Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc (DO) 2018 Q1 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Q1 2018 Diamond Offshore Drilling, Inc. Earnings Conference Call. (Operator Instructions) As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to introduce your host for today's conference, Mr. Samir Ali, Vice President of Investor Relations and Corporate Development. Please go ahead, sir.

  • Samir Ali

  • Thank you, Jimmy. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. With me on the call today are Marc Edwards, President and Chief Executive Officer; Ron Woll, Senior Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer; and Scott Kornblau, Vice President and acting Chief Financial Officer.

  • Before we begin our remarks, I remind you that the information reported on this call speaks only as of today, and therefore, you're advised that time-sensitive information may no longer be accurate at the time of any replay of this call.

  • In addition, certain made -- statements made during this call may be forward-looking in nature. Those statements are based on our current expectations and include known and unknown risks and uncertainties, many of which we are unable to predict or control, that may cause our actual results or performance to differ materially from any future results or performance expressed or implied by these statements. These risks and uncertainties include the risk factors disclosed in our filing with the SEC included in our 10-K and 10-Q filings. Further, we expressly disclaim any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements. Please refer to the disclosure regarding forward-looking statements incorporated in our press release issued earlier today, and please note that the contents of our call are covered by that disclosure.

  • We will be referencing non-GAAP figures on our call today. Please find a reconciliation to GAAP Financials on our website.

  • And now I'll turn the call over to Marc.

  • Marc Gerard Rex Edwards - President & CEO

  • Thank you, Samir. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. For the first quarter of 2018, Diamond Offshore announced earnings of $0.14 per share, which includes restructuring costs, a noncash tax reform adjustment and other onetime charges. Excluding these adjustments, our earnings per share for the first quarter of 2018 was a negative $0.16. Much of the impact is attributable to the tax reform adjustment, which Scott will speak to in his prepared remarks.

  • So allow me to start by providing some highlights around our innovation and thought leadership efforts to help make offshore drilling more viable, both in current market conditions and for the future.

  • Our unique-to-the-industry Pressure Control by the Hour model continued to produce tangible benefits on our black ships in the first quarter of 2018 as we achieved a second consecutive quarter of less than 0.8% unplanned subsea downtime. We continue to demonstrate that this model is delivering sustainable results, benefiting all parties involved.

  • Additionally, when we have had situations that required an unplanned pull of the BOP stack, we have seen a faster turnaround time to get the BOP back in the water and operating. For example, during the quarter, one of the black ship crews was able to retrieve and redeploy a BOP in less than 3 days, a task that can sometimes take up to 14 days. As each quarter goes by, we continue to show that the results of Pressure Control by the Hour are sustainable and that we have transformed subsea reliability.

  • Further, Diamond Offshore recently received a meritorious engineering innovation award in the subsea category for our new helical riser buoyancy technology. This award recognizes technical advantages that open new and better avenues to the critical challenges the industry faces. Recall that this solution is an alternative to adding fairings or strakes to the drilling riser to reduce drag and riser vibration in high-loop currents, which can reduce deployment time by up to 50%. The design also improves safety in challenging environments by eliminating the need for personnel to work below the drill floor to attach separate apparatus. We now have this technology installed on all 4 black ships currently working in the Gulf of Mexico. And during this past month alone, Diamond Offshore took yet another step towards improving offshore drilling efficiencies with the recent launch of our Sim-Stack service, the industry's first cybernetic BOP service. Using a highly sophisticated and complex virtual replica of a BOP system, this new service performs advanced digitalization, assimilation and data fusion to improve efficiencies, lower nonproductive time and reduce costs of deepwater drilling. With Sim-Stack, Diamond Offshore is able to continuously and accurately assess BOP status and regulatory compliance after a single or multiple component failure has been identified. When issues arise, Sim-Stack immediately provides critical feedback without human bias in a systematic method. Based on this, Diamond is able to determine a proper course of action while providing a third party statement of fact to the operator and regulatory bodies, such as the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement, otherwise known as BSEE.

  • The traditional process takes hours, days or even weeks to reach consensus, whereas with Sim-Stack service, this can now be accomplished in a few hours or less. By way of example, had we had the Sim-Stack service available in prior years, an analysis of previous unplanned stack pulls would suggest that our historical subsea nonproductive time would have been reduced by a minimum of 36%.

  • Since its establishment in 2011, BSEE has been the lead federal agency charged with improving safety and ensuring environmental protection related to U.S. offshore energy industry. The Bureau vigorously regulates oversight of worker safety, emergency preparedness, environmental compliance and conservation of resources. The underlying Sim-Stack technology, which is the result of a 3-year development program, has also just received a designation as a star initiative from BSEE, being one of the industry's best-available and safest technologies.

  • In addition to being an innovative efficiency and safety tool, Sim-Stack is also a robust training tool for offshore personnel. Similar to the flight training simulators used in the aviation industry, Sim-Stack provides our technical talent a safe and dynamic learning environment to train and further develop their skills and expertise. This service is exclusively available from Diamond Offshore and is currently on our 4 black ships working in the Gulf of Mexico. We are working to implement this service on other sixth-generation rigs in our global fleet over the coming quarters. We will continue to look for innovative ways to reduce downtime while enhancing operational efficiencies for our customers. We have several more projects in the pipeline that we hope to announce in the near future that will further drive efficiencies into offshore drilling and critically differentiate Diamond Offshore from its peers.

  • Diamond continues to set performance benchmarks in the Gulf of Mexico with one of our drillships drilling and completing a well 54 days ahead of schedule and with another reaching 28,000 feet after only 38 days. And in the North Sea, for the second consecutive year, Diamond was recognized by the International Association of Drilling Contractors for having the best safety performance in the floating rig category under 100 million man-hours for 2017. In addition, during this quarter, we again set a new benchmark with another record safety performance. These continued successes are a testament to the quality of our operational and technical teams, and I would like to extend my appreciation to the men and women that delivered this record-breaking performance within the Diamond fleet.

  • Now turning to our contracting activity. We are pleased to announce that we have secured additional work for the Ocean Apex and the Ocean BlackRhino, and we have been awarded the multiyear Penguins work for the Ocean Endeavor in the North Sea.

  • As we shared on our last call, Diamond entered into an option period earlier this year with Woodside for the Ocean Apex. Woodside has elected to exercise the option, and the rig will begin work in the second quarter of 2019. Though the initial contract is of shorter term, we are optimistic that more wells will be added as the rig continues to excel for the client.

  • Regarding the Ocean BlackRhino, one of our sixth-generation drillships, Hess has extended the asset for an additional 90 days at the current day rate. The performance of our ultra-deepwater drillships is class leading. And as I have spoken to you many times before, we uniquely have all of our sixth-generation ultra-deepwater assets contracted. However, we have now embarked on new customer conversations that would keep our drillships contracted into the next decade.

  • As to the Ocean Endeavor, we have been awarded a 12 plus 2 option well contract that will keep the rig working for at least 2 years. We will accelerate start-up activities to prepare the rig to commence work in the first half of 2019. This contract award for a formerly cold-stacked rig in an oversupplied market is a testament to the Endeavor's capabilities and Diamond's reputation and operational excellence in this region.

  • And now allow me to update you on the market. The dynamically positioned floater category is still facing many headwinds. We estimate that there is open demand of 115 years in the next 12 months, yet 169 years of available DP supply. Though this supply/demand gap is still wide, it has narrowed from the lows of 2017. Fixed account has more than doubled compared to this time last year, which signals that customers are trying to lock into days rates for longer periods. We still remain cautious on the DP drillship segment, but think we may be close to approaching a bottom in both utilization and pricing alike. However, we do not expect pricing to recover quickly.

  • Looking to the moored segment. The signs of a recovery are more prominent as we continue to see an increase in tendering activity. Clearly, the North Sea market has tightened, and opportunities to start modestly pushing pricing, not just in the harsh environment segment, are apparent.

  • Diamond prides itself on being a thought leader in offshore drilling, driving innovation that is focused on lowering total cost of ownership for our customers with Pressure Control by the Hour, riser buoyancy technology and most recently, our Sim-Stack service. And with more projects under development, we will continue our efforts to make offshore drilling more viable while best positioning Diamond for the eventual market recovery.

  • So with that, I will turn the call over to Scott to discuss the financials for the quarter, and then I will have some closing remarks. Scott?

  • Scott Lee Kornblau - VP, Acting CFO & Treasurer

  • Thanks, Marc, and good morning, everyone. Earlier today, we reported net income of $19 million or $0.14 per share for the first quarter of 2018. Our first quarter results include a favorable noncash tax adjustment related to tax reform, further restructuring costs and a gain from the sale of a cold-stacked rig. Excluding these items, Diamond had an adjusted net loss of $21 million or negative $0.16 per share. This compares to our fourth quarter results of an adjusted net loss of $7 million or negative $0.05 per share. The quarter-over-quarter decline was driven by lower revenue caused by the continued weakness in the offshore drilling market but was partially offset by our ongoing focus on cost reduction.

  • Before I go into our first quarter results, let me provide additional color regarding the Ocean Endeavor's reactivation. When we consider the economic feasibility of reactivating a cold-stacked rig, we include not only the cost to turn on the lights but all costs associated with getting the rig operational and on location, such as the special survey, recertification of the BOP and riser, crewing, mobe to a shipyard and then to location, rig enhancements and customer-requested modifications. This is our true cash cost of reactivation, what we model to and what we guide to. And with a long-term contract announced earlier, coupled with the future prospects for the rig, reactivating the Endeavor meets our requirements where the return hurdle aligns with the business opportunities.

  • Now turning to our first quarter 2018 results. Contract drilling revenues of $288 million during the quarter represented a 15% decrease from the fourth quarter of 2017, mostly driven by the Ocean Valor's reduced standby rate in the first quarter. As discussed on our last call, the resolution with Petrobras on the Ocean Valor contract involved Diamond taking a lower standby rate in exchange for an additional 2 years of work, extending the Valor's contract out to September 2020. Also contributing to the decrease was the Ocean Patriot and Ocean Apex working fewer days during the first quarter of 2018 compared to the fourth quarter of 2017. The Patriot spent most of the quarter undergoing a special survey prior to commencing over 2 years of work in the North Sea, while the Apex completed its contract in Australia midway through the first quarter. The revenue decrease was partially offset by the Ocean Guardian returning to work in the North Sea during the first quarter after being idle for all of the fourth quarter of 2017.

  • Contract drilling expense of $185 million came in 10% lower in the first quarter compared to the fourth quarter and below the low end of our guidance, primarily due to the timing of certain maintenance projects. The quarter-over-quarter variance is mostly driven by the nonrepeating fourth quarter mobes of the Ocean Onyx, Ocean Monarch and Ocean Scepter, the impact of the restructuring measures implemented during the last few quarters and the continued cost reduction focus.

  • G&A costs of $19 million decreased $1 million from the fourth quarter but came in slightly above guidance, mostly due to advisory fees associated with tax reform and the timing and mix of restructuring actions taken during the quarter. Also, as expected, we took an additional $3 million restructuring charge during the first quarter as we continued to find opportunities to streamline the organization.

  • Depreciation of $82 million and net interest expense of $27 million both came in at previous guidance and are expected to remain relatively flat in the second quarter.

  • During the first quarter, we recorded a small gain related to the sale of the Ocean Victory, which was previously classified as held for sale. Since 2012, Diamond has sold 33 rigs, the majority of which have been scrapped as we continue to high grade our fleet while taking supply out of the market.

  • And finally, during the first quarter, we recorded a noncash tax benefit of $44 million. The vast majority of this benefit, totaling $43 million, is a result of additional guidance and clarification issued by the U.S. Department of Treasury relating to the use of certain foreign tax credit under the tax reform act enacted at the end of 2017. Excluding this benefit and other discrete items, our normalized tax benefit for the quarter is $1 million for an effective tax rate of 5%.

  • Now let me provide some thoughts on the second quarter of 2018. We expect contract drilling expenses for the second quarter to come in between $210 million and $215 million. This quarter-over-quarter increase is due primarily to the Ocean Valiant's scheduled special survey and upgrades, maintenance on the Ocean Courage and additional work required on the Ocean Valor as it preps for its long-term contract in Brazil.

  • G&A costs are expected to be between $17 million and $19 million during the second quarter. While we are still on schedule to achieve cost savings due to the recent restructuring activities in line with expectations, most of the actual reductions that have occurred run through contract drilling expense as opposed to G&A. Also, during the second quarter, we expect to take an additional restructuring charge of about $1 million.

  • We anticipate our effective tax rate to be between 10% and 15% during the second quarter, but as always, this may fluctuate up or down based on a variety of factors including, but not limited to, changes to the geographic mix of earnings; further clarification around tax reform as well as tax assessments, settlements or movements in exchange rates.

  • The offshore market continues to be challenging. However, Diamond is well positioned to weather this down cycle while remaining focused on the future. During the quarter, we added over $50 million of cash, increasing our cash balance to $430 million, while our $1.5 billion revolver remains undrawn. We will continue to remain focused on reducing costs while still managing our business for sustainable success in the eventual recovery.

  • And with that, I'll turn it back to Marc.

  • Marc Gerard Rex Edwards - President & CEO

  • Thanks, Scott. Before we open up the call for questions, I would like to reiterate our belief that the long-term fundamentals of the oil and gas industry, and particularly the deepwater sector, remain intact in spite of the short to medium-term challenges we're facing. With a superior balance sheet and strong liquidity, Diamond Offshore is well positioned for success in this prolonged downturn. We will continue to demonstrate our ability to further innovate and drive thought leadership in the industry so that we improve efficiencies and lower the total cost of deepwater drilling.

  • And with that, I'll turn the call over for questions.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) Our first question comes from Kurt Hallead with RBC.

  • Kurt Kevin Hallead - Co-Head of Global Energy Research and Analyst

  • I was just wondering on the operating expense front, if you might be able to give us some insights as to what the costs are related to the special survey. Kind of break that out vis-à-vis what you just have in terms of normal operating cost for the rigs.

  • Scott Lee Kornblau - VP, Acting CFO & Treasurer

  • Yes, so the Q2 survey that we have coming up is for the Valiant. And as disclosed in our fleet dash report, it will be down about 75 days. In addition to the special survey, also just have some maintenance, which will take advantage of the shipyard time. We have guided in the past in the $10 million range for special survey. Now, of course, that does depend on exactly what needs to be done with the additional repairs and stuff, but I think that's a pretty good benchmark to use in the range for most of our special surveys.

  • Kurt Kevin Hallead - Co-Head of Global Energy Research and Analyst

  • Okay, that's great color. And then, Marc, on your end, if you look at the -- some of the market dynamics and they're getting a little bit, like the margin, a little more encouraging on the DP asset side. When you look at the -- so you have 1 stacked DP semi right now, I think it fuels you confidence. And you love your stack rates right now. How do you handicap the prospects for your remaining stack rates going back to work, say, within the next 12 to 18 months based on the demand dynamics that are at play?

  • Marc Gerard Rex Edwards - President & CEO

  • So you specifically brought up one of our stacked DP assets, you (inaudible) confidence. I do not see that coming back in the next 12 to 18 months as it relates to other assets in the fleet, specifically the moored assets. It's too early to tell exactly when those assets might come back or be reactivated. The Onyx, the America, it's not something that's on the horizon right now.

  • Just to touch on the Ocean Endeavor again, we announced that we were reactivating it because we had at the time an LOI signed with the ultimate client. But there was a lot of interest in that specific rig. It's a Victory-class rig. It's one that's been extensively modified over the years. It's been to the shipyard and being upgraded, and it's a very attractive rig. We had at least 3 clients inquiring about that rig at the time, which speaks to somewhat of a recovery in the moored space. But do understand that at this moment in time, we will not be reactivating rigs on spec. That was a specific long-term demand we saw for that asset. And we're pleased to announce that it's actually being selected for the Shell Penguins work in the North Sea, and we believe that has an extensive life beyond that program. And with the interest in that specific rig, the tightness in the moored market, especially in the North Sea, we expect that rig to keep working now that we are reactivating it.

  • Kurt Kevin Hallead - Co-Head of Global Energy Research and Analyst

  • Great. Then I want to just -- a quick follow-up on your cybernetic BOP Sim-Stack service. Is this something that is proprietary to Diamond? Or is this something that rest of the industry can develop on their own through some sort of open source architecture?

  • Marc Gerard Rex Edwards - President & CEO

  • Yes, I'm not saying that it's unique to us. It can be developed by the rest of the industry. Do understand, however, that this specifically was something that was in development for at least 3 years. We believe that it, once again, differentiates our sixth-generation drillships that pushes them to the front of the deli line of desirability. And for anyone to copy this system, because it is BOP-specific, you have to design it for each BOP. That's perhaps an obvious statement, but it will take the rest of the industry a while to be able to catch up. But critically, we've got this technology first in the industry. We're the only people that have it today, and it speaks to our continued thought leadership. We also do have other technologies that we're looking at in the pipeline as it relates to improving efficiencies of deepwater drilling. And over the next few quarters, we expect to be able to announce those as well.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from Jud Bailey with Wells Fargo.

  • Judson Edwin Bailey - MD and Senior Equity Research Analyst

  • Wanted to ask about the Apex and kind of the Australian market in general. Looks like you've got -- you noted the work for start of the May of '19. Could you maybe talk about the prospects for that rig between now and then? Do you expect to get some contracts to kind of fill the gap before that rig starts its next job? And then along with that, if you could also comment maybe on the Monarch, which roll later on this year as well, kind of the outlook for work there.

  • Ronald Woll - Senior VP & Chief Commercial Officer

  • This is Ron. So let's talk about the Apex first. And so as we think about her contracting sort of outlook, I think, it's pretty strong. She's in the yard now for some planned work, that's certain. I think as I look at the prospects that, that rig has with a number of customers, I think it's more likely that the added term will come after she returns to the market back in 2019. I think the period between now and the end of that shipyard work was probably not where I see the added work coming in. There are a number of conversations we have with customers today on her. But just to kind of put those on the calendar, those really come in, really, after she comes back in, in the first half of '19. Although I am and we are rather optimistic that more term will go on her as a proven moored rig. And to Marc's comment, there's a tightening market kind of in that space, so I think the likelihood that more term gets placed on her is relatively high.

  • Staying with that on the Ocean Monarch, I think, of course, she's working for Cooper today and then has work with Exxon. We also have a number of inquiries kind of on her as well in Australia and elsewhere. And so I would kind of offer a similar outlook, which is a good amount of conversations and interest on her, nothing that we're announcing today. But in contrast to sort of -- to some of the other rigs that are, as Marc said, are stacked and sort of not in our forecast to come back anytime soon, I think the likelihood of adding term on the Monarch is also pretty realistic. Again, a proven rig, good track record, satisfied customers, kind of all the right ingredients that we see for more term going forward.

  • Judson Edwin Bailey - MD and Senior Equity Research Analyst

  • Okay. And just a follow-up there. So Ron, you may have mentioned it, so how long will the -- is the Apex expected to be in the yard for -- in terms -- is it going to be right there the rest of this year, did you say?

  • Ronald Woll - Senior VP & Chief Commercial Officer

  • Well, no. So in terms of the time in the yard here is, I think, probably relatively brief. I would say probably maybe 2 months, plus or minus. I think then, for us, it's a matter of matching her to the right opportunity. So -- and to be kind of response to your question, I think those opportunities are more likely to occur in '19 as opposed to rest of '18 right now.

  • Judson Edwin Bailey - MD and Senior Equity Research Analyst

  • Got it. Okay. And then my follow-up is just on the operating cost guide, build a bigger step up than I think we anticipated. Is there -- I know -- I don't want to get a comment on third quarter yet, but how much does that kind of normalize back down in the third quarter based on what you know today?

  • Scott Lee Kornblau - VP, Acting CFO & Treasurer

  • Yes, good point, Jud. It's Scott. Yes, I would call Q2 more of an anomaly. We do have a -- the Valiant, which we spoke about, and still have some maintenance we need to do on the Courage and the Valor. So I would consider this kind of a high mark if you're looking going forward. I would say the guidance that we gave for Q1 in the mid-190s is probably a fair run rate. I'll also say that Q1 was a little over just because of timing of some projects that also got pushed into Q2. So if you kind of normalize all of that, I think, look at the Q1 guidance as kind of the normal run rate.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from Ian MacPherson with Simmons.

  • Ian MacPherson - MD & Senior Research Analyst of Oil Service

  • Marc, congratulations on Penguins and Sim-Stack. Those are encouraging developments, so well done to you all for that. I wonder, can you tell us with your $2.2 billion backlog at the end of the quarter, which of the -- between Endeavor, Apex and BlackRhino, which of those recent backlog ads are or are not reflected in the $2.2 billion? And would you be willing to roll out the decimal point to what we will see in the 10- Q with regard to absolute backlog?

  • Scott Lee Kornblau - VP, Acting CFO & Treasurer

  • Yes, this is Scott. I'll take that. The Endeavor work is not in the $2.2 billion. That backlog number is as of the end of the quarter, and this was announced subsequent to that. So we do have that to tack on as you're modeling going forward. The other 2 are in there.

  • Ian MacPherson - MD & Senior Research Analyst of Oil Service

  • Okay, that's good. So how were you able to finagle another 90 days on BlackRhino at the current rate, given that has had -- I thought they had unpriced options that they could exercise?

  • Ronald Woll - Senior VP & Chief Commercial Officer

  • Yes, Ian, this is Ron. So let me handle that one. So you're right, they do, and this is really not that. So those unpriced options still remain. So those are still out there. On a program of this size with Stampede, multiple rigs, many years, it's not uncommon to have sort of puts and takes on a program this complex. And so there were some moves back and forth. And what we announced here was really a kind of a completing that circle on some other trades here in the portfolio of kind of with (inaudible).

  • Ian MacPherson - MD & Senior Research Analyst of Oil Service

  • Okay. Then lastly, beyond that downtime that's in Q2 for the SPS and the Valiant and the Courage with the maintenance there, do you have any big chunky items in the second half of the year that we should put in our models?

  • Scott Lee Kornblau - VP, Acting CFO & Treasurer

  • Yes. For the second half of the year, so the only comment I'll make on that is Ron had mentioned the Apex is in the yard right now. So there is some work to do there. And then as we get into Q3 and Q4, we will guide if there is any other further downtime expected.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from Scott Gruber with Citigroup.

  • Scott Andrew Gruber - Director and Senior Analyst

  • Marc, I'm curious just to get your thoughts on how the recovery plays out going forward, particularly on the day rate side. I know you guys are still cautious, but just kind of thinking through how the recovery could play out here. And historically, we'd wait for utilization to rise up toward 80%, 85%, and day rates really start moving. If we look at the viable DP rigs, which are mainly the sixth- and seventh-gen rigs now, do we need to wait to see utilization rise up towards that 80%, 85% mark, excluding the (inaudible) rigs, so just look at what's marketed out there? Or is there sufficient differentiation across the DP fleet such that we could see rates move before we hit that 80%, 85% utilization mark?

  • Marc Gerard Rex Edwards - President & CEO

  • So, that's a lot of questions that you actually answered. The -- Scott, in terms of how rates are going to move, we're starting to see rates moving in certain sectors in the moored asset category, and I think everyone is familiar with what's happened in harsh environment in Norway. As we've already discussed in a previous call, we actually were able to push rate higher, albeit small, on one of our assets in the North Sea. Again, this is on the U.K. sector. So I think it depends how each market tightens. You're going to have subsectors that tighten before others to speak as -- for the North Sea as an example right now. But I think you've got to look at the marginal cost of supply. And in looking at the marginal cost of supply, on a rig-by-rig basis, something that we've done for all floaters in our space, there is a day rate that will be required before stacked rigs come back into the market. So I think you'll have a bifurcation, and that bifurcation will be rigs that are hot and are working today against those that have been warm-stacked for considerable period of time or even are cold-stacked. And the owners of those rigs are not going to bring them back unless they get a decent return and have a vision or a path to making a return on that reactivation fee. So when you're looking -- when you're specifically looking at utilization, I think you've got to look at utilization of what rigs are desirable to the clients themselves today, in other words, being hot, and then what rates come -- or reach before people are going to consider bringing other assets into the market. So I think in terms of what is the path for a price recovery, I think it's probably going to come sooner than many are expecting. And we don't need 85% utilization for the complete fleet. I think you'll get to a utilization, for example, in the North Sea, we're almost at 100%. If you just look at that subsector for the moored assets, you will see pricing materialize without 85% for the whole fleet because of that bifurcation effect.

  • Scott Andrew Gruber - Director and Senior Analyst

  • Makes a lot of sense. Is there any other pockets of the rig fleet that you could see gain pricing traction before it kind of hit more elevated levels of utilization? So I'm thinking about potentially rigs with high pressure systems or maybe the seventh-gen fleet starts to get rate ahead of the sixth gen, is there enough differentiation there?

  • Marc Gerard Rex Edwards - President & CEO

  • I don't think at the moment that necessarily is. But I think in the due course of time, if you look at the seventh-generation fleet, we -- our assets sit in that category, certainly the black ships, although we do refer to them as sixth. The -- what I would prefer it to say is those drillships that have 2 million-pound plus hook load. They have a dual BOP. They have dual activity. I think you might see, in the due course of time, rates pick up on those before, let's say, the early sixth-generation assets out there. And if you look at the true deli line of desirability as it relates to that asset class, I think there's less than 30 assets that fulfill that category. So I think you will see a slight increase in day rates for those specific assets. But it's still a couple of years out. We've certainly seen an uptick. It is a material uptick in tendering activity around both asset classes to include DP. We're certainly at a better place than we were this time last year for both asset classes, and that's always a start of a recovery. So we certainly see a clear path forward and understand what's going to happen over the next few years. But pricing, certainly for the DP assets, is probably 18 months to 2 years away before we see marginal increases.

  • Scott Andrew Gruber - Director and Senior Analyst

  • Got it. And is there an indifference point that we could think about from the efficiency standpoint, when you add things like dual BOP, dual drilling, things like that, the higher-end seventh-gen rigs? Is there an efficiency delta that you see versus the more kind of standard sixth-gen that would create some pricing delta once the market starts firm up better?

  • Marc Gerard Rex Edwards - President & CEO

  • Yes, obviously, it depends on what depth you're drilling in, but typically, anything from 8% to 10% with the higher assets. If you go really deep, you might see 12%. But there's also a total cost of ownership. In other words, with dual BOPs, you have less NPT. So it's not just drilling efficiency, it's the ability to keep the work -- the drillship running and, of course, progressing the well, which -- from our perspective, this is one of the things we focus so much on, and that is truly eliminating NPT. As you've seen, we've been quite successful in doing that so that we become more desirable and differentiated from our peers.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from Jim Wicklund with Crédit Suisse.

  • James Knowlton Wicklund - MD

  • Congratulations on the safety record, Marc. That's impressive and important. If I could follow-up on Jud Bailey's questions on costs, we hear a lot about how, since day rates aren't going to move, that the drilling industry is going to have to reduce costs. What is the potential for reduced costs over the next year or two? I have trouble believing it's people, the supply chain is already seeing inflation. Can you talk a little bit about the potential, really, to reduce costs over the next year or two or however it takes until day rates start to move? And then, of course, we're in a much better position to take the inflation.

  • Marc Gerard Rex Edwards - President & CEO

  • So we're in a much better place in terms of efficiency, Jim, as an industry than we were at the peak about a few years ago. On the call, I've just mentioned that we've drilled a well to 28,000 feet in the Gulf of Mexico in 38 days.

  • James Knowlton Wicklund - MD

  • That's amazing.

  • Marc Gerard Rex Edwards - President & CEO

  • That is. That is a massive increase in drilling time than we saw about 2 years ago. So we're driving efficiencies into offshore drilling. And if you look at most of the deepwater projects today, they are competitive on a full life cycle basis with North American shale, there's no doubt about that. You speak to the Petrobrases, you speak to the Statoils. Statoil has labored on the fact that all of their -- well, let me just say that -- let me quantify that. The vast majority of their deepwater programs are profitable when the oil price is $40. So we've made significant gains through simplification, through standardization and through scope, but we've also delivered significant gains using the technologies that we have today. And I spoke to that in my prepared remarks about the work we're doing in the Gulf of Mexico with our drillships. And then on top of that...

  • James Knowlton Wicklund - MD

  • So this going to be more of an efficiency gain than a reduction in daily operating costs, right?

  • Marc Gerard Rex Edwards - President & CEO

  • Well, the reduction in daily operating costs are already delivered. I think everyone is aware of what's happening with day rates. On the full spread costs, you've seen that some of the -- can I ask those that haven't muted their phone if they could mute them? On the full spread costs, you're probably seeing maybe a 10% to 20% reduction in costs, and those have already been delivered. So in terms of the individual costs that we're charging, you're not going to see any further decrease. The future decreases have to come from efficiency gains.

  • James Knowlton Wicklund - MD

  • Perfect. That's helpful. And I'll follow up if I could, and I apologize, I was going through security this morning so I may have missed this. On your cyber BOPs, where does GE play into the development and application of these technologies?

  • Marc Gerard Rex Edwards - President & CEO

  • Okay. So this is very separate to what GE is providing to us. So GE is providing Pressure Control by the Hour, which is the maintenance aspect of keeping the BOP running, similar to what they do in the aviation industry. But this was developed separately by us and a third party company out of New Orleans on the request -- well with guidance from the regulator. So this is a huge step forward in driving efficiency gains and reducing MPT further.

  • Operator

  • And our last question for today is from Michael Urban with Seaport Global.

  • Michael William Urban - MD & Senior Analyst

  • So it's great to hear that you consider all of the fully loaded costs when undertaking a reactivation or really allocating any kind of capital. I think that's not something your peers necessarily do. What is your thought process around that, specifically in terms of a hurdle rate? And does -- has that changed over time, just given the nature of the cycle and where we are in the cycle and how depressed the offshore markets have been? So is that a cost of capital return when you're allocating that capital for now? Is that -- do you think it's better over time? Can you give us your thoughts on that?

  • Scott Lee Kornblau - VP, Acting CFO & Treasurer

  • Yes. And Mike, this is Scott. So when we determine if we're going to reactivate a rig, I went through all the costs that we look at. Of course, we put that in our model. We take a look at this next contract. We did get a very good 2-year plus contract right now. And then we look at the future prospects of the rig. And if that meets our return hurdle, we go for it. And when it doesn't, we don't. And we've been very active in scrapping rigs. So we've run this model many times where we didn't meet this hurdle. This time, it does, especially with the interest we see in the rig. So there's no mandate that we have to get the total reactivation done in the first contract. We look over the life of the rig and the prospects of the rig and the interest in the rig, and that's when we go and make the call.

  • Michael William Urban - MD & Senior Analyst

  • Okay. And then that hurdle rate presumably is something better than a cost-of-capital type return?

  • Scott Lee Kornblau - VP, Acting CFO & Treasurer

  • That's right. So we're not going to get into what our return model looks like, but yes, you can be rest assured it definitely meets what we set as our minimum.

  • Marc Gerard Rex Edwards - President & CEO

  • And Mike, I think what we, as an industry, need to be looking at is not the reactivation cost of the rig, per se, it's the start-up cost. In other words, what is the true cash burn to get these rigs, the cold-stacked, onto a location with a bit turning to the right because that is what the cash call that we have as an organization. So many people suggest that reactivation costs are x, but what they're talking about is the cost just to get the lights up and running on their rig. And as Scott eloquently spoke to in his prepared remarks, you've got to consider all those points themselves.

  • Michael William Urban - MD & Senior Analyst

  • Yes, I would tend to agree. I'm not sure the rest of the industry considers the fully loaded cost. And then the last one that I had was -- and thanks for the round down on all the technology and efficiency initiatives. You gave us some anecdotes and some individual data points on the benefits that you've received from Pressure Control by the Hour and Sim-Stack. As you look at those in total or in the aggregate, do you have a sense for what the total cost reduction and/or efficiency improvement is in the aggregate, I guess, relative to your baseline, prior to the initiatives kind of along the lines of that, the data point you provided on BOP downtime with Sim-Stack?

  • Marc Gerard Rex Edwards - President & CEO

  • So just for general references, with new BOPs fresh out of the shipyard, in our first year of operation, subsea MPT was double digit for us. Now it's below -- well below 1%. So that gives you an indication as to what efficiency gain we're delivering there. It's not only an improvement for the client, of course, but it also helps us from a revenue perspective too. And then if we went back and we pulled all of our data on our unplanned stack retrievals and then applied our Sim-Stack technology to those unplanned stack pulls, and we would have been able to further reduce MPT by 36% on a historical basis, and that was a minimum. So in other words, 1 in every 3 stack pull, we could have eliminated. We got to a level now where our average for the last 6 months is actually 0.73% MPT on our subsea systems. So that definitely is class-leading, and I have -- that should give you an indication as to what kind of efficiency gains we're driving there.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from David Smith with Heikkinen Energy Advisors.

  • David Christopher Smith - Partner and Senior Oil Service Analyst

  • Sorry if I missed it, I know you gave some color last quarter about the potential cost range to reactivate the Ocean Endeavor. Did you give additional guidance for that expected cost range on this call?

  • Scott Lee Kornblau - VP, Acting CFO & Treasurer

  • We did not.

  • David Christopher Smith - Partner and Senior Oil Service Analyst

  • Okay. Is it fair to kind of think about the midpoint of the prior guidance that you gave?

  • Scott Lee Kornblau - VP, Acting CFO & Treasurer

  • Yes. I mean, there's nothing that's changed in the last 3 months on how we're looking at the Endeavor.

  • David Christopher Smith - Partner and Senior Oil Service Analyst

  • Okay. And if all goes well, is it possible those costs could be recovered in the margin of the initial contract?

  • Scott Lee Kornblau - VP, Acting CFO & Treasurer

  • We will not recover those costs in this initial contract.

  • Operator

  • And I'm showing no further questions in the queue at this time. I'd like to turn the call back over to Marc Edwards, President and CEO, for any closing remarks.

  • Marc Gerard Rex Edwards - President & CEO

  • So thank you for participating in today's call. We look forward to speaking with you again next quarter.

  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today's conference. This does conclude your program. You may all disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.