GeoPark Ltd (GPRK) 2025 Q4 法說會逐字稿

Good morning and welcome to the Geopark Limited conference call. Following the results announcement for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025. After the speaker's remarks, there'll be a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question at this time, if you would like to withdraw your question, please press 2.

If you do not have a copy of the press release, it is available at the Invest with Us section on the company's corporate website at www.geo-park.com.

A replay of today's call may be accessed through this webcast in the Invest with Us section of the Geopark corporate website.

Before we continue, please note that certain statements contained in the results press release on this conference call are forward-looking statements rather than historical facts and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described.

With respect to such forward-looking statements, the company seeks protections afforded by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1,995.

These risks include a variety of factors including competitive development and risk factors listed from time to time in the company's SEC reports and public releases.

Those lists are intended to identify certain principal factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements but are not intended to represent a complete list of the company's business.

All financial figures included herein were prepared in accordance with the IFRS and are stated in US dollars unless otherwise noted.

Reserve figures correspond to PMRS standards.

On the call today from Geopark is Felipe Breon, Chief Executive Officer, Jaime Caballero, Chief Financial Officer, Martin Terrado, Chief Operating Officer, Rodrigo Dalla Fiora, Chief Exploration and Development Officer, and Maria Catalina Escobar, Chief Shareholder Value and Capital Markets Director.

And now I'll turn the call over to Mr. Felipe Beon.

Mr. Bellon, you may begin.

Good morning everyone and thank you for joining Geopark's 4th quarter and full year 2025 results call.

2025 marked a turning point for Geopark, defined by strategic clarity, operational discipline, and a decisive portfolio reset well underway.

We strengthen our foundation through an anticipated inflection point in production and continued financial discipline, repositioning the company for long-term value creation. Importantly, we delivered or exceeded our full year guidance across all key metrics despite a materially lower oil price environment.

Production averaged 28,233 barrels of oil equivalent per day for the full year 2025, above the upper end of our guidance, reflecting a platform in both Colombia and Argentina that it's executing and evolving while staying grounded in operational discipline.

In Colombia, we achieved an earlier than anticipating production stabilization supported by resilient-based production in Janus 34, sustained contribution from CPO 5, and successful drilling in Janus 123.

We also launched a polymer injection recovery project in Janus 34 that delivered solid results. Argentina began contributing production ahead of plan and assets were integrated safely to our operations.

Fourth quarter volumes average 28,351 barrels of oil equivalent per day, broadly in line with the prior quarter and reflecting the fresh production of our vaca muerta acids.

Full year financial results primarily reflect lower realized prices which average $58.1 per BOE in 2025 versus $65.6 per BOE in 2024.

Adjusted EBITDA reached $277 million within our guidance range while margins remained resilient. Fourth quarter, adjusted EBITDA was USD46 million, reflecting lower realized prices and the impact of specific non-recurring items, including the fair sales volumes, logistics-related adjustments, and startup costs in Vaca Muerta.

These are timing-related effects, some of which will be reversed in our first quarter 2026 results.

Even in a lower price environment and with temporary quarterly impacts, our operational platform remained resilient and capital allocation disciplined.

We invested $98 million during the year in line with our plan and delivered a 2.8 times adjusted EBITDA to cap ratio and achieved an 18% roadchi underscoring disciplined returns-based capital allocation.

We delivered meaningful structural efficiencies in 2025.

Operating cost averaged $13.4 per barrel for the year and G&A stood at an average of $4.8 per barrel, both within guidance. We also achieved $32 million in structural cash savings, setting a lower cost base expected to generate a run rate of some $45 million in annualized savings in 2026 and beyond. Our balance sheet and risk management remain strong.

Cash stood at over $100 million and net leverage closed at 1.6 times, and we have no material debt maturities until 2027.

During the year, we repurchased over $100 million of our 2030 notes below par, capturing a $10 million gain and a $9.5 million annual interest saving.

Over 84% of our 2026 production is now hedged through three-way colors, and hedging has already started for our 2027 production, ensuring continued cash flow protection.

Our portfolio reset is well underway, reinforcing our Colombian Foundation whilst establishing a new unconventional growth platform in Argentina.

In October.

We successfully closed the acquisition of Loma Jarillosa Este and Puesto Silva O Este blocks in Vaca Muerta, securing full operational control of two high-quality blocks in one of the most attractive unconventional planes in the world. Production is already online and development is underway with a clear path towards the 20,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day plateau production by 2028 that we have shared with the market.

In January 2026, we announced the agreed acquisition of Frontera Energy's Colombian upstream assets, a transaction that more than doubles our reserve space and that brings an expected pro forma production of approximately 40,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day net to Geopark, which significantly expands our scale, diversification, and operating leverage.

This is a transformative deal that consolidates our position as the leading private operator in Colombia and strengthens our platform for disciplined long-term growth. On a pro forma basis, this acquisition can take production to exceed 90,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day by 2028, and adjusted EBITDA of approximately USD950 million, doubling our previously communicated stand-alone outlook.

Together these two transactions reshape the company.

Materially increasing production, improving cash flow, durability, and enhancing our ability to reinvest efficiently across the cycle.

Our strategy remains clear, protecting and maximizing our cash-generating base in Colombia and scaling a transformational unconventional platform in Argentina.

By the year 2028, we're targeting 44,000 to 46,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day and an adjusted EBITDA of $490 million to $520 million with additional upsides as the Frontera acquisition is integrated.

In line with this roadmap, we reached a production inflection point in Colombia earlier than expected, anticipating the time we had originally outlined to the market.

Execution remains disciplined and focused as we balance financial strength with long-term growth.

To support the strategy, the board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.03 per share.

As previously communicated, the board will reassess shareholder distributions following the normalization of free cash flow after peak investments in Vaca Muerta.

Before closing, I would like to briefly address the recent announcement by Paris regarding directors' nominations to Geopark's board.

Our board remains fully committed to strong governance, disciplined capital allocation, and long-term value creation.

All nominations will be reviewed through our established governance processes as we remain focused on executing our strategy and delivering results for all shareholders.

Geopark shareholders do not need to take any action at this time.

Regardingparate's proposal to acquire Frontera's upstream assets, Geopark remains fully committed to our agreement, which we believe creates a leading independent E&P platform across Colombia and Argentina.

We have a strong conviction in the merits of the transaction and believe that amongst other reasons our strong operating expertise, deep local presence, and long-standing relationships in Colombia make us the strongest strategic fat for Frontera's assets.

Our agreement follows more than a year of detailed evaluation, technical diligence, and structured discussions with Frontera, supported by comprehensive operational, financial, and contractual analysis.

This depth of preparation underpins our confidence in the integration plan and value creation roadmap.

We believe the transaction delivers immediate and certain value to Frontera shareholders while enhancing long-term value for Geopar shareholders through greater scale, reserve debt, and cash flow durability.

Our fulfilled development approach is also expected to sustain production and investment in Colombia, supporting royalties, taxes, and employment while strengthening the country's energy platform.

In summary, 2025 was a pivotal year for Geopark.

We protected and optimize what we have, while continuing to deliver results with consistency and focus.

In parallel, we launched a new growth engine in Argentina and secured a transformational acquisition in Colombia that will improve scale.

Competitiveness, long-term optionality, and value for the company and our shareholders.

We have entered 2026 with momentum.

We have a stronger, more diversified portfolio that has a linear cost base.

And a clearer path forward to continue building long-term value for all of our shareholders.

With that, let me open the floor for your questions.

Thank you. To ask a question, please press star followed by 1 on your telephone keypad. If you change your mind, please press followed by 2 to exit the queue. And when preparing to ask your question, please ensure that your device is unmuted locally.

Our first question will be from the line of Alejandro Demichelis with Jeffreys. Please go ahead, your line is now open.

Yes, good morning.

Thank you very much for taking my question. I have a couple of questions if I may please. The first one is on, your cost base. Obviously we have seen, and you mentioned one-off in the 4th quarter. So can you give us some indication of how do you expect.

Cost for the whole of the year to to develop? What kind of range we can expect? That's the first question. And then the second question is you mentioned the bid, the offer for Frontera. There is a competing offer now on the table. So how do you see that situation? And maybe you can comment on any kind of more recent discussions you have had with Frontera and how you see that.

Situation, please.

Alejandro, good morning and and thanks for being here today.

We always value your interest in the company and let me start in terms of of giving some context around the cost evolution and and then I'll hand over to both Jaime and and Martin to give us a a bit more color, but one thing I would say, the first thing is that. We met or exceeded all of the guidelines that we had, given to the market which I think it's very important. Remember that, and you would probably acknowledge this, it's, I think it, it's only my 3rd results call in the company.

It's been 8 months, intense 8 months with, the reset that I mentioned in my intro, in my intro words and. And this sort of stabilization of the of the operation inflection point that we reached in 2025 we've managed to to work on on defined through activity and and all of the technical work that has been done by by the team and and from that point of view, Alejandro, very excited with the performance of the company, very thrilled. Kudos to the team, to the operations and the technical teams and the people that, support, those operational teams, and in terms of the cost specifically, if you recall we had given a guidance of $12 to $14 per barrel in terms of lifting. We're in the midpoint of that 13.2 with an increase in 4.

But those, most of those one-offs have been reversed, or will not be present in one queue, and we've managed to bring the cost back down, which is great news, and some of those had to do with some very specific, activities that we were conducting. So, with that, Alejandro asked, Jaime and Martin to give us a bit more color, which I think it's warranted.

Good good morning Alejandro. Thanks Felipe. So, basically, a few data points that are relevant when we think about the one-offs, essentially we can split them in two categories, and they, have an effect both on OpEx per barrel and on G&A.

On one hand we had a very particular startup cost associated to the to the reinitiation of the latanillo operation in Putumayo and Tavaca Muerta operations in Argentina. When you look at them on a on a on a full basis, the impact of that is in the order of $7 million. Dollars in the quarter which are not recurrent, right, they're not recurrent. They're split broadly.

2/3 of that is seen in the OE. A third of that is seen in G&A, roughly, but it's something that we don't expect to see and obviously the important com com component of that is that these.

Costs are going to be are going to see production down the road, right? So latanillo, we are reactivating latanillo in a context of production and clearly Vaca Muerta is the same case so it's a bit of a, it's a cost, but at the same time it's an investment that we're making to be able to mobilize production in those two areas. The other component is pure and typical seasonality, right, so we had seasonal effects in in 4Q in the order of $2 million to $3 million. These are very specific to labor related provisions that we decided to take in the. Context of of what we were anticipating labor effects that were retracted to 2025. So there's an element of that and there's also an element of the typical year end projects like for instance research certification costs associated to that and and that type of elements.

On a relative scale they're not particularly material, but they do affect the per barrel metrics we're talking about $2 million to $3 million that in the context of the numbers that we're looking for, the OE once normalized would probably be at the $13 per barrel. The G&A would be at the $4.5 per barrel, which is kind of like what we signal in our announcement as we as we look to 2026. Our guidance is unchanged, Alejandro. Basically what we're seeing is a lifting costs that are going to be in the $13 to $15 per barrel area and a DNA that we expect to to deliver in the area of $4 per barrel.

Martin.

Yeah, thank you, Jaime, and, good morning, Alejandro.

I, I'll just say a few additional data points. I want to stress again, what Felipe was mentioning. Our guideline for 2025 was $12 to $14 per barrel, and, we finished the year at $13.4. So very proud of the team, all the efforts that have been done, and we got things that were already identified last year and we're already underway, and I'll share a little bit of that.

And for 2026, just reiterate what Jaime was saying that our guideline for OpEx 2026 is $13 to $15 per barrel, and we feel confident around those values. And the fact around that is we already have January and February numbers like Felipe was mentioning, part of those things that hit us in the fourth quarter are gone.

So.

We feel good about that. So I'll touch on a few items. I'll start with the Argentina.

When we took over the operation in Argentina, the OpEx were $32 per barrel, and we now brought it down to the order of $22 to $27 per barrel, and that's just by doing the work on the six wells and working with the with the teams on things like transportation optimization activities and others. We expect to be by the end of the year and that's part of our guideline around $10 to $12 per barrel and that's going to be because we are incrementing production by bringing a rig that it's about to start moving very shortly and increase production.

The second one is, like Jaime mentioned, Pumaso, we started in the last quarter of the year that peeled back again as we were starting, the OpEx were in the order of $45 per barrel. We're looking at that and now we're lower than $40 per barrel.

And with the recent announcements from the Ecuador government, we're looking at it since we're not transporting crude. Through Ecuador anymore, so we will decide in the next weeks the future of Pumaso.

And finally on channel 34, the OpEx in channel 34 went up in the in the last quarter. We had well interventions and also we're always looking at reliability of the energy, so we had some activities to make sure that we were entering 2026 with as good energy reliability in the field as in the past, and we confirmed we're already back at the levels that we had in the 3rd quarter.

There are some things that we know are risks or challenges, especially around the exchange rate, and we're working on additional things that with the team we can implement some of them are around.

More ideas around the rigs for doing work cover and well services. So we have some pilots and some ideas that we're about to start implementing. We're bringing a 4th rig work over rig in March.

In channels 34 and we're already working in channels 123 to eliminate most of the rentals on facilities that we have. That's part of the plan as we move from temporary facilities to the final facilities in this block.

Thanks, Martin.

And Alejandro, I'll go back to your second question, and in terms of how the Frontera situation is evolving, and, first thing and just, let me step back and just highlight some of the things that, I already mentioned in my remarks. So in January where when we announced, a month ago, the acquisition of Frontera's assets in Colombia, clearly a transformational transaction. In which reserves double, brings additional production, helps us in terms of delivering more value, and actually provides the opportunity of a long-term commitment to the country which is fundamental, in terms of ensuring that deployment of technology and activity can be done in those blocks.

All this in the in the context that we will always keep in mind, which is ensuring that the value accretion and protection of our shareholders is present in every situation and every decision that we that we make and in terms of where we are in the process right now, so first of all.

I want to acknowledge Fronterastin, the work that we've done so far, it's exceptional in terms of all the integration and all the process and everything that has to do with getting us ready for closing of the deal and you'll remember Alejandro that we've mentioned this is something. That as part of our evaluation framework with some conservative price assumptions, a very detailed operation plan.

We've been looked or we've been looking at this opportunity for some years now with some more detailed conversations with Frontera over the last year, over the last 12 months or so, and we are fully.

Convinced that it's not only in terms of Frontera's capability, the people, the teams they have, but it's a very complimentary portfolio to the operations that we already have.

And in that sense, in terms of the process itself, we're progressing with Frontera in our conversations. One data point that, I'll share with you today in the call, a couple days back we received approval, formal approval from SI Superintendencia de Industria ecommercio.

It's like the antitrust body in Colombia, the antitrust agency, which is great, it was a major milestone in terms of the Colombian approvals, the AGM for Frontera, they scheduled that for April 10th, so we're progressing in that sense, and I'll just reiterate something that.

With the, news of the offer from P/E that came in this week, and I mentioned that in my remarks.

First of all, I'd say that as a board, the board will continue to assess, study, analyze, and pursue any and all options that seek and are directed at creating long-term value for our shareholders. And we will always evaluate the opportunities within the frame of a financial discipline. And the best interest of our shareholders. So we're very pleased, very pleased, Alejandro. These are great assets with with opportunity.

I mean actually the the fact that there's a a newer offer from a different company demonstrates that our strategy is sound, is solid. That the deal is actually.

An.

Increasingly accred deal for us and shareholders. So we're very pleased. We're very happy, Alejandro, thanks for the questions.

Thank you very much for the detailed.

Answer.

Thank you.

The next question today will be from the line of Stephane Foucault with Oaktree Advisors. Please go ahead. Your line is now open.

Yes, hi, thank you for taking my questions. I've got 3. So the first one back on Fonterra, what are the various steps in closing, and are there things bar increasing your offer that you could do to prevent the frontera to go with spikes, thinking about brake fees or things like that.

Second, on the nomination by parex of director for Gopark, I was thinking they are making an offer on the Fronterra assets. They are nominating director. I was wondering whether there would not be any conflict of interest. I would be interested in your thoughts on that. And lastly, where are we on Argentina with regard to crown production?

Thank you.

Stefan, thanks and great to have you here on the call. So I'll expand a bit in terms of Frontera and the first thing is that it's in Frontera's camp.

To assess the the new offer that they've that they've received, so it's it's up to Frontera to decide what they want to do with that offer. In the meantime, as I've mentioned, our arrangement agreement is in place. I just talked about the local approvals, one which is very important that we received a couple days ago. But it's down to to Frontera to actually look at the at the offer.

One thing I would say, and I want to be very explicit on this, in the context of Geopark and its board and reviewing all of the options that are available to us, and there's always multiple options in terms of things that we can do, these need to create long-term value for shareholders.

And one of the things, Stefan, that we need to be very careful and mindful is that we don't lose that discipline in pursuit of some of something specific. It could be a deal. It could be an operation, but that we always, as the high ground, ensure that we remind ourselves that we're here to ensure that we create value for shareholders. And I think that's that's very important. So, more to come, I guess it's, in Frontera's camp to decide if they want to, fully, consider and then take next steps on the new offer that came in and again in terms of the arrangement agreement that's in place that we're pursuing that we're diligently working between our team and Frontera's team. We have options going forward, and those options, as I've mentioned, will be assessed by management and our board in terms of the nominations by Paddock and you've mentioned specifically conflict of interest. So, the first thing is I'd say that I do believe there's a conflict of interest, absolutely if you think about the nomination which. In essence, is nominating a control slate for the board. And this without any additional context or even an offer that appropriately values Geopark.

I think it only serves, to benefit Paddocks by providing, Paddocks with optionality at the expense of Geoparks shareholders.

And in that context, and this, and in that context, I think it just Demonstrates from P/E that there's been a deliberate and hostile strategy directed at Geopark.

So that's what I would comment on the nomination by Paddex, and in terms of, Argentina, I think Martin provided a bit of context, but I'll give you the high level one. We're extremely pleased with our entry and returning to Argentina this time to do unconventionals in Vaca Muerta.

As we received the keys to the operation October 16th of last year. We've done already two worko campaigns.

And one thing that it's very, I mean, it's very thrilling, Stefan, is.

Next week, as early as next week, we will start mobilizing a neighbor's rig.

That has an open window from a third-party operation from another company, another operator.

We will mobilize the rig to start drilling a limited campaign. It's 5 wells plus some ancillary works that need to be done, but that means that we will start drilling in Vaca Muerta and we will start fracking operations in Vaca Muerta. I think that's a massive milestone for the company. Remember that we've.

Given the market the signal that we will see an uplift in production by the end of the year. So with these wells and some of the activities that Martin was referring to in terms of facilities and commercial agreements and operational agreements with neighbors, we will see that uplift in production by the end of the year. So very exciting, there's a. Additional opportunities that are being assessed in Argentina as well, and we're very pleased and the last thing which I've mentioned in prior calls is that there will be an opportunity, I'm convinced to bring some of the expertise that we reinforce and and further. Deepen in Argentina to bring that expertise back to Colombia, and look at unconventionals in Colombia. Martin, if you want to give us a bit more color around, Argentina, absolutely.

Felipe, and, good morning, Stefan. Thanks for your question. I'll reiterate that, Vaca Muerta is going very well, and we're advancing on the key milestones. We think about it, 2025 was around taking over.

Finalizing the team, putting together contracts, and then 2026, as we've shown when we were in New York in the last quarter of last year, it was about four things and I'll go through all four of them, but I want to. Before we move into those four things, 2025, also everything we've done has been incident free with no recordables, and that's one of our values and going into a new area again, it shows how we operate.

And again, when we went into New York, we said 4 things. First one, production optimization. So like Felipe mentioned, we did two campaigns of world covers. The first one was actually starting the day that we took over. The second one we did in January. And between those two campaigns, we continued to optimize. The second campaign was 37% cheaper than the first one.

Second thing that we mentioned was environmental permits. We know that they're critical environmental permits, and we have submitted those permits in the middle of January, so they're way under the program that we have.

Specifically, the one that it's important is for the pipeline that we're going to construct. We do not need.

Any environmental permit for doing the drilling activity or doing any upscale or upgrade in our existing facilities, which is part of the work that we're we're doing.

The third one is around facilities, and I will mention that we have already awarded the contract for the Loma Harizosa Este upgrade, actually a little bit lower than what we had in plan for $16 million.

We have already finalized an agreement with the neighbor operator so that we can put together a pipeline. And connect to the spare capacity that that operator has and that way we will continue to optimize as we will not be having to truck oil and water into the production that we have.

The third, the last one is around drilling. We said we were going to start drilling and like Felipe said, we worked with the existing operators in a collaboratory way and we got a rig that it's a neighbor's rig, very efficient rig, hot rig.

In in the sense that the crews are already working, maintenance has been done by a known operator in Argentina, and we are mobilizing that rig in the month of early March, like it's next week.

And the activity there will be, there's a pad that has 5 wells out of which 2 are fully drilled.

And the remaining three wells, we need to just drill the horizontal branches. It's two branches of 2,100 meters and one branch of 3,000 meters. That will take us around 45 days and then we're already locking the frac set so that we will go and frac all five wells in that path. It's around 220 frags in all the wells for around 60 days.

So very excited, on how we finish 2025 in Vaca Muerta and most importantly how we're advancing on the key milestones. We have a team that is fully in place, integrated, and our exit rate for the year in Vaca Muerta is, like we've been saying in the past 5 to 6,000 barrels of oil per day within our guidelines, and that's again showing how we deliver. Production and the value in in Argentina.

Thanks Martin.

Thank you.

The next question will be from the line of Orellana Cobalt with Bland's Capital. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Hi, thanks for taking my call. This is Alina called Brief Bal.

I have, one brief one, regarding your 2026 work program. What is the status of the negotiations with your Janos partner? I believe there was a discrepancy between the guidance that you had provided and your partners in the area and should we expect any changes in activities versus the previously shared plan.

Thank you.

Ariana, thanks and thanks for being here and thanks for the opportunity to come. So, I mean with, most of the partners we already have agreement in terms of the work programs and budgets and everything else, which basically, support and underpin the guidance that we have given to the markets, specifically with regards to Janus 34. And probably I'll give you a bit more detail, and some data points, but, we have, 21 work covers that have been approved both technically and from a budget perspective which is great.

Some facilities, upgrades and works, that have been approved and in terms of the wells themselves, so from a technical point of view there's 14 wells that have been approved by both teams, by both companies, but our partner has only approved 8 of those wells, so we continue to diligently work with them to ensure that they have all the data.

To ensure that they understand that these are value cred operations. Remember these are wells in Janus 34 that provide value to not only the companies but it's their shareholders, which is great, which is very relevant.

But the one thing I'd say, Oriana, is that will very constructively continue with this dialogue to ensure that the the partner can ensure that they have the funds to fully support the budget, and I know they have probably some other commitments as well in terms of their own operations, but if we don't, get into an agreement with them, we have optionality.

And we can always put this rig into other areas and do some other things that will be beneficial for Geopark and its shareholders. Thanks Arianna.

Thank you.

Thank you. We will now move to text questions submitted from the webcast.

First question being from Eduardo Muniz with Santander, who asks, If the Fronterra deal does not close, how does that change your Colombia growth outlook? And second part, could you give us an update on the polymer injection project which started in December, including incremental production impact, if any, and how this project could influence 2026 output and recovery factors.

Thank you.

Eduardo, good morning and thanks for being here today. So, we'll start with question number 2, and I'll ask Rodrigo to give us an update on the polymer injection, but I'd say we're very satisfied. We're thrilled. Things are progressing well in terms of the different milestones and increasing concentrations of the polymer and everything else, but I'll ask, Rodrigo to give us a bit more color. Go ahead, Rodrigo.

Thank you, Felipe. Good morning, Eduardo. Polymer flow is a, is an important element in our development plan for channel 34. We started last year in December with two initial wells. The expectation that we have is incorporate another two wells next month or or on April.

What we have seen until now is a very good performance in terms of operation. We are waiting for results in the second part of this year, so we are not expecting some results in these early times, but actually operationally and the concentration that we are incorporating in the polymer in the water are working very good.

The plan that we have is not stay there for long, so we are going to add 5 more wells by the rest of, by the second part of the year. So that's the plan that we have. But actually at the same time we are monitoring, we are expecting to anticipate that 5 wells by the half of this year. So that's the intention that we have in order to be more proactive and also it's something that we are at least aiming is to accelerate the expansion in the north of the. Block we are seeing very good interesting results in the simulation that we are doing in the north of the block in Tigana block. That's the next step. So that's why we're not going to keep here. We are also going beyond that. So that's where we are right now. The expectation that we have in terms of you asked about.

The recovery factor. So in the simulation that we have it's between 3% in the pessimistic scenario and 7% in the optimistic scenario that we expect in the areas where we are injecting. So that's the expectation that we have. The results, according to our own experience, the blogs and and obviously the neighborhoods, it's about 5% as an average, the expectation that we have in terms of recovery factors.

Thanks Roddy and Eardo in terms of the the outlook and and the deal, so I probably first thing I'd say is that where we are we have this the arrangement agreement in place and as I've mentioned before we're pursuing very diligently with Frontera and both teams the work to closing so I think that's the first thing I would say.

The second thing is obviously that, and I'll go back to the discipline, financial discipline comments that I've made, the board will, assess all options, opportunities, that are available to us, and always within this frame of financial discipline, and I think that's very important.

We will not and should not lose sight. Of what's what's a priority for us, which is ensuring that there's value creation and it's always in the best interest of our shareholders so that will be the frame in which we will think about it and again as we've done, with the guidance and updates to the market, we'll continue to keep you appraised. So thanks Eduardo.

Thank you. The next question has been submitted by Isabella Pa Pacheco, apologies, with Bank of America, who asks, when does the limited duration shareholders' rights plan expire and is the board discussing to renew it?

Thank you.

Thanks Isabella and thanks for being here. It's great to have you on today's call. Yeah, the rights plan, the shareholders' rights plan has a duration of a year, and it expires on June 3rd. That's the. The date in which the rights plan will expire.

And the board, as with many other matters, we'll discuss in due time, the nature, the conditions, and the specifics around their shareholders' rights plan. So, when those discussions are final and when the company's ready. To, announce, a decision or direction where we want to go with that, we will communicate communicate that promptly to the markets.

Thanks, Isabella.

Thank you. The next question has been submitted by Vizinte Flanga with BRDESCO, who asks, have you seen any impacts on your business from the formalization of the Venezuelan market?

Thank you.

Thanks Vicente, and I'll.

I'll ask Jaime to to take on the sort of the market conditions volumes and how that's impacting us, but before I do that, there's there's at least a way in which I understand.

The question, there's two things. There's, obviously, volumes and and dips and stuff like that, but there's always, or there's also a window that's op opening in terms of opportunities in Venezuela, and, that's one of the things that I've mentioned before, the company and the board will continue to assess, optionality and opportunities going forward, that we're reviewing as well because we do believe. That giving our track record as prudent, safe, efficient, reliable operator, there's always opportunities in that camp. But Jaime, if.

You.

Can take the one on the volumes.

Yeah.

Sure, absolutely. So, hi Vicente, when we think about Venezuela, I think the most immediate, impact that we've seen is of course around the, heavy oil markets as such, and particularly as it relates to, the basconia and the Castilla references in Colombia. The basconia reference is relevant to us because it's probably the most relevant benchmark that we use both for Janus 34. And CPO 5 crudes generally our crudes are not exactly thebasconia reference. Actually our crudes have an improved quality and less sulfur content than Basconia from a from a from a purist standpoint if you will, if you think about the specs. But as a as a benchmark of commercial differentiation, we are to some degree connected to that. What has happened with Gasconia, it has been a, we've seen a a a a widening differential if you look at. Probably 3 or 2Q of last year in the middle of last year we were seeing differentials which in in other words commercial discounts which were in the order of $3 to $4. Those commercial discounts are today probably in the $7 to $8 amount, right? And. And it's actually to a large degree being influenced by what's been happening in Venezuela. So what what is happening in Venezuela basically you are seeing about a million or so of new barrels from Venezuela going into the market, particularly to the US market, the Gulf Coast refinery and area, and what we're seeing there is actually a combination of two things. You have New supply from Venezuela, but at the same time we are at that part of the season, first queue of the year. Typically in the refining sector you see relatively lowish demand. It's a, it's it's a, it's a quarter where typically maintenance work is going on. Refinery runs are lower typically.

So therefore you have this combination of. Supply coming in, new supply coming in from Venezuela and from Mexico and a lower demand typically from the refineries. We think this is temporary. What we believe is that The market will adapt to absorb the new Venezuelan crude, and demand generally with the refinery runs will increase around summer. Summer is the typical high demand season in the US because there's massive consumption associated to people on vacation, traveling, extended days and long hours. And all of that, so we are expecting a stabilization if you will, of that supply and demand and particularly what we see is that the sconia and Colombian references, relatively speaking provide better quality than than that that Venezuelan offer that you have currently. Now, having said that, we're obviously Moving on our fronts to look at ways to further mitigate that. One of our strategies is around decoupling ourselves to to thebasconia reference by by doing FOB exports. That's what we're doing with CPO 5. So basically, the bulk of the CPO 5 volumes that we have which are in the order of 6,000 barrels.

A day are actually being sold in Covena for for export and that that deal helps us reduce that that effect so we're more tied to Brent rather than to Asconia on that particular reference and that helps but basically that's that's what you're seeing in that particular market I think the other of course angle. Around your question of impacts on your business is of course that from a new business standpoint, Venezuela is opening up, right? Venezuela is opening up. We are, we're starting to see inbound interest in that area looking for operating capabilities that can help.

Restart production in a number of fields. Improve production in a number of fields, as you're probably aware, the dimension and scale of the Venezuelan industry is massive, so there could be opportunities in that front, and that is something that we're actively evaluating.

Thanks Jaime and thanks Vicente.

Thank you, we will now close Q&A, and I would like to hand the call back to Mr. Felipe Bellon for closing remarks.

Thanks, Harry. Thanks for the help and again, thanks everyone for being here in the call today. Very briefly, just a few remarks from myself. 1st 1, 2025, closed in a very strong point, operationally, as I've mentioned, we met or beat the guidelines that we had given the markets. With some specifics around the inflection point and stabilizing operations and production in Colombia and entering Vaca Muerta and as I've mentioned, very pleased with.

Of those major milestones, strategy is in place and we're executing and deploying capital in a very disciplined way, in terms of, protecting the assets and the operations and the value that we have and, pursuing the avenue of growth with which both Vaca Muerta and the. The deal with Frontera underpinned very nicely and directly. So we're very happy with the start of 2026 and we've shared some of the the highlights as well, and, we will continue to work with Frontera on the arrangement agreement and working towards closing.

Again, very thankful to the team in Frontera and to our team in terms of how diligent they've been in keeping us on track, having the SIC approval. I think it's a major milestone for us as well, and we will remain disciplined in terms of, our decisions and the financial framework that we use, at the management level and with the board to continue to assess.

All and any options that are available to the company. So with that, I again thank everyone who has been present at today's call. Thanks for the interest in Geopark. Thanks for the great questions. I think it allowed us the opportunity to to share some of our views and please stay safe.

Have a great day.

This concludes the Geopark 4Q 2025 results conference call. You may now disconnect your lines.