Extreme Networks Inc (EXTR) 2011 Q4 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Welcome to the Extreme Networks 2011 fourth-quarter conference call.

  • I would now like to turn the call over to Mr.

  • Jim Judson, Interim CFO of Extreme Networks.

  • - Interim CFO

  • Thank you, Matthew.

  • Welcome to the Extreme Networks 2011 fourth-quarter conference call.

  • At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode.

  • Following today's presentation, instructions will be given to the question and answer session.

  • On the call today from Extreme Networks are Oscar Rodriguez, President and CEO, and myself, Jim Judson, Interim CFO.

  • As a reminder, this conference is being recorded today, August 1, 2011.

  • This afternoon Extreme Networks issued a press release announcing the Company's fiscal results for the fourth quarter of 2011.

  • A copy of this release and a slide presentation of the supporting financial materials are available in the Investor Relations section of the Company's website at www.ExtremeNetworks.com.

  • This call is being broadcast live over the internet and will be posted on the Extreme Networks' website for replay shortly after the conclusion of the call.

  • Extreme Networks wants to remind you that this conference call contains forward-looking statements that involve risk and uncertainties, including statements regarding the Company's expectations regarding its financial performance, strategies, growth of customer bandwidth demand, development of new products, customer acceptance of the Company's product, customer buying and spending patterns, overall trends and economic conditions and the Company's markets.

  • Actual results could differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements, as a result of certain risk factors including, but not limited to, a challenging macroeconomic environment worldwide, fluctuations in demand for the Company's products and services, a highly competitive business environment for network switching equipment, the Company's effectiveness in controlling expenses, the possibility that the Company might experience delays in the development of new technologies and products, customer response to its new technology and products, the timing of any recovery in the global economy, risks related to pending or future litigation and the dependency on third parties for certain components and for the manufacturing of the Company's products.

  • The Company undertakes no obligation to update this information on the conference call.

  • More information about potential factors that affect our Business and financial results is included in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

  • Throughout the conference call, the Company will reference both GAAP and non-GAAP financial results.

  • The Company has provided a reconciliation table of GAAP to non-GAAP and information in the table that accompany the press release on its website.

  • Please go to the Investor Relations section of the Company's website at www.ExtremeNetworks.com.

  • In addition, all announced results are preliminary and may be subject to change when the review of the fiscal quarter is concluded and/or a Form 10-K is filed.

  • I'll review our fiscal Q4 and full year 2011 results, followed by a brief discussion of the restructuring plan we announced on July 12.

  • I'll then turn the call over to Oscar for more clarity on the actions we have taken under the restructuring plan, along with comments on the quarter and progress the Company is making with its transformation.

  • After Oscar's comments, I will provide guidance for our fiscal 2012 first quarter and full year.

  • We will then open up for a Q&A.

  • As in previous periods we have posted a slide presentation on our website at www.ExtremeNetworks.com under the Investor Relations section that I hope you will find useful.

  • As a reminder, all of my comments will be non-GAAP except for revenue and the number of common shares.

  • Non-GAAP results exclude stock based compensation, restructuring charges, and litigation settlements.

  • There is a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial results in the slide presentation under Investor Relations on our website that I mentioned previously.

  • In addition, our 2011 fiscal year contained 53 weeks instead of the usual 52 weeks.

  • As a result, we are still reviewing certain expense accruals that could impact our earnings per share number by reducing it.

  • If a reduction were to occur, the Company believes would most likely be by $0.01 per share for both the fourth quarter as well as the full year.

  • Rather than delay the announcement of our earnings until we could complete this review, we have elected to release our EPS number which may be revised depending on the outcome of our review.

  • Fourth quarter FY '11 showed a significant rebound in revenue from a soft Q3.

  • Especially in our Americas geo.

  • Q4 revenue totaled $89.8 million, up $14.1 million or 19% from Q3, and up 5% from Q4 FY '10.

  • This also exceeded our guidance for Q4 of revenue between $80 million to $85 million during our Q3 earnings call.

  • The revenue deferral of a large customer win we discussed in our Q3 results was recognized in Q4, contributing $2.8 million of revenue.

  • In addition, Q4 was a 14 week quarter and we believe that this extra week may have had an impact, a positive impact on our sales.

  • However, we are not able to quantify the effect of the slightly longer quarter on our operating results.

  • In connection with the end-of-sale announcements of our BD10, 12 and 20K products, we recognized $3.1 million of revenue with customers purchasing the end-of-sale and replacement products.

  • We had discussed order delays surrounding these products and customers on our Q3 call and are pleased that we were able to work with these customers to sell them additional Extreme products.

  • Geographically, the growth in revenue from Q3 to Q4 came largely from recovery in North America with revenue totaling $40 million, up 53% quarter-over-quarter.

  • Our EMEA geo grew 7% quarter-over-quarter to $34.9 million, while the Asia-Pac geo declined slightly to $14.9 million after a strong Q3.

  • On an annual basis the strong Q4 in North America enabled them to close the year with revenue of $123.6 million, flat year-over-year, despite the organizational changes during the year, and a very competitive market in the enterprise campus space they have traditionally relied on.

  • The EMEA geo finished the year at $144.1 million, which represents an 8% revenue growth year-over-year, aided by our relationship with Ericsson which grew to an 11% revenue customer in fiscal year 2011.

  • In Asia-Pac, revenue grew 27% year-over-year, to $66.7 million, led by growth in China, Korea and southeast Asia.

  • For the full year, revenue totaled $334.4 million, up 8% over fiscal 2010.

  • That was comprised of $274.4 million of product revenue, up 10% versus 2010, and $60 million of service revenue which was flat when compared to 2010.

  • Gross margin in Q4 increased by 5.8 points versus Q3, to 54.3%.

  • Excluding the write-off of excess and obsolete inventory for the end-of-sale of some of our Metro Carrier products in Q3, gross margin declined 1.3 points from Q3.

  • The decline in gross margin was primarily due to decreased product margins.

  • This was due to deeper discounts on several large transactions, with customers affected by the end-of-sale of some of our Metro Carrier products.

  • This contributed just over half of the decline in margin quarter-over-quarter.

  • We believe these are one-time transactions and are not expected to have an ongoing impact on margins.

  • We also won more large competitive deals in the quarter and were able to recognize revenue on several aggressively priced deals that had been won in prior quarters but had not shipped due to credit issues which were resolved in Q4.

  • Additionally, we're starting to see increased revenue from our OEM relationships, which may tend to have lower gross -- product gross margins due to our partners bearing most of the cost of sales and marketing expenses.

  • As the overall portion of OEM revenues increases, quarterly gross margins may vary based on the mix of the OEM to non-OEM revenue.

  • In addition, OEM revenue will vary on a quarterly basis as we develop this business.

  • And as a result, the margin impact could vary from quarter-to-quarter.

  • Operating expenses in Q4 increased $5.3 million to $46.3 million from Q3 levels.

  • You may recall that Q3 benefited from the reversal of $1.5 million of accruals for bonuses.

  • The primary increase in expenses during Q4 was variable sales commissions and year end accelerators which kicked in as a result of the higher revenue, especially in North America and Asia-Pacific.

  • Also contributing were increased expenses associated with engineering prototypes and NREs as we complete the development of products announced in Q4, and increased marketing costs related to trade shows and partner conferences.

  • Estimated EPS for Q4 is expected to be $0.02 per share, compared to our guidance at the start of the quarter of $0.03 to $0.05 and a loss of $0.05 per share in Q3.

  • The lower margins on large customer and OEM deals in addition to the increased operating expenses I just described resulted in the lower EPS.

  • For the full year, the Company expects to earn $0.08 per share, which is a decrease of $0.05 per share versus FY '10.

  • Final EPS numbers for both the fourth quarter and full year will be made available after our financial review related to the 53-week year is complete.

  • Turning to the balance sheet.

  • Total cash and investments for the quarter remained unchanged at $147 million, driven by strong collections and a DSO of 38 days versus 42 a quarter ago.

  • Inventory increased $2.8 million to $21.6 million from Q3, as we positioned material to minimize supply disruptions after the Japan tsunami, which did not materialize.

  • Overall we are pleased with the revenue results for Q4 as we continue to move forward with our transformation plan for the Company.

  • We successfully worked through the end-of-sale issues with many our customers who were impacted.

  • We completed several larger strategic deals in the quarter.

  • We kept the Company focused on delivering products and results in Q4 after a 5% reduction in staffing in Q3, and we implemented the changes we believe are needed to right-size the Company's cost structure to position the Company for double-digit operating income growth going forward.

  • As announced previously, our Q4 fiscal '11 GAAP results include a restructuring charge for reducing our employee base by approximately 110 people or 16% of the worldwide workforce.

  • Affected employees were notified week of July 11 with approximately 70 leaving the Company immediately and the remainder transitioning out through Q1 and Q2.

  • All costs from this action are employee severance costs associated with down-sizing the Company and reducing our fixed costs.

  • The total cost of restructuring will result in a charge to the P&L of approximately $3.5 million on a GAAP basis when complete.

  • The restructuring charge in Q4 FY '11 is $3.2 million on a GAAP basis, which when netted against earlier charges resulted in a $2.8 million charged to the P&L in the quarter.

  • Approximately $300,000 on a GAAP basis of additional restructuring charges will occur over Q1 and Q2.

  • At this point I will turn the call over to Oscar to discuss the progress we are making with the transformation of Extreme, including some more color on the restructuring plan we have implemented, as well as some key customer wins and signs of traction we are seeing with the implementation of our strategy.

  • I will be back after his comments to discuss guidance moving forward.

  • Oscar?

  • - President

  • Thank you, Jim and I want to thank all of our investors for joining this call.

  • As we discussed in our last call, we are in the process of transforming Extreme by focusing our resources on select high growth market verticals to drive revenue growth, while making the transformative changes we believe are required to reach consistent double-digit operating income.

  • We believe that with a focus on driving efficient operations, coupled with a clear strategy for continuous product and services cost reductions, we will be able to provide sustainable customer value in an increasingly competitive market.

  • We also believe that the new cost structure from the restructurings implemented in Q3 and Q4 will enable us to reach consistent operating income without the need for additional revenue growth, and will position us to further improve financial performance as we grow revenue.

  • As we mentioned in our last earnings call, in Q3 we took the initial steps in our strategy to substantially reduce engineering costs by focusing our technology investments to leverage product development efforts across all of our product lines, and by eliminating specific underperforming products from our portfolio.

  • This transition effort is now largely behind us and we have stopped the associated costs for select Metro Ethernet products.

  • This has had the effect of lowering committed R&D and operations costs, while increasing available resources to focus product development for our strategic vertical markets.

  • In Q4, we began to take the next steps to further lower our operating costs as follows.

  • First, we are focusing software development work into our 2 established lower cost venues in Research Triangle Park, North Carolina; and Chennai, India.

  • As a result, we will expand resources in these existing locations to leverage our high value innovation capabilities and existing infrastructure.

  • We believe this will allow us to realize greater productivity in economies of scale, decreased time-to-market for products, and increased feature velocity.

  • And will allow us to lower overall R&D costs while expanding R&D headcount.

  • Next, by consolidating and aligning sales management more effectively across our geographies, we are lowering our sales cost structure while focusing resources on higher performing regions.

  • As of Q4 we completed our work to realign and staff North America sales management with positive results.

  • In Q1, we are focused on the management realignment and select portions of EMEA and Latin America and we believe these changes will also serve to enhance performance, while lowering overall sales costs.

  • Next, by reducing corporate marketing spend and shifting those resources to field marketing, we expect to expand customer awareness for our solutions, thereby enhancing brand awareness and lead generation in our targeted vertical markets to enable revenue growth.

  • Finally, by moving to simplify our processes, systems, and infrastructure, we expect to lower the cost of G&A and streamline our operations.

  • Beyond these changes to lower operating costs we are also taking specific steps to also lower both product and service cost structures proactively.

  • First, we initiated cost reduction activities for key high volume products.

  • As a result, we expect to realize lower standard costs for select products over the course of fiscal 2012, and by consistently and continually redesigning products for lower cost, we expect to be better positioned to maintain product gross margins in the competitive pricing environment we're working in.

  • By more effectively balancing the location and skills of our global service and support workforce, we expect to lower cost and expand service margins while continuing to provide world class customer service to all our valued customers.

  • Finally, by moving select manufacturing operation staff closer to our factories in Asia, and by completing our plans to drive more efficient logistics in product delivery, we expect a lower operating overhead while enhancing our operations productivity.

  • We have already begun to execute on these specific transformative actions and we expect to complete these actions in the first half of 2012.

  • Once completed, we believe these changes will enable us to drive a consistent double-digit operating income at sustainable revenue levels.

  • While we believe these operational changes position us well in terms of overall cost structure, I want to reiterate that a key focus is also on driving revenue growth with both our new and existing products.

  • In a difficult year in the networking industry, where total revenue declined from $4.8 billion in Q1 2010 to $4.4 billion in Q1 2011, despite a healthy increase in port sales overall, we are pleased to have grown fiscal year product revenues by 10% year-over-year.

  • We were helped in the market by a shift to a more favorable product mix as customers moved to upgrade their networks to install higher performance tech 1 gig and 10 Gig networks with high value network intelligence and by increased traction in our select market verticals.

  • I am pleased to report that we continue to make progress in our vertical strategy by increasing revenue from our targeted verticals with 27% of our product revenue already coming from these verticals as measured over a rolling 4 quarters.

  • Extreme's transformation to focus on select market verticals is key to driving our revenue growth and to our strategy to expand operating margins.

  • Over the new fiscal year, we will place additional emphasis on building brand identity in our select vertical markets by focusing marketing and sales investments in high growth regions and in our targeted verticals.

  • By increasing investments in our select verticals, we believe we can provide the focused vertical customer value needed to drive revenue growth and margin stability.

  • And while our strategy includes initiatives to continuously lower product costs to effectively compete in an increasingly competitive market, our long-term focus will remain on driving high value solutions for select market verticals to drive revenue growth and operating income.

  • To drive new revenue growth, we are focused on creating solutions for mobile operators, cloud service providers and education vertical customers.

  • In January, we articulated a 5 phase strategy to address the data infrastructure needs of customer networks, spanning from 3G and 4G LTE mobility networks through Campus Core and Edge networks and the new Fabric Architectures for cloud services.

  • The strategy leverages the feature-rich ExtremeXOS network operating system to provide intelligence and automation across network boundaries and to enable a seamless user quality of experience for people and machines.

  • This new vertical solution focus has been well received by our customers, our partners, industry analysts as well.

  • And our new product announcements over the past few months reflect this new vertical solution focus.

  • In Q3 we announced the E4G cell site router family designed to address the mobile service provider vertical and the specific performance and connectivity needs for the next generation 3G, 4G, and LTE and Mobile Backhaul market.

  • The E4G family is the next generation Mobile Backhaul platform that provides -- that supports 2G, 3G deployments while scaling for the high bandwidth needs of 4G an LTE services including mobile video.

  • In advance of the new E4G product family, we continue to build traction in the mobile service provider vertical with existing products through multiple OEM partners.

  • In Q4, and FY '11, we had deployments in tier 1 mobile operators in multiple geographies and 1 mobile OEM partner was a greater than 10% customer, both in Q4 and in FY '11.

  • In Q4 we announced the expansion of our data center product portfolio and our Open Fabric Architecture for large cloud scale service networks designed to address the needs of emerging cloud service providers.

  • At the Interop trade show in Las Vegas this past May, we announced 2 new products, the new BlackDiamond X8 aggregation and core fabric switch and the new Summit XS70 top-of-rack switch.

  • These products are designed to offer new independent best-of-breed solutions choices for customers who need to drive high value cloud services with lower total cost of operations.

  • The new BlackDiamond X8 offers industry leading cloud scale network support capacity, low latency, low power consumption and virtual network automation for next generation cloud service providers and large private cloud data centers.

  • The new Summit X670 top-of-rack switch compliments the BDX8 by offering leading edge features and low latency needed to address the needs of high performance 10 gig and 40 gig cloud-scale solutions.

  • We were honored to have Network World add both the BDX8 and the Summit X670 to their list of top new products at the Interop trade show in May.

  • The X670 is now generally available and we have already begun to receive initial product orders.

  • By providing network automation at the network operating system level for the BDX8 core fabric switch and the X670 top-of-rack switch, and our already established BD8000 series products for smaller scale data centers, Extreme offers cost effective price performance, network virtualization intelligence and the low total cost of operations that is necessary for the new generation of cloud service operators.

  • Within the cloud service provider vertical, we continue to win deals.

  • Recently [Alysolinx] in Finland expanded their deployments for Extreme switches in support of their fourth data center in Helsinki.

  • Key purchasing criteria included scalability, open flexibility and automation support for virtualization.

  • In Q4, we also added private data center wins that included Sierra Trading Post and Vericrest in North America, and other data center wins from major customers including Lockheed Martin, [Falla Bella], and Wellcome Sanger Trust.

  • These data center wins provide key customer deployments and enable remedy momentum for existing products in complement to our new family of next generation cloud services networking products.

  • Beyond these mobility and cloud services products, we also released key intelligence features to address the complex network deployment problems facing education customers and competitive campus deployments.

  • ID management functionality is now available across our ExtremeXOS portfolio and enables automated role based policy control of access to network resources.

  • Extreme network virtualization, or XNV, enables the automated management of virtual machine mobility in increasingly complex data centers.

  • These features enable automatic and dynamic network configurations, enabling a customer to manage networks with less human intervention, avoiding human error and lowering the need for staff.

  • For education and competitive campus customer deployments, we have also expanded our portfolio, with a complete and comprehensive switching solution, with the announcement of the Extreme Ethernet access switch family of products.

  • These products enable us to provide more cost effective end-to-end campus ethernet switching solution bundles to address the needs of educational vertical customers.

  • These portfolio expansions allow us to compete more effectively in the wider campus market and provide competitive -- and drive competitive offerings in the face of recent price pressure from some of our major competitors.

  • In the mobile student and vertical education vertical, and education vertical we had 44 new wins in Q4, adding to our global installed base of colleges, universities and schools.

  • Customers in Q4 included the Jeju International English Village in Korea who selected our BD8000 core switches and Summit switches at the Edge.

  • While Shanghai, YK Pao School selected our BD8000 Summit products and our Altitude wireless LAN products.

  • We continue to see campus Ethernet and wireless LAN bundles as well as core network upgrades as drivers for educational customer wins.

  • In FY '11 we added over 230 new customers including Kingston College in Europe, Texas A&M University, Northwestern College and Bay County schools in the US and a major medical research institute in Paris.

  • Beyond the business from our select market verticals, we also saw increased customer traction across all our regions, from more and larger deals and in our major geographies including North America as a result of the completion of our Management changes.

  • In summary, we believe that the markets we serve are strong and our innovation is real -- is adding real value to our customers.

  • We are now executing on the next steps in our strategy and I believe our strategy is on track.

  • We are focusing our work to both lower fixed and variable cost and thereby enable more consistent levels of operating income without the need for revenue growth.

  • However, revenue growth is a significant focus for our Business and we are taking the first critical steps to drive the customer awareness and focus in our product portfolio investments to execute a clear vertical market strategy.

  • We look forward to having a continuing and active and engaged dialogue with all of our investors.

  • And now I'll turn the call back over to Jim who will share some details regarding our guidance for Q1 and FY '12.

  • - Interim CFO

  • Thank you, Oscar.

  • As discussed earlier, the Company has implemented a significant restructuring plan at the end of Q4, which will not be fully implemented until the end of Q2 FY '12 and we continue to see a very competitive landscape and longer customer purchasing cycles.

  • As a result, we believe there is a greater level of uncertainty surrounding Q1.

  • For the quarter, we expect revenue in a range of $74 million to $80 million, and EPS in a range of $0.02 to $0.05 a share.

  • Turning to full year guidance.

  • We expect to see continued progress in our cost structure as we complete the transition.

  • When completed, we anticipate that as a result of these actions, we will have lowered our operating cost by approximately $20 million during FY '12, from our Q3 FY '11 cost structure which we used as a baseline to build our plan for FY '12.

  • When fully implemented at the end of Q2, we expect a breakeven point below $70 million of revenue per quarter.

  • And our goal is to have in place a cost structure for double-digit operating income on a revenue level in the low $80 million range in the latter half of FY '12.

  • FY '12 will be a transition year for the Company as we move to a lower cost structure aimed at achieving our stated financial model.

  • We have built our FY -- full year plan to return increasing earnings and operating cash flow to our shareholders without the requirement to grow revenue.

  • That does not mean that we don't believe we can grow revenue.

  • We believe that the new products that we have announced, which will begin shipping at different points throughout the fiscal year and our customer focused strategy present opportunity for the Company to grow.

  • However, given the uncertainty we see in the global economies, and the competitive and pricing pressure, we are building our plans assuming low revenue growth in the overall market.

  • At this time, we expect revenue for FY '12 to be in the range of $320 million to $340 million and EPS of $0.28 to $0.35 per diluted share.

  • With that, we'll open the call for questions.

  • Matthew, if you could start the polling.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • Jonathan Kees, Capstone Investments.

  • - Analyst

  • Thanks a lot, guys, for taking my question.

  • I wanted to ask -- I guess trying to make sure I understand this new restructuring program that's been announced.

  • Back in January, there was one that was announced in which it was going to be taking $2 million out of the OpEx on a quarterly basis.

  • And now we're talking about this new restructuring program.

  • Is this including that or is this separate from that?

  • - Interim CFO

  • This is all incremental, Jonathan.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • All right.

  • So this is in addition to that.

  • Okay.

  • All right.

  • That's a lot of savings to be taking out.

  • All right.

  • Then let me also ask about the OpEx for Q4.

  • Obviously, that was a substantial increase and I can understand that there is a lot of one-time or a lot of seasonal charges, sales commissions and that kind of stuff; but, it seems like there was still some increase -- sequential increase more so than normal seasonality.

  • I guess I'm trying to understand.

  • Is most of this still just more of that one-time and we're going to have a sharp drop-off for the beginning of next fiscal year?

  • Is it going to be more tapered off going forward?

  • How should I think of that?

  • - Interim CFO

  • I think, Jonathan, when you get a chance to do some modeling based upon the guidance we've given you and a lot of the color around the restructuring, you'll find that we expect our operating expenses to drop pretty significantly from Q4 to Q1, but also to continue to drop into Q2 and into Q3 as well.

  • Q4 was higher than we anticipated.

  • A lot of that driven by the variable compensation within the field organization.

  • We commented on how strong the Americas was after a pretty soft Q3.

  • Some of that surprised us, as you might expect, and we saw a lot more accelerators kick in -- a handful of the reps there, and likewise throughout Asia, they over-performed their plan quite a bit and we saw accelerators kick in there as well.

  • The other place where there was a pretty significant increase was around the new product introductions that we talked about and just trying to really be aggressive in moving forward there with our prototypes and NREs; and keep those projects on course for introduction here in the first half and early second half of FY '12.

  • - President

  • Jonathan, this is Oscar.

  • First of all, welcome and thanks for the first question.

  • Let me also add to what Jim said.

  • We also, in our movement to the new verticals, we knew we needed to get our awareness -- begin to generate our awareness in the field as much as we could, so we also conducted not only trade shows but also partner conferences in 2 different geos.

  • So that created some activities in the field, while still having the corporate marketing expense on line that effectively allowed us to -- or forced us to spend a little more marketing in that quarter than we would going forward.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • And you did mention that the corporate stuff is dropping off and so you can find more money or more of a focus on the field stuff.

  • All right.

  • That helps with that.

  • And then let me also ask, in terms of linearity for the quarter, was it -- most of it was back-end loaded or was -- I mean, or was it pretty linear throughout the quarter?

  • - Interim CFO

  • Yes, I wouldn't say it was linear, Jonathan, but in terms of linearity, we tracked at or ahead of what a normal linearity would look like, historical bookings during the quarter.

  • And we didn't see a significant pick-up in month 3 as a result of the fourteenth week, so the percent of business we got in month 1, 2 and 3 was actually even a little bit more front-end loaded in Q4 than historical patterns would indicate.

  • So, definitely more linear during the quarter.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • All right.

  • Last minute rush.

  • Did you guys mention book-to-bill, by the way?

  • For the quarter?

  • - Interim CFO

  • We did not.

  • It was slightly negative.

  • I did mention in the script that there were a couple deals that had been on the books for quite a while because we had customers that had not obtained financing for the purchases and that happened in Q4 and we were able to go ahead and ship those products.

  • So, it was a slightly negative book-to-bill, but a good result in terms of those deals actually being able to turn to revenue.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • All right.

  • Just couple more questions, then I'll stand -- get out of line here.

  • Looks like your balance sheet metrics have improved, DSOs especially.

  • I guess, should we look for, in the new fiscal year, for more of this improvement for DSOs?

  • And I can understand for inventory days, the build-up in materials because of Japan, the anticipation of any shortage in Japan, but that should come down, since that did not become a problem.

  • So, I guess, I'm assuming that there's going to be some more improvement in the metrics?

  • Is that the right way to think of that?

  • - Interim CFO

  • I think that in the short term, I wouldn't expect significant improvement in the DSO.

  • That's a low number, 38 days of sales outstanding is a low number from, like, the last 2 years.

  • So, I wouldn't expect that would get lower.

  • From an inventory standpoint, we did build the inventories, as I said, in anticipation of some product constraints -- didn't materialize.

  • But the 1 shift that will be happening throughout Q1 and into Q2 is that, Oscar mentioned, that we are changing our logistics model a little bit.

  • We have opened a distribution center in Hong Kong, which will significantly lower our cost of distribution for product throughout Asia, but, as well, will also help in terms of positioning product for the Americas as well.

  • So we will see a little bit of a -- we will see an increase in overall inventories offsetting that decrease in the additional material that we put in the pipeline.

  • So, it won't come down significantly in the Q1 and early Q2 timeframe, but there is potential for us to at least either maintain or draw down the absolute dollars as we go through the year, depending on what happens on the top line.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Got you.

  • All right.

  • And, last question, if I may.

  • I guess in terms of the guidance for the fiscal year, the mid-point there is looking at around flat with fiscal year 2011.

  • I hear what you're talking about in terms of the competitive dynamics there and even for this last period here, the dollars went down, even the port revenues go -- the number of ports shipped went up.

  • I guess this is incorporating continued dynamics like that?

  • Are you seeing a more -- competitive dynamics being more fierce?

  • Worse than before?

  • Is it still the same?

  • How would you characterize that and how would -- relative to the guidance that you've given?

  • - President

  • This is Oscar.

  • Let me take that one.

  • I think it varies, Jonathan, from region to region is what we found.

  • So we see some competitors more aggressive in some regions than others.

  • I think also this quarter was the first quarter we had a fully staffed management team in North America and you can see some of the results are in on that.

  • I'm pleased with the work that the North America team has really done and that Management team now is getting things settled into place.

  • So, as a result of that, I think that we're in a much better position now to be competitive than maybe we were in the last few quarters in that market.

  • So, when I look at North America, we didn't see as much pricing pressure in North America this time.

  • However, I want to be ready for it going forward and I want to be ready for those campus deployments because campus deployments are the places that are much more hostile in terms of pricing.

  • And, of course, our goal is to focus on the verticals that will not only allow us to be able to sell high-value solutions, but also will enable us to have some level of competitiveness against the other would-be competitors that are selling more plain-jane products out there.

  • - Analyst

  • So it sounds like you're expecting the worst there in terms of competitors for North America and now that you have a fully staffed team in North America, you're being cautious, you're being conservative in terms of your guidance, at least for North America for the fiscal year.

  • - President

  • I'm being cautiously optimistic in all the markets, because I want to be sure that, as we give guidance here, we're giving guidance based on what we believe is a proactive set of steps to make sure that people understand, our investors understand that port sales are up in the industry and revenues are down in the industry and that means that there's pricing pressure that's out there.

  • However, it doesn't mean it's in every vertical.

  • It's not in every market segment.

  • And so, therefore, our goal is to grow in the select verticals that we believe that, not only can we offer value to maintain pricing wherever possible, but also we're preparing our cost structures for those places where we need to have a competitive set of offerings.

  • We can certainly offer that.

  • And on top of that, whenever we get competitive attacks we can certainly fend that off as well.

  • So, I believe that the marketplace is about -- today, is about those vendors that are going to be proactive with their cost structures and that's what we want to do.

  • We want to prepare for that.

  • - Interim CFO

  • Jonathan, I would just add that Extreme is a 1%, 1.5% kind of market share player in the overall marketplace, so for us to try and judge where the overall market is going is a little bit difficult.

  • If we look at some of the results from competitors that are out there, they've been pretty cautious in terms of what the market looks like going forward and we wanted to make sure that we were sizing the Company properly that we could return a good EPS, good operating income and bottom-line cash flow, the whole thing, to the shareholders in a market where the overall market may not be growing that rapidly.

  • Having said that, we're feeling pretty good about where we are in terms of positioning the Company and the products we have coming out; and if the market's growing, we fully hope to and expect to grow with it.

  • But we're just not big enough I don't think to really gauge what's happening in the overall marketplace.

  • - President

  • I think that's well said.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Great.

  • Thank you, Jim.

  • Thank you, Oscar.

  • I'll step out of line.

  • Operator

  • Rohit Chopra, Wedbush.

  • - Analyst

  • This is Sanjit Singh for Rohit Chopra.

  • A couple quick data questions.

  • Do you guys have the ratio between stackular and modular?

  • As well as the split between enterprise and service provider?

  • - President

  • We have not released that this quarter.

  • Honestly, I don't believe that's a good way to gauge our business going forward.

  • We can certainly put that back on the website if you feel that this is a statistic you want to maintain.

  • I think that going forward the percentage of revenue at -- or let me say, the vertical revenue as a percentage of overall revenue is a good way to gauge it; and I think that when you look at the technology side of the deployments, I think that we're going to see a difference in how customers buy, because we continue to see increasingly stackables being bought in the industry, if you look at the overall industry, versus chassis, although there are customers that do buy chassis stackable combinations and there are some customers that we have that buy only chassis and prefer to have only chassis even all the way to the edge.

  • Be happy to put that on the website, and give you the information.

  • Jim, I don't know if you have the split for this quarter.

  • - Interim CFO

  • I didn't bring it with me.

  • - President

  • We're beginning to see that not be as an important metric going forward.

  • That's why we didn't put it out there, Sanjit.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • On the restructuring, just to make sure that I'm clear, we are -- the restructuring efforts will be completed by Q2 and from Q3 to Q4, that's when we should expect progress on the operating margin or is it more -- is it more improving Q1, improving Q2, more of a linear stair step all the way to Q4?

  • How should we --

  • - Interim CFO

  • We will see continued improvement from Q4 to Q1 to Q2 to Q3.

  • We will not have implemented the full savings that we expect to see from the actions that we've taken here in July until the end of Q2, so our comments around sort of hitting a double-digit operating income at revenue in the low 80s would not be effective until we get to that Q3 time frame.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • So not until Q3.

  • On the gross margin side, splitting out both product and service gross margin, I understand there's going to be some improvements on the supply chain side.

  • What levels of gross margin both on the product and service do you think is sustainable?

  • - Interim CFO

  • So, we have said all along that we would like to be -- the financial model the Company has put out there is for total gross margins in the 57% to 59% range.

  • We've tracked below that most of this year, but we do believe that with the actions that we've taken to date in terms of lowering our fixed cost structure as well as the actions that Oscar referred to around some product redesigns that we'll see hit the market in the second half of the year, as well as some of the supply chain activities -- I mentioned the Hong Kong distribution center, we believe that we will get back into that range this fiscal year.

  • - Analyst

  • This fiscal year.

  • Okay.

  • And on the competitive environment, so I think Dell is looking to buy Force 10.

  • Where is the competitive pressure sourcing from?

  • Is it the guy with the 70% market share?

  • Is it all players?

  • Is it in select regions?

  • Where is the pricing aggressiveness coming from?

  • - President

  • It's a good question.

  • So it really depends.

  • Since we're serving different parts of the market it really depends on what part we're talking about.

  • If we look at the campus environments, we definitely see increased pressure from those that are trying to gain market share -- Hewlett-Packard and Juniper I think are good examples of those that are trying to gain market share in the marketplace.

  • I don't think we are the target.

  • I think they have their sights set on bigger game, but I think we see the collateral damage of when they attempt to bid using the same tactics into the accounts that either we're targeting or accounts that are looking at some of our solution sets.

  • That's where we see the most amount of competitive price pressure, really, is in the campus environments; and, as we focus more on the educational environments and -- the interesting aspect of education environments is they have a self-generating awareness in that they talk a lot.

  • They don't see each other as competitive so they talk a lot to each other, so we have a lot of word of mouth that goes our way as well.

  • The key value we offer there is that we offer not only great CapEx and good OpEx going forward, but the OpEx is also augmented by more automation, which means that customers need to have fewer people to manage their networks.

  • Educational systems typically cannot afford to have lots of deep experts because they're $100,000 and above folks, and it's difficult for different educational systems around the country or around the world to maintain that level of expertise.

  • So, the more automation the better, and that's really our focus, is driving that level of automation for educational customers.

  • So, we shop the value versus just working on price, but we do know that when we see competitive pressures from the other competitors, that has a tendency to have an effect on price.

  • - Analyst

  • Wonderful.

  • This is my last question regarding the restructuring.

  • Other companies in this industry over the last decade or so have announced similar restructuring plans to improve the operating margin and there'll be a temporary benefit and oftentimes, either due to a fall in Company morale or maybe not enough feet on the street on the sales and marketing side, the operating margin never -- targets never materialize.

  • Is there any risk to that here in terms of maybe cutting too deep?

  • What have you -- how have you gone about trying to mitigate those risks going forward?

  • - President

  • That's a great question.

  • Let's talk about the changes we've actually made.

  • Because in looking at the changes we actually made, hopefully this will give you some comfort.

  • That while there's risk, and I'm not going to say that there's no risk, there's always risk and we've cited all of our risk factors up front.

  • We believe we made the appropriate changes to really focus the Company in the right direction.

  • So, the first thing we've done is, we've actually made a decision to move software engineering out of California and into the lower cost venues where we have already had critical mass people and also we have the most -- 1 of the venues we have the most amount of longevity in software engineering where the majority of our architects sit.

  • Between Raleigh, North Carolina, here in the US, and Chennai, India, that's where the bulk of our software engineering resources are sit today, between those 2 sites.

  • What we're really doing is expanding and enhancing those 2 sites.

  • The leaders in those sites are absorbing -- able to absorb the work effectively.

  • We have more junior people or less experienced people here in California.

  • So, as a result of that I think that's a good move that actually enhances our ability to drive feature velocity and be able to effectively also expand headcount, because by moving into lower cost venues, we can actually afford more heads -- so I think that's a good move for us.

  • So that's lowering cost while still not only maintaining, but also expanding your innovation capability.

  • In operations, we've chosen to move people closer to the factory.

  • As you're aware, in reading our Ks and you've followed the Company for a while, we have outsourced manufacturing and an ODM relationship with Alpha Networks.

  • By moving people closer to that, to where the factory really is, rather than maintaining them here in California, some of those positions will enable us to lower costs while, I believe, increasing productivity and increasing our ability to have a better relationship with that vendor as well.

  • In services, what we're doing is, we're actually moving some of our heads around and our skills around to the extent that we are actually going to be able to serve customers I think a bit better and at the same time be able to balance the skills across different venues.

  • So I think that's going to lower cost without letting go of the skill set and the intimacy that we've developed over the years.

  • 1 of the things that has allowed us to maintain our market share as it is, in spite of the fact that we're a small player, is that customers value our customer service capability and our customer intimacy very highly.

  • As a result of that we wanted to make sure that we did not, while making adjustments and lowering costs, take inordinate risks with that.

  • I think those 3 areas are areas where I see an appropriate level of risk relative to the lower cost structures that we're going to go into and I think we'll actually get better lift in R&D, I think we'll get better productivity out of the operational side of the factory side, and I believe we'll actually be able to balance our skill sets between tier 1 and tier 2 support, et cetera, around the world.

  • When it comes to sales, what we've done is, we've taken very clear steps to actually simplify some of the management structures that we've had.

  • So, some of the costs that we're seeing out of sales is simplification, and I'm a big believer that simplification often leads to better productivity and also just easier ways of doing business with the Company.

  • So, by being able to do a similar thing that we've done in North America, which is just basically simplify the sales structure, I believe that in parts of Latin America -- in Latin America and in parts of EMEA, I think that we're going to get a little better lift there as well.

  • Now, we have made moves from investing in corporate marketing to investing in field marketing.

  • I think that shift enables us to put more marketing activities closer to the customer and to enable us to drive better awareness, geo by geo, so that the customers who are dealing with -- that we're targeting with our target market verticals will actually then be able to build awareness that begets consideration that should invite us into deals and grow our sales pipelines.

  • I think the steps we're taking are appropriate.

  • I think that they have appropriate risk.

  • They're not risk-free, nothing is risk-free.

  • But I do believe we have taken the appropriate steps to make sure it executes well.

  • - Analyst

  • Thanks, guys.

  • - Interim CFO

  • Sanjit, before you go.

  • You had asked about stackables and modular.

  • Just so you have the information this quarter in case it's key to what you're doing.

  • This quarter was 71% stackables and 29% modular.

  • - Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • Bill Nasgovitz, Heartland Funds.

  • - Analyst

  • Congratulations on taking an axe to costs here.

  • What do you think R&D will run as a percent of sales in the new year, the new year we're in?

  • - President

  • We're looking at something in the 12% to 13% range as a percent of revenue.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • And CapEx -- I'm sorry, I might have missed that.

  • - Interim CFO

  • We didn't talk about that.

  • But, historically, it's run somewhere between $1 million to $1.5 million per quarter.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • All right.

  • And, could you outline, again, the Company's -- the Board's buyback policy?

  • - President

  • We've not set a buyback policy.

  • I think we may have talked last time -- we did a buyback about 2.5 years ago.

  • And we have not set a specific buyback policy at this point.

  • - Analyst

  • Well, I wish you would, as a long-term, patient shareholder, gosh, what's our cash earning these days?

  • - Interim CFO

  • About 1%.

  • - Analyst

  • About 1%.

  • Well, we're building cash.

  • I mean, our hats are off to you.

  • That's good to see, in a tough environment.

  • You seem to be thrifty and wise, and why not buy back a little of the shares too?

  • - President

  • Bill, we certainly will take that into consideration.

  • One of the things that we certainly consider every quarter and every year is whether or not we're driving the best value for our shareholders.

  • That's paramount.

  • And so, as we look at the environment and some of the variability that's out there in the global economic environment, we want to be sure that, while we're driving value for our shareholders, we're not creating undue risk for the Company as well.

  • - Analyst

  • Well, with cash at $150 million or something like that, wouldn't seem to -- just a modest buyback would seem to make sense, would seem to be prudent.

  • - President

  • Understand.

  • - Analyst

  • Do you have an authorization now?

  • Is there an active authorization?

  • - President

  • No, there's not.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • In these volatile times, I think it makes sense to have that flexibility.

  • Thank you.

  • - President

  • Thank you for your feedback, Bill.

  • Operator

  • Ryan Vardeman, Palogic.

  • - Analyst

  • Thank you very much for your kind of outlook and those sorts of things.

  • I appreciate providing pretty good specifics there.

  • I'd like to echo the last caller's desire to see some share repurchased at this seemingly high sort of ROE level.

  • But anyway, so Dell announced their intention to purchase Force 10, some wire reports suggest it may be close to $700 million which is about 3.5 times revenue.

  • It looks like from their S1, their gross margins are significantly worse than theirs and their revenues are about two-thirds of ours.

  • What do they quote-unquote have that we don't have.

  • And what do you say about this seemingly outrageous disparity between the evaluation that was reportedly realized by F10 -- or Force 10 and the implied value of our stock at less than a half times enterprise value to sales and expected profitability?

  • - Interim CFO

  • Boy, you've asked a lot of questions there.

  • A lot of them are subjective.

  • A lot of the answers are probably subjective.

  • First and foremost, I think that when I look at Force 10, they're clearly focused in 1 specific space.

  • It appears that they fit the bill when it came to Dell's wants and needs.

  • So, clearly, the question for how they fit Dell, I think is more appropriately asked of the Dell folks and how they see that.

  • In terms of valuation, I stopped trying to guess on valuations a long time ago.

  • I'm not an investment banker.

  • It is interesting that value is there, because I'm hoping that also signals the level of value that maybe Extreme should have as well, because we are clearly delivering products in those specific spaces in addition to other high-growth spaces like Mobile Backhaul and Mobility.

  • So, I'm hopeful that the valuation that is -- the comparables that are set in the industry also will have an effect on our valuation as well.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • And then, second question is with the spirited auction of the North Hill IP, what have we done to attempt to value our own IP.

  • What have been the results?

  • It seems we spent over $400 million in R&D in the last 7 years.

  • We've continued our -- continuing to have patents issued to us.

  • Seems like there should be significant value there.

  • What do you reckon it's worth and what steps, if any, are going to be taken to realize that value besides hopeful incremental sales associated with that?

  • - President

  • It's a good question.

  • We have not done a formal valuation of our IP at this point in time.

  • I can tell you that our IP portfolio is significantly smaller than the Nortel portfolio.

  • Also significantly smaller than some of the other very super large portfolios that have been discussed out in the industry to date.

  • We may not be able to get a value that's anywhere near what we might expect, and it really comes down to who's buying and why are they buying.

  • - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Thank you guys very much and good luck on achieving your operating targets.

  • Wish you the best.

  • - President

  • Thank you very much.

  • Operator

  • Thank you.

  • And, gentlemen, I would like to turn the program back to you for any closing remarks.

  • - President

  • Very good.

  • I want to thank all of our investors for, once again, joining us on the call and for the analysts who continue to follow us.

  • We certainly are doing the hard work of making sure that we have the right plans and the right execution steps in place as we move forward.

  • I look forward to speaking with all of the investors wherever possible.

  • We will be in New York City later this month and -- actually next week, also in Boston and I look forward to meeting any investors should you happen to be at either 1 of those conferences.

  • So thank you very much.

  • And we look forward to our next engagements.

  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for joining today's conference.

  • This does conclude the program and you may now disconnect.