Carriage Services Inc (CSV) 2011 Q4 法說會逐字稿

Good morning, and welcome to the Carriage Services Fourth Quarter 2011 Results Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. (Operator Instructions) After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note this event is being recorded.

I would now like to turn the conference over to Alexandra Tramont. Please go ahead.

Thank you and good morning, everyone. I would like to welcome you to Carriage Services Conference Call. We are here to discuss the Company's 2011 fourth quarter and full year results, which were released after the close of the market yesterday.

Additionally, Carriage Services has posted supplemental financial tables and information on its website at www.carriageservices.com. If you would like to be on the e-mail distribution list for future Carriage Services release, or if you would like to receive a copy of the press release, please call my offices at FTI Consulting at 212-850-5600 or visit Carriage Services website.

This conference is being broadcast live over the Internet on Carriage's website, and a subsequent archive will be made available. Additionally, in a few hours a telephonic replay of this call will be made available and active through March 5. The replay information for the call can be found in the news release distributed yesterday.

With us from management are Mel Payne, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Bill Heiligbrodt, Vice Chairman; and Terry Sanford, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.

Today's call will begin with formal remarks from management, followed by a question-and-answer period. Please note that in this morning's call, management may make forward-looking statements in accordance with the Safe Harbor provision of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. I would like to call your attention to the risks associated with these statements, which are more fully described in the Company's Annual Report filed on Form 10-K, and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Forward-looking statements, assumptions or factors stated or referred to on this conference call are based on information available to Carriage Services as of today. Carriage Services expressly disclaims any duty to provide updates to these forward-looking statements, assumptions or other factors after the date of this call, to reflect the occurrence of events, circumstances or changes in expectations.

In addition, during the course of this morning's call, management will reference certain non-GAAP financial performance measures. Management's opinion regarding the usefulness of such measures, together with a reconciliation of such measures for the most directly comparable GAAP measures for historical periods, are included in the press release and the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

With these formalities out of the way, I would like to turn the call over to Mel Payne, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. Mel, please go ahead.

Thank you very much. Thank you for joining our call this morning to report our 2011 results and our fourth quarter. Simply put, the year 2011 was the best year in Carriage's 21-year history. We added Dave DeCarlo and Don Patteson to our Board of Directors during the year; now have a completely transformed and highly engaged Board since February 2009.

Bill Heiligbrodt, whose relationship with me dates back to 1975 when we both worked at Texas Commerce Bank and who loaned me the money to start Carriage in 1991 when I knew absolutely nothing about this industry, joined the Company full-time in September 2011 as Vice Chairman of the Board.

He and I then split the executive officer responsibilities into two groups, with Bill having financial reporting and strategy, investor relations, legal, and acquisition strategy and execution. I have responsibility for our trust funds, operations, human resources, leadership and development, and Carriage's vision and culture. Our partnership is working beautifully and the results began to reflect the amazing amount of progress made across the Company during the fourth quarter, starting on October 17, 2011.

We ended 2011 with a strong performance quarter and a record year, in spite of unusually low death rates, especially in December.

For the details and an explanation, I'll now turn the call over to Bill.

Okay. Thank you, and Mel commented on our relationship and I was going to add to that, in that my record show our relationship goes back 40 years rather than 37 and that we've worked actively, closely together over at least 30 of those 40 years. So it's a pleasure to be here today.

And first I'd like to say that the improvement in our operating performance at both our funeral homes and cemeteries has continued to enhance the intrinsic value of Carriage in 2011. This has been augmented by the continued strong flow of investment results into revenues of our business from our trust fund portfolios.

Although we are pleased with our improved operating performance of the Company this year, as reflected by our field EBITDA margins, we're not complacent. We are positioned and our operating managers are prepared to take the Company forward to achieving a higher, sustainable level of performance that more reflects the earnings potential of Carriage.

Acquisition results reported this year more clearly present the long-term impact that new quality acquisitions can have on our Company's performance. This combined with the improved operating results is of primary strategic importance and will continue to have a positive impact as we move forward in 2012.

Results for 2011. Revenue. Looking directly at our numbers for 2011, total revenue increased $5,690,000 and was driven by funeral acquisition revenue increase of $8,246,000, 37%. This increase offset a small decline in same-store funeral volume of $1 million or approximately 1%. Same-store funeral volume had been relatively flat through our first three quarters and only decreased during the fourth quarter of 2011, which seemed consistent with other funeral entities.

Also of importance, however, is the fact that the combination of our existing businesses and acquired businesses produced an increase in total funeral contracts of 18,062 to 27,663 for this year.

Summary. Total revenues were up because of acquisitions. Funeral EBITDA was up over 14% at a margin of 34% and we grew numbers of funerals.

Cemetery. Cemetery sales were down $1,470,000 or 3.6%. Most responsible for this decline is preneed sales, which is an area of focus for us and we believe to be temporary in nature. In spite of this decline in cemetery revenue, we were able to achieve greater field EBITDA margins of 24.5% compared to 22.4% last year, resulting in an actual increase of 5.5% to $9,547,000 in cemetery field EBITDA over last year. Again, emphasizing even though we were down in cemetery revenue, we were up in operating profit and margin.

Investment performance. What can I say? Investment performance over the past few years generated the $14,670,000 financial revenue the Company achieved this year and this same investment performance of our trust portfolios would continue to have a major impact on revenue in 2012, and that's sad.

In summary, our field operations for 2011 achieved a 10% increase in total field EBITDA of $6,360,000 to $69,929,000, unusual, but true. That was greater than our total field revenue increase of $5,690,000. The results again, our field EBITDA margin increased from 34.4% to 36.7%. Again summarizing, field EBITDA for Carriage was up more than field revenue with again margin expansion.

GAAP earnings per share was $0.38 versus $0.45 last year. The $0.07 decrease in EPS is attributable to $4.2 million in non-recurring net expenses completely detailed under special items in our non-GAAP unaudited income statement and included as part of overhead. These special items represented $0.13 per share. Therefore, a more proper comparison of adjusted GAAP EPS would be $0.51 earnings per share versus $0.45 earnings per share last year.

Total overhead expenses of $28,900,000 adjusted for the same non-recurring expenses of $4,200,000 would be up 16% or $3.470,000 greater than last year. The major components of that adjusted increase are corporate public company-related expenses, increased 401(k) matching and a new incentive compensation plan for field employees.

Non-GAAP consolidated EBITDA of $50,623,000 is up 10% from last year and showed a margin improvement from 24.9% to 26.6%.

Results. Non-GAAP earnings per share for Carriage was $0.66 per share for 2011 versus $0.54 for 2010, an increase of 22%.

Cash flow. Cash flow from operations, $31 million for 2011, was up 21% from 2010 and is about equal to our percentage increase in non-GAAP earnings per share. The major component of this improvement previously discussed were improved field EBITDA margins, number one; number two, acquisition revenue; number three, recognized financial revenue; and number four, financial withdrawals from our trusts.

Results. The results were refinanced, all our acquisitions internally provided for growth and operations to the new capital expenditures, repurchased $3,100,000 in convertible subordinated debentures and 126,000 shares of our common stock and paid dividends to our shareholders.

Fourth quarter 2011. Looking at the fourth quarter, total revenues were down slightly. Acquisition revenue again was up 23%, while same-store funeral revenue was down 3.6%. All performance margins improved, as shown in the non-GAAP unaudited income statement, with our total field EBITDA up 9% to $17,623,000 at a margin of almost 37%, continued improvement.

Fourth quarter. GAAP EPS was $0.02 versus $0.12 last year. This again, as I explained in the comments for our annual 2011 results, was attributable to non-recurring expenses of $3,240,000 in the quarter, amounting to $0.11 per share and was composed mainly of discontinued stock-based executive incentive compensation plan and termination expenses for employees no longer with the Company. The decline in non-GAAP EPS from $0.17 to $0.11 this year was primarily the result of a decline in withdrawable trust income of $2.4 million, equal to $0.08 a share.

In conclusion, let me say, all of us at Carriage are focused on the key drivers of value creation of our Company next year should see continued improvement in margins from our operations, new acquisitions with strong contributions falling to EBITDA, continued strong investment performance in our trusts and a decrease in non-recurring costs seen this year at the corporate level.

With that, I'm going to turn it back over to Mel.

Thank you, Bill. The year 2011 entered the first 20-year history of Carriage. It's been an interesting history, but I'm glad we're at this point and not some of the point back in history. Over the last eight years and especially over the last four months, we have evolved into a company that is positioned in every way to have a long and sustained period of high operating and financial performance.

We have, therefore, themed this year as Carriage Services 2012, a new beginning and we hope you will be along for a journey that over the next five years is designed to take Carriage from being a good company in 2012, as defined by our performance in 2012, to a great company within five years, also defined by our performance. We hope to have fun. It should be meaningful for those involved in contributing to our success and we appreciate very much your attention and support.

Thank you for calling in. That's the end of this call.

Any questions?

(Operator Instructions) Nick Halen, Sidoti & Company.

Good morning, guys.

Good morning.

So the first question I had was just regarding the acquisition pipeline, I mean it seems very full. I mean do you guys seem really optimistic about it, also? But the question I had was just in terms of the multiples that you're seeing now, I guess, just in the industry in general, I mean asset quality, the potential M&A targets and continuous increase. I mean is that affecting the multiples that you guys have been panning for acquisitions?

This is Bill Heiligbrodt. The acquisition pipeline is strong. It offers us an opportunity to be extremely selective. We're trying to identify businesses that will improve our overall businesses in Carriage. We're trying to find businesses that have some resistance to certain characteristics of the funeral industry.

And what we're seeing is an opportunity to buy good businesses at reasonable numbers. And I think if you look at those non-GAAP unaudited income statements, which we call our trend report, which we used to manage this Company by, you'll see what kind of margins we're getting. The prices are reasonable. And they're certainly and we're tying those to a very high return cash-on-cash first year result, plus significant earnings per share pickup with each acquisition.

We just recently announced yesterday a close of another acquisition this year in Pennsylvania. We announced the close of a very nice acquisition on Long Island in the fourth quarter. And we have another very nice acquisition project that we're working on now, where we do expect the possible close during the month of March. And so we're looking for a very strong year this year, and obviously these acquisitions have a significant effect on our operations.

Okay.

We'd be happy to discuss that with you privately at any time, if you'd like to look at what we're doing and what we're paying on a more direct basis that we'd be happy to talk to you about that.

Okay. And now the acquisition that you just mentioned that you're expecting to close in the future, I mean is that baked into your guidance for the year or is that excluding that?

That is not in our guidance for the year.

Not in the guidance, okay. I'm not sure if I'm looking at this right, but just in terms of the trust funds, did you guys lower your exposure to equities in the quarter? And I guess looking out across 2012, I mean are you expecting to make any meaningful asset reallocations?

No. This is Mel. When S&P downgraded the US on August 5 and the market crashed that following Monday, everybody ran for the safety of treasuries. And that continued -- the volatility in the market continued to generate tremendous risk aversion from that point through the end of the year with a prediction that the first half of 2012 would also be volatile, which hasn't turned out to be true.

So we did by design and by strategy reduce our equity exposure hugely and redeployed the proceeds into high yield and fixed income securities, too big to fail preferred stocks, which took our recurring annualized income, which will tremendously benefit the perpetual care funds as well as all the other funds, not only with much higher levels of income, which went from $7.9 million to $12.2 million recurring annual income, but we've also already got huge gains in the fixed income securities that we bought. Because we bought them at highly discounted prices to par to a degree that we expect the gains to be greater than the realized losses we took in the equities.

So we went to a highly concentrated smaller group of equities. Apple is our biggest position by far and it has been for -- since 2008. So we think we made a pretty good move there and we don't anticipate changing that allocation except modestly during the rest of this year and we'll take the income that now is flowing in quite frequently and in big amounts and put it into a few equities that we still like a lot, no matter what the overall economic environment.

Okay. Great. Thanks guys.

Clint Fendley, Davenport.

Thank you. Good morning, Mel and Bill.

Hi, Clint.

Wondered if you guys could talk a little bit about the preneed environment on the cemetery side. I mean you sound pretty bullish on your prospects for growth there. I know you all been kind of changing up your operations a little bit on that side. And if you also could just maybe provide a little bit of color on how you were able to drive the EBITDA growth in that segment in light of the 8% revenue decrease that we saw.

Okay. The cemetery business, as you know, has a lot more moving parts. And starting on October 17, as I mentioned, we initiated a complete review of the last 10 years of history, both in the cemetery business and in the funeral business.

And by the end of November on the funeral homes side, we had launched -- re-launched a refreshed standards operating model with new -- each businesses now in different groupings and by peer group and we updated some of the margin standards, and so on. And that was rolled out at the end of November and we saw an incredible response to that project, to the degree that December looked better by a mile than any other month in the year. And that continued over into January. So we think we have traction on the new standards operating model for our funeral homes.

I looked at the standards model for the cemeteries and it had grown static, complex, and so I waived all of that to start off 2012. We reached out to a group of industry professionals not in Carriage, really with Dave DeCarlo's relationships, who introduced us to some really wonderful people, great operators.

So we went to school and we have launched some new programs in the cemetery business, particularly in our Florida cemeteries where we're concentrated and in California, where we're concentrated. The early returns, it's too early to have a definitive material impact, but I will tell you that I think by the middle of this year we'll begin to see, in certainly the second quarter, some differences of performance. But this is new for us and we want to go slow and we don't want to over-promise.

I think we can get our cemetery performance back up at acceptable margins, but that might take six months to be able to tell you this is exactly what we can achieve this year. So I don't want to go there. It's just a different business and we're going to take our time and get it right.

That's helpful. And I know you've got a very active acquisition pipeline there. Are there any cemeteries that are in that pipeline?

Yes. It's Bill again. There are, but they're very unusual cemeteries that we think are operating slightly differently than the traditional cemeteries and we think that there is still a lot of opportunity in that market for us with the right properties.

Okay. And last question, I know you guys are reporting a bit later than some of the others in the group and it's been a very tough few weeks for volume. Just any color on maybe how things have looked through January and a part of February here from a volume perspective.

Well, they were very weak in December. I'm sure you know that. They were very week in January. There hadn't been any cold weather, no flu season. The seasonality just didn't show up this year. Now having said that, I do see by the middle of February things beginning to change and I will tell you that the way we achieved results in December and January with volumes low, it was really phenomenal.

So when the volumes show up, I would expect the performance to reflect the operating leverage kicking in big time. So we're not hoping that people die because of the flu or any other reason, but we want to get our share and if we do get our share based on our portfolio, we think we can do some good with it.

And again, I want to emphasize that even though that we're facing those kind of trends, the opportunities afforded us on the acquisition side again have had somewhat of a mitigating effect there, and I want to emphasize again even with all that's happening in 2011, we were still up on funeral contracts, numbers of funerals.

Do you think it's safe to say we'll be able to say the same thing for 2012 given the acquisitions that you've already booked even in light of the difficult volume environment.

Well, our goal is to be better, Clint. So --

Oh, yes. I mean we've had difficult volume environments before, but they don't seem to -- so funeral business. So by the end of this year, people are living longer and all that, but we don't have any broad market share issues in this Company. So we follow that every month, every place by every competitor. So by the end of the year, I'd expect it to all even out. Now I can't tell you whether this is going to be up 1%, down 1%, but I don't think it will be much different than that.

Let me address that acquisition point that you made, Clint. We're going to buy all businesses that we can without sacrificing our principles and our procedures for doing so. And right now that pipeline is full enough with businesses that give us the opportunity to make the decisions and feel pretty confident going through 2012.

There is one thing, Clint, that's new and it's dramatically different than anything we've done before is that we did launch at the end of November of last year what we call at the time a long-term value creation plan for our managing partners in the funeral homes.

Little different on the cemetery side, so we haven't done anything like this there, but this is to let them each have a five-year plan and it really rewards organic growth in that business in that particular market. If they can achieve what we call a high level of standards over five years, they can get financially rewarded in a huge way unlike any other company that's ever done this. And I think it will lead to more entrepreneurial talent coming to our Company. It will allow us to bring talent into new businesses that Bill and his team buy. They're already good, but we want to grow them.

And so if we can keep buying really good businesses in really good markets and have that kind of program that really lets people not only just an annual basis, but a much longer basis of sharing the value creation, dynamic of their business, then I think it's a win-win-win for shareholders and for the Company.

Got it. Thanks guys.

You bet.

(Operator Instructions) Duncan Brown, Wells Fargo Securities.

Hey guys, good morning. I was wondering, Mel, if you could talk a little bit more about the rolling out of the long-term value creation plan and team member response to that. And then maybe have you seen any increased turnover from team members that either don't fit the bill or perhaps prefer the status quo?

The response has been nothing short of incredible. Something like this, I cannot believe this Company would do something like this for us. It's energized everybody. It's not easy, it's not easy, but the same we have here in the Company is (inaudible) easy, anybody could do it. This is not about being easy, this should be hard, only the best can do it.

And it means you got to grow your business regardless of death rates, regardless of competition, demographics. You just have to find ways entrepreneurially if you go find new market share in your community and it's going to -- it's attracting, it's energized the whole Company.

Are there a few around the Company that say, I don't think I can do that? I haven't heard that. I'm sure there are. But the last time we injected something really new like this, which was around 2006, it doesn't take long to find out who the players are and who the people who can do it are. But I will tell you, I think we got the best group of managing partners in the history of the Company. And when you throw something like this into the mix, I mean you kind of light a fire. The response has been almost immediate.

Okay, great. Appreciate those comments. We think you bought back roughly 700,000, a little more than that, of stock in the quarter, have a $5 million authorization. Just wonder if you could talk a little bit about new plans on that front in 2012 and then how you think about capital deployment, your free cash flow between preferences of M&A, dividends and then stock repos.

On stock repurchase, we will continue to buy stock as long as we feel the stock price is under its intrinsic value and the value that we think it's worth as a company up to the $5 million. So that's going to be continuing under those circumstances. We're aggressively trying to buy all the stock we can right now up to the $5 million.

Okay.

Let me tell you what he thought the intrinsic value was, but it's nothing close to the current price.

Fair enough. And then just one last one for me, I think you said in the press release you borrowed $2.5 million on the credit facility. Am I right that that's a revolver draw and then I guess just the comfort level of using revolver to fund or partially fund M&A going forward?

Well, right now the revolver is just being used on the timing situation. As I mentioned last year, we virtually financed our total growth through free cash flow. I think that's a real point that probably we should look at. I think our free cash flow, I mentioned, was up 21% last year.

And when you look at that versus our stock price, that gets into that intrinsic calculation that Mel was talking about that we look at, and it's also we have the opportunity, obviously, to run that on our acquisition model since we have a pretty detailed financial planning model to do that. So that's what we do. So we look at ourselves just like we would look at a company that we're buying. We should get a premium, we believe. So that's kind of how you come up with values as you look at it. So, obviously, the main component of that is cash flow.

All right. Thanks guys.

Thank you.

Alan Webber, of Robotti & Company.

Good morning.

Hey, Alan.

Hi. A quick question or two. One is when you talked about in the projections for 2012, it includes a few acquisitions that you made last year that should benefit the Company this year and you talked about some of the improvements. And yet the actual consolidated EBITDA is basically flat with what you showed as the non-GAAP consolidated EBITDA in 2011. Just curious why --

You're looking at GAAP versus non-GAAP, okay?

Right.

The non-GAAP EBITDA is up considerably, it's $50 million. Okay? So the GAAP EBITDA is different from the non-GAAP. So actually GAAP and non-GAAP were going up.

But to get the --

You have to compare the GAAP to get non-GAAP -- you have to compare the GAAP EBITDA to GAAP EBITDA this year.

Right. [Except isn't] a non-GAAP EBITDA supposed to give an indication of what kind of -- kind of taking out the non-recurring items would be?

That's correct, but non-GAAP consolidated EBITDA grew from $46 million to $50 million this year. Okay? And the number that's in the projection is non-GAAP -- I mean it's GAAP, excuse me, which would compare to $41 million last year.

So what would you think would be the non-GAAP which is -- could you -- you talked that the non-GAAP is really the main part to focus on.

Well, non-GAAP EBITDA would be somewhere -- let me look here just a second -- would be somewhere in the range of $55 million to $58 million versus $50 million this year.

Okay. And then also -- okay. And then [with the line has] from cash flow from operations is basically flat or down from what you showed in 2011?

Yes, but in --

What changes there?

In 2011, we had a special withdrawal from our trust funds that was around $10 million.

Yes, about $10.1 million.

$10.1 million. That's not recurring. Some of that will recur, but not all of it.

It's hard to predict at this point, Alan, how much that will be.

That will be.

Okay. And then next my final question was, it kind of was back to from the previous question, you made the comment about you buy back stock, you look at the intrinsic value and then did you say that you basically compare that to when you're looking at acquisition prices?

Yes.

And just what do you find?

We find that we can -- well, I mean I'll just be quite sure, we find that the -- we don't find the same value relative to ourselves as we find relative to the acquisitions, let me put it that way. Okay?

Okay, fair enough. Great. Thanks an awful lot.

Thank you, Alan.

(Operator Instructions) Since there are no further questions, this concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to management for closing remarks.

Well, Bill and I appreciate everyone calling in and those were great questions. Just like to say we hope you join us in our new beginning. We look forward to reporting the first quarter. And if you have any calls about anything in this press release or any other thing, it'd be best to call Bill. He's heading up Investor Relations and he's going to be talking about the Company getting out on the country. So give him a call, he looks forward to hearing from you. Thank you very much.

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.