Evercore Inc (EVR) 2012 Q3 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Evercore Partners Third Quarter 2012 Financial Results conference call. During today's presentation, all parties will be in a listen-only mode. Following the presentation, the conference call will be opened for questions. (Operator Instructions).

  • This conference is being recorded today, Thursday, October 25, 2012.

  • I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Evercore Partners Chief Financial Officer, Robert Walsh. Please go ahead, sir.

  • Robert Walsh - Chief Financial Officer

  • Good morning. And thank you for joining us today for Evercore's Third Quarter 2012 Financial Results Conference Call. I'm Bob Walsh, Evercore's Chief Financial Officer. And joining me on the call today are Ralph Schlosstein, President & Chief Executive Officer and Roger Altman, our Chairman. After our prepared remarks, we will open the call for questions.

  • Earlier this morning we issued a press release announcing Evercore's third quarter financial results. The company's presentation today is complementary to that press release which is available on our website at www.evercore.com . This conference call is being webcast live on the investor relations section of the website and an archive of it will be available beginning approximately one hour after the conclusion of this call for thirty days.

  • I want to point out that, during the course of this conference call, we may make a number of forward-looking statements. Those statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties and there are important factors that could cause actual outcomes to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. These factors include but are not limited to those discussed in Evercore's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission including our annual report on Form 10K, quarterly reports on Form 10Q and current reports on Form 8K. I want to remind you that the company assumes no duty to update any forward-looking statements.

  • In our presentation today, unless otherwise indicated, we will be discussing adjusted pro forma or non-GAAP financial measures which we believe are meaningful when evaluating the Company's performance. For detailed disclosures on these measures and their GAAP reconciliations, you should refer to the financial data contained within our press release which, as previously mentioned, is posted on our website.

  • We will refrain from repeating the information included in the press release and focus instead on the key opportunities, challenges and changes in our business.

  • We continue to believe that it is important to evaluate Evercore's performance on an annual basis. As we've noted previously, our results for any particular quarter are influenced by the timing of transaction closings, both on the advisory and investment management sides of our business.

  • I'll now turn the call over to Ralph.

  • Ralph Schlosstein - CEO

  • Thanks very much, Bob, and welcome everybody.

  • The third quarter was a good quarter for Evercore in what was a challenging environment for our industry. In terms of revenue, this was the third best quarter in the history of the firm, exceeded only by the third quarter last year and the second of this year.

  • Our investment banking business generated $128 million in revenue during the quarter and has generated $364 million year-to-date, 10% higher than 2011 and a record for the first nine months. This growth occurred despite substantial declines in the volume of announced and closed transactions year-to-date which were down 15-25% depending on whether you looked at announced or closed deals, and depending on whether you look at just the US or globally. Quite frankly, we are taking market share in the advisory business.

  • Our investment management business generated $21 million of revenues during the quarter, an increase of 1% in comparison to the second quarter this year. We reduced our non-compensation costs by 7% versus the prior quarter, producing an operating margin for the third quarter of 20%.

  • We continue to add high quality talent. Four new senior managing directors joined in the quarter creating a consumer and retail advisory practice, strengthening our restructuring and debt advisory practice, and establishing our presence on Toronto, Canada. We added a research and sales team to cover REITs in our equities business and we continue to add talented portfolio managers to our wealth management business where AUM have grown to $3.8 billion.

  • We repurchased an additional 1 million shares of stock in the quarter at an average price a little above $24 a share bringing our total share repurchases for the year to 2.6 million shares. As a result, our share count at the end of the third quarter is, essentially, unchanged from one year ago.

  • Our Board has authorized the repurchase of an additional 5 million shares which we expect to execute over the next couple of years. We also increased our quarterly dividend to $0.22 a share effective in the fourth quarter.

  • Let me quickly go over the numbers.

  • First the third quarter. Third quarter net revenues of $149 million were down 13% in comparison to the prior quarter and down 8% year-over-year. However, it is important to note that the second quarter of this year was the highest quarter in the firm's history and the third quarter last year was the second highest. So this is the third best quarter in terms of revenue in the firm's history.

  • Net income was $17 million for the quarter with earnings per share of $0.40 a share. These results were down 18% from the second quarter and 13% from the same period last year. The non-compensation ratio was 20% for the quarter.

  • With respect to year-to-date financial performance, our year-to-date net revenues were $427 million, up 4% in comparison to last year. Year-to-date net income was $43 million with earnings per share of $0.98, down 13% versus last year, reflecting the higher level of operating costs in 2012 following our acquisition of Lexicon Partners in August of last year, investment in the growth of our business in the US and Europe, and weaker earnings in our investment management business. As we said in the second quarter earnings call, our year-to-date margins are still being dragged down although, to an ever-shrinking degree, by our weak first quarter.

  • Let me now turn the call over to Roger who, I will point out, is on remotely because he's on his way to visit a client and, hopefully, the technology will work and Roger will talk about the performance of our advisory business and the M&A environment more broadly. Roger?

  • Roger Altman - Chairman

  • Good morning, everyone. I'll try to make a few remarks which compliment what Ralph said rather than repeat it. You see that the firm had, by historical standards a very strong third quarter on the revenue side and a record nine months in terms of banking revenue. And to be up 10% as we are in nine months' revenue in the overall transaction environment that we see today, we're really quite proud of that. This is an environment in which announced M&A volume on a global basis in dollars was down 15% over nine months. And completed volume which, of course, is the basis on which everyone is paid, fell 27% on a global basis for the nine months. So for Evercore to be up 10% and have record nine months revenues, we think, is pretty good.

  • We had 147 fee-paying clients during this past third quarter. That's a record; 7% higher than the second quarter. So far this year we have about 250 fee-paying clients. Also a record. It's up 30% over the nine-month 2011 comparison. We had 30 fees that were greater than $1 million. We've never had a higher result than that.

  • Competitively, the firm is very strong. Through October 15th, we are eighth among all firms, not independent firms but all firms, on announced transactions in the US market. That's almost exactly where we've been for the past three years and we are 13th globally. Now to be more precise on this, we're not only the highest ranked of the independent firms in the US market, but we've done about 50% more business than the next most active independent firm in the United States which is Lazard. That's all out there in terms of (inaudible) financials published data in terms of elite tables. And I mind say, if you don't mind me doing this as the founder, that's pretty good for a 17-year old firm.

  • We've again done the largest M&A transaction in the US this year, T-Mobile-MetroPCS. And we've done three of the five largest transactions in the US market this year. I think you know, those of you who follow us, that Evercore has historically had a particular strength in the large transactions. We've had that for many years and you can see that it's continuing in 2012.

  • As Ralph said, we're continuing to add talented partners as we have steadily done for many years and we will continue to do. Brett Picket and Lowell Strug joined the firm during the quarter from JP Morgan after their garden leave to co-head our consumer and retail group. Steve Goldstein joined the firm after his garden leave, from Lazard to join our restructuring group. And George Estey joined them after his garden leave, from Greenhill, to run Canada for us and open our Toronto office. And as I said, we will continue, as we have so steadily for so long, to hire selectively but steadily with a relentless focus on the quality.

  • We now have 60 senior managers and directors in Global Advisory and the total investment banking headcount is just under 600. Productivity per Senior Managing Director was slightly down versus a year ago on a rolling 12-month basis but I suspect we'll end the year about the same. We'll see.

  • On the environment, you all know that the M&A environment has not been as strong as most people, including us, had expected when this year began. I told you the figures in terms of the decline year-over-year in global volume and US volume, and those declines are meaningful. My own view is that the missing piece of the puzzle is simply the strengths, or in this case, the weakness, of economic activity in the United States and Europe.

  • We're about to see the third quarter GDP number, I believe it's tomorrow, but so far this year, United States has only grown 1.7%. That's very weak. More than three years from the bottom of the great recession and we all know that Europe is actually declining in most countries. And I think this economic activity would, for so many companies, translate into a weak topline and we're seeing that now in terms of some of the third quarter earnings results that have been put out during the past two or three days. That causes certain hesitation, naturally and historically, at senior management levels.

  • Now I see it as a two-edged sword because it makes the environment challenging now but there's quite a positive runway ahead and by that I'm referring to the medium-term which I would say is the next couple of years. No one knows for sure but it's likely that the growth rate in the US will pick up and it's likely, looking out again over this medium-term that Europe will begin some recovery. I might add, finally, that our backlog is very solid and we feel good about that.

  • So by the measures that are important to us, Evercore has a lot of momentum. You can see, as Ralph said, that we're taking market share because you just couldn't grow the topline, in our case by 10% over nine months, in an environment which is down unless you were taking market share. We're adding high quality people. The firm is stronger than ever in terms of its position in the market place, elite standings and so forth, and I think the outlook is quite good. But we do need the environment to be at least steady and I'm hoping that it will be. So with that I'm going to turn it back to Ralph.

  • Ralph Schlosstein - CEO

  • Okay, let me talk briefly about our institutional equities business. It continues to add clients and to take market share. We now have research coverage of 249 companies and have generated revenues for more than 290 clients. The business recently added coverage of the REITs sector with a total of six new hires in sales, sales training and research. And we do not expect any headcount growth in this business through next year.

  • Third quarter revenue of $5.2 million was down 23% from last quarter as we participated in fewer underwriting deals this quarter. Secondary revenues were in line with the previous quarter despite the 12% decrease in volume in the overall market. So we're taking share in this business as well. Expenses were $6.9 million, up slightly from last quarter due to the addition of the REIT team.

  • In investment management, operating income for the investment management business was $2 million for the quarter on net revenues of $21 million. The operating margin was 9%. Assets under management decreased 2% to $11.6 billion as we continued to experience outflows in our institutional asset management business. However, performance has improved as the year has progressed which, as I have said previously, generally is a leading indicator for stabilization of outflows and, ultimately, a return to inflows.

  • Our wealth management and our trust company businesses continue to perform well with assets under management in Wealth Management increasing by 6% during the quarter to $3.8 billion.

  • Finally, our unconsolidated affiliated managers contributed positively this quarter delivering $600,000 of net profit and ABS investment management was the majority of that.

  • Bob, you want to make a couple of comments on the finances?

  • Robert Walsh - Chief Financial Officer

  • Certainly, just two short comments from me. As Ralph mentioned, our non-compensation costs were down 7% sequentially across a number of areas -- facilities travel, information services. Professional services increased as we had expected reflecting the addition of SMDs this quarter. We, of course, remain very focused on non-compensation costs, both reducing it as a percentage of our revenues and also as a measure of the cost per each professional in the firm while we made good progress this quarter.

  • Our tax rate remains at 38% based on our full-year expectations of the mix of our results, in particular income sourced from outside of the United States and the contribution to earnings from our early stage businesses.

  • And finally, our financial position remains very strong with $205 million of cash and marketable securities on the balance sheet at the end of the quarter.

  • Ralph Schlosstein - CEO

  • This is Ralph again. Let me just make a couple of comments in conclusion. First, while our revenues are up 10% in investment banking year-to-date and, as Roger said, we're proud of that result, we expect our full-year's revenues will exceed last year's by a higher percentage. This is basic math. As the fourth quarter last year was a relatively weak quarter which should be easily exceeded this year assuming that our current backlog is realized as expected. In light of this we expect our full-year operating margins for 2012 to be closer to our full-year operating margins of 2011 than they were for the first three quarters. And the first of the margins last year, to remind everyone, were 20%. As we continue -- and this occurs as we continue to mitigate the influence of our weak first quarter on our year-to-date margins. This is also basic math that results from the fact that our weakest quarter this year will almost certainly be the first quarter and the fourth quarter last year was also relatively weak and offers an easier comparison.

  • Second, our advisory business is considerably more diversified than it has been, historically. Year-to-date advisory revenues are up 10% as we discussed. But the number of clients served year-to-date is up approximately 30% to 247. The sad news about this is that we have not booked a single advisory fee larger than $20 million this year and we do not expect to book any in the fourth quarter. So this will be the first year in the last four that we have had no fees in excess of $20 million. The very good news is that our advisory business will generate strong double-digit revenue growth this year without the benefit of a single fee over $20 million.

  • Third, as we look ahead into 2013, we believe that there is a reasonable probability that we will have additional opportunities to add to our team of highly talented senior managing directors, both from recruiting talent externally and from internal promotions. These additions fuel future growth and value creation in the firm and we are organizing ourselves this fall to take advantage of this opportunity should it materialize.

  • Finally, given the prospective opportunities to grow our advisory business, we are focusing our excess cash flow on repurchasing shares and on growing our advisory team and are, at the current time, limiting acquisition activity in the investment management business to small tuck-in acquisitions in our wealth management business.

  • Our share repurchase activity last quarter and the increase in our dividends reflect this strategy. In fact, in the last 12 months, we have returned $104 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, well in excess of our reported net income over that period. And the Board's authorization to repurchase an additional 5 million shares assures the continuation of this approach.

  • That completes our introductory comments. We are now glad to take. Yes?

  • Roger Altman - Chairman

  • Ralph -- let me just add one sentence. The reason there are -- we don't have any fees in excess of $20 million is really simple. What's missing in the market as a whole are, as you all know, the giant deals. If you really focus on the difference between this market and, say, two years ago, the big corporate-to-corporate deals are missing and so the reason we don't have outsized fees is because the deals on which they're paid aren't in the market. I just want to clarify that.

  • Ralph Schlosstein - CEO

  • Yes. Thank you, Roger. Any questions?

  • Operator

  • Thank you, sir. We will now begin the question and answer session. (Operator Instructions).

  • Ralph Schlosstein - CEO

  • I thought it was a plain vanilla quarter. I guess I was right. Any questions at all?

  • Operator

  • Our first question comes from Devin Ryan of Sandler O'Neill. Please go ahead.

  • Devin Ryan - Analyst

  • How are you doing?

  • Ralph Schlosstein - CEO

  • Hi Devin, how are you?

  • Devin Ryan - Analyst

  • Pretty well. Pretty well. So your market share of the advisory people which I think is what is really the relevant metric to look at, more so than lead tables -- rather than growing at a fast past and it's faster than any public company that I've tracked over the past five years. So I'd just love to get your thoughts around that. Clearly, you can bounce around a bit. It's a good trend to have but is that being driven, in your view, by just adding more productive MDs over, maybe, what you had previously or is it just more of a general industry trend towards firms like Evercore that are more independent?

  • Ralph Schlosstein - CEO

  • Well, I would say it's both. Number one, the independent firms as a whole continue to gain market share at the expense of the universal banks and bank holding companies. That's evidenced in the data. By the way, the good news about that is that we have roughly 20% of the market and the big guys have 80% and so there's a lot more that can move from one side to the other side looking in the future. But that's number one.

  • And number two, and you'll forgive me for a little overweening pride, maybe, I think Evercore is doing everything right. You know we're by far the largest of the newer independent firms. I mean, fundamentally we compare ourselves these days to Lazard and Rothschild and you can see we're doing a lot more business right now in the US than Lazard. Those firms are a lot older than we are, like, by more than 100 years and they're stronger globally than we are and much larger globally. And our goal is to, ultimately, surpass them.

  • But I think we're blessed with an unblemished history. A pristine history. No baggage. And the strongest recruiting platform of any of the independent firms including those two I just mentioned. And if you look at where we recruited people from, you can see that. I mentioned where the four partners who came to the firm this quarter arrived from. So I think Evercore has the single strongest hand on recruiting. There continues to be a brain-drain from the giant institutions to independent firms. And we're the particular beneficiary, more than any other firm, of that, both because we take recruiting a little more seriously than most in terms of the way we approach it and because we have the strongest comparative advantage in terms of where people want to go.

  • Devin Ryan - Analyst

  • Okay great. And then just maybe following up on that comment on the hiring and adding talent, as you think about senior-level hiring, you're clearly spending some earnings today to grow the earnings pool, down the road. And it seems that you're doing it with a balance as to not hurt margins as you spoke about margins being roughly similar to last year given the outlook currently. But as you think about hiring next year, I know you're still optimistic about the potential to add some really good people. So can you just talk a little bit about that balance and the balance between building for the long-term versus driving acceptable near-term results for shareholders?

  • Ralph Schlosstein - CEO

  • Sure. Let me take this.

  • Roger Altman - Chairman

  • Ralph will want to comment on this. I just want to say one thing at the beginning and then I'll hand it over to him.

  • We have a lot of blocking and tackling to do over the next two, three or four years in terms of A, globalizing our verticals, many of which are global but many of which really are US-centric. And so we've, for example, put transportation capability in London. We've put a restructuring capability in London. We're putting a healthcare capability in London and so that's one. In addition there are some verticals at Evercore which are either really not filled out at all or which need to be further built out. And so we have lots of very basic growth ahead of us for the next three or four years, really meat and potatoes-type growth. And that makes our recruiting agenda relatively clear to us and relatively simple and I'll hand it over to Ralph, having said that.

  • Ralph Schlosstein - CEO

  • Yes, I think that, Devin, you hit on the challenge perfectly and what we aspire to do is to, first of all let me lay out the target. We believe that this business, when the investments are fully made, should operate at 25% plus operating margins. And obviously, we're a little bit away from that right now, and the reason that we're away from that is the investments we're making. We still have a little bit of a drag from the new businesses that we've started over the last couple of years, but the lion's share of that drag this year is from new additions to our team.

  • And it is something that we watch very carefully. Our strong preference, assuming that the environment stays as good as it is now, which is not a great environment as we indicated, but assuming it stays as good as it is now, our strong preference is to make steady progress for that 25%. If we hire too many people, no matter how good they are, in the year that we do that we will not -- we will probably slide backwards. So this year we made a very conscious decision, even though we had opportunities to hire more, to hire six. And I think that is the approach -- that balanced approach -- that we will continue to take.

  • The good news is that, as the pool of senior managing directors gets larger, the same number of people is a little bit, not a lot, a little bit less dilutive of the margins. So you shouldn't expect us to do a one-year massive wholesale hiring that would take us backwards significantly or, hopefully, at all with respect to the margins that we're reporting today, even though that could very well be a high value-creating decision for three years out.

  • Devin Ryan - Analyst

  • Got it. Thanks for the call. I appreciate it.

  • Ralph Schlosstein - CEO

  • Any other questions?

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Brennan Hawken of UBS. Please go ahead.

  • Brennan Hawken - Analyst

  • Hi. Thanks for taking the question. Good morning, guys. A quick one following up on some of those comments and questions. It seems as though there's been more announcement recently of bankers moving between boutiques as opposed to the move from bulge to the boutiques so, I guess, what I was curious about from your perspective, are you seeing some trends that maybe might cause us to rethink the narrative of the boutiques continuing to capitalize on weakness in the bulge shops or is it just a little bit of noise that just happens to, kind of, work its way through?

  • Roger Altman - Chairman

  • I think it's the latter. I think it's the latter. But that's not a meaningful trend. The meaningful trend is the out-migration of talent from the universal banks and bank holding companies to independent firms. I think Evercore, as I said, is the outlier in terms of benefitting from that but I don't think there's a big trend of boutique-switching. And, by the way, we don't look upon ourselves as boutique because, with 70 partners and 900 and something people, wherever the line is between boutique and the next level up is, we crossed that three or four years ago.

  • Brennan Hawken - Analyst

  • No, yes it's just an easier term than saying independent financial advisor. That's a mouthful.

  • Roger Altman - Chairman

  • I don't think it's a meaningful trend. It's (inaudible) between independent firms.

  • Brennan Hawken - Analyst

  • Fair enough. Fair enough.

  • Ralph Schlosstein - CEO

  • I think that phrase just rolls off every tongue, myself.

  • Brennan Hawken - Analyst

  • I'll try and stick to your preferred term, guys. And then a quick one on M&A while we're there. What do you think the outlook for advisory -- how do things change if Europe switches from what we've seen -- kind of a mild recession into something that's more severe. Do you think that that is going to potentially crimp activity levels?

  • Ralph Schlosstein - CEO

  • Well, first of all I don't think that's going to happen in Europe. I think they're probably at the low point right now or around it. Second of all, Evercore is globalizing itself relentlessly but we only started to do that a little over six years ago when we went public. So we have a long way to go on that and you can see that our business is roughly 70/30 in terms of US versus International in terms of the source of the deal. And that number keeps going up on the 30% side but it's still weighted towards the US.

  • I mean, the big question is, will business be better next year? I personally think it will be but I wouldn't say that, just from my two cents, I think it will be but I wouldn't bet my kids on it. That's the big question.

  • Brennan Hawken - Analyst

  • Fair enough. And then last one from me. Knowing what you know now about how just rough this environment is and obviously cash volumes and such are impossible to predict, but would you do anything different as far as the institutional equity business if you had perfect vision into how this is going to play out or are you guys -- is it all just unchanged based upon the prospects and how this is all played out?

  • Ralph Schlosstein - CEO

  • Obviously the environment in the institutional equities business has been, over the last two years, more challenging with volumes down, underwriting's down, than we anticipated when we answered the business and, certainly it's been more challenging than anyone who was in the business as well.

  • Having said that, we continue to make good progress and I would remind everyone that the way we entered this business was in a very, very financially careful way. The business is part-owned by the professionals in the business. They are sacrificing some amount of current compensation to get the benefit of that entrepreneurial opportunity. They bought those shares by the way. They weren't granted, those shares. So the team has real skin in the game and that ensures that we're running a business that will attain reasonable profitability. I think the -- just as we are an advisory, we continue to take share in that business although, obviously our share starts adding miniscule level compared to our advisory business.

  • So, as I said, secondary revenues were flat second quarter to third quarter versus an industry that was down 12% and the encouraging thing is that, in the first few days of this quarter, which would be, I guess, probably 17, 18 days at this point in time, our daily average revenues are running about 30% ahead of the second quarter. So as activity has picked up in the market as a whole a little bit, our activity has picked up quite a bit. So there are encouraging signs there. Obviously the headwinds have been greater than we anticipated but we still expect that this will be a valuable addition to our ability to serve our clients which is most important, and a valuable asset for our shareholders.

  • Brennan Hawken - Analyst

  • I appreciate the color.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. Our next question comes from Joel Jeffrey from KWB. Please go ahead.

  • Joel Jeffrey - Analyst

  • Or KBW. One way or the other. Just as a follow up to that. Ralph, correct me if I'm wrong, did you say that the additional cost in the institutional equities business were up this quarter due to the additions in the REIT team?

  • Ralph Schlosstein - CEO

  • Predominantly yes.

  • Joel Jeffrey - Analyst

  • And is that going to be -- is this a one-time issue or is that, sort of, in the near-continuing expense base?

  • Ralph Schlosstein - CEO

  • Well, and Bob, maybe you want to add color to this but what does happen, is when you add people in the middle or the end of the year, that tends to squeeze their comp into whatever remains of the year. So I think it probably has a little bit of both and, you correct me if I'm wrong, Bob, the team costs will also show up in the fourth quarter but then, when you get to the first quarter of next year, you'll have a similar phenomenon that we had the last year where you actually will see a little bit of a decline.

  • Robert Walsh - Chief Financial Officer

  • Yes, Joel, the team arrived late in the third quarter so we're seeing some cost for them. Obviously will the full quarter next year and the phenomenon Ralph described, we'll see more. The team is, hopefully, following on the path of transport where having to write sales training and research, complementing banking capabilities is a good combination for us on the topline.

  • Joel Jeffrey - Analyst

  • Okay great. And then, Bob, maybe this is an appropriate question for you. I think you guys had made some comments about focusing on non-comp expense. How do you guys look at it? Is it a function of revenue as a percentage or is it more on a per head basis?

  • Robert Walsh - Chief Financial Officer

  • We look at both, Joel. Each are important with revenue fluctuating. Obviously, sometimes the statistic might look better or worse in a quarter but, over time, it should be below 20% and the cost per head should go down as we gain scale.

  • Ralph Schlosstein - CEO

  • But the math of it is that the cost per head is what drives the number and the ratio is driven by the topline.

  • Robert Walsh - Chief Financial Officer

  • Right.

  • Ralph Schlosstein - CEO

  • Predominantly.

  • Joel Jeffrey - Analyst

  • Great. Thanks for taking my questions.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. Our next question comes from Hugh Miller from Sidoti. Please proceed.

  • Hugh Miller - Analyst

  • Good morning.

  • Ralph Schlosstein - CEO

  • Good morning.

  • Hugh Miller - Analyst

  • I appreciate you taking my questions. I guess, just in talking about some of the other recruiting possibilities for you guys, I realize it's a very difficult environment, but can you just give a sense of the productivity you're seeing in the ramp-up on the people that you have brought in the last two years and whether or not, given the market conditions, if they're improving? I know you have your long-term targets, $10 million per advisor but we're obviously in a very difficult environment right now. But can you just talk about the progress you're seeing in the air and productivity from the recent hires?

  • Ralph Schlosstein - CEO

  • Be glad to. Let me say, first of all, we've done a lot of work on this going back to 2007 and looked at each class of partners that we hired. And while, obviously, there are exceptions and this is a generalization, but the typical meter of things, if you take all of those hires, is first year it's pretty hard to generate revenue because, on average, they join in July or August and it's hard to get an assignment and get paid in the remaining four or five months of the year.

  • The first full year, they generally are in the four to seven range on average which is enough to cover their costs and the costs of the team that we add to support them. And generally, in the second full year, they're generating revenues comparable to those who have been here for a long time.

  • Interestingly enough, the team that we hired, seven partners last year, and their production is better than that. It's much more reflective of the average productivity for the firm as a whole, so the more recent hires have actually contributed at a more accelerated pace than we would have observed over the last -- the previous five classes. But is that a trend? I think it's much too early to say.

  • Hugh Miller - Analyst

  • Yes, and are you seeing any differential between internal promotions versus external recruiting in that?

  • Ralph Schlosstein - CEO

  • I think it's probably too early to tell. The internal promotions tend to be a little younger than the people we hire externally so there's also a bit of a, typically, it's a bit of ramp-up period for them as well.

  • Hugh Miller - Analyst

  • Okay. And then just another question about you gave us some color and some commentary on the near-term and the medium-term outlook for the European region for industry activity. Can you just talk about how you view your franchise there and whether or not, given that scenario, is restructuring or staffing levels something that you think about or is it a function of just being less active on the recruiting side there until you have greater confidence in, kind of, the trends?

  • Roger Altman - Chairman

  • First of all, we're expanding our capabilities in Europe, Latin and not cutting them back. That's number one. Now remember, Evercore is a London-centered firm. We don't have offices in the continent. We're not planning on having offices, in the real sense of that, on the continent. And so we're being careful in that regard. But we're doing more business not less business from London and we think the outlook, again, over the medium-term, I don't know about the next three or four months, is good. And, as I said before, we're very steadily globalizing a whole series of our vertical by putting industry capabilities and I mentioned healthcare, transportation and restructuring, in London as we go forward. So are we cutting back in Europe? The answer is no.

  • Hugh Miller - Analyst

  • Okay. Alright. I appreciate the insight there. That's very helpful. And the last question I had was just with regard to a little bit of housekeeping here and I apologize I hopped on late if you guys did talk about this but it appears, within the asset management segment, revenue was relatively stable, quarter-over-quarter. We had, I think, somewhat of a little bloated comp ratio in the second quarter but it came down meaningfully, here in the third quarter. I just wanted to get a sense if there was anything, kind of, unusual in the third quarter for the asset management segment's comp ratio?

  • Ralph Schlosstein - CEO

  • No. Not really.

  • Hugh Miller - Analyst

  • Okay. Thanks a lot.

  • Operator

  • There appear to be no questions at this time. I would now like to turn the floor to Ralph Schlosstein for any closing comments.

  • Ralph Schlosstein - CEO

  • Thank you very much for your time, all of you, and we look forward to talking to you at the end of the fourth quarter. Have a great day.

  • Operator

  • This concludes today's Evercore Partners third quarter 2012 financial results conference call. You may now disconnect.