domestic revenues were. In this guidance, second quarter to third quarter, if we exed out international revenues, are we talking about sequential improvement, single digits, mid, low high? Can you comment on that?

  • Ted Fernandez - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

  • Yes, we could possibly see sequential improvement in the international operations this quarter. Yes, that's possible.

  • Morris Ajzenman - Analyst

  • No, no I am talking about domestic. If you exed out the international?

  • Ted Fernandez - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

  • Oh no, no, we -- actually it is interesting, when we look at the business broadly, flat to up, there are aspects of our European operations that are operating strongly. Let me take that back. We would expect some small erosion in Europe from Q2 to Q3, I'm thinking of the businesses on a global basis. If you ex out European operations, we would expect sequential increase in the U.S. operations, yes.

  • Morris Ajzenman - Analyst

  • And would that be low single digits as a percent increase? Would you want to venture that?

  • Ted Fernandez - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

  • I don't have that so I'd hate to. I'm probably moving beyond where I should. Rob will probably strangle me here soon.

  • Morris Ajzenman - Analyst

  • Cash flow. Your company has always been able to generate free cash flow. Clearly the last quarter or two it's been difficult. You had a modest burn. Second half, third quarter, fourth quarter, do you go back to cash flow generation?

  • Ted Fernandez - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO

  • We should expect to generate cash flow. The only reason we didn't this quarter was because of the DSO increase, because we really weren't that active in the marketplace. We didn't find people that wanted to exit with large volumes at the prices that we were looking for. But we expect a cash flow in the third quarter. We expect a DSO loss. If you say the increase of 7 days that we lost from Q1 to Q2, we expect to get most of that back, from Q2 to Q3.

  • So if you take the midpoint of our guidance, if you add then the improvement and if you take us back to a more normalized DSO target, which you have closer to 50, you would see net cash flow from our business, net of any stock buy back activity during the quarter.

  • Morris Ajzenman - Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. At this time I am showing no other questions. I would like to turn the call back to Mr. Fernandez.

  • Robert Ramirez - CFO, PAO & EVP Finance

  • Let me thank everyone again for participating in our second quarter earnings call, and look forward to updating everyone again when we report our third quarter. Thank you again for participating on our call.

  • Operator

  • Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect from the audio portion.