AMN Healthcare Services Inc (AMN) 2015 Q2 法說會逐字稿

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  • Operator

  • Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. And welcome to the AMN Healthcare second quarter 2015 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session and instructions will be given at that time. (Operator Instructions) As a reminder, today's teleconference is being recorded.

  • And I would now like to turn the conference over to the Vice President of Investor Relations, Ms. Amy Chang. Please go ahead.

  • Amy Chang - VP of IR

  • Thank you, Brad. Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to AMN Healthcare's second quarter 2015 earnings call. A replay of this webcast will be available until August 18, 2015, at AMNhealthcare.investorroom.com. Details for the audio replay of the conference call can be found in our earnings press release.

  • Regarding our policy on forward-looking statements, various remarks and characterizations we make during this call about future expectations, projections, plans, prospects, events, or circumstances constitute forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are identified by words such as believe, anticipate, expect, intend, planned, will, should, would, project, may, variations of such words, and other similar expressions. It is possible that our actual results may differ materially from those indicated by these forward-looking statements as a result of various important factors including those identified in our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014, and our other filings with the SEC, which are publicly available.

  • The results reported in this call may not be indicative of results for future quarters. These statements reflect the Company's current beliefs and are based upon information currently available to it. Developments subsequent to this call may cause these statements to become outdated. The Company does not intend, however, to update the guidance provided today prior to its next earnings release.

  • This call may also contain certain non-GAAP financial information. We make available additional information regarding non-GAAP financial measures in the earnings release and on the Company's website. On the call today are Susan Salka, our President and Chief Executive Officer, as well as Brian Scott, our Chief Financial Officer. Ralph Henderson, our President of Healthcare Staffing, and Dan White, our President of Workforce Solutions, will be joining us during the Q&A session.

  • I will now turn the call over to Susan.

  • Susan Salka - President, CEO and Director

  • Thank you so much, Amy. Good afternoon, everyone and welcome to AMN Healthcare's second quarter 2015 earnings conference call. Our team continued to execute extremely well and market conditions remain strong, resulting in better than anticipated revenue and profitability across all business segments. Demand for our healthcare staffing and workforce solutions are at very high levels, as a combination of macroeconomic, demographic, and healthcare reform trends have driven stronger patient volumes and higher clinician turnover. At the same time, healthcare providers have some financial breathing room with a reduction of uncompensated care, which enables them to ensure they're adequately staffed.

  • Clients are increasingly seeking strategic solutions to address their staffing challenges as they strive to deliver improved patient care and achieve greater efficiencies. These macro drivers appear unlikely to change in the near term and we anticipate demand could further increase in the long-term as the US population ages and clinician shortages become even more severe.

  • In the second quarter, consolidated revenue grew 40% year-over-year to $350 million, a record high for AMN and 3% above the high end of our guidance. Excluding the impact of our recent acquisitions, second quarter revenue grew 24% year-over-year. The strong year-over-year organic revenue growth was across all staffing and placement business lines, as well as our RPO and VMS businesses. Additionally, the recently acquired Avantas, Onward Healthcare, Locum Leaders, and Medefis companies performed very well, and the majority of our integration activities have been successfully completed.

  • With the acquired nurse and allied staffing businesses now merged on our same system, this will be the last quarter that we are able to report legacy organic growth numbers. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA grew 69% with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 11.2%, representing an increase of 190 basis points over prior year. The adjusted EBITDA margin improvement was driven by the combination of an improved overall gross margin and favorable operating leverage associated with the revenue growth. As Brian will describe later, we did have a favorable adjustment for our professional liability expense during the quarter. But even without this benefit, adjusted EBITDA margin would have been 10.3%, which was very strong and above our expectations.

  • Now, let's review the second quarter results and outlook for each of our three business segments. In our largest segment of nurse and allied staffing, second quarter revenue rose 45% year-over-year and 5% sequentially. On an organic basis, year-over-year revenue growth was 27% for this segment. A significant contributor for this performance was the travel nurse staffing business, which experienced a second quarter revenue increase year-over-year of 40%, driven largely by organic growth of 29%. The remainder came from the recent acquisition of Onward Healthcare, which is also performing exceptionally well. Order levels continue to be more than double compared to prior year.

  • And the good news is that our supply of new candidates is also growing. A few years ago, we began making investments in our marketing technologies, which has proven to be a wise decision. These improved capabilities have enabled us to grow our supply of healthcare professionals and increase recruiter productivity at this critical time of high demand. We continue to add to our sales and recruitment team, as well as deploy innovative marketing approaches to build our pipeline of healthcare professionals.

  • For the third quarter, we expect travel nurse staffing revenue to be up approximately 35% year-over-year. In our allied staffing business, second quarter revenue grew 63% year-over-year with impressive organic growth of 31%. The remainder came from the acquisition of Onward, which is also performing extremely well. In the second quarter, Allied staffing contributed the most to our sequential revenue growth for the entire nurse and allied segment. Demand is roughly double compared with prior year and continues to be up across all Allied health specialties. For the third quarter, we expect Allied staffing to continue performing very well and be up over 60% year-over-year.

  • Our ShiftWise, Medefis, Avantas, and RPO businesses, which are included in this segment, are also experiencing strong growth. While relatively small in revenue, these strategic workforce solutions enable AMN to create deeper, longer-term relationships with our clients. Their gross and EBITDA margins are also higher, which is lifting our overall margins as these businesses continue to grow. Overall, for the nurse and allied staffing segment, we expect third quarter revenues to be up approximately 45% year-over-year.

  • Now, turning to Locum Tenens. Second quarter revenue was up 31% year-over-year driven by 19% organic growth. The remainder came from the acquisition of Locum Leaders, which is also performing very well. The year-over-year growth was broad based across most specialties, with hospitalist and emergency room making up the largest portion. Locum's MSP continues to see momentum with several additional opportunities in the pipeline.

  • While profitability remains strong for this business, we still believe we have room for further margin expansion in the future. For the third quarter, we expect Locum's revenue will be up approximately 25% year-over-year. The team has its sights set on achieving its first $100 million revenue quarter. In our Physician Perm Placement segment, second quarter revenue was up 19% year-over-year and 8% sequentially. This is the highest year-over-year revenue growth this segment has ever experienced. The strong year-over-year growth was driven mainly by increased new search volume, driven by growth in traditional clients, but also increased momentum with larger health systems. Performance remains strong going into the third quarter and revenue is expected to be up approximately 10% year-over-year.

  • Our number one priority in today's market is ensuring we are doing all we can to execute well for our clients. Supply of candidates is tight for everyone and we are partnering very closely to pull every lever to get their jobs filled. In addition to using innovative marketing and recruitment techniques, bill rate increases have continued to be important in attracting new supply for our clients. We have also been hiring additional back office team members to support our rapid growth and maintain service excellence.

  • Even if we focus on our everyday strong execution, we are also positioning AMN to continue evolving to serve our clients well in the future. We are making good progress on our internal investments to streamline our process and technology infrastructure. This will be essential to further differentiate AMN to our clients and to drive additional SG&A efficiency. We also remain focused on our long-term differentiated strategy to provide a broad spectrum of innovative workforce solutions to our clients. Our improved profitability and healthy balance sheet give us the ability to continue making opportunistic investments. As our clients undergo dramatic transformation in their care delivery models, their appetite to adopt strategic outsourced services continues to grow. More than ever, they are using multiple workforce management solutions and staffing services, thus increasing the value that we can create for them.

  • While the market environment is favorable, AMN's industry leading performance is the direct result of the exceptional passion, drive, and execution of our team members. They have been hitting on all cylinders to perform within a strong demand environment and successfully integrate our newly acquired companies. For this, I thank the entire AMN team for their commitment and dedication to serve our clients and healthcare professionals with excellence every single day. I will come back to you in our Q&A section along with Ralph and Dan, but for now, I will turn the call over to Brian.

  • Brian Scott - CFO, CAO and Treasurer

  • Thank you, Susan and good afternoon, everyone. The Company's second quarter reported revenue of $350.1 million was up 39.5% from last year and 6.9% from last quarter. Our gross margin for the quarter was 31.4%, up 60 basis points from last year and 40 basis points from last quarter. The year-over-year improvement was due in large part to an increase in the mix of our higher margin workforce solutions, particularly RPO and the recently acquired Medefis VMS and Avantas businesses.

  • SG&A expenses in the quarter totaled $74.7 million or 21.3% of revenue compared to $55.6 million in the same quarter last year and $71.6 million in the prior quarter. The year-over-year increase in SG&A was due primarily to approximately $8 million of additional SG&A from the recent acquisitions, as well as higher variable expenses to drive and support our growth. Partially offsetting this increase was an actuarial based $3.3 million reduction in our professional liability reserve, which compares to a $1.6 million reduction in the prior year quarter. The sequential increase in SG&A was due primarily to hiring of additional sales and service team members to support revenue growth. SG&A expenses in the quarter also included approximately $1.8 million of acquisition and integration costs, which compares to about $1.1 million last quarter.

  • Our second quarter Nurse and Allied segment revenue increased 44.7% from the prior year and 4.8% sequentially to $240 million. Volume of 7,227 average healthcare professionals on assignment was higher by 29.9% year-over-year. Of this volume increase, about 13% was organic growth with the remainder coming from the Onward acquisition. The average bill rate for this segment was higher by approximately 7% over last year. Nurse and Allied gross margin of 30.7% was higher year-over-year by 160 basis points. Most of this year-over-year improvement was due to the previously noted increase in the mix of our higher margin workforce solutions, with our staffing gross margins running relatively stable.

  • Second quarter Nurse and Allied segment operating margin of 14.7% was 140 basis points higher year-over-year and 80 basis points higher than the prior quarter. The improvements resulted from the gross margin expansion and a $1.9 million favorable professional liability adjustment in this segment.

  • Second quarter Locum Tenens segment revenue of $97.4 million was up 31.1% from the prior year and 12.3% sequentially. The year-over-year growth was driven by approximately an 8% increase in the average bill rates and a 22% increase in the number of days filled during the quarter. The days filled volume growth came from 12% organic growth, with a balance from the acquisition of Locum Leaders. Locum Tenens gross margin of 29.2% was lower year-over-year by 60 basis points.

  • Second quarter Locum Tenens segment operating margin of 12% was higher by 150 basis points both year-over-year and sequentially. The improvement was a result of operating leverage and the professional liability benefit of $1.4 million.

  • Our second quarter Physician Permanent Placement revenue of $12.7 million was up 19% year-over-year and up 8.2% sequentially. Gross margin of 63.1% was lower by 40 basis points from the prior year and lower by 260 basis points from the prior quarter. The lower sequential margin is primarily a result of the prior quarter, including more high margin [project] work. Physician Permanent Placement second quarter operating margin of 25.7% was higher by 530 basis points year-over-year and lower by 210 basis points from the prior quarter. The year-over-year improvement was due primarily to operating leverage associated with the revenue growth.

  • Interest expense in the second quarter was $2 million, which compares to $4.6 million last year and $1.8 million last quarter. The year-over-year decrease is primarily due to a prior year $3.1 million write off deferred financing fees, partly offset by additional interest associated with a higher debt balance as a result of the recent acquisitions. Our tax rate in the second quarter was 43.7%. Our projected tax rate for the third quarter is 43%.

  • You may recall that on our balance sheet, we have a reserve for uncertain tax positions. In July, we reached a settlement with the IRS related to an audit of our 2007 to 2010 tax years. This settlement included a payment of $5.8 million, plus interest, which was less than the amount reserved. As a result, we'll reverse approximately $12 million of tax reserves in the third quarter.

  • We reported net income of $15.9 million and diluted earnings per share of $0.32 for the second quarter. Excluding the $1.8 million of acquisition and integration expenses, as well as $2.9 million of intangible asset amortization, adjusted earnings per share was $0.38. This compares to an adjusted earnings per share of $0.21 in the prior-year quarter.

  • Cash provided by operations was $25 million for the quarter. Days sales outstanding were 60 days, compared to 61 days last quarter and 55 days last year.

  • Capital expenditures for the second quarter were $8.2 million, which include approximately $1.5 million related to migrating the acquired companies onto our infrastructure and systems. Another $1.5 million was related to expanded facilities and technology to support our growth. As of June 30, our cash and equivalents totaled $14.5 million, and our total debt outstanding was $226 million. The quarter-end leverage ratio as calculated per our credit agreement was 1.9 times to 1, compared to 2.2 times at the end of the prior quarter.

  • Now let's turn to our third quarter 2015 guidance. The Company expects consolidated revenue of $360 million to $365 million. Gross margin is expected to be 31% to 31.5%. SG&A expenses as a percentage of revenue are expected to be 22%. Included in SG&A is approximately $700,000 of integration expenses. Adjusted EBITDA margins is expected to be approximately 10% to 10.5%.

  • And with that, we'd to open up the call for questions.

  • Operator

  • (Operator Instructions) Our first question today comes from the line of AJ Rice with UBS. Please go ahead.

  • A.J. Rice - Analyst

  • Hi, everybody. Thanks for the question. First of all, Brian, you were giving a lot of helpful statistics but maybe a little too fast for my hands. The bill rate increase in the travel nursing or in the nursing generally, what was that?

  • Brian Scott - CFO, CAO and Treasurer

  • We gave it for the segment. It was about a 7% increase on a year-over-year basis.

  • A.J. Rice - Analyst

  • Okay. I know as you get into an environment where you've got tightening supply and hospitals are scrambling a little bit to get access to the nurses they need, they often will come to you and say, hey, if we pay more can we get it. Are we in that environment now, or is that still in front of you a little bit, you think?

  • Ralph Henderson - President, Healthcare Staffing

  • Hey, AJ. This is Ralph. I'll handle that one. In this environment, we are seeing price increases in the nursing business, which makes up quite a bit of that segment. We're up about 8% on a year-over-year basis. So it's kind of a corresponding amount ends up going to the traveler to attract them back into the industry and get them out on assignment. And so kind of the net effect is our spreads remain about the same. So we're in an environment from a pricing standpoint that's good, I guess, for attracting supply but doesn't have a really material impact on our gross margin.

  • A.J. Rice - Analyst

  • Okay, but it's not -- I mean I'm just trying to gauge how far into really a tightening supply environment we're in. Are we in a situation where you're sort of seeing across the board people coming to you proactively and saying, we need to do this? Or is it still sort of an orderly situation? I don't know if there's an easy way to describe what I'm looking for but just trying to get a feel for that in the marketplace.

  • Ralph Henderson - President, Healthcare Staffing

  • It's really kind of on a market-by-market, skill-by-skill basis that we take a look at it. And it's both proactive, us going to clients to talk to them about where we're at. If it's taking us longer to fill an order, we can often get them to implement a temporary increase. In other cases, it's a long-term skill-based issue. Labor-delivery is a good example of that, where it takes us a long time, right, to attract supply there. There's not much supply that really travels in labor-delivery. So we're more in long-term price increases with them. We also have customers coming to us and offering signing bonuses or completion bonuses and things like that.

  • So I'd say it's probably a good mix, a healthy mix of us initiating those conversations and customers coming to us and looking for more supply.

  • A.J. Rice - Analyst

  • Okay. And with hindsight, it looks very smart -- invested heavily on the recruiter side in the last year really and boosted your recruiter base. And there was some sense that that was exerting a drag on the margins until those people became fully productive. Where are we at in terms of how that's having an impact and how that investment in recruiters in the last 6 to 12 months has matured out? And then is there any thought given the robustness of the demand in doing another round of expanding your recruiter force more?

  • Susan Salka - President, CEO and Director

  • AJ, it's Susan. I'll answer that but I also want to go back to your prior question, just add something on. So I think you see the benefit of those hires that we made, as you say, within retrospect a very smart investment to make. And because of the training approach that we've taken to get them ramped up quickly -- Landry Seedig has just done -- he's the president of the nursing division -- , just an outstanding job of ramping up those new recruiters quickly with his team.

  • In addition to that, the acquisition of Onward Healthcare helped us immediately add some very experienced, tenured recruiters who were already very productive. And so we didn't probably feel as much of a drag as you might have thought because we were able to get the benefit of our existing recruiters being more productive, Onward recruiters coming onboard, and already being very productive. And then getting our new recruiters ramped up very quickly. So we probably felt the brunt of that more in the second half of last year. Now, it's probably a bit more steady state.

  • As we go into the second half of this year, we absolutely will be continuing to hire but probably at a slightly less velocity or quantity. Because now that the Onward recruiters are on our system, we would expect that that will help them further increase their productivity. It's typically what we've seen as we've integrated these acquisitions into the Company.

  • So I wouldn't really expect us to be talking about a drag on our margins going forward, but that doesn't mean we won't be continuing to hire. It's just that these high revenue and margin levels already you're probably not going to notice it as much, and then we'll get more productivity out of the existing people.

  • Going back to your prior question, the only thing I wanted to add on is that when we're having conversations with clients about the market environment -- first remember, we've got a vast amount of information, more than anyone, to share with them about what's happening across the country in terms of demand and supply of candidates; and that's really across all clinicians. And that can also lead to conversations about our other workforce solutions.

  • So if they're having challenges with their own permanent recruitment and retention, we can then be talking with them about our recruitment process outsourcing services. And as I mentioned during our prepared remarks, the RPO business is doing exceptionally well. And I really do believe that it's a byproduct of one, the team, who has just done an exceptional job. But also, the cross-selling that we've been able to do in bringing multiple solutions to the table and not just serving up a short-term solution, but trying to help them take a longer term, more holistic approach to their staffing problems.

  • A.J. Rice - Analyst

  • Okay. That's great. Thanks a lot.

  • Susan Salka - President, CEO and Director

  • Thanks, AJ.

  • Operator

  • And we do have a question from the line of Tobey Sommer with SunTrust. Please go ahead.

  • Tobey Sommer - Analyst

  • Thank you very much. I was wondering if you could give us an update on the MSP wins and some color about kind of where you think the adoption of the different workforce solutions are across the segments and where they're going to go over the next -- over kind of the medium term. Thanks.

  • Dan White - President, Strategic Workforce Solutions

  • Thanks, Tobey. This is Dan. So I'll give you a little bit of an update but as I do that, I just want to say we're having more meetings with clients and prospects at higher executive levels than I think we ever have before. And as Susan was mentioning, we're really coming to the table with this overall message of workforce optimization. We have really three tools in the toolkit now, where you have Avantas for predictive modeling and scheduling of resources that really get the right mix; and you have RPO that can deliver core staff, and MSP that can deliver contingent staff in an orderly and consistent way.

  • And so for us, the balance where you have somebody that isn't getting a lot of MSP orders filled, we can go to them and say, hey, you probably should consider at least having more core staff in the mix. And even bring in a consulting team to tell them just about how many there should be. So it's a very powerful set of tools that our clients can use.

  • So to answer your question, in the quarter we had five new MSP deals closed. One medium sized one and four small, which is about the same number as we had last quarter. And so I feel good about the consistency of our sales team. The mix of disciplines also was very strong. We had a Locums -- one of those was a Locums deal. Three of them were nursing and Allied combined, and then one that was Allied specific, a new category for us, dental. And so for me, I just want to say the partnership especially with Jeff Decker and the Allied team has been very strong on the MSP side, allowing us not only to penetrate much deeper into our MSPs, but also add new offerings at the same time.

  • Susan Salka - President, CEO and Director

  • And I think you also had in there, Tobey, kind of the longer term question of where can the penetration go for our workforce solutions, keeping in perspective we've got both MSP and VMS services. And we actually have about the same amount of gross spend under management in our MSP program as we do in our VMS. It's now approaching $1.4 billion in terms of the amount of gross spend under management we have in either VMS or MSP. And that penetration continues to grow. If you look at Locum Tenens, for example, we're running at about 17% and growing pretty fast from quarter-to-quarter. It was up a percentage just from the first quarter and almost double from prior year. Allied Staffing is now running north of 25% of their revenue coming from MSP types of contracts. And nursing has been running kind of between 45% to 50% for a while now.

  • So we don't see any reason why all of those business lines and segments of the industry couldn't approach 50% or more. That's absolutely what you see in commercial staffing. And then if you, again, add into that the fact that for those clients that prefer a vendor neutral technology only solution, we have two of the absolute best in the industry with ShiftWise and Medefis. We think it gives us the opportunity to approach 70% in terms of the market penetration as an industry of how many clients are using some sort of solution.

  • So I think we've got a ways to go in this. You might see a little bit of -- in such a strong demand environment, a little bit of wobbling from quarter-to-quarter, but going forward, I would expect one, two, three years from now, we're going to be looking at higher numbers.

  • Tobey Sommer - Analyst

  • Thank you very much. Brian, the cash flow was strong in the quarter. How should we think about either cash from operations or free cash flow this year?

  • Brian Scott - CFO, CAO and Treasurer

  • Well, the cash flow typically is lower in the first quarter. You've seen that at least for the last few years and it strengthens as you go through the year. Part of it is the seasonality on some of the early year outflows. So for the second half of the year, you should expect that our operating cash flow would be likely equal to or greater than what we saw in the first half of the year. For the second quarter, it might not be quite as strong each of the next few quarters. But that's more indicative of what we'd see if we are able to continue at the same level of revenue growth and keep our DSO either flat or ideally move that down a couple more days. That would be additive as well.

  • So that would be our normal course for the year, that lower Q1 and then a stronger build for the year.

  • Tobey Sommer - Analyst

  • And Susan, my last question has to do with kind of leverage and your strategic thinking of capital deployment because the leverage ratio isn't that high given the gross and probably the prospects for relatively high levels of profitability for a while. How do you think about trying to make the balance sheet efficient and still kind of put some more money to work here in coming quarters?

  • Susan Salka - President, CEO and Director

  • I think we definitely have room to put more money to work, but we're going to be very disciplined about that as I think you'd agree we've always been. And we're also investing pretty heavily in our existing business to make sure that we're evolving both our processes, our technology, and the capabilities that we have to get more operating leverage as we go forward. We really haven't seen the benefits of the technology investments that we're making. As you recall, we have a multiyear project of getting all of our businesses on a common platform, and we would expect to see particularly back office efficiencies, but also some revenue synergies and efficiencies from that. And those won't really start to happen until 2016 or beyond. But for now, we're investing heavily to make sure that that occurs.

  • And then beyond that, we're looking at acquisitions and we have been very disciplined. Valuations are high out there and so we want to make sure that the valuations that we put on the table make sense for us. But the pipeline is good. We were just talking about it this morning. We have more deals that we've at least looked at and have evaluated than I've seen in a long time. So I think it's actually a good time to be a buyer as long as you are disciplined in what the valuation will mean to your company.

  • Tobey Sommer - Analyst

  • Thank you very much.

  • Operator

  • And we do have a question from the line of Jeff Silber with BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

  • Henry Chien - Analyst

  • Hey, good afternoon. It's Henry Chien calling in for Jeff. I just had a question on gross margins. Is there any way that you may be able to break out the contribution from the staffing business versus the RPO or the ShiftWise type businesses? I'm just looking at your gross margin. It looks like it's probably going to reach the -- it's probably the highest it's ever been in the Company's history. Just trying to understand how far that can go and what contribution is from some of the software businesses. Thanks.

  • Brian Scott - CFO, CAO and Treasurer

  • Sure. This is Brian. I'll maybe talk on a year-over-year. We noted that our margin was up. Gross margin was up 60 basis points and really all of that came from the contribution from the growth in our existing business of RPO and ShiftWise. But then it was aided additionally by the acquisitions of Medefis and Avantas as well. So they're really the primary driver over the last year in our gross margin expansion are, as I noted in our Nurse and Allied segments, our staffing businesses, the margins have been pretty stable for the last several quarters, which we've been pleased with as we are really trying to do everything we can to attract more supply. We're just trying to maintain those margins to drive more volume into the business. And our Locums margin was actually down a little bit year-over-year. We think we're on the right track to move that back up again to levels we were at earlier last year.

  • So kind of the net of all that is that I think as you look to the next several quarters, it'll likely be that continued growth in those workforce solutions that will drive the margin. If it does continue to go up, it'll be driven more by that than anything else.

  • Henry Chien - Analyst

  • And on the Physician side, was there anything in particular that drove the pretty sharp acceleration in the quarter and any reason why that is toning down or tapering a little bit in your guide for next quarter?

  • Susan Salka - President, CEO and Director

  • Well, I'll take a Physician Perm Placement business and then maybe Ralph can talk about the Locums business, which is also doing exceptionally well. So within Physician Perm Placement, it was really the underlying fundamentals which is a great news story, the number of searches that they are engaging rose considerably on both a year-over-year and sequential basis. And it's from our traditional clients that you would expect, but also the team has really done an outstanding job of building stronger relationships and contractual arrangements with the larger healthcare systems.

  • And so I think that we're starting to see the benefit for more of those larger scale opportunities. When you think about it, we talk about nurse attrition and job openings a lot. But it's just as big of a problem on the physician side. Physician attrition has been running between 10% to 15% over the last five years and that does not appear to be slowing down at all. And if you're a large system that's employing or contracting with 500 physicians, which isn't really that large, then you're going to have at least 50 job openings just to stay even -- that doesn't include the number of people that might want to expand their scope of practice.

  • And so there's a pretty huge demand that has really grown, I think, particularly as you've seen more physicians employed, as well as having their practices owned by the hospitals who now have a vested interest in ensuring that they're properly staffed. So I would expect to see more momentum going forward.

  • In terms of the year-over-year delta, the 19% versus the 10%, I think it has more to do with the comps from last year. We don't really see the business slowing. Second quarter was really just exceptional and so I think it was a combination of an exceptionally high number of searches coming in and the year-over-year comp being a little bit easier in Q2 versus Q3.

  • So Ralph, you want to talk about Locum?

  • Ralph Henderson - President, Healthcare Staffing

  • Sure. Our Locums business, which is run by Sean Ebner, who we added to the team about three years ago, an excellent person who got the business turned around. I think it's our 10th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth. Our growth for the quarter, you're right, is 31%. We guided for 25%, which may make it seem like deceleration. Probably just like Susan mentioned before, it's a little bit of lapping a more difficult time.

  • And then also, our second quarter is also particularly strong quarter for the business and we're just not anticipating as many good guys, I guess, in this quarter as we had in the second quarter. The organic growth, by the way, was 19% so the team is performing really, really well, (inaudible) their margin but their pricing has been very favorable. They're up about 8% on a year-over-year basis on pricing. So there's a lot of good things going on there, primarily driven by our hospitalists and emergency room business, which are two of our best performing segments, and some with the most highest demand or days available using our demand trends.

  • Henry Chien - Analyst

  • Thanks so much for the color.

  • Operator

  • And we do have a question from the line of Tim McHugh with William Blair. Please go ahead.

  • Tim McHugh - Analyst

  • Thanks. Just wanted to follow-up on some of the numbers again you were giving earlier. I think you said that the nursing business, the hours organically increased 13% and then you said I thought later that the bill rate was up 8%. I'm just trying to bridge towards the organic growth number that you gave for that segment of 27%. I'm not sure if I'm comparing apples and oranges, I guess. But can you help reconcile --

  • Brian Scott - CFO, CAO and Treasurer

  • Sure, this is Brian. I promise I'll try to talk a little bit slower next time, but the 13% was actually talking about our volume growth, the organic volume growth for the Nurse and Allied business. So that was that. Hours we didn't really touch on, but hours are up as you'd expect with this type of environment that our clients are working their core staff more hours to cover higher patient volumes. And they're also using our healthcare professionals more as well. So we would typically expect to see the hours trending up and we've definitely seen that over the last several quarters.

  • Tim McHugh - Analyst

  • And when you said volume, that's the number of nurses, I guess. So I mean if we think --

  • Brian Scott - CFO, CAO and Treasurer

  • Correct. Right.

  • Tim McHugh - Analyst

  • Between 13$, plus 8% and then the 27% you talked about would be kind of the number of hours each nurse is working on average.

  • Brian Scott - CFO, CAO and Treasurer

  • Yes, and then also the Onward part of the business as well. So well, the other part -- because that's the whole segment, Tim. So the other part is really our other workforce solution. So that's where RPO, and ShiftWise, and Medefis, all those are in this reportable segment. So the majority of that difference is actually the growth we saw in those other business lines.

  • Tim McHugh - Analyst

  • Okay. All right. Fair enough. And then I guess I know you only guide one quarter out and there's been enough I guess secular or I guess cyclical swings, whichever one it is. But typically, as we think about a fourth quarter, what would be, without asking for specific guidance, what would be the directional trend as you would think about the end of the year, I guess, if you're comfortable giving some sort of perspective on how to think about that at this point?

  • Brian Scott - CFO, CAO and Treasurer

  • Sure, this is Brian again, and you're right. Every year has been a little bit different depending on what's going on in the industry. We would typically look at the fourth quarter being relatively flat to the third quarter. Our nursing business has been generally up sequentially but we normally see Allied and our Physician businesses down in the fourth quarter, just due to normal seasonality. This third quarter, we do have -- you see the guidance we gave with a nice pickup in revenue. That's definitely good underlying trends. We also have a pretty decent size EMR project in the third quarter. And so that will -- most of that work will be done during the third quarter. So it wouldn't be completely surprising if our fourth quarter revenue is down a little bit this year sequentially. And again, more just because of the project in the third quarter rather than any other trends going on.

  • Tim McHugh - Analyst

  • Can you quantify how much that's supposed -- that will help your third quarter, the EMR project?

  • Susan Salka - President, CEO and Director

  • I don't know that it's easy to say specifically for the third quarter, because we would expect to have some EMR in every quarter. So how much more is extra in this quarter. Probably in the sort of $4 million to maybe $5 million range. And EMR staffing has definitely picked up this year. We thought it was going to slow down but it's picked up a little bit, particularly in the second half. And we have one particular large client, happens to be an MSP client, so we have a great relationship there, who wanted us to step in and help with their EMR project. And most of that's falling in the third quarter. So I don't know if that helps you from a quantity standpoint, but you might have anywhere around $5 million extra in the third quarter due to the size of that deal versus what normal deals might look like.

  • And then remember fourth quarter for EMR is always low. You always see a slowdown because nobody wants to have their staff going through a major conversion like that over the holidays.

  • Tim McHugh - Analyst

  • Right, okay. And then I guess there's some M&A in the industry. I guess service providers to the hospitals I guess. Is there any implications as we think about that for you? I think you historically served you will be a subcontractor to some of those outsourced physician businesses. Does that hurt your or I guess could it help you? How do you think about the implications of that?

  • Susan Salka - President, CEO and Director

  • We think it typically would have no impact on us because you're right, we do work with really all of the major contract management companies as well as most all of the GPO companies. And so as you might see some movement and consolidation around the industry, we haven't typically seen it have a negative or positive effect on us because we already work with them. If you're talking about the team health IPC acquisition, we work with both of them already. It's not a material number to our business, but it's certainly one that we would expect to continue as a combined organization, that we continue doing business with them.

  • Likewise, if you were to see some movement around the GPOs, we wouldn't expect that it would impact us because we're already a strong partner with the med assets of the world, the Paralons of the world. And so we would be pleased to work with their facilities even if they changed their GPO provider.

  • Tim McHugh - Analyst

  • Okay, great. Thank you.

  • Operator

  • And we do have a question from the line of Mitra Ramgopal with Sidoti. Please go ahead.

  • Mitra Ramgopal - Analyst

  • Yes, hi. Good afternoon. Just a couple of questions. First, I'm just wondering looking back at the second quarter, obviously it was tremendous across the board, if there was anything in particular that really surprised you and you expect to continue going forward.

  • Susan Salka - President, CEO and Director

  • I think what surprised us is just how exceptionally well all of the businesses did. The revenue upside really came across the board. There wasn't any one thing where we said wow, we didn't expect that to happen. And it was the result of the demand trends remaining strong, but really exceptional execution by the teams across the board. And I just can't say enough about the strength of our teams, starting with the leadership team but really running throughout the organization. It's interesting how this kind of high demand, fairly intense environment really stretches people and actually brings out the best in them in many ways.

  • So it's been really just a situation where we have the strongest team we've ever had in my 25 years with this business and we have a phenomenal market opportunity, and they are doing everything they can to make sure that we're delivering to our clients. And I know that might sound like a fairly easy answer, but believe me, it's not easy to pull off.

  • Mitra Ramgopal - Analyst

  • No, that's fair. And not to get too far ahead, but again if you had to say, look out over the next few years, would you say, as you look at the Company today and where you're headed, and all (inaudible) macro trends you're seeing, whether it's healthcare reform demographic, the shortage of physicians, nurses, et cetera that in the event of another economic downturn that you're much better placed today to sort of withstand that and continue to grow.

  • Susan Salka - President, CEO and Director

  • Yes, we absolutely agree. It's not by chance. Part of our rationale in evolving our strategy to be the innovator in workforce solutions, in addition to being the leader in healthcare staffing is that it provides a less sensitive economic model. And when we see orders decline at some point in the future, I don't know when that will be, but it will happen someday, I suppose, then we will be better protected by having MSP relationship, having our VMS businesses, the Avantas business, an additional workforce solution like RPO that will help us be a more holistic partner.

  • So we would expect that whenever that next cycle hits that we will be in a much better position for our shareholders.

  • Mitra Ramgopal - Analyst

  • Okay, thanks for taking the questions.

  • Operator

  • And we do have a question from the line of Randy Reece with Avondale Partners. Please go ahead.

  • Randy Reece - Analyst

  • I was wondering if you had a feel for how much of your performance is market share gain versus market growth.

  • Susan Salka - President, CEO and Director

  • That's a tough one to answer so I'm going to have Ralph take a shot at it.

  • Ralph Henderson - President, Healthcare Staffing

  • Hey, Randy. This is Ralph. I thought that was your job to figure out.

  • Randy Reece - Analyst

  • I am offloading it onto you.

  • Ralph Henderson - President, Healthcare Staffing

  • There's a lot of demand and I'm guessing that a lot of people are growing right now, and they should all be growing kind in the double-digits. So I would expect that everyone is going to have very good performance and will have going forward because there doesn't seem to be any changes in the marketplace. The job quits are still at very high numbers. The job openings are I think about 25% of where they were at last year, and hospitals are having trouble filling those jobs.

  • Interpreting market share, we take a look internally at how well we fill jobs versus how our subcontractors do. We outperform pretty solidly there. It's probably one of our best benchmarks. It doesn't give you an exact percentage but it does feel good. Occasionally, we'll get data from somebody else who uses multiple services and we generally hear we're the, if not the top performer, one of the top two performers and in all skillsets. That's our Allied, our Nursing, and our Physician business. So really performing very, very well from a fulfilment standpoint.

  • I also think our recruitment, we haven't talked much about supply today, but our recruitment has gotten fine-tuned over the last few years. Our supply on a number of applications, which is kind of our traditional measurement is up on the double-digits, which is good. But because of technology and some other things that we're doing, we're able now to not only measure how many applications, but what's our conversion rate on applications. And then what percentage of our practitioners are actually first time practitioners with us.

  • And we're seeing very strong increases in first time practitioners, which probably means a couple of things. Our recruitment efforts are good, but also that the increases in bill rates are starting to track supply back into the marketplace. So I don't see others doing what we're doing from a recruitment standpoint, making those kind of investments. So my two cents, what it's worth, is that we probably are taking market share.

  • Randy Reece - Analyst

  • On the recruitment side, how have your sources of candidates performed on efficiency measures through this year? And are you making any adjustments on the fly to try to improve performance?

  • Ralph Henderson - President, Healthcare Staffing

  • This is Ralph. I'll handle that one too. You hit a hot button for us, which is that yes, we used to not even be able to measure where they came from except our referrals, which is always our best source and that continues to be one of our best sources, which again is a good indicator of candidate satisfaction with our product. But we're constantly moving in new sources. Right now, actually kind of interestingly, we've been using our existing database, what we call lab scrabblers to bring people back into the industry who may have exited when things were a little bit softer.

  • So we implemented a marketing automation tool, which helps us target those individuals, send them very specific jobs that they might be interested in. And then we actually monitor their activity to see if they open those emails, if they look at jobs on the website and we give the recruiters that information. So first thing in the morning, we can contact those individuals. And that's just only one example of how we're using technology different.

  • So applications, still a good measure, but not the absolute measure. I'm trying to think. In terms, we're kind of constantly juggling different sources. I don't want to give up I guess something that might help somebody. So I won't tell you what's good and what's bad, but yes, we're constantly evaluating all of our sources on an efficiency and a cost per hire basis.

  • Randy Reece - Analyst

  • Very good. Thank you very much.

  • Operator

  • And we do have a question from the line of Mark Marcon with R. W. Baird. Please go ahead.

  • Mark Marcon - Analyst

  • On Nurse and Allied, what percentage of Nurse and Allied is workforce solutions in terms of RPO, MSP, ATS?

  • Susan Salka - President, CEO and Director

  • That's a great question. It's a small portion of revenue, about 5% of that segment's revenue comes from the combination of our VMS solutions, Avantas and RPO. But a little more than 10% of the profitability comes from those solutions, which it speaks to how much more profitable they are.

  • Mark Marcon - Analyst

  • That's great. And obviously, that's growing faster organically as well.

  • Susan Salka - President, CEO and Director

  • It is, yes.

  • Mark Marcon - Analyst

  • Great. And then with regards to the fulfilment, it sounds like things are tracking really well. Just with the shortages that are out there, are there any large contracts where it's become challenging to meet the fill rates that were contracted?

  • Susan Salka - President, CEO and Director

  • I think as Ralph described, it's an environment where everyone has challenges filling their jobs, which is why our clients need our services even more. But I think that we are better positioned than most to be able to help and meet their needs. So while it's challenging, it is taking a little longer to get the jobs filled and we have to make sure we're having healthy conversations with our clients about it, is their bill rate at the appropriate level, are they interviewing quickly, what are the things that we can do from a recruitment standpoint to help get them the right candidates faster. And I won't get into all the techniques, but there are some very specific things that we've done in California, and Washington, and are going to be doing in Maryland to make sure that we're trying to move those candidates along as quickly as possible.

  • But at the end of the day, I believe we have better fill rates than any other organization within the industry, and I think clients know that. And so while it might be taking a little longer to get jobs filled, because of our program and our huge network of associate vendors, and of course, what we can fill, then I think we're in pretty good shape.

  • Mark Marcon - Analyst

  • Great, and then did you say that candidate database basically increased by double-digits this last quarter year-over-year?

  • Susan Salka - President, CEO and Director

  • No, Ralph was talking about the number of new applications coming in, being up double-digits. But the database has grown as well, and as he described, the team has really done an outstanding job of reengaging that candidate database. Clinicians who might have applied with us a year or two, three years ago and never worked with us. But now the market is different, the opportunities are different. And so remarketing those candidates is actually our best bet, and our first and lease expensive bet to go after. And that's where the investments we've made, as well as hiring new recruiters that can help us go after that existing database is important. But on top of that, of course we have to get new applications in the door. And they're doing a terrific job of driving that.

  • Mark Marcon - Analyst

  • Great. And then with regards to those first time practitioners that are working as travelers now, what's the general experience in terms of them going for a second or a third contract? How should we think about that?

  • Ralph Henderson - President, Healthcare Staffing

  • Our average assignment length is about 2.5 assignments in travel nursing. It's longer than that in Allied. I don't have that Physician number in front of me. But the rebook rates and things like that are very solid. Extending assignments is actually happening more frequently than it had happened in the past. Because if you can't fill the full-time job, you have to extend the individual you have on assignment. So those numbers are all very solid.

  • Mark Marcon - Analyst

  • Great. And then the bill rates on Nurse and Allied were up 7%. Is that what you're assuming for the balance of the year roughly?

  • Brian Scott - CFO, CAO and Treasurer

  • Probably in a reasonable ballpark, yes, for the rest of this year. Because they really started to see the traction on bill rates late in 2014. So just a natural path as you'd have that. Maybe in the fourth quarter, the comps will get a little bit tougher but that range is about right.

  • Mark Marcon - Analyst

  • Great. And then on Locum Tenens, the gross margins were down just a little bit. Would you -- and you're under market there. Would you expect them to bounce back in the very near term?

  • Ralph Henderson - President, Healthcare Staffing

  • Yes, I think the main issue there is just changes in the mix that occur and so we weren't too concerned about that small change in their margin on a year-over-year basis. We do expect margins to improve. When you look at it on a specialty-by-specialty basis, it's kind of -- you get 10 or 12 specialties that are performing above market and you get four or five dragging us back. So sometimes, it's the government business or the percentage of government that makes that change just a little bit, Mark. But the team has done a really good job and they have tools in place to help them improve that margin over time. Things like Susan was talking about, just our access to information and data about what's happening in the marketplace is just greater because of all of our workforce solutions, our sister companies. So that helps us get back to what we think is industry margins are a little bit higher than where we're at, maybe 32ish percent, I think we've said in the past.

  • Mark Marcon - Analyst

  • Great. And then the last question, I'll jump back in the queue. With regards to the EMR business, it sounds like it's trending stronger than what you would have expected this year, how do you think it will turn for next year?

  • Susan Salka - President, CEO and Director

  • It's really hard to say, Mark. We though again this year would be less than 14 and it's ended up being more. What we do see are organizations coming back to implement sort of a second, third round to improve the usability and efficiency of the systems that they put in. Some are actually switching systems. So I could be wrong and you could start to see this whole other wave of a pickup, but we're not really ready to predict that. And quite honestly, in any given year, it doesn't have a material impact on our overall performance. So while we love the business and our team's do an outstanding job of delivering when the opportunity is there, it's not something that we want to particularly count on as a growth area from year-to-year.

  • Mark Marcon - Analyst

  • Great. I appreciate the color. Thank you.

  • Susan Salka - President, CEO and Director

  • Thanks, Mark.

  • Operator

  • And we do have a follow up question from the line of Tobey Sommer with SunTrust. Please go ahead.

  • Tobey Sommer - Analyst

  • Thank you. I was wondering if you could talk about the rent expense and the change that you're seeing there, and maybe to the extent you are willing to, Brian, offer some other kind of color on tax rate, interest expense, shares, anything that would help us out towards -- getting towards the end of the bottom of the income statement. Thanks.

  • Brian Scott - CFO, CAO and Treasurer

  • Sure. No problem. This is Brian. So on the rent size, as I mentioned earlier, it predominantly affects our Nurse and Allied business, and our margins there have been stable overall also. As we've been negotiating bill rate increases, always of the mind toward attracting supply but also consideration of our other direct costs that we manage and obviously housing is one of those.

  • So the rent environment I think hasn't changed a whole lot in the last several quarters. It's still a very tight rental market and rental rates have been going up anywhere kind of 4% to 5%. And we're generally feeling that same increase in our direct costs. And so again as we look at our bill rate increases, we're in part using that to ensure that we are able to cover those costs as well.

  • As we look out the rest of this year, I think it would be somewhere in that 4% to 5% range for the next couple of quarters. There is a lot of the -- if you look externally, a lot of data, talks about a lot of new inventory coming on. What's coming on right now is being absorbed pretty quickly, but I think as more units come online in the next couple of years that will start to have some moderation on the rent increases as well.

  • As for the other inputs for modeling, depreciation expense for next quarter will be about $2.5 million. Stock comp comparable to Q2 at about $2.1 million; the amortization expense will be about the same at $2.9 million; interest expect about $1.9 million to $2 million as well; share count 48.9. I think those are the main ones. Tax rate, I had mentioned earlier, was 43%.

  • Tobey Sommer - Analyst

  • Thanks very much.

  • Operator

  • And at this time, there are no further questions in queue. Please continue.

  • Susan Salka - President, CEO and Director

  • Great, well, thank you everyone for joining us today and certainly thank you for your continued support of AMN. We look forward to updating you on our progress next quarter.

  • Operator

  • And ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude your conference for today. Thank you for your participation and for using the AT&T Executive Teleconference service. You may now disconnect.