愛迪生國際 (EIX) 2015 Q1 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good afternoon and welcome to the Edison International first-quarter 2015 financial teleconference. My name is Angie, and I will be your operator today.

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • Today's call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Scott Cunningham, Vice President of Investor Relations. Mr. Cunningham, you may begin.

  • Scott Cunningham - VP of IR

  • Thanks, Angie. Good afternoon, everyone. Our principal speakers today will be Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Ted Craver, and Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Jim Scilacci. Also here are other members of the management team. The presentation that accompanies Jim's comments, the earnings press release, and our Form 10-Q are available on our website at www.edisoninvestor.com. Also, starting this quarter, we have posted Ted's and Jim's prepared remarks on the website and filed an 8-K so you can follow their comments. Later this week, we will distribute our regular business update presentation for use in upcoming investor meetings.

  • During this call, we will make forward-looking statements about the future outlook for Edison International and its subsidiaries. Actual results could differ materially from current expectations. Important factors that could cause different results are set forth in our SEC filings. Please read these carefully. The presentation includes certain outlook assumptions as well as reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the nearest GAAP measure.

  • During Q&A, please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up.

  • I will now turn the call over to Ted.

  • Ted Craver - Chairman & CEO

  • Thank you, Scott, and good afternoon, everyone.

  • Our first-quarter core earnings were $0.90 per share, unchanged from the first quarter of the previous year. Because SCE has not received a decision in its 2015 general rate case, comparisons of results are not particularly meaningful. Jim Scilacci will cover the specifics.

  • I'm certain that what is on your minds now more than anything else is the filing we will make tomorrow with the California Public Utilities Commission regarding communications with CPUC decision makers during the SONGS settlement process. Although we are still finalizing our response, I want to make some comments about what we expect to file.

  • Since our work on the filing is still ongoing, there is some small risk that I will have to supplement what I say today, but it is outweighed by our desire to be transparent. First, we do not expect to file any additional late ex parte notices. We conducted a thorough process to identify and review communications and internal documents concerning the settlement of the SONGS OII between CPUC decisionmakers and personnel at SCE and EIX who could reasonably be expected to have engaged in such communications.

  • As specified in the ALJ's order, we looked at documents from the period between March 1, 2013, a few weeks before the Warsaw meeting, and November 30, 2014, a short while after the settlement was approved by the PUC. This is a mammoth undertaking involving an initial broad pool of slightly more than 2 million emails and documents and then winnowing that group down in successive levels of review to isolate documents relating to the SONGS OII and the settlement process.

  • I've come to learn how these types of document searches and reviews are done. It is very complicated. It requires real care in setting up the parameters for searching and sifting given the huge number of documents that could potentially be relevant.

  • It also involves some judgments about search parameters. We used multiple levels of review and a lot of checking and rechecking of work. We used an outside law firm to conduct this work. All of this was done in a sincere attempt to do a thorough, complete, and proper job.

  • We believe we have done so. Our filing tomorrow will provide details on the search criteria and the multi-layered review and checking process used. This work will result in us providing a couple dozen emails in our response to the CPUC.

  • As I said, we do not expect to make any additional late ex parte notices. That said, we are providing in our response quite a bit of additional information in an effort to be transparent and forthcoming on contacts between CPUC decisionmakers and SCE and EIX executives on SONGS-related matters. I want to highlight some of the additional information we intend to provide.

  • We are providing a chronology of key events relating to the SONGS settlement covering the period from the initiation of the OII to the commission approval of the settlement. We are also providing a summary and the relevant documents where we had communications with CPUC decisionmakers even though those communications fell outside of the criteria for filing ex parte notices. These cover things like a courtesy call to a commissioner to give him or her a heads up we were about to issue a press release on a SONGS matter.

  • Or, a commissioner-initiated contact which was a one-way conversation from them to one of our executives with no substantive response by our executive. That is, our executive was essentially in listen-only mode. Or, communications between a CPUC decision maker and SCE or EIX personnel on procedural matters. Or, updates provided to CPUC commissioners on the status of SONGS' restart and system reliability efforts.

  • This effort has also highlighted for me the need to have Rule 8.4 which covers ex parte notices reviewed and clarified. Any rule can't possibly cover every conceivable communication circumstance, which creates a need to interpret that rule. Over time, the parties who regularly practice before the CPUC, commissioners, utilities, and interveners alike, and resulting commission decisions develop a body of accepted practice concerning that rule.

  • We make every effort to comply with Rule 8.4 on ex parte notices. In my opinion, Rule 8.4 could certainly stand to be clarified and updated. We are the ones who bear the reputational and financial risk of interpretations of and after-the-fact judgments regarding an ambiguous rule. We understand President Picker intends to review Rule 8.4. We very much welcome such an effort.

  • Our response also contains, as required by the ALJ's order, a privilege log of the documents withheld based on legal privilege. Finally, our response will contain declarations from Steve Pickett and Ron Litzinger. These documents provide -- primarily provide additional information surrounding the meeting former President Peevey requested in Warsaw. Again, we are going this extra step in an attempt to provide all parties and the public with transparency about this content.

  • I want to make one final point on this matter. Some have contended that the settlement was influenced by the Peevey-Pickett Warsaw meeting. While I can certainly understand the motivation for some to make this statement, it just does not stand up to basic logic. To start with, the Warsaw contact was made a good 2.5 months before we had even made the decision to permanently shut down SONGS. Negotiations with TURN and ORA commenced after shutdown and proceeded with both sides writing on a clean slate, so to speak.

  • The settlement negotiations lasted over 10 months with 14 face-to-face meetings among the negotiating parties and numerous phone calls. SCE did not negotiate any settlement with Peevey, nor did ORA or TURN. Peevey may have had his own ideas about what a settlement should contain, but he wasn't involved in the negotiations.

  • Any settlement was going to have to address the same four basic cost issues -- cost items at issue whether articulated by Peevey or anyone else. Those four were the cost of the replacement steam generators, how the non-RSG assets were going to be recovered, replacement power, and O&M expenses. There was also the matter of how any third-party recoveries from insurance and MHI would be treated.

  • Identifying the areas to negotiate was easy. The hard part was coming to agreement on how they were to be handled, and everybody had different ideas about that.

  • ORA and TURN were active, fully-engaged parties to the settlement negotiations. They reached their own conclusions as to the gives and takes in the negotiations and ultimately as to the settlement as a whole and the value it would provide to customers. Importantly, the result of the negotiations was materially different from the general framework laid out by President Peevey in Warsaw.

  • TURN and ORA in their April 17 press releases provided their views of the material differences between the settlement and the Peevey construct and maintained ratepayers fared considerably better under the settlement. Just yesterday, the Alliance for Nuclear Responsibility provided a different analysis that came to the opposite point of view, but still concludes that the settlement was materially different from the Peevey construct.

  • All of this proves the point. Comparing the final settlement to Peevey's generalized framework from Warsaw is bound to produce this type of debate, given the lack of detail in that suggested framework. This vagueness lends itself to differing interpretations, really guesses, as to what he may have had in mind.

  • What is most important here is that Peevey's contact with us and any subsequent contacts did not have any influence on the parties who were actually involved in the settlement negotiations. As I said, our current plan is to file our response to the ALJ's order tomorrow. Hopefully, my comments provide some helpful context for that filing. I'm sure you will understand that we will probably decline to say anything more about this matter in the Q&A session on this call and until after we have made our filing.

  • I now want to turn to some of our other business priorities. Of course, a major item for us this year is reaching a reasonable outcome on SCE's general rate case. We don't really have anything material to report on that effort today. Beyond the GRC, our priorities for the business remain safety, operational excellence, and investing in modernizing the electric system to enhance reliability, better serve our customers, and the support public policy. I will touch on these briefly.

  • Safety leads the list of operational excellence priorities for us. When we say safety, we mean both public safety and worker safety. In both cases, it requires us to constantly find new ways to keep the public and ourselves aware and focused on potential safety hazards and to invest in ways to eliminate or mitigate safety risk.

  • Actually, some of this circles back to provisions in our GRC request, too. Although we have continued to improve our safety performance in recent years, we can do more based on the best-in-class utilities and performance in other industries. A robust safety culture is a top priority. Our other operational excellence priorities are reliability, customer service, and affordability.

  • Sustained productivity improvement must be part of our DNA. We have made substantial progress on this over the last several years, but we want to continue to improve. One important measure is customer rates. We have mentioned to you before that our goal the last few years has been to keep the increase in our system average rate to 3% to 5% per annum.

  • We seek to do this even in the face of cost pressures from expensive mandates that require substantial incremental investment. Over the last five years, we have managed to stay at the bottom end of that targeted range, which actually compares favorably with our peers in California and several others around the country. We would like to continue to push that down to the level of inflation or lower.

  • Today's electric system provides customers with reliable and affordable electric energy, but the system needs to be upgraded to meet changing customer needs. Residential and business customer needs are evolving, while policymakers want us to provide an electric system that facilitates a low carbon economy. To meet these needs, we need to be able to integrate more distributed energy resources such as rooftop solar, energy storage, and electric transportation charging.

  • The distribution resource plan and related filings we will make this summer to the CPUC will serve as the roadmap for modernizing the electric distribution system. The long-term need to invest in a reliable and technologically advanced grid puts a premium on mitigating the potential rate impact of those necessary investments by doing all we can to manage our costs while operating more effectively in meeting customer needs. This is critical for our long-term competitiveness.

  • Beyond our utility business, we continue to pursue growth opportunities and competitive businesses across the electric power industry. Doing so allows us to serve customers outside of SCE's territory. We are focused on providing energy services to commercial and industrial customers through Edison Energy, as well as competitive transmission outside SCE's service area through Edison transmission.

  • Frankly, I have never felt better about how our Company is positioned for the future, both in terms of our strategy and the people we have in place to execute it. Our customers' needs and our industry will continue to evolve. I believe Edison is particularly well positioned to be at the forefront of these changes. With that, I will now turn it over to Jim Scilacci for the financial update.

  • Jim Scilacci - EVP & CFO

  • Thanks, Ted.

  • Good afternoon, everyone. I'll cover the following topics in my remarks. First-quarter results, our updated capital spending and rate base forecast, and our financing plans. I'll lead off my comments with a general statement about attempting to compare 2015 to 2014 earnings.

  • Because SCE has yet to receive a general rate case decision, Utility is recording revenues largely based on 2014 authorized levels. In the quarter SCE receives a final GRC decision, we will record a cumulative adjustment retroactive to January 1, 2015. As Ted mentioned, earnings comparisons will not be useful until we report full-year 2015 earnings. In the meantime, we believe the simplified rate-based model is the best starting point to model full-year earnings.

  • Please turn to page 2 of the presentation. As Ted said, core earnings are unchanged year-over-year at $0.90 per share. GAAP, or basic earnings per share are $0.38 per share higher. This is primarily due to non-core items last year related to the SONGS OII settlement of $0.29 per share and $0.07 per share related to EME. This quarter, we also had $0.02 per share of income under the HLBV accounting treatment for solar tax equity financings.

  • As explained in our last call, Edison Energy has tax equity investors. We are required to allocate income under the hypothetical liquidation at book value accounting method. Since this income does not relate to project performance, we classified it as non-core. Edison Energy is included in EIX Parent and other results.

  • Edison International Parent Company costs are flat at $0.03 per share or slightly higher -- with slightly higher corporate expenses are offset by earnings from Edison Mission Group as we continue to monetize Edison Capital's affordable housing portfolio. With respect to our quarterly results, I may clarify the presentation of two items on our results.

  • First, as I previously mentioned, we are recording CPUC revenues at 2014 authorized level pending a general rate case decision. We use this approach except for one modification. We deferred $36 million of authorized revenues, or $0.07 per share allocated to the first quarter related to incremental repair deductions pending the outcome of the GRC.

  • There is an offsetting $0.07 per share of income tax benefits shown separately on the slide. Since we don't know how the general rate case will treat repair deductions, we decided it was prudent not to recognize these benefits. The $0.07 is above repair deductions that are included in our 2015 GRC filing.

  • Second, let me clarify the presentation of SONGS, which is addressed in footnote 4 to this slide. During the first quarter of 2015, we began to amortize the SONGS regulatory asset and recorded property taxes which are recovered through revenues. During the first quarter of last year, we had a O&M costs and property taxes that were recovered through GRC revenues. Neither of these affected net income so we have excluded them from earnings drivers.

  • A fuller description of these items is included in our 10-Q. Let me also note that beginning January 1, 2015, SONGS costs are classified as decommissioning expense and recorded as a reduction in our asset retirement obligations.

  • Turning back to our slide, we did benefit from $0.07 per share of higher FERC revenues, primarily related to rate base growth and recovery of higher operating costs. Looking at costs, O&M is $0.01 per share higher. Depreciation and amortization cost are $0.04 per share higher from an increase in transmission and distribution investments. Net financing costs benefited by $0.02 per share, largely from higher AFUDC equity income. This reflects the higher AFUDC rate and a slightly higher construction work-in-progress balance.

  • After adjusting for the incremental repair deductions, SCE had lower tax benefits of $0.04 per share. The lower tax benefits relate principally to higher flow-through tax benefits related to repair deductions -- higher repair deductions last year. Although our results are better than most analysts' estimates, I suspect this is largely due to difficulty in estimating quarterly profile of revenues and earnings from our 2014 authorized revenue requirement.

  • Other than perhaps a favorable AFUDC equity earnings trend, which could remain a factor for the rest of the year, first-quarter results are largely consistent with the simplified rate base model we encourage investors to use as a starting point. Please turn to page 3.

  • We have revised our three-year forecast reflecting the removal of the Coolwater-Lugo transmission project. This 220 KV project planned in the San Bernardino County was intended to support additional utility-scale renewable projects and overall grid reliability. In mid-March, the California Independent system operator determined that this project is not necessary to provide full-capacity deliverability, but would conduct additional studies to assess potential need for all or portions of the project for future system requirements.

  • In the interim, the CISO requested that the CPUC suspend its approval to proceed with the project. SCE supports the suspension given the changing circumstances. Last week, the CPUC issued a proposed decision that recommends dismissing the Coolwater-Lugo application on the basis that sufficient deliverability now exists.

  • The Coolwater-Lugo project was forecast to cost $740 million of which the most recent forecast had $584 million of expenditures falling within the 2015 through 2017 forecast period. Partially offsetting this are costs and timing updates for a number of other smaller FERC projects. The net result is a decrease of approximately $300 million in FERC CapEx in our capital spending forecast. For your information, we have provided the prior forecast at the bottom of the slide.

  • Lastly, SCE has FERC pre-approval for prudently incurred abandoned plant costs. We will continue to finance SCE's growth consistent with our authorized capital structure. Periodically, SCE will issue long-term debt and preferred stock to support its growing rate base. [Chorus]-retained earnings will provide common equity needs. SCE's 13-month weighted common equity ratio component was 48.4%. With the cash flow benefits from bonus depreciation expected to commence later this year, SCE may have only modest additional financing requirements this year.

  • Please turn to page 4. Our rate base growth forecast remains 7% to 9% compounded annually during the forecast period. Deferred capital spending changes have a minor impact on the average rate base forecast for each year, and SCE continues to have a number of growth programs such as storage, electric vehicle charging, and the Grid of the Future projects that will remain important sources of growth well into the next decade.

  • Please turn to page 5. We have included in this slide some of the important 2015 earnings considerations that we introduced in our last call. The only change is a minor revision to the 2015 rate base forecast that I have discussed earlier. To reiterate our prior statements, we don't plan on issuing 2015 guidance until after SCE receives a general rate case decision. I will finish with a couple of reminders on Edison International's investment thesis. Please turn to page 6.

  • First, we continue to emphasize a lower risk SCE investment program focused on the wires business both for reliability spending and for adapting the grid to the new technologies and needs that we've spoken about for some time. To meet these investment requirements, while keeping rate increases moderate, will require sustained SCE productivity improvements.

  • Our base financing case remains no common equity issuance to support SCE's investment program. Finally, we continue to see the opportunity for above-average dividend growth potential to compliment SCE's earnings growth. Of course, our plan is to increase the dividend back to our target payout ratio in steps over time.

  • Thanks, Operator. Let's get started with Q&A.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • Daniel Eggers, Credit Suisse.

  • Daniel Eggers - Analyst

  • Good afternoon.

  • I'll pass on the SONGS questions. I'll let some other folks ask those questions. I wanted to first ask with the July filing on the distribution network of the future, what all should we expect in that filing? Prospectively, how quickly could that start to flow through your CapEx program and into rates as you devise that plan right now?

  • Jim Scilacci - EVP & CFO

  • Dan, it's Jim.

  • We're still working through that. The plan is to have a rather comprehensive filing on May 1. We're hoping to include some potential investment parameters in terms of scale potentially. And we're trying to figure out how ultimately to work that into our capital plans.

  • Now, as you remember, we have a General Rate Case coming up in 2018. And as the way it works, we have to file for that 2018 rate case next year in late 2016; and we're still working through it. So we haven't made a final decision. It will certainly be included, we would think, now in the 2018 General Rate Case that we will see at the end of next year.

  • So I'll pause here and look to Pedro and Maria to see if they want to add anything more.

  • Pedro Pizarro - President of SCE

  • No, I think you covered it well, Jim.

  • Dan, the CPUC has specified a number of areas they want to see in the filing, so we're working through all of that. Your question is more about what are the impacts in terms of capital spend, and we will address that largely through rate cases in the future.

  • Ted Craver - Chairman & CEO

  • We should clarify the filing is not May 1 though, it's -- .

  • Pedro Pizarro - President of SCE

  • It is July 1.

  • Jim Scilacci - EVP & CFO

  • July 1, yes.

  • Daniel Eggers - Analyst

  • Okay, thank you.

  • Just one other question specific to the quarter. There's a lot of O&M savings year on year this year versus last. I know you are trying to hold up earnings until the GRC gets resolved. But how does that rebalance this year? Would you have a big catch-up in O&M toward the back end of this year? Or is this going to be banked for this year, and you get on a more normal cycle next year?

  • Jim Scilacci - EVP & CFO

  • I think the safest thing to say until you can get a General Rate Case decision, after that we will be able to figure out what is normal. Until then, we're just speculating.

  • Daniel Eggers - Analyst

  • Okay. Thank you.

  • Jim Scilacci - EVP & CFO

  • Thanks, Dan.

  • Operator

  • Greg Gordon, Evercore ISI.

  • Greg Gordon - Analyst

  • Thanks.

  • Can you just tell us after you make your filing tomorrow, what the expected procedural schedule is going to look like at the Commission? And do you expect that you'll still be able to get a final decision by May 30 in the current open proceeding? Or it has already been delayed once. Is there a chance, given the amount of documents that you are giving to them and the limited amount of time between now and May 30, that we will see another delay in that final decision date?

  • Jim Scilacci - EVP & CFO

  • Greg, this is Jim.

  • We will have Adam Umanoff answer that question for you. Adam is our General Counsel.

  • Adam Umanoff - General Counsel

  • Good afternoon.

  • It's difficult to really answer that question. We really can't speculate how quickly the CPUC will move to consider what we file and reach a final decision. They certainly extended the deadline to the end of May to give them additional time to consider just this filing. We're hopeful that it will be wrapped in that timeframe, but we cannot be sure.

  • Greg Gordon - Analyst

  • Okay. After you file, is there a comment period where we will see responses from different parties to the case? Or do you file the documents, and then the next step will be some sort of pronouncement by the Commission?

  • Adam Umanoff - General Counsel

  • Again, I'm speculating; but I would suspect to see folks file additional comments based upon what we produce.

  • Greg Gordon - Analyst

  • Great.

  • Question on a completely different subject. On the Coolwater-Lugo CapEx coming out, you guys have indicated for some time -- and I think this is wrapped up into this filing coming on the Grid of the Future -- that in fact you see a very long runway of necessary capital expenditures at or around, or even potentially above, the current $4 billion plus or minus a year that you are spending.

  • Does the deferral or potential cancellation of the Coolwater-Lugo line just open up an opportunity for you to move other spending if necessary forward? And, if so, at what point which you reassess that and would we get an update? Or should we just assume over the next three-year period that that CapEx is out, and we should do the rate-based math based on the current guidance?

  • Jim Scilacci - EVP & CFO

  • It's Jim.

  • I think my general impression was you already saw little bit of the shifting that was going on with the adjustment because there was almost $600 million that came out of the forecast period. And the net was $300 million. That's the normal course that will occur.

  • And we've got some other things in the works. Obviously, the electric vehicle charging application in is crossing its way through the PUC. There are some storage opportunities, and the Grid of the Future likely will be -- could be outside this period, the 2015 through 2017 period. But we're still working through that.

  • I think we will stay consistent with what we've previously said before, that the capital expenditures are going to be in that $4 billion-ish range for the foreseeable future. It will be probably later next year before we can give you some additional visibility because that's when ultimately the GRC filing will go in; and that will cover 2018, 2019, and 2020.

  • Greg Gordon - Analyst

  • Thank you. Have a good evening.

  • Operator

  • Michael Lapides, Goldman Sachs.

  • Michael Lapides - Analyst

  • Real quick question. Thinking about bonus depreciation, Jim, you made a comment about it. Just curious can you refresh us -- what is in your expectation for bonus D&A in 2015? And is that already flowing through rate base as part of the ongoing rate case?

  • Jim Scilacci - EVP & CFO

  • It is. We revised our General Rate Case showing earlier in the year in the update proceeding. So that's incorporated in our current numbers. And the reason why we refer to it, we see that impact later in the year, is that we file our tax return in the September timeframe. The cash flow benefits start flowing through from that.

  • Michael Lapides - Analyst

  • Got it.

  • Just little bit of a follow-up. If we see any further downward changes in terms of capital spending, does this have a corresponding impact potentially on the pace of change you and the Board might make in terms of dividend growth?

  • Jim Scilacci - EVP & CFO

  • I think I alluded to in my last statement from Greg's question that I don't really see a change in the level of capital expenditures going forward. And so that would be consistent with our current plans to step up our dividend in steps over time. Get back to our targeted payout ratio. So I don't really see a change, Michael.

  • Michael Lapides - Analyst

  • Got it. Thanks, Jim. Much appreciated.

  • Operator

  • Julien Dumoulin, UBS.

  • Julien Dumoulin-Smith - Analyst

  • Good afternoon and congratulations.

  • I wanted to ask you a quick question here on rate base trajectory. I appreciate that it is still early days. You talked about the filing prospectively. You talk about backfilling the CapEx. How do you feel about the current range of both the low and high end of the 7% to 9% beyond the current forecast period? Would it be appropriate to say that you're setting up to be in that range while not formally committing yourself to that?

  • Jim Scilacci - EVP & CFO

  • Well, just the math of it. If we're staying in that $4 billion trajectory, the compound annual growth rate mathematically would slightly adjust over time downward. It's just the math. But I can't tell you how much and how much we're going to fill it in. It really will depend upon how the capital expenditures work out and will be filed with the Commission later next year.

  • Julien Dumoulin-Smith - Analyst

  • Got you.

  • And then a clarification to a prior question. In terms of cost savings in the current quarter, I know it's challenging. But I suppose if you look last year, there was about $0.23 give or take. Is there any good way to frame the current period vis-a-vis the cost savings and magnitude that we could see maintained?

  • Jim Scilacci - EVP & CFO

  • That's a tough one. Not that I want to duck the question. Until we get a General Rate Case decision, it is really hard to say.

  • We had embedded in our General Rate Case some assumptions regarding cost savings that we voluntarily pass along to the customers. And we will continue to look for additional cost savings. But we will have to wait for the General Rate Case decision before we really know.

  • Julien Dumoulin-Smith - Analyst

  • In ducking that one perhaps, if I may, in terms of M&A and strategically position of the Company, how do you think about opportunities in California? And specifically thinking about the Company outside of California? You mentioned competitive transmission. But in terms of getting a bigger footprint down the line? Or is that on the footprint in the thought process at all?

  • Ted Craver - Chairman & CEO

  • This is Ted.

  • I'm going to give you a wholly unsatisfying answer because my lawyers will kick me hard if I say anything other than we don't comment on M&A matters.

  • Julien Dumoulin-Smith - Analyst

  • Fair enough.

  • Jim Scilacci - EVP & CFO

  • Thanks, Julian.

  • Operator

  • Steve Fleishman, Wolfe Research.

  • Steve Fleishman - Analyst

  • Hello, good afternoon.

  • Jim, you mentioned the higher ASPC rate going on this year. Could you just talk more about what's causing the higher ASPC rate? Is that something that will continue on beyond 2015?

  • Jim Scilacci - EVP & CFO

  • It's hard to speculate beyond. You remember when we did the regulatory asset financing earlier in the year, bringing cash in, which has the effect of reducing the amount of short-term borrowings we might carry which, tend to reduce the AFUDC rate. And, I also mentioned that the equip balance was slightly higher. So it was the combination of a higher rate and a slightly higher balance that led to the overall slightly higher AFUDC equity earnings.

  • If it's going to continue, I just can't speculate on that now. It's going to be so variable in terms of what happens to the General Rate Case, what level of capital expenditures is ultimately authorized by the Commission and so forth. I just can't speculate at this point in time.

  • Steve Fleishman - Analyst

  • Okay. And then just on the GRC, is there any way to get a sense of timing of when we might get an ALJ on that?

  • Jim Scilacci - EVP & CFO

  • I'd love to tell you, but we just don't know. Sorry.

  • Steve Fleishman - Analyst

  • Okay. Thank you.

  • Jim Scilacci - EVP & CFO

  • All right.

  • Operator

  • Ali Agha, SunTrust.

  • Ali Agha - Analyst

  • Thank you. Jim, I wanted to clarify. As you had mentioned the best way to think about 2015 earnings driver is really looking at the rate base model. And so, on a full-year basis when we would be thinking about that, given all the extra tax benefits and other incremental savings beyond authorized ROEs that you were getting in 2014. The sense is you were starting off from a lower earnings base -- or will have a lower earnings base in 2015 versus 2014 and go from there.

  • With that as a backdrop, can you explain to me -- maybe I missed this -- why we are ending up with a flat earnings comparison in the first quarter if you're sticking to the general rate base model?

  • Jim Scilacci - EVP & CFO

  • It's a good question. There are a lot of pushes and takes to go on here, and it really has to do with how they authorize 2014. And until you really have a General Rate Case decision, I think what I was trying to imply earlier in my comments, it is just very, very hard to compare 2014 to 2015 given the situation we've got now. So I will just like to say that let's just wait until we get a General Rate Case decision, and we'll sort through it. And give you a better indication of what's the potential earnings power once the Commission gives us a final decision.

  • Ali Agha - Analyst

  • Okay, fair enough.

  • And then secondly, just to clarify, the point on the process as far as SONGS is concerned. Is it fair to say that the rehearing forum is really the forum where ultimately whatever final decision comes out, comes out from there? The reason I ask that is because one of the parties -- I don't know if it's (inaudible) or what, is asking for some additional fines to be incurred. Is that all part of this rehearing proceeding? Or are there multiple or other proceedings we need to be aware of as well?

  • Adam Umanoff - General Counsel

  • This is Adam Umanoff.

  • The proceeding that is active is the request for a rehearing that's before the California Public Utility Commission. There were, as I think you know, a federal court lawsuit brought by one of the opponents. That was in District Court. It was recently dismissed by the District Court. So the action right now is before the California Public Utility Commission.

  • Once a decision is rendered by the California Public Utility Commission, of course an opponent who might be dissatisfied with the decision can appeal to the courts. But none of that activity is currently pending.

  • Ali Agha - Analyst

  • Just to clarify that. I'm sorry. So any party that's asking for additional fines based on the email disclosures, et cetera, that is all part of this rehearing proceeding?

  • Adam Umanoff - General Counsel

  • It's a part of the rehearing proceeding and related filings. For example, two days ago, the Alliance for Nuclear Responsibility filed an additional petition for modification in the SONGS OII docket. But that along with the current request for rehearing, we would expect those all to be disposed of roughly at the same time by the California Public Utility Commission.

  • Ali Agha - Analyst

  • All right. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Travis Miller, Morningstar.

  • Travis Miller - Analyst

  • Good afternoon. Thank you.

  • I was wondering when we think about California specifically, how do you think about the investments through Edison Energy and SC&E when we are thinking about these new technologies, new age grid technologies? How do you think about allocating capital to opportunities through SCE or through Edison Energy in California?

  • Ted Craver - Chairman & CEO

  • I think primarily within the utility, we see that's were the principal opportunity to invest in the distribution system resides. And that is where we see quite a bit of modernization and expansion of the distribution system taking place. So I would expect the bulk of the investment would primarily take place at SCE. At Edison Energy or on the competitive side -- so whether that's Edison transmission or some of the C&I energy services or some of the other areas that we are looking at -- that is really opportunistic. And it is based on the standard parameters that we have used over the years for investment on the competitive side.

  • If we see something that gives us a positive rate of return after considering cost of capital and risk, then we would seek to invest in those things so long as it stays in the basic electric footprint that we have. So I think you should expect that most of the capital would be dedicated to the SCE activities.

  • Public policymakers in California are certainly keen to see the utilities facilitate the policy objectives of moving to a low carbon economy. That requires modernizing the system and allowing it to facilitate a number of the new technologies. And that's where the bulk of the effort will probably be over the next few years.

  • Travis Miller - Analyst

  • Do you think if you got approval to invest this money at SC&E particularly in the filing here this summer, could you carry lessons learned, so to speak, from SCE investments there, storage, EV, et cetera, to Edison Energy investments outside of California? Is that a potential business model thinking that you could take lessons learned? Or are we thinking about Edison Energy as completely separate type of investment?

  • Ted Craver - Chairman & CEO

  • It ends up being a fairly complicated answer. I would say broadly, strategically, most definitely. Edison International is in the electricity business. And we look for opportunities not just in SCE's territory, but throughout.

  • I think a lot of the changes that we see taking place in the electric industry are, in fact, often occurring here in California. So there is definitely -- I'll say a general strategic learning opportunity that comes from that.

  • We have to be careful on some of the specifics there though. Remember, a lot of the investments that are being made in SCE are being funded by customer rates, customer payments. And we always have to be extremely careful about any bleed over of specific information or assets or value from the utility to the unregulated side. All of that is captured underneath our affiliate rules.

  • But so long as we are really careful and cognizant on that, I would say your broader point, if you will, the strategic learnings point, is a valid one, and one that we are actively trying to look for other opportunities outside of California.

  • Travis Miller - Analyst

  • Great. Thanks so much. Appreciate it.

  • Ted Craver - Chairman & CEO

  • You're welcome.

  • Operator

  • Ashar Khan, Visium.

  • Ashar Khan - Analyst

  • My questions have been asked. The only one I have, Jim, is this $0.07 that you said that you deferred. Is that $0.07 something which is on an annualized basis or a quarterly basis? I was just trying to get a little bit better understanding of that $0.07?

  • Jim Scilacci - EVP & CFO

  • That was $0.07 in the quarter, Ashar.

  • Ashar Khan - Analyst

  • Can we analyze that number?

  • Jim Scilacci - EVP & CFO

  • I don't know because really, ultimately, it depends on what the GRC decision ultimately turns out. So I think it would be dangerous to try to analyze it until we get a full decision out here.

  • Ashar Khan - Analyst

  • Okay. Thank you.

  • Jim Scilacci - EVP & CFO

  • You're welcome.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • John Alli, Castleton Investment Management.

  • John Alli - Analyst

  • Hello. Ashar actually asked my question, so I'll just follow up off-line.

  • Jim Scilacci - EVP & CFO

  • Okay.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions)

  • I'm showing no further questions at this time. I'd like to turn the call back over to Mr. Cunningham.

  • Scott Cunningham - VP of IR

  • Thanks, everyone, for participating today; and don't hesitate to call if you have any follow-up questions. Thanks very much. Good evening.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. That does conclude today's conference. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect from the audio portion.