Exlservice Holdings Inc (EXLS) 2015 Q3 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good day, ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the ExlService Holdings, Inc. Third Quarter 2015 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session and instructions will be given at that time. (Operator Instructions) As a reminder, this call is being recorded.

  • I'd now like to turn the conference over to your host for today, Mr. Steven Barlow. Sir, you may begin.

  • Steven Barlow - VP, IR

  • Thank you, Ben. Hello and thanks to everyone for joining EXL's third quarter 2015 financial results conference call. I'm Steve Barlow, EXL's Vice President of Investor Relations. With us here today in New York are Rohit Kapoor, our Vice Chairman and Chief Executive Officer and Vishal Chhibbar, our Chief Financial Officer. We hope that you had an opportunity to review our quarterly press release we issued this morning. We've also updated our investor fact sheet in the Investor Relations section of EXL's website.

  • As you know, some of the matters we'll discuss in this call are forward-looking. Please keep in mind that these forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those that are expressed or implied by such statements. Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, general economic conditions, those factors set forth in today's press release, discussed in the Company's periodic reports, and other documents filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission from time-to-time. EXL assumes no obligation to update the information presented on this conference call.

  • During our call today, we may reference certain non-GAAP financial measures, which we believe provide useful information for investors. Reconciliation of these measures to GAAP can be found on our press release, as well as the investor fact sheet.

  • Now, I'll turn the call over to Rohit Kapoor, EXL's Chief Executive Officer.

  • Rohit Kapoor - Vice Chairman & CEO

  • Thank you, Steve. Good morning, everyone and welcome to our third quarter 2015 earnings call.

  • I am extremely pleased to announce that EXL delivered strong third quarter results. We achieved revenues of $163.5 million representing a year-on-year growth of 26% excluding reimbursement of disentanglement costs on a constant currency basis. Organically, we achieved strong double-digit growth of 15.4% year-on-year, excluding transitioning clients and on a constant currency basis.

  • At the same time and in line with our expectations, we significantly improved our profitability with gross margins improving a 150 basis points sequentially to 36.9% and adjusted operating margins increasing to 17% from 13.9%. These results clearly demonstrate the strength of our business model and our ability to execute on our key strategic priorities.

  • There are three aspects of our performance that I would like to highlight on the call today. Number one, we have achieved good growth momentum, which we believe is sustainable. Number two, we have increased overall profitability in a disciplined manner and made a fundamental shift in our operating model. And number three, we have built a differentiated analytics business that is capable of delivering high revenue growth and with attractive margins.

  • First, our Operations Management business delivered double-digit revenue organic growth rate for the second quarter in a row. Revenues grew 12.6% organically on a constant currency basis excluding transitioning clients and disentanglement costs. We made good progress in expanding existing client relationships by migrating 39 new processes this quarter. So far in 2015, we have transitioned approximately 18% more FTEs as compared to the same nine month period in 2014. A major reason for this is the strengthening of our strategic partnerships with our top 10 clients. Revenue for these clients is up over 15% in Q3 2015 versus Q3 2014. Going forward, we remain focused on penetrating new lines of business and opening up new markets at these large global 2000 clients.

  • At our Investor Day, we had said that we have 68 clients that generate more than $1 million in annual revenues. Based on the current run rate, that number now stands at more than 80 such clients. Growing this set of clients, which includes strategic accounts that we have won over the past three years, is key to maintaining our growth momentum. As these clients enter their second and third years of engagement with EXL, we see tremendous opportunity to capitalize on our excellent service delivery and win additional business by leveraging our full suite of service offerings.

  • Finally, in the third quarter of 2015, we won four new clients, making it 14 new wins in Operations Management for the year. These new wins are the seeds of future growth and make us confident that we can sustain our growth momentum in Operations Management over the longer term. Our differentiated capabilities have been the primary driver of this growth momentum. These include the Business EXLerator Framework, BPaaS solutions, new product introductions and an expanded geographic footprint. The Business EXLerator Framework, which integrates Operations Management, benchmarking, analytics and technology to drive superior business impact for clients has now being implemented in a majority of our clients across service delivery geographies.

  • In addition, over the last 15 months, we have aggressively studied the applicability of robotic process automation in these processes that we manage. We have concluded multiple pilots using robotic process automation that provide us with a rich set of learning and a deeper understanding of this emerging tool set. We continue to make deeper investments in this area to strengthen our advanced automation and robotic capabilities, including pursuing partnerships with robotic automation technology companies.

  • Next, we continue to make progress on our BPaaS strategy as clients realize the benefits associated with engaging with EXL to manage processes on our owned technology platforms. One of our large insurance P&C clients recently awarded us approximately 1,000 subrogation arbitrations per month to file on their behalf using EXL's propriety subrogation platform. This demonstrates our ability to create and operationalize a highly scalable BPaaS solution. Our goal is to be able to process a majority portion of the industry's subrogation recoveries.

  • We've also seen solid demand and new wins in our life insurance and annuities policy administration technology platform, LifePRO. We remain committed to developing LifePRO into a best-in-class technology platform with embedded analytics, data visualization and greater automation. This technology platform will form the core of our insurance policy administration BPaaS solution.

  • Our operations management capabilities continued to be recognized by industry experts with multiple mentions in the quarter. We were positioned in the Winner's Circle in the HfS Blueprint Report on Insurance As-a-Service 2015. EXL was joined in the Winner's Circle by only one other competitor.

  • We were named in the Winner's Circle in the HfS Blueprint Report: Healthcare Payer Operations 2015. We were also recognized by Everest Research as leaders in two Insurance BPO PEAK Matrix Assessment reports, one for property and casualty insurance BPO and one for life and pensions insurance BPO.

  • I'm happy to share that the expansion of our global delivery footprint is progressing as per plan. Our recently opened Cape Town, South Africa center has begun to generate revenues in this quarter with initial feedback on service delivery being very encouraging.

  • We are servicing a large UK client and expect to scale up our operations in South Africa in 2016. Also EXL's Spanish and bilingual language center in Bogota, Colombia will start to generate revenue in the fourth quarter for an existing Fortune 500 client. We are observing healthy demand for services from these two geographies and have managed to develop a good pipeline in a short period of time.

  • I now want to talk about the encouraging results achieved so far on the execution of our profitability improvement plan. Our actions are focused on driving sustainable change to our operating model without sacrificing investments in growth and future capabilities. Our profitability was positively impacted this quarter by the following. Improved utilization of resources in our analytics and transformation businesses, enhanced productivity at several key accounts, better utilization of our infrastructure, optimized pricing to better reflect the value we deliver and cost reengineering. We are pleased with the broad-based improvements that we are making to our business and these improvements have now started to reflect in our financial results.

  • In addition, we have several additional initiatives planned for 2016 and remained confident that there is room for further improvement.

  • The third area that I want to discuss is our differentiated analytics business that is delivering high revenue growth and improved profitability. Year-on-year, our analytics business grew approximately a 100% including RPM. Our analytics business continues to achieve high organic growth and we believe that the business is now a strong sustainable growth engine. Analytics revenues of $35.5 million this quarter now represent 21.7% of our total revenues, surpassing the 20% of revenue target that we had set at the beginning of the year. Today, we are one of the few large and differentiated players in the global analytics market with revenues of more than a $100 million.

  • Our analytics capabilities are differentiated by the complexity of problems that we solve for our clients. I will provide a couple of examples below to illustrate this. Number one, we are helping a leading online retailer execute their digital strategy by mapping the customer journey from product search to conversion. We are identifying various interventions that the retailer can do to minimize abandoned baskets. Separately, we are redesigning their entire multi-channel customer contact paradigm and helping them maximize customer loyalty by leveraging our suite of proprietary algorithms.

  • A second example. The small business lending space in the US is undergoing major transformation amid high growth. We are helping multiple financial services clients use non-traditional data to better predict credit risk. Our proprietary algorithms and expertise in working with unstructured big data enables clients to leverage social, geospatial and payments data to make quicker and more accurate credit decisions.

  • I'm also happy to share that over the course of the year, we have made significant progress in improving the profitability of our analytics business. On a constant currency basis, gross margins have increased significantly from 2014. We are confident that the fundamental changes we are making to our business model are sustainable over the longer term. I will now highlight some of the key actions that we have taken in this regard.

  • Number one, we increased our visibility into cost and the ability to manage them by having approximately two-thirds of our analytics business in the form of long-term annuity contracts. We continued to growth this annuity portion of our business by converting project-based proof of concepts into long-term contracts by delivering exceptional business value to our clients. Number two, with greater scale, we have efficient and well governed engines for recruitment, resource optimization including our onshore and offshore mix and infrastructure utilization. Number three, we have optimized pricing for various services and skill sets that we offer. This takes advantage of the clear differentiation we have established in our capabilities and talent versus competition. And number four, we have adopted new transaction and outcome-based engagement models, which deliver high business impact for our clients and non-linear revenue growth for EXL.

  • Our claims overpayment solution uses proprietary algorithms to mine structured and unstructured data in millions of claims to identify overpayments made to care providers. In this model, EXL is reimbursed on outcomes. That is as a proportion of recovered claims. It is a win-win model, as our clients achieve higher recoveries and EXL captures higher margins due to the non-linearity of revenues. We are deploying the solution across leading healthcare and insurance companies and have a strong pipeline going into 2016.

  • Moreover, the expanded margins while continuing to make prudent investments in building new products and a state of the art analytics innovation lab. Our focus on building new analytics products will drive future growth and higher profitability by generating non-linear revenue. We have created a dedicated analytics product development team and are embedding idea generation and innovation across all levels of the organization. I am personally very excited by the initial prototypes that we have built. Overall, we feel very positive about our analytics business. A steady stream of new wins, including three in this quarter, large ramp ups at existing clients and a strong pipeline will continue to drive sustainable growth.

  • Finally, the demand environment across all our business segments remained positive and we continued to operate in an under-penetrated market. We have a strong pipeline that is broad-based across all domains, across new and existing clients and across geographies.

  • Today, our clients are challenged to remain competitive and grow in a business environment prone to disruption. They are looking for strategic partners to help them deliver on four key objectives. Number one, deliver superior customer experience. Number two, design and manage operations that are global and nimble. Number three, transform enterprise wide decision making leveraging data analytics and number four, navigate the increasingly complex regulatory environment. EXL's suite of differentiated capabilities, domain expertise, ultra client centricity, track record of world-class service delivery and focus on delivering business impact, positions us well to deliver on these four objectives.

  • Our performance in the first nine months of 2015 has strengthened our belief that we can capitalize on this attractive market opportunity. As we look ahead, a strong deal pipeline, market acceptance of our capabilities, successful ramp ups driven by strong service delivery and the potential to further expand margins are enabling us to carry strong momentum into 2016. We believe we have the right strategy, the right assets and the right people to capitalize on this momentum to deliver strong growth and improved profitability.

  • With that, I will turn the call over to Vishal.

  • Vishal Chhibbar - EVP& CFO

  • Thank you, Rohit and thanks everyone for joining us this morning.

  • Unless otherwise stated, all numbers mentioned are excluding disentanglement cost for our transitioning clients which was accounted for in 2014. There are no disentanglement costs in 2015.

  • EXL reported a strong third quarter with revenues of $163.5 million, up 23.8% year-over-year or 25.9% on a constant currency business. Organically, revenue was up 15.4% year-over-year and on a constant currency basis excluding transitioning clients. Sequentially, we grew 5.1% or 5.6% on a constant currency basis.

  • For the nine-month period, organic revenue growth at a constant currency basis excluding transitioning clients was 14.6%. EXL's revenue growth was broad-based across all business segments driven by growth from existing clients and ramp-ups from client wins in 2014 and early 2015, across our verticals.

  • Operations Management revenues grew 15.3% year-over-year on a constant currency basis. Organically, revenue was up 12.6% year-over-year on a constant currency basis excluding transitioning clients. This organic revenue growth coupled with the tail-wind from the impact of acquisitions more than offset the headwind of approximately $12.9 million from transitioning clients in Q3 2014. Sequentially, Operations Management revenues increased 1.9% on a constant currency basis.

  • Analytics & Business Transformation revenues grew [16.1%] year-over-year on a constant currency basis, including the impact of acquisition of RPM. Organically, the segment grew 23.2% year-over-year on a constant currency basis. Sequentially, Analytics & Business Transformation revenues increased 15.2% on a constant currency basis. The core analytics revenues grew 35.1% year-on-year on a constant currency basis. This analytics revenue achievement marks the seventh quarter in a row where revenues have grown over 35% year-over-year. The revenue growth was led by clients from our healthcare and banking financial services vertical. Sequentially, analytics revenues grew 16.1% on a constant currency basis. RPM this quarter contributed $11.6 million of revenues, and we now expect it to contribute $33 million for the year.

  • Our top 10 client concentration has improved from 58% of total revenues at the beginning of 2014 to 42.4% in Q3. And sequentially, our client concentration of top 10 clients improved by 150 basis points, indicating our success in expanding our revenue base.

  • Now, turning to margins. Our efforts to improve margins are being reflected in this quarter's results. Gross margins improved by 120 basis points year-over-year to 36.9%. Excluding the impact of transitioning clients and lower gross margin profile of acquired businesses, our margins improved by 388 basis points year-over-year. This was driven by an FX tailwind 130 basis points, improved utilization in Analytics & Business Transformation of 170 basis points and productivity improvements in our Operations Management of 80 basis points.

  • Analytics & Business Transformation gross margins improved by 770 basis points, driven by higher volumes and better utilization impact of about 680 basis points and an FX impact of 90 basis points. Sequentially, gross margin improved by 150 basis points due to an FX tailwind of 60 basis points and 90 basis points due to increased volumes and better utilization in Analytics & Business Transformation.

  • By segment, Operations Management gross margins increased by 30 basis points sequentially and Analytics & Business Transformation gross margins increased by 440 basis points driven by improved utilization.

  • SG&A expenses for the quarter was 19.3% of revenues, up 30 basis points year-over-year. Sales and marketing expenses was 7.8% of revenues, up 90 basis points on a year-over-year basis. This increase is due to higher employee-related expenses on account of investment in our front-end team. The increase in sales and marketing expense was partially offset by improved operating leverage through productivity and cost optimization measures in our G&A expenses. As a result, our G&A expenses decreased 60 basis points year-on-year basis to 11.5%. Sequentially, SG&A expenses were down 110 basis points.

  • Depreciation and amortization expense decreased 40 basis points year-on-year basis to 4.9% of revenues. Sequentially, depreciation and amortization expenses decreased by 30 basis points, owing to amortizations of intangibles related to acquisition. Adjusted operating margins improved by 270 basis points year-over-year to 17%. Driven by FX impact of 150 basis points, operating leverage of 90 basis points and gross margin impact, net of transitioning clients, of 30 basis points.

  • Sequentially, adjusted operating margins improved by 310 basis points driven by FX impact of 70 basis points, operating leverage of 150 basis points and 90 basis points due to significant improvement in our gross margin profile of Analytics & Business Transformation. Based on our strong performance this quarter, we now expect our full year adjusted operating margins to be between 14.6% to 15%.

  • Foreign exchange income for the quarter was $200,000. We expect foreign exchange gain of approximately $2.4 million to $2.6 million for the year 2015. Our tax rate for the third quarter was 33.3%. Sequentially, the effective tax rate increased by 190 basis points due to impact of certain discrete items. Excluding the impact of these discrete items, Q3 tax rate would have been 30.6%. We forecast our tax rate to be in the range of 30% to 31% in fourth quarter.

  • Adjusted EPS for the third quarter was $0.58, up $0.14 year-over-year, and $0.10 sequentially, driven by strong revenue growth and improved operating margins which we have discussed earlier. Adjusted EBITDA was $33.3 million for the quarter, with adjusted EBITDA margins of 20.4% and for the nine-months, the adjusted EBITDA was $85 million with a margin of 18.4%.

  • We continue to maintain our focus on collections and generating operating cash flow. Our DSO for the quarter was unchanged at 54 days.

  • Capital spend for the third quarter was $6.7 million, which was primarily spent on facilities, hardware, software and telecommunication equipment. Our capital spend in the first nine months was $21.1million and we expect the CapEx for the full year to be in the range $24 million to $26 million.

  • We continued to buyback shares in Q3 and bought back 221,000 shares in the quarter for $8.1 million. Through September, we have purchased [354,000 shares for $12.8 million] at an average purchase price of $36.2 million. Our balance sheet remains strong. At the quarter end, we had cash and short-term investments of approximately $184 million compared to $173 million as of June 2015. Our revolver balance remains constant at $70 million thereby giving us a net cash position of $114 million as of this quarter end.

  • Now, turning to our guidance. We're pleased to raise our revenue guidance for the year based on the INR65 to a dollar exchange rate to $623 million to $626 million from $610 million to $625 million despite a 0.5% FX headwind from previous guidance. EXL's guidance at the midpoint represents a strong annual revenue growth of approximately 19% including the impact of acquisitions.

  • Our full year adjusted operating margin estimate is 14.6% to 15% which represents a 50 basis point increase at the midpoint to our previous adjusted operating margin range. We are raising our adjusted EPS guidance to $1.95 to $2.01 from $1.88 to $1.98 increasing the midpoint by $0.05 due to higher revenue and higher margin, offset by investment in products and technology and people to drive growth in future years.

  • In conclusion, we had a strong revenue growth in both of our operating segments and delivered organic growth and a profitable quarter. We remain on track for a record year in revenues, cash flow and adjusted EPS. Our predictable recurring revenue stream combined with the revenue visibility from client ramp ups and new logo wins puts us on a track to achieve our goals in future quarters.

  • Now, Rohit and I would be happy to take your questions. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) Joseph Foresi, Cantor Fitzgerald.

  • Joseph Foresi - Analyst

  • I just had a couple of quick questions here. First on the 15% organic growth rate, I think that obviously excludes the disentanglement. Was there anything else there from the transition clients? I guess, where can that rate can go from here, and whether any one-times in the number? I'm just trying to get a better feel for what that number represents.

  • Vishal Chhibbar - EVP& CFO

  • So this quarter, we had organic growth rate of 15.4% and though you are right, there were some one-time benefits we had specially in our transformation and analytics business where Q3 seasonlly is the most strongest and we had higher project revenues in that. We also had a one-time license sale which contributed in our -- growth in our Operations Management. And based on that I think the Q4 we expect it'll be marginal to flattish quarter in terms of -- marginal decline to flattish quarter sequentially for Q4.

  • Joseph Foresi - Analyst

  • And then, my follow-up or my second question, just so I get an understanding of the margins. I thought you might have said that there was a 150 basis points from currency, but maybe you could just get the margin break down year-over-year and your expectations on what the margin increase will be currency versus productivity, going forward?

  • Vishal Chhibbar - EVP& CFO

  • So, our adjusted operating margins improved by 270 basis points year-over- year, and we're at 17%. This was driven by FX impact we had about 150 basis points. So the core growth was about 120 basis points excluding FX. Operating leverage of that was 90 basis points and gross margin impact net of transitioning clients was 30 basis points. Like I said, going forward, we do expect that for the full year, we will be between 14.6% to 15% of operating margin and we will continue to expand that into 2016.

  • Joseph Foresi - Analyst

  • With about half of that being productivity gains? Just to be clear.

  • Vishal Chhibbar - EVP& CFO

  • Yes.

  • Operator

  • Anil Doradla, William Blair.

  • Anil Doradla - Analyst

  • So, Rohit, first a big picture question. So clearly 2015 is turning out to be a breakout year, some good strategic investments, changes in business model. So going forward, when we look at 2016 and beyond without really giving any guidance per se, but what do you think is the new norm of EXLS' growth rate. Is this a low-teens growth rate company or a mid-teens growth rate company?

  • Rohit Kapoor - Vice Chairman & CEO

  • I think one of the most fundamental changes that are taking place in our business that's reflecting in the growth rate is in the previous quarters, a large part of our growth used to come by just one business segment, which was the analytics business growing at a very, very rapid pace. Now, what we're seeing is that the larger part of our business, which is Operations Management that has also kicked into high gear and is now demonstrated two quarters of growth rate, which has been in the double-digits. So frankly, we've got both our business segments Operations Management as well as Analytics & Transformation services both growing nicely, and I think that's what is extremely positive, we're looking at 2016.

  • The Operations Management business, again, we break it up into looking at our top 10 clients in Operations Management, looking at the next 20 clients, and then looking at new client acquisitions in Operations Management. We are actually extremely pleased that all three segments within Operations Management from this client breakout analysis is showing good strong growth. So, typically for us, our top 10 clients would have grown at a moderate level, but now we are seeing that our top 10 clients are actually growing at again a double-digit pace. We are seeing the next level growing even faster and then we are seeing the pace of acquiring new customers being very, very healthy and strong. So actually, we feel good about the momentum.

  • To address your question about the growth rates going forward, I think we've said that we would expect organic revenue growth rate on constant currency to be in the 10% to 12% range and we would expect that our Operations Management business would be slightly below that and our Analytics & Transformation business would be above that. And we have full confidence that that's something which is going to continue going forward.

  • Anil Doradla - Analyst

  • Great and coming to the analytics business, it was interesting that you pointed out that a proportion of your business is geared towards longer-term contracts. Can you give us some sense of the breakdown on what proportion of your analytics business is now geared towards long-term contracts and eventually as you look out at next two, three, four years, how do you think this will play out, would this be a 100% long-term business, or you think it's going to be broken out half-and-half and so forth?

  • Rohit Kapoor - Vice Chairman & CEO

  • Sure. So analytics for us is a very differentiated and a strong product offering that we've got as a service provider. We have two-thirds of our analytics business currently which is in an annuity format. So, we've got long-term contracts representing two-thirds of our business volume here in long-term annuity contracts.

  • We would expect on a go-forward basis that this trend would continue. We would continue to acquire new customers which might engage with us on a project basis or at shorter-term contracts. And as they see our capabilities and our service delivery and our ability to add value to the company and deliver strong business outcomes, we would expect them to convert from a project-based revenue format to an annuity-based revenue format. And we think that this is a very healthy mix to have the predominant part of our analytics business be on an annuity format and then a small part of it to be on a project-based format.

  • Anil Doradla - Analyst

  • Wonderful and final question is, you talked about a 400 bps margin expansion from primarily greater utilization on the analytics front. Have you extracted most of the kind of margin improvements on that business line or do you think you are halfway through, you've got some more to go or how should I be looking at continued improvements on that front?

  • Rohit Kapoor - Vice Chairman & CEO

  • So our viewpoint is that for analytics to play out at it's full profit potential, because of the fact that we deliver significantly higher business value and outcomes to our clients that this would be a business line that delivers over the long term higher margins than our corporate average. At present, we have been able to take up the margins on this business very, very meaningfully. Going forward, a large part of this is also going to be contingent upon the utilization rates, because that's a very, very significant component of the margins of this business.

  • There is a fair amount of investments that we are making in this business in terms of creating new products and we've just announced creating a product development and an innovation lab, just for analytics. So as we grow larger in size and scale and as our utilization rates improve, and as these investments that we're making get normalized over a much larger revenue base, we think there is opportunity to expand margins in the future.

  • Operator

  • Edward Caso, Wells Fargo.

  • Rick Eskelsen - Analyst

  • It's Rick Eskelsen on for Ed. I guess, just building up the last couple of questions on margins, wondering if you could talk about where you think your longer-term adjusted operating margins could get to. Do you think we can get back to the 16% plus levels that you've breached in the past?

  • Vishal Chhibbar - EVP& CFO

  • As I've been saying earlier that we will be able to improve our adjusted operating margins and for 2016, we expect that the margins will improve year-over-year, and I think we've accelerated some of that margin improvement into this year. So we expect that next year we should be able to improve adjusted operating margins by another 30 basis points to 50 basis points over and above where we'll end up this year. But over the long run, we should be in the mid teens in terms of -- higher to mid teens in the long run being our target for the adjusted operating margins.

  • Rick Eskelsen - Analyst

  • Then just a follow-up, just wondering if you could kind of help us with the seasonality now with RPM being added into the mix on the analytics and transformation side of things. What's the typical seasonality we should be looking for, particularly in the fourth quarter as you move forward for really both business lines, but the focus more on the analytics side?

  • Vishal Chhibbar - EVP& CFO

  • So, I think typically Q3 is our strongest quarter for our business transformation and analytics segment. And in Q4, we do expect that due to the impact of number of days, the working days and holidays, there will be lower impact -- lower volumes from our project business and also on RPM, which is volume driven business and we expect that the volumes will decline in the RPM business.

  • Overall, we do expect that the Operations Management business actually will grow sequentially from Q3 to Q4, analytics core business excluding our RPM business would also sequentially grow, but there will be a significant decline in our business transformation and consulting business, and some of the utilization and volumes in our LifePRO, in our OSI and RPM business will go down.

  • Operator

  • Dave Koning, Baird.

  • Dave Koning - Analyst

  • I just have a few here. So usually EPS is up sequentially in Q4, I think we were back several years and this year too you had a little higher tax rate in Q3 than you expect in Q4. So it just seems like if we look at any sort of normal trend, you'd have a really nice progression to Q4, but it looks like you're guiding it down just a bit. Maybe you can talk through that thought process?

  • Vishal Chhibbar - EVP& CFO

  • Yes, I think, one other thing which will happen in Q4 is that we're also making some investments in Q4 to drive growth into the next year. So we are making investments in robotics and software tools. We're making some investments on employee engagements and we're also making investments in sales and marketing. So I think if you factor that in, combined with the fact that the adjusted operating margins will decline sequentially due to the seasonal factor that I outlined earlier, we do expect that the -- as you're rightly pointing out, typically, we have had EPS growth in Q4. But this year, I think the Q4 would be slightly down in terms of adjusted EPS.

  • Dave Koning - Analyst

  • And then I guess secondly the RPM business has been doing really well. What's kind of the organic growth rate just of RPM by itself and the reason I ask is, I know you're going to anniversary that I think in maybe four months or something like that. And so all of a sudden it will be part of your total analytics organic growth, but is it pretty similar to that 30% growth that you guys get organically too?

  • Rohit Kapoor - Vice Chairman & CEO

  • Our RPM business, the organic growth rate currently is not at the same level as the analytics services business. It's a moderate growth rate business for us. However, keep in mind that we've just been six months or seven months into this acquisition, and some of the revenue synergies that we have anticipated in terms of doing this acquisition have still not fully kicked in.

  • So we would expect a much better growth rate, given the fact that we can cross sell these services to our existing insurance clients and as we expand these services out of PMC and move into life insurance and into healthcare and as we expand geographically out of the US and take it global, we will get a much better growth rate associated with this business.

  • So frankly, we are pleased with how the RPM business is currently performing and it's performing inline with the original business case at the time we did the acquisition. But we anticipate that there is further opportunity for us to accelerate the growth rate here.

  • Dave Koning - Analyst

  • And then just two quick ones, what was Overland revenue during Q3. And then if tax rate for next year pretty similar to that, kind of 30%, 31% normalized rate.

  • Vishal Chhibbar - EVP& CFO

  • Yes. I think the tax rate would be between the 30% to 31% range for 2016. I think that it was something that I've highlighted earlier also. And Overland contributed about $17 million this quarter.

  • Operator

  • Frank Atkins, SunTrust.

  • Frank Atkins - Analyst

  • Wanted to ask a little bit of retention initiatives and the hiring environment on the analytics side specifically, what are you seeing out there?

  • Rohit Kapoor - Vice Chairman & CEO

  • Yes, I think for us on the analytics side, number one, we are very, very pleased with some of the branding and the employee -- our ability to attract the right set of employees from the premier engineering colleges and the management colleges in India. And so we've got a great employee brand reputation of that, that seems to be working nicely. From a retention standpoint, I think this is one area, which is obviously growing very, very rapidly and therefore there is attrition associated with this business.

  • Our attrition rates tend to be a little lower than the industry and we are making conscious investments in a number of different areas to try and make sure that our retention rates remain above industry average. So we are investing in a number of employee engagement activities, there is a very clear career passing that we've established for folks in this business, which is a strong career growth given the strong growth rate of our analytics business. There is new investments that we've made in the infrastructure and the physical infrastructure associated with this business as well as I think the investments that we are making to engage everybody in idea generation and innovation that makes us a really, really attractive place for folks in analytics to be part of. So we think we would be able to manage this a lot better than competition.

  • Frank Atkins - Analyst

  • We've seen some mixed results in the insurance vertical at some peers. I wanted to ask any areas of strengths or weaknesses within that vertical that you've seen?

  • Rohit Kapoor - Vice Chairman & CEO

  • Insurance for us now has become a fairly significant and meaningful vertical by absolute dollar size and scale. We are seeing that that business for us is growing quite nicely. However, there have been some transitioning clients which everybody is fully aware off. One of the new trends that we're seeing in the insurance space, which we're really pleased about, is the expansion of our client relationships with the European carriers and that's giving us an opportunity to expand our business in that segment across geographies, and I think that's a very, very attractive opportunity set for us.

  • Frank Atkins - Analyst

  • And last one from me, could you just give us an update on delivery mix and do you see any changes in that going forward as you look at the portfolio of delivery service.

  • Vishal Chhibbar - EVP& CFO

  • I think currently our major locations for delivery have been India, Philippines, Europe and US. And with the acquisitions, which we have done in the past, last with the Overland acquisition and the RPM acquisition, our delivery from US has significantly increased and as a consequences, I think the delivery percentage from India is now at about 70% compared to maybe 18 months ago or two years ago at which was about 85%. And so US has significantly increased to about -- how much is that the third number? About 28%, 29% -- 22%.

  • Operator

  • S.K. Prasad Borra, Goldman Sachs.

  • S.K. Prasad Borra - Analyst

  • Couple, if I may. First probably on Operations Management, you talked about some one-time benefits from license growth. Can you elaborate on that? Are you seeing some more momentum on license growth given the new products you're coming out with?

  • Rohit Kapoor - Vice Chairman & CEO

  • Sure. What we've done, S.K., is that we've actually invested in upgrading our technology platforms significantly. And so for example, we introduced a new version of LifePRO 17 that got rolled out and we are preparing to work on LifePRO version number 18. Similarly, we have upgraded our technology platform and CareRadius, which is CareRadius 3.0.

  • And what we are doing is we're embedding analytics and data visualization as a key new attribute in these technology platforms. And I think the addition of these elements is resonating quite nicely in the marketplace and so we're seeing growth takes place here. While we continue to make the shift towards BPaaS using these technology platforms, the standalone license sales continue to take place. And those are going to be lumpy and they are going to be, I guess, they'll fall when they fall and we did have a good quarter in Q3 from those licenses.

  • S.K. Prasad Borra - Analyst

  • And in terms of the focus you have on the verticals obviously insurance seem to be doing much better than others, but you also talked about healthcare quite a lot over the last few quarters. What's been the momentum in healthcare and both from our organic investment perspective and also acquisitions, what's your latest thinking on that?

  • Rohit Kapoor - Vice Chairman & CEO

  • Sure. I think we continue to think that healthcare is a very, very attractive opportunity, I think our business in healthcare continues to grow very, very strongly, and the growth rate of our healthcare business is much higher than the corporate average and it's one of our fastest growing industry verticals.

  • The part that we are pleased about in healthcare is that we've broadened out our growth across multiple clients and multiple different types of processes and capabilities. So that's been very encouraging. There's also been a tremendous amount of traction that is built up around analytics and healthcare. And again some of the work that we are doing around payment integrity and claims overpayment, these are very, very large and rich opportunity sets for us and I think that's progressing very nicely.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) David Grossman, Stifel.

  • David Grossman - Analyst

  • So Rohit, you mentioned the optimization of pricing both in your comments about the Operations Management business as well as the analytics business. Can you help us better understand what you mean by that and how sustainable these pricing actions are as we go into next year?

  • Rohit Kapoor - Vice Chairman & CEO

  • Sure, David. I think, one of the things, which we have seen is that there has been a movement away from an FTE-based pricing model towards transaction based pricing and outcome-based pricing model. And it's really as we move towards these different types of engagement models, our ability to understand the appropriateness of pricing and being able to price at the right price points that becomes a critical judgment factor. And as we experience more off these clients, our ability to hone in our skills associated with that becomes a lot better.

  • The other thing is, when we go in for pricing, which is on an outcome-based pricing model, it does take us -- it takes us some time to be able to get to the right levels of productivity and get to the right levels of profitability associated with these contracts. And we've been able to do that. So, frankly, we think the changes that we've made out here, these are sustainable changes and these would carry forward as we go into 2016.

  • David Grossman - Analyst

  • So, is there any way you can disaggregate the unit growth versus pricing growth that you're seeing in the two segments?

  • Rohit Kapoor - Vice Chairman & CEO

  • It's very difficult for us to do that because the price realization increase that takes place on transaction-based or outcome-based, it's all [pooled] together in terms of the revenue and it's very difficult to break it out between volume and price.

  • David Grossman - Analyst

  • And then just secondly, just the backlog, can you give us any sense on the Operations Management side? What the backlog looks like at the end of September versus where it looked like at the end of September, last year.

  • Rohit Kapoor - Vice Chairman & CEO

  • So I think the backlog for us is good and strong and let me just try and help you a bit out here. There were a number of new strategic clients that we've signed up last year and the growth that you're seeing in the Operations Management business this year, particularly in Q2 and Q3 of 2015, is a reflection of us on-boarding those new clients that we signed up in 2014, and that revenue is coming through right now.

  • Now, in addition to that, we are very pleased with the new clients that we've signed up in 2015. And these are likely to contribute revenue growth for us in 2016. Now as you know the steepest ramp in revenue growth from new clients really takes place in year two and year three. So, frankly where we are today from a backlog perspective is a very, very good position where we've got new clients of the vintage of 2014, that are going to scale up in 2016 and 2017. And then we've also got, the new clients from the vintage of 2015 being added to that portfolio.

  • So we feel very good about where we are -- (call ends abruptly).