Crossamerica Partners LP (CAPL) 2015 Q3 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Welcome to the CST Brands and CrossAmerica Partners third quarter 2015 earnings call. My name is Eric and I will be your operator for today's call. At this time all participants are in a listen-only. Later, we will conduct a question and answer session. Please note that this conference is being records. I will now turn the call over to Randy Palmer, Director of Investor Relations. Mr. Palmer, you may begin.

  • Randy Palmer - Director, IR

  • Thank you, Operator and good morning and thanks for joining the CST Brands and CrossAmerica third quarter 2015 earnings call. With me today are Kim Lubel, CST Chairman and CEO, Clay Killinger, Chief Financial Officer, Jeremy Bergeron, President of CrossAmerica Partners, Steven Stellato, Chief Accounting Officer at CrossAmerica Partners, and other members of our executive leadership team. Kim will provide an overview of the CST third quarter operation performance and current street strategic initiatives and then we will turn the call over to Clay to discuss the CST financial results. Jeremy will follow with an overview of the operational and financial performance for CrossAmerica Partners, and at the end we will open up the call for questions for both organizations.

  • I should point out that today's call will follow some presentation slides that our team will utilize during this morning's event. These slides are available as part of the webcast and are posted on the CST Brands and CrossAmerica websites.

  • Before we begin I would like it remind everyone that today's call, including the question-and-answer session may include forward-looking statements regarding expected revenue, future plans, future operational metrics and opportunities and expectations of the organizations. There could be no assurance that the management's expectations, beliefs, and projects will be achieved and that actual results will not differ from expectations. Please see filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission including annual reports on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q for a discussion of important factors that to affect our actual results. Forward-looking statements represent the judgement of the Company's management as of today's date, and the organizations disclaim any intent or obligation to update any forward-looking statements.

  • During today's call we may also provide certain performance measures that do not conform to US Generally Accepted Accounting Principles or GAAP. We have provided schedules that will reconcile these non-GAAP measures with their results on a GAAP basis as part of our earnings press release. We should also note that the results provided today by CST represent the business operations of CST on a standalone basis before consolidation of CrossAmerica Partners LP, but include the income associated with CST owning a percentage of the outstanding common units and all the IDRs of CrossAmerica. Full consolidating information is included in the third quarter 2015 Form 10-Q which will able enable you to arrive at our complete consolidated financial results. Today's call is being webcast, and a recording of this conference call will be available for a period of 60 days. And with that I will now turn the call over it Kim Lubel.

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Thanks, Randy. Good morning everyone and welcome to our third quarter 2015 earnings call. CST had a very strong third quarter by all measures reporting gross profits of $378 million and adjusted EBITDA of $294 million as reflected on slide four. These strong quarterly results were driven by year-over-year increase of inside sales, fuel margins and fuel volumes. Our culture and strategic focus are delivering the results that we expected. Our efforts to maximize fuel gross profit dollars through more site-specific fuel margin and volume balancing to help us achieve near historical high fuel margin in the US in the third quarter. And as our third quarter performance reflects, we much more than just a fuel business as our strong inside-store performance across our network contributed more than $139 million in gross profits to our results, a more than 10% increase over the third quarter last year.

  • I would now like to spend a few minutes updating on the progress we have made with our 2020 vision which is focused on our key growth planks of organic growth, inside-store growth and acquisition growth. We continue to focus considerable efforts on strengthening our inside-store offering and expanding our 300 plus grocery sets including fresh produce to an additional 50 stores by the end of this year. And in two weeks we will be opening our first of many new-to-industry stores in Texas with and expanded made to order food program first developed in the Nice N Easy store network that we purchased just one year ago this week. Delivering on our focus on inside growth on a same-store basis our team members delivered strong 4% growth in same-store inside sales and while a portion of this growth be contributed to our continued new to industry store growth the new stores represent only 7% of our same-store population today and more and more of our new stores join the same-store measure this strong sales growth is expected to continue.

  • Turning to organic growth on slide five, in 2016 we intend to open a total of 55 to 65 new stores in the US and Canada. We anticipate our new store growth pace to continue through 2020 at which time we could see the large format stores representing over 30% of our network of roughly 1700 stores. This growth in large-format stores could grow the average size of stores in our network by more than 30% by 2020. Our new stores allow us to continue to meet the needs of our strong legacy customer base and at the same time afford us the opportunity to broad our merchandise and our food mix to meet the needs of millennial customers and all of our great corner store customers.

  • On Slide 6 you will see how the shift towards new stores will improve our gross profit mix impossible five years and this doesn't affect our potential divestitures or acquisitions in the calculation. By 2020 our store profitability will shift from a fuel-dominated mix to a higher-margin, more stable, inside-store dominated mix. From 48% of gross profit contribution from nonfuel sales in the US this quarter to potentially a 70% gross profit contribution were nonfuel sales in 2020, we intend to deliver advantage are and more stable gross profits across the network as we grow over the next five years.

  • Turning to slide seven, an important part of our CST plan is CST's continued focus on markets that offer long-term growth potential including the ability to build a large new to industry stores and continue to increase our inside store sales. In keeping with the strategic focus we are announcing today our decision to evaluate strategic options for our California network in an effort to enhance shareholder value. These 76 stores included is this network have historically produced strong fuel results but consistently under index on inside-store sales and gross profit dollars given that their average square foot size is half the average size of our US network. The small store size significantly inhibits CST's ability to implement our grocery and food expansion programs which are critical to increasing inside-sales gross profits. Moreover, the much smaller average lot size effectively blocks our efforts to expand our store offering through to raze and rebuild efforts on existing sites.

  • Our new to industry store strategy is focused in those markets where there is a significant new store growth opportunity. Increasing California real estate prices coupled with a stringent permit and regulatory environment preclude us from implementing our new store growth program in California. And yet with fuel sales of over 6,000 gallon per store per day at many of these stores and long tenured loyal team members, the California network has been a solid contributor to CST and should provide us with the opportunity to evaluate several strategic options through our review and pursue the best course of action for our Company and our shareholders.

  • One of these options as you flip to slide 8 is potentially doing a tax efficient like kind exchanges for properties in Georgia and Florida. As you probably saw earlier this morning we have announced our intention to purchase Flash Foods which is a chain of 164 convenience stores in the Southeast. We are in exclusive negotiations with the Flash foodsellers, and hope to finalize a definitive agreement here shortly.

  • I am excited about the prospect of Flash Foods becoming part of the CST family. With a 3,000 average square foot size and great team members with a strong customer-focused culture this acquisition fits both our 2020 vision and also opens up new growth markets where we would expect to be able to continue to build a large format new to industry stores. In fact, as part of the transaction we would be acquiring a land bank that would give us awe great start to that new build process. This transaction will effectively allow us to shift our resources from the growth-constrained California market to the Southeast where we can expand not only through new stores but also through expanded forward and grocery offerings in the existing Flash Food stores. And we will acquire approximately 290 million gallons of fuel supply which provides us additional fuel supply assets that can potentially be dropped down to CrossAmerica at a later time. Of course, we look forward to providing you with more details as we work through this transaction.

  • And with that I will turn the call over to Clay to review the CST third quarter financial results.

  • Clay Killinger - EVP, CFO

  • Thanks, Kim. I will provide a brief overview of the third quarter results for CST and then turn it over to Jeremy to cover CrossAmerica.

  • Today CST reported net income of $85 million or $1.12 per share for the third quarter of 2015. This compares to net income of $63 million or $0.83 per share for the third quarter of 2014. For the third quarter of 2014 we had certain one-time charges expenses as outlined in our earnings release. The after-tax income effect of these items was approximately $5 million for the third quarter of 2014. So excluding these items our earnings would have been $68 million or $0.90 per share for the third quarter of 2014. There were no similar one-time items in the comparable quarter of 2015.

  • As I discuss our third quarter CST highlights in more detail I will be referring to our US and Canadian segment operating results. In regards to CST's US segment, if you turn to slide ten, third quarter 2015 net motor fuel gross profit increased by $33 million or 28% when compared to the third quarter of 2014. The year-over-year increase was primarily attributable to an increase in the average cents we are gallon fuel margin nets of credit card fees of $0.06 per gallon between the periods. For our core stores, our US motor fuel gallons sold per site per day increased by approximately 6% quarter versus quarter. Our gross profit from merchandise sales increased $14 million, or 13% in the third quarter 2015 when compared to the same quarter in 2014. Our motor fuel and merchandise gross profit increases reflect the impact of our New to Industry stores period versus period along with our Nice N Easy and Landmark stores we acquired as well as the exclusion of lower performing stores we divested in the fourth quarter of last year and the first quarter of this year. Total core stores decreased between the comparable periods reflecting the divestiture of stores as I just mentioned.

  • Now turning to the next slide for our Canadian segment, third quarter motor fuel gross profit decreased by $8 million or 12%. The cents per gallon fuel margin net of credit card fees was approximately $0.24 for the third quarter of 2015 compared to $0.26 for the comparable period in 2014. This reduced fuel margin and resulting motor fuel gross profit was result of the Canadian dollar devaluation over the comparable period. For additional comparative purposes, results on this slide are also provided in percentage change in Canadian dollars.

  • Our reported gross profit from our merchandise sales and other category declined $3 million for the third quarter of 2015 compared to 2014, again, primarily attributable to foreign currency exchange. The Canadian dollar continued to devalue relative to the US dollar during the third quarter of 2015 versus the comparable periods in 2014. As noted in our earnings release, the exchange rate for the US dollar relative to the Canadian dollar averaged approximately $0.76 for the third quarter of 2015 versus approximately $0.91 for the comparable period in 2014. This represents a devaluation of the Canadian dollar by approximately 16% between the comparable period. Overall excluding the effect of foreign exchange rate change, our gross profit for the Canada segment in the third quarter of 2015 would have been up $7 million when compared to the third quarter of 2014. So excluding the effects of foreign currency we believe our Canadian operations performed quite well, especially given the current Canadian economic environment.

  • Turning to the next slide, slide 12, I will now make a few comments on CST's financial position. At the end of the quarter we had $442 million of cash and approximately $296 million available under our credit facility. At the end of the quarter we had $254 million of cash in Canada. Our total debt is $982 million and our trailing 12 months debt-to-EBITDA coverage ratio is less than two times. This favorable coverage ratio means that we have plenty of debt capacity on the balance sheet to fund our future capital needs for organic growth and acquisitions. In regards to our capital spending, capital expenditures for the third quarter of 2015 totaled $117 million.

  • We expect a very active new store opening schedule in the fourth quarter of 2015 with approximately 25 new stores scheduled to open in the United States and nine in Canada. I would also like to provide an update on the status of our CrossAmerica unit purchases and our CST share repurchases. We have as of the date of this call utilized approximately $11.5 million of the $50 million CrossAmerica unit purchase authorization and have purchased over 470,000 units. We have also utillized $86 million or nearly half of our $200 million CST share repurchase authorization and have purchased just over 2 million shares.

  • Slide 13 provides some guidance for the fourth quarter. I'm not going to walk through each of these items, but I did want to note the following. We are expecting an increase in our operating expenses driven by the timing of our remaining 2015 NTI completions and an increase on our general and administrative expenses driven by increases in professional fees associated with our corporate development activities and personnel increases to support our strategic growth.

  • With respect to our US fuel and merchandise guidance for the fourth quarter of 2015 versus the comparable quarter in 2014, the midpoint of our guidance represents a 2% increase in gallons per site per day and a 9% increase in merchandise sales per site per day for the US segment. Our Canadian guidance after adjustment for foreign currency is comparable between the fourth quarters of 2015 and 2014. All-in-all we are expecting a relatively healthy fourth quarter. With that I will turn it over to Jeremy.

  • Jeremy Bergeron - President

  • Thank you, Clay. If you would please turn to Slide 15, I would like to touch on our overall third quarter results. Today we reported a very strong third quarter with adjusted EBITDA of $31 million, up 65% compared to last year. Underscoring the rapid growth we experienced over these past 12 months despite our common units outstanding increasing over 70%, we were still able to grow our DCF per units by 8% for this period. As we look at how each of our segments contributed on the next slide you will see that while our increased 8% in the period, we continue to see an impact from the reduction in our terms discount due to gasoline -- wholesale gasoline prices averaging approximately $1 below where they were trading last year.

  • You can also see that our rental income contribution increased approximately $14 million in the quarter. This is due to the recently acquired assets that we are leasing to CST in addition to the rental income we are now achieving as we execute on our strategy to convert many of the TMI locations to (inaudible).

  • A significant contributor to our large increase in cash flow this quarter is the success of our recent third-party acquisitions. The retail operations of the Erickson and One-Stop chains performed very well as we continue to integrate those operations and were able to take advantage of the strong retail margins in the quarter.

  • Turning to the next slide we have detailed to demonstrate the differences between the performance of this quarter compared to the comparable period last year. As I will just saying, you can see that we are experiencing significant contribute from our recent acquisitions which also include the CST Fuel Supply and real estate drops completed earlier this year. Other significant changes include the impact to our terms discount that I mentioned earlier due to the large decline in crude oil and gasoline prices period over period. Finally, as you would expect as we increase the size of our organization we have an increase in our operating general and administrative expenses.

  • As we turn to the next slides and focus on our results in the third quarter compared to the second quarter of this year you can once again see the evident contribution of acquisitions including our strategy to operate a lean business model by finding third-party dealers for the Company-operated locations that we obtained through acquisition. Throughout 2015 we are dealerized over 70 stores, lowering our operating expenses, establishing qualified rental income while maintaining a strong wholesale fuel margin at these sites. In addition to these charts you can also see the positive impact we experienced from having approximately 20% of our wholesale volume variably priced based on a rack to retail or dealer tank wagon margin. As we have mentioned while our wholesale margin is negatively affected by lower absolute wholesale price, we do see a benefit as DTW margins expand as the prices are moving down.

  • Finally, I would like to draw your attention to the $2.3 million reduction we achieved in our quarterly expenses. This is the result of the concerted efforts by our team to execute on our goals to integrate our acquisitions by leveraging our existing back-office team and systems to reduce corporate expenses.

  • Going onto Slide 19 as we announced this morning the Board of Directors of the General Partner has declared a distribution of $0.5775 per unit related to our third quarter results. This is a $0.015 per unit or 2.7% increase over the second quarter of 2015. We continue to expect a rate of CrossAmerica distribution per units attributable to 2015 will be between 7% to 9% over 2014 levels and continue to expect exhibit our 2015 annual coverage ratio to be over 1.0 times with a long-term distribution coverage at or above 1.1 times. Regarding our debt position we have revolver capacity at the end of the quarter of approximately $125 million available for future borrowings. As such we have immediate capital available for additional acquisitions as they arise.

  • Turning to the next slide, as we forecast in 2016 and I don't understand you can inspect that we will continue to execute on our successful wholesale and real estate core competences, growth through strategic acquisitions, recognize synergies and cost savings through our integration process, increase our unit holder distributions, and improve our coverage ratio over time. In addition to the third-party acquisitions we are targeting an additional 10% to 12% increase in our equity interest in CST Fuel Supply in 2016. It is important to note that due to the NTI organic growth plans in our sponsor the volume of CST Fuel Supply is expected to grow over time as will our ownership interests helping to ensure long-term volume growth for the partnership in the future.

  • Finally we fully recognize that our business is seasonal and that third quarter is typically our strongest operating quarter of the year, but we truly believe we have a supportive drop-down sponsor in CST and with the continued acquisition opportunities in the marketplace, a capital structure flexible enough to take advantage of these opportunities, and the continued improvement we are seeing in our operations, we are in a position to continue to deliver volume growth for our unitholders for many years to come.

  • With that we will now open up for questions.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. (Operator Instructions). And our first question comes from Ben Bienvenu from Stephens. Ben, please go ahead.

  • Ben Bienvenu - Analyst

  • Thanks, good morning. Nice quarter.

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Morning.

  • Ben Bienvenu - Analyst

  • So maybe first just in reference to some of the NTI new store builds. I would be curious to know since you guys spun out how, if at all, have the new store build formats evolved? Have there been any changes or tweaks that you have been able it make over the course of the last two years or so there?

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Well, we continue to build on a format that's 4500 to 5500 square foot print. One of the things we have been doing is introducing our made to order food program that we launched in our Nice N Easy acquisition. And our first NTI opens up here in San Antonio in two weeks so we're very excited about that. I think we have another four or five stores that are set to get that as well here shortly.

  • Ben Bienvenu - Analyst

  • Okay. Great. And then maybe just around the -- your pricing strategy in the quarter or ... you achieved really, really strong fuel margins, but you also managed to achieve really strong gallon and merchandise sales margins. I would be curious to know many how you're pricing strategy played out during the quarter. And then also did you have the opportunity to reinvest any of that margin into promotions during the quarter, despite having a really strong merchandise margin as well?

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Sure. we have continually spoken about this before but we have really continued to work on that balancing between the volume sold and the fuel margin that we capture to maximize the gross profit dollars at each of the site and continue to be more site-specific on how we balance that margin and volume goals. And some of our New to Industry stores may have a different approach as we open those and try to attract new customers into those stores. But I do think we are doing a good job of managing our sites and I think the results that you saw in the quarter certainly reflect that fact. In terms of promotions, we have been working on our brand strategy and we will continue to push that as well, but we're very pleased with both our inside store margins and gross profit dollars an what we achieved out at the pumps as well.

  • Ben Bienvenu - Analyst

  • Great. And then just lastly quickly I noticed you guys have been pretty radically buying back CAPL stock and Clay touched on that. I also noticed there was a little bit of over $2.5 million of newly issued units to CST. Looks to be in part some compensation for the $8 million management fee. What are the parameters around that and could you pay -- could CAPL pay all of the $8 million management fee with newly issued shares?

  • Clay Killinger - EVP, CFO

  • Yes, Ben. This is Clay. It could payback down the discharges in cash or with newly issued shares and it's been our practice recently to increase our ownership interest in the partnership and continue to support them. So we're supporting them by taking as many units as we can and all the transactions that we have partnership as well as having the CrossAmerica units purchase plan implemented.

  • Ben Bienvenu - Analyst

  • Okay. Great. Nice quarter. Best of luck.

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Our next question comes from Bonnie Herzog from Wells Fargo. Bonnie, please go ahead.

  • Bonnie Herzog - Analyst

  • Thanks. Good morning.

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Good morning, Bonnie.

  • Bonnie Herzog - Analyst

  • I have a two-part question on your New to Industry builds. First it looks like the pace of opening the new stores has slowed considerably with your guidance suggesting around 26 to 31 stores need to be opened in Q4. So could you help us understand if something has happened to slow this down or were you always planning to have them back-end loaded? And then second I wanted to see if you could give us some more color on the performance of the NTIs, especially relative to your legacy stores since it seems like the performance for these continues to lag, especially when I look at the fuel gallons sold, which was down 6% for NTIs.

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Sure. Well, in terms of our construction pace more back half-weighted as we came into 2015. Part of that is just the timing of when we got the properties. We really ramped our build post the spin date and -- and our plans for the builds but to do that you have to gets the property into the queue and get the permitting process done. And so for the 2015 builds, we knew they were second half-weighted. We had a lot of rain that has pushed some of them into the fourth quarter but I think we're still on pace. We have got a lot of openings this quarter in particular I'm very excited about this. Certainly not a reflection of any slowing at all on our part. It's just Mother Nature intervening in that process.

  • And then secondly I think we still continue to be very pleased with the performance of our new stores. When you think about it over half of our stores, or close to half of our stores out there are less than two years old and as we said all along it takes about three years to ramp-up to pace and so they continue to still deliver strong volume. But on average twice our overall network, our merchandise sales continue to be strong, 69% greater than our overall network. Our merchandise margins are greater than our overall network so we continue to very pleased with the NTI program and look to continue to develop that over the years to come.

  • Bonnie Herzog - Analyst

  • Okay. That's helpful. And then I did have a question on your acquisition that you announced this morning. Broadly I think it's very positive and seems like a great opportunity to gain some best practices, especially in QSR so I was hoping you could talk a little bit more about the real opportunities there? And then curious to hear how much you can leverage the DC in Georgia? And what could be a realistic lift in merch margins from this? And then the final question on the acquisitions from me is why wasn't this acquisition done with CAPL and does this suggest maybe a strategic shift for future acquisitions?

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Sure. In terms of your first question, let's just step back, we're very excited about where we stand on this process and we really look forward to being able to announce the final terms of the agreement and having them join our family. It is a strategic growth market for us as we talked -- we were looking for markets where we can build our NTIs and come to some sort of scale on our market and clearly with this as our store base there and the opportunities to build new stores all around will really make I think a terrific acquisition for us. Great cultural fit. I just can't say enough good things about how we excited we are about the Flash Foods network joining the CST network.

  • So in terms of merchandise life and margin lifts and things like that it's still too early to tell, Bonnie but we're very excited about the opportunities both from the distribution center and being able to leverage that not only for us but also for CrossAmerica and some of the stores that -- that their dealers operate in that area as well. I think there's some real opportunities for us from a growth standpoint not just existing stores but from an NTI standpoint as well. So for us, a very exciting day to be able to announce that we're almost across the finish line on that front.

  • Jeremy Bergeron - President

  • Yes, Bonnie. This is Jeremy. I will answer your question about signaling change in terms of how we look at acquisitions and it really does. I think it demonstrates the ability we have with both organizations to continue to execute on our growth strategy while still being considerate of today's market conditions. Where the partnership's yield, where we're currently trading -- we're looking to grow but at measured pace and drops were CST and acquisitions can be timed and ensure we are effectively utilizing outline of our capital resources including our debt revolver capacity and even the significant real estate we have in our portfolio. So that really the power of having a strong MLP/sponsor relationship is to grow through market cycle.

  • Bonnie Herzog - Analyst

  • Okay. Thanks. And then if I could circle back on something, Kim, you mentioned. With the acquisition (inaudible) the 15 real estate sites. So if I'm thinking about the guidance this year for NTI is it fair to then assume that your guidance for next year could ramp considerably for NTI if I think about how much of your planning on building versus buying in the future?

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Sure. We continue to want to add to the NTI profits and build on numbers that we built this year as well and so you will see those add to it and I think that this gives us new market to build them in. Our focus has been in our existing footprint here in Texas. But we had several was stores in Louisiana and Phoenix as well so this is just another growth market for us and I think you will see us continue to add to the NTI numbers that we add each year.

  • Bonnie Herzog - Analyst

  • Okay. Thank you.

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from Ben Brownlow from Raymond James. Ben, please go ahead.

  • Ben Brownlow - Analyst

  • Hi. Good morning. Congrats on a great quarter.

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Good morning.

  • Ben Brownlow - Analyst

  • Just wanted to follow up on some of the last questions in terms of the Flash acquisition. Can you just give us a little bit more color in terms of the reason why those sites went to the market? Any additional color on the real estate profile in terms of asset ownership, location, street corner, highway, et cetera?

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Yes. There is significant ownership of the real estate that's there. So we're excited about that, it really fits our overall market structure our approach to building NTIs on properties that we own the real estate. In terms of the motivation for the sellers really that's not something I can speak to. I think that is certainly a great cultural fit between what they have developed and the legacy that they have developed and I am honored that they have chosen us to continue that legacy to build on that legacy. We have said all along that I think we are a great acquire and aggregator of a lot of these great family businesses that are out there. I think the Nice N Easy network, Erickson family, and now we have Flash Foods to add to that mix. So it's certainly starting to bear out and culture is a huge piece of it.

  • Ben Brownlow - Analyst

  • Great. And I guess just to ask maybe Bonnie's questions a little bit differently. In terms of the DC is the intent to continue operating that internally or do you think you will outsource that or possibly divest it or any initial thoughts on that facility?

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • We're going to evaluate all alternatives associated with it but we own our own distribution center in Texas and a lot of that out of that center for all of stores our stores here in the States and I would think that we would continue to look at that distribution center in Georgia the same way.

  • Ben Brownlow - Analyst

  • Okay. And then just one last one for me. In terms of the strategic divestiture with the California store base, can you just talk through maybe the process there? Is there an intent to take that to the market for bids or just any -- any color there?

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Sure. We're evaluating all the various options for it including outright sale, potentially moving into the dealer markets and anything in between that process. I think the reality he is we looked at where are we investing our dollars and our resources. The California market while a great fuel contributor and incredible great core of employees with long tenure with us, the reality was we couldn't implement either our in-store programs that we have been working hard on and we couldn't run our NTI build process either. And so shifting those resources to Georgia and Florida with the Flash Foods is a terrific way for us to redeploy the value and the resources that we have in California right now.

  • Ben Brownlow - Analyst

  • Great. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from Matthew Boss from JPMorgan. Matthew, please go ahead.

  • Esteban Gomez - Analyst

  • Good morning, guys. This is Esteban on for Matt. Congrats on a good quarter. Just kind of reconcile the funding to go forward NTI store growth. So the Flash acquisition announced appears to be relatively large on the CST side and your 2020 vision assumes verticals of your NTI growth. So in light of the MLP yield environment how much of these go forward NTI builds do you expect to be funded by the MLP versus CST's free cash flow?

  • Clay Killinger - EVP, CFO

  • Well, as you know, CrossAmerica's units price has been impacted in the last quarter by the downturn in the MLP market. This is primarily caused by the rapid fall of crude prices, and as a consequence, our cost of capital increased. As reflected in its yield which is over 9% right now. So with this current yield the real estate sale/leaseback transactions between CST and CrossAmerica are not in CrossAmerica's best interest. As I alluded to in last quarter's conference call we have been evaluating numerous options from monetizing NTI real estate and that includes certain legacy real estate as well as acquired real estate that would provide us alternative vehicles to fund our CapEx next year and I don't understand.

  • There are several other options under evaluation that could provide very good cost efficient capital with minimal tax leakage. Kim mentioned where appropriate we are using 1031 lifetime exchange tax elections action. We have also looked at doing tax free spin of real estate but as you know -- or may know the IRS has recently ceased providing private letter rulings on these types of transactions. And they have expressed criticism over their structure, so implementing this type of strategy might be challenging. So we're going to review our with the Board in the next few months and we anticipate making a final decision sometime in the first half of 2016 but we're very optimistic that future sale/leaseback transactions can be done in another alternative form that will provide us a great form of financing.

  • Esteban Gomez - Analyst

  • Got it thanks for the color. And then it looks like the cadence has dropped down on fuel gallons at least until 2020 at the current rate. Just wondering what your plans are now for returning to 50% splits at the capital level? I know in the past you have called out 27 to reach these splits. Is it still the case today?

  • Jeremy Bergeron - President

  • Yes. This is Jeremy. I will cover that. I mean the cadence of the drops is conditions obviously dependent upon market conditions -- what's going on in the overall MLP market, where is CrossAmerica yield trading at, what are the acquisition opportunities that we can take advantage of. So I mean we try to give a little bit of color to kind of let you see kind of what we see out into the future. And so we see in 2020 we should at CrossAmerica, pending all these issues, have our ownership interest in CST Fuel Supply grow to up to 75%. The point we're trying to make also in the slide is that this isnt just a static or a declining overall fuel supply. This is a potential to really grow over time as CST continues to execute on their NTI strategies. So that is a -- additional benefit obviously to the partnership because all of this volumes get added to the top as they continues to grow. You combine that with this acquisition of Flash Foods and the potential for that to be dropped into the partnership going forwards, and you can start to see as you move forward both organizations is growing and that fuel continuing to drop and be a good source of good cash flow in the partnership. So that's about the best we can give as far as future color but it's obviously based on market conditions.

  • Esteban Gomez - Analyst

  • Got it. Thanks for the color again.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from Damian Witkowski from Gabelli. Damian, please go ahead.

  • Damian Witkowski - Analyst

  • Hi. Good morning. Question on your 2020 vision just out of curiosity when you talk about 30% of fuel gross profit -- I'm sorry 30% of overall gross profit coming from fuel what are you using as a cents per gal in your internal 2020 vision?

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • So we said before we use for purposes planning the three year historical average which right now is at $0.17 a gallon.

  • Damian Witkowski - Analyst

  • Okay. Okay. Thanks.

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Five year.

  • Clay Killinger - EVP, CFO

  • Five year.

  • Damian Witkowski - Analyst

  • Five year average. Okay.

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Yes.

  • Damian Witkowski - Analyst

  • And then just my -- my question that I ask every quarter. Just in terms of geographically in the US are you seeing anything different in terms of demand in your Texas market versus other markets?

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Sure. I mean we really -- we have continued to believe and are seeing great things in our Texas stores. As we said before about 2% of our stores are down in the Eagle Ford area. That is the one area that we are seeing a slight slowdown when we had initially opened those stores. I think expect it to happen given the impact of the commodity market and on the production activity going on in the Eagle Ford area and other crude wells as well. But again those stores are only about 2% of our overall network and as I said before when they first opened they were extraordinary sales and they settled down to be more strong -- very strong NTI sales as well. So that's where we feel -- again it's only a handful of stores about 2% of our overall network are in that area. Otherwise Texas economy and strength we continue to see great growth there. We're opening new stores. We're getting new customers in the doors, and are very pleased with the results that we're seeing across the state.

  • Damian Witkowski - Analyst

  • Okay. And then just lastly on how do you think about -- I know you have been buying back -- not buying back but purchasing shares of CAPL how do you think about internally using your free cash flow to buy back your own shares which I think have been and continue to be undervalued versus CAPL?

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • So we just look at the balance between the two. Clearly our purchases of the partnership units it reflect our belief in the strength of that relationship and our relationship with CrossAmerica. But as you saw, also did some purchases in the quarter of CST shares as well and I agree with you. I think it's a good buying opportunity.

  • Damian Witkowski - Analyst

  • Thanks and congrats on a strong quarter.

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from Sharon Lui from Wells Fargo. Sharon, please go ahead.

  • Sharon Lui - Analyst

  • Hi. Good morning. Just following up on the question on the pace of the drop down. Is the targeted 10% to 12% for next year based on CAPL's current cost of capital and is the plan till to complete all the drop-downs by 2020?

  • Jeremy Bergeron - President

  • Sharon, this is Jeremy. Yes, that is based on where CrossAmerica is currently trading. So we think a 10% to 12% acquisition of fuel supply in 2016 is a good cadence for the partnership to continue to make our commitment to our unitholders to continue the growth while also ensuring we have a strong coverage ratio over time and we continue to manage our business internally, control costs it also grow cash flow. So that's based off of where things are today.

  • And the 2020 we'll see what happens in the market. We have positioned ourselves to weather almost any market cycle. So we can continue this pace, we can continue MP into 2016 and if the market returns in 2017 and I don't understand then we can return to the aggressive nature of our growth strategy, but we have just positioned ourselves to take advantage of any market cycle.

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Sure. And let me add something on to that and some of the questions we got at the last call. With each dropdown it is a fair market analysis for the price of the partnership pays for that fuel drop and that is determined by two independent committees one at CrossAmerica and one at CST who have used outside financial advisors to advise them well. So in each case I would expect that when we do a fuel drop there will be another evaluation from a fair market analysis standpoint. So in this case multiples paid last year are likely not to be the same multiples next year. It's all dependent on the then-existing market conditions that are there.

  • And I will just echo what Jeremy said our pace of dropdown is continued out through 2020. I think our acquisitions like the Flash Food acquisition certainly add to our inventory of items that we can sell to the partnership through a fuel standpoint. So I think it's certainly reflective of what I believe is a very strong relationship between CrossAmerica and CST.

  • Sharon Lui - Analyst

  • That's very helpful. I guess just based on this initial target is there a goal for distribution growth based on this pace of drop-downs for 2016?

  • Jeremy Bergeron - President

  • We haven't finalized that yet, Sharon. I mean we look forward to continue to grow distribution into 2016, but the level and the rate of that we haven't -- we haven't given any further guidance on that.

  • Sharon Lui - Analyst

  • Okay. And I guess with regards to the strategic review for your California sites-- how should we think about I guess the impact on CAPL? Are some of the volumes included is that CST Fuel Supply? If you can give maybe a rough estimate of what's the gallons associated with those sites.

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Sure. As I said, we are evaluating a variety of strategic options with respect to that network. And simply you're right, Sharon, we are acknowledging that a portion of the California fuel supply is owned indirectly by CrossAmerica through its ownership of 17.35% of that CST Fuel Supply. Obviously that's going to be factored into any outcome that we get to, but it's still too early at this stage to say exactly how that will play out.

  • Jeremy Bergeron - President

  • Yes. Sharon, as we mentioned, CST mentioned, it is under strategic review and that opened up a lot of different alternatives to look at what's going to happen. So as far as how the fuel is going to be continued to be supplied into the California markets that is something that will continue to be considered regardless if the stores are going to be operated by CST or not. So it is -- it is under strategic review and there's a lot of considerations to -- be looked at, so I'm sure we're going to be looking at them together.

  • Sharon Lui - Analyst

  • Okay. Great. Thank you.

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Thanks, Sharon.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from Nathan Judge from Janney Montgomery. Nathan, please go ahead.

  • Nathan Judge - Analyst

  • Good morning. I had some questions with regard to the CrossAmerica results. Specifically, you all did a great job of cutting costs in the quarter and just wanted to get an idea of how we should think about those lower level of costs going forward.

  • Jeremy Bergeron - President

  • Yes, Nathan. So obviously 2015 starting really in the back half of 2014 has been a pretty aggressive growth cycle for the partnership and so there's a lot of businesses that we have acquired along the way. And one of the things that we said before that is a focus of the organization is have a strong integration strategy to ensure we're bringing those assets into the partnership and moving them when appropriate over into CST. I think part of that is looking at expenses that are in the underlying business and leveraging our size and scale and our operating capabilities to ensure that we are reducing those expenses where appropriate. So the cadence of the cost reductions is going to be dependent upon the nature of the acquisitions and when they occur and how effective we are in doing that. So we look forward to continuing to do that. We still think there is an opportunity to further reduce expenses in the partnership and we look forward to doing that into 2016.

  • Nathan Judge - Analyst

  • Just to be specific is operating cost in the wholesale division was off around 50% from your second quarter, do we simply expect on an absolute levels these kind of levels to continue unless you do another deal?

  • Jeremy Bergeron - President

  • Well, once again, it's hard to say. Keep in mind earlier last year the partnership acquired PMI assets over in the Virginia market and with that was a lot of other ancillary businesses that wasn't long-term -- best fit within the partnership. So there has been a divestiture of those businesses, some truck hauling business, some home heat business as well as some other commercial fuels business as well. And so there has been through 2015 a concerted effort specific to them to reduce those expenses and to find a better home for those assets. Once again, I would be hesitant to give you a cadence of what you can expect going forwards. Suffice it to say as we go through our acquisitions, you should continue to see reduction in the expenses as we bring those assets into the partnership.

  • Nathan Judge - Analyst

  • Okay. And just on the wholesale margin if you look at the sequential improvement in the margin, it went from $0.052 to around $0.061 second quarter 2015 to third quarter 2015, and it looks based upon what I'm looking at is this impact from dealer tank wagon pricing. I know you said, had some commentary about that in the quarter. What I'm confused about, though, is if you look at the third quarter 2014 when fuel was much higher, you didn't have the near the impact that you had in the second to third quarter and during that period of time you had some relatively more stable fuel pricing. So I'm kind of wondering how do we look at this -- this margin going forward?

  • Jeremy Bergeron - President

  • Sure, Nathan. And we are happy to kind of go over this with you offline and give you a detailed breakdown of how that happened, but just a general overview once again when you start comparing year-over-year and you look at the differential and the absolute price of wholesale gasoline prices it varies as drop-off as we have guided if there was a big drop-off of that wholesale gasoline price it will impact our overall terms discount we receive from our suppliers. However, on the movement down because over 20% of our wholesale volume is based off of what we call a rack to retail margin we do see the benefit like other retail operators in that expanded margin at that time. So as it moves down, we see the benefit but when you do the comparison year over year and look back then you can see that there is a difference in that term's discount. So once again happy to go over that with you in detail but that's just generally kind of how it works.

  • Nathan Judge - Analyst

  • Let me just ask you directly why did the margin improve 15% from second quarter to third quarter? Is it -- is it -- I mean in that period of time you didn't have the down price that you had -- the fuel price is much more stable than it was a year ago so.

  • Jeremy Bergeron - President

  • Well, I think crude oil -- I'm sorry I cut you off. I do think crude oil fell off over $10 from second quarter to third quarter. So I do think what we have tried to show on slide 18 is the improvement we saw in dealer tank wagon. So that is -- that is what occurred over that period and that is the evidence. As we said before, as the price goes down we get a bigger benefit from having exposure to rack to retail margins and the negative effect to the dealer tank way done and this is evident of what happened in the third quarter.

  • Nathan Judge - Analyst

  • Okay. Oil prices were much lower this year like $50, $60 a barrel lower in the third quarter of this year than last year. That's the confusing part to me. Moving on, though, if we go to the overall -- if we look at the CST operations the review of the California, how much does that if you do divest that business how much does that get you towards your 70% food target the percentage of gross margins by 2020? What does that do specifically to shift that?

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Well, clearly there's (inaudible) store profits there's 76 stores on the base of 1000, so in terms of the overall percentage of change it's not all that material at the macro level. But clearly as you can see just on some of the charts that we've provided here, the California network itself today is 70% gross profit from fuel versus the 40% of the remaining network so from a directional standpoint we will certainly continue to add to our ability to focus more on the inside store gross profit dollar increases.

  • Nathan Judge - Analyst

  • Okay. So if it doesn't shift much and just looking at it as a percentage, would imply that the growth of fuel is going to be pretty low over that next three years, four year period? Or is it suggesting that perhaps fuel is going to continue at the pace it had been but food -- nonfuel is just going to go at a much faster pace.

  • Hal Adams - SVP, Chief Marketing Officer

  • Hi. This is Hal. So if I can take a shot at this, I think the second remark you made is more accurate in what we're saying. We're still very bullish on the fuel business. What we're saying is by moving into the Georgia and Florida market we not only have the opportunity to increase our merchandise business because we're going to be in larger stores, but now we're in more open territory to build new stores around those stores which in turn allow them to put larger stores in that market where we do better with merchandise mix and food. In general the strategy is to increase our merchandise sales in our legacy stores, increase our food sales in our legacy stores and build larger stores that provide twice as much merchandise mix than legacy stores. So the overall strategy is to focus on merchandise insides the stores, not necessarily to deemphasize fuel but to emphasize the growth of merchandise.

  • Nathan Judge - Analyst

  • That sounds good. And just finally.

  • Randy Palmer - Director, IR

  • Operator, we have to go on the next questions. We still have a few more. Thank you.

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Thanks, Nathan.

  • Operator

  • And our next question comes from David Hartley from Credit Suisse. Please go ahead.

  • David Hartley - Analyst

  • Thanks. Good morning. Just a question on the acquisition environment and the competitive environment. Can you give some -- some color there and how that looks going forward here?

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Sure. Just in terms of opportunities, David? Is that your question?

  • David Hartley - Analyst

  • Yes. So opportunities for acquisitions what kind of files are you seeing, what are the kind of pricing you might seeing in broad terms and then just competitively across the channel in merchandise or gas or across various channels, i.e. big-box versus your boxes, et cetera in.

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Well, we continue to see I think some great opportunities from an acquisition standpoint evidenced by the fact we're coming into play for us here right now. As we said many times it is a very disaggregated marketplace, fragmented marketplace with lots of great family-owned businesses out there I think we are the perfect home for many of those. And so I continue to be very excited about the opportunities in front of us. Clearly today excited to be able to announce on the Flash Foods piece and I think from a strategic standpoint it is a great platform to continue our growth on both inside the store and our organic growth as well. In terms of the competitive marketplace as I think anyone would say it's going to continue to be a competitive marketplace, but I think that -- that our offering and our stores can compete on any corner anywhere and are very pleased where we stand today.

  • David Hartley - Analyst

  • Okay. And just on the acquisition you announced -- I mean could you give us some color on the kind of throughput through these stores with the kind of average industry and merchandise and/or fuel or would be greater? And then when you look at these -- these stores, I think the average 3,000 square feet per your release, how much capital do you anticipate investing in these stores or what do you see in terms of raze and rebuilds there?

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Well, David, too early for us to kind of give those specifics out. We do like the average square foot being at that 3000 square foot or bigger because we see opportunities there to bring in our food programs and other items but in terms of the precise capital spend we're not there yet. I think the stores are well maintained and present very well in the marketplace there. In terms of just the total fuel volume, as we said in our release, it's about 290 million gallons a year so I think the strong fuel volume as well.

  • David Hartley - Analyst

  • Okay. And just two more quick ones. Esso was auctioning off properties in Canada, about 500 stores. Do you know where they are along in the process? Any idea of when announcements get made?

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • I think that's a better question to ask them.

  • David Hartley - Analyst

  • Pardon me?

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • I think that's a better question for Esso. We're not in a position to answer that one. I'm sorry.

  • David Hartley - Analyst

  • Okay. Understood. And just clarification on an earlier comment. I kind of missed it. Just on real estate monetization I believe was the question. You talked a little bit about some push-back by the IRS on -- on these kind of things. Could you just clarify what you said there in terms of what's happening and is that affecting your ability to dropdown real estate into CAPL?

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Sure. With respect to real estate right now one of the things we are announced for the California properties we do have the opportunity for a like kind of exchange that we are evaluating with respect to the Flash Foods acquisition. I think is a nice way for us to redeploy those into the more strategic market for us. In terms of the comment on the IRS, it's simply that the IRS has indicated they are no longer to give private-letter rulings on a tax free real estate spend. And then so as a result of that it's a little bit more complicated and we continue to analyze it and I think (inaudible) the market we are going evaluating with the Board and likely be coming be back out with an announcement in the first half of 2016 with respect to recommendations for how to try to get more value out of our real estate in the process.

  • David Hartley - Analyst

  • That's helpful. Thanks a lot.

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Thanks, David.

  • Randy Palmer - Director, IR

  • Operator, last question, please.

  • Operator

  • And our last question comes from Alvin Concepcion from Citigroup. Alvin, please go ahead.

  • Alvin Concepcion - Analyst

  • Hi. Good morning. Thanks for taking the question and for the great quarter. I am just curious about the merchandise same-store sales growth if could you provide details on traffic versus ticket and any categories that you point out that on underperformed or underperformed your expectations.

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Well, let me just say generally, we are very happy to see a 4% increase in same-store sales in Canada and the US and then I will turn it over to Hal to give you any more color on that piece.

  • Hal Adams - SVP, Chief Marketing Officer

  • Well, Alvin, we have been working hard on the insides of our sales -- in-store sales growth in addition to growing our -- our margin percentage. As you know, we have been talking about some strategy that we have enacted in the US on milk, bread, and eggs, and improving our traffic count to be the large market basket customer that those items attract. We have also been the beneficiary of a very successful market-leading campaign on energy drinks in our stores particularly in the Southwest that has been very successful. And then in general our food programs continue to gain steam, and food customers generally have a larger market basket as well. So those three items are -- continue to bring incremental improvement quarter-over-quarter and they all -- all of those items bring with them a higher margin percent with them, so we're able to grow both numbers at the same time. I also would point out in Canada we have light increases on same-store sales in Canadian dollars year-over-year we're very proud of and that will actually using some synergy programs between the US and Canada to grow those businesses as well and so our customers in Canada are liking our strategy just as much as they are in the US.

  • Alvin Concepcion - Analyst

  • Thanks for that color and it sounds like favorable mix helped drive the gross margin improvement in merchandise in both the core stores and in NTIs. Do you expect that to continue to improve year-over-year basis going forward and more specifically I guess what kind of margin profile in merchandise do you inspect in your 2020 vision?

  • Kim Lubel - Chairman, CEO

  • Well, certainly it is our job as we continue to grow gross profit dollars both inside and outside store so you can expect that to continue and this Management Team to be -- to be very focused on continuing to grow and particularly the inside store. As we implement more of our food program programs, the made to order programs coming from Nice N Easy down to Texas we are also seeing (inaudible) up in Canada I think really driving home the benefits of some of these acquisition. Nice N Easy has got for us a great food program. The Flash Foods network brings up a lot of innovation around IT, a lot of that will certainly help us look at differently across our network. So I think the results in the third quarter reflects our strategy and the implementation that we're happy to bring those numbers to the market and want to continue to bring those numbers to the market.

  • Alvin Concepcion - Analyst

  • Great. Thank you very much.

  • Randy Palmer - Director, IR

  • Great. Thank you. Okay. That completes today's conference call. We appreciate each of you joining us today. If you do have follow-up questions please feel free to contact us. Thanks for joining us.

  • Operator

  • Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. This concludes today's conference. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.