Astec Industries Inc (ASTE) 2025 Q4 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Hello and welcome to the Aztec industry's fourth-quarter and full year 2025 earnings call.

  • As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. It is my pleasure to introduce your host Steve Anderson, Senior Vice President of Administration and Investor Relations. Mr. Anderson, you may begin.

  • Stephen Anderson - Senior Vice President, Administration and Investor Relations, Corporate Secretary

  • Thank you and good morning. Joining me on today's call are Jakco van der Merwe, our Chief Executive Officer, and Brian Harris, our Chief Financial Officer. In just a moment, I'll turn the call over to Yao to provide his comments, and then Brian will summarize our financial results.

  • For your convenience, a copy of our press release and the presentation have been posted on the website under the investor relations tab at www.azteindustries.com.

  • Turning to slide 2.

  • I'll remind you that our discussion this morning may contain forward-looking statements that relate to the future performance of the company, and these statements are intended to qualify for the safe harbor liability established by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. Such statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to certain risks, uncertainties, and assumptions.

  • Factors that can influence our results are highlighted in today's financial news release, and others are contained in our filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.

  • As usual, we ask that you familiarize yourself with those factors.

  • In an effort to provide investors with additional information regarding the company's results, the company refers to various US GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures which management believes provide useful information to investors.

  • These non-GAAP measures have no standardized meaning prescribed by US GAAP and are therefore unlikely to be comparable to the calculation of similar measures for other companies.

  • Management does not intend these items to be considered in isolation or as a substitute for the related GAAP measures. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP results are included in our news release in the appendix of our slide presentation.

  • And now turning to slide 3, I will turn the call over to Yaaku.

  • Jaco Van Der Merwe - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Thank you, Steve. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us.

  • We were pleased to report strong 4th quarter and full year results that shows the benefits of our focus on consistency, profitability, and growth.

  • I would like to thank our Aztec team members for their dedication and hard work that produced a successful year in 2025.

  • On slide 4, we highlight our 4th quarter and full year performance.

  • Fourth quarter, we achieved record fourth quarter net sales of $400.6 million.

  • Full year net sales increased 8.1% due to a combination of organic and inorganic growth.

  • Adjusted IBERR for the quarter was a solid $44.7 million.

  • This yielded an adjusted EBITDA margin of 11.2%. Adjusted IBERA of $140.7 million for the year was at the upper end of our guidance range.

  • The full year adjusted EBRO margin was 10%, which was a 140 basis point increase over the prior year.

  • We are optimistic about 2026 due to our progress on internal initiatives, positive customer sentiment, and the stability provided by federal funding for infrastructure in the United States.

  • Based on expected organic and inorganic contributions, our full year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance range is $170 million to $190 million.

  • We continue to generate positive free cash flow, which allows us to fund both organic and inorganic growth.

  • In 2025, we saw healthy demand for asphalt plants and concrete plants within the infrastructure solution segment, while forestry and mobile paving equipment were challenged.

  • During the 4th quarter, we saw an increase in the backlogs for forestry and mobile paving equipment, though they remain at the lower end of historical ranges. The material solution segment demonstrated anticipated recovery late in the year with a combination of organic and inorganic growth.

  • Federal funding, healthy state and local budgets, and the construction of data centers are expected to drive multi-year demand. In the material solutions and infrastructure solution segments in 2026, part sales increased 19.7% versus the fourth quarter prior year.

  • For the year, part sales totaled $432.7 million, representing an 11.5% increase over the prior year and 30.7% of total net sales in 2025.

  • As previously stated, growing our parts and service business continues to be a priority.

  • We were pleased to show an increase in backlog to $5,140 million.

  • This represented sequential year over year growth of 14.4% and 22.5% respectively, through a combination of organic and inorganic activity.

  • On slide 5, we highlight the acquisitions of Terresource and CWMF that collectively represent over $200 million of annual revenue acquired by Aztec. As part of the TerraSource integration, we will share the new brand designs at con Expo. The new designs are consistent with existing Aztec products and incorporate our name and logo with the Pterosaur's legacy flagship brands including Dunlop, Jeffrey Rader, Pennsylvania Crusher, and Elgin.

  • Our joint teams are busy expanding the part sales force, coordinating sales channels and cross-selling strategies, pursuing new product development and assessing opportunities for optimal factory use. We anticipate benefits from these actions will be realized in 2026.

  • On January 1, 2026, we were excited to welcome the skilled and dedicated employees of CWMF to the Aztec family.

  • As a reminder, CWMF is a highly respected manufacturer of portable and stationary asphalt plant equipment and parts, primarily concentrated in the Midwest, South Central and Great Lakes regions of the United States.

  • Our organizations are a strong cultural fit, and we expect CWMF to be a creative from day one.

  • Slide 6 provide detail on the state of the US infrastructure and aggregate industries.

  • Aztec benefits from strong road construction and aggregate markets in the United States.

  • As you may know, in 2022, Congress approved a 5-year, $347.5 billion infrastructure investment bill.

  • Funds committed within the bill total $248 billion or 71% through November 30, 2025.

  • These highway and bridge formula funds support over 111,000 new projects and construction increased over the prior year.

  • Although the existing five-year bill is set to expire on September 30th, 2026.

  • Congress recently reached an agreement on transportation spending legislation for the remainder of fiscal year 2026 and now plans to turn their attention to securing an on-time renewal of a robust long-term surface transportation reauthorization.

  • Investments in highways, bridges, and street construction also supports the US aggregate industry as aggregates are used in asphalt, concrete, and as base material.

  • In addition to expected increases in federal funds for roads and bridge construction, 2026 state transportation budgets anticipate growth as well.

  • Data centers and the aggregates and the infrastructure necessary to support them are also expected to drive multi-year demand.

  • In an October 2025 study by Thomson Research Group, aggregate quarries within a 30 mile truck haul distance of a major data center construction project so the demand for aggregate tonnage that nearly doubled that of pre-construction levels.

  • Overall, a healthy compound annual rate of 3.41% is expected for the US aggregate markets through 2033.

  • These industry trends provide advantages for Aztec, a company specializing in the rock to road sector.

  • Ongoing infrastructure enhancements contribute to sustained demand for our equipment, parts and digital solutions.

  • Our established reputation in aggregates as well as road and bridge construction underpins consistent growth. On slide 7, we show fourth quarter implied orders which were up $46 million, or 11% from the prior quarter in 2024. The infrastructure solution segment showed a 31% increase while our material solution segment declined slightly by 6.8%. We were pleased with our overall order intake, as our book to bowl ratio was 116% on a consolidated basis.

  • The book to bill ratios for the infrastructure and material solution segments were 115% and 117% respectively.

  • Moving to slide 8, we are pleased to report that our backlog grew to $5,140 million, an increased on a sequential and year over year basis by 14.4% and 22.5% respectively.

  • The backlog in our infrastructure solution segments reflects a combination of strong water activity for asphalt and concrete plants, partially offset by softer demand for mobile and forestry equipment.

  • We are especially pleased with increased backlog in our material solution segment which grew $105.8 million or 92.7% over the prior year fourth quarter from organic and inorganic contributions and $29.9 million or 15.7% sequentially.

  • As a reminder, backlog represents the dollar value of firm orders with executed contracts.

  • Backlog is also a function of lead times, and we continue to focus on increasing our manufacturing velocity to fulfill customer orders as soon as possible.

  • And now I will turn the call over to our Chief Financial Officer Brian Harris.

  • Brian Harris - Chief Financial Officer

  • Thank you, Yakko, and good morning.

  • And next, I will cover our 4th quarter consolidated results, details by segment, liquidity and leverage, along with some 2026 outlook detail.

  • Turning to our financial performance for the quarter and the full year as represented on slide 10, we achieved record 4th quarter sales driven by heightened demand for both capital equipment and aftermarket parts. Adjusted EBITDA and margins increased due to strong volume, favorable pricing, and product mix.

  • For the fourth quarter, adjusted earnings per share were $1.06.

  • For the full year, net sales grew 8.1%, which was attributable to incremental net sales from the acquired pterosource business, as well as positive organic volume and mix coupled with favorable pricing.

  • As Jako mentioned, we were pleased to report an adjusted EBITDA of $140.7 million, which was at the high end of our guidance range.

  • Both segments experienced growth as adjusted EBITDA margin on a consolidated basis, expanded by 140 basis points to 10%.

  • Adjusted earnings per share for the full year ending 2025 were $3.33 representing a 28.6% increase over the prior year.

  • On slide 11 we show the infrastructure solutions segment which generated fourth quarter net sales of $223.6 million.

  • This measured to a strong prior year comparison of $248.8 million as solid demand for asphalt and concrete plant sales were offset by softness for mobile paving and forestry equipment.

  • Aftermarket parts sales were relatively flat, albeit at healthy levels.

  • Q4 delivered an adjusted EBITDA margin of 15.8% that compared to an exceptional prior year Q4 EBITDA margin of 21.3%. For the year, net sales increased $20 million or 2.4%. Segment operating adjusted EBITDA was $134.3 million for 2025 compared to $121.5 million for 2024 for an increase of $12.8 million or 10.5%. 4 year adjusted EBITDA margin grew 120 basis points to 15.7% compared to 14.5% in 2024.

  • The material solution segment is shown on slide 12.

  • Net sales and segment operating adjusted EBITDA for the quarter increased substantially over the same period in 2024.

  • Increases were primarily due to the impact of net favorable volume and mix from inorganic and organic operations coupled with favorable pricing.

  • Adjusted EBITDA margin for the quarter increased 530 basis points to 11.8%. For the year, net sales increased 18.2% to $553 million over the prior year and adjusted EBITDA grew 49.5% to $55.6 million.

  • Adjusted EBITDA margin in 2025 reached 10.1% compared to 8% in 2024 for an increase of 210 basis points, as shown on slide 13, our balance sheet remains strong, supported by a substantial liquidity. At quarter end, we had $70 million in cash and cash equivalents, along with 244.7 million of available credit. Resulting in total liquidity of $314.7 million.

  • Net debt to adjusted EBITDA of approximately 2 times is well within our target range of 1.5 to 2.5 times.

  • This provides us with the capacity for continued organic and inorganic growth.

  • For our 2026 outlook, you should take into account the following anticipated full year ranges.

  • Adjusted EBITDA of $170 million to $190 million.

  • An effective tax rate between 25% and 28%.

  • Capital expenditures of $40 million to $50 million.

  • Depreciation and amortization of $55 million to $65 million. And the quarterly range for adjusted SG&A of $70 million to $80 million.

  • I will now hand the call back to Yakko.

  • Jaco Van Der Merwe - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Thank you Brian. Moving to slide 14, please mark your calendars to visit us at the 2026 trade show in Las Vegas from March 3 through 7. Our display will be located in the central hall in booth C 30,236, where we will showcase several new products. We will also demonstrate our existing new signal digital platform. And extended reality offerings.

  • These products are all available for sale and will have a positive impact on organic growth. We hope to see you there.

  • Slide 15 provides an overview of our key investment highlights.

  • We are proud of Aztec's long standing reputation as a trusted source of globally recognized brands and premium solutions for our customers. Our team is highly engaged with customers. Based on recent interaction, customers have a favorable outlook about ongoing construction market activity.

  • We are glad to see our dedication to operational excellence is producing strong results, and we expect to realize additional benefits moving forward.

  • Efforts within our manufacturing and procurement are enhancing efficiency, and we are seeing continued improvement in adjusted EBITDA.

  • Our growth is supported by several promising opportunities, including growing our recurring aftermarket parts business, which remains a top priority for the Aztec team.

  • Advancing our robust pipeline of innovative new products, many of which will be on display at com expo.

  • Having a consistent multi-year federal and state funding for interstate and highway projects within our core US market.

  • Exploring expansion possibilities in both established and emerging international markets, pursuing inorganic growth with our demonstrated disciplined and focused approach to strategic acquisitions.

  • As Brian mentioned, our strong balance sheet provides flexibility to fund our growth initiatives and manage leverage effectively.

  • With that operator, we are ready for questions.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) Steve Ferazani, Sidoti.

  • Steve Ferazani - Equity Analyst

  • Andyako, good morning, Brian. Appreciate all the detail on the call. Obviously positively surprised by the hot, strong 4th quarter revenue. I know you were facing a challenging comp and then really surprised by the strong backlog in 4Q of the orders as well as the guide. So I want to dig into some of those pieces. As far as what you're seeing in material solutions, it looks like that's where you really significantly beat me on the top-line this quarter, and I'm assuming that's what's contributing to the strong guide given the orders. What started to turn that around, Yakko? I know we went through several quarters where it just remains soft. You had pointed before to.

  • Higher interest rates as they came down that could help as well as, all of those products were underuse just costs, some of the smaller customers weren't ready to buy and it was coming and now we see it's coming even if we back out Terrasource we see you saw it on the organic side. Can you talk about what's turned that that market so quickly?

  • Jaco Van Der Merwe - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yeah, hi, good morning, Steve. We definitely saw, a good order intake on both businesses, the Legacy MS and TSG business. I will say TSG also came through really strong, during, the 4th quarter, and, we got the results that we were looking for, when we did the business. I will say, we talked a lot about, the state of inventory in our dealer network, and, we have seen and spoke to our dealers just here recently, they have very healthy backlog situations now. They have very healthy inventory. For a while there, they didn't necessarily have the right inventory. We worked through all of that. Their rental utilization is really strong, and, obviously some of those inventory started to convert, and hence the bookings on our side.

  • We have also seen, a very positive. Development around data centers, that is affecting this business. We see, multiple of those super large projects coming through, and, our team is very well positioned to enjoy some of that business. And I know our leaders are, highly engaged with these large projects. So yeah, we are also excited about this. I think our team is ready to take advantage of this. And and hence, the output that we provided for 2026.

  • Steve Ferazani - Equity Analyst

  • Okay, and flipping over to infrastructure solutions, that backlog actually was ahead of where we were thinking as well, just because our expectation was as you enter the last year of the current highway funding bill, maybe you'd see a slowdown in concrete and asphalt plant orders. That doesn't seem to be happening.

  • Jaco Van Der Merwe - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yeah, no, you, you're right, so we, we're happy with how the year ended, obviously we had a very strong com versus the prior year, but, bookings stayed pretty strong, and, I'm happy to say here in the first couple of weeks of the year, both Ms and the IS business, the order intake has been, has been strong as well.

  • Steve Ferazani - Equity Analyst

  • And, you are, you're a little bit closer to this. Any updates on what you think highway funding might move forward this year and are there any concerns on your end if it slowed down?

  • Jaco Van Der Merwe - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yeah, so, a couple of things on that. So we were at the National Asphalt Paving Association just here a couple of weeks ago, and, we got an update there from our government's affairs teams and, they believe that conversations are on track, that we will hear something about an infrastructure bill here in the next couple of months, on a positive note, as we mentioned in our prepared remarks, is that funding for 2026 was actually approved by Congress. So, overall, I think our customers are in a good space. We know that most of them have very good backlogs for the year. So, I think our customers are really focused on the long-term, possibilities of US infrastructure and even if the bill doesn't get renewed on time, we feel that there is good momentum. The need for infrastructure is there, and I think our customers are looking beyond just, the bill here at the end of the year. Of course, if we do get a bill, I think it will be very positive for us and for our customers.

  • Steve Ferazani - Equity Analyst

  • Got it. That's helpful. When we, I want to turn to the guidance, which is certainly on EBITO well above where we were. I'm trying to think about, Yao, since you've taken over, you've tried to improve production efficiencies. I know you've made investments in the plants. You've been growing part sales which are higher margin.

  • I'm trying to think of how much of this growth is driven straight by top-line or how much you think this is on on margin beyond just the the margin improvement generated by higher throughput.

  • Jaco Van Der Merwe - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yeah, Steve, so I mean if you look at the walk from 25 to 26, there's obviously a couple of things that that plays a role there. We have full year TSG, we have, CWM which will basically be work for us for the full year. We build some synergies in there for those two deals, and, we feel pretty good about, our progress around synergies. Obviously these synergies take a while to work through, the inventory that we already have, and, we do see, some organic growth for this year, and obviously we bake some of that into the. Into the number, if we get a highway bill or a new infrastructure bill, we could probably go to the to the higher end of the range, but, we felt that that range is something that we feel, makes sense, this early on in the year.

  • Steve Ferazani - Equity Analyst

  • You haven't talked that much about the numbers, Ron. I know CWMF is much smaller. Can you talk about what that contribution is to your range in 2026? And then as a follow-up just how.

  • We should read through on your what your M&A strategy sort of is with TerraSource and now CWMF.

  • Jaco Van Der Merwe - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yeah, so, on CWM, obviously we disclose the sales that they have, and, we haven't shared exactly what their profitability is, but, Steve, we did mention that it's reta from day one, so we are very happy with where they fit their margin profile fit in with the rest of our asphalt business. So, you can do that math a little bit. But overall, we feel that they will be a day one.

  • From an acquisition point of view, I mean, obviously we have good momentum right now. I will say, our team has done a fantastic job with teeing these two deals up. The integration has been, it's been going really well, and, so we have the, we have the team available to continue to go down this path, our liquidity is in a strong position right now, so we're going to continue to look.

  • And, there's a lot of opportunities for us still to grow both in the US and internationally. So yeah, we're excited about where we are. We're excited about the firepower we have available. And, hopefully we'll find similar companies like, PSG and and CWMF to add to the team.

  • Operator

  • Steven Ramsey, Thompson Research Group.

  • Steven Ramsey - Analyst

  • Yeah, wanted to start with the, maybe kind of continue the CWMF topic for a minute, the improvement potential that you can bring to that business or how both businesses can benefit from each other and seeing that it's a creative day one, if you could talk to their parts contribution and maybe where Aztech can help on that front.

  • Jaco Van Der Merwe - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yeah, no, absolutely. I, when I look at the CWMF, business, the first thing is, the owners, Kami and Travis, they've done a fantastic job with this business. They've created a great culture and that culture fits in so well with Aztec. It is amazing to me, just how fast our teams have come together. Here, obviously we know this business in and out and and you know the the discussions between our teams around working together integrating sales structures synergy has has gone has gone as good as what we could have imagined.

  • This business and, the the the previous owners, they've done a fantastic job creating a very nice manufacturing facility with good capabilities. And, we see opportunities to use that facility and grow the output together with the rest of our Aztec, asphalt, teams.

  • From a parts point of view, their parts mix is a little bit lower than what we have, on our traditional asphalt business, Steve. So there's a big opportunity there, to grow that. We, we're going to do the same thing with them to make sure we have great parts availability. And, we'll give our customers, the support that they deserve and they used to. From a legacy aspect point of view. So yeah, we're excited about this. This buy will give us, much more than just another asphalt, product line. It will give us manufacturing capability. It brings a great team to the table. So yeah, I, we feel very confident about what this will look like in a couple of years.

  • Steven Ramsey - Analyst

  • Excellent. And then sticking to acquisition, recent acquisitions for TerraSource, can you talk about the progress with this business? Good to see margin improvement in the materials segment. And can you talk about the improving fill rates within TerraSource? I know that was a focal point. Can you talk about where it is now versus where it was when you closed the deal?

  • Jaco Van Der Merwe - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yeah, no, Steve, obviously we're still pretty early in that, improvement cycle. One thing that I will say is that, our teams have done all the calculations. We know exactly what we need to do and, what is the inventory that we need to put on the shelf. That process is going and, I will say within the next 3 to 6 months, we're going to be very close to where where we want them to be. And, we know that that will have a positive influence on the business. So good interaction, good buy-in from the team. They're running with this, and obviously the Aztec team just supports them. The other thing that we're making sure of is is as we bring this inventory in. We make sure that we take advantage of the synergy opportunities that we have, so that, we can bring that inventory in at the levels that that we can buy for in our legacy aztec business.

  • So yeah, we're excited about that, overall, the performance for for Teresource for the, the 6 months we've owned them have been in line with our expectations. And, I will say here in the last couple of weeks, we've we've made significant improvements in the integration of the team. Just yesterday, I listened to our engineering team talking about the products that we're going to have at con Expo and, I mean, this just fits in so well with the Aztec business. So we are, we're excited about what they're going to bring to the table in the future.

  • Steven Ramsey - Analyst

  • Okay, that's great. And on the material solution segment, you point out obviously infrastructure activity and data centers.

  • Can you talk a little bit more on data centers and how your equipment is being deployed there and how much of your data center growth is following customers versus intentional efforts on your part and then maybe one other thing on data centers is.

  • Ballpark, how if you can gauge it, how much data centers, data center exposure you have.

  • Jaco Van Der Merwe - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yeah, we actually, we actually TRY to calculate that a little bit, because, I will say the majority of the crushing and screening that's going to be needed to to get these data centers built will be done by companies that we already do business with. So it's not that you will see a huge amount of new startups popping up. So these are customers that we have relationships with. They are close to our dealers. And, we're taking advantage of historical relationships. We, we've seen quite a few, large projects that's coming our way. And, we, we're going to TRY to take advantage as much as we can. We are adding capacity in our facilities, again, to make sure we can, we can take advantage of this. So Steve, I think we're well positioned exactly how much it will contribute. We haven't got to a number that we feel comfortable yet, but, we can just see what is in our quoting pipeline. And we feel that, this business will will be strong and support our EBITDA guidance range for the year.

  • Steven Ramsey - Analyst

  • Okay, that's excellent, and to clarify.

  • The the demand for data centers that you're, is it being filled through dealers primarily or is there any direct business?

  • Jaco Van Der Merwe - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yeah, no, most of that is through dealers. So you know our crushing and screening product line goes through dealers, obviously there's concrete needed there as well that goes through a dealer structure. Obviously any asphalt that is done, around data centers that we sell directly to customers. And once again, they, a lot of our existing customers are involved in that construction.

  • Steven Ramsey - Analyst

  • Okay, that's helpful. And one thing I wanted to make sure of with the even a guidance.

  • Do you expect margin expansion in both segments?

  • Jaco Van Der Merwe - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yeah, so, Steven, we, we've been talking about growing our margins, 0.7 to 1.5% a year, on average. And if you go and look at the last three years, I think we've successfully done that. And I mean, it's our aim to build on our consistency and continue to TRY to achieve those improvements year over year. . And, we won't do our job if we don't do that again this year. So obviously there's a lot of work to be done, to achieve that. But, I think we've shown that we can do it.

  • And, the team is ready to go and execute this year. We know how to do it.

  • We know that we have the opportunities.

  • So now it's just to us, to go and execute.

  • Steven Ramsey - Analyst

  • Excellent. And then last quick one for me, con Expo, a big event that clearly doesn't happen every year. Can you talk about in the past if this helps sales in the coming quarters to a degree as you roll out new products or highlight improvements to existing products and is there any scenario where con Expo is a needle mover enough to shift the guidance or go to the high end?

  • Jaco Van Der Merwe - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yeah, these big shows, you can always question, is it delivering, a good return on investment. I will just say we are very excited about Discon Expo. Basically every product that we have on display is either new or substantially upgraded.

  • We are going to launch our Signal digital platform there that that I'm very excited about. So Steven, I will say, are we going to walk away there with $100 million in new orders? Probably not.

  • But will this send a signal to the market and to our customers that that Aztec is strong? We are unified under our brand.

  • We will have Tesauce on display, our CWMF team will be part of us. So I think we're going to show really strong and, it's going to give our customer confidence. And, I'll be H1st with you, I think it's going to give our own team members, a boost just to see how well, we show up now as a, as, we're still a relatively small player in the market. So yeah, I'm excited. Hopefully we'll see you there next week and hopefully we'll have great attendance as well.

  • Steven Ramsey - Analyst

  • Yes, I'll be there looking forward to it. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • David Macgregor, Longbow Research.

  • David MacGregor - Equity Analyst

  • Yes, good morning, everyone, and congratulations on the strong results.

  • Jaco Van Der Merwe - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Good morning, David.

  • David MacGregor - Equity Analyst

  • Good morning. I wanted to begin by just maybe picking up on your last point there with regards to rolling out the digital platform at con Expo.

  • Maybe you could just talk about kind of progress on building out digital solutions generally and I know this is something you've been doing a lot of work on, but I guess the goal is ultimately to make Aztec easier to buy from and just how should we think about this as a revenue growth facilitator in 2016.

  • Jaco Van Der Merwe - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yeah. Yeah. No, David, I mean, that's a great question. And, if I look at, if I look at the state of our industry and some of the larger players and where we want to take this business, the world is going to look at, basically what I call dumb iron, and how do we make this thumb dumb iron more productive and more reliable. And that's one of the things that we want to achieve with our digital platform.

  • I mean, we want to give our customers great visibility around how their equipment is performing, are they getting the utilization of their equipment? And then most importantly is how do we help our customers to ensure that their equipment runs all the time.

  • And you know our digital platform is going to help them to do that and you know we we see various opportunities coming out of that, driving parts business and you know increasing our our service offerings so you know it will help us to grow.

  • That parts and Service business. In the future. And, there's a big opportunity here. I will say we're just scratching the surface on what this business can become. And, if you go to Con Expo, you will see how this is now integrated, in every piece of equipment. And, I hate to use, the AI term here, but, our teams are doing really good things to start to bring more and more, opportunities that we can help our customers, using the data to make better decisions.

  • And, we have multiple large, customers now that's standardizing on our platform, and they're going to be the beneficiaries of this. So. I know they're all looking forward to next week because they're going to see the full capability. And, we're excited. I think it's going to be great for us long-term.

  • David MacGregor - Equity Analyst

  • Yeah, it's exciting. The second question for me, you mentioned in your prepared remarks that you were seeing a modest positive inflection in orders within the forestry business. I just wanted to maybe get you to talk about that a little bit further and what you think you're seeing there and the extent to which you may expect some follow through.

  • Jaco Van Der Merwe - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, the forestry business was an interesting one the last 1,218 months. We we've owned the Peterson business now for I think 1,213 years. And, this down cycle was probably the worst we've we've seen since we've owned it. A couple of things there, the paper and pulp industry is a little bit in turmoil. And then, thank goodness the US didn't have much storm damage, last year, but obviously, that typically drives quite a bit of business for us.

  • So, I am, however, happy to say that, the last couple of weeks, we've actually seen some decent water intake there. And, that's a business that traditionally, when it was running at full, cylinders, that we, it made, it made really good profits. So, if that comes back, it will add to our profitability. And obviously, we bake some of that in already in the EBITA outlook. So.

  • David MacGregor - Equity Analyst

  • Okay, good, thank you for that detail. I wanted to get you to talk a little bit about the parts business in 2026 as well, and I know that you put a lot of work into strategic inventory investments and expanding the service support. How should we think about the drivers here in 2026? What changes, if anything, in terms of how you go after that business?

  • Jaco Van Der Merwe - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Yeah, so, a couple of things there. We continuously looking at the way we go to market, one of the platforms that you will see at Con Expo is what we call my aztec, and that's a digital platform that we've created starting for asphalt plants where we're creating a digital twin for our customers that makes the ordering so much easier. So that platform is rolled out. We've just started to now introduce that to the concrete plant side of the business. So, we, we're really trying to find ways to make it easier for our customers to do business with us.

  • So that's one thing. The second thing is, we are continuously strengthening our presence in the market. So with CWMF on board now. We got some parts sales guys from them. We've we've broken up our territories a little bit. So now we have even more feet on the street, for parts, on asphalt side. And then, of course, the TSG side.

  • Big opportunity there. These guys, when we bought them, they basically, were in the, I will say the second or 3rd innings of reviving these historical strong brands. And we are enabling them, focusing on on full rate. We're adding salespeople to to go after that parts business. And David, obviously, these things take time. The actions of last year will pay off this year. And, the actions we're putting in place now will play out well later in the year and into next year.

  • David MacGregor - Equity Analyst

  • Got it. Last question for me is maybe for Brian, just on working capital in the model for 26 and how we should be thinking about source versus use and I guess within that, I know that on the equipment side you've seen, people ordering on shorter lead times. Does that give you the ability to fund growth in parts inventory with maybe a little less equipment inventory?

  • Brian Harris - Chief Financial Officer

  • Yeah, thanks, Dave. Thanks for the question. Yeah, working capital continues to be an area of focus for us, obviously. The the better cash flow that we can generate, the more ability we have to grow. I think in 2026 we're going to see further opportunities to improve our work in capital management. It's always, a little bit.

  • Tricky to judge exactly where you'll be at the year end, we shift a lot of inventory, but sometimes it goes into receivables in the short-term, so, year end forecasting can be a little challenging, but overall I do see opportunities for continued improvement and of course we're going to drive, cash through, increased operating, earnings as well, and then we've got, you'll see, a guide on our capital expenditure $40 million to $50 million.

  • Next year we've got a lot of good projects in our plants for operational improvement, improved quality, and, automation, so we'll be reinvesting some of that free cash flow back into the business. But overall, I think working capital should should improve slightly.

  • Okay.

  • Jaco Van Der Merwe - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • David, maybe one other comment just to add to that. We, a lot of our ETO business, we don't have finished goods inventory. So, it's, the real opportunity is strengthening that parts availability. And, you hit the head on the nail or the nail on the head there by saying that, we want to make sure we drive that on the TSG side, we've done the calculations, and yes, it will take a couple of million or so of inventory, but it's not that it's going to be, a double-digit number that we need to add to fix that. So it's doable within within a fairly decent investment.

  • David MacGregor - Equity Analyst

  • Great, thanks. Congratulations again on all the progress and look forward to catching up with you next week.

  • Jaco Van Der Merwe - President, Chief Executive Officer, Director

  • Thank you.

  • Operator

  • That concludes the Q&A session, and now I'll turn the call over to Steve Anderson, senior Vice President of investor relations.

  • Stephen Anderson - Senior Vice President, Administration and Investor Relations, Corporate Secretary

  • All right.

  • Thank you. We appreciate your participation in our conference call this morning and thank you for your interest in Aztec. As today's news release states, this conference call has been recorded.

  • A replay of the conference call will be available through March 11, 2026, andan archived webcast will be available for 90 days. The transcript will be available under the investor relations section of the Aztec Industries website within the next five business days. This concludes our call, but we're happy to connect later if there are additional questions.

  • Thank you all and have a good day.

  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.