BWX Technologies Inc (BWXT) 2015 Q3 法說會逐字稿

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by and welcome to BWX Technologies Inc.'s third-quarter 2015 earnings conference call.

(Operator Instructions)

I would now like to turn the call over to our host, Mr. Alan Nethery, BWXT's Vice President Investor Relations and Corporate Procurement. Please go ahead.

Thank you Tawanda, and good morning everyone. We appreciate you joining us to discuss our 2015 third-quarter results, which we reported yesterday afternoon. A copy of our press release is available on the Investor Relations section of our website at BWXT.com. Joining me this morning are John Fees, BWXT's Executive Chairman; Sandy Baker, President and Chief Executive Officer; and David Black, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.

As always, please understand that certain matters discussed on today's call constitute forward-looking statements under federal securities laws. Forward-looking statement involve risks and uncertainties that are described in the Safe Harbor provision at the end of yesterday's press release and the Risk Factor section of our most recent 10-K and 10-Q filings. These risks and uncertainties may cause actual Company results to differ materially. We undertake no obligation to update these forward-looking statements, except where required by law.

On today's call we may also provide non-GAAP financial measures that are reconciled in yesterday's earnings release and our Company overview presentation, both of which are available on the Investor Relations section of BWXT.com. BWXT believes the non-GAAP measures provide meaningful insight into the Company's operational performance and provides these measures to investors to help facilitate comparisons of operating results with prior periods, and to assist them in understanding BWXT's ongoing operations. With that, I will now turn the call over to John.

Thank you, Alan. Good morning everyone. I'm pleased to report that BWX Technologies has delivered another solid quarter. We experienced (technical difficulties) three of our segments compared to the prior-year period, and our Nuclear Operations segment continues to provide strong, steady performance. As a result we delivered $0.40 of adjusted EPS this quarter, a 33% increase over the prior-year period.

We began work on the China steam generator project, which improved our commercial nuclear segment's results. And our Technical Services segment was driven higher by fee performance improvements and favorable rate adjustments. With each of our business segments performing well in the third quarter, we are well positioned for strong results heading into 2016. Let me provide a few details.

Consolidated revenue for the quarter were $359 million, 6% higher than the prior-year quarter. And adjusted earnings per share were $0.40 versus $0.30 in the third quarter of 2014. Non-GAAP operating income totaled $65 million for the period, a 31% increase over the third quarter of 2014. Our backlog is strong, and it stands at $2.8 billion at the end of September, $145 million higher than September 2014.

Bookings for the third quarter totaled $171 million, which is approximately $36 million lower than the third quarter of 2014 due to a Nuclear Energy booking, a large equipment order in the third quarter of 2014. Furthermore, we experienced an unfavorable foreign currency adjustment this quarter in Nuclear Energy that drove our bookings below normalized levels. Despite the low bookings in the third quarter, the Nuclear Energy segment is healthy, continues to have backlog higher than levels seen in the past three years, and is well-positioned for solid growth heading into 2016.

During the third quarter of 2015 we purchased approximately 700,000 shares of BWXT stock at a total cost of $18 million. We plan to accelerate our share repurchase activity in the coming year beyond these levels to increase our return to shareholders. Last week our Board approved a new $300 million repurchase authorization for a two-year period beginning in February 2016. This is in addition to the $329 million of share repurchase authorization capacity set to expire in total by February 2016.

We continue to pursue a balanced capital allocation approach led by share repurchases and appropriate dividends and our selective approach to niche acquisitions, which is underway. Before we get into the details of the operations and segment opportunities which Sandy will present, let me turn it over to David who will discuss the segment results and other financial matters.

Thanks, John. The Nuclear Operations segment reported strong third-quarter revenues of $303 million, up from revenues of $297 million in the same quarter of 2014. The Nuclear Operations segment operating income in the quarter totaled $63 million, an increase of $1 million compared to $62 million in the prior-year period. Backlog in Nuclear Operations at the end of the third quarter was $2.5 billion, $76 million higher than the same period last year.

The Nuclear Energy segment revenues were $35 million in the third quarter of 2015 compared to the revenues of $22 million in the corresponding period of 2014. The increase in revenues in the current quarter was due to an increase in our nuclear services business related to the outage work in Canada, as well as beginning the China steam generator design and build work. Operating income increased to $1 million in the third quarter compared to a loss of $7 million in the third quarter of 2014, also due to the previously mentioned outage work and the China steam generator project as well as improvements in the segment's margin as we continue our ongoing efforts to restructure the segment to produce increased returns.

Return on sales was 4% compared to a loss of 31% in the same period of 2014. Our backlog position in this segment has strengthened significantly, and we see additional opportunities in the pipeline. Backlog at the end of the third quarter was $342 million, an increase of $69 million compared to $273 million a year ago. As John mentioned earlier, our bookings for the Nuclear Energy segment were driven lower this quarter due to an unfavorable foreign currency adjustment related to weakening of the Canadian dollar.

Operating income in Technical Services was $8 million compared to $5 million in the corresponding period of 2014, primarily due to achieving certain performance milestones at one of our sites as well as favorable billing rate adjustments. Since the Technical Services segment primarily operates through unconsolidated joint ventures at its sites, revenue is not particularly meaningful in this segment. We are still on track to spend $15 million on mPower for 2015 to align with existing market conditions. In the quarter mPower spending was $2 million compared to $5 million in the third quarter of 2014, a decrease of $3 million year over year, due to the restructuring of the program to focus on technology development.

For the third-quarter 2015 the Company's GAAP effective tax rate was approximately 32.6%, which includes the benefit of $4.9 million of discrete items related to the conclusion of an IRS audit and the filing of our 2014 federal income tax return. The Company's cash and investments positions net of restricted cash as of September 30, 2015 was $144 million, an increase of $8 million compared to $136 million at the end of 2014.

Third-quarter cash flow represented a net source of cash from operating activities of approximately $156 million. BWXT's second half of the year cash flow is typically higher compared to the first half of year due to receipts of contract retention payments. In addition to the cash flow generated through our normal course of business, we also received $95 million of pretax proceeds from a legal judgment in the third quarter, which I will discuss shortly.

Year-to-date cash flow generated from operating activities, which is inclusive of cash flows generated from our former Power Generation business through the data of the spin, totaled $239 million versus a net usage of $85 million in the prior year-to-date period, primarily due to working capital and project cash flow improvements as well as the proceeds from the legal judgment.

The Company's capital expenditures for the quarter totaled $12 million, which is $2 million less than the capital expenditures in the third quarter of 2014. Depreciation and amortization for the Company was $13 million in the third quarter compared to $12 million in the same quarter last year, which is on pace with our 2015 expectations.

As of September 30, 2015 we have $300 million borrowing under the term loan and letters of credit totaling $70 million under our credit facility. Our liquidity under the credit facility is $530 million, which excludes the additional $250 million accordion provision available to us for the term loan and revolving credit borrowings, as well as letter of credit commitment. The credit facility includes a delay draw feature of $200 million that will expire at the end of the year if not used.

As mentioned earlier, on September 22, 2015 we received an $95 million pretax payment from one of our insurers in satisfaction of a legal judgment. These proceeds contributed $66 million to our GAAP operating income for the third quarter, with the remainder included as interest income. Taxes on these proceeds will be paid in the fourth quarter. In order to facilitate comparisons to historical periods, we've excluded the effects of this payment receipt in our non-GAAP financial information. Now I will hand call over to Sandy for a discussion on the operations and segment opportunities. Sandy?

Thanks David, and good morning everyone. Before I get into the segment details, I would like to extend a welcome to the newest member of our team, Rex Geveden who joined us last Monday. Rex will serve as BWXT's Chief Operating Officer reporting to me, and will be responsible for all of BWXT's government and commercial Nuclear Operations in the US and Canada. We are pleased to have Rex on the team, and his experience in domestic and international work from both commercial and government clients is an ideal fit for the execution of our strategic priorities.

Now moving to the segment operations. Our Nuclear Operations group continued its strong performance and we were again able to achieve a very solid operating margin due to smart execution of the backlog and increased manufacturing volume. As a result, we improved both revenue and operating income compared to the third quarter of 2014.

The nuclear fuel services operation which manufactures nuclear fuel for the US Navy and supports nuclear non-proliferation through down-blending activities delivered solid results again this quarter with growth in both revenue and op income. And we continued to perform well on our first missile tube contract. Our bookings for the quarter were $63 million higher and our backlog is $76 million higher than the same period last year, leaving us well positioned for the future.

We continued discussions with our customer regarding the next product pricing agreement that will set the prices for the annually funded procurements for the next three government FYs. If this agreement is delayed into the first quarter of 2016, we expect no significant disruptions to delivery or manufacturing schedules. But we will work with our customer for initial procurements to avoid any adverse schedule or cost variances.

If the discussions take longer than expected, you may see delays in our next-quarter bookings for the Nuclear Operations. But this should not have a material impact on revenue or income. We expect the total awards under this pricing agreement to be approximately $3 billion, inclusive of the work for our nuclear fuel services business.

Looking ahead, we have several opportunities for organic growth in the Nuclear Operations segment. The missile tube work that we continue to pursue is valued at $1.5 billion over the next 15 to 20 years, and we believe we are well positioned for consolidation opportunities within that supplier base. The Ohio Class replacement program is in the design development phase, and we will begin production of this new class in 2018/2019. We are continuing to leverage our unique design and manufacturing capabilities and regulatory licenses to pursue further commercial opportunities in the medical target and emerging reactor markets.

Moving to Nuclear Energy. We began work on our China steam generator design-and-build contract, which was booked in the second quarter of this year. In addition, our Canadian services business had a great quarter due to fall outage work and additional inspection and maintenance work for the Canadian utilities. The segment's financials have continued to improve due to our efforts to reduce costs and resize that business to match the markets we serve. By the end of 2016 we expect to achieve a 10% margin in the Nuclear Energy business on a full-year basis.

In 2016 we expect strong revenue and operating income growth from the Nuclear Energy business, driven primarily by the Darlington Life Extension project in Canada and the ramp-up of the steam generator design-and-build contract in China, both of which are in backlog. In addition, we expect growth from booked service work in Eastern Europe and expansion of our new plants business where we provide design services for Generation IV reactor developers.

Regarding the Canadian Life Extension projects in Canada, we continue to keep an open dialogue with both Bruce Power and Ontario Power Generation to capitalize on these opportunities as they progress toward government approval of up to 10 reactor refurbishment projects valued at over $20 billion. Execution of these projects would occur between 2017 and 2035, and our opportunity is for the supply of steam generators, heat exchangers, waste containers, feeders and refurbishment services. This scope represents up to 10% of the total Life Extension project value. During 2016 we expect to see bookings opportunities for engineering and procurement of long-lead components in support of the additional Bruce Power projects.

In Eastern Europe, in addition to the early work we've already booked, we see additional opportunity related to a need for maintenance services on steam generators in Romania. If awarded, this would be our largest services contract outside of North America.

The Technical Services group continues to perform well on its current contracts and remains especially active in the DOE laboratory management, national security and environmental management areas. The operating income performance this quarter beat our expectations, primarily due to improved fee in one of our sites associated with achieving certain performance-based milestones as well as favorable billing rate adjustments compared to the prior-year period. We're still expecting to deliver operating income between $15 million and $20 million for the full-year 2015.

Beyond 2015 we are optimistic concerning the segment's long-term growth prospects and are proceeding with the bid process on several project extensions, rebids and new contracts that will contribute to the segment's operating income growth starting in 2017. Some of the more significant projects include management and operations of the Nevada National Security site, Savannah River site and the Sandia National Laboratory. That concludes our discussion on the segment operations. I will hand the call back over to John for a discussion of the Company's outlook for the remainder of 2015 and 2016.

Thanks, Sandy. At our Investor Analyst Day held in June we provided guidance for 2015 on a segment basis. That guidance remains largely unchanged. We expect the Nuclear Operations segment to achieve revenues consistent with the levels achieved in the last two years and the operating margin to be in the high teens for the remainder of the year, with some potential upside as we have seen in our recent quarters.

For TSG we anticipate achieving operating income in the range of $15 million to $20 million. We expect Nuclear Energy revenues to be between $150 million and $175 million with an operating margin in the low-single digits. We are on track to deliver these results in each business as predicted. Due to our strong results year to date, we expect the adjusted 2015 EPS to be at the higher end of our 2015 guidance range of $1.30 to $1.40 per share.

Given the high degree of visibility we have in really any out-year and the fact that BWXT is new in this consolidated story, we have been looking into 2016 and we wanted to give you some advanced look at to what we will expect. We will expect to achieve consolidated revenues between $1.4 billion and $1.45 billion and an adjusted EPS of $1.45 to a $1.55 a share. For our segments we expect the Nuclear Operations revenues to be consistent with the levels we've achieved in the last three years and expect an operating margin in the high teens with some potential for upside.

In our Technical Services segment we expect operating profit in the range of $15 million to $20 million as we continue to focus on improving the business and adding to new projects. In our Nuclear Energy segment we expect revenues to be between $160 million and $190 million. With the margin improvement plan still on track, we expect to achieve full-year operating margin of 10% by the end of the year. Our spending on mPower is expected to remain at or below $15 million while we continue to evaluate options for the program between our partners.

Our unallocated corporate costs are expected be between $15 million and $20 million with an effective tax rate for the Company between 34% to 36%. We do expect to increase our total CapEx to between $55 million and $60 million. The increase is driven primarily by the Nuclear Operations segment in order to prepare itself for the Ohio Class replacement work. For your reference, the full list of our 2016 guidance is included in our press release that we issued yesterday evening.

To reiterate, we are committed to a balanced capital allocation approach and plan to commit our capital to programs that we believe will most benefit our shareholders, whether it is through share repurchases, dividends, M&A or organic growth initiatives. In this regard, through our share repurchases we have been below our expectations due to conservative assumptions placed in the purchase matrix of our 10b5-1 plan. We plan to accelerate our share repurchases with a revised approach and will continue to assess all capital allocation alternatives available and update you on our capital employment activities as they occur.

To wrap up, I would like to emphasize that the third quarter demonstrate our focus on our customers, the strength of our Company, the commitment of our employees and our commitment to our shareholders. Energy continues to be a solid core business with strong margins and NE is positioned well for growth and margin improvements in 2016. And TSG is on the path for a long-term operating income growth. As a whole, we see good prospects deliver a great finish to 2015 and a strong performance in 2016. That concludes our prepared remarks. I will now turn the call back over to the operator who will assist you in taking your questions.

(Operator Instructions)

Michael Ciarmoli, KeyBanc Capital Markets.

Good morning, guys. Nice quarter. Thanks for taking my question. Maybe first just on the current year outlook, EPS coming in towards the high end. You did have that $5 million discrete tax item in the quarter. Was that already embedded in the guidance, or is that part of the reason why the EPS slides up to the high end?

That was part of the reason why, because we were waiting for an audit completion which we don't forecast, and then a discrete item. So that was not -- and that's part of the reason why for the third quarter it is in there.

Okay, perfect. Then looking out into 2016, obviously you guys have great visibility and predictability here. Looking at not a lot of top-line growth, margins look to be -- and I can appreciate the conservatism. On the EPS line, can you give us a sense of what's embedded there in the buyback just optically it looks like most of that bottom-line growth is going to come from a buyback. So do you guys have that built in there, or is it just more conservatism on the operating margins?

There's an influence in 2016 results from what we are assuming on the buyback scenario, and we are really going to let you get a view of that as we achieve results in that area. But I would say that should not be necessarily the total focus for 2016. 2016 is driven largely by operational performance. It is driven largely by cost control and cost management and things along those lines. Certainly there is an influence, but I would not consider it to be the predominant factor in our view on 2016.

Got it. On that topic, will there be any headwind on margins from either the acceleration or just elevated activity on the missile tubes, or even as you guys plan [to bump the] CapEx for the Ohio Class, will that result in any overhead absorption headwinds that you guys are battling into next year?

No.

Okay. Last one for me and then I will jump off here. Two-year budget deal. Obviously more good news for the defense industry. Does that give you any (technical difficulties) and as you are working with your customers, or is it more of a neutral impact to you guys?

It is a neutral impact. We have pretty good visibility into the forecast of what the government is going to buy. It is already included in the pricing agreement we're now discussing with government. So it all stands up pretty solid.

Okay. Great. Thanks, guys. I will jump back in the queue here. Thanks.

Bob Labick, CJS Securities.

Good morning and congratulations on a great start as a standalone.

Thanks, Bob.

Sure. Just wanted to start, I know you touched on this slightly before, certainly. But on the missile tube project, can you tell us the next steps and milestones and when we may hear if you are in, if you are one of three, one of two, et cetera? What should we expect to hear over what time period?

Yes, we are in discussions now so I cannot talk great deal about it. But we expect by the first half of 2016 we will hear regarding the next block buy for missile tubes. And I certainly anticipate that BWXT will be a major player in that.

Okay, great. Then just generally speaking, commodity prices have obviously fallen a significant amount over the last year or so. And I know you guys have very long lead times on what you build. And how does the lower prices impact your margins? And not only on what's in your pipeline and what you are building, but also on that new procurement and pricing on a go-forward basis?

Yes, commodity prices can have a significant impact up or down, and we watch those very closely and take advantage of them as appropriate. In some cases that's already in our pricing. So it provides perhaps negligible benefit. Some cases it provides an improvement. So we pay close attention to the commodities market and we strike as appropriate.

Okay, great. Then you mentioned the CapEx going up to $55 million, $60 million for the Ohio Class replacement. Should we think that as kind of a normalized level going through 2018 or 2020, or will it continue to go up, or is it a one-year build-out in CapEx?

I think you can consider the $55 million, $60 million now going to be a normalized level. We feel that the CapEx for the Ohio replacement could be $25 million over a three- to four-year period. So we built that in there to levelize that.

Okay, great. Last one for me, and I will jump back. You mentioned in terms of your capital allocation strategic M&A as a potential as well. I know it is early. It is hard to find businesses with the visibility and the margin profile that you guys have. Can you give us a sense of what types of things you're looking at - in terms of M&A? And obviously you've already said you're accelerating your share repurchase, because that's another opportunity with your capital allocation. But can you find stuff as good as the current business?

We've got a great business, we've got a great client in the [naval] reactors business. We also have good customers in the Department of Energy and some of our Nuclear Energy customers. We think there's a view into other adjacencies and other things that line up with what we do well as a Company, which is high critical, must-work application, whether it be in commercial, like a commercial nuclear or as well as a naval-type product which we build.

So there are some opportunities there. We are looking at those. We are aggressively pursuing them. I would categorize them at this point to be more additive as opposed to transformational relative to the overall Company. But we do have some nice options by which we can deploy capital. But like we've always talked about with acquisitions, I think you look at a lot of them and you buy very few. And you try to be focused on value and value creation as opposed to just buying things for buying things' sake. So we're very deliberate in our process. We are well underway, and we will see where that takes us.

But we certainly have the capacity to do a reasonable amount of work there. But we always use return of capital to shareholders as sort of a benchmark. We certainly have to exceed any kind of return that we can give to our shareholders in that regard to really make it additive for creation of shareholder value. So that's generally our philosophy approach in this.

Okay, great. Thanks very much.

(Operator Instructions)

Robert Norfleet, Alembic Global Advisors.

Hi, good morning. This is actually Nick Chen for Rob Norfleet. Congratulations on a great quarter, and thanks for taking our questions.

Thanks, Nick.

I was hoping you guys could just give a quick update of current dynamics in the down-blending market, and any potential new opportunities you are seeing there?

Sure. We are in the throes of finalizing a contract with the government for the next tranche of down-blending, which will be about 10 metric tons. We expect to see that in the late first quarter, early second quarter of next year. That will be a sizable contract for us. And after that, there is still other material in the pipeline that we see as available for down-blending. And in support of the nuclear nonproliferation program that the government has, we expect that to continue.

Great. Just getting into a little bit more detail there. Can you remind us of sort of, and I'm not sure how much detail you can provide, sort of what the rates are per ton for down-blending that? Then just also in terms of what the market out there is, is there any way to quantify what the potential could be there?

On the rates, I cannot discuss that, that's -- we operate in a competitive environment there. And to discuss the rates would be not appropriate for me. Yes, it is hard to quantify what the total available material size is because they use that material for other things. But it is -- it exceeds all the work we've already done on down-blending. So it is sizable quantity.

That's very helpful. Thanks again, guys. Take care.

Thanks, Nick.

Paul Dircks, William Blair.

Hello. Good morning, guys.

Good morning.

Just a couple questions for me. First of all on the Nuclear Operations business, obviously in the prepared remarks and in the 2016 guidance, you had mentioned that there is some room for upside from beyond the high teens levels. So I just want to kind of press you on that to find out, is that comment based on your negotiations for the next market basket? Is it perhaps based on some of the success you've had with the nuclear fuel services business? Or what kind is behind that business to suggest some room for upside next year in NOG margins?

Yes, I will take that on. The work that goes on inside of NOG, as John mentioned in his opening remarks, is centered around our cost control, cost management, cost reduction program. Although we do predict that will continue very much like it has in the past, there continues to be opportunity in that arena to achieve better and larger savings. So we push on that very hard.

We don't forecast to flawless performance. Occasionally we do get flawless performance and things work out well. So we think there is an upside there. We think in the commodities market that we talked about earlier, there's some upside there. The market basket, the pricing agreement we are working on with our customer now will have little impact in 2016.

That is helpful. I appreciate the color. One more for me as well. On the share repurchases and the announcement today, obviously the announcement of the new authorization coming in 2016 does not necessarily mean that you will execute the remainder of your existing program before the end of February. So I just wanted to ask, I'm not expecting numbers here, but just qualitatively what does accelerating the pace of repurchases actually mean? And to that point, aside from the litigation proceeds that came in the quarter, has there been any change as far as the cash flow from the business to change your thinking on the timing of repurchases?

I will take the repurchase one and give you some color on that. If you take a look at the authorization that expires in February, that was put in place roughly two years ago this coming February. That was put in place on the basis of BWC prior to the spin of B&W and BWXT that occurred in the middle of this year.

What ended up occurring is that we rode on the back of that authorization after the spin and continued to buy back at a certain rate that we prescribed and the matrix that we put out there in a 10(b)5 plan that we described. That matrix was really designed to protect the share repurchase levels in an area of volatility where we would -- there were some expectation based upon advise and analysis that we did as well that there may be some volatility going into the post-spin environment. So that was really -- we wanted to return to shareholders, we wanted -- we felt it was important for us to do that, but we did not want to be caught in traps of periodic volatility. So what we did is we put in place a plan that would best serve that.

What we got instead was really good progress of growth of the share price, which is a great thing. But it did not work well with the grid that we had in play. So what ended up happening is that we purchased below our expectations.

So what our view is going forward is that we wanted to have something that survived that old authorization. So we put a new authorization in place under the new Board that takes place after the other expires, and at the same time simultaneously implementing a grid that would be more aggressive and get closer to our expectations of what we would really like to achieve in that area. As I indicated, we will update you on that as we proceed in the future.

That does not indicate that we would plan to necessarily use the entirety of that authorization before it expires in February. We see this as a continuous program under which we want to go into the future on, but we want to see it as a more aggressive program than we actually achieved and the results that we presented. Then we will see where that takes us.

Obviously it is dependent upon a number of things, including really what happens to the share price, what we think the right levels are going to be based upon the relative share price at any particular five seconds of time as implemented by the grid, and what other alternatives are available to the Company and what the Board looks at on a quarterly basis. So it is dependent upon those variables. I would just say that standing back from it, you should expect a much more aggressive stance and a much -- what we would consider to be a more appropriate result based upon the cash that exists, the strength in the balance sheet, and our dedication towards returning capital to shareholders.

Paul, on your cash question, obviously we were quite happy about the $95 million aftertax, $60 million-some of cash and that gives us confidence in our capital allocation flexibility. We don't anticipate in the rest of our operations any other surprises at this point in time. The rest of the cash should be coming in as we anticipated for the year.

That's helpful color, guys. Thank you.

With no further questions in queue, I would now like to hand the conference over to Alan Nethery for closing remarks.

Thank you for joining us this morning. That concludes our conference call. A replay of this call will be posted on our website later today and will be available for a limited time. If you have further questions, please give me a call at 980-365-4300. Thank you.

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for joining today's conference. That concludes the presentation. You may now disconnect, and have a great day.