Emergent BioSolutions Inc (EBS) 2025 Q3 法說會逐字稿

Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Q3 2025 Emergent BioSolutions Inc earnings conference call.(Operator Instructions)

I would now like to hand your conference over to your first speaker today, Frank Vargo, Vice President and treasurer. Please go ahead.

Good Afternoon. Everyone.

Thank you for joining today as the merchant discusses their operational and financial results to the thirdrd quarter of 2025. As is. Customary, today's call is open to all participants. The call is being recorded and is copyrighted by Emergent BioSolutions.

In addition to today's press release, there are a series of. Slides accompanying this webcast available to all webcast participants.

Turning to slide 2. During today's call. A merchant may make projections and other. Forward-looking.Statements related to their business. Future events, prospects, or future performance. These forward-looking statements are based on their current intentions, beliefs and expectations regarding future events.

Any forward-looking. Statement speaks only as of the date of this conference call. And except as required by Law, Virgin does not undertake to update any.

Forward-looking. Statements to reflect new information that benefits its circumstances. Investors should consider this cautionary statement, as well as the risk factors identified in emergency periodic reports filed with the SEC when evaluating their forward-looking statements. During today's call.

Urgent may also discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures that involve adjustments to. GAAP figures In order to provide greater transparency regarding emergency operating performance. Please refer to the tables found in today's press release.

Turning to slide 3, the agenda.

For today's Call will Include Joseph Papa, President and Chief Executive Officer, who will Provide an update on the company's transformation plan and highlight key results.

And Richard Lindahl, EVP and Chief Financial Officer, will provide details on the third quarter and year-to-date 2025 financial results. As well as provide an update on full year 2025 guidance. Joe Papa will conclude by discussing.The company's business performance and key catalyst for growth. Followed by Q&A.

Finally, for the benefit of those who may be listening to a replay of this. Webcast. This call was held and recorded on. October 29, 2025. Since then, aerant may have made. Announcements related to topics discussed during today's call.

And with that, I would now like to turn the call over to Joe.

Thank you, Frank, and hello everyone. Welcome to the emergent thirdrdrdrdrd quarter 2025 Ernie Hall. This is Joe Pappas, CEO of Merchant, and I'm joined today by Rich Linda, our Chief Financial Officer. I will start by providing third quarter highlights, and then Rich will review the third quarter financials.

I'll return to review key business catalyst Drive growth. We'll close with a Q&A session.

Turning to slide number 5, the emergency team's aspiration is to be the leader in solving public health crisis around the world. As part of our mission to protect and save lives, we develop and deliver highly complex products that address some of the world's most pressing threats.

Based on the efforts of our team, we had another great quarter and are on track to exceed our initial 2025 revenue and adjustment guidance. Here to date, we have secured 11 contract modifications and product orders for our biodefense business while maintaining our market leadership position in the nasal nal ax category.

We have a durable biodefense business model has a North America based supply chain for our product when manufacturing in the US or in the USMCA compliant facility.

Finally, we believe our differentiative capabilities in plasma and hard to manufacture products position us to be a strategic long-term partner for our customers.

Turning to slide 6 emerged was founded 25 years ago, and our business is unlike traditional pharmaceutical companies. In fact, we have the most diversified biodefense and nexin product portfolio.

It is focused on addressing the global health public health threats of smallpox, anthrax, andpox, Ebola, latism, and even opiate overdose emergency situations.

Just yesterday, we released a new survey finding that reinforced bioterrorism remains a significant concern to inform public policy leaders.

Turn to slide 8, we are making great progress with our multi-year transformation. During 2025, we continue to make strategic investments for the long-term growth while creating significant value for our stakeholders. We are achieving operating margin improvements and validating best options to advance top-line growth while maintaining our attractive cost structure.

On slide 9, we provide a more detailed look at the third quarter included exceeding our internal guidance of both the top and bottom line.

Third quarter revenues of $231 million or $21 million above the high end for Q3 guidance range of $180 million to $210 million. Our profitability continues to improve and year-to-date, we have already achieved the high end of our full year adjusted even guidance range for the $194 million generated as of the third quarter.

Both the revenue and profitability of the business exceeded our internal management expectations and the analyst consensus.

Based on the year to today's performance, we are increasing our adjusted baggage range, $195 million to $210 million up from $175 million to $200 million.

Our liquidity remains very strong. We now have access to $346 million in financial capacity to invest in additional growth and capital deployment. This includes $246 million of balance sheet cash and an undrawn revolver.

We are pleased with a significant collection of cash for accounts receivable, even during the first days in Q4. We are selectively deploying our capital to create stakeholder value. Our net leverage improved to approximately 2 times net debt to adjusted debt, down from 3.3 times in the third quarter of 2024.

In the third quarter of 2025, we also repurchased some emergent bonds. It continued with our share repurchase program where we have spent $15.8 million over our $50 million and $0.12 month program.

We are excited about the progress of the MCM segment with four new contract modifications added in the third quarter. We also see upsides from our international customers which represent 34% of our MCM sales year-to-date, which is up from the mid to high [10s] in past years.

Our leadership in the election remains strong. We are committed as ever to combating the opioid overdose epidemic and saving lives. The two months left in the year, we feel very good about our 2025 performance and are actively working to establish additional growth drivers for 2026 and beyond.

On slide 10, we summarize the strong performance of our naloxone this year-to-date.

We remain the leader in the naloxone category amongst public interest customers, and we are benefiting from a stabilized US pricing market for naloxone. Quarter over quarter, Narcan unit volume grew by 13% and revenue grew by 9%.

This sequential growth reaffirms that we have moved past one time first border events. In fact, North and demand remains strong. We expect continued growth of the entire market, which may provide a tailwind to our business.

And I'd like to turn the call over to Rich, who offered through the third quarter financials.

Thanks.

Joe. Good afternoon, everyone. We appreciate you joining the call.

We're off to a strong start in the second half of 2025. Our third quarter revenue came in at $231 million exceeding the upper end of our guidance range by $21 million driven by sequential growth of Narcan and the addition of four new contract modifications.

Through the third quarter, we continue to see year over year improvements in both gross margin and adjusted Ear margin, highlighting the efficiency of our business that delivered 38% adjusted EBITA margin this past quarter.

To further highlight our strong performance, net income for the third quarter was $51 million. Year-to-date net income was $107 million and year-to-date earnings per share was $1.08.

Year to day's performance has also exceeded our internal expectations.

We're raising our total revenue guidance to a range of $775 million to $835 million a $5 million improvement at the midpoint, and we're increasing our adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $195 million to $210 million a $15 million increase at the midpoint as compared to our prior forecast.

The profitability and cash generation of our company has allowed us to focus on creating opportunities to generate additional shareholder value.

In the third quarter, we deployed cash towards both equity and debt repurchases, taking advantage of opportunistic pricing.

Even with these actions, our cash position and leverage ratio remained in a strong and stable position.

Both of our business segments outperformed in the quarter, and importantly, we saw no disruption from external macro factors that may be pressuring the rest of biopharma.

We continue to play a vital role as a trusted partner to both the US government and our international partners, with growing demand for our medical countermeasures as nations prioritize preparedness and response capabilities.

Please turn to slide 12 to review our third quarter financials. I'll start by noting that the prior year comparisons fully reflect our restructuring actions from early 2024.

Highlights of the quarter include total revenues of $231 million. As a reminder, third quarter of 2024 benefited from a partial quarter of now divested revenues from RSDL and the Cambridge facility.

Adjusted margin of 38%, an increase of 200 basis points versus the prior year, underscoring our continued strong profitability in with our efficient platform.

Adjust the gross margin of 61% improved 200 basis points year over year, driven by a more favorable product mix, the expansion of strategic global partnerships, and a leaner cost structure stemming from our divestitures and restructuring initiatives.

And finally, operating expenses of $52 million were $38 million lower compared to the prior year. Of note, you can see that our SG&A declined roughly 50% from life. Additional third quarter revenue details can be found in the appendix.

Turning to 2013, I'll walk through our performance for the first nine months of 2025. Total revenues were $594 million a decline compared to the prior year, reflecting the divestitures, the JHA one-time settlement in 2024, and strategic pricing actions taken on Narcan.

Just to even it down was $194 million or 33% of total revenues, an improvement of approximately $32 million and 1,400 basis points year over year.

This outcome illustrates our strong operating leverage, the impact of our restructuring actions, as well as a favorable product mix in 2025 driven by international MCM sales.

Adjusted gross margin of 57% improved 1,100 basis points compared to the prior year. This expansion was driven by product mix and continued operational efficiencies stemming from the 2024 initiatives.

Operating expenses total of $176 million a $133 million reduction from the prior year. Most of this reduction came from a $112 million decline in SG&A while we preserved critical R&D capabilities to support long-term growth.

Moving on to slide 14, for the first nine months of 2025, total revenue was $594 million driven by total product sales of $545 million.

As noted, 2024 includes revenue associated with one-time events and divested assets. The table in the upper right corner of slide 14 normalizes 2024 revenue for these items.

With that, let's break down performance by key product lines. Naloxone nasal spray revenue totaled $188 million reflecting improved sequential momentum from the second and third orders.

Anthrax's medical countermeasure revenue was $61 million based on the timing of government procurement orders. Smallpox revenue was $231 million an increase of $30 million or 15%, reflecting deliveries under multi-year contracts and increased international orders.

Lastly, other revenues were $49 million. As a reminder, last year's revenues included $50 million from the Jansen settlement, as well as the Camden facility revenue prior to its divestiture in August 24.

Normalizing for these items, other revenues grew $25 million year over year due to increased services demand in our Winnipeg facility, along with CNG revenue related to our Ganga development program.

Turning to slide 15, I'm pleased to report continued progress in strengthening our financial position. For the third quarter of 25, total liquidity was $346 million compared comprised of $246 million of cash and $100 million of undrawn revolver capacity.

Liquidity improved $96 million a year to year.

As of September 30th, our gross debt was $693 million down about $7 million versus the prior year driven by our unsecured bond repurchases during the quarter.

Total net debt in Q3 2025 was $448 million a $103 million or 19% reduction.

Our net leverage remains in the 2 times adjusted EBITDA range at the end of the third quarter as we both increased profitability and reduced gross debt.

We also collected significant accounts receivable from late September MCM deliveries in early October, despite the current US government shutdown, further enhancing our operating cash flow. This this outcome further reinforces the critical importance of our business.

Please turn to slide 6.

Our capital allocation priorities are focused on three key areas growth, debt repayment, and share repurchases. First, we're investing in both organic and inorganic opportunities to strengthen our core businesses and drive future revenue expansion.

Some important tailwinds include increasing international revenue from our medical countermeasures segment and our stronger balance sheet which enables business development.

We remain very judicious stewards of shareholder capital and continue to evaluate opportunities to advance internal RNG projects. Next, we continue to prioritize debt repayment to strengthen our balance sheet and improve financial flexibility.

Beginning in August, we initiated a $30 million bond repurchase program and during the quarter retired $6.9 million in principal amount of unsecured bonds for $5.8 million of cash.

We are also committed to creating shareholder value through the 12 month $50 million share repurchase program we announced in March 2025.

In the third quarter, we repurchased another 1.1 million shares for $8.9 million bringing us to $2.3 million repurchased year-to-date for $15.8 million or an average price of $7 per share.

We remain opportunistic with buybacks in future quarters as we evaluate market conditions and other factors.

Transitioning to slide 17, we are updating our full year 25 guidance by raising the midpoints of our revenue and profitability measures.

Further details are as follows total revenues of $775 million to $835 million an increase of $5 million at the midpoint.

Adjusted in the range of $195 million to $210 million an improvement of $15 million at the midpoint.

We're also raising our adjusted gross margin guidance to a range of 52% to 54%, a 200 basis point improvement over our prior guidance at the midpoint.

Based on the strong performance year-to-date across our segments, we're also raising the midpoint of our medical countermeasures products revenue guidance while maintaining our prior guidance grants for commercial products.

Segment revenue guidance is as follows MCM product sales of $450 million to $475 million. We continue our enduring partnership with the US government, which is further evidenced by the 11 contract modifications we've received here to date for our medical countermeasures.

Commercial products, including Koa in the range of $265 million to $300 million.

Year-to-date, commercial product sales were $188 million with stable pricing across the US public interest channel. Our performance in 2025 reinforces our market leading position in the opioid overdose reversal space.

In closing on slide 18, we're continuing the turnaround phase of our multi-year plan with solid performance in the first nine months of 2025.

Our 2025 revenue outlook remains focused on our core business across both the medical countermeasures and commercial segments. Of note, international sales now represent 34% of the company's MCM segment, which is up meaningfully from the high [10s] in prior years.

We are closely monitoring this trend and making targeted investments to facilitate this growth. A partnership with the US government and international customers remains strong, as evidenced by the 11 contract modifications here today.

Our gross margins and profitability have continued to improve throughout the year, and we're generating positive operating cash flow while enhancing our liquidity position.

Our leverage ratio is stable at approximately 2 times the.

Looking ahead, our plan remains consistent. We're pursuing strategic growth investments while actively seeking opportunities to deliver value to our shareholders.

I'll now turn the call back to Joe to discuss our business outlook and catalysts. Joe.

Thank you, Rich. Turning to July 20, let's begin with our naloxone business.

Our emergent organization is proud of the tangible impact that Narcan has of saving many lives from opioid overdoses in the United States and Canada.

Next month we will recognize the 10 year anniversary of the US FDA approval of the prescription Narcan and nasal spray. We will highlight the tremendous work that is going to expand its access to its over the counter availability in 2023.

And with ongoing efforts to expand Narcan access, added Foxado into our Narcan direct platform for ease of purchasing combined with the over $50 billion in opioid litigation settlement dollars, we believe that our portfolio will continue to align with the overall market growth expectations.

Moving to slide number 21, I'd like to review the key results from our recent biodefense survey. There is significant bipartisan support favoring bio-threat preparedness.

The bottom line is that amongst policy opinion leaders, the perceived risk of bioterrorist threats is high, and bioterrorism even outpaces concerns about nuclear risk. This is because biological attacks are viewed to be more feasible, more imminent, and those surveyed were concerned about the overall preparedness.

This quarter we've secured four new US government contracts worth approximately $155 million combined. We also successfully secured an incremental $29 million in MCM product orders with an international government partners.

International sales have been a key growth driver in 2025 and represent 34% of our MCM sales year-to-date, which is meaningfully higher for prior years.

On the public health front, the emergency was in continuous communication with our Ivana commercial partner Rifa biotherapeutics. Ridgeback, along with other organizations and local health authorities, directly supported efforts during the recent Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo.

This outbreak, which is one of several over the last five years, is a stark reminder of the continued frequencies and threats of the Ebola virus disease.

Global readiness and resilience are key to being prepared for the next potential outbreak. Earlier this year, we announced our continued collaboration with FARA to advance Ebo development towards supplying treatment, ensuring we are prepared against Ebola.

On slide 22, we outline our outlook on future growth and cash deployment. Our plan is to invest the cash for your journey from our profitable business sectors into two growth drives. First, exploring government collaborations for new biodefense products.

The second is to identify value creating external commercial programs that align strategically with their current business model capabilities.

In summary, on slide number 25, we have a we have outperformed our top-line in adjusting even debt guidance expectations in the third quarter. We are raising our full year revenue guidance while also raising our adjusted even debt guidance to $195 million to $210 million.

Throughout 2025, our operating margin and cash flow has grown significantly as we execute our multi-year turnaround plan. In conclusion, we have a unique and diversified bio defense portfolio.

We are proud leaders addressing the overdose epidemic through our life saving naloxone products.

We will take additional steps to generate value for all our stakeholders, and we will strive the highest standards of quality, ethics, and compliance across the entire emergent enterprise.

Not that. I look forward to taking your questions, operator, could you please open up the lines for questions.

(Operator Instructions)

Our first question comes from the line of Jessica Fye from JP Morgan, the floor is yours.

Hey guys, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions. I have several, first, what drove the strong year of year growth in other products specifically?

Second, with international driving 34% of MCM orders year-to-date, can we think of these orders as recurring? Are they part of multi-year contracts or are they one-off orders? And can you remind me how the gross margin on international MCM orders compares to the gross margin associated with US MCM sales?

Then for Narcan, you mentioned OTC sales and Canadian sales fell year over year. What are you seeing in each of those segments of the business? And should we consider any impact from the government shutdown to the Narcan business this quarter? And what about the MCM business?

Thank you.

Okay, there's quite a bit there, Jess.

Thank you for the questions.

We should take the first part of the other category was there. Yes.

So a lot of it is driven by contracts and grants with the Ivana program having significant activity this year, and that's really probably the major driver there.

I think the second question you have about our international contracting and is that a recurring revenue based or the one time we've worked very diligently over the last 18 months where we made some investments in our international platform to reach out and get more international revenue and sales, and I'm glad to say that that is paying off and we are seeing that.

So we view this as part of a concentrated program and activity. Admittedly, any given contract is for a set amount of product in a set amount of time. But we clearly see the international opportunity as one that will be a growth opportunity for us in the future.

So probably the best answer is these products are certainly part of a specific order for a specific quantity a specific time, but we do view this as being an international growth opportunity, especially as we know the European Union and other parts of the.

Are continuing to ramp up their capabilities in this entire area of biodefense and strategic national stockpile that they're setting up and our team has been delighted to TRY to help them as they get ready for this European Union stockpiling program on strategic national.

We're trying to help them think through that kind of process. On the next part of the question I think international growth margin, and one of the things I can say is our international growth margins higher? The answer to that is yes.

And one of the issues that we have is that we have committed to the US government and that they've helped us with our funding for our programs and our products that they. The US government would get what we refer to as most favored nation pricing.

So as a result of that, they usually get get the best price and other countries pay a little bit more. It's not a big mark difference, but there is a little bit better pricing for the US government in that they help us with the development of our products.

The next question I believe was Narcan in in Canada and what's happening there. We're making good progress. We we talked about a number of different Project agreements that we have with the Canadian provinces and we're making good progress there.

I would say that's something that's going to be variable in any given quarter in terms of whether the sales happen in the third quarter, the fourth quarter, or next year, but we're making very good progress and Canada is recognizing that they've got issues.

With opioid overdoses and they're looking to us to help them satisfy some of that demand out there. So we're making good progress there. There is going to be some variability in quarter over quarter in terms of what the order gets shipped in third quarter, fourth quarter, or first quarter, but we are very happy with the relationship we have with the Canadian government.

Final question, I think you had a government shutdown and I can tell you first firsthand, the US government.

Employees that we work with at the Strategic National Stockpile of FAA Department of Defense, continue to work every day, and they're they're going above and beyond all duty in terms of what they're doing, notwithstanding the shutdown, and I can tell you firsthand, Rich and myself and the rest of our team had a meeting with the highest levels of [AA].

Defense Strategic stockpile just last week. So everything we see is they continue to move forward on these important strategic initiatives that in terms of what the biodefense really represents to the US, it's an important must do activities, so they keep working hard and we're obviously there to support them in any way we can.

I think I got it all just but.

Thank.

You.

Thank you for your questions.

Oh.

Yes.

Our next question comes from Rigaharan Savaraju from HC Wainwright and Co. The flow is yours.

Hi everyone, this is Eduardo on for Ram. I was hoping to get a little update on, the Rock and bats collaboration if you have any anticipate any meaningful catalyst over the next 12 months.

Sure Just a reminder for everybody. Earlier in the year we agreed with Swiss Rockets, a pair of Rockets, to work with them on four project opportunities.

They are making good progress on the first product that we've acknowledged, they do have funding for the phase one of that. Of research that they are now obtaining the initial quantity of clinical trial material get that trial started.

Our expectation that trials will start sometime in the early part of 2026, and I remind you what we believe is really important with the. Techno technology is that it is different than the mRNA technology. It's not mRNA, but it is a fast to develop technology, but it uses live attenuated virus technology, vaccine technology, and by doing that it can be developed quickly, similar to mRNA. However, The there's durability in the immune response, because they use a live attenuated version.

So, that's what we're excited about it because it falls under something called Project NextGen, as the US government is looking for.

The next Virus outbreak. How could it be controlled, and they view this type of technology as being potentially important to that next wave of outbreaks or pandemic it may be. So yes, they're making progress.

We're working with them. There's there's still a lot of work to be doing, but they have the funding for the phase one, starting sometime in 2026.

Thanks.

Thank you for that question.

Is there another question you'd like to ask?

Sure, yeah.

I could I get, just kind of curious more on the MCM products this time, which of the products do you think is going to be the principal driver of US government contract based revenue going forward and do you have any ideas what why that might be?

Yeah, I think the advantage that we have an emerging is we have the most diversified product portfolio in the biodefense world, and you know we all recognize that the biodefense category is we're living in an increasingly dangerous world and the technology.

As we showed in our survey in biodefense, is something that could be very quickly rolled out by some terrorists. So we think it's important that we are prepared.

I think it really comes down to, for us it's just having this diversity of the portfolio so that we're ready for any potential activity and we work very closely with BARA, the National Stockpile, Department of Defense to ensure that whatever happens that we're prepared to help them.

And we're working very closely with them and we meet with them on a regular basis to get prepared. So I don't know if I want to pick out a singular product.

I think they're all important to us and I think what's probably the most important thing about when you think about emergence is the diversity we have, whether it be products for smallpox, whether it be the vaccine or the therapeutic for anthrax or be the vaccine or therapeutic.

Products of botulism, we've got parts. We have all of them, and I think that's what really truly sets us apart from the other players in the space. I, clearly in the new category, we like the opportunity we see the continuing outbreaks of Ebola. Yes, those are important things for us as well, and I think they'll drive a big part of our future.

Thank you for the question.

Thank you for your question. This concludes the question-and-answer session. I would now like to turn it back to Joe Papa, CEO for closing remarks.

Well thank you everyone for joining us today. We very much appreciate your interest in our company. Please reach out if there's any other additional questions, but we're excited about what the emerging is accomplishing this year.

I think we're well on our way to have another good year for us and another great quarter, and very much thanks to all people working at Emergen for all the work they've done to help us have a very strong year today.

Thank you everyone for joining us. Have a great day.

Thank you and thank you for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect.