Glacier Bancorp Inc (GBCI) 2013 Q1 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Glacier Bancorp first-quarter earnings conference call. At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later we will conduct a question-and-answer session, and instructions will follow at that time. (Operator Instructions) As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded.

  • I would now like to introduce your host for today's conference, Mr. Mick Blodnick. Sir, you may begin.

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • Thank you, Kate. Welcome and thank you all for joining us this morning. With me here in Kalispell this morning is Ron Copher, our Chief Financial Officer; Barry Johnston, our Chief Credit Administrator; and Angela Dose, our Principal Accounting Officer.

  • Last night we once again reported record earnings for the first quarter of 2013. Earnings for the quarter were $20.8 million. That compares to $16.3 million in last year's quarter. That is an increase of 27%.

  • Diluted earnings per share for the quarter were $0.29 compared to $0.23 in the prior year's quarter, a 26% increase. There was just a small loss on the sale of investments in the quarter. Aside from that, there were no other extraordinary items recorded.

  • We earned a return on average assets for the quarter of 1.11% and return on tangible equity of 10.63%. Both were the best quarterly earnings ratios since December 2008.

  • From an earnings perspective, revenue growth is still a challenge. It has become increasingly difficult to grow earning assets at a pace fast enough to offset the earnings pressure being applied by this low rate environment.

  • Fortunately, as I previously stated, we still possess a couple of levers that make up for the revenue decline. This past quarter we continued to benefit from lower credit costs, both in the form of charged-off loans and other real estate owned expense. And for the first time in seven quarters we finally experienced a reduction in premium amortization on our investment portfolio.

  • We certainly hope both of these trends continue through the rest of this year. If they do, we should deliver good earnings even with the challenges to top-line revenue growth.

  • For us, the highlight of the quarter was the announcement of two additions to Glacier Bancorp that we feel will provide terrific opportunities to further grow and enhance our franchise. In February, we signed an agreement to acquire First State Bank of Wheatland, Wyoming, in a cash stock deal totaling $37.9 million, followed a month later with the March signing to acquire North Cascades National Bank of Chelan, Washington, in another cash stock transaction valued at $29.3 million.

  • We expect both of these new members of our family of community banks to make a significant contribution immediately to our performance. Both banks brought everything we were looking for in a merger partner -- a talented and respected management and employee group, further diversification to our loan portfolio, and an expansion of our economic and geographic base.

  • We were thrilled to have both of these banks join us and believe they create additional opportunities to expand in these new markets as well as add earning assets that are different and distinct from much of the rest of the Company. We expect both transactions to be immediately accretive to first-year earnings and over the long term to be great additions to GBCI.

  • For one of the few times in the past five years we saw growth in our loan portfolio this past quarter. What was even more encouraging is it came in the first quarter, which historically -- even in the best of environments -- has been a tough quarter to grow loans. So we are hopeful that this is an indication of better things to come and that as we enter the second and third quarters of the year, which traditionally have been stronger quarters for loan production, that this trend will continue.

  • Beyond actually increasing our loan portfolio this quarter, we also had a $34 million increase in unfunded commitments, which is excellent for this time of year and also bodes well for future loan growth over the next couple of quarters. Our goal for the year is to increase our loan portfolio by 2%. Posting a positive number in the first quarter gives us confidence that we can realize this goal and possibly even exceed it.

  • With the significant progress that has been made in improving our credit quality, we no longer face the challenge of trying to grow loans while at the same time attempting to dispose of other problem loans. Plus, we now have more resources that can be directed to once again grow loans versus cleaning up and resolving credit issues.

  • Our investment portfolio decreased this past quarter by $25 million, as we chose not to replace some of the dollars invested in our CMO portfolio. During the quarter, we also continued to make changes to the mix of the investment portfolio by allocating additional dollars into corporate and municipal bonds instead of mortgage-related product, as we have done in the past. This shift in the portfolio accounted for part of the reduction in premium amortization last quarter, with the other coming from a slowdown in the velocity of refinances. Barring any further government intervention or additional refinance programs put in place, we expect to refinance activity to continue to decline through the rest of the year.

  • Deposit growth in terms of dollars slowed in the first quarter compared to what we have experienced the past two years. Nevertheless, the number of new accounts, specifically checking accounts, was exceptionally strong considering the time of the year.

  • Noninterest-bearing deposits decreased by 1% during the quarter. After careful review, we don't believe that the expiration of the Transaction Account Guarantee program, better known as TAG, had much to do with the decline. It appears the stronger stock market and firming real estate values had more to do with the drop in checking account balances.

  • Interest-bearing deposits increased by 0.5%; but even that growth came in the form of wholesale deposits. So, core deposits were soft this quarter. Now that we are through the first quarter, I expect deposits to increase over the next two quarters, continuing a trend we see most years as the impact of tourism kicks in.

  • We continue to maintain capital levels that are near historic highs. Our tangible common equity ratio end the quarter at 10.7%, compared to 10.5% in the prior-year quarter. And our tangible book value per share was $11.14; that is up from $10.43 in the prior-year quarter.

  • Our pro forma analysis of both pending transactions indicates that our tangible common equity ratio will decrease, but still remain near 10%. With this level of capital, we have plenty of capacity to further grow the franchise or explore other alternatives to deploy capital.

  • Yesterday the Company paid a cash dividend of $0.14 for the first quarter. We will continue to analyze the adequacy of our capital and the level of earnings in the hopes of declaring additional increases to the cash dividend in the future. Our goal is and always has been to increase our cash dividend by 10% a year.

  • Credit quality improved again this past quarter, as nonperforming assets decreased by $8 million or 6%, down to $135 million. Nonperforming assets are now 1.79% of total assets.

  • We saw reductions in every loan category with the exception of consumer loans, which had a small increase during the quarter. Some of the larger decreases once again came from land development, unimproved land, and 1- to 4-family residential loans. The progress we made this quarter was somewhat unexpected after the success we had lowering NPAs in the prior quarter.

  • Fortunately, we've benefited from increased interest among buyers and an improving real estate market, both of which have made it easier to dispose of some of our distressed assets. Hopefully as we move into the prime selling season in our part of the country, we will move a couple more of our larger problem credits.

  • Once again, our target for this year is to reduce nonperforming assets to below $100 million. The first quarter has us off to a good start to achieve that goal.

  • With the progress made this past quarter, I feel we can expect additional improvement in credit trends in future quarters. If this year's sales activity is anything like last year's, we should be positioned to further lower nonperforming assets and enhance our overall credit quality.

  • Typically, this time of year we see an uptick in our 30- to 89-day delinquencies due to a large seasonal workforce tied to construction and the tourist industry. Although early-stage delinquencies were higher this quarter on a sequential basis, they were far below last year's first-quarter number. At $32 million, these delinquencies were down 24% from the same quarter last year.

  • Net charged-off loans were another bright spot this quarter. Through March, total charge-offs were $3.6 million, with recoveries of $1.5 million, leaving net charge-offs at $2.1 million for the quarter.

  • As a percentage of loans, net charge-offs were 24 basis points, just under 0.25%, on an annualized basis, far below both our goal for the year of 0.5% and last year when our net charge-offs totaled 0.83%.

  • In addition, OREO writedowns and losses for the quarter totaled $462,000. This compares to gains on the sale of OREO of $664,000 during the quarter. This is the first time in a number of years that we recorded a net gain in OREO dispositions and hopefully is another good indicator going forward, as we continue to sell and write down other OREO properties.

  • Our allowance for loan and lease loss ended the quarter at 3.84%, basically unchanged from the prior quarter, and down from 3.98% at the end of the first quarter last year. In the most recent quarter, we provisioned $2.1 million, the amount of our charge-offs. This compares to a loan loss provision of $2.3 million the prior quarter, and $9.6 million in the prior-year quarter.

  • If credit quality trends continue to improve, as we believe they will, clearly we would again this year see a further decrease to the amount of our provision for 2013.

  • One definite positive realized in the first quarter was the improvement in our net interest margin. For the quarter, our net interest margin increased from 3.05% the prior quarter to 3.14% in the most recent quarter. However, our margin was significantly below the 3.73% at this time last year.

  • One of our biggest challenges this past quarter and year has been managing through an unprecedented low interest rate environment, which has and continues to cause significant declines in both our net interest income and net interest margin. This low interest rate environment has also allowed and sustained a wave of refinances, which in turn caused a significant increase in premium amortization, greatly reducing our interest income.

  • This past quarter's premium amortization of $21.4 million, although still high by historical standards, did decrease by $1.9 million from the prior quarter. This led to a 13 basis point improvement in our investment portfolio yield in the first quarter and an 8 basis point increase in our overall yield on earning assets.

  • Unfortunately, premium amortization was still $8.1 million greater than the same quarter last year. Nonetheless, there is some cause for hope that we will continue to see this line item decline further as we move through 2013. Most of what we read and track would suggest and point to a slowdown in refinance volume, which would subsequently lower premium amortization going forward.

  • One issue we were not able to escape this quarter was the continuous pressure on loan yields. Although for the most part I thought our banks did a very good job of managing their loan portfolio yields, considering the competitive forces currently in play, we continue to see pressure on our interest income.

  • At quarter end, our loan yield stood at 5.10%, down 8 basis point from the prior quarter. We expect further compression in loan yields this year, but hopefully at a slower pace of decline.

  • Offsetting some of the decrease in loan yield was a 2 basis point decline in funding costs during the quarter. At quarter end, our costs on total paying liabilities was 46 basis points. This reduction, however, has not been enough to offset the impact of lower-yielding earning assets on net interest income.

  • Since it appears that these low interest rates are going to stay down here for a while, we expect to see continued pressure on our revenue growth, especially in net interest income. Competitive forces have made the task even more trying, as loan pricing continues to be extremely aggressive, not only impacting loan production but also both our net interest income and net interest margin.

  • Total net interest income declined by $1 million during the first quarter and decreased by $7.8 million over the same quarter last year, an amount very similar to the increase in premium amortization. We continue to attempt to protect our net interest income. However, this past quarter there was not enough earning asset growth to offset the yield pressure.

  • The decrease in premium amortization expense definitely helped; unfortunately, it came late in the quarter. As I have previously mentioned, if we see a significant slowdown in refinance volume, and subsequently premium amortization, it would directly benefit both net interest income and the margin.

  • Noninterest income decreased $2.4 million on a linked-quarter basis, but was up $2.6 million from the first quarter of last year, which was an increase of 13%. Fees on sold loans, primarily mortgage origination income, remained at historically high levels. For the quarter, we generated $9.1 million in this category, down only slightly from the previous quarter and up $2.3 million from the same quarter of last year.

  • The first quarter each year is somewhat challenging in other fee income areas, primarily due to a shorter quarter and seasonal influences. Aside from fees on sold loans, most other categories of noninterest income were basically flat compared to last year.

  • If we do see a decline in refinance activity, as many again expect, it will most likely impact future quarters' fee income, especially gain on sale of loans. However, there should be a compensating reduction in premium amortization that could offset any other reduction in fee income.

  • Our noninterest expense for the quarter decreased by $4.6 million sequentially and $5.6 million from the prior-year quarter, due primarily to lower OREO expense. There was very little change in most of the other expense categories, as our bank divisions continued to do an excellent job of controlling the cost of most other line items.

  • OREO expense was down to $884,000 this quarter -- that is total OREO expense -- compared to $6.8 million in the prior year quarter. Although OREO expense is volatile from quarter to quarter, our trend line in this area continues to improve.

  • Compensation and benefit expense, always the largest expense for a financial institution, was also well contained, increasing by only 4% from a year ago.

  • In summary, 2013 is off to a good start. We need to ratchet up our loan growth further to help offset the effects of lower loan yields. At the same time, we need to continue to work hard at maintaining the lower credit costs we achieved this past quarter.

  • We are excited to bring on our two new banks the next two quarters and believe they will be very good additions to our family of banks. It's been a very busy and exciting first quarter for all of us. We definitely believe we made some significant strides towards positioning the Company for more growth and higher earnings as we move forward, and these strategic initiatives we have put in place this quarter should enhance our Company's performance for years to come.

  • Those are the end of my formal remarks, so we will now open the lines up and take some questions.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) Brad Milsaps, Sandler O'Neill.

  • Brad Milsaps - Analyst

  • Hey, Mick. Good morning. I was just curious, you'd maybe talk a little bit about your loan growth prospects. Any certain part of your footprint that is showing a little bit more growth?

  • I know you mentioned the 2% number. Just curious what your thoughts are on where you will -- what categories you will see a lot of that being driven from.

  • And do you feel like you have run off the bulk of the portfolio that you wanted to get rid of, and you can start to grow from this point going forward? I am just curious how much that would impact the number as well.

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • Well, as I mentioned earlier, there still are some distressed properties and projects out there that we'd like to push out the door, which are still not necessarily in OREO; they are in NPLs, which would affect -- which would provide a headwind if we were successful in disposing of those, Brad, to our overall loan growth. But we are winding that down now. There is no doubt about it.

  • And we really think that some of the larger projects, that we can be successful in getting rid of some of them. A lot of those are already in OREO, so those would not be impacting our loan numbers. So it is kind of a mixed bag there, but the larger projects probably are sitting in that OREO bucket.

  • As far as your first question, regarding where are we seeing the activity or the loan growth, I would probably say that there is no one area, Brad, where it is just exceptionally stronger than the rest of the footprint. I think we are seeing deals and opportunities and loans coming from all the banks.

  • If I had to pick one area, though, I guess that maybe we are seeing a little bit stronger loan growth, it would probably be coming out of Idaho, coming out of that Spokane, Coeur d'Alene, Boise area. But it is not real significant as far as what we are seeing their versus what we are seeing in Montana, Wyoming, Colorado. So it is hard to put your finger on one particular market that is really driving a lot of loan growth.

  • But I suspect that if you look through the first quarter's numbers -- and as I said in my remarks, we were very, very pleasantly surprised to have an increase in the first quarter because that usually doesn't happen even in the best of times. I am not sure that we can pinpoint one exact bank or one exact market for causing most of the growth.

  • Barry, do you have any other thoughts or have any other --?

  • Barry Johnston - SVP, Credit Administration

  • Probably where most of our growth is coming from is -- it's the other construction category. It is probably any commercial real estate projects we have. We have some hospitals under construction, four or five apartment complexes that are going up, and then we have advanced on some office buildings.

  • So that is probably -- and that kind of goes with this time of year, as these projects start coming out of the ground. We have had a real mild winter in our area this year, so a lot of the construction projects that normally wouldn't start until the second quarter of the year actually have come out of the ground, and that is where we are seeing some of that growth is on that commercial real estate, both owner and non-owner occupied.

  • Brad Milsaps - Analyst

  • Great. Then maybe a question for Mick or Ron. You guys did a nice job on expenses in the first quarter. Looked like other expenses were down quite a bit. Absent any reductions related to mortgage banking commissions, is this a pretty good run rate for the year?

  • Do you have any other expense initiatives planned? I know you had the charter consolidation a few quarters ago. Anything else on the horizon that would move that number plus or minus either way?

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • I don't really think so, Brad. I think that -- I think it is probably you're looking at a pretty decent run rate going forward.

  • Brad Milsaps - Analyst

  • Okay, great. Mick, do you happen to have the accruing TDR number?

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • I do. It was $80 million, down from $100 million. So it was a 20% drop from end of year.

  • Brad Milsaps - Analyst

  • Great. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Jeff Rulis, D.A. Davidson.

  • Jeff Rulis - Analyst

  • Morning, Mick. Following up on the OREO costs, anything -- I don't know if it is one time. It is historically a more challenging quarter for you guys on the real estate side, and I think -- do you take away that there were certain projects or something you felt good about moving, that that was a lower number? Or you alluded to the firming up of real estate. Are you encouraged by that trend?

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • I really do think, Jeff, that some of the real estate trends and the valuations that we are seeing is really propping up that number. That is not to say that from quarter to quarter you might have that one project where we chose to just finally get rid of it and we are willing to take maybe a larger loss than we needed to if we held on to it.

  • But take for example in this last quarter, there was one piece of OREO that we sold, and I think there was virtually no loss at all on that piece of OREO. It was a reflection, Jeff, of the fact that real estate values have firmed. This was on some developed lots, and they wanted those developed lots.

  • So if we can continue to see that kind of firming -- we haven't probably in our markets, at least I am not aware and I don't think Barry has informed me that anywhere in our footprint have we seen -- maybe a little bit with the exception of Boise. I am hearing that there is some shortage of maybe nice developed lots down there. But for the most part we still have a fair number of subdivisions and lots available, unlike what you are hearing in some of the other parts of the country.

  • I did talk to one local realtor here just yesterday and the one area that we are probably very, very similar to most of the other parts of the country is the inventory of homes is very, very tight. There is not a lot of homes out there for sale. This particular realtor was crying for listings; wasn't crying for buyers.

  • So maybe that bodes well. We had a big meeting yesterday among all of our real estate staff from all of the banks, and I think that was one of the things we talked a little bit about, is what kind of resi construction opportunities are we going to be seeing over the rest of this year and into 2014.

  • But I do think that we still could, Jeff, have that one project in OREO that we decide we are just done with it, we want it gone. But for the most part I think that we have marked these things pretty conservatively, and this increasing real estate values that we are experiencing, I think bodes pretty well for us to not have to take a lot of significant charges as we move forward.

  • Jeff Rulis - Analyst

  • That's good news. On the CMO side, you have talked about hopefully minimizing the premium amortization. But is there within that portfolio any more moves to actively move away from the CMO exposure going forward?

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • Yes. I mean, I think we will. It is still -- there are so -- that portfolio is huge, so I mean it is not like we will probably just cut the cord tomorrow and just stop buying CMOs. But in this first quarter we, as I mentioned, we did start to change the mix. We didn't buy anywhere near as many CMOs as we have the last three, four, almost five years now.

  • I would suspect that some of those trends are going to continue. The other thing, Jeff, is, if we could start to see a strengthening in loan growth, that obviously would take some pressure off of our need to further backfill with CMO securities.

  • So we are hoping that we can finally start to see better loan growth volume. And in addition I think you will continue to see a reshuffling of the mix.

  • Jeff Rulis - Analyst

  • Then one quick last one, just a housekeeping. The First State closing, does that look like an end of quarter, end of Q2 event at this point?

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • Well, right now we are keeping our fingers crossed; but every indication is that we should be closing on May 31.

  • Jeff Rulis - Analyst

  • Great, okay. Thanks, Mick.

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • You bet, Jeff.

  • Operator

  • Joe Morford, RBC.

  • Joe Morford - Analyst

  • Thanks. Good morning, Mick.

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • How's it going, Joe?

  • Joe Morford - Analyst

  • It's doing pretty well, thanks. I guess, just curious; your current thoughts on the reserve and provisioning, particularly with the reserve still hanging up near that 4% level and generally, all accounts, the credit trends moving in the right direction. Recognizing the portfolio is not growing too much right now, when should we start to see that start to come down at maybe a little faster pace?

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • I didn't mention anything in my formal remarks but I figured that maybe this question would come up, so -- and it's a very good question. One of the reasons that we were probably a little on the conservative side -- and Barry and myself talked about this quite a bit throughout the quarter -- is, you know, we haven't been a company that has been too anxious to release reserves. We recognize that that reserve and that allowance that we have is fully satisfactory.

  • But we also -- because of the transactions, we also wanted to make sure that on a pro forma basis that we are still comfortable with our loan loss reserve. And remember, under purchase accounting we are not bringing any reserves over when we close on First State Bank and when we close on North Cascades National. So with no reserve coming over, we wanted to make sure that -- where are we going to be?

  • I have done the math and it looks like we are still, even with the addition of First State Bank and North Cascades and with no provision coming over on either of those transactions, we should still be right around 3.5%, between 3.4% and 3.5% ALLL. So we kind of want to wait, and we didn't want to do anything; we wanted to make sure we fully covered our charge-offs this quarter. Didn't want to go out there and do something goofy and have some purchase accounting numbers that came out differently than what we expected.

  • So we should have, as I mentioned just before to Jeff, we should have -- keep our fingers crossed -- we're hoping to have First State Bank closed and completed the end of next month. And then we will be looking to close -- right now our tentative date to close on North Cascades is July 31. We are hoping we can stay on track for that closing.

  • But my expectations are that, even after we close both those transactions and even bringing no reserve over, I think our reserve is still going to be definitely adequate. The other good thing is, as we have mentioned on the conference calls with the investors after both of those transactions, both banks are bringing over some very, very attractive and very strong loan portfolios, especially from a credit-quality perspective.

  • So we are going to have to wait and see how the dust settles, see what some of our other credit-quality numbers look like. But we fully expect that each of those transactions are further going to lower all of our credit-quality ratios, and lower them by -- in a good way.

  • Joe Morford - Analyst

  • When you do start getting to that point of -- might release more reserves, you're more likely to go to just a zero provision rather than, say, a negative provision?

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • Absolutely.

  • Joe Morford - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • Yes, no doubt. I never -- I just can't even think of a scenario that we'd ever -- where I would ever want to go to a negative provision.

  • Joe Morford - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • Not after all the hard work these last five years. I would never recommend and I just can't imagine us even contemplating that one, Joe.

  • Joe Morford - Analyst

  • Okay. That's what I thought. Appreciate it, Mick.

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • You bet.

  • Operator

  • Jennifer Demba, SunTrust Robinson Humphrey.

  • Jennifer Demba - Analyst

  • Hi, Mick. A follow-up on Joe's line of questioning. So your net charge-offs were around, I think, 80 basis points last year, and they obviously went down substantially in the first quarter. Would you envision them being half the rate of last year this year? Or what do you think will play out here in 2013?

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • That is probably a really good estimate, Jen. I mean I would love to have them end the year at 24 basis points, which was the annualized run rate coming out of the first quarter; but that may just be a little bit naive.

  • I think you are probably much closer to thinking that if we could end the year in that 40, maybe even as high as 50, depends how aggressive we got in charging some additional things off. But I think you are closer to hitting the mark with about half of where we were last year.

  • Jennifer Demba - Analyst

  • You said you guys are still, even with the deals that you have pending, you feel like you have enough capital to continue to acquire, if something comes available. Have you seen any new conversations emerge after announcing the two deals recently?

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • Yes. I think that whenever you do something like we did in a 30-day period, I think you are probably going to get other individual's attentions and other community bankers' attentions. Some of those dialogues are taking place.

  • But I think I have been pretty clear, Jen, about one thing, and that is that we are going to be very methodical and thoughtful about getting these two integrated and getting them integrated right. But once again, we have got the ability to do something.

  • I am just -- right now we are just not looking that aggressively to do something. If something absolutely was so compelling, certainly we would take a look at it.

  • But with some of the conversations that have transpired over the last couple of months since these transactions were announced, some of those maybe a year from now we might entertain doing something; others I am not so sure. But for the time being, we are going to really be focused now over the next two, two to three quarters on getting both Wyoming and Washington integrated.

  • Jennifer Demba - Analyst

  • Thanks, Mick.

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • You bet, Jen.

  • Operator

  • Jacque Chimera, KBW.

  • Jacque Chimera - Analyst

  • Hi, Mick. Good morning. I wanted to swing back over to the securities portfolio and the less CMOs that you're booking and then the other things that you're putting into that portfolio. Assuming that mortgage volume just maintains the refinance and payoffs and everything like that, as you continue with this new plan will you still see positive impacts in future quarters just from the reshuffle alone?

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • We should, yes. Most definitely, Jacque, we should. I mean as this first quarter, obviously, we didn't see the cash flow come off of the CMO portfolio that we saw in the fourth quarter; that was a good thing. So it didn't make us run as fast just to replace some of the dollars as we had to back in quarters three and four of last year.

  • But there is no doubt that as we start to reshuffle the deck a little bit on the investment portfolio that just that reshuffling alone -- forget the fact, like you said, that refis don't go down a lot -- that will have some positive impact to premium amortization. What would really be an added catalyst would be if we did see that slowdown in refis.

  • And I have said to all of you before and you know this very well, we understand -- and I even mentioned in my remarks -- that we would give up fee income if refis -- because for example, I just got the numbers and for the first quarter of the year, 63% of our mortgage volume was refis and 37% were purchases. We are going to work hard on moving that purchase transaction number higher.

  • A big part of what Barry and Don Chery and them spent yesterday with all of our mortgage people on was to come up with strategies as to how to do that. But let's just say the refis, as you said, Jacque, stay at the same level, I still think that we are going to see better premium amortization. And if they are to lower, like some experts around the country think -- and some of them are calling for a pretty significant lowering of refis -- that is going to hurt our fee income. There is no way we are going to replace all that fee income with purchases.

  • But, boy, that would really be a good thing for the premium amortization side.

  • Jacque Chimera - Analyst

  • No, understood. Just also circling back to the comment you had about the lack of inventory and the possibility of residential construction. Is that a necessity, to see purchase volume increase meaningfully? I mean outside of just the ratio shift that happens as mortgage refi comes down.

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • Well, I think -- yes, I think it is somewhat hand-in-hand. You are right. I mean if -- we can have all -- that is an excellent question. We can have all the intent in the world of increasing purchase activity; but as that realtor told me yesterday, if there is nothing to purchase because there is not a lot of inventory out there for individuals to purchase, that is going to make that that much more challenging.

  • Which then, I think, if that is a prolonged issue -- we saw the numbers that came out yesterday, day before. New housing starts now for last month were at an annualized rate of 1 million housing starts. Now, I recognize a disproportionate amount of that was multifamily. But I am not sure that we are going to continue to see that disproportionate amount of multifamily to single-family.

  • I think that trend could start to move over a little bit more into single-family construction. And that may be is what it's going to take in order to allow people to purchase their homes, because it is just sounding like right now that inventory levels are pretty lean.

  • Jacque Chimera - Analyst

  • Okay. Then just lastly, a lot of banks had a decline in their mortgage banking income between 4Q and 1Q, but yours held pretty flat. Was that volume driven? Gain on sale driven? Were there any major changes between the two quarters?

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • No. The volumes were pretty much intact. We have set some goals for all the banks this year. They are going to be challenging goals; it's not going to be easy for them.

  • But I think in the first quarter, most of that maintaining of that level of gain on sale or mortgage origination fee income was the fact that our volumes stayed pretty much intact. It wasn't that we were -- in fact, if anything, I think in the first quarter we saw some -- we didn't see some of the spreads out there on service release premium that we saw in the third and fourth quarter when those spreads were widening because there was so much volume and so much activity that rates were being -- I don't know if it was artificially maintained higher. But I think those moved back in, in this last quarter. So definitely, as a result we would have had to have had just as good a volume.

  • Jacque Chimera - Analyst

  • Okay. Great. Thank you for taking all my questions.

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • You bet. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) Tim Coffey, FIG Partners.

  • Tim Coffey - Analyst

  • Morning, Mick. Wanted to talk about the securities book one more time. Given the changes that are going to be happening to the balance sheet going forward with the acquisitions, are you in a position to start unwinding the securities book?

  • You talked about reshuffling the mix and lowering the concentration of CMOs. But in the aggregate portfolio, should we expect that this is going to start declining going forward?

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • You know, Tim, we wouldn't really have to at this point in time. Because I think if you add both of these transactions, it is going to take -- and even maintained the investment portfolio at its current size, we are going to be somewhere in that $8.5 million asset range.

  • I think what is going to drive -- two things are going to drive the size of that investment portfolio, Tim. Number one, clearly right now if you get closer to $10 billion in assets, that is going to be an absolute key consideration as to letting and drawing that investment portfolio down. No doubt about that. But we have got a ways to go there.

  • I think in the interim we are going to be looking at -- okay, the securities we are buying, are they creating any kind of earnings, incremental net income for us? If some of the things we have done this last quarter we are still comfortable that they are, we will do that.

  • The other thing I guess too, Tim, is once we get both of the transactions closed, then we can sit back and see just exactly where we are at and what we have actually done to the balance sheet. And then from that -- and that won't be till late third quarter by the time we get them both done -- then we will probably sit back and decide just what is our strategy going forward.

  • I would not expect that between now and the middle part of August, Tim, that we are going to make any major strategical changes aside from what we have been doing. That is, to have some change in the mix of the investment portfolio. I would not expect that you're going to see that come off by $200 million, $300 million, $400 million.

  • Tim Coffey - Analyst

  • But a long-term goal of yours is to reduce the securities (multiple speakers)

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • Absolutely. Yes. I can see at some point in time if we are successful, which I think we can be, in adding more and more community banks to the Company, then we have got it. And we have said this over and over, we have got that great lever in this investment portfolio.

  • And ideally we would like to be -- three, five years from now we would like to be a $9.5 billion bank with a 15% or 20% investment portfolio. And that would come by more and more preferably organic growth or acquisitions; and as we get closer to that $10 billion in assets, pare back that investment portfolio.

  • Tim Coffey - Analyst

  • Okay, thanks. Those are my questions.

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • I am not showing any further questions at this time. I would like to turn the call back over to Mr. Mick Blodnick for closing remarks.

  • Mick Blodnick - President, CEO

  • Okay. Well, I appreciate all of you taking the time this morning to join us. Again, thought it was a pretty good start to 2013. Hopefully over the next three quarters we can add to what we have started.

  • As I mentioned in my formal remarks, we are very, very excited to be bringing on First State Bank and North Cascades National Bank. We will be working very hard over the next three quarters of this year to close and begin the integration process, especially in the back-office side.

  • I think both of these transactions are going to create a great deal of opportunities for us, as far as the ability to further grow our franchise both down in Southeast Wyoming and Northern Colorado as well as Central Washington. So we are excited.

  • And with that, I hope everybody has a great weekend and look forward to talking to you later. Bye now.

  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today's conference. This does conclude the program and you may all disconnect. Everyone have a great day.