Fiserv Inc (FISV) 2010 Q3 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Welcome to the Fiserv third quarter 2010 earnings conference call. All participants will be in listen only mode until the question and answer session begins following the presentation. Today's call is being recorded and is also being broadcast live over the internet at www.Fiserv.com. In addition, there are supplemental materials for Today's call available at the companies website. To access those materials, go to the Company's website at www.Fiserv.com and click on the "access Webcast" link on the home page. The call is expected to last about an hour and you may disconnect from the call at any time. Now, I will turn the call over to Jeff Yabuki, President and CEO of Fiserv.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Good afternoon and thanks everyone for joining us for our third quarter earnings call. With me today is Tom Hirsch, our Chief Financial Officer. Our remarks today will include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. We will make forward-looking statements about, among other matters, adjusted internal revenue growth, adjusted earnings per share, adjusted operating margins, free cash flow, sales pipeline and our strategic initiative Fiserv 2.0. Forward-looking statements may differ materially from actual results and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties. Please refer to our earnings release which can be found on our website at www.Fiserv.com for a discussion of these risk factors. You should also refer to our earnings release for an explanation of the non-GAAP financial measures discussed in this conference call and for a reconciliation of those measures to the nearest applicable GAAP measures. These non-GAAP measures are indicators that management uses to provide additional meaningful comparison between current results and prior reported results and as a basis for planning and forecasting for future periods.

  • Before I get to the results, thanks again to each of you who attended our annual investor conference a few weeks ago. We shared our views of how we intend to create value through a focused set of market strategies that should accelerate revenue growth and enhance our franchise over the next several years. We also shared our next wave of Fiserv 2.0 targets including nearly $1 billion of integrated sales and an operational effectiveness objective of $250 million, both of which will be important parts of our focus over the next five years, and to provide finer clarity, we updated the long term performance expectations for the Company. We're excited about our plans and the impact we believe it will have on the market. We will talk more about this when we give our 2011 guidance in February.

  • With that said, let me say we are very pleased with our performance in the quarter. The organization came together and delivered strong growth results in revenue, earnings, and sales. Our year-to-date financial performance has been consistent with the expectations we shared at the beginning of the year. The growth trend we are on should create solid momentum going into 2011. As you will recall, we have three key enterprise priorities which we believe should be used to keep score in 2010 as well as measure our strategic progress. Those priorities are first, to deliver positive adjusted internal revenue growth and meet our earnings commitments. Next, to center the Fiserv culture on growth, leading to improved enterprise win rates and a higher share of our strategic products, and third, to provide innovative solutions that increase differentiation and enhance results for our clients.

  • Adjusted internal revenue growth has accelerated as expected over the course of the year. From negative 1% in the first quarter to over 3% in the current quarter. This quarter's 3% internal growth is the highest since the second quarter of 2008. Importantly, we continue to build our recurring revenue across the Company. Internal revenue growth for the year-to-date is 1%.

  • Adjusted earnings per share grew 13% to a record level of $1.04 in the quarter and are up 10% for the year-to-date. The earnings growth is even more impressive considering the increased investments we are making to further enhance our long term growth profile. Free cash flow through September 30 has increased 5% to $532 million. The timing of working capital changes, including increased tax payments, impacted free cash flow as we expected in the quarter compared to the prior year. Adjusted operating margin continued to expand increasing 50 basis points in the quarter and is up 40 basis points on a year-to-date basis. We are clearly on track to achieve our full year financial goals.

  • Our strong sales performance both in the quarter and year-to-date is evidence of the progress we are making against our second priority, to center the Fiserv culture squarely on growth. Sales results in the quarter were just shy of the record level we achieved in the fourth quarter of 2009 and quota attainment is now over 100% for the first nine months of the year. Last quarter, we announced that the West Pack Group, the second largest bank in Australia selected our solutions to transform its online banking presence. This quarter, we announced an expansion of our relationship with US Bank, the fifth largest commercial bank in the US. Already a bill payment client, US Bank chose [Corilion] online to enable the delivery of integrated banking, bill payment and personal financial management tools to retail banking customers through the online channel. This is another proof point supporting what we believe is the early stage of a global renewal of the online banking channel. Our industry leading solutions position us well to benefit from this trend.

  • The third priority is to provide meaningful innovation that differentiates our solutions and enhances results for our clients. We have a number of innovation based solutions now in market which are building momentum. [Acumen], our next generation account processing platform for large credit unions signed another two clients in the quarter, including Patelco Credit Union, a $3.5 billion institution with 280,000 members. Importantly, these account processing relationships often include significant other services including our payments related solutions.

  • Our newest payment innovations ZashPay continues to gain acceptance. Financial institutions can see how the ease and convenience of this P to P solution could have a material impact on how consumers move money and drive their fee revenue at the same time. 272 financial institutions signed up for ZashPay in the third quarter more than doubling sequentially. As of September 30, more than 400 institutions have committed to ZashPay and that number is growing almost daily. With thousands of potential financial institution clients such as Navy Federal Credit Union which signed on to ZashPay and has 3.5 million members and tens of millions of consumers using our online banking or bill payment technology, we believe Fiserv is extremely well positioned to be the leader in this emerging market.

  • Before I turn the call over to Tom, I'm proud to say that for the sixth time in seven years, Fiserv was again ranked number one on the Fin Tech 100, an annual listing of the top global providers of financial technology published by American Bangor, Bank Technology News and IDC Financial Insights, a committment to clients by our high quality associates has enabled us to be the consistent industry leader. Now let me hand the discussion over to Tom to provide more detail on the financial results.

  • Tom Hirsch - CFO

  • Thanks, Jeff, and good afternoon, everyone. Revenue growth accelerated in the quarter as adjusted revenue increased 3% to $978 million. Virtually all of the growth was internal, with only $1 million of acquired revenue in the quarter and year-to-date from a single small acquisition. Adjusted internal revenue growth through September 30 was 1%. Our payment segment grew 5% over the prior year, the strongest quarterly internal growth in the last 10 quarters. The financial segment also generated solid revenue growth increasing 2% despite a continuing secular decline in our item processing business. License fees were up modestly, increasing $4 million in the year-over-year quarter, yet they remain down $7 million for the first nine months of 2010 compared with 2009.

  • Contract termination fees were about $4 million in the quarter down from $12 million in the second quarter and still at historically low levels. Adjusted earnings per share in the quarter increased 13% to $1.04. Year-to-date results are up 10% to $2.99 per share compared with $2.72 in 2009. Adjusted operating margin in the quarter was 29.4%, an increase of 50 basis points over the third quarter of 2009. Year-to-date adjusted operating margin was up 40 basis points to 29.3%, which is 60 basis points higher than the margin for the full year 2009.

  • Free cash flow for the first nine months of the year has increased 5% to $532 million. As we anticipated our third quarter free cash flow was negatively impacted by an increase in accounts receivable as a result of stronger revenue growth and significantly higher estimated tax payments. Free cash flow per share increased 7% to $3.49 year-to-date. Our strong free cash flow continues to be on track and consistent with our expectations.

  • Now I will turn to the segment results. Payments segment adjusted revenue was $501 million in the quarter and $1.5 billion year-to-date, net of postage reimbursements in our output solutions business. Adjusted internal revenue growth in the payment segment was 5% in the quarter and 3% year-to-date. Each major business in the payment segment generated positive revenue growth in the quarter. Internal revenue growth has progressed from flat in the first quarter to 5% growth in the current quarter. [Flow] income continued to be at historically low levels.

  • Bill payment transaction volume increased 8% in both the quarter and year-to-date. As we have previously indicated, this data excludes the volume from a large remittance only client that was acquired in 2008 and migrated off our platform in the fourth quarter of 2009. During 2010, we have continued to add an average of 125 new bill payment clients each quarter, which have an attractive, favorable impact on transactions, revenue growth, and operating margin.

  • Debit transaction volume increased 21% in the third quarter and is up 22% year-to-date. Our debit business continues to benefit from a combination of a secular shift toward debit and a steady pace of our new debit client wins, which have averaged over 50 wins per quarter in 2010. We believe that provisions in the Durbin Amendment that excludes smaller debit card issuers from limits on interchange fees and that require multiple debit networks on each card have the potential to further enhance our debit business. We will all know more as the regulations are finalized.

  • Operating income for the payment segment was $159 million in the quarter and $458 million year-to-date. Adjusted operating margin of 31.7% in the quarter was flat compared with the prior year. We have experienced solid sequential margin improvement this year as revenue growth has accelerated in this segment. For the year-to-date, segment adjusted operating margin was 31.1%, a decrease of 40 basis points compared to 2009 due primarily to increased investments in multiple areas such as mobile and ZashPay, along with incremental check free integration costs associated with a call center consolidation that have been expensed in this segment.

  • The financial segment generated revenue of $486 million in the quarter and $1.4 billion year-to-date. Adjusted internal revenue growth in the segment was 2% in the quarter and is now flat year-to-date. Revenue growth in the quarter improved five percentage points over the first quarter's level as we continue to build momentum in this segment. Revenue growth was driven by mid single digit growth in our account processing businesses, which was partially offset by the continued weakness in check processing volumes and softness in our lending businesses.

  • Operating income for the financial segment was $143 million in the quarter. Operating margin in the quarter was 29.5%, a slight decrease of 10 basis points over the prior year period. Operating income through September 30 was $430 million and operating margin was up 20 basis points to 29.8% compared with the prior year due primarily to business model leverage and cost management. Adjusted operating loss in our corporate and other segment was $14 million in the quarter versus $19 million in the prior year and $15 million in the second quarter. The $5 million decrease in the year-over-year quarter and the $1 million decrease on a sequential basis were primarily due to lower corporate expenses.

  • We completed a $750 million debt refinancing in September that extended our debt maturities at historically low rates. The average term of the new debt is eight years and the weighted average interest rate is approximately 4%. We used the proceeds to pay down $480 million of near term maturities in our term loan facility and also to fund a tender for the purchase of $250 million of our outstanding 6% senior notes due in November 2012. Because the tender did not close until October, the end of the quarter balance sheet includes an offsetting increase of $250 million in cash and current maturities of long term debt. We also replaced our revolving credit facility which was set to expire in early 2011 with a new four year $1 billion credit facility priced at LIBOR plus 145 basis points. Our next mandatory debt repayment is in November of 2012.

  • Net interest expense was $49 million in the quarter, which increased $3 million sequentially. The combination of duplicate interest costs on the refinance and the write-off of unamortized debt issuance costs related to the term loan prepayment had an approximate $0.01 negative impact on adjusted earnings per share in the quarter. Our adjusted effective tax rate in the quarter was slightly lower than the prior year due primarily to a favorable tax settlement, which positively impacted adjusted EPS in the quarter by approximately $0.02 per share. In addition, our year-to-date adjusted EPS has been negatively impacted compared with 2009 by approximately $0.02 per share as a result of the research and development credit not yet being renewed in 2010. Our effective tax rate in the Fourth Quarter should approximate 38%.

  • We repurchased 1 million shares of stock in the quarter for $52 million. As of September 30, we repurchased a total of 5.2 million shares at a cost of $254 million and have about 1.9 million shares remaining on our existing repurchase authorization. Lastly, subsequent to quarter end, we received a $90 million payment, which is a combination cash dividend and early loan repayment from our 49% equity investment in Stone River, our insurance joint venture. This payment will not be included in our calculation of free cash flow for the full year. With that, I will now turn the call back over to Jeff.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Thanks, Tom. Third quarter sales were very strong 128% of quota, which increased year-to-date attainment to 104%. This compares favorably to the 86% attainment achieved through the first nine months of 2009. As you saw in our earnings press release, sales wins were strong in areas where we are strategically focused, areas such as digital, payments and account processing.

  • Even with strong sales, our pipeline remains healthy as new opportunities continue to be added. Sales cycles do remain elongated due to the combination of a slow economic recovery and a complex regulatory environment. Integrated sales were $35 million in the quarter and $88 million through September 30. In addition to payments, efficiency based products, channel, and risk solutions were solid in the quarter.

  • Year-to-date, integrated sales are 17% ahead of last year and we are on track to meet our $105 million full year target. As of September 30, total program integrated sales were $321 million versus our originally stated goal of $360 million by 2012. Through the first nine months of 2010 alone, we have signed more than 370 new bill payment clients and over 160 new debit clients, an increase of 17% over last year. Importantly, even with these strong sales results, we still see significant opportunities to continue to expand. As of September 30, we have also achieved $48 million in annual cost savings, which now exceeds our 2010 full year operational effectiveness target. Since the beginning of 2007, we have delivered over $260 million in annual cost savings, surpassing our $250 million target more than one year early.

  • Before I address current year guidance, let me update you quickly on the environment, which is generally consistent with our investor conference commentary. Through October 22, there have been 160 regulatory actions, 39 more than the prior year, and in line with our estimate of 200 to 250 actions for the full year. The number of actions peaked at 57 in the third quarter of 2009 and since that point have averaged about 50 per quarter. We anticipate that the number of regulatory actions in 2011 will be comparable with that of 2010.

  • Since the beginning of 2008, our net client losses have been less than 0.5% of our total account processing client base and likely far less than we would have lost in the face of normalized M & A activity. While the market environment continues to be choppy, our financial results and sales successes do reflect gradual improvements in financial institution spending patterns. We also continue to believe that the risks and opportunities of the new legislation on our business are generally balanced, recognizing that the true impact of the significant regulatory change is not fully understood. We are working on ways in which we can help our clients adapt their business models, turn information into action, gain efficiency, and very importantly generate new sources of revenue.

  • As noted in our earnings release, our 2010 guidance remains unchanged. We continue to expect full year adjusted internal revenue growth to be in a range of 1% to 3%, lead by stronger growth in the payments segment. Given we currently sit at 1% revenue growth for the first nine months of the year and the very strong revenue performance in last year's fourth quarter, we now believe our full year internal revenue growth rate will likely be at or below the mid point of the guidance range. We feel very good about our high quality revenue growth and the acceleration we've experienced throughout the year which we believe should carry into 2011. We still expect 2010 adjusted earnings per share growth of 8% to 11% and now anticipate our full year results to be at or above the mid point of our guidance range of $3.96 to $4.07 per share. We continue to expect full year free cash flow growth to be 5% to 8% to over $700 million and that Company adjusted operating margin will expand by at least 50 basis points for the full year.

  • Although there is still uncertainty in the market, our momentum continues to build. We believe that the strong execution of the strategies we shared at Investor Day will further enhance our revenue growth and produce even better results for our clients and you, our shareholders over the next several years. We have a clear mission, targeted strategies and market leading solutions. Those, combined with the dedication and committment of our nearly 20,000 associates around the world is truly a winning combination.

  • With that, Carol, let's open the line for questions.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions). Our first question today will be from Ashwin Shirvaikar from Citigroup. Your line is open.

  • Ashwin Shirvaikar - Analyst

  • Hi, thanks, good quarter guys.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Thanks.

  • Ashwin Shirvaikar - Analyst

  • My first question is you had a number of signings that you announced both last quarter and this quarter. Could you talk a bit about the ramp of those signings into revenue, the conversion profile if you will, how long does it take and when do these things hit the P & L?

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Sure. The substantial majority of the signings that we've had in the last couple of quarters and really for the last year or so have been heavily bias to recurring revenue. Those revenues that tend to leverage the networks that we have in place whether they be account processing or payments, payments related products and those revenues come on, typically the sales are done before the existing contract with the prospects expire so they tend to come on anywhere over a period of 6 to 12 months. Then they sometimes ramp up after that so we don't typically expect to see the full revenue on contracts like that for over a year but the things we were selling in the last half of last year are those clients that are going live such as American Savings Bank that we sold well over a year ago that went live in the middle of this year, just picking one up as an example.

  • Tom Hirsch - CFO

  • And some of the when we sell point solutions like debit or bill payment that can be sooner than a year clearly but most of the deals when they're complex or have a lot of integrated components are typically a little longer depending on the conversion cycle.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • And they are always going to be at least a three to six-month delay.

  • Tom Hirsch - CFO

  • Yes.

  • Ashwin Shirvaikar - Analyst

  • And a corresponding question on cash flow. Not so much with regards to CapEx but with regards to working capital if you will, as you ramp these contracts what should we expect with regards to cash flow outlook headed into next year?

  • Tom Hirsch - CFO

  • I think when you look at our free cash flow, it's up 5% this year, if you look at page 10 on our press release, free cash flow before working capital changes was up about 15%. We did in the third quarter have an increase in AR because of our revenue growth but that again is just timing, so clearly, in most transactions we don't anticipate a significant increase in working capital just given the nature of the transactions, because these are domestic transactions, we typically get paid monthly on our account processing type revenue and it's very consistent. We did have higher income tax payments kind of in the current quarter which negatively impacted our cash flow in the quarter but clearly that's just timing so it should not have a significant impact as we kind of move forward into 2011.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • And I would say just kind of adding on, as you know, and I think you referenced this, when we bring on these clients they are not very, they are very low from a capital intensity standpoint. We tend to have conversion costs and things like that and the substantial majority of what we do ends up being expensed through our P & L on an ongoing basis so we wouldn't expect that in and of itself to have an impact on our free cash flow. We would expect as we see the consistent reacceleration of revenue growth that that would manifest itself in the short run in receivables that are building in size.

  • Tom Hirsch - CFO

  • I think the other point on that Ashwin, clearly when you look at our cash flow in the prior year our receivables were down about $80 million in 2009 and clearly that had a major positive impact last year on our cash flow. In 2009.

  • Ashwin Shirvaikar - Analyst

  • So it should normalize by next year?

  • Tom Hirsch - CFO

  • That's correct.

  • Ashwin Shirvaikar - Analyst

  • Right. Thank you.

  • Tom Hirsch - CFO

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Our next question will be from Bryan Keane, Credit Suisse, your line is open.

  • Bryan Keane - Analyst

  • Hi guys.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Hey, Bryan.

  • Bryan Keane - Analyst

  • Just looking at or just hearing your comments, Jeff, just wanted to clarify this. The fourth quarter internal growth rate sounds like it should tick down slightly from the third quarter level, just is that true and then is that partly again just due to just tougher comps because I know it was a pretty big fourth quarter last year.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Yes, and obviously, Bryan, you know well we try desperately not to manage the business on a quarter by quarter basis.

  • Bryan Keane - Analyst

  • Well we're running out of quarters.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • I recognize that which is why we try to provide a little bit more insight, so we're at 1% today, we had a pretty strong quarter right now, so given where we are and what we can see we would expect revenue to tick down below this quarter but clearly to still be consistent with what we've seen and that is positive internal revenue growth.

  • Bryan Keane - Analyst

  • Right right right. And then my second question is for Tom. Just on the lower corporate expenses that's driving some of the adjusted margin expansion, is there anything in particular you can call out that's driving that and then when we think about adjusted margin expansion going forward will it come more from the corporate cost management more than the payments or the financial segments?

  • Tom Hirsch - CFO

  • No. Regarding the first part of your question there, Bryan, on the corporate side, we had roughly I think about $15 million of expenses in the second quarter in the corporate area, we had $14 million in the third. Last year, we had a number of items associated with our branding, a few other corporate related items like that that did not recur this year but going forward, as we look into 2011 and 2012, margin expansion is not going to come from that clearly. It's pretty clean from a run rate standpoint in the current year. It's going to come from those segments. We just need much more investments in there and I think if you look at our margin progression clearly in the first quarter in our payment segment it was about 30.5%, third quarter it's 31.7%, that's up sequentially 120 basis points, financial is 28.8%, third quarter 29.5% up as a revenue growth in the investment levels kind of level off. So clearly through our cost savings initiatives that we announced on Investor Day and really the quality of revenue where we're focused on building that revenue, we're focused on building that quality and payments where we have scale transaction volume and also on account processing and we are going to continue to make sure that business mix is where it is and so I anticipate over time it's going to come out of those segments.

  • Bryan Keane - Analyst

  • Helpful. Just last question. Can you talk about the acquisition pipeline and maybe Fiserv's appetite? Thanks and solid quarter.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Sure, thanks Bryan. So from an acquisition perspective the thing that --probably the most important point to reinforce is when we think about acquisitions we feel like we have the majority of what we need in house today. We don't see any large material gaps in our product set, our solution set. We always use share repurchase as a benchmark for how we allocate capital. That said, we continue to look at transactions as we have for the last couple of years and to the extent we see something that makes sense and it makes sense relative to the other choices of allocating capital we would certainly look at that. So thanks.

  • Operator

  • Our next went will be from Tien-Tsin Huang from JPMorgan. Your line is open.

  • Tien-Tsin Huang - Analyst

  • Hi thanks. Everything looks pretty clean. Just a couple questions. The share repurchases stepped down a little bit in the third quarter. Anything to read into there?

  • Tom Hirsch - CFO

  • No, we just bought back as you know about 5 million shares this year, about 3% of our outstanding. We did have a lot of activity in the third quarter with our public debt offering that was going on also but we're going to continue to be active buyers of our stock so I would not read anything into the Q3 purchases. Share repurchases an important part of our capital allocation. We'll continue to be our benchmark going forward.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • It was just important to get the public finance behind us.

  • Tien-Tsin Huang - Analyst

  • Okay, that's right. I guess services revenue, you talked about license sales a little bit. Are you seeing more activity there? I ask obviously because if I ask it's adding a capability there so I'm your us if that's something you would consider and if you're seeing that same theme in the marketplace.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Clearly, Tien-Tsin, we have a part of our business that is focused on services and we think more about it from a professional services perspective, in other words delivering services that are directly connected to the integrated solutions that we're delivering into the market. We have seen some level of demand. We have a business called "Revenue Enhancement" where we're very focused on helping financial institutions think about how to generate new revenue in this more challenging time. But we also think it's important for us to stick to our knitting from a perspective of what we delivered to the marketplace. It doesn't mean that we won't at times see services opportunities that would be complimentary with what we do today, but for now, we're quite comfortable with the offerings that we have and are really looking to increase our capacity to deliver professional services, especially in light of some of the things we talked about such as the heavy installation pipelines we have as well as what we think is really an important renewal in the online banking and frankly the introduction of the mobile channel. We think those are important areas for professional services but I would separate that from maybe a little bit of the "consulting" category.

  • Tom Hirsch - CFO

  • I'd just add to that. In regards to your question on license fees. Our license fees are still down year-over-year basis about $7 million. We're very focused on our payment solutions which are recurring revenue and our account processing from an outsourcing standpoint. It's running this year about 4% of revenue from a license fee standpoint. Last year it was roughly 5% and we did have an exceptional fourth quarter last year in license fee revenue had about 6% of revenue, so again very focused on recurring revenue and that quality and that's what we're driving for.

  • Tien-Tsin Huang - Analyst

  • That's good to have that data. I guess last question related to that. Do you think does Fiserv benefit from any kind of budget flush? Because we've been hearing that banks generally underspent for the year and probably should given the regulatory uncertainty, but to the extent that there is some budget flush, does that flow through much for Fiserv?

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • I think last year, we were a bit surprised at the strength of the fourth quarter relative to the other three quarters and specifically the amount of license revenue that flew through in the quarter so to some extent that may have been a combination of pent-up demand, budget flush, elongated sales cycles that all came together and people said we should probably spend this because we're not confident what it will look like next year. I can tell you that we've not accounted for any of that kind of activity in our numbers because we just don't think you can guess if that's going to happen or not.

  • Tien-Tsin Huang - Analyst

  • Good. That's all I've got. Thank you so much.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Our next question will be from Dave Koning, Robert W. Baird.

  • Dave Koning - Analyst

  • Hi guys, great job.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Thanks, Dave.

  • Dave Koning - Analyst

  • First of all one thing that we've noticed that's interesting, bill pay growth in transactions has been in a range of 6% to 9% each of the last eight quarters kind of through bad economies and now better economies and I'm just wondering are we getting to a point where that might start to accelerate into a faster mode or are we in a point now that -- I mean definitely solid growth, are we at a point where that level of growth should continue for some time?

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • It's a good question, Dave and I'll tell you that we are seeing nice growth and we're pretty pleased with that especially given the economy and the fact we know statistically because of some of the research that we're doing that people are not paying as many bills. But we really have two factors that are coming together that we're benefiting from and not necessarily in order but number one, we've done a fantastic job of distributing bill payment through our system in general, so I think we're over 370 new bill payment clients in this year alone, up 17%, that and debit combined over the past year. So that cumulative effect we've done a really nice job since we acquired Check Free so we're getting a lot of boost from that because similar to what we see on the debit side that group tends to be far less mature in their utilization of bill pay, so that's number one.

  • Number two is we are seeing nice growth across a wide variety of our clients but there still are some clients and potentially larger clients that are not really contributing to the growth in the way that we would like, so the underlying metrics that we can see in the bill pay business are strong and we still are seeing very good growth in makers and we think that so we have opportunity in terms of makers as we move up to hopefully what will be a 40% 50% level of ultimate adoption in this area but also, we think that E-bill represents a very important opportunity and we're not getting any real benefit from E-bill this year as you can see in our numbers and you can expect us to put more focus on that moving forward. So those factors combined have us be pretty confident that we're going to continue to see good, solid bill payment growth and largely because of the sophistication and differentiation of our solution and the size of our client base.

  • Dave Koning - Analyst

  • Okay, great and then I guess that the second question just on the balance sheet, tom mentioned that cash was much higher than normal at close to $750 million, and $250 million of which you'll just pay off soon some debt but even with $500 million left and the new $90 million coming in from -- I guess I don't remember what that's coming in from but net that cash is going to be much higher than a more normal $300 million rate, so should we expect some of that excess cash to be spent soon on paying down more debt or buying back stock or are you going to continue to keep a little more cash than normal?

  • Tom Hirsch - CFO

  • No, we will continue to allocate our cash, our excess cash and the $90 million that came in just as a clarification, Dave that was a dividend and a loan repayment for our equity investment. You kind of see the earnings that run through there but basically that was cash flow that came in, in October. In addition to as you highlighted excess cash we had even after the $250 million tender, so we're going to continue to allocate that capital share repurchase continues to be our capital allocation benchmark.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • I would say, Dave, that to be as specific as we can, we are not planning to hold any additional cash. We don't see particularly strong value in doing that. We have no maturities coming up, no required maturities until 2012, so you'll see us continue to allocate to share repurchase, we'll probably pay down some debt and we'll be focused on that but there's no underlying message that we're going to accumulate cash. We haven't and we've not adopted any new philosophy there.

  • Dave Koning - Analyst

  • Okay, great, thank you.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Our next question will be from Glenn Greene, Oppenheimer. Your line is open.

  • Glenn Greene - Analyst

  • Thank you and good results.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Thanks, Glenn.

  • Tom Hirsch - CFO

  • Thanks, Glenn.

  • Glenn Greene - Analyst

  • I guess the first question Jeff just wanted to talk a little bit about the sales quota attainment. It was one of the better quarters I can remember and just sort of a broad big picture question. Do you think it's more from the macro environment improving, perhaps share gains, maybe just a little bit more color what's sort of driving it?

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Yes. That's a good question, thanks. Yes, it is one of the best quarters we've had in a long time, but for the extraordinary December we had, it's been a stellar quarter and its been quite a while since we've been above 100% in the third quarter and we haven't had to rely solely on the fourth quarter to take us up above that level so we really are benefiting from a few things. First of all, I would say we're benefiting from the consolidation and I don't mean that in terms of lesser but bringing our sales force together and creating a single sales organization. That's helping us be focused on where we need to be focused, some good successes across the enterprise client base. And we're also getting really great success in delivering what I would call our broader, more differentiated solutions through our account processing network by bringing together our different solutions. So bundling together large buckets of value whether it be account processing with payments, risk, teller, analytics, those kinds of products we have historically just not brought together as well as we probably should have. And that has shown up as you know in the increase in our win rates over the last couple of years. So it's really a combination of focus and delivering the right products to the market and then lastly, the focus that we've had on bill payment and debit and now ZashPay, those are highly valued and differentiated solutions that clients really want. And you take something like ZashPay, which is an interesting revenue opportunity for financial institutions at a time when they need it most, we think we'll have a lot there and all of that brings some very good recurring revenue, high quality, nice network business margin, higher margin revenue that really is a nice repayment from the investments that we've made.

  • Glenn Greene - Analyst

  • If we go back a few quarters if I recall, there was a few big deals that you might have been focused on. I don't know what sort of ultimately happened there. Was that a contributor during the quarter or those sort of still sitting out in the pipeline?

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Yes, so there were a couple of big transactions that we had highlighted. One of them was West Pack and another of them we never named, but those both got done and those were done in the second quarter and i think even one at the end, maybe they were both in the second quarter I'm looking at Tom now, is that right?

  • Tom Hirsch - CFO

  • Yes.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • So those were done. So basically, the third quarter was a lot of transactions that came together, none of them of the size of those transactions that we referenced earlier, but there were some good size transactions, you look at something like the US Bank, online, online piece, the Navy Federal Credit Union, a lot of interesting transactions out there that really is coming together across the broad base and the good news is we still have some reasonably good size transactions in the pipeline of which we remain optimistic that they will come together some time in 2011.

  • Tom Hirsch - CFO

  • And just to clarify that, Glenn, the actual impact if that's what you're asking are in Q3, those type of larger deals build slowly so there isn't anything significant from a standpoint of impact on the growth rate but those are nice transactions that are going to be over a multiple number of years, so those will continue to build gradually and nicely over the end of this year and then into 2011.

  • Glenn Greene - Analyst

  • Okay, that was what I was looking for. Can I just sneak one more in here for Tom on the interest expense, which did tick up a bit and it sounded like there was ins and outs, maybe one-time amortization and what not. Can you just help us understand how to think about the interest expense going forward and refinancing?

  • Tom Hirsch - CFO

  • Yes, I think the interest expense is about 49. I think I said it was up about $3 million over the second quarter, Glenn and we as we did the refinancing to the longer term maturities, we paid off our term loan at the end of September which did have a lower rate on it. Now as part of that prepayment, we had to write-off some unamortized up front costs and that was the primary factor and incurring about $2 million of incremental expense through that line item in the quarter, which was more of a one-time in nature. That being said, I think the $49 million kind of going forward is going to be kind of at that level. We did pay off a little lower rate at the end of the third quarter, so that's a reasonable approximation of something from a run rate standpoint going forward. And then I think as we look into 2011, we have a couple hundred million dollars of our fixed rate debt that will be moving from fixed to variable and that will roll off at the end of this year as we go into 2011.

  • Glenn Greene - Analyst

  • That's perfect. Thanks, Tom.

  • Tom Hirsch - CFO

  • Yes.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Thanks, Glenn.

  • Operator

  • Our next question will be from Kartik Mehta of Northcoast Research. Your line is open.

  • Kartik Mehta - Analyst

  • Good afternoon, Jeff.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Hi, Kartik.

  • Kartik Mehta - Analyst

  • Any reason, Jeff that sales momentum you're seeing so far doesn't continue in 2011, obviously barring anything that happens with the economy or the banking industry?

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • No.

  • Kartik Mehta - Analyst

  • Okay. The bill payment clients you've talked about so far, are these the guys that never had bill payment or are these competitive wins?

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Yes, I don't have the exact data in front but typically we're winning the competitive wins are in excess of 50% of the bill payment clients, so and sometimes they are organic but the volume is being driven off competitive wins. It's not being driven off organic.

  • Kartik Mehta - Analyst

  • Jeff, I know the paper based processing is declining. I'm wondering, is there an opportunity for you to get more of that business as banks realize that they might have to outsource as their volumes are declining or would you want that business as well?

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • So that's, you just picked up both edges of the sword. On one hand, sure, we would like to be able to take some of that volume and move it into the system and create efficiencies for everyone. On the other side of a coin there is no reasonable scenario you can come up with that says that that won't continue to decline and therefore, you have a larger drag on the numbers. So it is a double-edged sword, to the extent we can come up with opportunities to work with our clients more deeply, we would potentially consider that, but we have really been focused on revenue growth in areas that are recurring, growing, high quality revenue that leverages the infrastructure and the business models that we have in place today and that's really our focus.

  • Kartik Mehta - Analyst

  • And then just a question for you, Tom. Any thoughts about restructuring anymore of your debt or kind of where you are is where you'll stay for a while?

  • Tom Hirsch - CFO

  • We will probably stay here. We have some maturities that come due right now in November 2012 so we'll continue to evaluate that in the near term we're pretty well set where we're at, but as we head into the end of mid to the end of 2011 we'll take another look at it and address those maturities as we go. But we've done a nice job with what we've done recently. We're pleased with that and right now in the near term we're pretty well set where we're at but clearly that's something as we get to the later half of a level we may take another look at extending some of those maturities.

  • Kartik Mehta - Analyst

  • Thanks a lot. I appreciate it.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Thanks, Kartik.

  • Operator

  • Brett Huff of Stephens, your line is open.

  • Brett Huff - Analyst

  • Good afternoon, Tom and Jeff. Congratulations on a nice quarter.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Thanks, Brett.

  • Tom Hirsch - CFO

  • Thanks, Brett.

  • Brett Huff - Analyst

  • One question I have and I may have missed it but on your Analyst Day I think Tom gave us some sort of contracting growth numbers and I wondered if you had given an update to those on the call or if you could just give us some color on that.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Was that Tom Warsop?

  • Brett Huff - Analyst

  • Yes, I didn't know if you were measuring yourselves on that contracting data that you provide.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Yes, I think that's a little bit more on a total contract value perspective, and we really talk for purposes of the reporting that we do for you, we really talk in terms of quota attainment and I think we've also said that the quota for the Company went up this year I think around 9% but no, we've not given any specific total contract value or TCV numbers.

  • Brett Huff - Analyst

  • And then when you look forward and think about your organic margin expansion, first of all can you tell us how you think about it whether it's just continuous cost improvement, scale, or what the different pieces are, and then what kind of overall we can expect over the medium term, I guess one to three years or so, how do you think about that?

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Sure. So I'll start and then Tom can fill in where I've missed. We have organic revenue, I'm sorry, organic margin expansion really from three criteria, from three different sources. So number one is the types of revenue that we build tends to be that of recurring nature and so revenue where the incremental margins tend to be higher than the average margins. We sometimes refer to that as network economics, so that's the first element and the second element is that we also tend to have a little bit of a lower cost structure because we are leveraging single account managers to be able to distribute many different products into a different client. So we think we have a sales and distribution advantage as well as relationship advantage, and then third, we really have as you know, we have put together a pretty good methodology for continuing to make ourselves more efficient, so today I think we report on a operational effectiveness measure where we're now over $260 million over the last four years. So the combination of high quality revenues, business mix, distribution advantage, and cost effectiveness are the areas that we think will drive organic margin enhancement over the next several years.

  • Now that of course is going to be offset by the amount of investment that we're willing to make into different products, solutions, and other areas, but those are the big drivers of margin. I think from a guidance perspective, we've said we expect to be able to grow margins organically 50 to 100 basis points over the next several years so I would say that's where we see things over the medium term.

  • Brett Huff - Analyst

  • Does that include so the 50 to 100 basis points includes some of the meaningful investments that you guys still think you can make that will produce longer term revenue growth?

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Yes.

  • Brett Huff - Analyst

  • Okay, and then last point and this is just a little bit more detail. Have you talked at all update on pricing on ZashPay? I know you were experimenting or thinking about that. Any updates on that?

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • No.

  • Brett Huff - Analyst

  • Okay, thank you for your time.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Next question comes from John Kraft, D.A. Davidson. Your line is open.

  • John Kraft - Analyst

  • Hi Jeff, hey Tom. Congrats on the progress.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Thanks, John.

  • John Kraft - Analyst

  • Just a couple questions left and Jeff, you actually just started to address it but I guess I wanted to talk about fees. There's been an increasing chatter out there about how banks are going to offset lower overdraft fees. Are you finding your customers are able to charge for some of these newer products? I'm thinking about mobile banking in particular and I know it's early but ZashPay as well.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • The way ZashPay is built is to allow financial institutions to charge for that not unlike what people might be charging for a foreign ATM fee or something like that and the banks will make determinations on their own as to how they believe that they should best price that. I will tell you that John, we'll talk I think in far more detail next year on the pricing strategies around these products because as we deliver incremental feature function, we think that there's a very intriguing pricing strategy that we'll be able to put on to these products that will allow financial institutions to actually better optimize their revenue there. But so we see ZashPay as to clearly being an area where institutions will be able to charge and collect fees. We see at least the research that we've done there's very little consumer resistance to reasonable pricing on those products.

  • As it relates to mobile, and other ancillary products, I've not seen an institution charging for that at this point, so I can't really comment on that. I think it will be difficult for institutions to do that. We have seen institutions who are charging for some of the discrete elements of a relationship. I think we all know Banc of America announced they are charging for statements. We've seen I've seen some clients who have said they are going to charge for monthly fees for DDAs if there isn't a certain level of debit activity and obviously we think that's a reasonably good approach from our perspective but I think there's a lot of creativity out there. We've got a group called "Revenue Enhancement" that works with these financial institutions but it's early.

  • The best news is, John, that the majority of the banks as I'm sure you know ended up losing far less than they anticipated on the NSF OD side and that's really almost put back into flux how will the revenue, how will the pricing look because it's not nearly as bad as they thought and there's always this fear of disenfranchising the customers of the institution, so but I do think we'll see some of that. I don't think, John, mobile is going to be one of them but I think time will tell.

  • John Kraft - Analyst

  • That's fair and helpful. I bet your Rev. E. guys are busy.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Yes, they are.

  • John Kraft - Analyst

  • And another thing you mentioned Jeff, you mentioned this global renewal in the online channel and you mentioned it last quarter as well and obviously we're starting to see some of these nice contracts. Is this driven by an upgrade cycle specific to your Corilion and check free products or is this industry wide? What's driving that?

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • I wish I could say it's related to our technology although since you gave me a chance to say this I will. I mean, our technology is obviously the -- the by far the market leading outsourcing internet banking solution and we have been working on pretty interesting integrated functionality that resides in Corilion Online that brings together all of these payment vehicles in one place. That said, it is at least a fairly well known fact that the largest institutions in the US, a number of them are focused on kind of re-upgrading their online experience. There are a number of institutions around the world who are doing the same thing. We announced obviously West Pack, we've now announced US Bank so there is a lot of activity and largely because if you think about when the online banking investments were made, they were made in the late 1999s into the early 2000s and it's just about time to remodel that experience given everything that's going on today and the efficiency gains that will be driven by moving customers there as opposed to some of the more expensive ways of interacting with clients. Or the customers of the financial institution.

  • John Kraft - Analyst

  • That's helpful, thanks. That's all I have.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Thanks, John.

  • Operator

  • Chris Shutler from William Blair, your line is open.

  • Chris Shutler - Analyst

  • Hi guys. Good afternoon. Jeff, you mentioned focusing on E-bill a little bit more going forward. Maybe if you could just talk about that for a second, just the initiative you have in place to drive incremental E-bill growth.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • And we have several areas and our Analyst Day, we tried to point out the importance of bills, very simplistically, payments follow bills. We're only at about a 10% level of electronic bills in the US. We have a pretty important share in that space and so we're looking to take advantage of that. I would say it's premature to talk about the specific tactics of what we're going to do there but we do see that our distribution network both on the bill payment side and on the biller side puts us in a very good place to take advantage of that and as you seen in our numbers this year, we've not really benefited from that, so there will be more on that. I'm not sure how publicly we'll talk about it, Chris, but if you watch the numbers I think you'll see that begin to move up in 2011.

  • Chris Shutler - Analyst

  • Okay, thanks for that and then just one more quick one. A clarification from the Investor Day. The 4% to 8% revenue growth target that you laid out over the long term, should we view that as all forward-looking so meaning the first three year period would be the 2011 to 2013 period?

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Yes, so we would expect that over that three year period that our average results would be within the range on each of those four key metrics.

  • Chris Shutler - Analyst

  • Okay, I just want to make sure 2010 was not included.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • That's correct.

  • Chris Shutler - Analyst

  • Okay, thank you.

  • Operator

  • [Richard Sheever], SunTrust, your line is open.

  • Richard Sheever - Analyst

  • Afternoon. Thanks for taking my call.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Sure.

  • Richard Sheever - Analyst

  • I just wanted to ask a follow-up question on ZashPay. So you've highlighted the institution adoption but what's been the tick up with customers? Is there a multiplier we should be thinking about in terms of the adoption relative to the institutions?

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Rich, what do you mean multiplier?

  • Richard Sheever - Analyst

  • Well just I forget the exact number that you mentioned of institutions but have they seen the early adopters start utilizing the product? Is it at that stage of implementation where consumers are using it yet?

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Yes, clearly consumers are using it. We see people making payments on an every day basis. One of the big benefits of our technology is it's a pay anyone technology, so there are a number of other technologies where you have to pay within the financial institution and for us you're merely limited to paying anyone in the banking system so we think that is a great advantage for us and the nice thing is when you pay someone, they have to then register if they are outside that institution they have to register and so that's the multiplier effect that I see.

  • I would say that it's very early and that's the most important thing I can stress at this point. We've had over 400 institutions sign up but as we were talking earlier, there's an installation queue, and we queue people up and every week we're adding a number of institutions and a number of users and we don't expect to really benefit from that volume itself for a while, but what we do expect to do is train consumers of the financial institutions to be loyal to this product. That's a very important part of our strategy because it's yet another way of capturing the universal money movement opportunities that are out there, and so we'll talk about that a fair amount next year when we give guidance, it's an important part of our strategy.

  • Richard Sheever - Analyst

  • Okay, I see. Thanks for that, and just follow-up, I think you mentioned the sales cycles are still somewhat long. Are you seeing a noticeable change in the sense of urgency from the institutions?

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • No. I would say that the continuing elongation of the sales pipeline is consistent with the urgency of the financial institutions and that is that the urgency is more around the focus of the products that they want to bring in but there's little urgency for people to pull the trigger on anything on any given day.

  • Richard Sheever - Analyst

  • I see. Alright, I appreciate your time, thank you.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Darrin Pellar, Barclays Capital. Your line is open.

  • Darrin Peller - Analyst

  • Thanks. Just the first question around the regulatory front. What do you see as the timing of incremental costs needed to make the changes in your system related to the bank disclosure requirements and then just a quick follow-up.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Darrin, I would say that we wouldn't quantify that externally. What I would say is its taken a lot of time and a lot of effort and when the next wave of Regs go in it's going to take a lot of time and a lot of effort. That just runs right through the P & L every single day.

  • Darrin Peller - Analyst

  • So it's already been showing sort of recently in the numbers already?

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Oh, yes. All of the NSF, all of that is in and then the new Regs come out we'll get, we can't really do anything until the Regs are published.

  • Darrin Peller - Analyst

  • Okay, that's fine. That sort of brings me to the next point though. The factors you laid out in your Investor Day around your long term growth included things like electronic payments and account processing, wallet share, international growth. It seems to me like although there's the initial cost here, it seems regulatory opportunities should be a material boost to your growth rates. I just wonder what kind of boost that could be over the next couple of years to your revenue growth.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Well, to some extent it depends on what the actual Regs end up saying and specifically around Durbin. I think Tom commented a little bit about the opportunities that we see there. I would say, Darrin, that we're taking a position of being slightly more circumspect until we actually understand what's going to be in those rules. We see a lot of places where it looks like it could be attractive but we also are cautious because we just don't know what's going to be in those final Regs.

  • Darrin Peller - Analyst

  • Alright, thanks, Jeff.

  • Jeff Yabuki - CEO, Pres.

  • Thanks, Darrin. Well thanks, everyone. We appreciate you sticking in there with us for this afternoon. If you have further questions, please don't hesitate to give us a call. Thanks again.

  • Operator

  • This concludes today's conference. Thank you for your participation. You may disconnect at this time.