BJ's Restaurants Inc (BJRI) 2014 Q1 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to BJ's Restaurants, Inc. first quarter 2014 results earnings conference call. (Operator Instructions). I would now like to turn the conference over to Greg Trojan, President and CEO. Please, go ahead.

  • Greg Trojan - President, CEO

  • Thank you, Operator, and good afternoon everyone. Welcome to the BJ's Restaurants first quarter 2014 investor conference call which we're also broadcasting live over the Internet. I am Greg Trojan, BJ's' Chief Executive Officer. And joining me on the call today are Greg Levin, our Chief Financial Officer, and Greg Lynds, our Chief Development Officer. Wayne Jones, who is usually on our call, our Chief Restaurant Operations Officer, is not with us today as he is visiting restaurants on the East Coast.

  • After the market closed today we released our financial results for the first quarter of fiscal 2014 that ended on Tuesday, April 1, 2014. You can view the full text of our earnings release on our website at www.bjsrestaurants.com.

  • Our agenda today will start with Diane Scott, our Director of Corporate Relations, providing our standard cautionary disclosures with respect to forward-looking statements.

  • I will then provide an update on our business and current initiatives, and then Greg Levin, our Chief Financial Officer, will provide a recap of the quarter and some commentary regarding the rest of the year. After that we'll open it up to questions. So, Diane, go ahead, please.

  • Diane Scott - Director of Corporate Relations

  • Thank you Greg. Our comments on the conference call today will contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by forward-looking statements.

  • Investors are cautioned that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and that undue reliance should not be placed on such statements. Our forward-looking statements speak only as of today's date, May 1, 2014. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements or to make any other forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise unless required to do so by the Securities Laws. Investors are referred to the full discussion of risks and uncertainties associated with forward-looking statements contained in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

  • Greg Trojan - President, CEO

  • Thanks, Diane. Before I review our business results for the quarter I would like to take a moment to go over our announcement last week regarding several actions we took to enhance long-term value for the Company's shareholders including an agreement with institutional shareholders who control approximately 16% of our shares.

  • As announced, we have agreed to nominate three independent directors to stand for election at this year's annual meeting including one Board addition that became effective immediately upon last week's announcement. The dialogue we have had with both PW and Luxor has been extremely constructive and they have expressed their support of the Company's current strategy, including our recently implemented initiatives to drive growth and increase profitability. We look forward to the benefit of their contributions as we strive to drive long-term value creation for all BJ's shareholders.

  • Our Board also authorized the repurchase of up to $50 million of the Company's common stock, $25 million of which is expected to be repurchased by the end of 2014. Importantly, BJ's remains committed to the continuation of our restaurant expansion plan as a key driver of creating sustainable long-term value for shareholders.

  • Our objective has always been to execute and operational and financial strategy that represents the best means of building value over the long-term for BJ's and our shareholders.

  • With significant cash flow from operations and our excellent balance sheet BJ's is positioned with the financial capacity and flexibility to continue our long-term growth strategy of expanding restaurant capacity by at least 10% annually while continuing to execute the recently announced sales building and brand initiatives and returning capital to shareholders in the form of repurchases of our common stock.

  • Finally we announced that we retained an outside consultant to assist us in the ongoing implementation of our cost optimization initiative whereby we are reducing costs that do not directly affect the overall quality and value of the guest dining experience. We saw the benefit of this focus in Q1 and expect to derive further value from this effort in the coming quarters.

  • Let me now turn to Q1. While our business is not yet where we would like it to be from both a top line and margin perspective, the steps we have taken to drive traffic and reduce cost in the middle of our P&L began to show results in Q1, particularly in the back half of the quarter. As all of you are aware January and February were difficult months for everyone in our space. We all know the weather played a big role as did the ever-increasing early year headwinds from payroll taxes, healthcare costs, et cetera.

  • However, we continue to be focused on the things we can control in our business and specifically on five key sales driving initiatives which are improving affordability, speed, food quality and innovation, hospitality, and brand awareness. While we started the work on these initiatives in 2013, Q1 marked the beginning of much of our implementation.

  • We were able to play offense as we rolled out a new menu at the end of February along with a new brand look and feel. We introduced 15 new menu items with a focus on delivering great value and many of which will also address the increasing demand for lighter, better menu choices.

  • We supported the introduction with a variety of media both digital and broadcast including TV and markets covering about half of our restaurants. While there's more work and much analysis ahead, we are encouraged by the results in the back half of the quarter in terms of sales momentum, particularly by our continued improvement in guest traffic trends where we continue to outpace the industry by a fairly significant margin.

  • I believe traffic is the best long-term indicator of success as long as it is accomplished in a way which is sustainable from a profitability perspective. Our overall traffic for the quarter was approximately 180 basis points better than the industry as reported by Knapp-Track. However, our sales dollar comparison lagged the industry as we consciously minimized price increases over the last year and introduced more everyday affordable items on our menu.

  • Our average check for the first quarter was down approximately 70 basis points compared to an increase of over 200 basis points for the industry. In March, as our business strengthened on the heels of our new menu and brand launch, our traffic comparison improved even more as we ended the month 320 basis points better than the industry and actually outperformed the market in sales as well by 60 basis points in the month.

  • In our important California market we ran 390 basis points better than Knapp-Track. And if it were not for a record-setting rainstorm the first weekend of the months of March, we would have run positive guest traffic for the period. L.A., as many of you know, is our largest market and this is the first time we mounted a TV campaign here backed by solid product news. It clearly responded, as we saw about a 6.5% sales lift during the three weeks we were on air in L.A. with ongoing strong follow-on results as well.

  • TV moved the needle in all of the markets we placed it, but as always the case some more than others. We also have seen incremental gains from our digital campaigns and markets where we employed digitally embedded video content, personalized re-targeting and social campaigns. It is notable to mention that we were able to create this improved momentum while taking a significant step back in the level of promotional activity, i.e. discounting, versus the last half of 2013.

  • We anticipate leveraging what we have learned in terms of media mix in the second quarter and the back half of this year and expect to continue to refine our media model to optimize the effectiveness of our marketing spend. I am also encouraged by the success of many of the new items we rolled out in our late February menu. New craveable items like our Mediterranean chicken tacos, chipotle cherry salmon, kale and brussel sprout salad are sustaining among our top mixing items and look like they will be winners on our menu for a long time to come. Strategically, they strengthen our appeal to the more health conscious guests, as well.

  • Collectively our new menu items introduced in February represent about 10% of our food sales today. Also, our value oriented Brewhouse Burgers, which we introduced late last November, are sustaining really well. Another example validating our menu strategy of innovative flavors combined with compelling price points work really well. At the same time we did not ignore the indulgent part of our menu with the introduction of a new Salted Caramel Pizookie, which has vaulted to our second highest selling Pizookie flavor.

  • While the awareness building media support along with the menu innovation early results are encouraging, we also continue to work hard at making BJ's dining experience faster for those guests and occasions where dining more quickly is important.

  • Our Project Q kitchen complexity project has helped improve our kitchen cook times year-over-year and we continue to work on operationalizing our mobile-based order-ahead and pay-at-the-table capabilities. We have soft launched pay-at-the-table in all restaurants, and order=ahead in Southern California. They both currently operate as mobile websites and we're very pleased with the operating performance from both a technical and a restaurant operations perspective.

  • Before mounting any meaningful marketing behind them, though, we have wanted to shake out any operational issues while making access to these functions also part of an overall app to be available for iPhone and Android devices. Our app will also enable guests to add their names to our call-ahead list without calling our restaurant as well as perform many basic loyalty reward tracking and administration.

  • We plan to commence some test marketing messages around our new app and these benefits to determine the best messaging and media combination in the upcoming quarter. We're seeing a 20- to 25-minute reduction in dining times when these tools are used by guests. So we think we have a real benefit to tell those who want the quality of our dining experience but just don't have the time that is typically taken in the past to experience it. I think this has the potential to make us very competitive with fast casual in terms of speed and convenience.

  • Driving our top line is our number one focus. However, a close second is making our cost structure inside our restaurants and among our support services even more efficient.

  • We have been working particularly hard on the middle of our P&L operating costs. This includes our restaurant supplies, repair and maintenance, plate ware, linens, et cetera. This category of cost define about 4.5% year-over-year reflecting the impact of a number of our initiatives in this area.

  • Our efforts go well beyond just telling our operators to spend less. We actually are focused on doing things differently such as sourcing differently, evaluating necessary steps and frequency of service in some cases.

  • We saw some of the success of this initiative in the first quarter which Greg Levin will touch upon in his remarks. While our labor percent of sales de-leveraged with our sales declined, we actually used about 2% fewer labor hours in our comp restaurants versus last year with the greatest decline, about 3.5%, coming from our kitchens. A positive testament to our Ops team's work on reducing kitchen complexity through our Project Q initiative.

  • We have also taken this cost savings mentality to reducing the investment costs required to build and open our restaurants. Going forward, the majority of our restaurants will be about 15% smaller in size and cost approximately $1 million less to open.

  • We know from our current portfolio of units that around 7400 square feet is the optimal size in terms of guest experience as well as operating efficiency in most trade areas. As we announced in today's press release we have decided to take down the number of new openings this year to 11 restaurants. In part, to ensure we are able to build them with our new design and square footage which will achieve a higher cash-on-cash return for our new restaurants.

  • As we noted in the past, we believe this new prototype should increase our cash-on-cash returns from our historic target of around 25% to 30% going forward. We also believe taking some of the operational energy behind these openings and applying it to executing our sales building initiatives is the right call.

  • This number should enable us to grow restaurant weeks this year at around 11%, and pushing the number of them into early part of next year should enable us to open a greater number next year so that we can continue to achieve at least a 10% increase in operating weeks per year.

  • Overall, I'm encouraged to see our strategy to improve value and affordability, along with out-of-the-box food innovation while we refine our ability to efficiently drive awareness, start to improve our top line trends particularly traffic. However, I continue to believe the consumer spending environment is not going to get appreciably better in the near-term as is evidenced by yesterday's Q1 anemic GDP tally.

  • As such, our cost savings work will be paramount as we look for ways to allow us to moderate future pricing and restore margins closer to our historic high double-digit levels. As we head into a couple of our busiest months of the year, we're planning on continuing our sales momentum through some incidents and guest check building initiatives, namely introducing new starter salads and higher priced but still great-value seafood and steak offerings, which give our guests the opportunity to celebrate the upcoming special-event season with more indulgent than normal menu choices.

  • I also believe the power of word-of-mouth, especially driven by social media, about our well received new items will provide positive viral momentum. At the same time we plan to reinforce our fundamental value messaging by driving a 30-entrees-under-$10 message through a variety of digital and broadcast media.

  • I will now turn the call over to Greg Levin, our Chief Financial Officer, for his financial recap of the quarter. Greg.

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • All right. Thank you, Greg. As we noted in our press release today first-quarter revenues increased approximately 9.1% to $205.8 million, and our net income and diluted net income per share were $4.6 million and $0.16 respectively. During the first quarter we incurred approximately $1.6 million in pre-tax charges or around $0.04 a diluted share for professional fees related to our shareholder settlement.

  • Therefore, excluding the settlement charges, our adjusted net income and adjusted diluted earnings-per-share is $5.8 million and $0.20 respectively, and you can see that reconciliation on our press release today.

  • Our 9.1% increase in the first-quarter revenues reflects an approximate 13% increase in total operating weeks, and that's partially offset by a decrease in our weekly sales average of about 3.3%. Our comparable restaurant sales decreased 2.9% during the quarter, and that's compared to a positive .4% in last year's first quarter.

  • Our 2.9% decrease in comparable sales for the quarter consists of primarily a decrease in traffic of about 2.2% and a decrease in our average check of approximately .7% driven primarily by mix and incident rates and not driven from any significant increase in discounting. As we mentioned on our fourth quarter call, the first part of the quarter was impacted by weather which ultimately impacted comp sales by about 40 basis points for the entire first quarter.

  • We also are comping over mid-teen increases in comparable restaurant sales in the Dallas, San Antonio and Oklahoma markets from our TV test last year that ran in March and April. These markets were not included in our TV run this year, as we decided TV dollar returns were better spent in our California market where we have the greater penetration of restaurants. In the first quarter we had approximately 1.1% of menu pricing.

  • As Greg Trojan mentioned, we finally got to play some offense and it allowed us to exceed our initial expectations for the first quarter in terms of sales and operating profit. Our restaurant-level margin was 17.1%, sequentially improving from Q3 and Q4 of last year when our restaurant level margins were 16.3% and 15.1% respectively.

  • As we discussed in our Analyst Day our target is to get our restaurant-level margins back to the 19% plus. So, while we have a quite a lot of room to go, we are off to a good start as our restaurant operators did a good job of controlling those items within their control, coupled with the start of our cost savings initiatives focused on our non-strategic restaurant operating cost and support.

  • Specifically, our cost of sales of 24.9% was up about 40 basis points compared to last year's first quarter and sequentially down about 30 basis points from the fourth quarter. The increase, compared to last year's first quarter, is primarily due to commodity cost increases and changes in menu mix, while the decrease sequentially is due to less discounting compared to the fourth quarter of last year.

  • Labor during the first quarter was 36.1%. That was up 110 basis points from last year's first quarter, which was a result of the de-leveraging from lower sales on both hourly labor and our fixed management wages.

  • However, as Greg Trojan mentioned, our restaurant operators did a good job managing labor productivity during the quarter despite the choppiness from the severe weather in the first half. In fact, our hours used were down approximately 2%, as we mentioned, compared to our guest counts which were down about 2.2%. Our operating and occupancy costs were 21.9% of sales for the first quarter, an increase of 40 basis points from last year's first quarter.

  • The increase in operating occupancy costs is a result of an approximate 70-basis-point increase in marketing spend which went from 1.8% of sales last year to 2.5% this year. Overall, we spent approximately $5.2 million during the first quarter on marketing as compared to approximately $3.3 million in marketing spend last year.

  • Our increase in marketing spend was offset by an approximate 30-basis-point decrease in other operating and occupancy costs. Therefore, excluding marketing expense from operating occupancy in both years, we average about 21,000 per operating week this quarter compared to 22,000 last year. That is a decrease, as we mentioned, of about 4.5% year-over-year.

  • At our Analyst Day, we said we are targeting to remove at least 100 basis points from our operating occupancy cost excluding marketing over the next three years. So while we're off to a good start, it's just the beginning. We are pleased to see that 30-basis-point reduction in cost, and we are looking forward to the ability to gain some additional leverage on these costs going forward. And we're frankly very happy with the 30-basis-point reduction despite the soft sales.

  • General and administrative expenses for the quarter were approximately $12.9 million, or 6.3% of sales, in line with expectations. Actually, the $12.9 million is about 6.2% of sales, not 6.3% of sales. Excuse me there.

  • Depreciation and amortization was approximately $13.4 million or 6.5% of sales, and it averaged a little over 7,000 per restaurant week which is in line with our most recent trends regarding depreciation and amortization.

  • Pre-opening was $1.1 million during the quarter and that represents costs primarily for two restaurants we opened during the quarter and some opening costs for restaurants that just recently opened in the second quarter.

  • Our tax rate for the quarter was 24.6%. It was a little lower than what we anticipated due to some additional WOTC, or Work Opportunity Tax Credits, during the quarter.

  • Before we open the call up to questions, let me spend a couple of minutes providing some commentary on our outlook for 2014 and the second quarter. All of this commentary is subject to the risks and uncertainties associated with forward-looking statements as discussed in our filings with the SEC.

  • As you know, Easter Sunday last year was in the first quarter and this year it moved to the second quarter. Easter weekend is very slow for us. So taking out the Easter weekend and trying to normalize for spring break, which seem to be all over the calendar this year, as well as difficult comp comparisons in Texas that I mentioned earlier, I'm estimating that our sales trends currently are running in the negative 1.5% to 2% range.

  • Most importantly, guest traffic trends continue to improve meaningfully and are running a bit ahead of our sales as we invest in making our concept even more affordable. Remember, our average check is down year-over-year as our new menu items like our Brewhouse Burgers and kale and brussel sprout salad are proving to be very popular.

  • In regards to menu pricing, we have about 1.6% of menu pricing currently on the menu. Our next menu is expected to roll out in July and we are currently evaluating additional menu pricing in select markets.

  • For the second quarter, I would expect around 1,945 or so restaurant operating weeks. I am expecting cost of sales to be around the 25% range. We have locked in about 60% of our commodities for the rest of 2014. The commodities on a shorter-term contract include cheese and ground beef and steaks.

  • I am expecting labor to be in the mid to upper 35% range in the second quarter and that's based on our current sales trends. However, as I mentioned before, labor is significantly influenced by comparable sales increases or decreases.

  • We are going to make sure labor is set up to take care of our guests because the bottom line is great food and great service and hospitality ultimately results in improved top-line sales. We have seen too many restaurant companies eliminate the ability to build sales by trying to save on labor by cutting their sales force, reducing their number of hosts at the front desk and minimizing kitchen staff.

  • Therefore, we must and we will hold our line in labor so that we continue to provide great service to our guests and not makes rash labor decisions that could tarnish our brand going forward.

  • During the second quarter, I am expecting total operating and occupancy costs to be in the range of $25,000 a week. Included in this number is about $2400 per week or $4.7 million in marketing spend.

  • For comparison purposes, last year our total operating and occupancy costs was also about $25,000 per week, and that included about $2200 related to marketing. Therefore, excluding marketing, we continue to target savings in our restaurant operating costs.

  • I would anticipate G&A in the second quarter to be around $13.5 million or so. It will be up over Q1, as we currently have more managers in our training program for new restaurants. Also, we will see increased support costs related to new restaurant openings as compared to the first quarter. I anticipate opening costs in the $1.5 million to $2 million range in the second quarter, and that is going to be for the opening of three restaurants. Plus we'll incur some opening costs for restaurants that are going to open later in the year in Q3 and Q4.

  • Income tax should be around 27% for the quarter, and our diluted shares outstanding should be around $29 million.

  • In regards to our liquidity, we ended the first quarter with a little over $45 million of cash and investments.

  • Our line of credit, for which we have no funded debt or funded draws, is for $75 million and does not expire until January of 2017. Our gross CapEx budget for 2014 before expected tenant improvement allowances and sale leaseback proceeds is now expected to be approximately $90 million, and that's based on 11 new restaurants and the purchase of the underlying land for up to four restaurants.

  • As we mentioned in the past, our expansion strategy is predicated on leasing our restaurant locations. However, from time to time we may purchase the underlying land for a new restaurant if that is the only way to secure a highly desirable site. In these cases, we generally will sell the underwriting land once the restaurant is closed.

  • In 2014, we expect to receive proceeds from tenant allowances and sales leaseback transactions of approximately $10 million. In addition, we will continue to invest in our core restaurants to make sure our restaurants remain in a like-new and first-class manner and remain relevant with our guests.

  • In today's challenging operating environment, where casual dining is more central component of the enjoyment as opposed to just pop-in dining, it is extremely important that we continue to raise the bar to provide a higher quality, more differentiated dining experience for our guests. And this is reflected in our planned net CapEx expectation in the $80 million range. Again, that's the net CapEx of $80 million, gross CapEx of about $90 million.

  • We currently expect to fund our expansion and capital expenditures from our cash and investments on our balance sheet, our cash flow from operations, and from the proceeds from our tenant improvement allowances and sale leaseback transactions.

  • Finally, while we are happy with the quarterly sequential improvement in restaurant-level margins, they are still not where we believe we can get them over the long run. We are off to a good start in cost saving initiatives but there are more to come. We have also had a good start with our new menu and branding but we are not yet where we want to be on sales.

  • We just started playing offense about eight weeks ago, and we are excited about the initiatives around affordability, speed, hospitality and menu creativity. In summary, we are taking a holistic approach to strengthening our business and operating practices, with the first quarter reflecting some of those initial benefits and this focus.

  • We have established organization wide initiatives that build on our strengths, like cultivating new efficiencies. Our corporate and operating personnel are onboard with our direction, and we believe that our expansion and our operating plans combined with prudent management of our capital structure is a proven formula for sustained long-term growth and appreciation of shareholder value.

  • That's all for our formal remarks. Operator, let's go ahead and open the line up for questions.

  • Operator

  • Thank you, sir. (Operator Instructions). Our first question is from the line of Brian Bittner, with Oppenheimer and Co. Please go ahead.

  • Brian Bittner - Analyst

  • Thank you. Good afternoon. Just, clarification. So are you saying that to start the second quarter that same store sales are in the negative 1.5% to negative 2% range? Is that basically what you said?

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • Brian they are actually a tad higher than that because of the Easter weekend. That weekend is for us extremely slow, in fact. Saturday and Sunday, generally the weekend is about 60% of our sales, so you think about how that mixes through the week. And that Saturday before Easter and then the Easter Sunday are slow.

  • When you add it up from an entire quarter perspective it's fairly immaterial. We probably had about maybe a 10 basis points improvement out of it in Q1 if you think about it over 13 weeks, but we only have four weeks of sales data currently. That Easter weekend that slowed us is pretty impactful.

  • If you try to isolate that out, it's probably about 1.5% to 2%. However, I would tend to say that our more recent trends are probably more positive what we're seeing kind of in late April and getting into May, today being only May 1st, as you get further away from some of the craziness, for lack of a better term, in trying to find the -- how spring break calendars lined up. So you pull away from that I think it's in that negative 1.5% to 2% but we're seeing better trends more recently.

  • Brian Bittner - Analyst

  • Okay. And the average check is running at a negative what? Currently?

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • What we saw in the first quarter was down about 70 basis points compared to the traffic trends. It's probably not as much now because we rolled out that new menu. Instead, let's call it March and about 1.6% of pricing. We're seeing about 40 to 50 bps of that pricing go away with menu mix -- meaning kale and brussel sprouts that we put on; chicken pita tacos. All those items are under $10. So, when we think about our menu mix impact on our total pricing, we're probably seeing more of about a 1% to 1.2% effective pricing when you take into account the menu mix for the new items.

  • Brian Bittner - Analyst

  • Okay. And then just one question on costs. You guys talked about -- you have kind of been talking about the elimination of certain nonstrategic spending that's going to really allow some acceleration in earnings growth. Can you just dive into that a little bit more? Really rip that apart a little bit and tell us what you're going to be focused on from a cost perspective as it relates to that.

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • Well, I think we lined up some of those things at the analyst day, but some of the specific ones that haven't taken place yet will be how we source our china, silverware, and glassware. So there's some big savings coming from that going forward. We made some supplier changes in regards to R&M from a geographical and regional supplier standpoint getting some leverage as we built more restaurants in certain areas. The other side of those things is we've got demand management in place both on utilities as well as the facility side. We're doing more preventative maintenance with our facilities department coming out to our restaurants. So as we go through and look through some of those strategic or nonstrategic operating costs that doesn't necessarily affect the guest. That's where we're kind of hitting those things. So our facilities department will work with our kitchen managers in making sure they understand what's the right preventative maintenance program to have in place there, and then at the same time can we do better leveraging our restaurants in regards to hourly rates of our service contractors and other suppliers.

  • Brian Bittner - Analyst

  • Okay. Thank you.

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • You're welcome.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Matt DiFrisco, with Buckingham Research. Please, go ahead.

  • Matt DiFrisco - Analyst

  • Just a follow-up our on that question also. I just was trying to clarify as far as what the actual reported comp would be quarter to-date. Just so I presume when you report the quarter for our modeling purposes if you could just give us what it is quarter to-date now. And it does sound like obviously there's some impacts in there and adverse things from the holiday. That does sound like you're doing, I think you said, positive comps as early as one day into May, but that's obviously a nice encouraging sign. Can you just give us what the actual comp is quarter to-date?

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • It's about negative 2.5% quarter to-date. And as I mentioned we're probably seeing more in the negative 1.35%, negative 2% range to try to pull out specifically kind of that whole Easter weekend.

  • Matt DiFrisco - Analyst

  • And then you're encouraged now by even more recent the last couple of days or weeks? You're saying -- if I did not hear (multiple speakers) positive?

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • Yes, Matt, I think what we're seeing -- and this is going to sound kind of -- it just sounds different than maybe more recent trends -- is we're seeing greater choppiness in regards to comp sales. Where we will put up some low single-digit positive comps, and it will come back with some low single-digit negative comp. Where I would I tend to think -- well, I shouldn't say think. I tended to see in the fourth quarter and early in the first quarter just consistent negative days. So we are seeing a little bit better traction I think on looking at our menu items and how they're working. And as we pull ourselves away from some of the spring break flip-flops and some of the things around Easter, we're starting to see a little bit better traction.

  • Matt DiFrisco - Analyst

  • That's great. And then I guess as far as the new menu, can you talk about that or is it too early to tell? But any sort of time analysis on table turns? Are you seeing -- you spent a lot of time at the analyst day about some of the -- taking out some of the complexity in the kitchen, and it sound like you did that on the actual dollars spent on labor. But how about table-turns and preparation of bringing dishes to the table, and is that part of the traffic recovery that we're beginning to see?

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • We mentioned on the call -- and I don't know on what we would call it run time. So it's one of those things specifically on the run time. We definitely saw an improvement in what we call peak cook times, as we measure the cook times at both lunch and dinner. And that's where those key metrics that we look at, and we have seen that improvement there. Which is one of the first parts that you want to see is obviously the improvement in the cook side of the business.

  • I don't have in front of me specifically our guest duration metrics so I can't necessarily comment on that. I don't know how much they have changed. But that Project Q initiative that we talked, about as well as some of the newer menu items, go after the peak cook time. So if he can cook it quicker, obviously we're going to be able to run it out to the guest a little bit sooner.

  • The other side of that that we continue to work on is obviously things that we talked about regarding mobile pay and mobile ordering. And we are gating some traction there. The people that use it love it. We get great feedback coming from our guests every day through something called Direct Connect. Just what a great device this is for our restaurant. But we still need to do better in regards to telling our guests the benefits of those two items that I think ultimately can prove out to driving capacity in our restaurants.

  • Matt DiFrisco - Analyst

  • That's great. And then last question I had with respect to Texas. I know at the Analyst Day you spent a little time talking about some of the legality and changes there of the brewing process. Where do we stand in that? Is that all behind us now? Or you had to start bringing back in some of the beer that was being brewed outside. How is that, and will that have any margin impact throughout 2014 benefit or adverse?

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • It will not. It shouldn't have any benefit going forward. So let me kind of step back. Your question had a lot of the parts to it, Matt.

  • It's behind us in regards to the fact that we have reached a legal settlement with the TABC, or Texas Alcoholic Beverage Commission. As a result of that settlement -- and I think we believe we talked about that at the end of the fourth quarter -- is we will actually be building a brewery in Texas to take care of our Texas beer going forward, and that will take place early next year in 2015. So, that's part of our CapEx number this year and we talked about $90 million in CapEx, part of that is going to be investing in that brewery from standpoint.

  • Ultimately when we run those numbers, because of the scale that we have in Texas, we'll be able to produce beer in Texas cheaper than what we do -- what we contract for it now. So I think we'll get some benefit there going forward. But again, when we think about beer in general, you think about it in our total cost of sales, beer has got high margins, and we're not going to necessarily pick up 50 or a 100 basis points by this change from that standpoint. But it could help us a little bit going forward, but we will start so see that next year and not really this year.

  • Matt DiFrisco - Analyst

  • Could you just remind me how much of the $90 million is associated with that?

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • I think we have about $2 million in the budget, maybe $2.2 million related to a land purchase in the Texas area and then to build out the brewery. I believe -- I have Greg Lynds here. It can be 20,000 barrels, which gives us the ability to add a lot more expansion into Texas that will really take care of our Texas brewery needs for a long time.

  • Matt DiFrisco - Analyst

  • Great. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. Our next question is from the line of John Glass, with Morgan Stanley. Please, go ahead.

  • John Glass - Analyst

  • Thanks. Greg Levin, first I just want clarify the mix question. So if your traffic was down 2.2% this quarter and your check was down 70 basis points but you add the 1.1% in pricing, so your mix is down like 180 basis points, right? 1.8%. Is that right?

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • I think it's mixed in what we call incident rates. We've seen lower incident rates around non-alcoholic beverages; your carbonated soft drinks. But if you put those in there, that's probably about right.

  • John Glass - Analyst

  • And is that -- just I guess the go-forward question -- is that about the way you see it going forward? You're going to be doing, I don't know, less promotional high-end items and more - maybe the more moderate price? So that's going to be a counterweight to comps throughout the year, or is that more isolated to the first quarter?

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • Well, I think if you listened to -- I'm not saying you didn't listen. John, in our formal remarks we made the comment that we're going to introduce some things called starter salads and a couple other areas in our menu that actually our goal is to increase incident rates on those.

  • So you think about areas that are probably more, for lack of a better term, discretionary items; they're going to be around alcohol and they're going to be around starter salads, appetizers and those areas. And this last year we spent a lot of time working on what we call sort of the menu affordability in that $10 area. We think we have got an opportunity to go back after appetizers to drive incidents rates to, again, kind of start to move that positive mix.

  • It's very reminiscent of what we did with Snacks & Small Bites coming outside the recession. We put Snacks & Small Bites on, and we saw our incident rates go up specifically in appetizers. That helped drive our average check up greater than just pure menu pricing and obviously led to some pretty successful comp sales. And we think we have got that opportunity going forward there. So we're looking at that.

  • The other thing, as we mentioned today, as we go into the holiday season here in the second quarter -- when I say holiday season, I'm talking about Father's Day, Mother's Day, graduation -- some of the things we're going to concentrate from that standpoint -- and Greg Trojan mentioned it, and I will let him comment here in a second -- relates to steaks and other things that help drive up maybe not necessarily incidents but might help drive mix to the positive side of the things as we continue to work on the everyday affordable. Greg?

  • Greg Trojan - President, CEO

  • Yes. The thing I would add, John, is particularly appetizers is the next -- one of the next areas similar to the middle of the menu where, frankly, it's been an area we haven't innovated in a while. We think there's some price point room because you look at most of our appetizers are large, shareable appetizers but their price points -- we need some more entry price points that are more accessible and more tempting, if you will. We think the formula of some newer, exciting flavors, a couple of better for you items at some price points that are really attractive. Like I said, just like we have had success in the middle of the menu with those items, we'll work on the incidents front and help build average check. You know, and everybody is facing the non-alcoholic beverage challenges, but I think getting aggressive there certainly is going to help.

  • John Glass - Analyst

  • Thank you. Can you also just comment -- you said you hired a consultant that's going to help you with some of these cost issues. What specific items are they working on? What's your schedule of deliverables if you fully engage and then you're starting to hit their stride? Or is there a lot more work to be done in the back half and maybe what line items are they working on the most?

  • Greg Trojan - President, CEO

  • You know, it's early there. I'm not going to go into tons of detail there, but I would remind you we've had this focus since at least the middle of last year. And frankly, as we have seen some of these opportunities, we just don't have the level of internal resources to go after them as fast as we're finding the opportunities. And then, it's always helpful to have some objectivity of outside experience perhaps to help us see things that we're not. We're viewing it as a way to supply more resources and more focus on something that we think there's some real opportunity in.

  • John Glass - Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Your next question comes from the line of Jonathan Comp, with Robert W. Baird. Please, go ahead.

  • Jonathan Comp - Analyst

  • Thanks. Good afternoon. Greg Levin, first just a clarification question on the trends that you have indicated so far to date in April or early Q2. I think you said you think you're tracking down about 1.5% to 2% on the comps when you adjust for all the noise. Could you maybe just clarify the check and the traffic component that you think is included to get to that number?

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • I don't know if I can do that. I don't know if I have it lined up from that standpoint. I would tend to say if I thought about our business in that, as I mentioned earlier, we're seeing about a 1% menu pricing stick. You know, in that regard. So if you kind of did the math, you could probably figure, okay, if they're seeing a negative 1.5%, they got 1% of pricing in there. You can work it from that standpoint, and you're still seeing that negative incident rate on there. I don't think anything has changed materially from what we talked about from the first quarter.

  • Greg Trojan - President, CEO

  • The other thing I would add is the improvement is continuing by and large. And, look, this is -- we don't have a lot of data on the quarter but continues to be on the traffic front. So I think that's important and encouraging to us. And I think that's how we're looking at our business as we've got to continue to drive traffic.

  • Jonathan Comp - Analyst

  • Got it. Okay. That's helpful. And then maybe just following up on the traffic trends you're seeing the last couple of months and tied into some of the marketing activities that you had more recently. Could you maybe just sum up -- I know some of the comments seem pretty encouraging about the improving or less negative traffic trend line you're seeing, but can you maybe tie that into your original expectations for some of the marketing activities? A lot of the activities that you have done seem like they could build over time in terms of the traction with the consumers. Would you characterize the marketing thus far as meeting your expectations? And how do you expect the trend line to play out going forward?

  • Greg Trojan - President, CEO

  • I mean the short answer is yes. Frankly, I'm quite encouraged to see the kind of movement, particularly in a significant market like Southern California and others where it met or exceeded our overall expectations.

  • And then we are also -- to remind everybody, we have to try elements of this marketing mix to understand which components are being more effective than others. So it's not just about TV. We've been working and trying different forms and different mixes and levels of spend on digital at the same time we're doing this. We tried a very new format in terms of our FSI delivery which worked really well. So along the way, wherever we can, we're doing test and control groups here so we can understand which components are driving the most efficient results.

  • As a matter of that test and learn process, we clearly are seeing some things that are working better than others. So some things are meeting our expectations and some things are not. TV is working in some important markets but TV didn't work everywhere from an ROI perspective. It didn't move the sales needle everywhere, but we're looking at it from an ROI perspective.

  • I don't know if that answers your question but that's how we're looking at the marketing. When we're driving these kind of traffic improvements it's not where we want to be overall. You know, I leave that experience being encouraged.

  • Jonathan Comp - Analyst

  • Got it. That is helpful color. Thanks for that. And then maybe just one last clarification on one of the cost ratios, Greg Levin, that you mentioned. I just want to clarify. I think you said the labor ratio in the second quarter could be in the mid to upper 35% range. First, if I could maybe clarify that is the case. And then related to that, I think that implies a little bit more de-leverage on a year-over-year basis than what you just saw in the first quarter. So, even though the sales trend line is getting less negative. So could you maybe just clarify that is what you said and maybe why you're anticipating a little more de-leverage in the second quarter?

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • Yes. As I look through the numbers here, the main reason for that is where we are today. While we're seeing improvements in our trend lines and things like that, we still have, frankly, four weeks behind us right now. And while there was a lot of ups and downs that happened in April and it was difficult to ascertain current trends, we still, as I mentioned earlier, finished negative in the negative 2.5% range. So while we're seeing things a little bit better in that regard and generally our weekly sales average goes up in Q2 versus Q1, so we should be able to bring labor down from 36.1% here in Q1 down in Q2 to the mid 35%. I'm still taking the assumption that we're going to be running some of those negative comp sales from there despite the fact that we have seen some improving days. And as I mentioned on the formal remarks, labor -- as much as we can manage certain aspects of it and we're actually very happy with the ability of things we have done for Project Q and managing the volatility, the fact is labor is going to be heavily influenced based on comp sales especially when you think about the fixed nature of some of those costs related around managers, the hospitality desk, kitchen and so on.

  • Jonathan Comp - Analyst

  • Okay. Got it. Thank you very much.

  • Operator

  • Our next question is from the line of Jeffrey Bernstein, with Barclays Capital. Please, go ahead.

  • Jeffrey Bernstein - Analyst

  • Great. Thank you. Couple questions on the unit opening side. One, I think it sounds like you've got 11 that you're locked and loaded on for 2014. I know you also mentioned in the press release at least 15 in 2015. I was wondering if that is predicated on the improvement in comp. On the last call, you talked about the comps don't get materially better. You would be inclined not to reaccelerate the unit growth. I'm wondering whether you would not define these comps as materially better to say with confidence that 15 or more is happening next year. Or is it still we need to see the comps improve from here to reaccelerate that unit growth rate?

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • Jeff, it's Greg Levin. I think based on where we're currently seeing trends and some of the improvements that we've seen, I think we feel pretty good about 15. We have never been as specific in regards to the comp sales environment. We changed a lot in regards to an increase in our units. Even when we were showing 5% and 6 % comps, we have always kind of talked about a low double-digit number because really we want to make sure we can open them with quality going forward. And that's a number that we feel good about in regards to the complexity of the BJ's concept, and I think we're going to kind of continue with that. If we saw a huge deterioration in our business I think there's always the ability to pull back from that because we want to make sure that we continue to balance cash flow from operations with the ability to open new restaurants.

  • I think it's very important for us going forward in having that financial flexibility especially considering there's so much white space for this concept. We feel good on the 15 especially the fact that those restaurants will be opening earlier in the year, the first half, that allows us to achieve that 10% of capacity growth which is something that we talked about in that regards. Could we open 16 or 17? We could but it doesn't mean we would accelerate above that low double-digit number because I think again that's that governor to really driving business with quality going forward versus anything else.

  • Greg Trojan - President, CEO

  • The other important thins is how our new restaurants are doing and how they're performing. We are liking what we are seeing from our recent openings and that gives us a lot of confidence as well.

  • Jeffrey Bernstein - Analyst

  • On those new openings it seems like now going forward the focus is really the small prototype which if I caught the details correctly is a million dollars less to build, it's 15% smaller, I guess is that million dollars savings. I'm wondering what's different about it if you're expecting no change in sales levels? Where is the million dollars coming out of where the square footage coming out that the sales would still be there?

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • When we look at that and taking down that square footage the cable fees go down from I think somewhere the if neighborhood of about 260 down 220 or 230. We laid that out on our analyst day presentation. I think it's on our website still that lays down those changes from that standpoint. There's also things that we continue to evolve in the kitchen in regards to what we call the kitchen of the future that help adjust those numbers as well from the kitchen savings. When we look at our restaurants and we look at the productivity of our restaurants, we already have restaurants at about 7400 square feet and we kind of lined up some of those restaurants in our Analyst Day presentation. There's one out by me I always talk about in Torrence, CA, Dell Longo Mall. It does 120,000 to 140,000 a week in sales and it's only 7400 square feet. As we started to look to right size our prototypes and make those adjustments we realized that 8500 square feet works in certain areas, areas that have high density and so we will probably continue to build those, but in areas that we're going into like a Tallahassee, Florida we talked about and Corpus Christi, Texas, those areas based on their density versus California, 7400 works really well and we get the same sales productivity and that's really the big difference in that change and by shrinking the box, you get some of that million dollars savings as well as other things we're doing in regards to value engineering business.

  • Greg Trojan - President, CEO

  • (inaudible) Most importantly our sales productivity in the smaller restaurants in our chain do very well in terms of the cost reduction and the million it's really in four areas. One is reducing size of the footprint as Greg said. We also reduced the volume, the height of our ceilings a little bit, secondly, just a simplified finishes in material our metal work, our floor finishes, some light bars in the restaurants and then lastly value engineering our kitchen package or mechanical system where we've actually reduced the AC tonnage which has increased the efficiency of our HVAC units.

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • Because I always get a little nervous during this conversation to make very, very clear is we're not taking down the look and feel and the impressiveness of our restaurants. I have the expectation and if I could say this with virtual certainty that we'll walk into these BJ's and be in love with the feel and the ambiance just as much if not more than our larger 8500 square foot prototypes and that is key here. The idea is not to cheapen out on the finishes and the ultimate impression that the guest has of this experience.

  • Greg Trojan - President, CEO

  • Some of the changes came out of the fact that maybe some of our newer restaurants lost that every day approachability because they have been brought up so high. So some of the changes are just changes in materials to really get back to just that casual every day type of dining experience that had that uniqueness that I think maybe over the years we have elevated a little bit to that next step.

  • Jeffrey Bernstein - Analyst

  • Understood. One last question or maybe just a comment. In terms of the guidance and obviously I appreciate the transparency of the granular detail which you give on all cost lines, but I'm guessing there's obviously a comp assumption for the full quarter which you don't share. So I don't know whether you would want to share what the comp assumption is that leads to all those line items or otherwise I'm not sure why maybe you consider reversing it a little bit maybe skip giving all those lines items and maybe guide more if the comp was this, the earnings would be that. Then we won't get lost in all that cost specific details. Seems like we're missing the most volatile part which is the comp and obviously it's very hard to forecast. But, you're giving very specific cost line item guidance and I'm wondering, have you ever considered changing that around just because the comp is so hard to forecast?

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • I think exactly what you just said there. The comp is so hard to forecast that while we do some specific and different ranges in my numbers, and they're usually based on ranges, it's exactly what you said there. I actually took this out of my formal remarks. Last year at this time we finished April because of the Easter flip-flop the other way we actually had April was up 2% plus and we finished the quarter basically flat. So it's hard for me to frankly give you guys a comp guideline from that standpoint. It's easier to give you little bit more from the range we're seeing and things we're doing in regards to our business. I don't disagree with what you're saying, it's just a different approach that we take and we will always consider and look at different ways that we can be in regards to helping the investment community.

  • Jeffrey Bernstein - Analyst

  • Appreciate the transparency. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Will Slabaugh, with Stephens, Inc. Please go ahead.

  • Will Slabaugh - Analyst

  • Yes. Thanks, guys. Can you talk a bit about the media weight throughout the quarter and what the customer response was. What that looks like in the quarter versus previous quarters? And then also on the back of that, what your media weights will look like if you had the visibility for the rest of the year, versus what we saw in 1Q?

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • In the actual?

  • Will Slabaugh - Analyst

  • In terms of months to month to month. In terms of when you were on air and off.

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • Well, let me make sure we have got this a little bit because we're not out there heavily like some of the other casual dining chains especially in the bar and grill segment. So, we were out there for only three weeks in this first quarter and it only covered about I want to say about 50% of our restaurants.

  • Greg Trojan - President, CEO

  • Half of our restaurants.

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • So, going into the second quarter here we're still working through some of the details here, you're not going to see that type of media intensity if you consider that to be intense. Versus maybe some of our peer companies and we're still working out the rest of the marketing budget for the year. We talked about spending somewhere in the neighborhood around $20 million but we said at the same time that that is very fluid and we will continue to monitor the external environment in regards to comp sales we will also continue to monitor the best way to spend that money or different ways to spend that money meaning if it makes a better ROI to spend less money on digital we will go down in a path. So it's not quite as defined as maybe as some of the other companies that are on for six weeks in the quarter and then off for six weeks. Ours are very targeted on some of the media, still testing as Greg Trojan mentioned. One of the things that we're consistent about is FFIs at least now and they will be the same as they were last year from that standpoint, so there's really not much change there.

  • Will Slabaugh - Analyst

  • Got it and one more quick follow-up on the G&A side if I could. You came in first half of the year just over $26 million. You had talked about previously, and I apologize if missed if you updated this, 56 for the year. I'm wondering if we should see a market acceleration in 3Q and 4Q, or if that may come in a little bit below that 56 you were talking about last quarter?

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • It will probably come down a little bit that I mentioned last quarter. Two things there. One is four restaurants being moved to next year so we're going to have a little bit less managers in training and that will be the biggest change there from year-over-year. It will accelerate from Q1 into the mid 13s in Q2 and I would expect it to probably be there for both Q2, Q3, and Q4, as really our, what we call the advanced manager training program, gets in place. That's just a manager in training program. So that tends to be the mostly the biggest fluctuation in our G&A from quarter to quarter. How many managers do we have in training that make the biggest difference.

  • Will Slabaugh - Analyst

  • Got it. Thank you.

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • You're welcome.

  • Operator

  • Next question is from the line of Chris O'Cull, with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

  • Chris O'Cull - Analyst

  • Thank you. I just had a couple of follow-ups. One, in terms of the margin decline that you expected for the second quarter. It sounded like that was based on the recent trend in cost but in volumes do pick up through the quarter, is that right?

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • They do. Average unit volumes do pick up during the quarter. There will be probably some higher operating occupancy costs versus Q1 mainly because of the volumes pickup your variable portion kicks in there a little bit.

  • Chris O'Cull - Analyst

  • So shouldn't you see better labor productivity though as volumes build?

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • Well, I think as we talked about the labor number we just finished in the 36, is that correct on labor? 36 one and my commentary on labor was that it would be in the mid to upper 35 so there would be labor productivity improvement there.

  • Chris O'Cull - Analyst

  • Okay. I was just expecting maybe a little more. And then, did you say the media spend would be $7.4 million in the second quarter?

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • No. In the second quarter. I think I said it was going to be I want to say $4.7 million.

  • Chris O'Cull - Analyst

  • Okay. 4.7. Sorry, I transposed that. Help me understand how you think about returns on the TV media spend for example in LA, you mentioned the comp was up 6.5% in that market. Does that justify the investment that you're making there and, if so, do you plan additional media spend or TV media advertising in LA later this year?

  • Greg Trojan - President, CEO

  • There is a little art and science as you know, Chris, to it, but we do the best we can by looking at control markets where we don't have TV and make that comparison, and we look at both in terms of not just when we're on TV but what the halo effect is on those tail weeks. The short an to your question is yes, and as a result we will look at further flights in all the markets where we saw those kind of results.

  • Chris O'Cull - Analyst

  • Okay. Fair enough. Lastly, can you talk a little bit about the usage of the new app for ordering and payment in the stores that you have seen guests engaged in it.

  • Greg Trojan - President, CEO

  • Yes. Thanks for asking that because I want to make sure we clarify where we are in all of those tools and because they are an app today. They are two separate mobile websites that are pretty easy to get to but still for a lot of people who are used to accessing functionality on their phones in particular through apps only, a lot of people don't even know how to get to a website on their phone. And if they do they Google it and so we actually have bought BJ's mobile pay dot com, and order ahead dot com. We are as quickly as possible making those Google search terms that work where we have enough traffic for that to happen. So, understand the differences. We're not incorporating those functions in an app today, but we will be shortly and intend to have that capability in Q2 for those guests that find that a whole lot more convenient to access order ahead in and mobile pay. And, what I said earlier, but I think is important, is we're also going be embedding some other functionality particularly as it relates to our premiere rewards program because a lot of people are like want to go track their points. Our restaurants are running significant weights not just on Friday and Saturday nights, and people are in the habit of calling our restaurants to get on our wait list which we afford them a chance to do. They will be able to do that on their phones on their app which will be a heck of a lot more convenient than trying to talk to somebody on the phone in the middle of a rush period.

  • By the way, part of this and our advertising I found it pretty interesting. We actually grew our premiere rewards membership about 15% over the first part of this year, which is a lot of growth as you can imagine. We already have close to 900,000 premiere reward members and are continuing to grow that and people are engaged in that program. So we think embedding more of this functionality in an app as part of the loyalty program is good for us and it's good for our guests. Now, having said all that, the mobile website, we have not marketed aggressively. All we have done is put some POP on the table tops because we have been hesitant to do so until we've had that app capability and make it really convenient for people to access that functionality. So, the adoption rate has been pretty low on mobile pay and keep in mind we're only a few weeks into order ahead and only in Southern California.

  • Chris O'Cull - Analyst

  • Remind me, what are your expectations for adoption rate of the mobile pay when you do have it up and running?

  • Greg Trojan - President, CEO

  • You know, we don't have any formal expectations and this is so new to this industry. One of the challenges we found is people don't even imagine that when they mobile pay that they can actually pay when they want to and by that I mean they automatically come to the conclusion yes, I can pay on my phone but I still have to wait for my server to bring me my check, right? And then when we say order ahead most people are thinking, Oh, yeah I can do that for takeout and curbside service. When we're really talking about and we have started calling it order ahead dine-in for that reason. By the way, it's a great advantage to be able to do it for takeout as well, but it's a real paradigm shift for people to think about, Hey, I can save a lot of time and still have a comfortable experience by ordering ahead on my phone for a dine-in experience, right? So there's some communications challenges and I just don't know how long it will take. But, I know that time is the most valuable commodity and it's becoming more precious every single year in our consumers experiences and this really does solve it. This really does solve it. It goes a long way to solving it any way, and if you can take and hour experience and make that 35, 36 minutes comfortably and not feel rushed, I think that's a being idea. I don't have a crystal ball in terms of adoption rate until we start getting out there and being more aggressive about telling people about the functionality and go in and seeing how long it takes.

  • Chris O'Cull - Analyst

  • Okay. Thanks, guys.

  • Greg Trojan - President, CEO

  • The other thing I would just add on that when you look at the adoption rate of QSR, fast casual, or even, I know the pizza delivery business pretty well and, those online adoption rates for ordering ahead for delivery to carry out applications are nearing 50%. So, people are getting used to that idea. It's at a matter of transforming that capability into the mind set of a dine-in experience that's new.

  • Operator

  • Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Nick Setyan, with Wedbush Securities. Please, go ahead.

  • Nick Setyan - Analyst

  • Thank you. I have a question on the order ahead and the dine-in and I think in the past you said it's part of the loyalty program. Is that still the case? Are you guys making that available outside the loyalty program and maybe just talk about what percentage of your transactions are loyalty transactions?

  • Greg Trojan - President, CEO

  • Yes. We haven't made any final decisions there. The emphasis around the app and loyalty makes a lot of sense to us. We have the technical capability to open up the functionality to non premiere rewards people. We have to adapt a process because ultimately we need to identify these folks, but as part of our learning process we will be testing variations where you don't have to be a loyalty rewards member. Now, parts of what we're doing is making it easier to sign up for Premier Rewards once this app is downloaded, too. So it will be a fairly seamless process. Our plan and our materials don't really talk about you have to back a premiere rewards member because it's much like think about buying content on iTunes. If you have to sign up and provide contact information and even credit card information people don't think about that as I'm signing up for some other program. It's just a matter of what you need to do to conduct the eCommerce so that's our current thinking, but certainly pay at the table we can execute through other identification means, et cetera. Once people order ahead we have an identification already and can link their order and have them conduct mobile pay without doing premiere rewards but our bias is because we value this connectivity and the one-on-one marketing capability of this is to go at it with the perspective that by and large it's going to be part of our rewards program, but we will see how that shakes out.

  • Nick Setyan - Analyst

  • What percentage of your transactions are now loyalty transactions?

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • Nick, I will have to get back to you. I don't have that with me.

  • Nick Setyan - Analyst

  • Okay. In terms of the marketing I know this has been asked in a different way but I want to kind of focus on Q2 in the second half. Are there some big markets that are on tap now in Q2 and again the second half and what is the cadence of when we're going to dome back on TV? I know the LA one that seemed like it contributed a lot and once it came off TV a little bit, comps seem to have come back down again.

  • Greg Trojan - President, CEO

  • Well, we didn't talk about the comp in California. It's not what it was when it was on TV, but it's still continuing to sustain at pretty good momentum. And given that, we're planning on using TV in the future in markets where it makes sense, but for competitive reasons I'm not going to go into a lot of detail of when and where we're going to be on and not on.

  • Nick Setyan - Analyst

  • Okay. In the second half we have the minimum wage increase. I'm guessing most of your labor is already above minimum wage but if you could just give us the context around that and I know there's some seasonality in Q3 and Q4 where is it possible in Q2 you go back above 36% on the labor costs and back down to 36%? Maybe just kind of some detail around the labor in the second half?

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • I'm looking at what we have put in here and there's a couple things here, Nick. One is we haven't determined the exact amount, if any, we're going to evaluate pricing and see does it make sense to do some additional pricing here in select markets that being California be the minimum wage market from that standpoint. The pricing that we did take of 1.6% which we will see a bigger benefit of that obviously getting more of that business this next quarter, but separate of that, that was taken to offset some of the in inflationary pressure we're going to see this year so we tried to get ahead of it a little bit in that regard.

  • I would tend to think in Q3 we could see labor get back into the 36% range and that's because of seasonality. I mean it really comes down to where we think comp sales are going to go and what you have put in your models from that standpoint but generally speaking, Q3 has been our toughest quarter. Sales drop down significantly. We pay a higher utility rates in the summer time for gas and electric. So we see some of those other higher occupancy operating cost from that standpoint. So, there is that possibility but at the same time we are look at how can we be strategic in regards to markets that might be able to absorb pricing at the same time we want continue working on the affordability side of our menu.

  • Nick Setyan - Analyst

  • Just last quick question, tax rate for the year.

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • Tax rate for the year should be about 27% or so. While it came down to 24% in about 2.5%to 3% a little more than that, I think cash credits that were very discrete to the first quarter incremental credits for last year. So we take those in when we find out about them, but excluding those things we're projecting to be around 27%.

  • Nick Setyan - Analyst

  • Thank you.

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • You're welcome.

  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, we have time for one final question and that is from the line of Sharon Zackfia, with William Blair. Please go ahead.

  • Sharon Zackfia - Analyst

  • Wow, I squeaked in. Most of my questions were answered but there were a lot of metrics given by Greg about the comparisons versus black box and I just wasn't sure were those geographically weighted? There was a lot of weather in different parts of the country where you're not as exposed?

  • Greg Trojan - President, CEO

  • Sharon, just to be clear most of the ones we're quoting just because they're more consistent. Frankly, we didn't see it as a function of weather over the quarter as much. There's some natural and time periods where ice storms in Texas were impacting that side of the business more, but it tended to be the lines of our media plans and where we were spending and marketing. We didn't just see improved traffic where we were using TV, just to be clear. We saw bigger gains there, but the digital campaigns and in combination with what we did differently in print were working as well. I don't want to give you the impression that it's isolated in only a few markets, but we saw the needle move bigger where we spent more and particularly on TV.

  • Sharon Zackfia - Analyst

  • Yes. I guess my question was from the other side. So I think I heard that you had 180 basis points better traffic than the industry in the quarter and I was just wondering if you had weighted that for geography because clearly they are more exposed in the Midwest and the northeast had a lot more snow days than you would have had so I was wondering if that gap if you had the gap relative to the regions where you are primarily in, like California or Texas.

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • We did not. That's against the entire Knapp-Track data.

  • Sharon Zackfia - Analyst

  • Okay.

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • Looking at California specifically because I just got that information here. We were better in California at least for the quarter in regards to traffic than Knapp-Track, in Texas the other big area despite the challenge that we went over at least according to our data, we were also better than Texas. While it's a total, if I our two biggest markets both California and Texas, we were better than Knapp-Track. Now, I will tell you this on the opposite side which Greg Trojan mention and it's something we can work on. If you took out from a pure sales standpoint, we were lagging both Knapp-Track in California and Texas from a comp sales perspective. But doing a pretty good job of beating them on traffic side of things so we think we're not where we want to be but we like the improvements for staying on traffic and that's given us some good views in some of the other things we're working on for the menu and media going forward.

  • Sharon Zackfia - Analyst

  • Great. Thank you.

  • Greg Levin - CFO

  • You're welcome.

  • Greg Trojan - President, CEO

  • Good question.

  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen that does conclude our conference for today. We would like to thank you for your participation and you may now disconnect.